A K Pandey SAIL Final

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    RAW MATERIALS AND TRANSPORTATION ::

    STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LIMITED

    17th

    May2006

    ByMr. A.K.Pandey, General Manager

    ISSUES AND OUTLOOKISSUES AND OUTLOOK

    JOINT INDIA / OECD / IISI WORKSHOP ON STEEL

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    1. India: A future growth hub

    2. Critical Raw Materials Scenario:

    Indian Perspective

    3. Critical Infrastructure:

    Indian Perspective

    4. Key Issues

    PRIMARY FOCUS

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    World Steel Industry Top Ten

    Source: IISI 2005

    9

    4

    8

    3

    2

    S. Korea

    47.7 mT

    5

    6

    Italy

    29.1 mT

    10

    Germany

    44.5 mT

    Ukraine

    38.6 mT

    7

    USA

    93.9 mT

    Russia66.1 mT

    Brazil

    31.6 mT

    India

    38.1mT

    1

    China349.4 mT

    Global crude steel Production: 1130.0million tonnes (mT)

    Japan

    112.5 mT

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    Skilled Human

    Resources

    Abundant Iron Ore

    Government Policy

    Huge Potential for Demand

    High GDP growth rate of 7% 1 billion population

    Low per capita steel consumption of 33kg (World av. 181 kg)

    Reserves 23 billion tonnes

    Stable currency

    Easing of regulations

    Strong Banking & judicial

    system

    Growthfactors

    for India

    Encouraging trade relations with

    ASEAN and other countries

    Infrastructure building

    Exploring new Energy resources

    Indian Potential for Steel

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    Approved by Government of India in September 2005

    SteelProduction

    Imports Exports Consumption

    2004-05 38 2 4 36

    2019-20 110 6 26 90

    Major Emphasis:Critical Input Raw Materials: Iron Ore and Coking CoalInfrastructure facilities like Roads, Railways and Ports.

    Focus:Human ResourcesTechnology Research and DevelopmentMarket outlook on prices of steel

    Environmental Concerns.

    National Steel Policy-2005

    Milion Tonnes

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    Critical inputs for Steel Production

    Iron Ore

    Coking Coal

    Projected Requirement of Critical inputs

    Iron Ore Coking Coal Non Coking Coal

    2019-20 190 70 26

    2004-05 54 27 13

    Raw Materials Requirement

    New Additions through BF Route (60%),Electric Arc Furnace (33%), others (7%)

    Million Tonnes

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    Iron Ore Reserves

    Total Reserves about 23 BT (P) Haemetite (11.43 BT) and Magnetite (10.68 BT). High grade haemetite (65%) only 14% of total

    reserves.

    Iron Ore - Reserve Availability

    3985 4014

    2651

    8897

    803

    3254

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    60007000

    8000

    9000

    Jharkhand

    Orissa Chhattisgarh

    Karnataka

    Goan Others

    Million

    Tonnes

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    Iron Ore Production

    (MillionTo

    nnes)

    Increase in production driven by export

    Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, Jharkhand and Orissa -major share

    Iron Ore Production Scenario

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

    75 8186

    99

    120

    145

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    Iron Ore Domestic Consumption

    Million

    Tonnes

    Major consumer SAIL and TISCO - captive mines RINL - NMDC ESSAR, Ispat, Vikram Ispat, JVSL - NMDC & others

    Iron Ore Domestic Consumption

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

    44 42 4150

    52 54

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    Iron Ore Exports

    3337

    42

    48

    63

    78

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

    MillionTonnes

    Exports to China has increased due to surge in demand More than 90% of exports comprise of iron ore fines Low demand of iron ore fines in Indian segment

    Iron Ore Exports

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    InNumbers

    Rapid Growth in Productivity per mines at a CAGR of 10%

    Source : IBM, Nagpur

    Mine in Operation & Production

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05

    474

    247

    474

    247

    604

    242

    605

    221

    638

    202

    LeaseGranted/Executed

    Mines in Operation

    Production (In Million

    Tonnes)

    (Nos)

    99.1

    120.6

    145

    80.8 86.2

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    ORGANISATION / STATE PRODUCTION

