A Study on Public Opnion on 16th Lok-sabha Elections

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e-mail :[email protected], [email protected] Tel. : 26609320 Website : www.lsraheja.org.in

SADHANA EDUCATION SOCIETYS

L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS AND COMMERCE RE-ACCREDITED BY NAAC WITH A GRADE

Juhu Road, Santacruz (West), Mumbai 400 054.

DECLARATION BY THE STUDENT

I, Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale, student of M Com Part-II Roll Number 106 hereby declare that

the project for the Paper Research Methodology.

A study on public opinion on upcoming 16th lok-sabha elections in 2014 submitted by me

for Semester III during the academic year 2013-14, is based on actual work carried out by

me under the guidance and supervision of Prof. Samikisha Jadhav Mam .

I further state that this work is original and not submitted anywhere else for any examination.

Signature of Student

EVALUATION CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that the undersigned have assessed and evaluated the project on

A study on public opinion on 16th lok-sabha elections in 2014.

submitted by Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale Student of M Com Part-II.

This project is original to the best of our knowledge and has been accepted for Internal

Assessment.

Internal Examiner External Examiner Principal

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L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS & COMMERCE

Internal Assessment: Project 40 Marks

Name of the Student

Class

Division

Roll

Number. First name : AJAY

Fathers Name: KACHARU

Surname : DHUTAWALE

M COM

PART II

MNGMT

106

Subject: Research Methodology

Topic for the Project: A STUDY ON PUBLIC OPINION ON 16TH LOK-

SABHA ELECTIONS IN 2014.

Marks Awarded Signature

DOCUMENTATION

Internal Examiner

(Out of 10 Marks)

External Examiner

(Out of 10 Marks)

Presentation

(Out of 10 Marks)

Viva and Interaction

(Out of 10 Marks)

TOTAL MARKS (Out of 40)

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ACKNOWLDEMENT

I have taken efforts in this project. However, it would not have been possible without the kind

support and help of many individuals and organizations. I would like to extend my sincere

thanks to all of them.

I am highly indebted to PROF. SAMIKSHA JADHAV for their guidance and constant

supervision as well as for providing necessary information regarding the project & also for

their support in completing the project.

I would like to express my gratitude towards my parents & L.S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF

ARTS & COMMERCE for kind co-operation and encouragement which help me in

completion of this project.

I would like to express my special gratitude and thanks to all the respondents for giving me

such attention and time.

My thanks and appreciations also go to my colleague in developing the project and people

who have willingly helped me out with their abilities.

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INDEX

SR NO.

PARTICULARS

PAGE NO.

CHAPTER

01

INTRODUCION

Introduction Of Lok Sabha

History Of Loksabha

About Opinion Poll

6-13

HAPTER

02

REVIEW OF LITERATURE

14-15

CHAPTER

03

HYPOTHESIS

16-18

CHAPTER

04

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

-Scope Of The Study

-Objectives Of The Study

-Data Collection

19-22

CHAPTER 05

DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION

-Table And Pie Chart Interpretations Of Data.

-Co-Relation Analysis Of Data

23-41

CHAPTER

06

FINDINGS AND LIMITATATIONS OF THE STUDY

42-43

CHAPTER

07

QUESTIONNAIRE 44-45

CONCLUSION

46

BIBLIOGRAPHY

47

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TABLE LIST

SR. NOS

PARTICULARS

PAGE

NOS

1 Table 1. Shows the different age groups of the respondents.

24

2 Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications.

25

3 Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents.

26

4 Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents.

27

5 Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards

16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

28

6 Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast

vote and who don't cast vote.

30

7

Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and

reasons for the same

31

8 Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political

alliance that could win the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014.

32

9 Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice

for Best Prime Minster for India in 2014.

34

10 Table 10. Correlation between age group 18-28yrs & voting and

scatter diagrams

38-41

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CHAPTER 01

INTRODUCTION

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INTRODUCTION

Nowadays in India everyone is talking about and worrying about the 16th

Lok-Sabha

elections 2014 in India. All national news channels like Abp News and Times Now have

published their Public Opinion poll on their news channels.

This project also describes the public opinion on 16th

Lok-Sabha elections of Mumbai City ,

Maharashtra ,India. The Information in this project is being conducted for the first time to

find out public opinion of the public in the mumbai city to understand the application of such

polls to interpret about upcoming trends in Indian politics.

