A prospective vision of food needs

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Agricultural development and food security concerns Strategy of AFD Bruno VINDEL February 2009

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A prospective vision of food needs. In 2008, a food crisis resulting from several causes, structural and circumstancial International prices easing since october 2008, but not a signal for relief. Structural causes of the crisis are still there (demand especially in Africa / demography). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of A prospective vision of food needs

Page 1: A prospective vision of food needs

Agricultural development

and food security concerns

Strategy of AFD

Bruno VINDEL

February 2009

Page 2: A prospective vision of food needs

A prospective vision of food needs

• In 2008, a food crisis resulting from several causes, structural and circumstancial

• International prices easing since october 2008, but not a signal for relief.

• Structural causes of the crisis are still there (demand especially in Africa / demography).

• Strong uncertainties about the conditions of agricultural production : climate change and volatility of markets.

• Necessity of a rapid and massive evolution of agricultural economies in the South, and especially in Africa.

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Major challenges for the rural economies of developing

countries• New models of agricultural production to be developed

(North and South)

– use of non renewable ressources

– soil fertility degraded and equilibrium with forests

– availability of water

– contribution of agriculture to climate change mitigation

• Challenges even bigger in developing countries, especially in Africa

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Evolution of cereals yields

(Source : WDR 2008)

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Pays développés

Asie

Amérique latine Caraïbes

Afrique sub saharienne

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Income per agri-worker (Rural Struct)

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MADAGASCAR KENYA MALI SENEGAL MOROCCO NICARAGUA MEXICO

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Major challenges for the rural economies of developing

countries• Important margins of improvment and new prices opportunities = necessary conditions but not sufficient for a inclusive rural growth

• Promissing technical innovations (agro-ecology) but still evolving

• Organisations and institutions to be build for a better management of markets / transmissions of market signals / reducing volatility (tradable-non tradable)

• Modernizing agriculture but still labour-intensive : dynamic demography with « low regime » of employement creation in the cities.

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Population rurale 1950=indice 100

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1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Afrique Asie Amérique

LatineMonde

Projections de la population rurale

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Yearly increase of labour forceYearly Increase of the Labor Force

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1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

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Eastern Asia EuropeLatin America and the Caribbean South-Central AsiaSub-Saharan Africa

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A global partnership

• Food security = food production + nutrition + access to food (incomes)

• High profile commitment needed

• Reversing the long trend decline in attention to agriculture and food security in developing countries

• Ensuring better coherence between international institutions and actors, and better coordination between donors based on the Paris/Accra principles

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A global partnership

• An international « High profile Policy Group » on food security and agriculture

• An international panel of experts addressing controversial issues and helping to strengthen evidence-based policy analysis

• A re-mobilisation of the international financial community (countries budgets, ODA, FDI, new actors) for agricultural development and safety nets in developing countries.

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AFD Strategy for agriculture and rural development: principles

• Actions to be conceived and carried out in the long term, in ordre to achieve a sound redefinition of production and growth patterns. Agriculture : a key lever for poverty reduction (WDR

2008).But agriculture abandoned for many years by States

and donors

• Sustainable management of natural ressources as a cross cutting principle of action.

• Inclusion of the actors and taking into account their diverse trajectories :smallholders / family agriculture at the heart of the strategy.

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Poorest 30% Middle 40% Richest 30%

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Agriculture Non-agriculture

Efficiency of agricultural growth for poverty reduction (MDG)

Income increase for 1% growth of GDP (agri. and non-agri)

La croissance du PNB provenant de l’agriculture profite principalement aux 30% les plus pauvres de la

population

La croissance du PNB provenant de l’agriculture profite principalement aux 30% les plus pauvres de la

population

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AFD strategy for agriculture and rural development: Three axes

• Axis 1 : support policies meant to accompany the necessary transitions, taking into account demography, risks on natural ressources and economic international environment.

