A Knowledge Driven Economy and its Importance for the UAE
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Transcript of A Knowledge Driven Economy and its Importance for the UAE
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1. Introduction and Context
A knowledge-driven economy and its importance to the UAE
he UAE “Vision 2021” seeks to establish the country as “One of the leading countries in the world
by 2021” (UAE Vision 2021). The vision roots this in UAE’s rich heritage, safety and stability, a
healthy population and a competitive economy. One of the four themes of the vision, “Theme 3:
United in Knowledge” aims to maximize the potential of human capital, and build a powerful,
knowledge-driven economy that is diversified and not reliant on hydrocarbons. Government’s sustained
efforts have already resulted in significantly reducing the economy’s dependence on hydrocarbons – the
oil and gas sector now accounts for 33% of the country’s GDP as opposed to 43% ten years agoi. UAE’s
Federal and local governments have consistently given the creation of a first-tier education system and
evolving a competitive knowledge economy a very high priority. For example, primary and secondary
education strategies focus on student retention and a holistic look at the process of learning for school
students, while higher education will look to enhance its curricula and standards and diversify sources of
funding. Economic strategies will encourage small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in value-adding
sectors, promote innovation, and continue to develop a workforce that is flexible, qualified and
productive.
To be United in Knowledge, the complete system of students, instructors, workers, employers and
administrators needs to work together towards a common set of goals. OECD defines a knowledge-
based economy as the centre-piece of this common purpose: an economy driven by the creation,
sharing and management of knowledge. In such an economy, there is a shift from traditional economic
activity which is focused on cost of labour and availability of natural resources. Instead, a premium is
placed on the value of intangible assets such as intellectual capital. The application of knowledge is
manifested in innovation, research, design of new and tangible products and services, and eventually
the export of unique inventions to a global marketii.
Position statement
TCO has constructed a model to evaluate UAE’s current status towards a knowledge-based economy
and, in this paper; we will progress through the model to document areas of opportunity and related
recommendations. Our analysis reflects that even though UAE is progressing well towards its aim of
being Knowledge based Economy (reflected in UAE’s ranking in the globally accepted indices); there are
several layers of detail under the overall ranks that need to be analyzed to identify challenges that need
to be addressed.
T
3
2. Framework for Assessing UAE’s
Progress Towards a Knowledge
Economy
Our model is based on four main lines of
reasoning, which are:
UAE needs to support value-adding
companies in its economy through sound
management of the financial sector,
intellectual property regime and economic
regulations
Knowledge must be built and retained
within the economy by focusing on
education that appropriately matches the
needs of the labor market
The economy should foster and support
innovating organizations creating unique
knowledge for their customers
The impact of technology and related
infrastructure investments must be
maximized to derive the benefits of a
knowledge economy
Based on the above, our model comprises of
four pillars, as defined in Figure 1.
Four Pillars of a Knowledge Economy
Our framework for evaluating UAE’s knowledge
economy is based on the Knowledge Economy
Indexiii (KEI), and insights from the Global
Competitiveness Indexiv (GCI) and the Global
Innovation Indexv (GII). Refer Figure 2. These
were selected based on our understanding of
their relevance to various government sector
leaders in the UAE. We tested the framework to
the furthest extent possible leveraging our
experience with the Local and Federal
governments in the UAE. Select indicators were
chosen to create a balanced blend of input and
output measures.
Many of the indicators are shared across the
indices. The main sources of data for all three
indices (focusing on the data we used) are:
World Bank Development Indicatorsvi, GCI
Executive Opinion Survey, UNESCO Education
Indicatorsvii, World Bank Ease of Doing Business
Reportviii and the International Labour
Organization (ILO)ix.
The Economy and Institutions
Education and the Workforce
The Innovation Ecosystem
Information and Technology
Protection of intellectual property
Availability of financing for companies
Regulation of the economy and related government procedures
Enrollment and graduation rates
Labour demand and supply
Population dynamics
Magnitude of research and development
Specialized clusters and their development
Penetration of technology
Usage of technology
Key Drivers
An economic and governance model that
incentivizes the efficient creation, dissemination and use of knowledge
An educated and skilled population that matches the requirements of the
economy
A system comprising complimentary
components that foster innovation
An information infrastructure that
supports creation and sharing of knowledge
I II III IV
Figure 1: TCO Framework for evaluating UAE’s knowledge economy
4
“Wealth is not
money. Wealth lies
in men. This is
where true power
lies, the power we
value. This is what
has convinced us to
direct all our
resources to
building the
individual and to
using the wealth
which God has
provided us in the
service of the
nation” – Sheikh
Zayed Bin Sultan Al
Nahyan
Research Methodology
This paper was prepared based on discussions
with relevant stakeholders and secondary
research. We also utilized our prior experience
in engagements with various organizations in
the UAE government. We adopted this
approach to ensure that our conclusions are
based on generally accepted data/information
instead of primary research conducted by TCO.
