A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

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University of Wollongong University of Wollongong Research Online Research Online Faculty of Science, Medicine & Health - Honours Theses University of Wollongong Thesis Collections 2019 A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia E Swallow Follow this and additional works at: https://ro.uow.edu.au/thsci University of Wollongong University of Wollongong Copyright Warning Copyright Warning You may print or download ONE copy of this document for the purpose of your own research or study. The University does not authorise you to copy, communicate or otherwise make available electronically to any other person any copyright material contained on this site. You are reminded of the following: This work is copyright. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of this work may be reproduced by any process, nor may any other exclusive right be exercised, without the permission of the author. Copyright owners are entitled to take legal action against persons who infringe their copyright. A reproduction of material that is protected by copyright may be a copyright infringement. A court may impose penalties and award damages in relation to offences and infringements relating to copyright material. Higher penalties may apply, and higher damages may be awarded, for offences and infringements involving the conversion of material into digital or electronic form. Unless otherwise indicated, the views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not necessarily Unless otherwise indicated, the views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the University of Wollongong. represent the views of the University of Wollongong. Recommended Citation Recommended Citation Swallow, E, A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia, BEnviSci Hons, School of Earth, Atmospheric & Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, 2019. https://ro.uow.edu.au/thsci/178 Research Online is the open access institutional repository for the University of Wollongong. For further information contact the UOW Library: [email protected]

Transcript of A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

Page 1: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

University of Wollongong University of Wollongong

Research Online Research Online

Faculty of Science, Medicine & Health - Honours Theses University of Wollongong Thesis Collections

2019

A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at

Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia

E Swallow

Follow this and additional works at: https://ro.uow.edu.au/thsci

University of Wollongong University of Wollongong

Copyright Warning Copyright Warning

You may print or download ONE copy of this document for the purpose of your own research or study. The University

does not authorise you to copy, communicate or otherwise make available electronically to any other person any

copyright material contained on this site.

You are reminded of the following: This work is copyright. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act

1968, no part of this work may be reproduced by any process, nor may any other exclusive right be exercised,

without the permission of the author. Copyright owners are entitled to take legal action against persons who infringe

their copyright. A reproduction of material that is protected by copyright may be a copyright infringement. A court

may impose penalties and award damages in relation to offences and infringements relating to copyright material.

Higher penalties may apply, and higher damages may be awarded, for offences and infringements involving the

conversion of material into digital or electronic form.

Unless otherwise indicated, the views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not necessarily Unless otherwise indicated, the views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not necessarily

represent the views of the University of Wollongong. represent the views of the University of Wollongong.

Recommended Citation Recommended Citation Swallow, E, A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia, BEnviSci Hons, School of Earth, Atmospheric & Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, 2019. https://ro.uow.edu.au/thsci/178

Research Online is the open access institutional repository for the University of Wollongong. For further information contact the UOW Library: [email protected]

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A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at Thirlmere A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia Lakes, NSW, Australia

Abstract Abstract The Thirlmere lakes, within the Blue Mountains Heritage Area, offer excellent potential to provide records of past climate/environmental change for the southeast Australian region where currently few records exist. Palaeo-records provide a longer-term perspective on lake conditions, which is important given the recent lake drying observed in the system. The primary aim of this study was to use chironomids (non-biting midges) to reconstruct temperature through the Holocene at Thirlmere Lakes National Park. Temperature reconstructions over the Holocene are scarce for the southeast Australian region and chironomids can be ideal proxies to enhance our understanding of climatic variation over this period. The unique characteristics of chironomids, including their ability to respond rapidly to climatic fluctuations, makes them ideal tools for reconstructing palaeotemperature. 31 Chironomid taxa were identified from a master core from Thirlmere Lakes and assessed against an existing training set for the region to infer the likely environmental variables effecting the down-core assemblages. However, temperature was identified as having no significant impact on the changing down-core assemblages, disallowing the creation of a temperature reconstruction. Depth, conductivity and productivity explained the most significant variance in the assemblages. The training set contained insufficient modern analogues, limiting the reliability of inferring environmental conditions at Thirlmere through the Holocene. However, the ecology of the chironomid assemblages implied warm shallow eutrophic conditions prevailed, while modern chironomid assemblages indicate that there is a degree of variability between the lakes within the National Park. They also potentially indicate the lakes are characterised by high variability in environmental conditions, as would result from water level fluctuations and drying. Even though the chironomid record failed to supply reliable interpretations of environmental conditions at Thirlmere Lakes through the Holocene, a better understanding of in-lake process has resulted, enabling identification of future research objectives.

Degree Type Degree Type Thesis

Degree Name Degree Name BEnviSci Hons

Department Department School of Earth, Atmospheric & Life Sciences

Advisor(s) Advisor(s) Tim Cohen

Keywords Keywords Chironomid, holocene

This thesis is available at Research Online: https://ro.uow.edu.au/thsci/178

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A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature Indicators at

Thirlmere Lakes, NSW, Australia

by

Elizabeth Swallow

A research report submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the

degree of

BACHELOR OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE (HONOURS)

SCHOOL OF EARTH, ATMOSPHERIC AND LIFE SCIENCES

THE UNIVERSITY OF WOLLONGONG

October (2019)

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The information in this thesis is entirely the result of investigations conducted by the author,

unless otherwise acknowledged, and has not been submitted in part, or otherwise, for any other

degree or qualification.

- Elizabeth Swallow

21st October 2019

Central Image: A dry Lake Werri Berri captured by author on 28/02/2019

Circling Images: Chironomid head capsules and phantom midge mandible captured in July of

2019 by author using a compound microscope at ANSTO. From the 12 o’clock position

moving clockwise: A Pallidicornis at 20x magnification, an SO5 at 40x magnification, a

Paramerina at 20x magnification, a phantom midge mandible at 10x magnification, a

Kiefferulus martini at 20x magnification and a Dicrotendipes cumberlandsis at 10x

magnification.

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This research is supported by the AINSE Honours Scholarship Program.

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Acknowledgements

Firstly, I would like to thank each of my supervisors, Tim Cohen, Sam Marx, Craig Woodward

and Heather Haines. Each of you provided unique and insightful perspectives which helped me

look at my project from all possible sides. Your constant encouragement and enthusiasm made

this experience extremely enjoyable and it was a pleasure working with you all.

A special thanks to Craig and Heather for introducing me to the world of chironomids, you

were always friendly and encouraging and always showed the utmost confidence in me.

Heather, thankyou for all your help in the lab and for the initial work on LC2, I know how

much time that would have taken so thankyou. Craig, thankyou for all the time spent stepping

me through this process and the countless days checking over my results. Your enthusiasm for

my project and confidence in me was greatly appreciated.

A big thankyou to everyone who helped during my fieldwork and everyone who read my

writing and provided feedback, Bryce and Jess especially. Special thanks to my sisters for

reading and re-reading my work over and over again. Lastly, a special thankyou to my friend

Bryce, your support, encouragement and sarcasm was endless and you made this experience a

whole lot funnier.

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Abstract

The Thirlmere lakes, within the Blue Mountains Heritage Area, offer excellent potential to

provide records of past climate/environmental change for the southeast Australian region

where currently few records exist. Palaeo-records provide a longer-term perspective on lake

conditions, which is important given the recent lake drying observed in the system. The primary

aim of this study was to use chironomids (non-biting midges) to reconstruct temperature

through the Holocene at Thirlmere Lakes National Park. Temperature reconstructions over the

Holocene are scarce for the southeast Australian region and chironomids can be ideal proxies

to enhance our understanding of climatic variation over this period. The unique characteristics

of chironomids, including their ability to respond rapidly to climatic fluctuations, makes them

ideal tools for reconstructing palaeotemperature. 31 Chironomid taxa were identified from a

master core from Thirlmere Lakes and assessed against an existing training set for the region

to infer the likely environmental variables effecting the down-core assemblages. However,

temperature was identified as having no significant impact on the changing down-core

assemblages, disallowing the creation of a temperature reconstruction. Depth, conductivity and

productivity explained the most significant variance in the assemblages. The training set

contained insufficient modern analogues, limiting the reliability of inferring environmental

conditions at Thirlmere through the Holocene. However, the ecology of the chironomid

assemblages implied warm shallow eutrophic conditions prevailed, while modern chironomid

assemblages indicate that there is a degree of variability between the lakes within the National

Park. They also potentially indicate the lakes are characterised by high variability in

environmental conditions, as would result from water level fluctuations and drying. Even

though the chironomid record failed to supply reliable interpretations of environmental

conditions at Thirlmere Lakes through the Holocene, a better understanding of in-lake process

has resulted, enabling identification of future research objectives.

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Table of Contents

Acknowledgements .................................................................................................................... 4

Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... 5

List of Figures ............................................................................................................................ 9

List of Tables ........................................................................................................................... 13

1. Introduction .................................................................................................................. 14

1.1. Context ......................................................................................................................... 14

1.2. Aims and Objectives .................................................................................................... 17

1.3. Thesis Outline and Scope ............................................................................................ 18

2. Literature Review ........................................................................................................ 19

2.1. Palaeoclimate of Australia ........................................................................................... 19

2.1.1. Recent Palaeoclimate of Southeastern Australia ......................................................... 20

2.2. Reconstructing Palaeoenvironments ............................................................................ 22

2.2.1. Lakes as palaeoenvironmental archives ....................................................................... 24

2.2.2. Lake derived palaeoecological proxies ........................................................................ 26

2.3. Chironomids and Chaoborids ...................................................................................... 30

2.3.1. Overview ...................................................................................................................... 30

2.3.2. Biology and ecology .................................................................................................... 31

2.3.3. Morphology ................................................................................................................. 33

2.3.4. As indicators of palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironments ............................................. 39

3. Regional Setting ........................................................................................................... 43

3.1. Study Site ..................................................................................................................... 43

3.2. Geology ........................................................................................................................ 44

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3.3. Lake Evolution ......................................................................................................... 45

3.4. Modern Geomorphology .......................................................................................... 45

3.5. Lake Hydrology ....................................................................................................... 47

3.6. Climate ..................................................................................................................... 48

3.7. Flora and Fauna........................................................................................................ 49

4. Methods ....................................................................................................................... 52

4.1. Chironomids and Chaoborids ...................................................................................... 52

4.1.1. Site Selection and Sampling ........................................................................................ 52

4.1.2. Sample Preparation ...................................................................................................... 55

4.1.3. Counting and Identifying ............................................................................................. 56

4.1.4. Data Analysis ............................................................................................................... 58

5. Results .......................................................................................................................... 61

5.1. Chironomid Assemblages ............................................................................................ 61

5.1.1. LC2 .............................................................................................................................. 61

5.1.2. Modern Assemblages ................................................................................................... 65

5.2. Ordinations .................................................................................................................. 68

5.2.1. Fossil Assemblage PCA .............................................................................................. 68

5.2.2. Modern and Fossil Thirlmere Assemblages and Training Set PCA ............................ 70

5.2.3. Modern and fossil Thirlmere assemblages with training set species and environmental

data RDA ................................................................................................................................. 72

5.3. Model development ..................................................................................................... 74

6. Discussion .................................................................................................................... 76

6.1. LC2 fossil assemblage interpretations ......................................................................... 77

6.1.1. Chironomid and Chaoborid ecology ............................................................................ 77

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6.1.2. Palaeoenvironmental Indicators ................................................................................... 81

6.1.3. Placing Thirlmere Lakes in a Palaeoenvironmental Context ...................................... 88

6.2. Modern Assemblage Interpretations ............................................................................ 92

6.2.1. Chironomid Ecology .................................................................................................... 92

6.3. Challenges and limitations ........................................................................................... 96

6.3.1. Chironomid analysis .................................................................................................... 96

6.3.2. Training set and reconstructions .................................................................................. 96

6.3.3. Thirlmere Lakes ........................................................................................................... 97

7. Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 99

7.1 Summary ...................................................................................................................... 99

7.2 Recommendations ...................................................................................................... 101

References .............................................................................................................................. 103

Appendix A – Chironomid and Chaoborid Ecology ............................................................. 116

Appendix B – Comparison of Identified Taxa in the Fossil LC2 and Modern Thirlmere

Samples. ................................................................................................................................. 133

Appendix C – Cluster Analysis ............................................................................................. 136

Appendix D – Significant Variables Affecting the Down-Core Assemblage and the results of

Partialling Variables............................................................................................................... 137

Appendix E – Similar Lakes to the Modern Thirlmere and Fossil Samples from the Training

Set. .................................................................................................................................... 139

Appendix F – LC2 Age Depth Model in regards to Chironomid Assemblage Zones ........... 141

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List of Figures

Figure 2.1. Schematic of allochthonous and autochthonous material that may be used to derive

proxy data in a lake environment.

Figure 2.2. Summary diagram illustrating the stages necessary for the construction of a transfer

function, with chironomids as the proxy. Here lake sediment (1) is collected as a sediment core

(3), and chironomids are picked (6) for use in the transfer function (7). At the same time modern

chironomid samples (4) are analysed with modern climate data (2) for calibration (5) of the

transfer function. This results in the construction of the variable of interest (8). Adapted from

Brewer et al., 2007. Symbols 5 and 7 courtesy of the Integration and Application Network

(ian.umces.edu/symbols/).

Figure 2.3. The typical aquatic chironomid life cycle. Source: Porinchu and MacDonald, 2003

Figure 2.4. The Mentum and VMP of a head capsule from the Chironominae and

Orthocladiinae subfamilies. a) The fragmented head capsule of the K.martini of the

Chironomini tribe in the Chironominae subfamily. Note the trifid central tooth with 6 lateral

teeth, the pigmented mentum and striated VMPs. b) The head capsule of the P.ornaticornus of

the Orthocladiinae subfamily. The VMPs of this species are highly inconspicuous and often

not visible. Each specimen was picked from the sediment core of Lake Couridjah.

Figure 2.5. The mentum of various chironomid species, with representatives from both the

Chironominae and Orthocladiinae subfamilies. a) A D.cumberlandensis of the Chironomini

tribe from the Chironominae subfamily, note the single central tooth and the 5 lateral teeth. b)

A SO5 of the Orthocladiinae subfamily, note the two central teeth and the 5 laterals. c) a

P.nubifer of the chironomini tribe from the Chironominae subfamily, note the two central teeth,

6 laterals with the smaller 4th lateral. d) A Cricotopus of the Orthocladiinae subfamily. Each

specimen has varying mentum teeth which have been used for identification. Each specimen

was picked from the sediment core from Lake Couridjah.

Figure 2.6. The differing ventromental plates between then Chironominae subfamily. a) A

Pallidicornis of the Tanytarsini tribe, note the elongated VMPs extending towards the mentum.

b) A Paratanytarsus of the Tanytarsini tribe, note the elongated VMPs extending towards the

mentum. c) A Chironomus of the chironomini tribe, note the large fan like VMPs. d) A

K.martini of the Chironomini tribe, note the fan like VMPs which partly intrude into the

mentum. Each specimen has differing VMPs according to their tribe. A) was collected from

surface sediment in Lake Baraba, b) was collected from surface sediment in Lake Couridjah

and c) and d) were collected from the sediment core in Lake Couridjah.

Figure 2.7. The varying head capsule shapes within the Tanypodinae subfamily. a) a

Paramerina, note the elongated head capsule indicative of the Pentaneurini tribe. b) A

Procladius, note the more box shaped head capsule. a) was picked from surface sediment from

Lake Baraba b) was picked from surface sediment from Lake Gandangarra.

Figure 2.8. The defining features of the Tanytarsini subfamily. a) A Procladius, note the

appearance of the dorsomentum. b) an Ablabesmyia of the Pentaneurini tribe, not the missing

dorsomentum, a key diagnostic feature of the Pentaneurini tribe. a) was picked from surface

sediment from Lake Gandangarra, b) was picked from the sediment core from Lake Couridjah.

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Figure 2.9. The Setae of chironomids representative of the Pentaneurini tribe of the

Tanypodinae subfamily. a) a Paramerina, picked from surface sediment from Lake Baraba, b)

an Ablabesmyia, picked from the surface sediment from Lake Werri Berri.

Figure 2.10. A representation of the direct (green) and indirect (blue) effects of temperature

on chironomid assemblages, and the relationships that govern these assemblages. Indirect

temperature effects are mediated through changes in the catchment, and changes in chemical

and physical lake properties. (Source: Eggermont and Heiri, 2012).

Figure 3.1. The location of the study area. a) the location of the study area in its regional

context (source: Banerjee et al., 2016). b) the location on the five lakes of the Thirlmere Lakes

complex.

Figure 3.2. Generalised geology of Thirlmere Lakes. Lakes numbered 1-5 (upstream, Lake

Gandangarra to downstream, Nerrigorang). (Source: OEH, 2016)

Figure 3.3. Location of alluvial fans within the Thirlmere Lakes system (numbered 1-5 from

upstream to downstream). The catchment boundary is represented by the black line. The

alluvial fans are denoted by the purple dotted lines and have a catchment area of 0.15km2,

0.24km2, 0.54km2, 0.08km2 and 0.21km2 (from lake 1 -5, respectively) (Source; Barber, 2018).

Figure 3.4. Peat cracking after a drying period. a) Lake Couridjah peat cracking with little

surface water left. b) Peat cracking from Lake Gandangarra, with surface water infilling these

cracks.

Figure 3.5. Average monthly rainfall and temperature from 1957-2019. Here, temperature

ranges from 15oC to 29oC (June and January, respectively) and rainfall ranges from 13mm and

145mm (December and November, respectively).

Figure 3.6. The distinct vegetation communities found within Thirlmere Lakes National Park

(NSW Department of Environment and Heritage, 2003)

Figure 3.7. a). Schematic of general vegetation assemblages on lake margins at Thirlmere

Lakes. 1. Brasenia schreberi, 2. Lepironia articulata, 3. Melaleuca linaniifolia stump, 4.

Eleocharis sphacelata, 5. Lepidosperma longitudinale, 6. Baloskion gracilis, 7. Schoenus

brevifolius and S. melanostachys (Source: Rose and Martin, 2007). b). Image of vegetation

succession from the southern margin of Lake Baraba.

Figure 4.1. Locations of the surface sediments for each of the lakes. Purple outlines delineate

the modern lake extent. The orange dots show the sample locations.

Figure 4.2. The different limitations on the sampling method. a) Thick vegetation covering

Lake Werri Berri, preventing sampling in an undisturbed location. b) Deep and weathered

cracks covering Lake Gandangarra. c) Surface water covering Lake Baraba, with thick fringing

sedges limiting access. d) Surface water on Lake Couridjah limiting access to the central and

southern most end of the lake.

Figure 5.1. Stratigraphy of the chironomid assemblages down-core of LC2, indicating the

percent abundance of each chironomid taxon found at each sample location (20cm intervals).

Chironomids has been split according to their genus and associated subfamily, with sums for

each subfamily, and a total head capsule count for each sample displayed as well. The fraction

of phantom midges is also indicated.

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Figure 5.2. The percent abundance of chironomids found in each of the surface sediment

samples, representing the modern assemblages. The chironomids have been split by their genus

as associated subfamilies, with sums for each subfamily with more than one specimen and total

head counts for each sample presented.

Figure 5.3. a) PCA down-core sample plot and b) species plot for the LC2 fossil midge record,

separated by subfamily. Blue indicates the Chironominae subfamily, green the Tanypodinae

subfamily, orange the Orthocladiinae subfamily and purple the Chaoborus.

Unid-chiro unidentified chironomini., unid-tany unidentified Tanypodinae., procladi

Procladius., crictopu Crictopus., polynubi P.nubifer., phantom phantom midge., ablabesm

Ablabesmyia., comptero Compterosmittia., paralim Paralimnophyes., unid-ortho unidentified

orthocladiiane., paratany Paratanytarsus., parameter Parametriocnemus., wood min Wood

Miner., aspect Aspectrotanypus., corynon Corynoneura., tanpali Pallidicornis., parameri

Paramerina., microchi Microchironomus., dicroten Dicrotendipes., cladopel Cladopelma.,

kiefferu Kiefferulus., pentaneu Pentaneurini., chironom Chironomus., parachir

Parachironomus. Colours for b) follow that in Fugure 5.1; blue Chironominae., orange

Orthocladiinae., green Tanypodinae., purple Chaoboridae.

Figure 5.4. a) PCA of the down-core (blue), modern (orange) and training set (grey; Thirlmere

as green) lakes and b) species plot for the training set.

Tanpall, Pallidicornis., comptero Compterosmittia., paratany Paratanytarsus., pentaneu

Pentaneurini., corynone Corynoneura., gymnomet gymnometricnemus., ploynubi P.nubifer.,

parachir Parachironomus., chironom Chironomus., dictroten Dicrotendipes., pseudosm

Psuedosmitta 2., genus Au Genus Australia., Kos1 Kosciusko Orthoclad ., paral2

Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 2., ortho4 Orthoclade Type 4., botrycla Botryiocladus., polyspp

Polypedilum spp., thienema Thienenmanniella., crypotch C.parbicintus., parak2 Parakiefferela

Morphotypes 2., paral3 Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 3., tanlugen Tanytarsini glabrenscenes.,

tanunide Tanytarsisni unidentified., cladopel Cladopelma., procladi Procladius., tanlugen

Tanytarsus lugens., tanlacte Tanytarsus lactenscens., stempell Stempellina., harnisch

Harnischina., tanchiye Tanytarsus nr. Chiyensis., microchir Microchironomus., coelp

unidentified Tanytarsini.

Figure 5.6. a) PCA of the environmental variables, b) PCA of the training set (grey) with the

modern (orange) and fossil (blue) Thirlmere samples passively plotted, constrained by

environmental variables, with green indicating the Thirlmere Lake sample from the training

set and c) species plot for the training set constrained by the environmental variables,

Tanpall, Pallidicornis., comptero Compterosmittia., paratany Paratanytarsus., pentaneu

Pentaneurini., corynone Corynoneura., gymnomet gymnometricnemus., ploynubi P.nubifer.,

parachir Parachironomus., chironom Chironomus., dictroten Dicrotendipes., pseudosm

Psuedosmitta 2., genus Au Genus Australia., Kos1 Kosciusko Orthoclad ., paral2

Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 2., ortho4 Orthoclade Type 4., botrycla Botryiocladus., polyspp

Polypedilum spp., thienema Thienenmanniella., crypotch C.parbicintus., parak2 Parakiefferela

Morphotypes 2., paral3 Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 3., tanlugen Tanytarsini glabrenscenes.,

tanunide Tanytarsisni unidentified., cladopel Cladopelma., procladi Procladius., tanlugen

Tanytarsus lugens., tanlacte Tanytarsus lactenscens., stempell Stempellina., harnisch

Harnischina., tanchiye Tanytarsus nr. Chiyensis., microchir Microchironomus., coelp

unidentified Tanytarsini.

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Figure 5.7. Modelled relative water depth for LC2 through time, using the RDA of the training

set with the modern and fossil Thirlmere samples plotted passively, constrained by

environmental variables.

Figure 6.1. Stratigraphy of the chironomid assemblages down-core of LC2, indicating the

percent abundance of each chironomid taxon found at each sample location (20cm intervals).

Chironomids has been split according to their genus and associated subfamily, with sums for

each subfamily, and a total head capsule count for each sample displayed as well. The fraction

of phantom midges is also indicated. Also indicated are the 3 distinct chironomid assemblages,

green represents assemblage 1, orange represents assemblage 2 and purple represents

assemblage 3. Assemblage 2 occurs twice down-core.

Figure 6.2. Reconstructions of lake water temperature and water depth for Lake Couridjah

from the ecological information of the distinct assemblages found the the sediments of LC2.

Figure 6.3. A comparison of the depth modelled from the southeast Australian training set and

the modelled reconstruction of water depth from the ecological data of the chironomid

assemblages found in LC2. The RDA axis values indicate were on the RDA the depth values

plot for the specific sample. A 0 value indicates a relatively shallow depth, where a value closer

to -1 indicates a deeper lake.

Figure 6.4. Stable isotope data for the top 1.6m of LC2 with plotted δ13, δ15N and C:N ratios

against depth, with the modelled depth reconstructed from the RDA ordination. Negative

values indicate increasing lake depth.

Figure 6.5. Age depth model for the top 1.6m of LC2, modified from Barber (2018). Black

markers indicate the dates of the sample depth, with the orange markers indicating the age and

depth of the two samples dated in the top 1.7m of LC2. The dates place that the top 1.6m of

LC2 in the Holocene. Three periods demark the Holocene and have been included. The

chironomid assemblage zones have also been added.