• Axis 2 : re-invest in food value chains with technical and organisational innovations

• Axis 3 : support creation of local enabling environments for agricultural and rural development (user based management, decentralisation, local infrastructures…)

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Conception, implementation and evolution of concerted policies

• Several fields of action : land tenure, orientation of agronomical research, statistics and information systems, legal framework (definition of contractual links between farmers and other actors, quality standards…)

• Capacity building : reconstruction of institutionnal capacities in the public administration and within producers’ organisations.

• Concertation : « platforms » of concertation; value-chains interprofessional bodies

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Conception, implementation and evolution of concerted policies

• Cooperation tools : – technical assistance / long term or expertise– seminars and studies– projects mainly based on subventions (example :

Madagascar, Sénégal, « Fond lissage coton »)– donors coordination in the field and at global level

Complementarity between regional and national levels : creation of regional markets of agricultural goods by removing tariff between States / example of ECOWAPS

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Sustainable and equitable growth of agricultural production and better

functionning of markets

• Reminder : small holder / family agriculture and multifunctionnality of agriculture

• Technical innovations :– agri techniques more respectful of the natural ressources

(agro-ecology adapted to several ecologies)– agronomic research : seeds selection and agri techniques /

the « double green revolution » / difficulty : extensions services and ownership by farmers

– irrigated agriculture : investments in rehabilitation , creation of new capacities, with more economical irrigation techniques and users’based management

– transhumant breeding / investments in water ressources for herds

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Production of kcal /day / worker (Source : Agrimonde)

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Locations of the « PAMPA » project

MaghrebTunisieMarocAlgérie

Afrique Sub-saharienne

CamerounBurkina

MaliAutres

Afrique de l’EstEt Australe

MadagascarKénya

MozambiqueAutres

Asie du Sud EstLaos

VietnamCambodgeThaïlande

Chine

BrésilCIRAD

Université de Ponta Grossa

Réseau PAMPAMaîtrise d’ouvrage MAE – FFEM – AFD

Maîtrise d’œuvre principale CIRADAutres maîtrises d’œuvre

Autres bailleursBanque Mondiale

Banque Asiatique de Dév.FIDA

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Sustainable and equitable growth of agricultural production and better

functionning of markets• Technical innovation not enough / need for

enabling policies• Better functioning of agri/food markets :

– primary marketing of agrofood products by farmers’organisations / private storage and development of warehouse receipts systems

– access to credit : financement of production campaigns (purchase of inputs) / copping with under-capitalisation at fram level

– connection to the markets : roads and rural paths with the necessary maintenance systems

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Sustainable and equitable growth of agricultural production and better

functionning of markets

• Cooperation tools :– loans at concessionnal conditions – association of loans (equipments) and subventions for

capacity and institution building– innovative financing : equity or quasi-equity funding for

agrofood industries having a leverage effect on food production (through supply contracts with farmers cooperatives)

– innovative financing to ease access to credit : reducing the risk of banks and micro-finance institutions (credit lines in local currency and /or guarantee funds).

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Improving knowledge for better interventions

« Intellectual production » is part of the strategy of AFD :– better knowledge of geographical contexts and

mechanisms (agronomic and economic)– better measurements of the impacts (direct and

indirect) of our projects / evaluations.Recent examples : - study on « Instruments for the management of

volatility of agricultural prices » - study on « Food production zones in western

Africa »

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Working with NGOsPolicy dialogue :

- consultation of NGOs on our strategic papers- structured dialogue with « Coordination Sud », common platform of French NGOs (trimestrial meeting)- partnership agreements in several fields (water in post-crisis situations, equitable trade…)- seminars on several topics- capitalisation of knowledge (emergency and development, developing countries civil societies…)

Financing :- subventions of NGOs projects and pluri annual programmes- co-financing of NGOs projects presented to specific EU windows- since 2007, « innovative sectorial facility » with tenders (examples : post-crisis interventions, water for agriculture, health micro-insurance, Afghanistan).

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Working with NGOs

Strategic value-added / complementarity between AFD and NGOs

- specific expertise- innovative approaches (even experimental approaches)- linkages with local civil societies- capacity of NGOs to reach the poorest

Linkage with French civil society

International initiatives carried out by non-institutionnal actors

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