3. Pillar I – The Economy and
Institutions
The perception of the business environment is
extremely critical to an economy such as that of
the UAE as it is dependent on foreign direct
investment (FDI) inflows. In order to build a
knowledge-producing economy, UAE needs to
ensure that business owners and investors are
protected and eager to do business.
Government should also create an environment
that supports businesses that blend with its
traditional strengths and create value in the
economy.
Business-friendly market regulations and efficient government procedures are required to create a positive environment and perceptions of doing business
While the regulatory
environment in UAE is
generally perceived as
good (and this trend has
increased since the
inception of specialized
free zones), there are
several areas reflected in
international indices that
require attention.
UAE still ranks low in the
cost and time required
to start a business,
according to World Bank
Development Indicators .
The ‘Cost to Register a
Business as a Percentage
of GNI Per Capita’ is at
6%, placing UAE in the
50th percentile.
Moreover, with an
World Bank Knowledge
Economy Index
World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2010 -
2011
INSEAD Global Innovation Index 2011
UAE Ranking 45 out of 145 25 out of 139 34 out of 125
Number of Indicators
(Total) 109 111 60
Number of Qualitative Indicators
23 78 28
Frequency Updated as new indicator
data becomes available Updated annually Updated annually
Remarks
TCO built its own model closely based on KEI due to its relevance to the subject and its focus on quantitative data
A widely used ranking in UAE government with an extensive opinion survey as its primary
data source
A compilation of indicators shaped into a model that assesses the innovation
inherent within an economy
Figure 2: Indices used in evaluating UAE’s knowledge economy
5
average of 17 days to start a business, UAE is
ranked in the 62nd percentile worldwide.
The World Bank’s Regulatory Quality Index
measures incidence of market-unfriendly
policies such as price controls or inadequate
bank supervision, as well as perceptions of the
burdens imposed by excessive regulation in
areas such as foreign trade and business
development. UAE most recently (2009) ranked
in the 69th percentile out of all countries.
Litigation to protect against violation of
contracts is expensive – it costs 26.2% of the
contract value, in attorney and court fees, to
enforce payment against a contract. This places
UAE in the 47th percentile worldwide, as per
the World Bank Development Indicators.
These statistics highlight significant challenges
that need to be addressed in order to
sustainably attract FDI.
An economy that attracts knowledge related FDI needs a strong intellectual property (IP) regime
Protection of IP is typically a dual role played by
implementers (various agencies) and the
judicial system.
Implementers protect IP through a strong, well-
connected network that acts quickly,
communicates well with IP owners and is
consistent across the country. This network
comprises protagonists such as Customs,
Inspection Agencies, Police and legal
representatives of a company, individual or
group. Our research reflects that while all these
implementers exist, they have varying degrees
of ability in each Emirate. Channels for
communication across the network and across
Emirates are not always open, which leads to
inconsistent protection across the country.
A study conducted by the Property Rights
Alliance (International Property Rights Index )
highlights the linear relationship between IP
protection and the economy, showing that
countries with stronger IP regimes tend to have
higher GDP per capita and FDI net inflow figures
3 and 4.
Figure 4: Correlation between intellectual property protection and GDP
UAE is ranked 19th out of 139 on Intellectual
Property Protection based on the GCI executive
opinion poll, however our analysis identifies several
issues that need to be resolved. In this context it is
difficult to see how UAE can be ranked higher than
countries such as Japan and United States, who
have much more sophisticated IP protection
systems
Figure 3: Correlation between intellectual property protection and FDI
6
Furthermore, the current legal framework
employed within the judicial system does not
permit the treatment of IP infringement as a
distinct legal subject (International Survey of
Specialized IP Courts). The current IP laws
within the UAE are narrow, and do not cover all
typologies of IP, when compared to the leading
countries in IP management and protection.
Figure 5 outlines this disparity – some countries
have developed their IP laws to a high degree of
complexity, while UAE only currently has three
covering trademarks, copyright and patents and
industrial designs.