This project is a small attempt to understand the behavior of the public towards the upcoming

Lok-Sabha Election.

The important of voting in todays politics of India.

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INTRODUCTION TO LOK-SABHA

LokSabha is composed of representatives of the people chosen by direct election on the basis

of the adult suffrage. The maximum strength of house envisaged by the constitution is

552,which made up by election of up to 530 members to represent the states, upto 20

members to represent the union territories, and not more than 2 members of the Anglo Indian

community to be nominated by the Honble President ,if, in his/her opinion , that community

is not adequately represented in the house. The total elective membership is distributed

among the states in such a way that the ratio between the number of seats allotted to each

state and the population of the state is , so far as practicable , the same for all states .

(Source :- http://loksabha.nic.in)

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HISTORY OF LOKSABHA ELECTIONS

The major portion of the Indian subcontinent was under British rule from 1857 to

1947. In the United Kingdom the office of the Secretary of State for India was the authority

through whom Parliament exercised its rule (along with the Council of India), and established

the office of Viceroy of India (along with an Executive Council in India, consisting of high

officials of the British Government). The Indian Councils Act 1861 provided for a Legislative

Council consisting of the members of the Executive council and non-official members.

The Indian Councils Act 1892 established provincial legislatures and increased the

powers of the Legislative Council. Although these Acts increased the representation of

Indians in the government, their power still remained limited. The Indian Councils Act

1909 and the Government of India Act 1919 further expanded participation of Indians in the

government. The Indian Independence Act, passed by the British Parliament on 18 July 1947,

divided British India into two new independent states, India and Pakistan, which were to be

dominions under the Commonwealth of Nations until they had each finished drafting and

enacted a new constitution. The Constituent Assembly was divided into two for the separate

states, with each new Assembly having sovereign powers transferred to it for the respective

dominion.

The Constitution of India was adopted on 26 November 1949 and came into effect on

26 January 1950, proclaiming India to be a sovereign, democratic republic. It contained the

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founding principles of the law of the land which would govern India after its independence

from British rule.

According to Article 79 (Part V-The Union.) of the Constitution of India,

the Parliament of India consists of President of India and the two Houses of Parliament

known as Council of States (Rajya Sabha) and House of the People (Lok Sabha).

The Lok Sabha (House of the People) was duly constituted for the first time on 17

April 1952 after the first General Elections held from 25 October 1951 to 21 February 1952.

The first Session of the First Lok Sabha commenced on 13 May 1952. The Second Lok

Sabha in April-1957, the Third Lok Sabha in April-1962, the Fourth Lok Sabha in March-

1967, the Fifth Lok Sabha in March-1971, the Sixth Lok Sabha in March-1977, the Seventh

Lok Sabha in January-1980, the Eighth Lok Sabha in December, 1984, the Ninth Lok Sabha

in December-1989, the Tenth Lok Sabha in June-1991, the Eleventh Lok Sabha in May-1996,

the Twelfth Lok Sabha in March-1998, the Thirteenth Lok Sabha in October-1999, the

Fourteenth Lok Sabha in May-2004 and the Fifteenth (current) Lok Sabha in May-2009.

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ABOUT OPINION POLL

An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll, is a survey of public opinion from a

particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a

population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or

within confidence intervals.

A scientific, nonbiased public opinion poll is a type of survey or inquiry designed to measure

the public's views regarding a particular topic or series of topics. Trained interviewers ask

questions of people chosen at random from the population being measured. Responses are

given, and interpretations are made based on the results. It is important in a random sample

that everyone in the population being studied has an equal chance of participating. Otherwise,

the results could be biased and, therefore, not representative of the population. Representative

samples are chosen in order to make generalizations about a particular population being

studied.

Polls tell us what proportion of a population has a specific viewpoint. They do not explain

why respondents believe as they do or how to change their minds. This is the work of social

scientists and scholars. Polls are simply a measurement tool that tells us how a population

thinks and feels about any given topic.

This can be useful in helping different cultures understand one another because it gives the

people a chance to speak for themselves instead of letting only vocal media stars speak on

behalf of all. Opinion polling gives people who do not usually have access to the media an

opportunity to be heard.