Figure 6.6. Modern Chironomid Assemblage Zones for Thirlmere Lakes. Blue represents the

lakes that identify as zone 1 and orange represents the lakes identified as zone 2.

Figure 6.7. a) satellite image of Coalstoun Lakes (source: google Earth) and b) image of the

northernmost Lake at Coalstoun Lakes (Source: Queensland Tourism; https://www.queensland.com/ en-au/destination-information/coalstoun-lakes). The small

crater lakes have a catchment approximately 1km2 and densely vegetated hillslopes showing

remarkable similarity to Thirlmere Lakes.

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List of Tables

Table 2.1. A general summary of commonly used proxies and their sources for palaeoclimatic

and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions. (Source: Bradley, 2015)

Table 2.2. Summary of common environmental variables that are reconstructed with the use

of transfer functions and the source material the functions are generated from.

Table 2.2. Overview of the assumptions and limitations of using transfer functions to

quantitatively reconstruct palaeoconditions with a specific focus on chironomids (Source:

Birks and Birks, 2003).

Table 2.4. A summary of the suitability of chironomids for palaeoclimatic and

palaeoenvironmental reconstruction, from Hofmann (1988).

Table 4.1. Details of the surface samples for this study, including GPS and their relative

position in each lake.

Table 5.1. A test of significance down-core for the variables found to be significant in the

training set. Grey indicates the significant variables.

Table 6.1. Aspects of proxies, sites and environmental variables leading to favorable or

unfavorable reconstructions, with a brief explanation (Telford, 2019). Grey highlight illustrates

how Thirlmere Lakes responds to these criteria.

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1. Introduction

1.1. Context

The quantification of palaeoclimate through the Late Quaternary and in particular the Holocene

has been a focus for Quaternary science for the past few decades. Climate change presents one

of the most serious challenges for humanity and understanding its possible effects, both

globally and regionally, stems from a proper understanding of past climate and the mechanisms

that drive natural climate variation (IPCC, 2007; Casldine et al., 2010; Schmidt, 2010; Chang,

2015). In the Southern Hemisphere, and in particular Australia, the degree to which past

climate and therefore future climate is understood, is underdeveloped compared to other parts

of the world (Kemp et al., 2012). Here, Quaternary science is in need of greater spatial and

temporal detail regarding the exploration of past climates and environments in Australia and

the Southern Hemisphere. From a sound understanding of Australian climate and thus Southern

Hemispheric climate, global climate can be better understood, quantified and modelled.

Additional climate data from different regions throughout the Southern Hemisphere will help

to aid this and must be the future focus of Quaternary science. Here however lies the greatest

challenge. Recovering climate data from Australia is especially difficult due to the lack of and

sparsity of available records (Porch & Elias, 2000; Chang, 2015)

Australia’s inability to provide suitable evidence for Quaternary climate is a function of its

aridity, limiting the availability of high quality terrestrial palaeoenvironment records. (Reeves

et al., 2013; Chang et al., 2015). The use of instrumental and observable data in Australian

climate reconstruction is typically unsuitable due to a limited temporal and spatial extent.

Whilst instrumental data may provide insight into regional climate over the past few hundred

years, Australian data commonly only spans multiple decades at best, and is therefore highly

unsuitable for use in climate reconstruction through the geological past (Henderson et al., 2009;

Chang, 2015). It is for this reason that Quaternary scientists must turn toward other methods

of quantifying and validating palaeoclimate. Here the use of proxies comes into fruition.

Proxies are indirect measures of past climate or environments, such as preserved marine and

terrestrial sediments, tree rings, ice cores, speleothems and corals, among others (Gornitz,

2009). Proxies can provide insight into past climate and climate forcing over various temporal

scales at numerous resolutions depending on the proxy in use (Gornitz, 2009). The use of

climate proxies in Australia has significant potential when the most appropriate proxy is used,

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as almost all proxy types and methods are in some way inadequate (Tibby, 2012) when used

in a general manner. Australia has little to no analogues for glacial climates and is culminated

in the lack of glacially derived landscapes (Porch, 2010; Tibby, 2012). Likewise, the most

commonly applied palaeoclimate proxies in Australia like lake sediments and borehole

measurements are unable to provide high resolution data, needed when investigating the

palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironments of the Holocene (Chang, 2015).

Even with these limitations in the Australian proxy record, the most promising avenue for

future climate research is through proxy based palaeoecological research. Pollen and diatom

analysis have proven to be useful for qualitative analysis, but still require significant research

and validation for quantitative studies (Dixon et al., 2017). Pollen is limited in regards to its

preservation, being dependant on local topography and basin sizes. (Brewer et al., 2007;

Fitzsimmons et al., 2013). Diatoms, whilst being well suited for decadal to multi-decadal and

in-lake variable reconstruction, are unsuitable for reconstructions over large geological time

scales. (Chang, 2015; Dixon et al., 2017). It is because of these reasons that an alternative

pathway to reconstructing Quaternary climate in Australia is needed. The use of insects, in

particular midges, as an additional climate archive, has been shown to be decidedly effective

in reconstructing climate both qualitatively and quantitatively in the Northern Hemisphere, and

shows significant potential in the Southern Hemisphere (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003;

Eggermont et al., 2010; Massaferro & Laroque-Tobler, 2013; Nazarova et al., 2013; Holmes,

2014).

Midges are a suitable option for palaeoclimate reconstructions and can allow for a detailed

understanding of climate through the geological past. Chironomids, in particular, have been

shown to be effective tools in the reconstruction of lake ontogeny (Campbell et al., 2018), lake

depth (Engles et al., 2012), pH and eutrophication (Saether, 1979), salinity (Verschuren et al.,

2002), and hypolimnetic oxygen (Walker, 1987) globally, as well as in the analysis of

anthropogenic impacts on ecosystems health (Wang et al., 2018). Chironomids however, are

used primarily for the quantitative reconstruction of temperature (Battarbee, 2000). The unique

characteristics of chironomids, including their ability to respond rapidly to climatic fluctuations

and their global diversity, makes them ideal tools for palaeoecological and palaeoclimatic

studies (Eggermont and Heiri, 2012; Marziali & Rossaro, 2013).

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The use of chironomids for palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions in

Australia is promising with several studies already conducted along the eastern seaboard (Rees

et al., 2008; Chang et al., 2015). For this reason, chironomids may prove to be a useful tool in

understanding the complex interactions occurring at Thirlmere Lakes. Thirlmere Lakes are a

series of five interconnected freshwater lakes, located in the Thirlmere Lakes National Park

within the Greater Blue Mountain World Heritage Area (Vorst, 1974; Pells & Pells, 2016). The

lakes were formed through uplift and consequent truncation of an incised meander valley,

which has experienced substantial infilling since its formation (Timms, 1993; Black et al.,

2006). These lakes are now recognised to straddle the threshold between permanent and

ephemeral states (Fanning, 1983). Although these lakes have been considered permanently

inundated, there has been an observable drying trend since the late 1970’s (Barber, 2018). It is

unclear if this trend is related to the natural long-term climate variability, or be a result of

human alterations to the lake system, forcing it outside of its natural stable state (OEH, 2012).

To understand this, a detailed investigation of the complex interactions at Thirlmere Lakes is

required. Infilling of the basin has produced approximately 50m of unconsolidated fluvial and

lacustrine derived sediments which present a potentially significant source of palaeoclimatic

archives (Vorst, 1974; Barber, 2018). Previous research into the palaeoenvironment of

Thirlmere Lakes has produced a master core from Lake Couridjah (LC2; Barber, 2018), which

will be analysed for chironomid assemblages. The assemblages attained from LC2 may provide

a quantitative estimate of summer temperature throughout the Holocene, providing critical

climatic data for southeast Australia. Additionally, insight into the sedimentological histories

of the basin derived from general subsurface sediment characteristics; grain size, total organic

content and mineralogy from the LC2 (Barber, 2018) can aid the chironomid assemblages in

placing Thirlmere Lakes in a palaeoenvironmental context. This may allow for a better

understanding of not only the complex interactions occurring in the lake basin, but may present

a detailed understanding of climate for the region and on a broader scale. Thirlmere Lakes may

be one of the few systems that could reflect Holocene climate from temperate southeast

Australia, with the ability to inform greater Southern Hemisphere palaeoclimate

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1.2. Aims and Objectives

The primary aim of this study is to use chironomids and other midge assemblages to

quantitatively assess the palaeoclimate occurring at Thirlmere Lakes through the Holocene, to

inform the palaeoenvironmental conditions in the basin over time. Specifically, the objectives

of this study are to:

I. Identify the species of chironomids and quantify their abundance down-core while also

undertaking surface sediment sampling to compare to down-core results;

II. Use this information and an existing transfer function to reconstruct temperature

patterns over the last ~10,000 years; and,

III. Validate the transfer function, by comparing its results to modern climate data.

A secondary aim of this study is to determine the degree of modern variability between the

lakes at Thirlmere Lakes National Park. The key objectives for this aim are too:

I. Identify the species of chironomids and quantify their abundance across each of the

lakes

II. Use this information and an existing training set to assess modern between-lake

variability.

The results from this study will be used in combination with sedimentological, geochemical

and chronological analysis of LC2 previously conducted by Barber (2018) to evaluate possible

palaeoenvironments occurring at Thirlmere Lakes, to assess whether the current drying trend

observed is within the lakes natural stable state. This research should help to create a robust

assessment of climate through the Holocene for southeast Australia. Furthermore, this study

should help to address the lack of knowledge surrounding Australian chironomids and their

place in global chironomid analysis.

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1.3. Thesis Outline and Scope

Following this introduction, chapter 2 of this thesis will present a broad overview of the

literature on the climate of southeast Australia, the use of lakes derived proxies for climate

analysis and chironomids as indicators of palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironments. Chapter 3

presents the regional setting of Thirlmere. Chapter 4, outlines the various methods employed

to analyse the chironomid assemblages. Chapter 5 presents the results of this study, in terms of

chironomid assemblages and ordination results. Chapter 6, provides a discussion of the results

in terms of chironomid assemblages and resulting interpretations for palaeoclimate and

palaeoenvironments for Thirlmere Lakes. These interpretations were then placed in the context

of southeast Australia climate through the Holocene. This chapter also discussed the extent of

modern between-lake variability of the lakes and present ecological records to support. The

last section of this chapter discusses the limitations and challenges faced in the context of this

study and the type of analysis chosen. Lastly, Chapter 7 provides a conclusion to the study and

recommends strategies to enhance the reliability of the study and recommends possible topics

of future research in regards to Thirlmere Lakes and the use of chironomids in Australia.

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2. Literature Review

This thesis aims to use chironomids as indicators of past and present climate and environmental

conditions at Thirlmere Lake National Park. It is thus necessary to review the literature

surrounding the palaeoclimate of Thirlmere Lakes and the greater southeast Australian regions.

It is also necessary to review the literature in regards to ability of lakes to provide reliable

proxies for such analysis. Likewise, a review of chironomid analysis has been included to give

context to this thesis.

2.1. Palaeoclimate of Australia

Reconstructing climate systems beyond the instrumental period can be achieved using

chemical, biological and physical proxies that respond to and were intrinsically shaped by the

environment in which they existed (Henderson et al., 2009). By establishing the nature of past

climate, present climatic variability can be understood and by extension, the accuracy of future

climate predictions can be heightened. The Holocene epoch provides a period for which the

mechanisms of Earth’s climate can be assessed under relatively stable boundary conditions

(Gliganic et al., 2014). This allows current climate to be placed in context with natural

variability which becomes especially important when investigating environments which may

be experiencing a shift from their natural stable state.

The lack of continuous palaeoenvironmental records in Australia since the Last Glacial

Maximum (LGM) and in particular the Holocene, has hindered our understanding of how

Australia has responded to climate in the recent geological past. In an attempt to understand

Australian climate during the late Quaternary period (the past ~30ka), multiple

palaeoenvironmental proxies have been investigated. These proxies include, but are not limited

to, tree rings (Cook et al., 1992), speleothems (Quigley et al., 2010), pollen (Fletcher &

Thomas, 2010), diatoms (Barr et al., 2014), corals (Gagan et al., 1998), and lake cores

(Mooney, 1997). From this, several broad climatic trends have been identified, grouped into

the following climate periods: the early Last Glacial Period, the LGM, the deglacial, the early

Holocene, the mid Holocene and the late Holocene. These periods have been reviewed as they

overlap with the age of the core for this study and can provide context to this research.

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2.1.1. Recent Palaeoclimate of Southeastern Australia

The Early Last Glacial Period (~35-22 ka)

The early last glacial period coincides with the end of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 (~60-24

ka) and the beginning of MIS 2 (~24-11 ka) and is characterised by increased aridity across the

continent with the onset of glaciation (Petherick et al., 2013). Glacial and periglacial activity

is distinctive during this period, with glaciers appearing in the Snowy Mountains and

Tasmanian alpine regions around 32 ka and persisting until the deglacial period (Barrows et

al., 2001; 2004). At this time, high lake levels (37m in depth) were recorded in Lake George

(Coventry, 1976). Lake George is one of the largest freshwater lakes in southeast Australia

when full and provides the most complete record of Quaternary sedimentation for the region

(Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010). Major changes in the vegetation assemblages for the south-

east Australian region also occurred during this period (Colhoun et al., 1999; Kershaw, 2007).

An increased presence of grasses and herbaceous taxa were found to replace arboreal taxa

indicating the onset of a relatively cool and dry climate (Petherick et al., 2013).

The Last Glacial Maximum (~22-1 8ka)

The LGM is considered to be one of the most extreme climatic periods to affect southeast

Australia in the recent geological past. Proxy records indicate that the LGM was the coldest

and driest period in the last 30 ka (Petherick et al., 2013). During this time, temperatures where

lower than present but there is discrepancy in the literature in regards to how much colder it

was. Qualitative inferences from tree-line depressions in pollen records suggest temperatures

were 6.5oC lower than present (Colhoun, 1985; Colhoun et al., 1999), while a quantitative

pollen based transfer function suggests a range between 3.7 and 4.2oC cooler than present

(Fletcher & Thomas, 2010).

During this time, Australia was one-third larger than its current size due to a ~120m drop in

eustatic sea level during this period (Clark & Mix, 2002). Maximum glacial activity occurred

around 19 ka in the Snowy Mountains and Tasmania, which coincides with dry or shallow lake

levels (Bowler et al., 1976; Nanson et al., 1992) and declining river channel activity (Muller et

al., 2018) across southeastern Australia. This increased aridity encouraged aeolian deposition

and dune building activity which extended into the present day temperate zones (Fitzsimmons

et al., 2013). Similarly, arboreal taxa are all but absent in the pollen record during the LGM,

with a dominance of grass and herbaceous taxa, which are indicative of a reduced effective

precipitation and highlight the intense aridity of this period (Petherick et al., 2013).

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The Deglacial (~18-12 ka)

The deglacial period represents the glacial-interglacial transition and was a time of intense

environmental change. Increase in temperature and moisture are indicated by the rapid retreat

of ice in both the Snowy Mountains and Tasmania (Barrows et al., 2001; Mackintosh et al.,

2006), increasing sea surface temperature (SST) and a decrease in 18O noted in offshore

marine cores (Weaver et al., 2003; Calvo et al., 2007). An increase in fluvial activity and high

lake levels in the Murray Darling Basin also characterise this time (Petherick et al., 2013).

Warmer and wetter conditions are reflected in the pollen records, which indicate the return of

arboreal taxa, with a significant decline in the occurrence of grass and herbaceous taxa

(Williams et al., 2009). There is some indication, specifically in the high resolution sediment

records of a reversal, to a more glacial environment which is thought to coincide with the

Antarctic Cold Reversal between ~14-12.5 ka (Blunier et al., 1997; Petherick et al., 2013).

The Holocene (~12-0 ka)

The onset of the Holocene is defined as a period of relative climate stability, characterised by

a comparatively wet and warm climate noted in most proxy records (Petherick et al., 2013;

Kemp & Hope, 2014). The Holocene is generally broken into three periods; the early Holocene,

the mid Holocene and the late Holocene, with each presenting distinct climatic trends.

The early Holocene (~12-6 ka) is defined as a period of increased temperature and moisture,

with a relatively stable climate (Petherick et al., 2013). At the onset of the early Holocene, the

initiation of modern ocean circulation occurs, as does the continued expansion of sclerophyll

woodland and rainforest taxa across the southeast of Australia, denoting increased temperature

and precipitation (Kiernan et al., 2010; Petherick et al., 2013; Moss et al., 2013). The early

Holocene was a period of high lake levels at Lake George (~10 ka; Fitzsimmons & Barrows,

2010), as well as increased river discharge across the region (Cohen & Nanson, 2007). This

time is also characterised by increased occurrences of intermittently waterlogged catchments

as described by an increase in swamp vegetation in Thirlmere Lakes (Black et al., 2006) and

the occurrence of iron and manganese, reflecting the occurrence of anaerobic organisms

present in sediments at Lake Dobson, Tasmania (Davidon, 1993; Francus et al., 2013; Rees et

al., 2015). Mooney et al (2011), affirms the early Holocene’s place in an interglacial stadial

through analysis indicating increased biomass burning at this time. The increased moisture

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would result in an increased fuel load (vegetation) and thus an increased possibility of biomass

burning (Mooney et al., 2011).

In contrast the mid Holocene (6-4 ka) is a period represented by a return to cooler, drier and

more variable climate across southeast Australia (Petherick et al., 2013). This trend is thought

to be due to the onset of modern climate processes like El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO),

which can induce dry intervals when the El Niño mode is prominent (Reeves et al., 2013). This

is indicated in low lake levels at Lake George after 5 ka with fleeting intervals of higher lake

levels afterwards, (Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010) and by an increase of aeolian quartz found

in Lake Jaka, a lake in southeast Australia, from 5.6 ka, suggesting the development of a drier

and more variable climate (Kemp et al., 2012). Increased millennial scale variability, like that

produced by ENSO regimes are evident in pollen and charcoal records and in increased

frequency and/or intensity of fire after ~6 ka throughout southeast Australia (Kershaw et al.,

2007; Fletcher & Moreno, 2011; Petherick et al., 2013).

The late Holocene (~4-0 ka) is the most recent period in Earth’s history and is largely

characterised in southeastern Australia as being highly variable due an increased frequency and

strengthening of ENSO in the region (Donders et al., 2007; Marx et al., 2011; Petherick et al.,

2013; Gliganic et al., 2014). Lake George from ~2 ka experienced lake level regression and a

period of aeolian dust deposition at ~1ka followed by a short-lived high lake level phase from

~0.6-0.3 ka (Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010). Highly variable geomorphic activity is also seen

in peat mires in the ACT, where peat layers were found to be capped by sand layers (Hope et

al., 2009), also suggesting increased variability in climate.

2.2. Reconstructing Palaeoenvironments

To understand the specific nature of an environmental system, including its evolution, and the

mechanisms that drive it, a detailed investigation of the modern system is required. This is

generally achieved through the use of instrumental and observational data. These records

generally span a very short portion of Earth’s history and thus offer undoubtedly flawed

perspectives of climatic variation and development and offer limited insight into the future

evolution of the world’s climate (Bradley, 2015). As such a longer perspective of the nature of

climate is needed. Natural phenomenon which are climate-dependent, and incorporate into

their structure a measure of this dependency can be used as an alternative source of climate

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information (Bradley, 2015). These phenomena are archived in environmental records which

can be collected from ecosystems todays and are known as proxies (Anderson et al., 2006;

Gornitz, 2009; Birks et al., 2012; Bradley, 2015).

There is a diverse array of proxies, which can provide both qualitative and quantitative data

regarding past climate and environments (Birks et al., 2012; Chang, 2015). These include, but

are not limited to the physical, chemical and biological properties associated with marine and

terrestrial sediments, ice cores, trees and corals (Gornitz, 2009; Bradley, 2015; Chang, 2015).

A summary of the common climate proxies used and their sources for both palaeoclimatic and

palaeoenvironmental reconstructions can be seen in Table 2.1. Bradley (2015) explains, that

the intrinsic value of each proxy is heavily dependent on the degree of detail it is able to

provide; including sampling intervals and dating ability. A fundamental attribute of all proxies

is the sensitivity to what environmental variables it reacts to and how it manifests changes in

climate and environmental conditions, with some being extremely sensitive and able to indicate

abrupt changes. Other proxies show less sensitivity resulting in the reconstruction of abrupt

changes appearing gradual (Bradley, 2015). A key objective of this study is the quantitative

reconstruction of palaeoclimate specifically using chironomids; a biological proxy from a lake

system. As such, it is relevant to review the literature on the proxies available from a lake

system, and their potential as tools for palaeoclimatic and palaeoenvironmental

reconstructions.

Table 2.1. A general summary of commonly used proxies and their sources for palaeoclimate and

palaeoenvironmental reconstructions (Source: Modified from Bradley, 2015)

Source Proxy

Physical Chemical Biological

Ice core Physical properties (i.e.

ice fabric)

Ion and isotope analysis

Gas content analysis

Marine Sediment Minerology (texture,

grain size)

Isotope analysis

Elemental analysis

Flora and fauna abundances

and assemblage analysis

Terrestrial

Sediment

(including aquatic

sediment)

Glacial and periglacial

features

Shoreline analysis

Aeolian deposits

Lithology and

minerology

Speleothem analysis

Isotope concentration analysis

Elemental analysis

Pollen (type, abundance,

assemblage)

Chironomids and phantom

midges

Diatoms, ostracods and other

biota in lake sediments

Other (biological) Tree rings

corals

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2.2.1. Lakes as palaeoenvironmental archives

Lakes, through the accumulation of sediments, are able to act as repositories of past climatic

and environmental conditions. The past conditions are able to be assessed through proxies

which have been archived in the lake sediments. The quantity, quality and diversity of proxy

data is continuously growing, providing opportunities for the analysis of continuous, high

resolution records (Morellon et al., 2011; Birks et al., 2012; Bradley, 2015).

Lake sediments can be categorised into two basic components, each useful in palaeoclimatic

and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions. Allochthonous material such as pollen, plant

macrofossils and soil particulates are transported into the lake basin via fluvial and aeolian

activities and thus originate outside the basin, whereas, autochthonous material is either

biogenic in origin (i.e. algae or aquatic invertebrates) or may result from chemical precipitation,

and thus originate from within the basin (Rubensdotter & Rosqvist, 2009; Birks et al., 2012;

Bradley, 2015; Huang et al., 2017). Figure 2.1, summaries the various sources of common

proxies found in lake sediments.

The physical nature of lake sediments can be used to infer past lake processes and provide

insight into the mechanisms of the broader lakes system. General subsurface sediment

characteristics (grain size, sorting, mineral composition) can provide insight into the origin and

Figure 2.1. Schematic of allochthonous and autochthonous material that may be used to derive proxy data in a

lake environment (Source: Modified from Bradley, 2015).

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depositional histories of the lake sediments (Barber, 2018; Henderson-Matuschka, 2018).

Schillereff et al (2014) observed a hydrodynamic relationship between grain size and discharge

energy, with coarse material indicating either sediment influx events of high magnitude or

reflecting large scale disturbances (Schillereff et al., 2014; Henderson-Matuschka, 2018).

Geochemical analysis (elemental and stable isotopes) can allow inferences into the

hydrological nature of lake systems and through the analysis of organic content, past changes

in vegetation abundance can be inferred (Barber, 2018; Henderson-Matuschka, 2018). Pollen

and plant macrofossils are arguably the most widely studied component of lake sediments.

Identification of pollen assemblages in lake stratigraphy can allow for the assessment of plant

species and vegetation composition from the region which can thus be used to predict climate

through time (Birks, 2001; Haberle, 2005). Reconstructions of pollen assemblages in southeast

Australia have shown that key indicator taxa such as Casuarinaceae and Myrtaceae can

indicate forest expansion as well as changing hydrological conditions and environmental states

(Donders et al., 2007; Kershaw et al., 2010; Thornhill, 2010, Barber, 2018).