Penalties for infringement of IP are not
stringent enough to be a deterrent and are low
when compared with penalties in countries
such as Japan and the United States as shown in
figure 6 below. As an example, jail sentences for
trademark infringements have never been
Plant Variety Protection
Integrated Circuits
Genetic Resources
Traditional Cultural Expressions
IPR Regulatory Body
Geographic Indications
Chip Topography
Technology Transfer
Trade Secrets
IPR Laws in Singapore, Japan, Germany and USA
Copyright
Trademarks
Patents & Industrial Designs
Copyright
Trademarks
Patents & Industrial Designs
Dedicated IPR laws in UAE
Cultural Expressions
Trade Secrets
Implemented in the UAE
Drafted for implementation in the UAE
Not implemented in the UAE
Trademark MaximumFine (USD)
Maximumyears of
imprisonmentfor Trademark
infringement
2,70014,00062,00077,300
UAEGermanyJapanSingaporeUSA
2,000,000
1
555
10
UAEGermanyJapanSingaporeUSA
Figure 5: Comparative Analysis of Intellectual Property Protection Laws in the UAE, against those most commonly found in leading knowledge-driven economies
Figure 6: Penalties for IP infringement
7
passed in the UAE, with the maximum first time
offense penalty being AED 2,700 (USD $735). In
addition, litigation takes a long time and is often
not considered worth the effort.
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) can become the foundation of a knowledge-based economy if they are in knowledge-intensive industries and have access to capital
Small-Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are often
touted as the core of the economy in developed
nations. They usually range from 15 to 500
employees and manage revenue of less than US
$30m.
In UAE there is no uniform definition for SMEs
and this becomes a critical issue when seeking
avenues of funding. For example, the European
Union has a common definition for SMEs: small
businesses have less than 50 employees and an
annual turnover of 10m Euros; medium
businesses have less than 250 employees and
an annual turnover of 10m Euros. In the Emirate
of Dubai, which accounts for 50% of the
country’s SME population, the Mohammed Bin
Rashid Establishment for SMEs has worked with
multiple stakeholders to create a uniform
definition. It would follow that this definition is
adopted across the country.
UAE possesses the 6th highest start-up
expectation rate amongst 59 Global
Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) countries –
43% of people want to start their own business
in the next three years. However this promising
outlook is moderated by UAE having the highest
business discontinuation rate among the twenty
wealthiest GEM countriesx.
Accessing finance is often cited as the biggest
barrier to SME development, according to the
GEM UAE report. The Executive Opinion poll of
the GCI also cites ‘Access to Finance’ as the
most problematic factor to doing business in
UAE. This is supported by a ‘Domestic Credit to
Private Sector as Percentage of GDP’ ranking in
the 66th percentile out of all countries,
according to the World Bank Development
Indicators.
The nature of SMEs in the UAE has a unique
mixture which does not lend to knowledge
creation at the SME level. 53% of new business
activity in UAE is classified as ‘Consumer and
Oriented Services’ which includes industries
such as retail, restaurants and social servicesxi.
These are typically not knowledge creating or
Trading Manufacturing Services
Employees Turnover Employees Turnover Employees Turnover
Micro
Small
Medium
(AED mn)Headcount
AND
<= 9
<= 35
<= 75
<= 9
<= 50
<= 250
(AED mn)Headcount
AND
<= 20
<= 100
<= 250
<= 10
<= 100
<= 250
(AED mn)Headcount
AND
<= 20
<= 100
<= 250
<= 3
<= 25
<= 150
Ente
rpri
se C
ate
gory
Industry Group
Figure 7: SME definition, Mohammed Bin Rashid Establishment for SME Development
8
high technology industries.
An additional 31% of new business activity is
related to construction, manufacturing and
transportation. While there is scope for
innovation and the creation of efficiencies in
these sectors, the relatively low cost of labour,
especially unskilled labour, leads to low
adoption or creation of new technologies. SMEs
account for up to 90% of employees in the UAE.
Overall, 97% of start-ups are classified as using
no or low levels of technologyxii.
There have been several SMEs with success
stories in the knowledge-creating space. One of
these is Zawya, which began as a small database
of businesses in the MENA region but grew into
the leading business intelligence firm in the
region, providing news, research and data.
Notwithstanding some encouraging and
progressive SME activity in the knowledge
sphere, significant and integrated policy level
changes are required to alter the nature of
SMEs currently operating in the UAE.
4. Pillar II – Education and
Workforce
The education system serves as a supply line to
the labour market in any economy, even one as
unique as the UAE with its transient population.
This necessitates a strong link and a common
understanding between educational institutions
and employers in order to prepare students to
enter the workforce with the commensurate
skills and relevant subject knowledge.
The UAE economy draws a significant amount
of its labour supply from outside the country
and analysis of its population indicate that
many knowledge workers do not remain in the
country for extended periods of time.