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HISTORY OF POLL

The first known example of an opinion poll was a local straw poll conducted by The

Harrisburg Pennsylvanian in 1824, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by

335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States Presidency. Since Jackson won the

popular vote in that state and the whole country, such straw votes gradually became more

popular, but they remained local, usually city-wide phenomena. In 1916, the Literary

Digest embarked on a national survey (partly as a circulation-raising exercise) and correctly

predicted Woodrow Wilson's election as president. Mailing out millions of postcards and

simply counting the returns, the Digest correctly predicted the victories of Warren Harding in

1920, Calvin Coolidge in 1924, Herbert Hoover in 1928, and Franklin Roosevelt in 1932.

Then, in 1936, its 2.3 million "voters" constituted a huge sample; however, they were

generally more affluent Americans who tended to have Republican sympathies. The Literary

Digest was ignorant of this new bias. The week before election day, it reported that Alf

Landon was far more popular than Roosevelt. At the same time, George Gallup conducted a

far smaller, but more scientifically based survey, in which he polled a demographically

representative sample. Gallup correctly predicted Roosevelt's landslide victory. The Literary

Digest soon went out of business, while polling started to take off.

Elmo Roper was another American pioneer in political forecasting using scientific polls.[1]

He

predicted the reelection of President Franklin D. Roosevelt three times, in 1936, 1940, and

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1944.Louis Harris had been in the field of public opinion since 1947 when he joined the

Elmo Roper firm, then later became partner.

In September 1938 Jean Stoetzel, after having met Gallup, created IFOP, the Institut Franais

d'Opinion Publique, as the first European survey institute in Paris and started political polls in

summer 1939 with the question "Why die for Danzig?", looking for popular support or

dissent with this question asked by appeasement politician and future collaborationist Marcel

Dat.

Gallup launched a subsidiary in the United Kingdom that, almost alone, correctly predicted

Labors victory in the 1945 general election, unlike virtually all other commentators, who

expected a victory for the Conservative Party, led by Winston Churchill.

The Allied occupation powers helped to create survey institutes in all of the Western

occupation zones of Germany in 1947 and 1948 to better steer denazification.

By the 1950s, various types of polling had spread to most democracies.

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CHAPTER 2


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Lok-Sabha election 2014 prediction survey opinion polls are gaining heat as elections are

coming close. The major reason this time is Baba Ramdev and Anna Hazare Andolan which

has created a big awareness all over country especially among youths.

While working on this project I have got two surveys already being conducted by national

news channel called ABP News channel and Times Now.

Both the channels have surveyed the public opinion on upcoming Lok-Sabha election.

As per the survey conducted by the ABP News, it shows that there is consistent increase in

vote share for NDA, and Gujarat's cm and bjp prime ministerial candidate is getting more

popularity for the 16th Lok-Sabha elections.

As per the survey conducted by the Times Now a national TV news channel, it also shows

that BJP is getting more response all over India as compared to all other parties across it.

Opinion polls predict BJP as the biggest political party in 2014 Lok-Sabha elections.

REFERENCES FOR DATA

http://www.seekersfind.in/loksabha-election-2014-prediction-survey/- ABP NEWS

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014-

polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA

http://www.firstpost.com/india/opinion-polls-predict-bjp-as-biggest-party-in-2014-election-

1356385.html?utm_source=ref_article - WWW.FIRSTPOST.COM

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/first-time-voters-want-narendra-modi-as-prime-minister-

india-today-cvoter-survey/1/310613.html - INDIA TODAY

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CHAPTER 3

HYPOTHESIS

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HYPOTHESIS

Following hypothesis on different parameters were taken into consideration for testing

to make the study more authentic and reliable.

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are

willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are not


H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of


H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware

of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections.

H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.

H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha

elections in 2014.

H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-

Sabha elections in 2014.

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H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people

in Mumbai City

H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the

people in Mumbai City.

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CHAPTER 04


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This chapter describes the research methodology adopted to achieve the objectives of the

study. It includes the scope of the study, research design, collection of data, analysis of data

and limitations of the study.

SCOPE OF THE STUDY

The scope of the study is to get first hand information on public opinion and their awareness

about 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 . This study will help to understand behavior of the

youth towards the due political process of India, and how its representatives are elected.

Extending upon the same study i am also analysing who the youth of the country want to be

their electives and why.

