A key to superior clinical reasoning and medical decision-making - …€¦ · Problem...
Transcript of A key to superior clinical reasoning and medical decision-making - …€¦ · Problem...
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A key to superior clinical reasoning and medicaldecision-making
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Describe cognitive processes of expertthinking in clinical reasoning and decision-making
Apply teaching methods that will assistlearners in utilizing expert thinking inclinical settings
Develop individual approaches toincorporate the concept of expert thinkinginto various settings
Objectives
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Unconscious Conscious
Rapid
Intuition
Deliberate
Metacognition
Quirk, M 2006Croskerry 2003
Dual-Process Model of Reasoning
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Cognitive Exercise:An 18-month old with fever and swollen eyes
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What is the Diagnosis?
6 month old with seizures
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System 1
“Trust sense of familiarity”
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System 1: Intuition
• Experience is translated into actionwithout intervention of any reasoningprocess.
• Experts address, integrate and makesense of multiple complex pieces ofdata subconsciously.
• “Pattern recognition” & “Illness script”
“Thinking without thinking”
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Early initial hypothesis
• Correct Dx hypothesis considered onceduring the encounter predicts Dx accuracy,OR 15, 95% CI (1, 219)
• Correct Dx hypothesis within the first 10questions predicts Dx accuracy,OR 24, 95%CI (2.6, 222)
• Correct Dx considered within 5 min, 95%chance of reaching a correct Dx
Neufeld 2004Nendaz 2006
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Can you memorize this?
IDENTIFYING PATTERNS IS HARD
DRAHSISNRETTAPGNIYFITNEDI
Learning in ‘chunks’ helporganize the knowledge
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What Makes The Expert?
“…no amount of rules or facts can capture theknowledge an expert has when he has stored hisexperience of the actual outcomes of tens ofthousands of cases.”
Experiential Leaning
Dreyfus & Dreyfus, 1986
Mylopoulos et al. Academic Medicine 2012
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Organized Knowledge = Expertise
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Illness script: semantic qualifiers
DiseaseA
Epidemiology
Temporal
Syndrome
Acute vs. ChronicProgressive vs. Stable
Neonate vs. OlderImmunocompromisedRace
Colicky vs. Visceral painBilious vs. Non-biliousMedical vs. Surgical
“The Key to Expert Pattern Recognition”
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Sort Out Illness Scripts
Epidemiology
Temporal
A
A man withknee pain
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Create & Compile Illness Scripts =Organize knowledge
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Patient Story
A 72-year old white man presents withknee pain that woke him up from sleep;“the worst pain I’ve ever had.” The kneewas normal before he went to bed; now it’salso swollen. He had similar problems 9months and 2 years ago.
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Problem representation
“Here’s an older man with anacute, recurrent attack ofsevere pain in a single, largejoint, a mono-arthritis. Thiscould be gout or septic arthritis.”
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Semantic qualifiers
1- Pt char. Mr. S., 72 Older man
2- Site R. knee Mono, Large
3- Course Last year Episodic
4- Severity Blankets Severe
5- Context Night At rest
6- Onset Last night Acute
Chang, Acad Med1998
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Access to ‘illness script’
Older manAcute onsetRecurrentMono, large joint
Gout,Septic arthritis
Woman
Gradual onset
Chronic
Poly, small joint
Rheumatoid arthritis
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1. Problem representation:Synthesize, Use Semanticqualifiers, Capture 3 components
DDx:
1.
2.
3.