Additionally, university enrollment and
graduation rates are low, and studies have
highlighted a mismatch between educational
qualifications and employer requirements. The
World Bank ranked UAE 79th (out of 145) in the
53%
31%
16% Other
Construction,
Manufacturing and
Transportation
Consumer and
Oriented Services
None or low levels of technology
Medium or high levels of technology
97%
Figure 8: Technology use in industry (Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Report)
9
“A country’s
greatest
investment lies
in building
generations of
educated and
knowledgeable
youth” –
Sheikh Khalifa
Bin Zayed Al
Nahyan
“Investment in
education means
investment in
peace and security,
which our people
undoubtedly
deserve” – Sheikh
Mohammed Bin
Rashid Al Maktoum
world on its Education
Index, a normalized
average of literacy rates
and secondary and tertiary
enrollment rates.
Enrollment and graduation rates across different levels of education need to be higher while matching the requirements of the labour market
According to the UNESCO Institute for Statistics,
the UAE rates low across all education
enrollment indicators. It is ranked 83rd
worldwide in primary school enrollment, 46th in
secondary school enrollment and 84th in
tertiary school enrollment.
The case of public (primary and secondary)
schools in the UAE (figure 9) presents a more
detailed characterization. Only 32% of students
graduate on time, with 47% repeating years and
21% of students dropping out of school
altogether. Emirati male students are an area of
concern in this regard. Of those who graduate
high-school, only 27% choose to pursue tertiary
education.
Government expenditure as a percentage of
GDP on public education, according to the
World Bank Development Indicators is at 1%,
and places UAE in the 10th percentile among all
countries on this metric. While the education
system considers these issues and revises its
approach, employers can provide
complementary support.
Low enrollment rates imply alternatives are
available – individuals with qualifications too
low to join knowledge-intensive jobs may join
family businesses or the public sector, and
Nationals can join the military or police.
This poses a significant challenge to UAE’s
aspirations of progressing to a true knowledge
economy.
University students aware of the opportunities available in the labor market after graduating should be appropriately prepared to meet labor demand
We have established the relatively low supply of
university graduates to
the workforce, and
highlighted the
opportunity for
employers to be more
involved in improving
that supply. A deeper
complexity relates to
preferences of university
students.
Drop-Out
47%
32%
Repeat
100%
21%
All Students
in UAE Public
Schools
Graduate on Time
Figure 9: UAE Public School Student Status Statistics
10
UAE ranked 5th
out of 139 in
terms of brain
drain, in the
GCI executive
opinion poll,
implying it
does not suffer
from lack of
knowledge
retention.
Analysis of
UAE’s
population
dynamics of
UAE do not
support this
perception
The Abu Dhabi Education Council conducted a
study and published statistics revealing a
significant disparity between higher education
students’ majors and labor market needs.
Interestingly, the majority of graduates pursue
degrees in more generic fields, rather than
technical knowledge-creating disciplines such as
Engineering, ICT or Education.
Figure 10: Supply & Demand misalignment between graduates and Labour market requirements
Further, according to the UNESCO Institute of
Statisticsxiii, UAE only ranks in the 43th percentile
worldwide in terms of Science and Engineering
(university) enrollment ratios. The Executive
Opinion Survey of the World Economic Forum’s
Global Competitiveness Report stated that, for
employers in the UAE, the second biggest
problem faced in doing business was the
inadequately educated workforce.
This reflects a disconnect between employers
and universities, and contributes to a low
number of knowledge intensive workers. The
International Labor Organization reports that
only 18% of workers in the UAE are classified as
‘professional or technical’ workers, putting UAE
in the 45th percentile worldwidexiv.
Knowledge retention within the economy requires long-term preservation of human capital
Approximately 89% of UAE’s population
consists of expatriates. While there are many
who have remained in UAE over long periods of
time, expatriates are by definition temporary
residents - their stay in UAE is contingent on
maintaining a job.
This transient population has an impact on
retaining knowledge within UAE’s economy. In
particular this includes technical know-how and
an understanding of UAE’s unique economic
environment.
In 2008, the financial
down-turn resulted in
many expatriates losing
their jobs and therefore
being forced to leave UAE.
Our research indicates that
approximately 9% of UAE’s
knowledge workers left
UAE in 2009.
While 2009 may have been
a year with extraordinary
circumstances, there are
other challenges for UAE’s
labour market; GCC
countries are rapidly
developing and require
large amounts of labour,
creating competition for
skilled workers.
Knowledge is flowing out of the UAE year-on-
year, and trends indicate that it will continue to
do so unless effective mechanisms for retaining
workers are implemented.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Engineering
Business
Education
Medicine
ICT
Law
Natural Sciences
Administration
Humanities and Social Sciences
% Labour Market Demand by Specalization
% S
tud
en
t En
roll
me
nt
by
Dis
cip
lin
e (S
up
ply
)
Surp
lus
Deficit
11
“In today’s
knowledge-
based economy,
what you earn
depends on
what you learn.