    CAPACITY

    NMDC

    Bailadila (11A,11B,11C),Donimalai, Kumarswamy

    22

    SAILKiriburu,Meghahatuburu,Bolani,

    Barsua,Rajhara,Dalli,Gua,Kalta

    25

    TISCO

    Noamundi,Joda

    10

    GOA 30

    Karnataka,Orissa,Jharkhand 58

    Total 145

    Present Capacity (Million Tonnes)

    Iron Ore Scenario

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    Sl.No. Area Mine Expected Capacity(mT/annum)

    1. Chhattisgarh Bailadila-10&11A 7.0

    2. Chhattisgarh Bailadila-11B 7.0

    3. Chhattisgarh Rowghat 14.0

    4. Jharkhand Chiria 10.0

    5. Orissa Daitari 3.0

    6. Orissa Sundergarh 10.0

    7. Bellary-Hospet Kumarswami 7.0

    8. Bellary-Hospet Ramandrug 10.0

    9. Andhra-Pradesh

    Ongole Magnetite 3.0

    Total 71 MT

    Total expected capacity in 2011-12 =215MT(approx.)

    New Capacities by 2011-12

    Iron ore - Future Perspective

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    Domestic requirement 190 mTExports 100 mTTotal Requirement 290 mT

    Additional modern mining 200 mT.and beneficiation facility

    Likely investments Rs.20000 cr(4.5 B US $)

    2019-20

    Iron Ore Future Perspective

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    Strategies envisaged

    Investments plans for idle mining leases.

    Speedy renewal of existing mining leases

    Grant of new mining leases:

    Environmental & Forestry Clearances in fixed timeframe

    Incentives for Value addition for iron ore fines.

    Encouragement for scientific and large scalemining

    Iron Ore Future Perspective

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    IRON ORE EXPORTS

    Projected iron ore exports 100MT

    No appreciable increase in quantum envisaged

    Future Policy envisaged

    High grade lump to be leveraged for imports of

    coking coal or for investment in India.

    Maintain balance between exports anddomestic consumption

    (2019-20)

    Iron Ore Future Perspective

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    1. Slow pace of growth of the mineralsector

    Time taking procedures in grant of

    RP/PL/ML viz-a-viz other countries likeAustralia, Canada etc

    2. Review of existing procedures for

    granting RP/PL/ML

    Delay in obtaining statutory clearances:

    Iron Ore Key Issues

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    3. Less utilization of iron ore fines in iron

    and steel industry.

    4. Iron ore resources to be further

    established by more exploration.

    Iron Ore Key Issues

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    In-situ Reserves of Coal in India 246 billion

    tonnes at depth of 1200 meters (as on 1.1.2004).

    Type of Coal Proved Indicated Inferred Total

    Coking 16.4 13.5 2.1 32.0

    Non-Coking 75.1 102.7 35.8 213.6

    Total 91.5 116.2 37.9 245.6

    Billion Tonnes

    Majority of reserves lies in the states of Jharkhand(29%) and Orissa (25%).

    Coal

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    Proven Coking Coal Reserves (as on 1.1.2004) - 16.4 BT

    Category of coking coal Proven Reserves in BT

    Prime Coking Coal 4.6

    Medium Coking Coal 11.3

    Blendable/Semi-Coking 0.5

    Total 16.4

    Coking Coal Indian Scenario

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    21.2

    19.5

    1818.4 18.3

    11.811.4

    10.7

    11.811.1

    10

    15

    20

    25

    1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

    Coking Coal declined from 33 MT (99-00) to 29.4 (03-04) Significant proportion of coking coal not suitable for metallurgical

    purpose. Production of raw coking coal has fallen Washed coal availability would be much lower.

    CokingCoalproduc

    tion

    Metallurgical

    Non-Metallurgical

    Coking Coal Indian Scenario

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    Proven Non Coking Coal Reserves (as on 1.1.2004) - 75.1 BT

    Constitutes 82% of the total coal reserves in India.

    271.1 282.8

    299.1 311.1331.8

    100

    1000

    1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

    Non

    CokingCoal

    production

    Quantitatively, no problem faced by Indian Steel Industry. Qualitatively, require high grade of non-coking coal for

    sponge iron industry.