The use of pollen, for palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental reconstruction has several

limitations. Pollen is subject to broad dispersal via multiple pathways including wind and

water, with a major assumption of any pollen analysis being that the pollen in the sediment

record represents the area being studied (Brewer et al., 2007; Birks et al., 2012). However, the

morphology of the basin in question can affect the assemblage of pollen preserved and can

result in an altered reconstruction. For example, smaller forested basins tend to record

extremely local vegetation signals (from within 10-100m of the site), and thus a climate

reconstruction will be affected by any local microclimate. However, large lake basins record a

regional pollen signal and a reconstruction will reflect the mean regional climate signal

(Jacobson & Bradshaw, 1981; Brewer et al., 2007). The major limitation of pollen as a

palaeoclimate proxy is the inability to identify many pollen taxa below the family level, due to

the morphological similarities among grains from different species (Brewer et al.,2007; Birks

et al., 2012). It is for this reason that other biological proxies should be assessed for

palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions. As biological productivity is in part

climatically dependent, organisms that lived in lakes would also prove to be useful as proxies

for palaeoclimate analysis (Bradley, 2015). There has been a recent push towards using such

lake derived ecological proxies for palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental analysis.

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Underpinning all palaeoclimatic and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions is the need for

accurate and precise chronologies to base any findings upon (Bigler, 2007; Birks et al., 2012).

Accurate dating provides the time-scales for events and for which the occurrence of patterns

and processes can be assessed, becoming especially important when considering high

frequency, short term changes in climate (Birks et al, 2012; Bradley, 2015). Radiocarbon (14C)

dating techniques are widely used when analysing late Quaternary sediments, as the half-life

of 14C (5730 years) makes it an ideal technique for use with sediments aged up to ~50, 000yrs

(Bradley, 2015; Poluianov et al., 2016).

2.2.2. Lake derived palaeoecological proxies

Proxy data based on ecological assemblages preserved in lake sediments have long been known

to be sensitive and reliable indicators on past climatic variability (Bradley, 2015). Organisms

abundant in lake sediments (e.g. diatoms, chironomids, cladocera, ostracods) are generally

adapted to particular ecological conditions, and are this highly sensitive to changes in

environmental conditions (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Birks & Birks, 2006). As such, any

changes in environmental conditions, whether they be biotic or abiotic, are likely to be reflected

in the assemblage of the organisms preserved in the lake stratigraphy. Analysis of these

assemblages can be used to infer past changes to the environment through time. For example,

ostracods have been shown to be salinity dependent, hence ostracods in lake sediments can be

useful indicators of past changes in the overall water balance of the lake (Bradley, 2015). Most

reconstructions of environmental variables however, have been qualitative in nature (Lotter et

al., 1997) and are often difficult to compare to other proxy records of a quantitative nature. A

quantitative approach to environmental and climatic reconstructions can be undertaken through

the use of a transfer function (Birks, 1995; 1998; 2003; Birks & Birks, 2006).

Transfer Functions

Quantifying the relationship between an assemblage of organisms and specific environmental

variables can be achieved through the use of a transfer function. A transfer function is the

mathematical formula that expresses the values of an environmental variable as a function of

its composition data (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). Specifically, within a group of

organisms, taxa from modern surface sediments are related numerically to environmental

parameters (Birks & Birks, 2006). Using this function, environmental variables can be

reconstructed through time, by applying the modern transfer function to a down-core fossil

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assemblage (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Birks & Birks, 2006). The most widely used

transfer functions include diatoms for lake water pH, salinity and phosphorus reconstructions;

pollen for temperature and precipitation analysis; and chironomids and cladocera for

temperature reconstructions (Birks and Birks, 2006). Any abiotic variable sensitive to climatic

variability can be reconstructed in this manner. Table 2.2 summarises several environmental

variables that have been assessed via a transfer function.

In Australia, diatoms (Tibby, 2004), pollen (Cook & Van der Kaars, 2006) and chironomids

(Rees et al., 2008; Chang et al., 2015) have been used to reconstruct environmental variables

by the means of a transfer function. The development of a transfer function involves the

development of a modern training set to compare to palaeoassemblages (Bradley, 2015), as is

depicted in Figure 2.2. The modern training set is usually derived from the same type of

sedimentary environment as the fossil material and should generally span the range of

environmental values likely to be represented by the fossil material (Bradley, 2015). As such,

the southeast Australian chironomid training set used in this study has been developed over a

large temperature gradient, as temperature is likely to be controlling the chironomid

assemblages in southeast Australia (Chang et al., 2015). A critical component of any training

Table 2.2. Summary of common environmental variables that are reconstructed with the use of

transfer functions and the source material the functions are generated from.

Environmental

Variable

Source Reference

Temperature Chironomids

Pollen

Diatoms

Luoto, 2009,

Eggermont et al., 2010,

Rees et al., 2008,

Chang et al., 2015,

Wen et al., 2013,

Seppä et al., 2004,

Vyverman & Sabbe, 1995

Precipitation Pollen

Li et al., 2007,

Schäbitz et al., 2013

Salinity Diatoms

Chironomids

Fritz et al., 1991,

Wilson et al., 2011,

Vershuren et al., 2004,

pH Diatoms

Chironomids

Gasse & Tekaia, 1983,

Brodersen & Quinlan, 2006

Lake Depth Chironomids Kurek & Cwynar, 2009,

Barley et al., 2006,

Korhola et al., 2000

Trophic Status Chironomids Quinlan & Smol, 2001,

Brodersen & Anderson, 2002

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Figure 2.2. Summary diagram illustrating the stages necessary for the construction of a transfer function,

with chironomids as the proxy. Here lake sediment (1) is collected as a sediment core (3), and chironomids

are picked (6) for use in the transfer function (7). At the same time modern chironomid samples (4) are

analysed with modern climate data (2) for calibration (5) of the transfer function. This results in the

construction of the variable of interest (8). Adapted from Brewer et al., 2007. Symbols 5 and 7 courtesy of the

Integration and Application Network (ian.umces.edu/symbols/).

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set is taxonomic consistency within and between the training set and the fossil record (Birks &

Birks, 2006; Bradley, 2015). The most important component of any transfer function is in

validating its reliability and accuracy. Whist there are several statistical methods for evaluating

transfer functions (Birks, 1995; Telford & Birks, 2005; Birks and Birks, 2006), the most

powerful means of assessment is by comparing the results to long-term historical records (Fritz

et al., 1994; Lotter, 1998; Birks & Birks, 2006; Bradley, 2015).

Transfer functions have been shown to be suitable for palaeoclimatic and palaeoenvironmental

reconstructions, specifically when the change in the environmental variable being reconstructed

is large and within the central range of the modern training set (Birks, 1998; Birks & Birks,

2006). There are however several ingrained limitations, and assumptions that need to be made

when modeling environmental variables via transfer functions. These are summarised in Table

2.3. Specifically, important for this study is that insensitivity issues can arise when using

chironomids to infer Holocene climate variability, as temperature changes in the Holocene are

relatively small and subtle, and generally the reconstructed changes are small in amplitude,

limiting the reliability of the transfer function (Birks, 2003). Nevertheless, transfer functions

serve as useful tools when attempting to reconstruct palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental

variables regardless of their limitations.

Table 2.3. Overview of the assumptions and limitations of using transfer functions to quantitatively

reconstruct palaeoconditions with a specific focus on chironomids (Source: Birks & Birks, 2003).

Assumptions Limitations

Environmental variables to be reconstructed is, or is

linearly related to and ecologically important

determinant in the ecosystem of interest

Validation: Best validation is with historical

records which are known to be short

Other environmental variables have a negligible

influence

Identification: most chironomids; whether

larvae or fossilized, cannot be identified beyond

genus or species group level

Preservation conditions have been relatively stable

through time

Preparation time: Time needed for preparation

is relatively time-consuming compared to other

biological proxies

Evolutionary change of the fossil chironomids has

been negligible, so ecological roles are constant

Influence variables: In some circumstances

chironomids may be influenced by other

environmental variables (pH, total phosphorus,

dissolved oxygen) more strongly than

temperature

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2.3. Chironomids and Chaoborids

2.3.1. Overview

Chironomids (Insecta: Diptera: Chironomidae), also known as non-biting midges are a

cosmopolitan group of true flies, which as larvae, are often the most abundant bottom-dwelling

macroinvertebrates in aquatic ecosystems (Cranston, 1995; Saether, 2000; Porinchu &

MacDonald, 2003; Velle et al., 2005; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Holmes, 2014). Chironomids

are the most ubiquitous of all aquatic species (Oliver & Rounel, 1983) and have a particular

suitability for uses in palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironmental reconstructions (summarised in

Table 2.4). The immature stage (larvae) have chitinous head capsules which preserve well in

lake sediments. These head capsules are both abundant and identifiable to a high taxonomic

degree. It is possible, due to the ability of chironomids to tolerate varied and large

environmental gradients (temperature, pH, salinity), to reconstruct past environmental

conditions from their head capsules (Porinchu et al., 2002; Holmes, 2014). A detailed

understanding of their modern ecological processes is key. If these relationships are found to

be significant statistically a model can be produced which quantitatively reconstructs past

environmental conditions (Birks, 1995, 1998; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Velle et al., 2012;

Juggins, 2013; Holmes, 20014).

The Chaoboridae are commonly know as phantom midges or lake flies of the Chaoborus genus

(Yule & Sen, 2004). Like chironomids, they are a cosmopolitan, thermophilous and

holometabolous taxa experiencing four life stages; egg, larva, pupa and imago, with four larval

Table 2.4. A summary of the suitability of chironomids for palaeoclimatic and

palaeoenvironmental reconstruction, from Hofmann (1988).

Suitability

1. Chironomid faunas in lakes are highly diverse in the number of species and as

individuals

2. Species are adapted to particular environmental conditions and habitats

3. Head capsules are preserved stratigraphically and are highly abundant

4. Recovery and identification of head capsules is possible

5. Due to ecological requirements, the subfossil record is indicative of the ecological

condition at the time of sedimentation

6. Successional changes are documented in the sediment

7. These changes can be identified and quantified

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instars (Berendonk et al., 2003; Luoto & Nevalainen, 2004; Ilyashuk et al., 2005; Sweetman &

Smol, 2006;). The larvae are able to tolerate a variety of environmental variables including pH

changes (Bendell & McNicol, 1987) and trace metal contents (Hare & Tessier, 1998). The

chitinous mandibles of the chaoborids are well preserved in lake sediments, like chironomid

head capsules, and can be used for palaeoclimatic, palaeoenvironmental and

palaeolimnological studies. Previous research has been conducted on predator-prey

interactions in changing fish populations (Sweetman & Smol, 2006; Luoto & Nevalainen,

2009), climate (Ilyashuk et al., 2005), and eutrophication (Luoto et al., 2008).

2.3.2. Biology and ecology

The Chironomidae consist of 11 subfamilies, which are estimated to contain over 15,000

species, each with particular ecological preferences (Cranston, 1995; Walker, 2013; Holmes,

2014). Five subfamilies are rare and have extremely limited geographic ranges, with the

Chilenomyiinae limited to one species Chilenomyia paradoxa identified only in southern Chile

(Brundin, 1983a; Porinchu & MacDonald 2003; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012). Three subfamilies

(Orthocladiinae, Tanypodinae and Chironominae) are widely distributed, have broad

geographic ranges and comprise the bulk of chironomids found in lake sediments (Porinchu &

MacDonald, 2003; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Walker, 2013). The remaining three subfamilies

(Podonominae, Diamesinae and Prodiamesinae) are widely distributed, though less common

and are predominantly cold-stenothermic taxa (Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Walker, 2013). Each

subfamily responds to varying environmental gradients, though temperature is cited as the

environmental condition with the most influence on the geographic range and species richness

of the Chironomidae family (Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Marziali & Rossaro, 2013).

Chironomids are holometabolous insects, experiencing complete metamorphism, through four

life stages; egg, larvae, pupa and imago (Figure 2.3; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Walker,

2013). Chironomid eggs are laid in a hygrohilous jelly matrix dropped into the water or

attached at one end to a substrate such as macrophytes (Chang, 2015). Once the egg hatches,

the chironomids are living in the larvae form. The larvae are worm-like in appearance, with

three thoracic segments, a nine segmented abdomen and range in seize from 2-30mm in size

(Brook et al., 2007; Chang, 2015). The chironomid larvae experience four instars, with each

stage undergoing ecdysis (Oliver, 1971; Holmes, 2014; Chang, 2015). The first instar larvae

are generally planktonic, allowing for easy dispersion into suitable habitats. The later instars

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are largely sedentary and closely reflect the conditions of the lake environment, through their

species assemblage. With each instar the chironomid grows, culminating in the final ecdysis of

the fourth instar. After this, the chironomid transitions into the pupa. Here, the morphology is

re-arranged into that of the imago (Walker, 2013). The pupa stage is brief, lasting only a few

days. The final life stage of the chironomid, lasting for a few weeks only, is the imago or adult

chironomid. This is the stage where the chironomid reflects the morphology of a fly and is

mobile, permitting dispersal and reproduction (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Walker, 2013).

Figure 2.3. The typical aquatic chironomid life cycle. Source: Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003

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Much like the Chironomidae, the chaoborids are most dominant in the larval phase. The larvae

on the Chaoborus are transparent planktonic predators, and in temperate regions are generally

univoltine, with the larval state usually lasting 1-2years (Ouimet, 2001; Sweetman and Smol,

2006). Being planktonic in nature, the chaoborid larvae are known to avoid predation from

visually feeding planktivorous fish (Uutala, 1990; Dawidowicz et al., 1990; Sweetman & Smol,

2006). They accomplish this by utilising refugia. Diurnal vertical migration is a common

phenomenon for the Chaoborus, migrating to the hypolimnion or to the bottom substrates

during the day to avoid predation and ascending to the epilimnion at night to feed (Uutala,

1990; Dawidowicz et al., 1990; Sweetman & Smol, 2006; Luoto & Nevalainen, 2009; Tang et

al., 2018). As a result, Chaoborus are generally abundant in deep lakes exhibiting low

hypolimnetic oxygen content during summer stratification and in humic lakes; where light,

temperature and oxygen profiles reduce fish predation (Saether, 1997; Wissel et al., 2003;

Luoto & Nevalainen, 2009). Non-migrating chaoborids are restricted to lakes absent of fish

(Uutala 1990). It is for this reason that chaoborids are almost always absent in oligotrophic

lakes, due to their high visibility potential. They are found to be abundant in eutrophic lakes

and highly prevalent in dystrophic lakes, especially in small lakes with high nutrient content

(Luoto & Nevalainen, 2009).

2.3.3. Morphology

Fossil identification of chironomids relies on the chitinized nature of the well developed,

exposed, nonretractile head capsule (Cranston 1995; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). There are

various features of the chironomid head capsule that can aid fossil identification. These

features, whilst differing between subfamilies, can provide a distinct method for reaching high

taxonomic resolutions.

The Chironominae and Orthoclandiinae subfamilies have features within the head capsule that

aid in generic identification; the mentum and the ventromental plates (VMPs; Figure 2.4). The

mentum is a toothed, double walled plate, where the size, shape, number and orientation of the

teeth serve as diagnostic features (Figure 2.5; Weiderholm, 1983; Porinchu & MacDonald,

2003). Differences in the teeth characteristics generally enable an identification to reach a high

taxonomic resolution, often to the order of species, species group or tribe. The VMPs however,

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whilst being able to move a classification from a generic subfamily level to something more to

something more specific, are commonly used as the first order of classification for the

Chironominae and Orthocladiinae subfamilies. The VMPs are lateral or postlateral extensions

of the mentum, with differing characteristics between subfamilies and species (Wiederholm,

1983; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). The VMPs of the Chironominae subfamily are large,

well defined and often striated, being fan like in shape for the chironomini tribe and laterally

elongated for the Tanytarsini tribe (Figure 2.6; Walker, 2013). For the Orthocladiinae

subfamily, the VMPs are less conspicuous and never striated (Walker 2013). Mandibles are

frequently used as a secondary diagnostic for these two subfamilies, with the number and

orientation of the mandibular teeth serving as the diagnostic features (Porinchu & MacDonald,

2003). Whilst the mandibles are well preserved, they often break apart from the rest of the head

capsule, and so identification from a mandible not attached to the head capsule is not favored.

Similarly, antennal pedestals are a common secondary diagnostic for the Tanytarsini tribe,

serving as a method to refine the identification.

Figure 2.4. The Mentum and VMP of a head capsule from the Chironominae and Orthocladiinae subfamilies. a) The

fragmented head capsule of the Kiefferulus martini of the Chironomini tribe in the Chironomiae subfamily. Note the

trifid central tooth with 6 lateral teeth, the pigmented mentum and striated VMPs. b) The head capsule of the

Parametriocnemus ornaticornus of the Orthacladiinae subfamily. The VMPs of this species are highly inconspicuous

and often not visible. Each specimen was picked from the sediment core of Lake Couridjah.

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Figure 2.5. The mentum of various chironomid species, with representatives from both the Chironominae and

Orthocladiinae subfamilies. a) A Dicrotendipes cumberlandensis of the chironomini tribe from the

Chironominae subfamily, note the single central tooth and the 5 lateral teeth. b) A SO5 of the Orthocladiinae

subfamily, note the two central teeth and the 5 laterals. c) a Polypedilum nubifer of the chironomini tribe

from the Chironominae subfamily, note the two central teeth, 6 laterals with the smaller 4th lateral. d) A

Cricotopus of the Orthocladiinae subfamily. Each specimen has varying mentum teeth which have been used

for identification. Each specimen was picked from the sediment core from Lake Couridjah.

a

c

b

d

Field of View: 10µm

Field of View: 2.5µm

Field of View: 2.5µm Field of View: 2.5µm

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The Tanypodinae subfamily can be identified through a different set of indicative features. The

first order of identification is generally achieved through head capsule shape and size, with the

Pentaneurini tribe exhibiting elongate head capsules (Figure 2.7).

Figure 2.6. The differing ventromental plates between then Chironominae subfamily. a) A Pallidicornis of the

Tanytarsini tribe, note the elongated VMPs extending towards the mentum. b) A Paratanytarsus of the

Tanytarsini tribe, note the elongated VMPs extending towards the mentum. c) A Chironomus of the chironomini

tribe, note the large fan like VMPs. d) A K.martini of the chironomini tribe, note the fan like VMPs which partly

intrude into the mentum. Each specimen has differing VMPs according to their tribe. A) was collected from

surface sediment in Lake Baraba, b) was collected from surface sediment in Lake Couridjah and c) and d) were

collected from the sediment core in Lake Couridjah.

a b

c d

Field of View: 5µm Field of View: 5µm

Field of View: 10µm

Field of View: 5µm

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The main diagnostic features present in the Tanypodinae subfamily are the dorsomentum, the

ligula and the paraligula (Figure 2.8). The mentum of the Tanypodinae are weakly developed,

with the dorsomentum teeth serving as the key diagnostic feature of the mentum (Epler, 2001).

The dorsomentum is located laterally adjacent to the ligula and is absent in the Pentaneurini

tribe. The ligula is often the most notable feature of the Tanypodinae head capsule (Epler,

2001), it is the main feeding mouthpart and is centrally located within the head capsule. The

size, shape and pigmentation of the ligula and the size, shape, number and orientation of the

ligula teeth are used as the diagnostic feature (Epler, 2001; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003).

The paraligula is a small sclerotized structure adjacent to the ligula, with its shape used as a

secondary diagnostic to refine the resolution for identification. Identification of the

Tanypodinae subfamily is often problematic as the subfamily is diagnosed on the basis of

morphology that is easily removed and generally absent from the subfossil material

(Rieradevall & Brooks, 2001). However, a relatively new identification tool has been

recommended by Rieradevall & Brooks (2001); the use of cephalic setae. First identified by

Kowalyk (1985), cephalic setae; the minute hair arrangement on the head capsule, form distinct

patterns that can be used as an alternative diagnostic feature (Figure 2.9), helping to improve

the taxonomic resolution of the Tanypodinae subfamily.

Figure 2.7. The varying head capsule shapes within the Tanypodinae subfamily. a) a Paramerina, note the

elongated head capsule indicative of the Pentaneurini tribe. b) A Procladius, note the more box shaped head

capsule. a) was picked from surface sediment from Lake Baraba b) was picked from surface sediment from Lake

Gandangarra.

a b

Field of View: 5µm

Field of View: 5µm

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Figure 2.8. The defining features of the Tanytarsini subfamily. a) A Procladius, note the appearance of the

dorsomentum. b) an Ablabesmyia of the Pentaneurini tribe, not the missing dorsomentum, a key diagnostic

feature of the Pentaneurini tribe. a) was picked from surface sediment from Lake Gandangarra, b) was picked

from the sediment core from Lake Couridjah.

Figure 2.9. The Setae of chironomids representative of the Pentaneurini tribe of the Tanypodinae subfamily. a)

a Paramerina, picked from surface sediment from Lake Baraba, b) an Ablabesmyia, picked from the surface

sediment from Lake Werri Berri.

a b

dorsomentum

ligula paraligula

paraligula

ligula

Field of View: 5µm

Field of View: 5µm

a b

Field of View: 5µm Field of View: 5µm

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The chitinous mandibles of Chaoborus are well preserved and are commonly found in lake

sediments (Luoto & Nevalainen, 2009). These mandibles are easily identified to the subgenus

or species taxonomic level, as a result changes in the Chaoborus taxa can be detected in the

lake stratigraphy (Sweetman & Smol, 2006). Generally, only the mandibles are well preserved,

however, though less common, pre-mandibular fans, antennal segments, pre-labrol scales and

respiratory horns of the pupae have been found in lake sediments (Sweetman & Smol, 2006).

Mandibles are the main diagnostic feature for identification, with the size, shape and position

of the subordinate tooth as key diagnostic features (Sweetman & Smol, 2006). Whilst

identification is possible, limited taxonomic descriptions have been published and they have

been described only in North America and East Africa (Sweetman & Smol, 2006).

2.3.4. As indicators of palaeoclimate and palaeoenvironments

Chironomids are widely considered to be one of the most useful climate proxies, able to

produce quantitative estimates of past climatic and environmental conditions. This is due to

the robust nature in which they respond to changing environmental variables. This ability is

primarily attributed to their ectothermal nature, mobility of the adult form, short life cycle and

high fecundity, which enable chironomids to respond rapidly to changing environmental

variables, culminating in assemblages that are in equilibrium with their surrounding

environment (Walker & MacDonald, 1995; Porinchu & Cwynar, 2002; Porinchu et al., 2002;

Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012;). Whilst chironomids have been

shown to respond to a variety of environmental conditions (pH, salinity, turbidity, trophic

status, productivity and hypolimnetic anoxia), it is temperature that is the defining variable,

delineating chironomid assemblages across all temporal and spatial scales (Brodersen &

Anderson, 2002; Porinchu et al., 2002; Velle et al., 2010; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Chang et

al., 2015), The mechanism which drives temperatures influence in chironomid assemblages

still proves to be a major source of uncertainty. Both direct and indirect effects of temperature

manifest in the chironomid assemblage and are often difficult to delineate or separate (Figure

2.10; Eggermont & Heiri, 2012). For example, Larocque et al., (2006) and Langdon et al (2008)

were both unable to to dissociate the combined effects of temperature, and depth on subfossil

chironomid sequences (Velle et al., 2012).

A multi-proxy approach aids in understanding the principal influences of temperature on

chironomids and their assemblages. As such, chironomid analysis should be considered as one

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aspect of sediment investigation (Hofmann, 1988). The examination of Chaoborus mandibles

is often used as a secondary application in subfossil chironomid studies (Heiri & Lotter, 2003;

Heiri, 2004; Luoto & Nevalainen, 2009). The development of the larval form is heavily

dependent on temperature and food availability, making them ideal proxies for palaeoclimate

and palaeoenvironmental studies. Chaoborus studies have heavily focused on fish predation as

well as fish population and abundance, as the limiting factor of chaoborid richness is the

Figure 2.10. A representation of the direct (green) and indirect (blue) effects of temperature on chironomid

assemblages, and the relationships that govern these assemblages. Indirect temperature effects are

mediated through changes in the catchment, and changes in chemical and physical lake properties.

(Source: Eggermont & Heiri, 2012).

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presence and abundance of fish (Stenson, 1978; Uutala, 1990; Sweetman & Smol, 2006). The

incomplete knowledge of Chaoborus ecology and distribution patterns, currently restricts the

use of Chaoborus outside of the Northern Hemisphere (Sweetman & Smol, 2006). The only

published study using palaeoenvironmental study conducted in Australia using phantom

midges was Rees et al (2008). Phantom midges were used in their study as secondary proxy to

generate a transfer function modeling mean temperature in Tasmania.