Jobs in the IT
sector, for
example, pay
85% more than
the private
sector average”
– Bill Clinton
5. Pillar III – Innovation Ecosystem
An innovation economy can be defined as an
ecosystem where companies, academia and
government collaborate to further economic
development through the creation of unique
products, services and employment that match
the needs of the countryxv.
An innovation ecosystem requires all its
constituent parts to function in harmony, from
the research stage to the creation and
protection of intellectual property. Both
government and private sector play critical roles
in ensuring that the ecosystem has sufficient
resources, is strategically planned and is
producing satisfying
results.
Our study of innovation
ecosystemsxvi in East Asia,
North America and Europe
(for which overall research
and development (R&D)
expenditure ranged from 2
– 5% of each country’s
GDP) reflects that
approximately 75 – 80% of
expenditure on R&D came
from the private sector in
these countries, and the
majority of expense was geared towards
product-driven research. The logical conclusion
from this is that the majority of R&D in these
countries is directed towards finding innovative
solutions to market needs. Further, about 8 –
12% of total country expenditure on R&D
comprises strategic investment by government,
either through research funds, universities,
incubators or collaboration with companies.
Universities are typically the powerhouses of an
innovative environment, however there have
been instances where government prefers to
invest resources directly in partnership with the
private sector. As a result, university
expenditure on R&D tends to range from 10 –
25% year-on-year, in the countries reviewed by
TCO (countries that were researched are
illustrated in Figure 12 on next page).
Exploration and discovery can be fuelled by unlocking funding for academic research
Government budgets were understandably
reviewed in 2010 with the emphasis on
managing costs. As a result, public universities
have had their budgets frozen up until 2013xvii.
There are three public universities in UAE, each
with a number of campuses across the country.
All of these universities are in debt to the tune
of AED 100m (US $ 27.2m) eachxviii. As recently
Visas cancelled each year for knowledge
workers
52,497(9%)
Economically Active Knowledge
Workers
585,286(8%)
Completed Higher Education
877,929(12%)
Over legal working age (18+)
5,852,858(80%)
Total Expatriate Population
7,316,073(100%)
Figure 11: 9% of knowledge workers left UAE in 2009
12
as June 2011, the Federal Government
approved a total increase in budget of AED
150m (US $ 40.8m) for public universities for
this yearxix, but this still left them AED 278m (US
$ 75.5m) overall in deficit.
UAE’s Vision 2021 highlights the need for
universities to be strategically positioned to be
the engines of innovation and research in UAE
as per Vision 2021, but it is difficult to see UAE’s
public universities fulfilling this mandate while
struggling with budgetary constraints. Indeed,
the focus of Higher Colleges of Technology in
the coming yearxx seems to be able to serve all
the incoming students in the coming fall by
having sufficient faculty and classroom facilities,
rather than fostering any ambitious plans for
upgrades. It is difficult to foresee R&D getting
the attention and resources required in this
situation.
While at the frontline success will be reflected
by dollar value of investment into academic
research, the infrastructure and long-term
sustainability of related initiatives will depend
on integrated national level planning for the
sector. This can be in the form of a national
R&D strategy, which places a mandate on both
government and the private sector to
collaborate in unlocking funding.
R&D activity in the economy is reflected by the proportion of the country’s GDP dedicated to R&D and needs to be increased to boost the levels of innovation in the UAE
These funding issues were highlighted in a
recent article entitled “Growing shortage of
skilled graduates”, published in The National
newspaperxxi. In addition to the universities’
plight, it remarked upon the need for private
universities to ‘close the research gap’ created
by the reduced funds available to Government
universities and the disparity between GDP
(estimated at 1 trillion AED or US $ 271 bn. in
the same article) and the allocated funds for
research, particularly when compared with
some of the larger global economies.
82%
74%74%
18%
26%26%
27%
Israel Finland South Korea USA Singapore Malaysia
Na
tio
na
l fu
nd
ing
as %
of
GD
P
• Corporate industry-based funding
• Can partner with higher education
• Can utilize in-house or private contracted
R&D facilities
Private sector funding Government funding
73%
5.0%
2.5%
Split between private and government
funding
• Through government agencies,
higher education institutes or
R&D funds
• Focus on academic research
71%
29%
82%
18%
Figure 12: International R&D Expenditure Comparison
13
Typically, country R&D expenditure is a
composite of government spending, private
sector investment and university budgetary
allocation, with private sector investment
forming the majority. Our research estimates
UAE’s R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP
to be approximately 0.1 – 0.2%.
As an added indication of R&D activity in the
country, the World Economic Forum’s Global
Competitiveness Index Executive Opinion
Survey asked respondents to rate UAE on a
scale of 1-7 (7 being the highest) on university –
company collaboration. The average rating UAE
received was 3.4, placing it at 59th out of 139
countries.