RESEARCH DESIGN

In order to complete or facilitate this project I have used random sampling method and

normal data intpretation methods of statistics. I have done random sampling and covered the

areas in the Mumbai region. Using various analytical tools like pie charts, bars and co-

relations and others. We have come up with unique conclusions which would be revealed

later on the next chapter.

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DATA COLLECTION

Primary Data

Primary data is that data which is collected for the first time. It is original in nature in the

shape of raw material. For the purpose of collection of primary data, a well structured

questionnaire was framed which was filled by the respondents. The questionnaire comprises

of close ended as well as open ended questions. In close ended questions Karl Pearson

Correlation and Testing of Hypothesis are done and multiple choice questions are used.

Secondary Data

Secondary data is the data which is already collected by someone. They are secondary in

nature and are in shape of finished product. Secondary data was collected so as to have

accurate results. Required data was collected from the internet.

Sampling Design

Sampling refers to selecting some of the elements in a population by which one can draw

conclusions about the entire population. 50 people of different age group are taken for this

project by random sampling from Mumbai region.

Universe

Universe is the infinite number of elements which the researcher is targeting in his study.

Since the study is restricted to Mumbai city the universe for the study consists of all the

respondents residing in Mumbai.

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Population

Population is finite number of elements which the researcher is going to target in particular

area. All the respondents are in Mumbai city form the population for the study.

Sampling Unit

Sampling Unit is the single unit of the population. A single individual who is aware of 16th

Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

Extent

Extent refers to the geographical area where there is a scope of population. The extent of the

study is Mumbai City.

Sampling Technique

The selection of the respondents was done on the basis of convenience technique based on

the probability method of sampling.

Sample size

Sample size is the size of sample drawn from the population which is the true representative

of the research. The number of respondents included in the study was 85 for convenience in

evaluating and analyzing the data and because of time constraint.

Data Analysis and Interpretation

For the purpose of analyzing, raw data was summarized in a master table and from this table

the results have been carried out. The questions having multiple/ alternative choices were

analyzed by taking percentages

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CHAPTER 5

DATA ANALYSIS

AND

INTERPRETATION

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Results of the study

Table 1. Shows the

different age groups of the

respondents.

Figure 1. Showing the pie chart of the above table.

Interpretation

The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Age group being

tapped during the survey and data has been taken as Percentage. The age group between 18-

28 had most number of counts 33 with 67 % followed by age group of 28-38 i.e. 11 with 23

% and the age group of 38 yrs to 48 yrs had been tapped at 6 with 10% of the total

respondents.

Age group Counts

18 yrs to 28 yrs 33

28 yrs to 38 yrs 11

38 yrs to 48 yrs 6

Total 50

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Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications.

Educational Qualification Counts

Under Graduate 11

Graduate 30

Post Graduate 5

Total 50

Figure 2. Showing the pie chart of the above table.

Interpretation

The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Educational

Qualifications being tapped during the survey and had been taken as count. The most number

of respondent were Graduate i.e. 71 % with counts of 30, followed by Under Graduate of i.e.

26% with total counts of 11, and the Post Graduate were only 10 with total counts of 5.

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Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents .

Working status Counts

Working 30

Dependant 20

Total 50

Figure 3. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table

Interpretation

Out of 50 respondents 60% respondents were found working i.e.30 and 60%.

20 respondents were found dependent with 40%.

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Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents.

MONTHLY INCOME COUNTS

DEPENDENTS 20

BELOW 10,000/- 1

10,000 to 20,000 16

20,000 to 30,000 9

30,000 to 40,000 4

TOTAL 50


The above table and Diagram suggests 40% of total respondents which is youth are

dependent with total counting of 20 out of 50, The count of respondents are highest and about

16 out of 30, with Monthly income of these respondents ranges from Rs 10,000 to 20,000/-

The monthly income for ranges of Rs.20, 000 to 30,000/- had counts of 9 with 18%. Income

that ranges from 30,000 to 40,000 had only 4 counts with 8 %.

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Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards 16th Lok-Sabha elections in

2014.

Awareness Counts

Aware 49

Not Aware 1

Total 50


Interpretation

Above diagram and table states that out 50 respondents 49 were aware of 16th Lok-Sabha

elections to be held in 2014 and only 1 out of 50 was not aware of it . It clearly shows that

98% of total respondents are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections to be held in 2014.

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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware of


H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are not aware


H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware

of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED.