Transfer functions reconstructing palaeotemperature from chironomids have been widely

applied in the Northern Hemisphere, with reconstructions across Europe and Northern America

(Walker et al., 1997; Olander et al., 1999; Brooks & Birks, 2000; Larocque et al., 2001; Brooks

& Birks, 2001; Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Porinchu et al., 2003; Velle et al., 2005; Barley

et al., 2006; Chase et al., 2008; Brodersen et al., 2008; Luoto, 2009; Medeiros & Quinlan,

2011). Few transfer functions have been applied in the Southern Hemisphere, owing to the

limited knowledge surrounding chironomid ecology and biology in the area (Chang, 2015). In

the Southern Hemisphere chironomid based palaeotemperature reconstructions have been

applied in New Zealand (Woodward & Shulmeister, 2006; Dieffenbacher-Krall et al., 2007),

mainland Australia (Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2001; Chang, 2015), Tasmania (Rees et al., 2008),

east Africa (Eggermont et al., 2010) and South America (Massaferro and Larocque-Tobler,

2013; Massaferro et al., 2014).

The first quantitative reconstruction in Australia was performed by Dimitriadis & Cranston

(2001), where chironomid exuviae was used to reconstruct temperature for eastern Australia.

Rees et al (2008) developed a transfer function for summer temperatures in Tasmania from

chironomid and chaoborid subfossils. More recently, Chang (2015) developed a head capsule

based chironomid transfer function for eastern Australia. This transfer function examined 44

lakes along eastern Australia, which was then applied successfully to a sediment core from

Stradbroke Island spanning the LGM and the deglacial (Chang, 2015). It is this transfer

function that will be applied in this study.

Understanding the nature of past environments and environmental conditions of ecosystems is

key in understanding how these ecosystems may change in the future. With the prospect of

climate warming in the near future, understanding the process occurring over a range of

environments has never been more necessary. There are many ways in which to generate the

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data required to understand the likely future of ecosystems. Whilst instrumental data is

preferred, proxy data can provide insights over greater timescales. Ecological proxies derived

from lake sediments have the ability to provide high resolution data useful for local, regional

and hemispherical interpretations over a range of environmental variables. Chironomids and

phantom midges are useful ecological proxies, able to be used to infer changes in

environmental variables over a range of timescales. The use of chironomids and phantom

midges, whilst limited in Australia has the potential to inform past environmental variability

over local and regional scales. As Thirlmere Lakes may prove to be one of the few lake systems

in southeastern Australia able to produce a continuous record of past environments, chironomid

and phantom midge analysis here would be beneficial. Chironomid and phantom midge

analysis has the possibility of creating a robust assessment of environmental and climatic

variability as well as placing Australian chironomids in a global context.

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3. Regional Setting

3.1. Study Site

Thirlmere Lakes are a series of freshwater wetlands located ~90km southwest of Sydney and

form part of the Thirlmere Lakes National Park (TLNP), designated under the Greater Blue

Mountain World Heritage Area (Riley et al., 2012; OEH, 2012; Banerjee et al., 2016; Figure

3.1). The lakes form part of the Warragamba Dam Catchment within the Sydney Basin, and

are perceived to be relics of an abandoned river network now forming an upland fluviatile

system contained in an entrenched meander (Timms, 1992; Black et al., 2006; OEH, 2012).

These five elongated lakes; Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri, Lake Couridjah, Lake Baraba

and Lake Nerrigorang (in order from most upstream to downstream), have a small catchment

area ~4.5km2, with the lakes occupying 12% of the basin (Gilbert and Associates, 2012).

Elevations of the catchment are variable, with significant topographic relief, ranging from

350m AHD (Australian height datum) to 300m AHD, with the lake beds elevations also

varying between each lake.

Figure 3.1. The location of the study area. a) the location of the study area in its regional context (source:

Banerjee et al., 2016). b) the location on the five lakes of the Thirlmere Lakes complex.

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The TLNP is of high conservational importance due to its unique biology as a refuge for

endangered, threatened and endemic species, and as its geologic stability allows the lake

systems to act as efficient sediment traps that have the potential to detail a continuous and

undisturbed history of environmental and climatic conditions for the late Quaternary (Vorst,

1974; Horsfall et al., 1988; Gergis, 2000; Black et al., 2006; Rose and Martin, 2007; Pells

Consulting, 2011; Schädler and Kingsford, 2016).

3.2. Geology

The valley in which the Thirlmere Lakes are situated is representative of the sedimentary

sequences of the Sydney Basin. The surface geology is dominated by Triassic aged

Hawkesbury Sandstone which frequently outcrops on the valley sides, forming the erosion-

resistant ridgelines, steep valley sides and quartz sand deposits of the lake system (Figure 3.2;

Vorst, 1974; Fanning, 1982; OEH, 2012; Gilbert and Associates, 2012). The Hawkesbury

sandstone has been described as a medium-coarse grained fluvialy-derived quartz sandstone

containing minor shale and laminate lenses (Gergis, 2000; Geoscience Australia, 2017;).

Overlying the Hawkesbury Sandstone formation is the Triassic aged Ashfield Shale, comprised

Figure 3.2. Generalised geology of Thirlmere Lakes. Lakes numbered 1-5 (upstream, Lake Gandangarra to

downstream, Nerrigorang). (Source: OEH, 2016)

1

2

3 4

5

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of predominantly shales, laminate and sandstone units (Geoscience Australia, 2017). Few

outcrops of the Wianamatta Shale are observed within Thirlmere Lakes National Park presently

as it is thought to have eroded since geomorphic stability of the basin ~15 million years ago

(Mya; Vorst, 1974).

3.3. Lake Evolution

The Thirlmere Lakes system sits perched above the Burragorang Valley and the Cumberland

Basin to the west and east, respectively (NPWS, 1995). The peculiar ‘U’ shaped form of the

valley in which the lakes are situated has been largely attributed to the past occurrence of a

meandering river that incised into the surrounding Hawkesbury Sandstone and Wianamatta

Shale (Timms, 1992). The initial development of the lakes is generally considered to be related

to mid-Cenozioc (~15 Mya) tectonic activity associated with the formation of the Lapstone

Monocline and Southern Lapstone Structural Complex, which beheaded the river from its

previous south-west drainage pattern, resulting in the isolated sinuous channel that presently

contains the lakes (Timms, 1992, Fanning, 1982; NPWS, 1995; Black et al., 2006; Rose and

Martine, 2007; Fergusson et al., 2011). Sediment accumulation began after this uplift and

subsequent geomorphic stability (Vorst, 1974), shifting the high energy fluvial system to the

lacustrine system present today. An interesting phenomenon occurring at Thirlmere Lakes is

the lack of terrestrialization occurring. This is a phenomenon which describes the slow-infilling

of lake basins over time (Timms, 1992). This has been attributed to the exceedingly erosion-

resistant properties (high quartz content) of the Hawkesbury Sandstone formation (Horsfall et

al., 1988; Geoscience Australia, 2017).

3.4. Modern Geomorphology

Alluvial Fans

Distinctive sedimentological processes occur at TLNP and result in the distinct features seen.

Slow sedimentation rates are ubiquitous in the system and are a result of erosion-resistant

geology (Hawkesbury Sandstone), a small catchment area (~4.5km2) and densely vegetated

lake margins (Vorst, 1974; Timms, 1992; Pells Consulting, 2011). Despite this slow

sedimentation rate, a series of alluvial fans (Figure 3.3) have formed on the lake margins, from

ephemeral streams, blocking surface flow and creating the five present lakes. The alluvial fans

are characteristic of the surrounding geology, consisting of fine-medium sand and silt/clay and

have likely been deposited in multiple phases (Vorst, 1974). The transport of this material

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would increase with fire activity, as the resulting lack of vegetation would allow the

amplification of erosion and sedimentation rates (Smith et al., 2012). The occurrence of the

alluvial sills that separate the lakes is indicative of the basins the low-energy state, as sill

deposition in greater than sill erosion (Timms, 1992).

Figure 3.3. Location of alluvial fans within the Thirlmere Lakes system (numbered 1-5 from upstream to

downstream). The catchment boundary is represented by the black line. The alluvial fans are denoted by the purple

dotted lines and have a catchment area of 0.15km2, 0.24km2, 0.54km2, 0.08km2 and 0.21km2 (from lake 1 -5,

respectively) (Source; Barber, 2018).

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Peat Islands

Peat accumulation began in the Late Pleistocene/Holocene transition (~14–12 ka) and indicates

a process where organic material accumulates more rapidly than it decomposes and are

generally associated with periods of waterlogging or complete sediment saturation in the lake

basin (Cowley et al., 2016; Rose and Martin, 2007). Floating peat islands are a common feature

in TLNP (Vorst, 1974) The lake bed soils have a propensity to desiccate and crack when dry

(Figure 3.4). When water levels rise after this initial drying, this cracked peat can break off and

create floating peat islands (Vorst, 1974; Gilbert and Associates 2012). These islands will

eventually sink or reattach to the lake bed as a result of lake drying and as such, older material

can theoretically be deposited above younger material, which can have adverse effects when

dating the peat (Vorst, 1974).

3.5. Lake Hydrology

TLNP is fundamentally a hydrologically closed system that is known to be rainfall fed (Fanning

1983, Pells Consulting, 2011; Riley et al., 2012; Banerjee et al., 2016). During periods of

increased or above average rainfall the lakes overtop, with Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri

Berri and Lake Couridjah connecting. Thirlmere Lakes can be categorised as a borderline

permanent and ephemeral hydrological system (Bowler, 1981). This would imply that the lakes

regularly experience wet conditions with sporadic dry phases. Whilst the dominant factor

Figure 3.4. Peat cracking after a drying period. a) Lake Couridjah peat cracking with little surface

water left. b) Peat cracking from Lake Gandangarra, with surface water infilling these cracks.

a b

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influencing the hydrology of the lake basin is rainfall, the lakes are also connected to the

groundwater aquifers (Pells Consulting, 2011; Riley et al., 2012; Banerjee et al., 2016).

Merrick (2012) states that under both wet and dry condition the lakes experience loss to

groundwater, though these interactions are not fully understood. The limnology of the lakes as

a whole is quite similar, with a few minor differences. Mean lake temperature is 20oC, with a

seasonal range of 28-11oC (Allenby, 2018). All the lakes are hypereutrophic; having high

productivity rates, dense algae and macrophytes and limited light in the water column (Barber,

2018). Although, they have at times been classified as meso-oglitrophic; when the lakes

experienced high rainfall levels and were visibly clearer (Horsfall et al., 1988). This suggests

that the trophic status of the lake changes through time. Each lake is slightly acidic and

experiences tannin staining due to humic leaching from high organic lake bed peat deposits

(Barber, 2018). Lake Couridjah has the highest degree of turbidity and is thus the darkest

(Horsfall et al., 1988). Lake Nerrigorang experiences the lowest percentage of dissolved

oxygen, depleting completely during summer (Horsfall et al., 1988). Lake temperature

stratification occurs in the summer and is especially prevalent in Lake Nerrigorang, as it is the

deepest (>7m; Horsfall et al., 1988).

3.6. Climate

Thirlmere Lakes experiences a warm temperate climate, representative of south-eastern NSW,

with warm to hot summers and cool and dry winters, with the majority of annual rainfall

occurring around the summer months between October and April. Average temperatures range

Figure 3.5. Average monthly rainfall and temperature from 1957-2019. Here, temperature ranges from 15oC

to 29oC (June and January, respectively) and rainfall ranges from 13mm and 145mm (December and

November, respectively).

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from 25-33oC in the summer and 5-15oC in the winter, with average annual rainfall at ~804mm

(Figure 3.4).

Rainfall variability and lake levels

Lake Levels at TLNP have been shown to correlate with rainfall variability and are known to

have dried out during periods of prolonged drought, suggesting that lake drying is a natural

occurrence (Pells Consulting, 2011; Riley et al., 2012; Banerjee et al., 2016; Schädler and

Kingsford, 2016; David et al., 2018). Known dry lake stages occurred during the Federation

drought, WWII drought and the Millennium drought (Rose and Martin, 2007; Gilbert and

Associates, 2012). Water levels tend to recover quickly after dry periods, although this has not

occurred since the termination of the Millennium drought. Schädler and Kingsford (2016),

associate this with a trend of disassociation between rainfall and lake level since 1980, when

rainfall variability and thus climate was shown to have less of an impact on lake levels.

Currently, it is understood that the lakes have been in a drying phase since 1993, and as of

January 2012, all lakes were in a dry phase with the exception of Lake Couridjah (Gilbert and

Associates, 2016). Lake levels have fluctuated since then, and now surface water only remains

in Lake Baraba at an approximate depth of 30cm.

3.7. Flora and Fauna

TLNP presents an array of flora and fauna typical of the Sydney Basin and the Hawkesbury

Sandstone Complex (Benson and Howell, 1994; Black et al., 2006). Over 400 species are found

in the park and represent a range of endemic, threatened and endangered species (Gergis, 2000).

Flora of Thirlmere Lakes National Park

Flora of the area can be categorised into two distinct vegetation communities; terrestrial and

aquatic. The terrestrial flora is characterised as predominantly dry sclerophyll woodland and

forest formations of Eucalyptus, Corymbia and Casuarina species (Black et al., 2006, Vorst,

1974). Common among this vegetation type is Eucalyptus piperita (Sydney Peppermint) and

Corymbia gummifera (Red Blackwood). Thirlmere Swamp Woodland (Figure 3.6) is a low

woodland assemblage unique to the park, generally found on and around the alluvial sills and

is comprised of Euclayptus.parramettensis and Melaleuca linariifolia. Lepironia articulata, or

Grey Sedge is the dominant species within the aquatic vegetation community. These sedges

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grow in dense thickets around the margins of the lakes (Figure 3.7) and are thought to compose

the bulk of the peat deposits. Rose and Martin (2007) illustrated the particular succession of

aquatic vegetation found at TLNP, from within the lake to the terrestrial woodlands of the basin

(Figure 3.7). TLNP is an area of high conservation importance, specifically as it is a habitat for

aquatic species (Schädler and Kingsford, 2016). The occurrence of the freshwater sponge

Radiospongilla sceptroides is testament to this. This sponge is endemic to the Warragamba

Basin and has a peculiar evolutionary trait at Thirlmere National Park. TLNP is the only

location were the species does not produce gemmules needed for sexual reproduction (NPWS,

1997; Schädler and Kingsford, 2016), suggesting that TLNP has experience relative climate

stability for a prolonged period of time.

Figure 3.6. The Distinct vegetation communities found within Thirlmere Lakes National Park (NSW

Department of Environment and Heritage, 2003)

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Fauna of Thirlmere Lakes National Park

Thirlmere Lakes is home to a range of fauna, with at least 10 species listed as endangered or

threatened. These species include one fish species; Macquarie Perch (Macquaria

Australascia), two frog species; Giant burrowing frog (Heleloporus Australiacus) and the

Littlejohn’s tree frog (Litoria littlejohni) and two waterbird species; the Australasian bitten

(Botarurus posoilophlus) and the Japanese snipe (Gallinago Hardwickii), which are listed as

endangered under the Environmental Protection and Diversity Act 1999 (EPBC Act, 1999;

OEH, 2014; Schäder and Kingsford, 2016) with the waterbirds also protected under migratory

bird agreements (Schädler and Kingsford, 2016).

Figure 3.7. a). Schematic of general vegetation assemblages on lake margins at Thirlmere Lakes. 1. Brasenia

schreberi, 2. Lepironia articulata, 3. Melaleuca linaniifolia stump, 4. Eleocharis sphacelata, 5. Lepidosperma

longitudinale, 6. Baloskion gracilis, 7. Schoenus brevifolius and S. melanostachys (Source: Rose and Martin, 2007).

b). Image of vegetation succession from the southern margin of Lake Baraba.

b

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4. Methods

4.1. Chironomids and Chaoborids

4.1.1. Site Selection and Sampling

Down-core sampling

Midge-based paleoclimate analysis was performed on the master core (LC2) extracted from

Lake Couridjah. LC2 was extracted from the center of Lake Couridjah at a total length of 6.8m

using a vibracore in 2018. This core was obtained as a part of an honours project investigating

the sedimentology, geomorphology and palaeo-environments of Thirlmere Lakes. For more

details regarding the methods pertaining to the collection of LC2, see Barber (2018).

Surface Sediment Sampling

Field work was undertaken for the modern midge analysis at each of the five lakes at Thirlmere

Lakes National Park on 13.03.19 and 28.03.19. The top 1-2cm of sediment was collected from

an approximate 15cm2 area at multiple locations within each lake; a GPS reference was

obtained at each sample location as well (Figure 4. 1, Table 4.1). These samples were kept cool

for analysis at a later date. Eggermont & Heiri (2012) and Walker (2013) each identify the top

1-2cm of sediment as an ideal amount to capture the last 20 years of chironomid activity. This

is especially relevant when sampling occurs in the center of a small lake in a forested

watershed, with a high organic content (Walker, 2013); like that at Thirlmere Lakes. Moreover,

samples taken at the deepest part of a waterbody (commonly the center) generally provide an

integrated sample of the whole lake assemblage, which includes the various microhabitats

within the waterbody (Heiri, 2004; Eggermont and Heiri, 2012; Campbell et al., 2017).

Prior to collection it was established that five samples from each lake should be obtained to

identify any in-lake variation. These samples would be located along a longitudinal transect of

the lake with one central sample, two distal samples and two intermediate samples, for each

lake. It became clear however, that this sampling method would be unfeasible (Figure 4.2).

Whilst all but one lake was dry, Lake Couridjah’s sediments were too saturated to support

access to the center and southernmost end of the lake, ruling out southern distal and

intermediate sample. Lake Werri Berri only yielded one sample as dense vegetation cover

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limited access to undisturbed sediment. Likewise, Lake Gandangarra had dense sedge growth

that made it problematic to obtain central and intermediate samples. Because of this, samples

across each lake were taken from as close to the longitudinal transect as possible (Table. 4.1).

Whilst Lake Baraba yielded all 5 samples, they were all obtained from the western most end

of the lake, as access to the lake was only available for a small area. Disturbance to the sediment

upon collection was kept to a minimum sampling was conducted away from dense vegetation.

To establish a modern baseline for the extent of the current lake margin, all samples were taken

from within the existing sedge growth, with the sedge line delineating the extent of the modern

day lake (Fig. 4.2).

Water samples were collected from Lake Baraba at the same locations as the sediment samples.

Approximately 50ml of water was collected for temperature, pH, salinity and conductivity.

Samples were collected from within a small, unmotorized boat, so not to disrupt the water-

sediment interface. The water samples were proposed for all lakes, but were limited to Lake

Baraba as it was the only lake with surface water at the time of collection. Seeing as only one

lake could be sampled these samples were not included in any analysis.

Table 4.1. Details of the surface samples for this study, including GPS and their elative position in

each lake.

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Figure 4.1. Locations of the surface sediments for each of the lakes. Purple outlines delineate the

modern lake extent. The orange dots show the sample locations.

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4.1.2. Sample Preparation

Preparation for the palaeoclimate chironomid analysis occurred in 2018 with the preparation

for the modern samples occurring in June 2019. This process involved subsampling and

chemical treatment of each sample. LC2 was subsampled for 2cc of sediment in 20cm intervals

down-core with a preliminary examination of sediment samples showing that chironomids

were only present above 1.6m, hence this thesis is focused on the samples from 0m to 1.6m in

depth. Subsampling also occurred on the modern samples, were 1cc of sediment was retrieved

for analysis. Each of the subsamples for both the modern and down-core samples, following

Chang et al (2015), were deflocculated in warm 10% solution of potassium hydroxide (KOH)

for a period of time between 30 mins and 90 mins to separate the organic matter in the sample.

They were then washed through a 90µm sieve with distilled water. The greater than 90 µm was

a b

c d

Figure 4.2. The different limitations on the sampling method. a) Thick vegetation covering Lake Werri

Berri, preventing sampling in an undisturbed location. b) Deep and weathered cracks covering Lake

Gandangarra. c) Surface water covering Lake Baraba, with thick fringing sedges limiting access. d)

Surface water on Lake Couridjah limiting access to the central and southern most end of the lake.

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collected and treated with a warm 20% solution of sodium hexametaphosphate (NaPO3)6 also

known as calgon for approximately 1 hour. These samples were again washed through a 90µm

sieve with distilled water. Some samples were treated with calgon up to 4 times to ensure

effective separation of the sediments in the samples. The precipitates from the KOH and calgon

treatments were collected and saved for further analysis being undertaken by other members

of the Thirlmere Lakes project team using proxies such as diatom and pollen for analysis. All

down-core samples and 5 of the modern samples were then transferred to a Bogorov counting

tray and examined under a dissecting microscope at 50 x magnification. All chironomid head

capsules and phantom midge mandibles were hand picked using fine forceps until the entire

sample was processed and permanently mounted on a glass slide with a drop of Euparal to

adhere to the slide and was overlaid with a coverslip. Separate slides were created for the

chironomids and phantom midges to make identification more straight forward.

4.1.3. Counting and Identifying

Identification of the chironomid head capsules followed the guides of Epler (2001), Cranston

(2002) and Rieradevall and Brooks (2001). The chaoborids were not identified as few detailed

taxonomic description of Chaoborus remains have been published outside of North America

and East Africa (Sweetman and Smol, 2006). Colless (1986) did produce a taxonomic guide

for 9 species of Chaoborus in Australia, though based on a preliminary assessment in

conjunction with the limited environmental data for separate Australian species, identification

of the Chaoborus species was not attained. As such, the chaoborid mandibles were only counted

to infer abundances. Identification of the head capsules was to the highest taxonomic resolution

possible. The head capsules were rarely identified to species level and were more frequently

identified to the genus, species group or genera. It was necessary to include larger taxonomic

groups (tribe: Tanytarsini and Pentaneurini), as it was not possible to identify all head capsules

to a higher taxonomic level. Any head capsules that were identifiable to genus only, were

placed in an ‘unidentifiable’ category depending on their subfamily. For the unidentifiable

Tanytarsini only, after the species identification was complete, the ‘unidentifiables’ were

divided among the identified morphotypes (Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus), proportional to

each morphotypes abundance, following the works of Rees (2014) and Chang (2015).

All head capsules that were preserved in whole or contained greater than half a head capsule

were recorded as 1 unit. Those which were preserved as exactly a half were recorded as a half

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a unit, with those presenting with less than half a head capsule were disregarded. As

Tanypodinae head capsules fragment and split easily, they were always recorded as one unit,

provided they still contained the diagnostic features necessary for identification. Lone ligulas

were not counted. To maintain consistency within the Chironominae, Orthocladiinae and

Podonominae subfamilies, head capsules were not counted if the mentum in full was missing.

As the head capsules of the Orthocladiinae subfamily split in equal halves easily, two halves

were counted as one unit. The Chaoborus mandibles were counted individually and not in pairs

even though mandibles appear in pairs on the Chaoborids. The Chaoborid data was adjusted

before abundance was established. Poor preservation of the head capsules was the most

common reason for the lack of identification, especially seen in the Tanytarsini tribe, with the

defining diagnostic feature to move to a higher taxonomic resolution; antennal pedestals, often

missing. The occurrence of early instars and underdeveloped head capsules were another

reason of a lack of identification.

There has been debate in the literature as to what degree of taxonomic resolution is best in

regards to using chironomids as palaeoindicators. It is generally considered that increasing the

taxonomic resolution will improve analysis, by including more useful ecological data (Brooks

and Birks, 2001), though increasing resolution may introduce extraneous noise into the data

set (Brodersen, 1998). As such, the level of taxonomic resolution and resultant ecological data

must be balanced against any noise that may be introduced under these circumstances

(Porinchu and MacDonald, 2003). The highest taxonomic resolution was aimed for in this

study, as this would be the first undertaking of chironomid analysis for these lakes, so it was

important to gather as much detail as possible. This data was later harmonized with the training

set produced by Chang (2015).

The counting and identification was completed using a compound microscope at 300-600 x

magnification. A total of 1553 head capsules were counted down-core, ranging between 37.5-

268 per sample, and a total of 670 for the modern samples ranging between 65.5-311. Quinlan

and Smol (2001) have established that 50 head capsules are sufficient for obtaining reliable

temperature estimates, with counts at 90 providing better representations of rare or less

abundant taxa in the assemblage (Larocque, 2001). Though, Heiri and Lotter (2001), have

suggested that the number of head capsules required for a reliable analysis is case dependent,

and in instances were abundances are low, fewer head capsules are needed. All head capsules

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were counted and identified to the highest possible resolution due to the preliminary nature of

this study.