Clusters have the potential to be the nerve-centres of innovation if they coordinate and incentivize businesses to create rather than only trade
Through 2000-2008, the Emirate of Dubai
introduced a number of specialist free-zones to
encourage further diversification of its
economy, and attract international and local
organizations. Other Emirates in the UAE
followed suit, resulting in the establishment of
economic zones such as Fujairah Free Zone and
RAK Free Zone. Some of these specialist free-
zones (which include but are not limited to,
Dubai Silicon Oasis, Dubai Internet City and
Dubai Biotechnology and Research Park) focus
directly on technology and research; however
anecdotal evidence suggests that very few
facilitate the innovation or manufacturing of
technological products, and instead focus
predominantly on providing liaison services,
offices and warehousing space.
A review of UAE’s performance against some
export indicators leads to similar conclusions.
UAE’s trade volumes (export plus import) as a
percentage of GDP are at 159% according to
World Bank Development Indicators, which
places it in the 91st percentile worldwide. A
similar healthy performance is reflected in the
export of goods and services as a percentage of
GDP, at 91%, placing UAE in the 97th percentile
worldwide. These point to a healthy export and
re-export volume, facilitated by location and
facilities such as the Jebel Ali Free Zone.
UAE’s FDI inflows as a percentage of GDP are
also high, at 7.77%, placing it at the 84th
percentile worldwide.
However, a review of “exports”, not including
re-exports, UAE’s status as a net importer of
goods and as not producing goods and services
is exposed. According to World Bank
Development Indicators, UAE’s gross capital
goods exports are valued at an average of $37m
year-on-year from 2003-2007, placing it in the
18th percentile when compared worldwide.
Furthermore, the value of high technology
exports as a percentage of manufacturing
Percentile (0 – 100)
Gross capital goods exports, 18th
percentile
Hi-tech exports as %’age of manufacturing exports,
21st percentile
FDI inflows as %’age of GDP, 84th
percentile
Export of goods and services as %’age of GDP,
97th percentile
Trade volumes as %’age of GDP, 91st
percentile
Figure 13: UAE’s performance against trade indicators
14
The GCI Executive
Opinion Poll rated UAE as
20th out of 139 in terms of
availability of scientists and
engineer; however this perception
seems to be misplaced as reflected in figure 14.
exports was only 1% (placing UAE in the 21st
percentile worldwide).
There are 32 free zones in the UAE, with 26 in
Dubai mainly acting as centers for trade and
services. The common set of incentives across
the free zones has led to a consolidation of
purpose: regional market presence and re-
export base.
Notably, FDI Magazine, in a global review of
free zones ranked four UAE free zones among
the top 10 free zones in the world (Dubai
Airport Free Zone, Dubai Knowledge Village,
DuBiotech, Dubai Media City) in terms of
economic potential, cost effectiveness, facilities
and transportation. To this effect, the World
Economic Forum’s Executive Opinion Survey
asks respondents about the state of cluster
development: UAE’s ranking was 28th in the
world.
While an analysis of trends in the ‘Ease of Doing
Business’ over the past 10 years reveals the
benefits to UAE of the establishment of free
zones (namely due to the time and cost
components of starting a business and 100%
ownership) by increasing foreign direct
investment (FDI inflows), there has been limited
evidence that free zones have contributed to
the promotion of exports (not re-exports),
technology transfer and creation of linkages and
synergies with the local market.
The difference between the positive
perceptions of UAE’s free zones versus the lack
of results in terms of innovation and exports
indicates a disconnect that needs to be
addressed as significant investment has been
made in the free zones.
An innovative economy is driven by a high incidence of scientists and engineers in various sectors
One of the greatest
challenges UAE faces is the
low current and imminent
supply of scientists and
engineers available in the
UAE. We have previously
discussed the gap in supply
and demand between
graduates and industry
requirements; however the
gap is increasingly evident
when considering and
reviewing the distribution of the workforce
across the UAE. Considering the Ministry of
Economy’s, and the relevant Emirate level
economic departments’ classification of the
economic sectors and worker occupation
categories, 76% of the workforce has non-
technical or managerial roles, whilst 10% have
technical roles, 8% are professionals and 6% are
either legislators or members of senior
managementxxii.
The economic sectors with the greatest
representation of technical and professional
workers are interestingly, manufacturing,
construction, automotive (most likely involved
with vehicle maintenance as there are no auto
and ancillary industries in UAE), real estate, and
the public sector (assumed to be senior
government representatives and managers).
15
Overall, there are a low number of technical
workers in the UAE. Those technical workers
that do exist reside in non-innovative sectors.