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Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast vote and who don't cast vote.

Vote casting Counts

Casting Vote 41

Not Casting Vote 9

Total 50

Figure 6. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.

Interpretation

Above pie chart diagram clearly states that the percentage of casting vote is 82% and

percentage of not casting is 18 % and total respondents who cast their vote are 41 and total

respondents who don't cast their vote are 9.

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Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and reasons for the same

Reasons For Not Casting Vote Counts

No Voter Id 5

No Good Candidates 3

Not Interested In Politics 1

Total 9

Figure7. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.

Interpretation

Above pie diagram states that the major reason for not casting vote is having no voter id and

it is about 56%. 33% respondents think that Lack of Good candidates are the main reason for

not casting vote. Remaining 11 % of respondent are not Interested in Politics due to they

don't vote. Only 18% people do not cast their vote.

Which means most of the people cast their vote hence the most of the people cast their vote

hypothesis of most of the people do not cast their vote is rejected by this data.

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Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political alliance that could win

the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014.

Political Alliance Party Number Of Counts

Congress Party (UPA) 8

Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) 38

Third Front 1

Aam Aadami Party (AAP) 3

Total 50


Interpretation

Above diagram clearly states that the majority of the respondents believe that Bharatiya

Janata Party (NDA) will win the 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. Out of 50 respondents 38

respondents collectively supports BJP (NDA). 70% of respondents say that BJP would be

winning Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. It also shows that BJP is the Biggest Political Party in

India. Above table and pie diagram clearly states that with 70% of total respondents from all

the age groups want BJP(NDA) to win 16th

General Elections in 2014. It also means that

Bharatiya Janata Party is more popular political party in Mumbai City.

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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people

in Mumbai City

H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the

people in Mumbai City.

H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the

people in Mumbai City is ACCEPTED .

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Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice for Best Prime Minster

for India in 2014.

Choices Respondents Count

Dr. Manmohan Singh 2

Narendra Modi 32

Rahul Gandhi 7

Arvind Kejariwal 9

Total 50


Interpretation

Above pie diagram clearly shows that 64% of total respondents think that Narendra Modi

could be Best Prime Minister for India in 2014 and they support BJP and Narendra Modi with

count of 32 out of 50.18% of respondents think that Dr. Manmohan singh could be best Prime

minister for India. 14% think about Rahul Gandhi & 4% say that Arvind Kejariwal could be

best Prime Minister for India.

Above pie diagram clearly states that maximum percentages (64%) of respondents from

different age groups are willing to cast their vote to Narendra Modi for Prime Minister of

India.

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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha

elections in 2014.

H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-

Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-

Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED .

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CORELATION ANALYSIS

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01. CORELATION BETWEEN AGE GROUP 18-28YRS & VOTING

AGE VOTING INCOME QUALIFICATION ELECTION

AWARENESS

22 1 10000 2 2

19 1 0 1 2

19 2 0 1 2

20 2 0 1 2

21 2 0 1 2

24 2 18000 3 2

23 2 0 2 2

22 2 15000 2 2

25 2 25000 3 2

21 2 0 2 2

19 1 0 1 2

27 2 18000 2 2

26 2 17000 2 2

28 2 24000 2 2

19 1 0 1 2

23 1 15000 2 2

21 1 0 1 2

22 2 16000 2 2

24 2 16000 2 2

22 2 17000 2 2

24 2 16000 2 2

25 2 18000 3 2

26 2 23000 2 2

18 1 0 1 1

27 2 20000 2 2

22 2 0 2 2

23 2 0 2 2

24 2 18000 2 2

19 2 0 1 2

20 2 0 1 2

25 2 0 2 2

23 2 16000 2 2

24 2 15500 2 2

CORELATION BETWEEN AGE & VOTING 0.492616552

CORELATION BETWEEN INCOME & VOTING 0.343026939

CORELATION BETWEEN QUALIFICATION &

VOTING

0.441093336

CORELATION BETWEEN ELECTION

AWARENESS & VOTING

0.340692572

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1. INTERPRETATION

The correlation between age and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.4926165. It shows the

moderate uphill co relation.

Figure 1 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation between age and voting of 18

yrs to 28 yrs age group.

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are


H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are not


H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs )

are willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED

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2. CORLATION BETWEEN INCOME AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28 AGE GROUP

The co relation between Income & Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group is 0.343026939.

