A Climate Vulnerability Assessment Tool for communities ... · o gr o n s S t s th ge a t e r d s...
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A Climate Vulnerability Assessment Tool for communities and water infrastructure Stockholm World Water Week 26 August 2018
Transcript of A Climate Vulnerability Assessment Tool for communities ... · o gr o n s S t s th ge a t e r d s...
A Climate Vulnerability Assessment Tool
for communities and water infrastructure
Stockholm World Water Week
26 August 2018
Problem Statement
• Rural communities facing climate risks - highly vulnerable to climate impacts
• Communities have limited capacity to adapt to risks
• Tool assesses current risk and vulnerability
• Based on updated Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change methodology
How the tool works: Framework
Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity
Vulnerability Exposure Hazard
Risk
V = S - AC R = H + (E x V)
How the tool works: Structure
Survey
• Questionnaire to local stakeholders on climate and climate impact
• Questionnaire on adaptive capacity
Assessment and diagnostics
• Climate risks
• Status of adaptive capacity
• Review interventions
• Propose prioritised interventions
Question Comments/Description Answer?
1 Temperature Seasons Does your area experience seasonal temperature variability? During the year (across seasons), is temperature higher/lower than usual? Yes, higher than usual
Annual Trends Does your area experience inter-annual temperature variability? Over multiple years (i.e. trend), is temperature higher/lower than usual? Yes, higher than usual
Hot days During the hottest days, are you impacted by heat-related stress How often do you experience heat-related water stress? Sometimes
2 Rainfall Seasons Does your area experience seasonal rainfall variability? During the year (across seasons), is rainfall higher/lower than usual? Yes, higher than usual
Annual Trends Does your area experience inter-annual rainfall variability? Over multiple years (i.e. trend), is rainfall higher/lower than usual? Yes, higher than usual
Heavy Rainfall Are heavy rainfall events prevalent in your area? Do you often have high rainfall events? Yes
3 Droughts Events Are droughts prevalent in your area? Do you often experience droughts? Sometimes
Timing If droughts do occur, do they occur at the same time of the year? Is the timing of droughts consistent? Sometimes
Extent If droughts do occur, is the extent and intensity of the drought changing? Are droughts getting worse or better? Yes, but more
Effect When droughts do occur, do they impact any part/aspect of your area? Are you affected by droughts? Sometimes
4 Floods Events Are floods prevalent in your area? Do you often experience floods? Sometimes
Timing If floods do occur, do they occur at the same time of the year? Is the timing of floods consistent? Often
Extent If floods do occur, is the extent and intensity of the floods changing? Are floods getting worse (more impact/intensity) or better (less impact/intensity)? Yes, but less
Effect When floods do occur, do they impact any part/aspect of your area? Are you affected by floods? Sometimes
5 Other Factors Fire Do you frequently experience fires? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by fire in and around your area? Yes, but not impacted
Snow Do you frequently experience snowfall? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by snowfall in and around your area? No
Hail Do you frequently experience hail storms? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by hail in and around your area? Yes, but not impacted
Tornado Do you frequently experience tornadoes? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by tornadoes in and around your area? No