4.1.4. Data Analysis

Prior to any analysis, all chironomid taxa counted were transformed into percent abundance of

the total sample. Percent abundances of the phantom midges followed Quinlan and Smol

(2010), where the count sum was divided by 2, as phantom midges have 2 mandibles per

specimen, and then transformed into a percentage of the total midges encountered (see equation

1).

(# 𝑜𝑓 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑜𝑏𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠

2 )

((# 𝑜𝑓 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑜𝑏𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠

2 ) + #𝑐ℎ𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑑 ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑒𝑠 )

The chironomid assemblage stratigraphy of LC2 was developed in C2 (Juggins, 2003) as was

the assemblage of the modern lakes from the collected surface sediments. Zonation for LC2

was achieved using cluster analysis in the PAST software package. Constrained cluster analysis

was performed using Ward’s Method and a Euclidean dissimilarity measure. Constrained

cluster analysis was used to identify points of major down-core change.

Ordinations

A series of unconstrained and constrained ordinations were use to explore down-core changes

in fossil midge assemblages and the palaeoenvironmental significance. Unconstrained

ordinations were used to explore down-core changes in midge assemblages and to compare the

similarity of the assemblages in the modern training set. (Chang et al., 2015), with Thirlmere

surface and down-core assemblages. All ordinations were performed using CANOCO v.s. 4.5

(ter Braak and Smilauer, 2002), and species data were square root transformed prior to analysis.

A preliminary detrended correspondence analysis (DCA) was used to test if linear (PCA, RDA)

or unimodal ordinations (CA, CCA) were suitable (Hill and Gauch, 1980; Olander et al., 1997).

Linear methods were suitable in all cases since the species turnover (gradient length) was less

than two standard deviations. Phantom midges were included in the down-core PCA, but not

in the other ordinations since Chang et al (2015) did not count them. Likewise, all taxa

Equation 1

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identified in the modern Thirlmere samples and down-core, which ere not included in the

training set were excluded from analysis.

A principal component analysis (PCA) was performed on the down-core assemblage to

visualize down-core changes in midge assemblages in 2D spaces. Samples were connected in

stratigraphic order with a line to create a “time-track” representing shifts in species

assemblages through time. A PCA was also used to visualize the overlap between the

assemblages in the modern training set (Chang et al., 2015) and the Thirlmere lakes surface

and down-core assemblages.

Redundancy analysis (RDA) was used to explore the environmental controls on down-core

changes in chironomid assemblages. RDA is a constrained ordination (ter Braak, 1999) which

is used to explore the main environmental drivers of changes in Australian chironomid

assemblages in space (the training set) and time (down-core samples). The RDA can be used

to visualize the direction of change of fossil chironomid assemblages with respect to modern

assemblages. Because the RDA maps modern midge assemblages with respect to changes in

species and environment, we can visualize possible environmental drivers of down-core

change. A series of RDAs can be used to test the explanatory power of each environmental

variable. Velle et al (2005) indicates that this analysis is key in identifying which

environmental variables have influenced the down-core assemblage. Consequently, following

Velle et al (2005), RDAs included all environmental variables that were proven to be

statistically significant for modern Australian chironomid assemblages.

Chang et al (2015) determined that water depth, pH, mean annual temperature (MAT),

conductivity (COND), Total phosphorus (TP), Total Nitrogen (TN) and Chlorophyll a

concentration (Chla) were significant drivers of variation in modern Australian chironomid

assemblages. The explanatory power of each environmental variable was tested using a series

of RDAs following the methods outlines in Woodward et al (2014). The modern training set

was used to create reconstructions for all environmental variables for the down-core record

using the fossil species data in the computer program C2 (Juggins, 2003). Individual

reconstructions were used as environmental variables to constrain fossil species data form each

site using redundancy analysis (RDA) in CANOCO version 4.5 (ter Braak and Šmilauer, 2002).

The effect of other significant variables was partialled out using a series of partial RDAs to see

if the explanatory power and significance changed, assessed using lave-one-out cross-

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validation (jack-knifing; Birks, 1995). This step aids in differentiating the direct and indirect

relationships between the environmental variables and the down-core chironomid assemblages

(Chang et al., 2015). Relative water depth was reconstructed from the RDA ordination.

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5. Results

5.1. Chironomid Assemblages

In this section, analysis of both the fossil and modern assemblages from LC2 and surface

sediments of each lake, respectively, will occur. As this thesis is focused on the chironomid

assemblages found in LC2 specifically, the prior geochemical or sedimentological analysis of

this core as a part of Barber (2018), will not be re-addressed in the section, and any results

pertaining to the general subsurface sediment characteristics can be found in Barber (2018).

Additional detail is provided in Appendix (A and B), regarding the chironomid assemblages of

both the fossil and modern samples.

5.1.1. LC2

Fossil Assemblages

LC2 was a continuous core (6.8 m in depth) extracted from the center of Lake Couridjah as a

part of a different honours project (Barber, 2018). Of the 6.8m core, only the top 1.6 m had

chironomids present. The percent abundance of each species and corresponding subfamilies

are identified in Figure 5.1. Like the chironomids, phantom midges were only present to 1.6 m

in depth and their percent abundance is also identified below.

Cluster Analysis

The cluster analysis identified four areas of distinct species composition change through out

LC2 (see Appendix C). Depths between 0.0m and 0.4 m are similar and make up the first

cluster. A distinct change is seen at 0.6m and continues to 1.1 m. The next change is evident

between 1.2 m and 1.4 m, with the final change occurring at 1.6 m. The species composition

between 1.2 m and 1.4 m is the most distinct change, showing no similarity to the rest of the

core. The change in species composition evident at 1.6 m in depth reflects a similar composition

to that at 1.0m.

Taxa Assemblages

Overall, 3 different subfamilies of chironomids are represented in the down-core sediment of

Lake Couridjah, being, the Chironominae, Orthocladiinae and Tanypodinae subfamilies.

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% Abundance

Dep

th (

m)

Figure 5.2. Stratigraphy of the chironomid assemblages down-core of LC2, indicating the percent abundance of each chironomid taxon found at each sample location

(20cm intervals). Chironomids has been split according to their genus and associated subfamily, with sums for each subfamily, and a total head capsule count for each

sample displayed as well. The fraction of phantom midges is also indicated.

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Within these subfamilies, 23 taxa were identified, 11 from the Chironominae subfamily, 7 from

the Orthocladiinae and 5 from the Tanypodinae subfamilies. A total of 1553 head capsules

were counted down-core. A total of 287 Chaoborus mandibles were counted down-core.

Changes in the abundance of Chironomidae and Chaoborus are seen throughout the core. The

Chironomidae head capsule count ranges from a maximum of 268 to a minimum of 37.5 (0.2m

compared to 1.4m down-core, respectively). From 0.0m to 0.8m down-core the count is static

with minor fluctuations observed, with each count exceeding 200 head capsules. After this, a

significant decline in count occurs with Chironomidae reaching the lowest abundance recorded

at 37.5 head capsules. The count returned to 200 at 1.6m before becoming completely absent

thereafter. This trend is mirrored by the abundance of Chaoborus found in the core. At 0.0m

phantom midges are all but absent, represented by a single specimen. The presence of phantom

midges slightly increases to 10% abundance at 1.0m down-core. Here afterwards, the

abundance rapidly increases to reach a maximum of 60% at 1.4m down-core. The abundance

drops back to 10%, before vanishing from the record after 1.6m.

Within the Chironominae subfamily, 3 tribes were identified. 8 genera constitute the

Chironomini tribe, with 2 from the Tanytarsini tribe and a single genus from the

pseudochironomini tribe identified. Species level identification was reached for most of the

Dicrotendipes, Kiefferulus, and Polypedilum genus. Though as all specimens could not be

identified to such a degree all specimens were lumped into the lowest inclusive taxa possible.

In the Chironominae subfamily, the tribe Tanytarsini is most abundant, constituting between

34% and 80% of all chironomids found (minimum at 1.4m depth and a maximum at 0.8m

depth, respectively). In this tribe, only two morphotypes were identified, Pallidicornis and

Paratanytarsus. Pallidicornis remains static in its abundance down core ranging between 22%

and 25% abundance from 0.0m to 1.0m. From 1.0m, the abundance of Pallidicornis drops to

reach a minimum of 6% at 1.6m down-core. Paratanytarsus follows a similar trend down-core,

reaching its highest abundance at 0.8m and decreasing steadily to a minimum of 5% at 1.4m

depth.

Whilst there is a greater range of genera in the Chironomini tribe, they never reached

abundances like that of the Tanytarsini. Polypedilum, Kiefferulus and Chironomus were the

most abundant, with the Polypedilum reaching a maximum abundance of 5% at 0.6m depth.

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Chironomus and Kiefferulus peak at 0.0m, 1.0m and 1.6m (2% and 4%, 0.9% and 1.9% and

3.5% and 3.2%, for Chironomus and Kiefferulus, respectively). Cladopelma, Dicrotendipes,

Microchironomus, Microtendipes and Parachironomus all occur only once throughout the core

and are considered rare taxa (abundance <2%).

The tribe pseudochironomini is only represented by two specimens of the Riethia genus.

Riethia appears at 0.0m and 1.6m constituting a rare abundance (0.42% and 0.5%,

respectively), and are completely absent in the rest of the core.

The Orthocladiinae subfamily make up the lowest percent abundance, relative to the other

identified subfamilies, never constituting more than an 8% abundance. The Orthocladiinae are

completely absent from 0.0m to 0.2m with a single Compterosmittia and Cornynoneura present

at 0.4m. The Orthocladiinae are most abundant between 0.8m and 1.2m, with the only

occurrence of both Paralimnophyes and Parametriocnemus at 0.8m (2.0% and 1.1%

abundance, respectively). Cricotopus makes its only appearance at 1.4m. Genus SO5 and Wood

Miner are rare taxa and are restricted to depths between 0.6m – 1.2m and 0.8m – 1.0m,

respectively.

The overarching trend present in the Tanypodinae subfamily, mirrors that of the Chironominae

subfamily. Tanypodinae abundance is relatively low between 0.0m and 1.2m (fluctuating

between 8% and 19.4%), before drastically increasing to 51% at 1.4m depth and reducing to

15% at 1.6m depth. Procladius has two main peaks at 0.0m and 1.4m. An abundance of 18%

is reached at 0.0m and steadily declines to a minimum of 7% at 0.8m, before increasing again

reaching its highest abundance at 50%. Unsurprisingly, this trend is seen in the total abundance

of Tanypodinae, as Procladius is the most abundant genus within this subfamily.

The next most abundant taxa of Tanypodinae is the genus Ablabesmyia. Ablabesmyia

abundance peaks at two depths (0.4m and 1.4m). Whilst being rare in the sediment at 0.2m

(0.3% abundance), they do not truly appear until 0.4m down-core (at 7.5% abundance). From

0.4m, Ablabesmyia declines to become completely absent at 1.2m, before returning to a

relatively high abundance (5%) at 1.4. Paramerina are present in the core from 0.0m to 1.0m,

reaching a maximum abundance of 1.4% (0.4m), before disappearing from the core altogether.

Aspectrotanypus is identified once in the core at 1.0m, constituting an abundance of 1.9%.

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Unidentifiable Chironomidae are present in all samples down-core. Unsurprisingly, the

Tanypodinae subfamily had the highest abundance of unidentifiable specimens, as it is

common for this subfamily to present without key morphological indicators, making

identification next to impossible (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). The unidentified

Tanypodinae are generally from the tribe Procladiini or Macropelopiini, reflecting the

difficulty of distinguishing specifically between the Procladius and Aspectrotanypus genera

when specimens are missing identifying features.

The down-core assemblages of LC2 clearly illustrate a changing midge assemblage.

Assemblages form 0.0m – 1.0m are quite similar, each dominated by the Tanytarsini tribe of

Chironominae subfamily. The major change occurring down-core is between 1.2 and 1.4m in

depth, with the assemblage dominated by the presence of Procladius and Chaoborus. Both

chironomids and phantom midges are absent below 1.6m

5.1.2. Modern Assemblages

Of the 16 lake surface samples collected across Thirlmere Lakes National Park, 5 samples were

analysed for modern chironomid assemblages. The most central samples were selected from

each lake. The percent abundance of all taxa and corresponding subfamilies for each of the

modern samples is presented in Figure 5.2. There is one main feature of interest noted, with

taxa suggesting that there are 2 distinct chironomid assemblages across the modern Thirlmere

lakes.

Overall, 22 genera representing 4 subfamilies were identified in the modern samples, including

10 genera form the Chironominae subfamily, 6 from the Orthocladiinae and 5 from the

Tanypodinae subfamilies with a single genus representing the Podonominae subfamily. The

Chironominae subfamily is the most common constituting abundances between 75.6% (Lake

Couridjah) 85.6% (Lake Nerrigorang). A total of 670 head capsules were counted across the

modern samples with head capsule abundance varying between samples (Figure 5.2). Lake

Couridjah had the minimum head capsule count at 65.5, with Lake Werri Berri having the

maximum count at 311.

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% Abundance

Su

rfac

e S

amp

le

Figure 5.2. The percent abundance of chironomids found in each of the surface sediment samples, representing the modern assemblages. The chironomids have been

split by their genus as associated subfamilies, with sums for each subfamily with more than one specimen and total head counts for each sample presented. LG- 2 =

Lake Gandangarra sample 2, LWB-1 = Lake Werri Berri sample 1, LC-1 = Lake Couridjah sample 1, LB-3 = Lake Baraba sample 3, LN-3 = Lake Nerrigorang

sample 3

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Lake Gandangarra, Werri Berri and Couridjah present with very similar assemblages, owing

to the high abundance of the Tanytarsini tribe (Figure 5.2.). The Tanytarsini tribe of the

Chironominae subfamily makes up the highest abundance of chironomids at 75.1%, 69.5% and

56.5% (Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri and Lake Couridjah, respectively). Polypedilum

is present in each of the three lakes though to a varying degree. In Lake Gandangarra and Lake

Couridjah they present with a significant count at 4.5% and 6.9% abundance, respectively. In

Lake Werri Berri, Polypedilum is recorded as a rare taxon, constituting less than 2% abundance.

Kiefferulus is identified in Lake Werri Berri and Lake Couridjah, with Chironomus found in

Lake Gandangarra and Lake Couridjah recorded as a rare taxon. Cladopelma and Harissius

only appear in Lake Couridjah.

The subfamily Orthocladiinae are completely absent from Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri

and Lake Couridjah. The Tanypodinae subfamily constitutes the remaining chironomids found

in the lake sediments of these three lakes, with the most abundant genus being Procladius.

Procladius is most abundant in Lake Werri Berri, reaching 19.6% abundance. Ablabesmyia is

present in all three of the lakes, though only at rare abundances. Pentaneurini Genus C is only

present in Lake Couridjah at a rare abundance.

Lake Baraba and Lake Nerrigorang, have different chironomid fauna to the previous three

lakes. The abundance of Tanytarsini identified was lower, whilst genera like Chironomus,

Kiefferulus and Polypedilum had a higher abundance in Lake Baraba and Nerrigorang,

compared to Lake Gandangarra, Werri Berri and Couridjah. In Lake Baraba, the Tanytarsini

had a total abundance of 38.0%, where as Chironomus, Kiefferulus and Polypedilum abundance

was 7.3%, 8.8% and 13.7%, respectively. Dicrotendipes, Microtendipes and Parachironomus

make their only appearance in the modern samples in Lake Baraba. Lake Nerrigorang shows a

similar trend, though to a more extreme degree. The Tanytarsini exist at rare abundances,

whereas Chironomus and Kiefferulus have a higher abundance of 34.4% and 32.2%,

respectively. The only other Chironominae found in Lake Nerrigorang is Polypedilum at 5.6%

abundance. 4 specimens from the Tanypodinae subfamily are found in Lake Baraba (from the

Fittkauimyia, Paramerina and Procladius taxa), with none found in Lake Nerrigorang (Figure

5.2). The Orthocladiinae and Podonominae subfamilies are represented however. The

abundance of the Orthocladiinae subfamily only reaches 9.7% and 7.1% abundance in Lake

Baraba and Lake Nerrigorang, with Gymnometricnemus the most abundant at 6.6% and 5.0%,

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respectively. All other Orthocladiinae genera present as rare taxon in Lake Baraba and Lake

Nerrigorang.

5.2. Ordinations

5.2.1. Fossil Assemblage PCA

PCA analysis of the down-core fossil assemblage indicates that 71% of the variance in the

midge data can be explained by species turnover (changing assemblage composition). PCA

axis 1 explains 53.5% of the total variation, while PCA axis 2 explains 17.5% (Figure 5.3a).

PCA axis 1 is chiefly represented by phantom midges to the right of the plot and by

Pallidicornis, Paramerina, and Kiefferulus to the left of the plot (Figure 5.3b). The taxon

Paratanytarsus and the taxa of the subfamily Orthocladiinae dominate the bottom of PCA axis

2, whilst Chironomus, Procladius, Riethia and Parachironomus dominate the top of PCA axis

2. There is no distinct pattern between the chironomid subfamilies in explaining the variation

in the data, except that Orthocladiinae and Chironominae subfamilies tend to dominate

opposite ends of PCA axis 2.

The down-core samples, plotted in Figure 5.3a and b, indicate how different the assemblages

have been through time. At 0.0m depth, taxon including Chironomus, Parachironomus, Riethia

and Procladius control the assemblage composition. At 0.4m depth taxa controlling the

previous samples have a much reduced influence of the assemblage, with taxa like

Cornynoneura and Aspectrotanypus now having an influence. The assemblages at 0.6m and

0.8m depth are most similar, though comparatively quite distinct compared to all other samples

down-core. Paratanytarsus and some of the Orthocladiinae subfamily (Parametriocnemus and

Wood miner) heavily influence these assemblages. At 1.2m depth, assemblages have changed,

with phantom midges having the most significant impact. Another change is seen in the

assemblages at 1.4m depth. Here Chironominae taxa and most of the Orthocladiinae subfamily

have a negligible effect, with Procladius and phantom midges having the greatest influence.

At 1.6m depth, the assemblage closely reflects that at 1.2m, with phantom midges and

Procladius having less of an influence and a return to a Chironominae dominated assemblage.

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PC 1: 53.5%

PC

2:

17

.5%

Figure 5.3. a) PCA down-core sample plot and b) species plot for the LC2 fossil midge record, separated by subfamily. Blue indicates the Chironominae subfamily,

green the Tanypodinae subfamily, orange the Orthocladiinae subfamily and purple the Chaoborus. Colours for b) follow that in Fugure 5.1; blue Chironominae.,

orange Orthocladiinae., green Tanypodinae., purple Chaoboridae.

Unid-chiro= unidentified chironomini., unid-tany = unidentified Tanypodinae, procladi = Procladius., crictopu = Crictopus., polynubi = P.nubifer., phantom =

phantom midge., ablabesm = Ablabesmyia., comptero = Compterosmittia., paralim = Paralimnophyes., unid-ortho = unidentified orthocladiiane., paratany =

Paratanytarsus., parameter = Parametriocnemus., wood min = Wood Miner., aspect = Aspectrotanypus., corynon = Corynoneura., tanpali = Pallidicornis., parameri

= Paramerina., microchi = Microchironomus., dicroten = Dicrotendipes., cladopel = Cladopelma., kiefferu = Kiefferulus., pentaneu = Pentaneurini., chironom =

Chironomus., parachir = Parachironomus.

a b

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5.2.2. Modern and Fossil Thirlmere Assemblages and Training Set PCA

PCA analysis of the training set with both the modern and fossil assemblages collected from

Thirlmere Lakes enables us to compare the fossil assemblages identified at Thirlmere lakes to

modern analogues. The PCA analysis indicates that 39.8% of the variance can be explained by

species turnover (changing assemblage composition). PCA axis 1 explains 27.9% of the

variance with PCA axis 2 explaining 11.9%. PCA axis 1 is predominantly represented by

Chironomus to the left of the plot and Pallidicornis, Paratanytarsus and Compterosmittia to

the right of the plot (Figure 5.4b). PCA axis 2 is predominantly represented by Tanytarsus

Glabrenscenes, Tanytarsus Lactenscens and Procladius towards the top of the plot, with

Kiefferulus, Polypedilum and Parachironomus towards the bottom of the plot (Figure 5.4b).

A clear distinction is observed between the training set lakes and thee modern and fossil

Thirlmere assemblages. The modern and fossil Thirlmere samples correlate well with each

other, both situated closely within the bottom right quadrant (Figure 5.4a), except for LN3

which is situated in the adjacent bottom left quadrant The modern and fossil Thirlmere

assemblages are heavily influenced by the presence of Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus, as

well as the presence of Pentaneurini. The chironomid assemblages from the training set are

more strongly associated with Tanytarsus Glabrenscenes, Tanytarsus Lactenscens and

Procladius.

LN3 and LB3 are most different from the modern and fossil Thirlmere assemblages, most

likely a result of the increased abundances of Chironomus and Kiefferulus (Figure 5.2). The

fossil sample from 1.4m depth, has the greatest difference noted in the down-core samples.

This is most likely the result of increased abundances of Procladius in the assemblage (Figure

5.1). The Thirlmere lake sample included in the training set training set (Chang et al., 2015),

surprisingly shows little to no correlation to the collected modern and fossil Thirlmere

assemblages. Instead, CLU (Coalstoun Lakes), LTP (Lake Terangpom) and LE (Lake Eacham)

show the most similarity to the modern and fossil Thirlmere assemblages (Figure 5.4a).

Coalstoun Lakes and Lake Terangpom are both extremely shallow lakes at 0.7m and 0.5m

depth, respectively (Chang, 2015). Whilst Lake Eacham is significantly deeper (63m) the mean

annual temperature (MAT) (21.3°C; Chang, 2015) is similar to that noted at Thirlmere Lakes

in this study (Chapter 3.6).

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a b

Figure 5.4. a) PCA of the down-core (blue), modern (orange) and training set (grey; Thirlmere as green) lakes and b) species plot for the training set.

Tanpall, = Pallidicornis., comptero = Compterosmittia., paratany = Paratanytarsus., pentaneu = Pentaneurini., corynone = Corynoneura., gymnomet =

gymnometricnemus., ploynubi = P.nubifer., parachir = Parachironomus., chironom = Chironomus., dictroten = Dicrotendipes., pseudosm = Psuedosmitta 2.,

genus Au = Genus Australia., Kos1 = Kosciusko Orthoclad ., paral2 = Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 2., ortho4 = Orthoclade Type 4., botrycla = Botryiocladus.,

polyspp = Polypedilum spp., thienema = Thienenmanniella., crypotch = C.parbicintus., parak2 = Parakiefferela Morphotypes 2., paral3 = Paralimnophyes

Morphotypes 3., tanlugen = Tanytarsini glabrenscenes., tanunide = Tanytarsisni unidentified., cladopel = Cladopelma., procladi = Procladius., tanlugen =

Tanytarsus lugens., tanlacte = Tanytarsus lactenscens., stempell = Stempellina., harnisch = Harnischina., tanchiye = Tanytarsus nr. Chiyensis., microchir =

Microchironomus., coelp = unidentified Tanytarsini.

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5.2.3. Modern and fossil Thirlmere assemblages with training set species and environmental

data RDA

RDA analysis of the modern and fossil Thirlmere samples, plotted passively - plotting

assemblage data against the training set to infer likely environmental variable influencing the

assemblage - against the southeast Australian training set indicate that 82% of the variance in

the chironomid data can be explained. Species turnover accounts for 20.1% of this variance

with RDA axis 1 explaining 10.8% and RDA axis 2 explaining 9.3% of the variance. The

species-environment relationship; the effects of abiotic factors, accounts for 61.9% of the

variance in the chironomid data, with RDA axis 1 explaining 33.1% and RDA axis 2 explaining

28.8%. Figure 5.6a, illustrates the significant (p ≤ 0.05) environmental variables effecting

chironomid assemblages. MAT (mean annual temperature) is significantly correlated to the

first RDA axis. Water depth (Depth) is correlated to the second RDA axis, with conductivity

(COND) and productivity variables (pH, TN, TP, Chla) also correlated to the second axis on

the opposite end of the spectrum. Whilst temperature (MAT/MFT) are the most significant

variables explaining the variation in the training set (see Chang et al., 2015), Figure 5.6b

indicates that depth is the limiting environmental factor controlling chironomid assemblages,

at Thirlmere Lakes, with conductivity and trophic status, also in effect. Whilst the training set

with the environmental variables seems to better explain the modern and fossil Thirlmere

assemblages, the Thirlmere sample from the training set again plots away from the modern and

fossil samples.