Figure 2 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Income and Voting of 18 yrs

to 28 yrs age group.

Number 1 represent No voting , Number 2 represent = Voting

2. INTERPRETATION

Above scatter diagram clearly states that there is weak Positive co relation between income

and Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections

H1:- Most of the working respondent do not cast vote in the elections .

H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections is ACCEPED.

3. INTERPRETATION

The correlation between Qualification and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.441093336. It shows

the moderate uphill co relation.

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Figure 3: Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Qualifications and Voting of

18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.

3. INTERPRETATION

Above diagram shows the moderate upward relation

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections.

H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections is

ACCEPTED

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4. CORLATION BETWEEN ELECTION AWARENESS AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28

AGE GROUP

The correlation between Election awareness and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.340692572. It

shows a weak positive uphill co relation.

It shows a weak positive uphill co relation.

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of


H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware


H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are

aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED

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FINDINGS

After analyzing the data collected on this topic I have found that almost every one whoever

casts vote is aware of 16th

Lok-Sabha election that are to be held in 2014. It is a good thing

that all the respondents who have been surveyed are getting interested in politics and are

willing to vote in upcoming elections.

Another thing I have found out is most of respondents are want Narendra Modi to become

Next Prime Minister of India. Most of the respondents believe that Narendra Mody could be

Best Prime Minister of India.

Among all the national political parties in India, BJP stays at first in terms for goodwill.

There are some respondent who belongs to 18, 19 age have not registered yet for the voter Id.

Youth is getting involved in politics and this year 12Cr. New voters have been registered by

the Election Commission of India.

So, Youth will be key factor in upcoming elections in India.

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LIMITATIONS

Limitations of the study

Sincere efforts have been made to collect authentic and reliable information from

respondents, however the report is subject to following limitations:

i. Some respondents were reluctant to give the information, so their responses may be

biased.

ii. Time could be a major limitation as it may have affected the inferences drawn in the

study. Only 50 respondents have been contacted due to time constraint.

iii. Sample may not be the true representative of the universe.

iv. Study was conducted in Mumbai only. So the results of the study may not be

applicable in other areas.

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QUESTIONNAIRE

Public Opinion on Elections 2014

Q.1.What is your age?

18-28

28-38

38-48

48 and above

Q.2.What is your Qualification?

Under Graduate

Graduate

Post Graduate

other

Q.3. Are you working? Yes No

Q.4.What is your monthly income? (If working)

Below 20,000/-

20,001 to 40,000/-

40,001 to 60,000

60,001 & above

Q.5.Do you aware of 16th

General elections 2014? Yes No

Q.6.Do you cast vote? Yes No

Q.7.According to you who will win 16th

General elections 2014?

1. Congress party (Congress)

2. Bhartiya janta party (BJP)

3. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)

4. Other

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Q.8. What do you think who will be the best prime minister for India?

1.Dr. Manmohan singh

2. Narendra modi

3.Rahul Gandhi

4.Arvind Kejriwal

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CONCLUSION

As per the Election commission of India, registration of 12Cr. new voters can change the

political situation in India, because they are first time voters. It is true that Narendra Modi is

getting more famous and popular than any other Prime Ministerial Candidates. Many

respondents do believe that he could be the best prime minister for India who can lead the

country and can give good governess with social and economic development.

It is a good sign that youth are coming up and breaking traditional negative behavior towards

politics. It is due to their awareness about politics and everyone should be aware of their

voting rights and everyone should cast their vote to see the power of voting collectively.

Opinion Polls are just raw information about what could be the results of elections. It could

give us a information what public are thinking or their behavior towards elections. Opinion

polls helps to understand thinking pattern of society on a particular topic. Hence we all have

to wait till election take place and results are out

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BIBLIOGHRAPHY

http://www.seekersfind.in/loksabha-election-2014-prediction-survey/- ABP NEWS

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014-

polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA

http://www.firstpost.com/india/opinion-polls-predict-bjp-as-biggest-party-in-2014-election-

1356385.html?utm_source=ref_article - WWW.FIRSTPOST.COM

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/first-time-voters-want-narendra-modi-as-prime-minister-

india-today-cvoter-survey/1/310613.html - INDIA TODAY

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A Study on Public Opnion on 16th Lok-sabha Elections

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