2. Generate three DDx based on your problem representation
Disease
Epidemiology
Temporal
Syndrome
PAIRED EXERCISE
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EXAMPLE-‘illness script’
Older manAcute onsetRecurrentMono, large joint
Gout,Septic arthritis
Woman
Gradual onset
Chronic
Poly, small joint
Rheumatoid arthritis
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Compare & Contrast Scripts
Acute onsetFever, LeukocytosisMarked tendernessRapid progressionToxic appearingUnilateral > bilateralSmooth, indistinct borderRisks for infection
Subacute or ChronicAfebrileDull tendernessGradual progressionNon-toxicSymmetric, diffusely
scattered patternCutaneous changesRisks for venous stasis
Cellulitis Venous stasis
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System 1: Irrational & Unexplainable
Sydney Harris
Efficient
butError-prone
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Novice & Pattern Recognition
Actualprobability Abscess
Mononucleosis
Kawasaki’s• Illness scripts
Wrong diagnosis
Pharyngitis
Mentalavailability
• Mental state
• CognitiveBiases
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“Think it through, then decide”
System 2
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Systematic Analysis
Organized and Logical
Start with
Acute vs. Chronic
Anatomy or Structure
Pathophysiology or Mechanism of Illness
Organ System
Then
Etiology
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DDx via Etiology
V
I
N
D
I
C
A
T
E
Vascular
Infection and inflammatory (autoimmune)
Neoplastic (paraneoplastic)
Drugs
Iatrogenic and idiopathic
Congenital (developmental, genetic)
Anatomic
Trauma
Environmental and endocrine (metabolic)
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Diagnostic Checklist
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The extent of diagnostic thinkingis as good as you frame it
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A post-op teenager
• 15-yo, Hispanic male• Admitted post op frompectus excavatum correctivesurgery• abdominal pain, fatigue
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NOLA
What caused themisdiagnosis?
What went wrongwith the Illnessscript(s)?
COGNITIVE AUTOPSY
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Cognitive Biases
• Predictable patterns of deviation in judgmentthat occur in particular situations and lead tocognitive errors:
– perceptual distortion
– illogical interpretation, or irrationality
– inaccurate judgment
• Universal and may be preventable using thecognitive de-biasing process
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Availabilitybiased by ease of recall
Framingbiased by details surrounding the clinical data
Blind Obediencebiased by authority or technology
Anchoringstuck on initial impression
Premature Closureprematurely halting diagnostic workup
Common Cognitive Biases
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Cognition vs. Metacognition
Metalevel
Cognition
Control Monitor
Adapted from Nelson 1990, Psych of Learning and Motivation
“Thinking about one’s ownthinking, and others’ thinking”
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Problem Think Decision
Making a plan before thinking episode
Regulating thought during episode
Reflecting afterwards to revise the decision,and plan future practices
Metacognitive approachCognitive Approach
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Cognitive Debiasing
COGNITIVE PAUSE!
Did I put enough effort toward this problem?
Did I omit anything serious/life threatening?
Am I about to repeat my past mistakes?
Does it make clinical/logical sense?
Let’s think outside the box!
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Red Flag Prompt Objective: To determine if a “pause” and focus on isolating “red flags”
strategy during diagnostic reasoning improves diagnostic performance.
Red Flag definition:
a constellation of symptoms, signs, clinical data or circumstances thatshould lead to heightened suspicion for a serious condition and triggeradditional evaluation.
Methods:71 Pediatric resident physicians from 2 university based childrenshospitals.
Randomized controlled, scenario-based study which featured a 2 (Redflags: Yes/No) x 2 (Case Complexity: Complex/Simple) between-subjects measures design.
Results/Conclusion:
Overall, the results show that alerting the participants to watch out forred flags significantly improves diagnostic accuracy, in general, and forcomplex cases in particular.
Impact of Red Flags and Case Complexity on Diagnostic Performance among Pediatric Residents: A Randomized ControlledVignette Study. Chartan, C1. Thammasitboon, S1. Sur, M1. Krishnamurthy, P1. Singh, H2.
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Slowing Down and DebiasingGROUP EXERCISE
GROUP WORK
Discuss…
Identify opportunities in the case where theproviders could have slowed down to avoiderrors
Determine if cognitive biases led to theerrors
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Case ReframingGROUP EXERCISE
GROUP WORK
Consider the case from the perspective or“frame” of:
Resident
Nurse
Mother
How could understanding the “frame” of eachindividual impact diagnostic process?
How could this have changed their response tothe situation?
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Innovations:
Reflective Practice
MedU
Deliberate Practice Module
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System 1 vs. System 2
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2-Step Expert Thinking
Evaluate information
matching patterns with
illness scripts
Evaluate one’s ownthought to reduce biases
The Intellectually Disciplined Process
Disease
Temporal
Epidemiology
Syndrome
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Take Home Points
System 1 thinking—fast, often accurate,prone to biases Problem Representation with Semantic Qualifiers
AND Illness Scripts are a good way to developSystem 1 thinking
System 2 thinking—deliberate, oftenaccurate, prone to framing effects Cognitive debiasing and Cognitive autopsy with
reframing can help improve System 2 thinking
It is important to know when to useSystem 1 vs. System 2