Most of the movement relating to the modern Thirlmere and fossil assemblages is related to

depth, with a small variation in temperature seen in the modern Thirlmere samples. The RDA

correlated depth to TP, TN Chla and COND, suggesting that as lakes deepen, TP, TN, Chla

and COND decrease, with TP, TN, Chla and COND increasing with lake shallowing.

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Figure 5.6. a) PCA of the environmental variables, b)

PCA of the training set (grey) with the modern (orange)

and fossil (blue) Thirlmere samples passively plotted,

constrained by environmental variables, with green

indicating the Thirlmere Lake sample from the training

set and c) species plot for the training set constrained by

the environmental variables,

Tanpall, = Pallidicornis., comptero = Compterosmittia.,

paratany = Paratanytarsus., pentaneu = Pentaneurini.,

corynone = Corynoneura., gymnomet =

gymnometricnemus., ploynubi = P.nubifer., parachir =

Parachironomus., chironom = Chironomus., dictroten =

Dicrotendipes., pseudosm = Psuedosmitta 2., genus Au =

Genus Australia., Kos1 = Kosciusko Orthoclad ., paral2

= Paralimnophyes Morphotypes 2., ortho4 = Orthoclade

Type 4., botrycla = Botryiocladus., polyspp =

Polypedilum spp., thienema = Thienenmanniella.,

crypotch = C.parbicintus., parak2 = Parakiefferela

Morphotypes 2., paral3 = Paralimnophyes Morphotypes

3., tanlugen = Tanytarsini glabrenscenes., tanunide =

Tanytarsisni unidentified., cladopel = Cladopelma.,

procladi = Procladius., tanlugen = Tanytarsus lugens.,

tanlacte = Tanytarsus lactenscens., stempell =

Stempellina., harnisch = Harnischina., tanchiye =

Tanytarsus nr. Chiyensis., microchir = Microchironomus.,

coelp = unidentified Tanytarsini.

a b

c

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5.3. Model development

The comparison of fossil Thilrlmere assemblages to the southeast Australian Training set

(Chang et al., 2015) has indicated that the down-core chironomid assemblages of LC2 are

significantly impacted by multiple environmental variables (Figure 5.6a and b)). Table 5.1,

illustrates the significance of each environmental variable in the down-core assemblage. Water

depth (depth) explains the greatest variation in the changes occurring down-core (35.4%), with

conductivity (COND) and productivity variables (TN, TP, Chla) explaining a smaller, through

similar percent of the variance (30.5%, 28.8%, 29.8% and 25.7%, respectively). pH and

temperature (MAT/MFT) were found to be an insignificant influence on the down-core

assemblage (Table 5.1). Depth, TP, TN, Chla and COND could all possibly have a direct effect

on the chironomid assemblage of LC2.

The RDAs performed on the 5 significant variables (depth, COND, TP, TN, Chla) indicate that

none of the environmental variables have a direct impact on the chironomid assemblage (Table

5.1; further explored in Appendix D). Depth is no longer significant after the productivity

variables and conductivity are partialed out. Each of the environmental variables lose

significance when the remaining variables are partialed out. This would suggest that it is not

possible to separate the variables from each other. As temperature was not found to be a

significant environmental variables controlling down-core taxa composition it would be

unreliable to reconstruct temperature at Thirlmere Lakes from this chironomid record.

However, this, does not discourage the use of other significant environmental variables (depth,

COND, TN, TP, Chla) for reconstruction purposes.

Environmental Variable % Explained P value

Depth 35.4 0.002

MFT 12.7 0.4

MAT 11.1 0.526

PET 10.9 0.604

TP 28.8 0.002

TN 29.8 0.002

Chla 25.7 0.01

pH 12.8 0.406

Conductivity 30.5 0.02

Table 5.1. A test of significance down-core for the variables found to be significant in the training set.

Grey indicates the significant variables

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Depth was the chosen environmental variable to reconstruct as it explained explained the most

variance in the fossil Thirlmere chironomid record. This reconstruction indicates that water

depth has changed through time. (Figure 5.7) Specifically, water levels are shallowest at 1.6m

plotting at -0.2 on the RDA ordination. Water depth then reaches its deepest point at 1.4m

down-core (0.87 on the RDA ordination) before shallowing to 0.37 at 1m down-core. Water

depth fluctuates until present, with the amplitude of change slightly increasing up core.

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

-1-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.20

Sam

ple

Dep

th

RDA Axis 2 Values

Figure 5.7. Modelled relative water depth for LC2 through time, using the RDA of the training set with the

modern and fossil Thirlmere samples plotted passively, constrained by environmental variables.

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6. Discussion

Analysis of fossil and modern chironomid remains in lake sediments within the Thirlmere

Lakes National Park has indicated that the lakes have been relatively variable in both a temporal

and spatial context. Changes in lake conditions through the Holocene and differing lake

conditions presently, are illustrated in the chironomid record and provide the possibility to infer

the climatic state of the system through time. This chapter will discuss the applicability of

environmental reconstructions from chironomid remains, and will discuss the climate of

Thirlmere Lakes in the Holocene by placing such reconstructions in the context of broader

southeast Australian climate.

In order to do so, we will explore the results, firstly at their face value, discussing the ecology

of the fossil chironomid and chaoborid taxa identified in LC2 in a palaeoenvironmental context

and by relating the taxa ecology to the reconstructed environmental variables. To enhance the

reliability of any environmental interpretations from the fossil chironomid record, the ecology

and reconstructions will collectively be evaluated against proxy records in the form of stable

isotope analysis of LC2, performed by Barber (2018). They will then be constrained

chronologically to pace Thirlmere Lakes in the context of southeast Australian climate. The

second section of this discussion will focus on the indicators of lake variability among the

modern lakes in Thirlmere Lakes National Park. A discussion of the identified chironomid

assemblages in regards to the ecology of the chironomid taxa and a comparison of the modern

Thirlmere lakes to lakes from the southeast Australian training set (Chang et at., 2015) proven

similar will aid in investigating the degree of lake variability in the Thirlmere system.

The limitations of chironomid analysis will be discussed with recommendations made to

enhance the applicability of chironomid studies at Thirlmere Lakes National Park and

throughout Australia.

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6.1. LC2 fossil assemblage interpretations

The primary aim of this thesis was to use chironomid assemblages found within the master

core from Lake Couridjah (LC2; Barber, 2018), to quantitatively reconstruct temperature

through the Holocene. To do so, the fossil assemblages and the environmental variables

controlling these assemblages must be identified. Only those variables deemed to significantly

influence the down-core assemblage can be reconstructed to infer past environmental

conditions. The ecological preference of the taxa constituting the assemblage can give an

indication of the significant environmental conditions likely effecting the assemblages, and can

be used to validate environmental reconstructions. To obtain robust interpretations of the

changes occurring at Thirlmere Lakes, a comparison of ecological and modelled

reconstructions to other environmental proxies is required. Stable isotope analysis on bulk

sediments of LC2 was conducted by Barber (2018) will aid in understanding how differing

environmental variables interact through time. This can be used to validate any variability

found in either the ecologically reconstructed or modelled environmental variables.

6.1.1. Chironomid and Chaoborid ecology

Chironomid and chaoborid taxa are known to have distinct tolerances to biotic and abiotic

variables affecting climatic and lake systems (see Appendix A). These tolerances thereby

influence the assemblages found in lake sediments. By identifying the taxa which constitute

the assemblages, a qualitative inference of environmental conditions and thereby climate, can

be made. Three distinct chironomid and chaoborid assemblages are identified from LC2

(Figure 6.1). The changes in taxa assemblages indicate variable environmental conditions

down-core.

Assemblage Zone 1

Chironomid assemblage zone 1 exists between 0.0m and 0.4m with the dominant taxa being

Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus. Other significant taxa in this zone include Procladius

showing a declining trend towards 0.4m, and both Ablabesmyia and P.nubifer.

Pallidicornis is known to inhabit warm productive lakes, having a water temperature optimum

of 15.5oC (range: 13.5oC to 19oC; Eggermont & Heiri, 2001; Velle et al., 2005), and are found

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Assemblage Zone 1 Assemblage Zone 2 Assemblage Zone 3

% Abundance

Figure 6.3. Stratigraphy of the chironomid assemblages down-core of LC2, indicating the percent abundance of each chironomid taxon found at each sample location (20cm

intervals). Chironomids has been split according to their genus and associated subfamily, with sums for each subfamily, and a total head capsule count for each sample displayed

as well. The fraction of phantom midges is also indicated. Also indicated are the 3 distinct chironomid assemblages, green represents assemblage 1, orange represents assemblage

2 and purple represents assemblage 3. Assemblage 2 occurs twice down-core.

b

a

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predominantly in shallow lakes (Engles & Cwynar, 2011). The Paratanytarsus taxa is an

indicator of warm water in the southern hemisphere (Chang et al., 2015), being highly

correlated to the presence of macrophytes (Woodward et al., 2017). Ablabesmyia is typically

a temperate taxon (Heiri et al., 2011) associated with warm, shallow still waters of productive

lakes (Velle et al., 2005; Engles & Cwynar, 2011; Engles et al., 2012), having a lake

temperature optimum of 15oC (range: 13oC to 18.5oC; Eggermont at Heiri, 2011). They

generally inhabit the littoral zone of lakes abundant in macrophytes (Engles et al., 2012;

Brodersen et al., 2001). Procladius on the other hand, is reported to have large environmental

tolerances, abundant in both shallow warm lakes (Kurek & Cwynar, 2009; Cranston, 2010;

Eggermont & Heiri, 2011) and in the profundal zones of deep lakes (Cranston & Dimitriadis,

2004; Cranston, 2010; Woodward et al., 2017). The combination of these taxa would suggest

that the lake conditions during zone 1 were typical of a shallow warm lake, with the presence

of macrophytes.

Chironomid Assemblage Zone 2a

Chironomid assemblage zone 2 exists between 0.6m and 1.0m down-core and is dominated by

Paratanytarsus, then Pallidicornis. The main differences between assemblage 1 and

assemblage 2a is the reduction in Procladius and most of the warm adapted taxa; P. nubifer,

Kiefferulus, and Ablabesmyia, and the appearance of cold adapted Orthocladiinae.

The reduction in warm adapted taxa in the top half of this zone (0.6m-0.8m) would indicate

that either the lakes were comparatively colder, or comparatively deeper. This is because most

warm adapted taxa are also highly correlated to shallow lakes (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003;

Eggermont & Heiri, 2011; Walker, 2011). Paralimnophyes has been classified as a cold

indicator in the Southern Hemisphere, with identification of the taxa in alpine lakes in

Tasmania (Rees et al., 2008). Conversely, Parametriocnemus is a warm indicator species with

a water temperature optimum of 14oC (Eggermont and Heiri, 2011) and are found in ephemeral

wetlands (Panatta et al., 2007) and palustrine systems (Woodward et al., 2017). The

combination of these two specific taxa of Orthocladiinae, suggest that the lake during the

beginning of this zone was colder compared to that of assemblage 1, but not necessarily deeper.

The reduction in Paratanytarsus, as well as the increase in Procladius towards the end of this

zone would indicate that lake water depth was increasing. As both Procladius, and the

Pentaneurini tribe (including Paramerina) are known to be warm water adapted, with the latter

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having a water temperature optimum of ~15oC, the lake would most likely be deeper but not

colder, as a cold deep lake would see the disappearance of warm adapted taxa. Therefore, zone

2 transitions from the warm shallow lakes of zone 1 to a colder shallow lake in the beginning

of zone 2, to a deeper warm lake by the end of zone 2 (Figure 6.2). There is no ecological data

available to explain the chironomid abundance decrease in this zone.

Assemblage Zone 3

Chironomid assemblage zone 3 (1.2m to 1.4m down-core) is significantly different from the

previous two assemblages. The dominance of Procladius and Chaoborus indicate that the lake

in this zone were most likely deeper, but not colder. Procladius and Chaoborus are both warm

indicators, but prefer the profundal zones of warm lakes, which suggests a warm deep lake

(Figure 6.2; Medeiros & Quinlan, 2011; Rees et al., 2008; Kurek & Cwynar, 2009; Chang et

al., 2015). The decreased abundance of Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus would support this.

Both Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus are warm indictor species unrestricted by depth in

shallow lakes. As such, if the lake was to deepen, the habitat of these taxon would be restricted

to the warmer littoral zone, as the colder profundal zone would be outside of the taxa tolerances.

This would result in a decrease in abundance, but not a total absence in the lake. Likewise,

appearance of Cricotopus in this zone indicates warm lake water temperatures. In the southern

hemisphere, Cricotopus has been associated with macrophytes and shallow littoral zones of

warm, nutrient rich waters (Halkiewicz, 2005; Campbell et al., 2018).

Assemblage Zone 2b

The reduction in Procladius and Chaoborus and with the increasing abundance of warm

shallow adapted Chironominae and Ablabesmyia in this zone, would indicate a return to warm

shallow waters.

Figure 2.6 presents a likely reconstruction of water temperature and water depth from the

chironomid assemblages present down-core. It must be noted however, that other

environmental variables, like changing turbidity, can alter temperature and depth profiles in

lakes (Yan, 1983). This can result in a chironomid assemblage reflecting a change in

temperature or depth where no change occurred. Relying on the ecological data presented by

the assemblages is a relatively poor indication of the true changes occurring in the lake through

time, and other proxies should be used to validate.

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6.1.2. Palaeoenvironmental Indicators

Model Interpretation

The creation of a southeast Australian chironomid training set (Chang et al., 2015) has allowed

the chironomid biostratigraphy of LC2 to be quantitatively assessed. This assessment involved

comparing down-core assemblages to likely modern analogues to determine the environmental

variables influencing the chironomid assemblages, and the significance of their influence.

Water depth, conductivity, total phosphorus concentration, total nitrogen concentration and

Assemblage 1

Assemblage 2a

Assemblage 3

Figure 6.2. Reconstructions of lake water temperature and water depth for Lake Couridjah from the

ecological information of the distinct assemblages found in the sediments of LC2.

m

Dep

th

Assemblage 2b

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chlorophyll a, were found to be confounding variables affecting the down-core assemblages.

As temperature (MFT/MAT) had an insignificant affect on down-core assemblages, a

reconstruction of temperature would be inappropriate. Reconstructions can be made on each of

the significant variables, but they should be treated with caution as the indirect influences of

the variables could not be disentangled. Reconstructions of confounding variables tend to

produce overestimated values (Birks, 1998; Velle et al., 2010; Eggermont & Heiri, 2011), and

can significantly reduce the validity of interpretations. Even though reconstructions made from

correlation variables is questionable (Brodersen & Anderson, 2002), if the relationship between

the variables is constant through time and relates to the relationships in the training set, a

reconstruction can be developed (Birks, 1998; Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Kurek & Cwynar,

2009). This assumption has been made when examining the down-core assemblages of LC2.

As the relationship between these variables cannot be verified through time a qualitative trend

based interpretation was used over the reconstructed values to infer past environmental changes

down-core.

Water depth was the chosen variable to reconstruct as it explained the most variance in the

down-core chironomid assemblage (see Section 5.3; Table 5.3). Depth was shown to be highly

correlated with conductivity and productivity (TP, TN and Chla). Deep lakes were shown to

be less conductive and less productive, where as shallow lakes were shown to be more

conductive and more productive. The training set reflects the general morphology of lake

basins, where small lakes commonly respond more rapidly to nutrient inputs than deep lakes

(a function of basin size and lake volume).

The depth model indicates that Lake Couridjah was relatively shallow, with small amplitudes

of fluctuation from 0m to 1.0m down-core, deepening from 1.0m reaching its maximum depth

at 1.4m, before shallowing again at 1.6m (Figure 6.3). A relatively similar trend is seen in the

reconstruction of lake depth from the chironomid and chaoborid ecology. Both reconstructions

indicate that water depth at 1.6m was relatively shallow, then increasing to reach a maximum

depth at 1.4m, before shallowing again. The modelled depth indicates that shallowing was

constant from 1.4m to 1.0m, where as the ecological reconstruction suggests that shallowing

ceased at 1.2m and water depth remained constant until shallowing resumed from 0.8m to

present. It must be noted that the model has been reconstructed from the RDA ordination using

the training set. Taxa identified in the modern and fossil Thirlmere assemblages that were not

included in the training set were excluded from analysis. This has resulted in the model being

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reconstructed from an incomplete assemblage and would thus decrease the reliability of the

model.

Interpretations made from the ecological data and the model should be examined with extreme

caution. Limited ecological data on all taxa identified, and the high abundance of taxa known

to be generalists (Pallidicornis, Paratanytarsus and Procladius; Cranston, 2010; Eggermont &

Heiri, 2011) reduced the validity of the interpretations made. The less abundant taxa identified,

Microtendipes, Kiefferulus, and Compterosmittia for example, have been described in little to

no ecological detail in Australia and in the Southern Hemisphere. This lack of knowledge

severely impedes a robust reconstruction. This is explained further in section 6.3. To better

understand and to validate the variability in both the reconstructed and modelled depth, they

need to be compared to other environmental proxies.

Figure 6.3. A comparison of the depth modelled from the southeast Australian training set and

the modelled reconstruction of water depth from the ecological data of the chironomid

assemblages found in LC2. The RDA axis values indicate were on the RDA the depth values plot

for the specific sample. A 0 value indicates a relatively shallow depth, where a value closer to -1

indicates a deeper lake

Assemblage 1

Assemblage

2a

Assemblage

3

Assemblage

2b

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LC2 Geochemistry

Geochemical analysis was conducted by Barber (2018) on the bulk sediments of LC2. Stable

isotope values of carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) and elemental concentrations of carbon

and nitrogen in the form of C:N ratios were quantified. δ13C and δ15N are used as proxies to

determine past environmental conditions and to reconstruct palaeoenvironments of lakes and

their surrounding catchment on the basis of the organic matter in the sediment (Woodward et

al., 2017; Meyers, 2003). Organic matter in lake sediments can be introduced into a lake via a

range of pathways (Vreca & Muri, 2006). Terrestrial (allochthonous) organic matter originates

from the catchment, whereas aquatic (autochthonous) organic matter, consists of biota (animal,

plant, and bacteria) originating from within the water column (Vreca & Muri, 2006). Changes

in the type and amount of organic matter is archived in the lake sediments and can be used to

reconstruct palaeoenvironments, lake productivity and changing lake trophic status through

time (Meyers & Shiwatari, 1995; Hodell & Scheleske, 1998; Brenner et al., 1999; Vreca &

Muri, 2006). C:N ratios have been used to distinguish between different origins of sedimentary

organic matter, as have δ13C and δ15N values (Deines, 1985; Meyers, 1994; Vreca & Muri,

2006; Torres et al., 2012; Cadd et al., 2018). Figure 6.4, illustrates the δ13C, δ15N and C:N

ratios of the top 1.6m of LC2.

The stable isotope record indicates a generally stable climate for Thirlmere as there is limited

variation in the record. Minor variations are detected down-core but do not match the

magnitude illustrated in the modelled depth reconstruction from the RDA (Figure 6.4). This

suggests that the modelled depth reconstruction is not able to appropriately explain the changes

in chironomid assemblages. Further investigation of the stable isotope record, and a

comparison to both the model and the chironomid ecology may aid in explaining the primary

environmental variables altering chironomid assemblages down-core.

δ13C values between -12‰ and -32‰, generally indicate the dominance of terrestrial plants

(Button, 1991). δ13C values <-32‰ have been shown to indicate organic carbon deposition

dominated by autochthonous algae (Cadd et al. ,2018), increased input of nutrients (Vreca &

Muri, 2006) and recycling of organic carbon within a lake during moderate to severe

eutrophication (Vreca & Muri, 2006). Hollander & Smith (2001) suggest that increased

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methanotrophic bacteria can lead to an increased production of 13C-depleted organic matter.

Using such an approach the δ13C values for the top 1.6m of LC2 suggest an autochthonous

organic matter source between 0.0 and 0.3m depth. This changes to an allochthonous source

from 0.3 to 1.2m, before changing back to an autochthonous source thereafter.

Cadd et al (2018) identified negative δ15N values to be indicative of an aquatic-macrophyte

dominated ecosystem. This is because macrophytes are able to utilize nitrogen from both the

water column and decomposing sediment (Cadd et al., 2018). N-fixing cyanobacteria produce

a nitrogen signal close to atmospheric levels i.e. 0‰, with values >0‰ generally suggesting

the input of allochthonous organic matter derived from terrestrial plants (Peterson & Howarth,

Figure 6.4. Stable isotope data for the top 1.6m of LC2 with plotted δ13, δ15N and C:N ratios against depth,

with the modelled depth reconstructed from the RDA ordination. Negative values indicate increasing lake

depth.

Dep

th (

m)

Assemblage 1

Assemblage 2a

Assemblage 3

Assemblage 2b

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1987). δ15N values suggest that LC2 is a macrophyte-dominated system (δ15N <0‰), with

periods of n-fixing cyanobacteria production (δ15N =0‰) between 0.6 and 1.1m and periods

of allochthonous organic matter input (δ15N >0‰) occurring at 0.3 and 1.6m down-core.

Changing C:N ratios in this record is suggestive of an altering source of organic matter. C:N

ratios ≥11 identify C3 macrophytes as the significant organic matter source (Woodward et al.,

2017), with C:N ratios ≥20 indicating a terrestrial organic mastter input (Vreca & Muri, 2006).

C:N values between 0.0 and 0.3m indicate a macrophyte dominated system (C:N<20). From

0.3 onwards, C:N values are >20, which suggests terrestrial organic matter input.

The environment during the deposition of Chironomid assemblage zone 1 is suggestive of a

shallow waterbody. The more negative δ13C (<-32‰), δ15N (<0‰) values and C:N ratios (<20)

towards the top of this assemblage, indicate that the lake was shallowing and becoming more

eutrophic.

Higher C:N ratios (>20), δ13C (>-32‰) and δ15N (>-0.5‰) values in zone 2a indicate a

relatively deeper lake compared to that of zone 1. An indication of increased water depth is

seen in the chironomid ecological data. Specifically, the abundance of Orthocladiinae taxa and

the increased presence of Procladius. Though the abundance of n-fixing cyanobacteria and

macrophytes indicated by the δ15N values (δ15N values fluctuating between -0.5‰ and 0‰)

would still suggest a relatively shallow lake. A shallow lake system is still indicated by the

dominance of Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus in this assemblage zone. This would suggest

that the lake environment during zone 2a was a shallow lake, though deeper than that during

zone 1. Chironomid zone 2b parallels zone 2a and is again indicative of a shallow system.

Though the increased C:N ratios (25), δ13C (-31‰) and δ15N (0.5‰) at the bottom of zone 2b

(1.6m down-core) would indicate a relatively deeper lake, before a transition into the observed

shallow and eutrophic conditions above.

No distinct changes in δ13C or δ15N values or C:N ratios are observed in chironomid assemblage

zone 3, with the values indicating the continuation of a shallow lake environment. In fact, the

decreasing δ13C values suggest a change from allochthonous to autochthonous organic matter,

which Vreca & Muri (2006) suggest this is an indication of lake eutrophication. Lake

shallowing and eutrophication in chironomid zone 3, is in direct opposition to the modelled

water depth, which indicates increased lake depth at this point. Chaoborus are known to inhabit

deep lakes and the increased abundance of Chaoborus and Procladius over the Tanytarsini

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tribe found in zone 3 would support a deep lake hypothesis. However, Chaoborus are also

known to inhabit shallow, warm lakes that are highly turbid (Chase et al., 2008). Increased

anoxia in the lake due to eutrophication can allow the increased abundance of Chaoborus.

Luoto & Nevalainen (2009) found Chaoborus abundant in small eutrophic lakes with a high

nutrient content. This may suggest that the lakes during zone 3 were eutrophic and shallow.

This would suggest that the modelled water depth may be reflecting a series of processes

occurring within the lake and its catchment, creating a signal similar to a changing water depth.