Earthquake Do you frequently experience earthquakes? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by earthquakes in and around your area? Yes, but not impacted
Volcano Do you frequently experience volcanoes? And if yes, are you impacted? Are you impacted by volcanoes in and around your area? No
Hazard
CURRENT HAZARDS
HAZARD
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current climate hazards The graph below illustrates the current climate hazards
Temperature
Rainfall
Droughts
Floods
Other Factors
Legend: Low Medium High
FUTURE
Seasons Annual Trends Hot days
Seasons Annual Trends Heavy Rainfall
Events Timing Extent Effect
Events Timing Extent Effect
VolcanoFire Snow Hail Tornado Earthquake
-0.5
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Se
aso
ns
An
nu
al T
ren
ds
Ho
t d
ay
s
Se
aso
ns
An
nu
al T
ren
ds
He
avy
Ra
infa
ll
Ev
en
ts
Tim
ing
Exte
nt
Eff
ect
Ev
en
ts
Tim
ing
Exte
nt
Eff
ect
Fir
e
Sn
ow
Ha
il
To
rna
do
Ea
rth
qu
ake
Vo
lca
no
Temperature Rainfall Droughts Floods Other Factors
High
Med
Low
EXPOSURE
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current levels of exposure The graph below illustrates the current levels of exposure
Livelihoods
Health & Safety
Services
Water Supply
Infrastructure
Legend: Low Medium High
Water Supply Water Treatment Water StorageEcol & Green
InfraEnergy
Roads & Public
Infra
Food security Crops Livestock
Water Borne Diseases Vector Diseases Safety
Access Quality Droughts FloodsOther Climate
Hazards
Housing Land Community Sanitation Energy
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Fo
od
se
cu
rity
Cro
ps
Liv
esto
ck
Wa
ter
Bo
rne
Dis
ea
se
s
Ve
cto
r D
ise
ase
s
Sa
fety
Ho
usin
g
La
nd
Co
mm
un
ity
Sa
nit
ati
on
En
erg
y
Acce
ss
Qu
ali
ty
Dro
ug
hts
Flo
od
s
Oth
er C
lim
ate
Ha
za
rds
Wa
ter
Su
pp
ly
Wa
ter
Tre
atm
en
t
Wa
ter
Sto
ra
ge
Ec
ol &
Gre
en
In
fra
En
erg
y
Ro
ad
s &
Pu
blic
In
fra
Livelihoods Health & Safety Services Water Supply Infrastructure
High
Med
Low
SENSITIVITY
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current levels of sensitivity The graph below illustrates the current levels of sensitivity
Human
Institutions
Infrastructure
Natural Resources
Financial Resources
Legend: Low Medium High
Water Storage Water Supply Roads & Transport Energy Housing / Shelter
Diverse Livelihoods Climate Information Agric Information Women Health
Water user forums Farming forums Weather data Health
Land Water Resources Ecosystems Soil
Sustainable Income Diverse Income
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Div
erse
Liv
eli
ho
od
s
Cli
ma
te
In
form
atio
n
Ag
ric
In
form
atio
n
Wo
me
n
He
alt
h
Wa
te
r u
se
r f
oru
ms
Fa
rm
ing
fo
ru
ms
We
ath
er d
ata
He
alt
h
Wa
te
r S
to
ra
ge
Wa
te
r S
up
ply
Ro
ad
s &
Tra
nsp
ort
En
erg
y
Ho
usin
g /
Sh
elt
er
La
nd
Wa
te
r R
eso
urce
s
Ec
osy
ste
ms
So
il
Su
sta
ina
ble
In
co
me
Div
erse
In
co
me
Human Institutions Infrastructure Natural Resources FinancialResources
High
Med
Low
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current adaptive capacity The graph below illustrates the current adaptive capacity
Human
Institutions
Infrastructure
Natural Resources
Financial Resources
Legend: Good Ave Poor
Finance
Water Storage Green Infra Roads & Transport Maintenance Housing / Shelter
Climate Info Climate Smart Agr EWS Info Women Health Awareness
EWS Engagement Resources Health
Insurance
Land Water Resources Ecosystems Soil0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Cli
ma
te
In
fo
Cli
ma
te
Sm
art A
gr
EW
S I
nfo
Wo
me
n
He
alt
h A
wa
re
ne
ss
EW
S
En
ga
ge
me
nt
Re
so
urce
s
He
alt
h
Wa
te
r S
to
ra
ge
Gre
en
In
