A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the...

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A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University of Idaho John Pomeroy - University of Saskatchewan Robert Lawler - U.S. Forest Service Chad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd. Danny Marks – USDA ARS Richard Essery - University of Edinburgh

Transcript of A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the...

Page 1: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in

Small Canopy Gaps:

The quest for the radiative minima and more...

Timothy E. Link - University of IdahoJohn Pomeroy - University of Saskatchewan

Robert Lawler - U.S. Forest ServiceChad Ellis - Silvatech Consulting Ltd.

Danny Marks – USDA ARSRichard Essery - University of Edinburgh

Page 2: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Outline

•Motivation & background

•Radiation in forest gaps

•Measurements

•Modeling

•Scaling up...

•Future directions and challenges

Page 3: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Motivation•Snow is a major water source

• 50% - 90% in western U. S. watersheds

• Declining in many areas

•Improve melt prediction in complex terrain

•Can forest managementconserve snow?

• Gap thinning

• Homogeneous thinning

Page 4: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Shortwave Dominated Longwave Dominated

Snow in Forests

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Canopy Effects Summary

•↓ SWE

•↓ Shortwave Radiation

• ↑ Longwave Radiation

• ↓ Wind Speed

...and hence:Loss of forest canopy

should:1. Increase snow !!

2. Accelerate melt !!!

In forests, relative to open areas...

Not always so!!!

Page 6: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Canopy Gaps...

a.k.a “cold holes”(Berry & Rothwell, 1992)

are “open”, and so...

- Accumulate more snow

but...

- Are dark and cold

Wolf Creek Experimental Basin, Yukon Territory

High Noon in November

Page 7: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Some history...

Church. 1933. Geog. Rev.

Page 8: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

More history...

Golding & Swanson. 1978. Can. J. For. Res.

Page 9: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

More history...

Golding & Swanson. 1986. Wat. Resour. Res.

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More history...

Berry & Rothwell. 1992. Can. J. For. Res.

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and so the question is...

How does radiation vary as function of position, gap size, season, and latitude ?

Optimal density and pattern to minimize radiation to snow?

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Methods

•Radiation measurements

•Physically-based models

•Sensitivity experiments

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Radiation Measurements

measuring sunshine in a campground in winter...

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Simple Model Performance

Shortwave Radiation

Text

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

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Model Performance:

Longwave Radiation

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

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GAP POSITION, SIZE, AND SEASON

Simulated Radiation Regimes

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Gap Radiation Regimes

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

February 1

~47° N latitude

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Gap Radiation Regimes

February 1, ~47° N latitudePro

port

ion

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

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Gap Radiation Regimes

May 1, ~47° N latitudePro

port

ion

Lawler & Link, Hyd. Proc., 2011

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Snow Depth Trends~47° N latitude

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GAP SIZE, SEASON, AND LATITUDE

Simulated Radiation Regimes: Another View…

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Gap Radiative Regimes

Instantaneous, Gap Center

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Data AnalysisDaily Incoming Radiation

Page 24: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Data AnalysisDaily Incoming Radiation

Page 25: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Data AnalysisDaily Incoming Radiation

longwave-dominated

shortwave-dominated

Page 26: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Data AnalysisDaily Incoming Radiation

Page 27: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Link et al., in prep.

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Link et al., in prep.

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Gaps on SlopesNorth and South

Ellis et al., WRR, in press

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Gaps on SlopesEast and West

Ellis et al., WRR, in press

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Conclusions(so far!)

Radiative minima occur in gaps

• Optimal size: 1-2 H at ~45° latitude

•Snow can be retained on the landscape

• Melt can be desynchronized on slopes

•Canopy gap microclimates are distinct

Implications:• Water resource

prediction & enhancement

• Climate change adaptation

• Monitoring site assessment

• Fire hazard risk reduction

• Avalanche initiation• Vegetation

regeneration

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The Marmot Creek Legacy

Marmot Creek Research Basin

Alberta, Canada

Cedar River WatershedWashington, USA

Cedar River WatershedWashington, USA

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Future Directions:Discrete Tree Model

Images courtesy of Dr. Richard Essery

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Future Directions- How does radiation vary as function of canopy density, pattern, slope, and ...

- Optimal density and pattern to minimize radiation to snow?

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The Quest for More…

~4H gap

~1H gap

•Seasonal effects ?

• Productive melt conditions

•Comprehensive snow energetics ?

•Climatological variability ?

• Spatial

• Temporal (Intra and inter-annual)

•Depositional effects ?

• Sublimation vs. meltwater drip

• Deportment of infiltrated water?

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ThankYou !

Questions ?

Page 37: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.
Page 38: A Sensitivity Study of Radiant Energy During Snowmelt in Small Canopy Gaps: The quest for the radiative minima and more... Timothy E. Link - University.

Approach: Modeling

Seyednasrollah et al., In review. JGR - Atmospheres.

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Example Results:Discrete Tree Model

Essery et al., 2007. J. Hydromet.

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In Summary...•Forests can have higher radiation

than open

•High latitudes, mid-winter, north slopes

•Gaps can have lowest radiation amounts

•During melt !!

•Distinct at high latitudes

•North slopes are likehigh latitudes