The difference in the interpretations of the proxy data for LC2 would indicate a missing link in

the understanding of catchment and lake processes occurring at Thirlmere Lakes. Further

research is needed to bridge this gap and to establish an accurate understanding of the lake and

catchment processes. This will be discussed further in section 6.3.

Chronology

By comparing the changes occurring within Lake Couridjah to other freshwater lakes within

the south east Australian region, a better understanding of the likely process occurring can be

obtained. To do so, the chironomid assemblage needs to be constrained chronologically as to

allow a comparison to other lakes and the changes occurring within them.

Radiocarbon dating was used to constrain the ages of LC2 at depth (Barber, 2018). LC2 was

dated at 6 depths using either organic sediments, charred material or charcoal (Barber, 2018).

The upper peat layer of LC2 (0m to 1.69m) was found to have a basal age of 10,883 – 10,703

cal.yr BP. At 0.7m down-core, the peat returned an age of 5661 – 5579 cal.yr BP. These ages

are consistent with other studies at Thirlmere Lakes (Figure 6.5; Gergis, 2000). These dates

place the top 1.6m of LC2 within the Holocene. Barber (2018) created an age-depth model to

infer the chronology for the entire core (Figure 6.5). Chironomid assemblage zone 2b and 3

occur within the early Holocene. The transition between chironomid assemblage 3 and 2a

occurs in the early Holocene and continues through the mid Holocene ceasing at the transition

between the mid and late Holocene. Assemblage 1 is contained within the late Holocene

(Figure 6.5).

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6.1.3. Placing Thirlmere Lakes in a Palaeoenvironmental Context

The onset of the Holocene (12ka – present) is defined as a period of relative climate stability,

characterised by a relatively wet and warm climate noted by most proxy records (Petherick et

al.., 2013; Kemp & Hope, 2014). Climate variability is observed in the Holocene and is

demarked by three distinct periods; the early Holocene, the mid Holocene, and the late

Holocene. The chironomid and chaoborid assemblages parallel the broad climatic trend evident

through the Holocene.

The early Holocene is characterised by increasing temperature and precipitation across the

entire southeast Australian region (Petherick et al., 2013). This created a climate conducive to

increased preservation of organic sediment within lakes and swamps (Fryis et al., 2014; Barber,

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

Age (yrs)

Assemblage 3

Assemblage 2a

Assemblage 1

Assemblage 2b

Early

Holocene Mid

Holocene

Late

Holocene

Figure 6.5. Age depth model for the top 1.6m of LC2, modified from Barber (2018) and Forbes et al., (in

prep). Black markers indicate the dates of the sample depth, with the orange markers indicating the age and

depth of the two samples dated in the top 1.7m of LC2. The dates place that the top 1.6m of LC2 in the

Holocene. Three periods demark the Holocene and have been included. The chironomid assemblage zones

have also been added. See Appendix F for further detail.

Dep

th (

m)

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89

2018). Waterbodies in the southeast Australian region generally reflected an increased moisture

content (Kemp & Hope, 2014). Lake George experienced its highest Holocene shorelines at

~10-8ka (Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010), with the initiation of peat accumulation occurring at

Barrington Tops at ~8ka (Dodson, 1987). Allenby (2018) attributed a decreased detrital input

with an increase in productivity as an indication that Thirlmere Lakes shifted from a lacustrine

to a palustrine system at ~9,310-10,360 cal.yr BP based on data from Lake Baraba. The

initiation of chironomid assemblage zone 2b at 1.6m depth (10,200 cal.yr BP) reflects a shallow

lake environment, as identified by the high abundances of Chironominae taxa (Chironomus,

Kiefferulus and P.nubifer) and abundances of Ablabesmyia. The stable isotope values and C:N

ratios at this point validate a change from a lake environment to a wetland system.

A deep lake environment is suggested by the ecology of chironomid assemblage zone 3 (1.2-

1.4m depth, ~9,000ka; Figure 6.5) but is not verified by the related stable isotope data. Allenby

(2018) explains that increased anoxic conditions in peats could be a product of increased

autochthonous sediments covering the surface and floor of the lake with organic matter,

limiting oxygen in the water column. Increased anoxia would favor the high abundances of

Chaoborus and Procladius, which would result in a deep lake signal, as seen in the modelled

depth reconstruction (Figure 6.3). The majority of environmental variables related to changing

trophic status (TP, TN, Chla) were unable to be disentangled from water depth in the RDA. A

slight increase in depth in conjunction with an altered trophic state may produce a false

chironomid signal. Increased allochthonous input into the lake system can induce higher

productivity rates reflected by an increase in autochthonous sedimentation (Cadd et al., 2018)..

As such, both chironomid assemblages present in the early Holocene are likely indicative of a

palustrine environment, verified by the stable isotope values. A wetland environment at this

period is in sync with the inferences made by Barber (2018) and reflect the general hydrological

changes occurring in lake systems across southeast Australia during the early Holocene.

By the mid Holocene, the climate of southeastern Australia was cooler and drier, displaying

increased variability (Dodson, 1987; Harrison, 1993; Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010;

Woodward et al., 2014; Tyler et al., 2015; Allenby, 2018). This increased climatic variability

is thought to be driven by the onset of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with a

dominant El Niño cycle producing dry phases throughout coastal eastern Australia (Black et

al., 2008; Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010; Reeves et al., 2013; Woodward et al., 2014). Barber

(2018), attributed a small pallid sand lens deposited between 0.33-0.35m dated to ~4ka on Lake

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Couridjah’s margin to be an indication of lake drying. As no corresponding sand lens was

found in the middle of Lake Couridjah (LC2; Barber, 2018), the inference of lake drying may

be better described as lake shallowing as the lake did not completely dry out. Likewise, no

evidence of lake drying in Lake Baraba was found by Allenby (2018). Black et al (2006)

attributed an interruption in peat deposition and an increased abundance of fungal spores

between 6-5.2ka to drying conditions. Chironomid assemblage zone 2a is indicative of lake

shallowing during the mid Holocene.

Chironomid assemblage 2a suggests a relatively stable climate throughout the mid Holocene.

Lake shallowing is inferred from the chironomid record by the declining abundance of

Procladius and Chaoborus in favor of increasing abundances of warm shallow adapted

Ablabesmyia and P.nubifer. The stable isotope values for this assemblage reflect limited

climatic variation. The presence of Orthocladiinae taxa (Paralimnophyes and

Parametriocnemus) suggest that Thirlmere was affected by changing climatic conditions

during the mid Holocene, but the effect was minimal. Jake Lake at ~5600ka experienced

increased aeolian sand deposition (Kemp et al., 2012), whereas Lake George experienced lake

level rise before experiencing fluctuating water depth through to the late Holocene

(Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010; Petherick et al., 2013). This would suggest that changing

climatic conditions during the mid Holocene are spatially variable and the effects manifests

differently between lake systems. The limited effect of a dryer and cooler climate at Thirlmere

Lakes noted by Barber (2018) and Allenby (2018) as well as being evident in chironomid

assemblage 2a, suggests that Thirlmere Lakes was buffered from these changing conditions.

The late Holocene at Thirlmere Lakes has been marked as a period of lake drying (Barber,

2018; Gergis, 2000), as a result of increased climatic variability resulting from an intensified

ENSO (Kemp et al., 2012; Petherick et al., 2013). The occurrence of ‘crumbly’ peat in LC2

between 0.2-0.29m depth, dated to ~1.8-2.2ka, coincides with evidence of increased

evaporation and decreased lake productivity, suggesting lake shallowing in Lake Couridjah

(Barber, 2018). Lake shallowing is also indicated by Gergis (2000) for Lake Couridjah.

Chironomid assemblage zone 1 is indicative of a warm shallow wetland, with stable isotope

values suggesting increased eutrophication from the initiation of the assemblage (0.5m depth,

~4ka; Figure 6.5) to present. As allochthonous sediment input decreased during this period

(Figure 6.4), lake eutrophication is likely a result of lake shallowing rather than increased

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nutrient concentrations, suggesting that Lake Couridjah was shallowing during the late

Holocene.

Interestingly, lake shallowing is evident regionally in southeast Australia during the late

Holocene, but is not synchronous across Thirlmere Lakes. Lake George experienced

continuous lake shallowing from ~2ka (Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010), with Jake Lake

shallowing from ~1040-1220 cal.yr BP, indicated by periods of high salinity (Kemp et al.,

2012). Lake shallowing is also evident in lakes across eastern Victoria (Jones et al., 1998).

Lake Baraba however, showed no indication of lake shallowing through the late Holocene,

with Allenby (2018) finding Lake Baraba to be a hydrologically stable system from ~9.3ka.

Lake depth variation between highly similar lakes within the same catchment is uncommon,

especially when no significant differences in local climate or topography are evident (Barber,

2018). This heterogeneity between Lake Couridjah and Lake Baraba may diminish the validity

of inferences made from the chironomids assemblages of LC2. Dissimilar hydrology between

the lakes at Thirlmere may indicate that the nature of lake processes in are not fully understood

and any signals evident in the chironomid record or the modelled depth may lead to

inappropriate assessments of past lake environments during the Holocene.

The chironomid record of LC2 shows three distinct assemblages through the Holocene. The

variation in the chironomid assemblage reflects a stable palustrine system throughout the

Holocene. Though the Holocene is generally regarded to have stable climatic conditions

Fitzsimmons & Barrows, 2010; Petherick et al., 2013), fluctuations in climate do occur and

they delineate the early, mid and late Holocene. The early Holocene is generally regarded as

being wet and warm, with a dry mid Holocene and variable late Holocene. These broad trends

in climate are not reflected in the LC2 chironomid record. This would suggest that changes in

chironomid assemblages down-core are not a direct results of fluctuating climate, but may be

an indirect affect of climate driven by an altered lake chemistry.

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6.2. Modern Assemblage Interpretations

6.2.1. Chironomid Ecology

Two distinct modern chironomid assemblage zones were identified within Thirlmere Lakes.

The first assemblage zone encompasses Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri and Lake

Couridjah (the uppermost lakes) while the second encompasses Lake Baraba and Lake

Nerrigorang (the lowermost lakes; Figure 6.6). The assemblages in the second zone are more

variable than those found in assemblage zone 1.

The taxa of zone 1 are relatively consistent through each assemblage. The warm shallow water

adapted Tanytarsini tribe (Pallidicornis and Paratanytarsus) accounts for >50% of identified

specimens, with warm and shallow adapted Procladius, P.nubifer and Ablabesmyia also

represented. Each of these specimens have been observed in temporary wetlands and would

indicate a preference for ephemeral systems (Chang et al., 2015; Campbell et al., 2018). The

presence of Harissius, a cold adapted tax (Dimitriasdis & Cranston, 2001; Rees et al., 2008),

in Lake Couridjah may indicate that the modern condition of Lake Couridjah was deeper that

the other lakes in this zone. This may explain why Lake Couridjah was the last lake to dry in

this recent drying phase. Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri and Lake Couridjah are known

to connect when lake levels are high, most recently this was seen in the 1970’s (Vorst, 1974),

and may explain the assemblage similarity across each of these three lakes.

Modern assemblage zone 2 is altered to that of zone 1, as identified in the RDA ordination

(Figure 5.6). Variation is observed within the assemblages of zone 2. The Lake Nerrigorang

assemblage is most different to that of the assemblages in zone 1, with the Lake Baraba

assemblage representing a mix of the two assemblages. The major differences between the two

zones is the reduced abundance of Tanytarsini in favour of Chironomini and Kiefferulus taxa.

Tanypodinae are significantly reduced in Lake Baraba and altogether absent in Lake

Nerrigorang. Interestingly, the cold adapted Orthocladiinae are found only in assemblage zone

2, with the rare cold adapted Parochlus of the Podonominae subfamily restricted to Lake

Nerrigorang. The chironomid assemblages of zone 2 suggest a modern hypereutrophic state for

Lake Baraba and Lake Nerrigorang.

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Hofmann (1986) suggests that a change from Tanytarsini to Chironomini dominated

assemblages reflects the onset of of hypolimnetic oxygen depletion, characteristic of

hypereutrophic lakes. Hypolimnetic oxygen is distinctive of hypereutrophic lakes, as increased

lake production driving increasing trophic state, depletes oxygen concentrations in the water

column. Porinchu and MacDonald (2003) attributes increasing Chironomini dominance to an

increasing trophic state.

Lake eutrophication is also reflected in the relatively high abundances of Gymnometricnemus.

This taxon is correlated to warm shallow palustrine environments in the Southern Hemisphere

(Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2004; Pannatta et al., 2007; Wright & Burgin, 2007; Rees et al., 2008;

Chang et al., 2015), with Cranston (2010) finding Gymnometricnemus in Australia to be a

terrestrial taxon commonly found in peat lands. Lake Nerrigorang and Lake Baraba were most

likely shallower or dried quicker than the lakes constituting modern chironomid zone 1, due to

Lake Werri Berri

Lake Couridjah

Lake Baraba

Lake Nerrigorang

Lake Gandangarra

Figure 6.6. Modern Chironomid Assemblage Zones for Thirlmere Lakes. Blue represents

the lakes that identify as zone 1 and orange represents the lakes identified as zone 2

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the abundance of Kiefferulus. Kiefferulus are highly correlated to small shallow lakes,

suggesting the increased abundance in zone 2 may be a function of reduced water volume.

Reduced lake levels would also allow Lake Baraba and Lake Nerrigorang to exist in a

hypereutrophic state, when allochthonous sediment input is similar across the basin (Barber,

2018). Nutrients would concentrate easier in shallow lakes, than in comparatively deeper ones.

The recent drying observed at Thirlmere Lakes, saw Lake Nerrigorang dry first (Pells & Pells,

2016).

The RDA ordinations can be used as a test of similarity between the lakes included in the

training set, and the modern Thirlmere Lakes. Lakes clustered together in the ordination space

would suggest similar conditions (see Appendix E). Coalstoun Lakes and Lake Terangpom are

the only lakes closely related to the Thirlmere lakes on the basis of chironomid assemblage

composition. Figure 6.7, illustrates how similar Lake Coalstoun and Thirlmere Lakes are. Both

are small shallow lakes in a small and relatively isolated catchment, with dense hillslope

vegetation. Whilst Coalstoun Lake shows similarity to each of the modern Thirlmere lakes,

Lake Terangpom is only related to the lakes constituting modern chironomid assemblage zone

2. Based on the environmental conditions of the two training set lakes at the time of sampling,

it can be inferred that Lake Baraba and Lake Nerrigorang were comparatively shallower and

more productive than Lake Gandangarra, Werri Berri and Couridjah (decreased depth and

increased TP, TN and Chla for Lake Terangpom, compared to Coalstoun Lakes). This is also

suggested by the increased abundance of Chironomini in modern chironomid zone 2 and from

the RDA ordination (see Section 5.3.3).

Only those lakes shown to be similar exclusively on the basis of chironomid assemblages were

considered for comparison. Lakes exist on a spectrum of environments, and as such a single

sample may not capture all the variation a location. If the training set includes lakes displaying

a specific environmental state (i.e. wet, drying, dry) it would be inappropriate to use it to

compare to other lakes of a different environmental state, and may explain the lack of

analogous lakes in the training set. For example, The Thirlmere Lake sample from the training

set is shown to be unrelated to the modern Thirlmere samples collected in this study. This is

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likely a result of differing environmental conditions prevailing during sample collection. The

modern lakes and the samples collected in this study are representative of dry conditions,

whereas the training set sample is characteristic of a lake with a water depth of 1.8m (Chang

et al., 2015).

Figure 6.7. a) Satellite image of Coalstoun Lakes (source: google Earth) and b) image of

the northernmost Lake at Coalstoun Lakes (Source: Queensland Tourism; https://www.queensland.com/ en-au/destination-information/coalstoun-lakes). The small

crater lakes have a catchment approximately 1km2 and densely vegetated hillslopes

showing remarkable similarity to Thirlmere Lakes.

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6.3. Challenges and limitations

Several key challenges and limitations have been identified in this study. These limitations

have arisen from the type of palaeoecological analysis employed and its application within

Thirlmere Lakes National Park

6.3.1. Chironomid analysis

The use of chironomids is still considered as a relatively novel approach to palaeoecological,

palaeoenvironmental and palaeolimnological studies in the Southern Hemisphere. This is

largely due to a limited taxonomic understanding of representative taxa. A key requirement to

further chironomid studies globally, though especially in Australia, is the increased taxonomic

resolution of the identified assemblages (Brodersen, 1998; Brooks and Birks, 2001; Porinchu

& MacDonald, 2003; Brook et al., 2012). Increased taxonomic resolution will improve our

understanding of the ecological requirements of taxa, resulting in more accurate estimates of

taxa optima and environmental tolerances, enhancing the predictive ability of inference models

(Brodersen, 1998; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). The challenge here is the severe

underrepresentation of described taxa in Australia, with the vast majority of taxonomic

literature limited to the Northern Hemisphere (Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003). Often, coarse

taxonomic groupings are required for the Tanytarsini and Tanypodinae taxa. This reduces the

effectiveness of chironomids as environmental indicators (Heiri & Lotter, 2010), as the

Tanytarsini and Tanypodinae taxa often represent over 50% of chironomid assemblages

(Brooks & Birks, 2001). The Tanytarsini tribe in this study constituted approximately 50% of

all assemblages identified, with one third of all Tanytarsini specimens not able to be identified

past the tribe level. It is thus crucial to improve the taxonomic resolution of the Tanytarsini

tribe to at least the species type level (Heiri et al., 2014), to improve resulting environmental

inferences.

6.3.2. Training set and reconstructions

Training sets need to be designed with care as to not introduce unnecessary bias into the data

and subsequent inference models (Velle et al., 2010). Generally, training sets are developed to

single out a particular environmental variable constraining chironomid assemblages. Chang et

al (2015) singled out temperature as the environmental variable of interest in the southeast

Australia training set by developing the training set over a large temperature gradient. It is

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expected that the other environmental variables, especially those known to impact on

chironomid distributions and abundances (i.e. pH, water depth, TC concentrations), have low

between-lake variability (Brooks & Birks, 2001). The southeast Australia training set (Chang

et al., 2015) has large variations in almost all of the secondary environmental variables. This

has limited the applicability of the training set to the fossil assemblage from Thirlmere Lakes.

A major limitation in the development of most training sets is the sample methodology. Due to

the time consuming nature of their creation, many lakes are sampled only once (Brooks &

Birks, 2001; Birks, 1998). These single samples are often prone to large and unpredictable

random variation, as the possible environmental variable ranges can fluctuate over varying

temporal scales (Hann et al., 1992; Brooks & Birks, 2001). This results in the training set being

unable to capture the variability of the lake system. This is especially relevant to ephemeral

systems, or those with dynamic and variable hydrology, like that of Thirlmere Lakes. Many of

the lakes in the training set are permanent water bodies with limited hydrological variability

(Chang et al., 2015). This has resulted in the application of a training set developed from

lacustrine environments being applied to a palustrine environment.

Moreover, many of the taxa represented in LC2 and in the modern Thirlmere samples are

poorly represented in the training set. Underrepresentation can result in unreliable estimates of

taxa environmental tolerances and optima. Subsequent inference models would be unreliable

and inaccurate representations of past environmental changes can result.

6.3.3. Thirlmere Lakes

The appropriateness of palaeoecological studies to a specific site varies depending on the proxy

in question, and the hydrological and geomorphological properties of the environment studied.

Telford (2019), identifies key criteria to test the suitability of a site for palaeoecological

assessment. On the basis of this criteria (see Table 6.1), Thirlmere Lakes is not ideal for

palaeoecological chironomid studies. The inappropriateness stems from the morphology of the

lakes and the variable hydrology, rather than from the chironomid analysis. Lake drying at

Thirlmere Lakes results in cracking of the lakes floor (see Section 3; Figure 3.4). Dry periods,

can result in vertical mixing of the sediment as a function of basin infilling and bioturbation.

This can result in the homogenization of the distinct chironomid assemblages found within the

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sediment. This may result in the samples assemblages presenting unreliable representations of

the assemblage at time of deposition. This would then reduce the validity of any environmental

interpretations made form the assemblages.

Table 6.1. Aspects of proxies, sites and environmental variables leading to favorable or unfavorable

reconstructions, with a brief explanation (Telford, 2019). Grey highlight illustrates how Thirlmere Lakes

responds to these criteria

Aspect Favorable Unfavorable Explanation

Proxy sensitivity to target

variable

High Low Better reconstruction

Habitat Planktonic Benthic Simple taphonomy

Proxy generation time Hours-days Month-years Rapid response

Ecological lags None Proxy responds to

previous year

Lagged proxy response

Target variable resolution Seasonal Monthly More ecologically relevant

Other environmental change Minimal Substantial Minimize secondary

environmental gradients

Dominant frequency in target

variable

trends and low

frequencies

High-frequencies Less sensitive to lags and

chronological error

Sediment Varved Not-varved No bioturbation, demarcate

one year’ s sediment

Chronology Varves Other More precise dating

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7. Conclusion

7.1 Summary

The primary aim of this thesis was to use chironomid assemblages to quantify the palaeoclimate

occurring at Thirlmere Lakes during the Holocene. A key objective was to reconstruct

temperature to inform on the palaeoenvironmental conditions over this period. For reliable

reconstructions, temperature needs to be significantly affecting the changing chironomid

assemblages. It was found that temperature has an insignificant affect on chironomid

assemblages, and it would thus be inappropriate to use chironomids to reconstruct temperature

in this study. In-lake variability i.e. water depth, was determined to drive changes in

chironomid assemblages as seen at Lake Couridjah. This enabled a reconstruction of past lake

levels to be modelled. These reconstructions were subsequently validated against the ecology

of the chironomid assemblages and other proxy records. From this, broad palaeoenvironmental

inferences were made for Thirlmere Lakes and for the greater southeast Australian region.

Considering this, the following conclusions about chironomid derived reconstructions at

Thirlmere Lakes were made an attempt to understand palaeoenvironments in the context of the

Holocene have been made.

Chironomids and their assemblages are poor indicators of temperature at Thirlmere

Lakes. This is likely a result of a relatively stable climate through the Holocene. The

general ecology of the identified assemblages would confirm a stable Holocene climate.

Modelled water depth from the southeast Australian training set (see Section 5; Figure

5.7; Chang et al., 2015) suggests an altered hydrologic regime (increased lake depth)

during the early Holocene. This increased depth does not agree with the ecology of the

chironomid assemblages or by the related proxy records. This suggests that the depth

signal identified in the model is inaccurate and is possibly the result of confounding

lake variables reflecting a strengthened depth signal.

Underrepresentation of taxa and of hydrologically variable lake systems in the training

set may have limited the applicability of its use at Thirlmere Lakes. This

underrepresentation, in conjunction with limited ecological knowledge of Australian

chironomids, may have resulted in inaccurate inferences of palaeoenvironments

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through the Holocene. It would also suggest that the southeast Australian training set

can only be appropriately applied to lacustrine environments and not those which

closely resemble palustrine systems.

Any interpretations made from ecological requirements of chironomids should be

assessed with extreme caution, as the limited knowledge on the ecology of chironomids

hinders the reliability of such interpretations.

Even though the chironomid record failed to supply reliable interpretations of climatic

conditions at Thirlmere Lakes through the Holocene, a better understanding of the lake

system has resulted. Likewise, this thesis has been able to expand our understanding of

chironomids in Australia, further enhancing our understanding of specific taxa

requirements and tolerances.

A secondary aim of this thesis was to compare modern chironomid assemblages across each of

the lakes to determine the degree of variability in the catchment. This was achieved by

establishing the ecological requirements of the taxa constituting the assemblages and

comparing these requirements across each of the lakes. There was a statistically significant

difference found between the lakes, identified as two assemblage zones. Modern chironomid

assemblage zone 1 encompasses the assemblages of Lake Gandangarra, Lake Werri Berri and

Lake Couridjah, whereas zone 2 encompasses assemblages from Lake Baraba and Lake

Nerrigorang. Based on these differing assemblages, it was inferred that modern lake conditions

were different between these two zones. The ecological requirements of the identified taxa

suggested that lakes constituting zone one were eutrophic, whereas, the lake constituting zone

2 were hypereutrophic. A comparison to lakes shown to be similar in the training set also

confirmed this hypothesis. Considering this, the following conclusions have been made.

The environmental conditions of the lakes within the Thirlmere Lakes National Park,

through their modern chironomid assemblages have been shown to differ. The reason

for this variability could not be reliably established from the modern chironomid

assemblages, or from a comparison to similar lakes from the southeastern Australia

training set.