This points towards a system where high-tech
companies either do not form a significant
portion of the economy, or are unable to attract
the right technical talent.
6. Pillar IV – Information Technology
The availability of technology infrastructure in a
country is usually a critical decision-point for
investors and business owners. According to
executive opinions from the GCI survey, UAE
has set up a world-leading infrastructure,
ranking 11th out of 139 countries for the
availability of technologies and 5th for firm level
absorption of available technologies. However,
the usage of technology at the individual or
household level has not been as high, bringing
to the forefront the question of cost vs. benefit
of the government’s investment into
technology.
Penetration of technology is high and with
relatively low levels of investment across
multiple forms of technology, UAE represents
one of the highest penetration rates in the
world. It ranks in the 99th percentile worldwide
for telephone lines per 1000 people, and 79th
percentile for computers per 1000 people. UAE
also ranks 10th in the world for number of
internet users per population according to the
United Nations’ International
Telecommunications Union statistics.
In terms of infrastructural investment, this is
good value for money, as business opinions rate
UAE highly on availability of technologies and
firm level absorption of technologies.
Furthermore, the investment in terms of
international internet bandwidth per person
76%
10%
8%
6%
Health and Social Work
Education
Public Administration, Defence and Compulsory Social Secu
Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities
Financial Intermediation
Other Community, Social and Personal Service Activities
Hotels and Restaurants
Wholesale and Retail Trade, Repair of Vehicles, Motorcycl
Construction
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply
Manufacturing
Transport, Storage and Communications
Mining and Quarrying
Agriculture, Hunting and Forestry and Fishing
Occupation Group
1%2%
5%
14%
13%
5%
8%3%
22%
13%
1%10%
3%0%
Professionals and
Engineers as a % of the
total UAE workforce
Distribution of Professionals and Engineers
across main economic sectors
Other
Technicians and Associate Professionals
Professionals
Legislators, Senior Officials and Managers
Figure 14: Assessment of UAE workforce occupational distribution, by economic sector
16
15
5
1
10
10
11
41
46
Lack of relevant content in preferred language
Lack of internet service providers
Family members do not use the internet
Other challenges
Have free access to internet elsewhere
Complex technology
Cost is too high
Do not need internet
according to the World Bankxxiii is only in the
67th percentile when marked worldwide.
This indicates that technology is readily available
and the country has been cost effective in reaching
these levels of penetration.
However, in order to maintain its edge, UAE will
continually need to improve the “quality of
service” and cost of access. Our interactions
with rapidly expanding free-zone entities such
as the Dubai Mercantile and Commodities
Center (DMCC) reflect that cost of
telecommunications remains a big concern for
almost all the businesses establishing
operations in DMCC.
Utilization of a high class technology infrastructure should improve efficiency
While penetration is, to some extent, an
indicator of success of the country’s investment
into technology, it doesn’t reflect the purposes
for which technology is being used.
In an ICT Household survey carried out by UAE’s
Telecommunications Regulatory Authority in
2010xxiv, it was identified from this survey that
some of the main reasons for 37% of the
population not having an internet connection at
home was related to either not having any need
for the internet at home, cost, or complexity of
technology.
Based on the fourth most prevalent response
from the survey (“Have free access to internet
elsewhere”), it is possible to assume that
internet usage is perceived to be more ‘work’
related, rather than have a recreational,
communication or personal efficiency-
enhancing application.
Surprisingly, only, 5% of the respondents stated
that they did not have an internet connection
due the ‘lack on internet service providers’,
which indicates that suitable infrastructure to
provide either broad-band or even dial-up
internet does not exist across all regions of the
UAE, presumably within rural parts of the
Emirates.
The respondents appear to be utilizing the
internet for basic tasks, with a minority using
the internet to streamline and automate tasks
that would traditionally require manual
interaction, such as shopping and the payment
of bills. Additionally, just 6% are reported to be
creating knowledge through the internet
(posting information), when compared to 34%
reading or downloading the news, 30%
downloading media, 26% getting information
about goods or services, as an example.
The GCI Executive Opinon Poll supports this,
with ‘Extent of Business Use’ ranked 47th out of
139.
There is limited to evidence to conclude if the
technology infrastructure is creating efficiencies
Figure 15: Reasons for not having an internet connection at home (% of respondents who reported to not have an internet connection at home)
17
Figure 16: Usage of internet survey
and promoting the practical use of
technologies. Anecdotal evidence also reflects
that lack of enough and quality Arabic content
also impedes the achievement of expected
objectives from the investments.