    Non Coking Coal Indian Scenario

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    Requirement of coking coal 70 MT

    Likely % available from imports 85%

    Strategies envisaged Allotment of new coal blocks to steel industry

    Joint Ventures and Equity participation abroad bysteel and coal companies.

    Development and Adaption of technologies insynergy with natural resource base (non-cokingcoal).

    Investment in beneficiation of coal.

    2019-20

    Coking Coal Future Perspectives

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    Requirement of non coking coal 26 MT

    Higher grades of non coking coal will be essential

    Strategies envisaged

    Priority for steel industry and sponge iron of highergrades of non-coking coal (below 12% ash).

    Greater flexibility in-sale of surplus coal.

    -Re-allocation of existing unused linkages withCIL

    Joint Ventures of Public Sector and Private Sector forlarger investments.

    2019-20

    Non-Coking Coal Future Perspectives

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    Limited proven coking coal reserves in India.

    Quality parameters to match to requirementsof Indian steel plants.

    Huge dependence on imports.

    Beneficiation of low volatile medium cokingcoal (LVMC) for metallurgical purpose.

    Promote prospecting and exploration activities

    to establish further resources at lower depth.

    Coking Coal Key Issues

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    Inferior quality of non-coking coal with highcontent of ash percentage.

    Availability of high qrade non -coking coalfor sponge iron industry.

    Non-Coking Coal Key Issues

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    Modes of transport -Roads

    -Railways-Ports

    Facilitate transportation of Raw Materials, FinishedSteel and other products.

    Every tonne of steel production involvestransportation of 4 (four) tonnes of material.

    The envisaged addition of 75 million tonnes of steel

    production annually implies 300 million tonnes ofadditional traffic

    Gain competitive edge both in domestic and overseasmarket.

    Transportation

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    MT

    Traffic for roads, due to steel industry by 2020,would increase by 300%(approx.).

    The road network needs would be expanded The steel plants and mines to be integrated with

    the national highway development.

    * Excludes traffic due to export of iron ore

    Roads: Future Perspective

    Traffic handled by Road (MT)

    34100

    277761

    177

    0

    100

    200

    2004-05 2019-20

    RawMaterials*

    Finished Steel

    Total

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    MT

    Traffic for railways, for steel industry by 2020, wouldincrease by 300%(approx.).The railway facilities wouldbe expanded substantiallyParticipation by the steel industry in creation of railwayinfrastructure

    * Excludes traffic due to export of iron ore

    Railways Future perspective

    Traffic handled by Railways (MT)

    80

    230

    11 33

    91

    263

    0

    100

    200

    300

    2004-05 2019-20

    Raw Materials*

    Finished Steel

    Total

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    Bulks to be handled at ports (MT) CAGR

    2004-05 2019-20

    Import Export Total Import Export Total

    Raw

    Materials*

    19.3 78 97.3 85 100 185 4.4%

    Steel 2 4 6 6 26 32 11.8%

    Total 21.3 82 103.3 91 126 217 5.1%

    * Including iron ore

    Port Traffic

    Enormous dependency on port infrastructure is foreseen inthe near future.

    Steel producers intervention in development of ports and berthfacilities is needed for improving productivity, turn around time,capacity to handle larger vessels and other operationalparameters of efficiency.

    Ports - Future Perspective

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    Roads

    Inadequate road linkages between mines and steel plants.

    Railways

    Limited Rail linkages between mines and steel plants.

    Need for high capacity wagons for improving carrying capacity.

    Investments for promoting dedicated rail linkages. Ports

    Capacity to hold larger size vessels at the ports.

    Development of associated infrastructure like weighment facilities,coal holding facilities.More draft for handling larger size vessels.

    Railway network needs to be strengthened for handling high capacityat ports

    Transportation - Issues

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    India - a dominant economy in 21st century.

    Government focused approach and interventions arefacilitating fast track growth.

    Synergy in meeting iron ore and coking coal requirements

    Iron Ore: Initiatives for simplification of procedures havebegun..

    Joint Ventures and Equity participation abroad by steel andcoal companies for augmenting supplies of coking coal.

    Investments in beneficiation of non-coking coal as well asestablishing Natural Gas as an alternative source for usage insponge iron industry.

    CONCLUSIONS

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    THANK YOU