fra
Ro
ad
s &
Tra
nsp
ort
Ma
inte
na
nce
Ho
usin
g /
Sh
elt
er
La
nd
Wa
te
r R
eso
urce
s
Ec
osy
ste
ms
So
il
Fin
an
ce
Insu
ra
nce
Human Institutions Infrastructure Natural Resources FinancialResources
Good
Ave
Poor
VULNERABILITY
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current vulnerability - viewed by the same categories as 'sensitivity' The graph below illustrates the current levels of vulnerability
and 'adaptive capacity'
The table below illustrates the current vulnerability - viewed by the same categories as 'exposure'
Legend: Low Medium High
The table below illustrates the current levels of vulnerability in more detail The graph below illustrates the current levels of vulnerability
Livelihoods
Health & Safety
Services
Water Supply
Infrastructure
Legend: Low Medium High
Food security Crops Livestock
Human Institutions Infrastructure Natural Resources Financial Resources
Water Borne Diseases Vector Diseases Safety
Water StorageEcol & Green
InfraEnergy
Roads & Public
Infra
Housing Land Community Sanitation Energy
Livelihoods Health & Safety Services Water Supply Infrastructure
Access Quality Droughts FloodsOther Climate
Hazards
Water Supply Water Treatment
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Fo
od
se
cu
rity
Cro
ps
Liv
est
ock
Wa
ter
Bo
rne
Dis
ea
ses
Ve
cto
r D
ise
ase
s
Sa
fety
Ho
usi
ng
Lan
d
Co
mm
un
ity
Sa
nit
ati
on
En
erg
y
Acc
ess
Qu
ali
ty
Dro
ug
hts
Flo
od
s
Oth
er
Cli
ma
te H
aza
rds
Wa
ter
Su
pp
ly
Wa
ter
Tre
atm
en
t
Wa
ter
Sto
rag
e
Ec
ol &
Gre
en
In
fra
En
erg
y
Ro
ad
s &
Pu
blic
In
fra
Livelihoods Health & Safety Services Water Supply Infrastructure
High
Med
Low
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Live
liho
od
s
He
alt
h &
Sa
fety
Se
rvic
es
Wa
ter
Su
pp
ly
Infr
ast
ruct
ure
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Hu
ma
n
Inst
itu
tio
ns
Infr
ast
ruct
ure
Na
tura
lR
eso
urc
es
Fin
an
cia
lR
eso
urc
es
High
Med
Low
High
Med
Low
RISK
CURRENT The table below illustrates the current levels of risk, by category The figure below illustrates the current levels of risk, by category
Legend: Low Medium High
The table below illustrates the current levels of risk The figure below illustrates the current levels of risk
Livelihoods
Health & Safety
Services
Water Supply
Infrastructure
Legend: Low Medium High
FloodsOther Climate
Hazards
Water Supply Water Treatment Water StorageEcol & Green
InfraEnergy
Roads & Public
Infra
Food security Crops Livestock
Water Borne Diseases Vector Diseases Safety
Housing Land Community Sanitation Energy
Access Quality Droughts
Livelihoods Health & Safety Services Water Supply Infrastructure
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
Fo
od
se
cu
rity
Cro
ps
Liv
est
ock
Wa
ter
Bo
rne
Dis
ea
ses
Ve
cto
r D
ise
ase
s
Sa
fety
Ho
usi
ng
Lan
d
Co
mm
un
ity
Sa
nit
ati
on
En
erg
y
Acc
ess
Qu
ali
ty
Dro
ug
hts
Flo
od
s
Oth
er
Cli
ma
te H
aza
rds
Wa
ter
Su
pp
ly
Wa
ter
Tre
atm
en
t
Wa
ter
Sto
rag
e
Ec
ol &
Gre
en
In
fra
En
erg
y
Ro
ad
s &
Pu
blic
In
fra
Livelihoods Health & Safety Services Water Supply Infrastructure
High
Med
Low
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
Live
liho
od
s
He
alt
h &
Sa
fety
Se
rvic
es
Wa
ter
Su
pp
ly
Infr
ast
ruct
ure
High
Med
Low
World Café table discussion topics
• Are the definitions of vulnerability and risk clear and understandable? How do we communicate these to communities and key decision makers?
• Can a non-climate expert use the tool?
• Are there other factor that need to be taken into account in the analysis? Are there factors that can be dropped?
• Can the presentation of the results be improved?
• How should the analysis be extended to identify opportunities to address the risks?