2%
81%
Internet banking
45%
Getting information about goods or services
34%
Downloading or streaming multimedia
Education or learning activities
Downloading software
Playing computer games
Paying utility bills
Getting information from government organizations
Getting health related informationInteracting with government agencies
Purchasing goods or services
Posting information
Instant Messaging
Other
30%
26%
23%
17%
15%
Sending or receiving email
Reading or downloading the news
12%
11%
9%
14%
6%
6%
6%
6%
Visiting social networking sites
18
7. Recommendations
The Economy and Institutions
Undertake a full revamp of the IP regime (regulations, compliance and recourse). This should
necessarily include consultation and engagement with all the protagonists of the knowledge eco-
system. The revised regime should be implemented in a phased manner to ensure that the economy
is not adversely affected
Review of SME funding priorities to ensure availability of funds for the knowledge based companies.
Collaborate with financial institutions to provide incentives and risk management approaches that
allow them to lend to knowledge based companies
Harmonize G2B requirements and processes across the country to improve “ease of establishing and
running a business”
Education and the Workforce
Undertake a national labor requirements and productivity study to identify the labor demand,
supply gaps/surplus with regard to the economic growth aspirations. This study should be used as a
basis for undertaking a labor reform and establishing a productivity improvement strategy for the
UAE
Establish partnerships with the private sector to establish funding and employment pathways for
high caliber students. Special emphasis should be given on developing Emirati talent in key and
emerging areas such as nuclear engineering/technology, environment/climate change and venture
capital/private equity in sectors relevant for the economy
Undertake an integrated program comprising a review of curricula, teaching methods, incentives
and awareness (students and parents) to improve the enrollment rates in secondary and tertiary
education
The Innovation Ecosystem
Implement specific budgetary quotas and allocations for R&D (e.g. Doctors of Philosophy related
funding) at the Universities
Establish partnerships with the private sector for product based R&D
Implement an integrated program comprising components such as economic incentives,
immigration policies and talent availability to encourage R&D related FDI
Information and Technology
As part of a comprehensive labor reform, consider economic incentives that motivate the
companies to leverage the technology infrastructure to improve productivity rather than resort to
“cheap” labor
Raise IT proficiency of school teachers and promote new education pedagogies that embed creative
uses of technology among the students at an early age
19
TCO Management Consulting is an initiative born out of the need for first-class consulting support in the
delivery and implementation of strategic initiatives across all forms of government. We provide
advisory services to public sector organizations in the UAE and MENA region. Through our precise focus
on the quality of service delivery, capability development, and knowledge management, TCO aspires to
be a Strategic Partner in Public Sector Innovation.
This White Paper was prepared by:
Vineet Chhatwal, Chief Operating Officer and Practice Lead at TCO based in Dubai Twitter: @vineet_chhatwal
Turan Malik, a Principal Consultant with TCO based in Dubai Twitter: @turan100
.
Dhruv Deepak, a Consultant Analyst with TCO based in Dubai
For more information please contact: T: +971 (0) 4 350 6500 or E: [email protected]
Visit http://www.tcoconsulting.com to learn more about TCO Management Consulting
© Copyright 2012
20
8. References
The following sources of information and data-points were used to inform our thinking, and the
statistics utilized in this document.
i UAE economic growth report
http://www.uaeinteract.com/docs/UAE_may_see_3.3_real_GDP_growth/46586.htm
ii OECD: Competencies for the knowledge economy
http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/42/25/1842070.pdf
iii World Bank
iv World Economic Forum
v INSEAD
vi http://data.worldbank.org/indicator
vii http://www.uis.unesco.org/
viii http://www.doingbusiness.org/
ix http://www.ilo.org/global/statistics-and-databases/lang--en/index.htm
x http://www.gemconsortium.org
xi www.iser.ae/files/contents/GEM%20UAE%20Report.pdf
xii Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Report on UAE 2009
http://www.iser.ae/files/contents/GEM%20UAE%20Report.pdf
xiii http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=198&IF_Language=eng
xiv http://laborsta.ilo.org/
xv http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/35/56/2101733.pdf
xvi TCO collective research on UAE’s R&D regime
xvii http://www.thenational.ae/news/uae-news/spending-freeze-on-uae-universities-for-2011
xviii http://www.edarabia.com/16406/some-federal-universities-in-the-uae-are-under-debt/
xix http://www.mof.gov.ae/Budget/En/Sitepages/LatestNews.aspx?Id=57
xx http://www.thenational.ae/news/uae-news/politics/budget-cuts-starting-to-bite-fnc-says
xxi http://www.thenational.ae/news/uae-news/education/growing-shortage-of-skilled-graduates
xxii UAE National Bureau of Statistics
xxiii http://info.worldbank.org/etools/kam2/KAM_page3.asp?default=1
xxiv http://www.tra.gov.ae/download.php?filename=ICT_Survey%20English%202010.pdf