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As the training set is not truly representative of the taxa identified in the modern

Thirlmere assemblages, and with its limited inclusion of hydrologically variable

systems, it would be inappropriate to apply the southeast Australian training set to the

variable modern conditions at Thirlmere Lakes.

Inferences made from the ecological requirements of the chironomid taxa identified in

each assemblage should be assessed with caution. The limited understanding of

chironomids in Australia in regards to their environmental preferences and tolerances

has reduced the reliability of such inferences.

7.2 Recommendations

This study has highlighted some important limitations and research opportunities for both the

Thirlmere region and for chironomid use in Australia. To reduce the uncertainty in the analysis

and improve the reliability of interpretations it is recommended that:

The southeast Australia training set created by Chang et al (2015) be expanded in two

ways. The first, to be a more inclusive representation of taxa found within the focus

region, and secondly to better represent hydrologically variable systems. This can be

accomplished by re-sampling lakes to capture the potential variability of the systems.

Alternatively, a new training set can be established which focuses specifically on

hydrologically variable or ephemeral systems. Thus, providing a more appropriate

training set to be applied to a system like that of Thirlmere Lakes, which is considered

to straddle the divide between a lacustrine and palustrine environment.

An effort should be made to extensively increase the understanding of chironomids in

Australia and their use as palaeoenvironmental indicators. This is especially important

as Australian chironomid taxa have generally different ecological requirements and

tolerances, to that of related taxa in the Northern Hemisphere. Increased knowledge on

this basis will help to better interpret chironomid assemblages to infer past

environmental conditions.

Future chironomid research should be conducted as a part of a multi-proxy analysis

which incorporates proxies examining different but related variables, influencing both

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the chosen proxy and the larger system. Carefully choosing the proxies used can help

to first validate interpretations from the chironomid record, and secondly allow holistic

interpretations of the entire studied system.

Possible future research opportunities for chironomid analysis in Australia and for within

Thirlmere Lakes include:

Additional analysis of possible lake environments through the Holocene from different

proxies such as charcoal and diatoms. A multi-proxy analysis would help to reduce the

limitations of chironomid analysis, specifically by allowing the opportunity for

confounding variables affecting the assemblages to be disentangled. Additional

proxies would also enable a more detailed understanding of the systems and its

evolution through the Holocene.

Fossil chironomid analysis on a sediment core from modern chironomid zone 2, to

determine if modern between-lake variability is a modern phenomenon or if it has been

consistent through time. Investigating the temporal scale of this variability would

increase our understanding of the in-lake processes at Thirlmere Lakes and how they

have evolved through time.

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intended for temperate eastern Asia. Quaternary International, 311, 3-11.

Williams, M., Cook, E., van der Kaars, S., Barrows, T., Schulmeister, J and Kershaw, P.,

(2009). The vegetation history of the last glacial-interglacial cycle in eastern New South Wales,

Australia. Journal of Quaternary Science, 21, 7, 735 – 750.

Wilson, S.E., Cumming, B.F and Smol, J.P., (2011). Assessing the reliability of salinity

inference models from diatom assemblages: an examination of a 219-lake data set from western

North America. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 53, 7, 1580-1594.

Wissel, B., Boeing, W.J and Ramcharan, C.W., (2003). Effects of water color on predation

regimes and zooplankton assemblages in freshwater lakes. Limnology and Oceanography, 48,

1965-1976.

Woodward, C.A and Shulmeister, J., (2006). New Zealand chironomids as proxies for human

induced and natural environmental change: transfer functions for temperature and lake

production (chlorophyll a). Journal of Paleolimnology, 36, 407–429.

Vyverman, M and Sabbe, K., (1995). Diatom-temperature transfer functions based on the

altitudinal zonation of diatom assemblages in Papua New Guniea: a possible tool in the

reconstruction of regional palaeoclimatic changes. Journal of Paleolimnology, 13, 65-77.

Yule, C and Sen, Y.H., (2004). Freshwater Invertebrates of the Malaysian Region.

Page 118: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

116

Appendix A – Chironomid and Chaoborid Ecology Appendix A is a compilation of all found ecological data on the taxa identified in both the fossil

and modern assemblages. The following ecological data focuses on the environmental

tolerances of each taxa including observations from Northern and Southern Hemisphere

research. The taxa are presented alphabetically by subfamily, then tribe, then taxa. Chaoborids

are included at the end. Images were taken from the fossil and modern assemblages. Some taxa

lack an image as one could not be obtained from those identified. Likewise, some taxa do not

present with any ecological notes, as they are poorly represented in Australia.

Page 119: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

117

Family - Chironomide

--Subfamily – Chironominae

----Tribe – Chironomini

--------Chironomus

--------Cladopelma

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Temperate climates Heiri et al., 2011

Warmer water Olander et al., 1999; Chase et al., 2008; walker et al., 1997;

Brodersen & Anderson, 2002.

Temperature optima 24.7oC Walker et al., 1997

Still or standing waters Cranston, 2010; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003

Eutrophic to hypereutrophic Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Porinchu & MacDonald,

2003; Porinchu et al., 2003

Humic/turbid waters Olander et al., 1999; Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2001

Shallow lakes Porinchu et al., 2003; Brodersen & Anderson, 2002

Littoral habitats Porinchu et al., 2003

Adapted to oxygen deficient bottom

waters

Walker, 2013; Hofmann, 1986;

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from 0.20m down

core of LC2

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x magnification

from 0.20m down core of LC2, the red exert better

illustrates the mentum of the Cladopelma.

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118

--------Dictotendipes

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Brooks et al., 2007; Medeiros and

Quinlan, 2011; Porinchu et al., 2002; Heiri et al., 2011; Chang

et al., 2015

Shallow polymictic lakes Medeiros & Quinlan, 2011; Korhola et al., 2011

Sandy and muddy substrates Cranston, 2010

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Chase et al., 2008; Olander et al., 1999; Chang et al., 2015;

Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Brooks et al., 2007; Medeiros &

Quinlan, 2011; Porinchu et al., 2002; Brodersen & Anderson,

2002;

Shallow lakes Brodersen et al., 2011; Chang et al., 2015; Olander et al.,

1997; Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Korhola et al., 2000;

Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Pannatta et al., 2007

Inhabit the littoral zone Palmer et al., 2002; Engles & Cwynar, 2011; Brodersen et al.,

2011; Chang et al., 2015; Olander et al., 1994; Cranston, 2010

Associated with macrophytes Hofmann, 1984; Engles & Cwynar, 2011; Brodersen et al.,

2011; Chang et al., 2015; Cranston & Dimitriadis, 2004

Eutrophic lakes Brodersen et al., 2011; Chang et al., 2015; Brodersen &

Anderson, 2002

Standing or seldom flowing water Cranston, 2010

Common in permanent wetlands Pannatta et al., 2007; Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2004; Wright &

Burgin, 2007; Rees et al., 200; Woodward et al., 2017

Image taken in July, 2019 at 10x magnification

from 0.20m down core of LC2. Image is of a

D.cumberlandsis

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119

--------Harrisius

--------Kiefferulus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold adapted Massaffero et al., 2014; Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2004; Rees et

al., 2008

Associated with macrophytes Cranston, 2010

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Chang et al., 2015; Rees et al., 2008

Small water bodies Cranston, 2010

Dominate permanent wetlands Campbell et al., 2018

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Gandangarra.

Image is of a K. martini.

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120

--------Microchironomus

--------Microtendipes

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Luoto, 2009

Shallow lakes Brodersen & Lindegaard, 1997; Campbell et al., 2018

High productivity lakes Brodersen & Lindegaard, 1997; Campbell et al., 2018

Only found in temporary wetlands Campbell et al., 2018

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.0m depth in LC2

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.0m depth in LC2

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121

--------Parachironomus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Brooks et al., 2007; Medeiros &

Quinlan, 2011; Porinchu et al., 2002; Walker & Mathewes,

1989; Walker & MacDonald, 1995; Olander et al., 1997;

Eggermont & Heiri, 2011

Temperature optimum 16oC Eggermont & Heiri, 2011

Shallow water Porinchu & MacDonald, 2003; Campbell et al., 2018; Korhola

et al., 2000

Littoral and sublittoral zones Cranston, 2010; Olander et al., 1997; Campbell et al., 2018

Only found in temporary wetlands Campbell et al., 2018

Still waters Campbell et al., 2018; Cranston, 2010

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water adapted Oliver & Roussel., 1983; Brooks et al., 2007; Medeiros &

Quinlan, 2011; Chang et al., 2015; Rees et al., 2008

Temperature preference 14oC-

15oC

Massaffero et al., 2014

Associated with macrophytes Cranston, 2010

Standing or slow flowing water Cranston, 2010

Image taken in July, 2019 at 40x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.0m depth in LC2

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122

--------Polypedilum

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Typical of temperate climates Heiri et l., 2011

Warm water adapted Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Brooks et al., 2007; Medeiros &

Quinlan, 2011; Walker et al., 1991; Larocque et al., 2001;

Woodward & Shulmeister,, 2006; Eggermont & Heiri, 2010;

Eggermont & Heiri, 2011; Chang et al., 2015

Abundant where surface water is

in excess of 17.5oC

Porinchu et al., 2002

Associated with macrophytes Halkiewicz, nd;

Eutrophic lakes Walker et al., 1991; Larocque et al., 2006; Woodward &

Shulmeister, 2006

Found only in temperate wetlands Campbell et al., 2018

Image taken in July, 2019 at 40x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.2m depth in LC2

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123

----Tribe – Tanytarsini

--------Pallidicornis

--------Paratanytarsus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm water indicator Velle et al., 2005

Temperature optima 15.5oC` Eggermont & Heiri, 2011

Restricted to deeper parts of

shallow lakes in Scandinavia

Heiri, 2004; Luoto, 2009

Image taken in July, 2019 at 10x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Gandangarra.

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Gandangarra.

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124

----Tribe – Psuedochironomini

--------Riethia

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold water indictors in the

northern hemisphere

Balcombe et al., 2007; Woodward et al., 2017; Heiri et al.,

2011; Eggermont & Heiri, 2011; Velle et al., 2005

Warm water indicator in the

southern hemisphere

Chang et al., 2015

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold water indicator Rees et al., 2008; Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2001; Massaffero et

al., 2014

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.0m depth in LC2

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125

--Subfamily – Orthocladiinae

--------Compterosmittia

no images or ecological data found

--------Corynoneura

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold water indicator in the

northern hemisphere

Massaferro & Larocque-Tobler, 2013;

Warm water indicator in Chile Massaferro et al., 2014

Deep waters Kurek & Cwynar, 2009

Littoral genus Moller Pillot & Buskens, 1990; Engles & Cwynar, 2011

Associated with floating leaves Moller Pillot & Buskens, 1990; Engles & Cwynar, 2011

Image taken in July, 2019 at 40x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.4m depth in LC2

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126

-------- Cricotopus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold water adapted Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Medeiros & Quinlan, 2011; Porinchu

et al., 2003

Shallow water Halkiewicz, 2005; Brodersen & Lindegaard, 1997, Campbell

et al., 2018;

Associated macrophytes Brodersen et al., 2001; Engles & Cwynar, 2011; Cranston,

2010

Littoral environments Brodersen et al., 2001; Engles & Cwynar, 2011; Fortin et al.,

2015; Haliewicz, 2005; Brodersen & Lindegaard, 1997;

Campbell et al., 2018

Standing and flowing waters Porinchu and MacDonald, 2003

Found exclusively in temporary

wetlands

Campbell et al., 2018

Image taken in July, 2019 at 40x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 1.4m depth in LC2

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127

-------- Eukiefferiella

-------- Gymnometriocnemus

-------- MO5

no available ecological data

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold water indicators Barley et al., 2006; Eggermont & Heiri, 2011

Running waters Porinchu and MacDonald, 2003

High pH and conductivity Fortin et al., 2015

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm adapted, and only appear in

lakes warmer than 12oC, most

abundant between 14-15oC

Massaferro et al., 2014

Cold adapted during the ACR Massaferro et al., 2014

Common taxa in permanent

wetlands

Pannatta et al., 2007; Dimitriadis & Cranston, 2001; Wright &

Burgin, 2007; Rees et al., 2008; Chang et al., 2015;

Woodward et al., 2017

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128

-------- Paralimnophyes

-------- Parametriocnemus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Cold indicator Chang et al., 2015

Common in deep lakes Kurek & Cwynar, 2009

Found in alpine lakes in Tasmania Rees et al., 2008

Common in eutrophic standing

and slow flowing water in

Australia

Cranston, 2010

Known to be a semi-terrestrial or

littoral taxa

Brook et al., 2007; Kurek & Cwynar, 2009

Alkaline lakes Rees et al., 2008

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm indicator Eggermont & Heiri, 2012

Abundant in sites experiencing

nutrient enrichment

Cranston et al., 1997

Highly abundant in ephemeral

wetlands and most common in

palustrine systems

Pannatta et al., 2007; Woodward et al., 2017

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 0.8m depth in LC2

Page 131: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

129

-------- SO5

no available ecological data

-------- Wood Miner

no available ecological data

--Subfamily – Tanypodinae

----Tribe – Macropalipinii

--------Aspectrotanypus

Tribe – Pentaneurini

--------Ablabesmyia

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Small cool flowing waters Cranston, 2010

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Werri Berri.

Page 132: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

130

--------Fittkauismyia

--------Pentaneurini Genus C

--------Paramerina

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm adapted Oliver & Roussel, 1983; Brodersen & Andersen, 2002;

Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Velle et al., 2005

Eutrophic indicators Wiederholm, 1983; Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Velle et al.,

2005

Associated with macrophytes Brodersen & Anderson, 2002; Engles & Cwynar, 2012

Littoral habitats Engles et al., 2012

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Typical of tropical and subtropical

regions

Cranston, 2010

Rivers and littoral regions of lakes Cranston, 2010

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Swamps and peat swamps Cranston , 2010

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm adapted Heiri et al., 2011

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Baraba.

Page 133: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

131

Tribe – Procladi

--------Procladius

Subfamily – Chironominae

--------Parochlus

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Warm adapted Heiri et al., 2011; Chang et al., 2015

Optimum temperature of 12-15oC Eggermont & Heiri, 2012; Massaferro et al., 2014; Porinchu et

al., 2003

Usually a profundal taxon Cranston & Dimitriadis, 2004; Cranston, 2010; Woodward et

al., 2017

Not associated with macrophytes Cranston & Dimitriadis, 2004; Woodward et al., 2017

Associated with shallow water

depth and warm bottom waters

Kurek & Cwynar, 2009

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Common in deep lakes Rees et al., 2008

Running waters Cranston , 2010; Brundin, 1967; Taylor, 2001

Acidic lakes Brundin, 1967; Taylor, 2001; Woodward & Shulmeister, 2006

Image taken in July, 2019 at 20x

magnification from the modern

samples of Lake Gandangarra.

Page 134: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

132

Family - Chironomide

Environmental Tolerances Reference

Strongly associated with

temperate systems

Walker et al., 1997; Medeiros & Quinlan, 2011; Rees et al.,

2008; Chase et al., 2008

Strongly associated with deep

lakes

Barley et al., 2006

Acidic lakes Brundin, 1967; Taylor, 2001; Woodward & Shulmeister, 2006

Image taken in July, 2019 at 10x

magnification from the fossil

assemblage at 1.6 m depth in LC2

Page 135: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

133

Appendix B – Comparison of Identified Taxa in the Fossil LC2

and Modern Thirlmere Samples.

Appendix B is a summary of all identified taxa from this study and where they were located.

This is an identification of presence only and indicated the representation of all species

identified across all samples analysed.

Page 136: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

134

*The subfamily Podonominae

**The tribes Procladiini (Procladius) and Macropelopiini (Aspectrotanypus).

Chironominae Orthocladiinae Tanypodinae * Unidentifiable

Tax

on

Chir

onom

us

Cla

dopel

ma

Dic

rote

ndip

es

Hari

ssiu

s

Kie

ffer

ulu

s

Mic

roch

ironom

us

Mic

rote

ndip

es

Para

chir

onom

us

Poly

nubif

er t

ype

Tanyt

ars

ini

Tanyp

all

idic

orn

is t

ype

Para

tanyt

ars

us

Rie

thia

Com

pte

rosm

itti

a

Corn

ynoneu

ra

Cri

ctopus

Euki

effe

riel

la

Gym

nom

etri

cnem

us

MO

5

Para

lim

nophye

s

Para

met

riocn

emus

SO

5

Wood M

iner

Pen

taneu

rini

Asp

ectr

ota

nyp

us

Abla

bes

myi

a

Fit

tkauim

yia

Gen

us

C

Para

mer

ina

Pro

cladiu

s

Paro

chlu

s

Unid

enti

fiable

Chir

onom

ini

Ort

hocl

adii

nae

Tanyp

odin

ae*

*

Phanto

m M

idge

Depth

(m)

0.00 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

0.20 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

0.40 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

0.60 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

0.80 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

1.00 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

1.20 x x x x x x x

1.40 x x x x x x x x x x x

1.60 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Page 137: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

135

*The subfamily Podonominae

**The tribes Procladiini (Procladius) and Macropelopiini (Aspectrotanypus).

Chironominae Orthocladiinae Tanypodinae * Unidentifiable

Tax

on

Chir

onom

us

Cla

dopel

ma

Dic

rote

ndip

es

Hari

ssiu

s

Kie

ffer

ulu

s

Mic

roch

ironom

us

Mic

rote

ndip

es

Para

chir

onom

us

Poly

nubif

er t

ype

Tanyt

ars

ini

Tanyp

all

idic

orn

is t

ype

Para

tanyt

ars

us

Rie

thia

Com

pte

rosm

itti

a

Corn

ynoneu

ra

Cri

ctopus

Euki

effe

riel

la

Gym

nom

etri

cnem

us

MO

5

Para

lim

nophye

s

Para

met

riocn

emus

SO

5

Wood M

iner

Pen

taneu

rini

Asp

ectr

ota

nyp

us

Abla

bes

myi

a

Fit

tkauim

yia

Pen

t. G

enus

C

Para

mer

ina

Pro

cladiu

s

Paro

chlu

s

Unid

enti

fiable

Chir

onom

ini

Ort

hocl

adii

nae

Tanyp

odin

ae*

*

Surface

Sample

LG-2 x x x x x x x x x x x

LWB-1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x

LC-1 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

LB-3 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

LN-3 x x x x x x x x x x

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136

Appendix C – Cluster Analysis

Appendix C shows the cluster analysis performed for the fossil assemblage for LC2. This was

created in the PAST software. Constrained cluster analysis was performed using Ward’s

Method and a Euclidean dissimilarity measure. Unidentified Chironominae were excluded

from this analysis and the unidentified Tanytarsini were spit by relative to the abundances of

the identified morphotypes.

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137

Appendix D – Significant Variables Affecting the Down-Core

Assemblage and the results of Partialling Variables.

Appendix D illustrates the. RDAs of the 5 significant variables alone and with the effect of the

other variables partialed out for the LC2 down-core assemblage. The analysis shows that no

individual variable acts directly on the assemblage when co variables are partialed out. Grey

highlights the variables being significant only when co-variables are not partialed out.

Variable Co-variable %Explained P Value

Depth None 35.4 0.002

TP 24.1 0.078

TN 21.8 0.092

Chla 23.9 0.04

Conductivity 19.9 0.16

TP None 28.8 0.002

TN 13.6 0.48

Conductivity 17.8 0.29

Depth 16.4 0.328

Chla 14 0.46

TN None 29.8 0.002

TP 14.9 0.414

Chla 20.4 0.176

Conductivity 22.6 0.068

Depth 15.1 0.42

Chla None 25.7 0.01

TP 10.3 0.69

TN 15.7 0.39

Conductivity 21.3 0.164

Depth 12.5 0.526

Conductivity None 30.5 0.002

TP 19.9 0.186

TN 23.3 0.1

Chla 26.4 0.052

Depth 13.9 0.516

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138

Correlation between environmental variables in the training set. The analysis indicates that all

the environmental variables are highly correlated.

Depth TP TN Chla COND

Depth 1

TP 0.577636789 1

TN 0.605602141 0.871967795 1

Chla 0.498173639 0.682676225 0.804508837 1

COND 0.395053953 0.710069388 0.872979827 0.635159119 1

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139

Appendix E – Similar Lakes to the Modern Thirlmere and Fossil

Samples from the Training Set.

Appendix E contains a list of the lakes from the training set shown to be similar to that of the

fossil and modern Thirlmere samples. Selected climatic and environmental data collected by

Chang et al (2015) as a part of the creation of the southeast Australian training set are shown

for to allow a comparison to climatic and environmental interpretations from Thirlmere. The

Thirlmere Lakes sample is also included for comparison.

This table illustrate the selected climatic and environmental data for lakes shown to be similar

to modern Thirlmere lakes from the RDA ordinations. Modified from Chang et al (2015). Grey

rows indicate the similar lakes on the basis of species RDA ordination alone, whereas white

rows indicate similarity based on environmental data and chironomid assemblage RDA’s.

* An additional similar lake for modern chironomid zone 1, for Lake Nerrigorang only.

**Thirlmere Lakes (sample from Lake Couridjah) for comparison.

Page 142: A Mentum In Time: Chironomids as Palaeotemperature ...

140

Code Lake Name Coordinates

Metric

Depth

m

MAT oC

TP

mg/L

TN

mg/L

Chla

µg/L

pH

-

CON

D

µs/cm

Modern Chironomid Assemblage Zone 1

LFY Lake Fyans 37.14oS, 142.62oE 2.7 13.80 0.02 0.64 3 8.79 206.00

BR Bamerang

Reservoir

34.90oS, 150.52oE 25.0 16.20 0.01 0.30 4 7.70 91.00

GHL Grahamstown

lake

32.76oS, 151.82oE 11.4 17.80 0.01 0.40 4 7.74 197.00

KID* Kinchant Dam 21.21oS, 148.60oE 4.3 22.40 0.01 0.29 3 8.44 61.00

CLU Coalstoun Lake 25.59oS, 151.91oE 0.7 21.30 0.06 0.83 3 7.45 159.00

Modern Chironomid Assemblage Zone 2

Lake Baraba

UQ UQ Lake 27.50oS, 153.02oE 1.3 20.30 0.27 1.10 69 7.50 210.00

LTK Lake

Tooliorook

37.98oS, 143.28oE 3 13.4 0.12 2.2 1 9.17 24700

GRL Green Lake 36.79oS, 142.30oE 2.1 14.30 0.18 1.50 16 8.97 553.00

GBL Grubbed Lake 37.70oS, 141.22oE 1.7 13.70 0.12 3.20 36 7.89 345.00

JUL Jubilee Lake 37.35oS, 144.14oE 1.3 11.90 0.11 0.78 5 8.95 194.00

CLU Coalstoun Lake 25.59oS, 151.91oE 0.7 21.30 0.06 0.83 3 7.45 159.00

Lake Nerrigorang

FWL Freshwater

Lake

37.59oS, 142.32oE 2.1 13.20 0.56 5.10 60 6.74 564.00

LLL Little

Llangothlin

Lagoon

30.09oS, 151.78oE 3.0 11.60 0.16 1.50 31 8.11 212.00

LRD Reedy Lake 36.72oS, 145.11oE 0.5 14.80 0.52 5.30 80 8.23 959.00

CLU Coalstoun Lake 25.59oS, 151.91oE 0.7 21.30 0.06 0.83 3 7.45 159.00

LTP Lake

Terangpom

38.14oS, 143.33oE 0.5 13.50 3.60 36 90 8.68 15,700

TL** Thirlmere Lakes 34.22oS, 150.54oE 1.8 15.00 0.05 3.20 65 6.17 249.00

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141

Appendix F – LC2 Age Depth Model in regards to Chironomid

Assemblage Zones Appendix F details the chronology of LC2 in regards to the chironomid samples and

assemblage zones. Data was compiled from Barber (2018) and Forbes et al (in prep).

Assemblage Zone Sample Depth (m) Age (cal.yr BP)

1

LC2 0.0 0.0 0

LC2 0.2 0.2 936 - 2831

LC2 0.4 0.4 2455 - 4016

2a

LC2 0.6 0.6 4441 - 5439

LC2 0.8 0.8 5790 - 6748

LC2 1.0 1.0 7413 - 7617

3 LC2 1.2 1.2 8346 - 9371

LC2 1.4 1.4 9481 - 9946

2b LC2 1.6 1.6 9883 - 10208