A Blueprint of Indian Steel Industry. Wootz Steel (400-420 A.D.) “Wootz was the first High Quality...
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Transcript of A Blueprint of Indian Steel Industry. Wootz Steel (400-420 A.D.) “Wootz was the first High Quality...
A Blueprint
of
Indian Steel Industry
Wootz Steel (400-420 A.D.)
“Wootz was the first High Quality Steel made anywhere in the world. According to travelers to the East, the Damascus Swords were made by forging small cakes of Steel that were manufactured in South India. This Steel was called “Wootz”. It was a 1000 years before Steel as good was made anywhere in the West. “
Indian Steel Industry
- An Overview
India – A Few Statistics World’s Biggest Democracy
Population – 1.045 Billion
Area -3.16 Million Sq Kms (7th Largest)
GDP - $512 Billion
Became independent on Aug 15, 1947
Recent Past of Steel- Controlled Regime- Till 1991
3 Integrated Producers with full “control” by Government
Secondary Steel producers only in long products.
Controlled Imports with restrictions on end use, duty of upto 150%
Continuous situation of shortage for the last 35 years
In 1992, SAIL only manufacturer of HR Coils.
Total Steel Capacity 14 Million MT
Recent Past – Decontrol & Growth 1994-99
In 1991-94, Indian Economy was Liberalized, & all Manufacturing (Incl Steel) was de-licensed
4 New Steel Plants -1993-1998 Total Capacity increased 6 Million Tons
Customs Duties reduced from 150% to 15%(Currently5%)
Imports were freely allowed Downstream Activities increased
Galvanized Coils & Cold Rolling-Approx 10 Plants Pipes-Apprx 15 Plants
Metallics – Only 4 DRI Plants
Total Steel Capacity 25 Million MT
Recent Past - Stagnation 1999-2002
The World Market Collapsed Demand for all commodities, including Steel Collapsed The Far East & Russian Currencies Collapsed These led to Over Capacities in Steel, in World Market Customs Duties being Low, India was not Insulated New Capacities continued to be added, based on Old
Projected Growth India Starts Exporting Steel Prices reached all time LOW
Total Steel Capacity 27 Million MT
Today – A New Confidence2002 onwards
The ‘New Boom’ triggered by the US announcement of Sec 201, placed India in a strong position in the USA Market
Quality a Gainer, since the Quantities were guaranteed
Cautious approach to Growth, after the depression of last 5 years
India emerges as a World Force in Value added Steels, for example Thin Gauge GP. Large Dia API Pipes
Total Steel Capacity 36 Million MT
Indian Steel Growth-Slowly, Steadily
1.1 1.1 1.623.23
5.056.75
9.36
12.02
14.3
24.226.2
36.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Stagnation
Controlled Regime
Decontrol
Con
fiden
ce
1951 20051991
Upstream & Metallics - India’s Potential
Iron ore Reserves of 13.46 Billion MT (131 Years)
Current Mining of 102 Million MT Exports of Iron ore 48 Million MT Pelletisation-Currently 3 Plants, & 3 more
plants being implemented DRI –India #1 in the world- Nearly 11
Million MT in 2005, & Capacity of 2 Million being added
5 Mini Blast Furnaces upto 550 M3 are also being setup
Downstream Capacities-Value, Not Volume Pre Painted & Galvanized Coils
1.60 Mill MT New Cap in Galvanized has been Planned , increase of 35%
0.24 Million MT Capacity in Prepainted has been Planned , increase of 300%
This includes Required Cold Rolled Capacities also Total Galvanized Capacity will become 6.39 Million
MT by 2006 Pipes
DSAW, Spiral welded API Pipes Capacity Addition is already taken place - Capacity is now 2.12 Million MT, from 324,000MT in 2000
ERW Pipe growth is steady, at 10-12% Per Annum, & currently it is 1.49 Million MT
DI & CI Pipes – Capacities being added
Composition of Steel Production -A Value Proposition
Long Products
HR
Plate
CR
GP
Pipe
HR
Quantity
%age
LongProds.
13.928 42%
HR 7.254 22%
Plates 1.832 5%
CR 2.251 7%
GP 4.790 14%
Pipes 3.616 11%
Total 33.670 100%
Pipe Production For ERW Pipes from ½” – 16”
Capacity 3.16 Million Tons Per Annum Capacity utilization 70-75% Percentage of Black to Galvanized 60 – 40 % Export Quantity 0.45 Million Tons per annum.
For DSAW/SW Pipes 18” – 36” Capacity 2.12 Million Tons Per Annum Capacity utilization % 75 – 80 Export Quantity 0.5 Million Tons per annum
Indian Steel Industry
- A Future Giant?
India - A Future Giant?
Objectives of the National Steel Policy:To increase steel making capacity
From 35 million tons in 2004
to 60 million tones in 2012
to 100 million tons in 2020
India - A Future Giant? Strengths
Iron Ore reserves of Trained Manpower Stable & Vibrant
Democracy Market – A strong
Middle Class Overall economical
Growth is sustainable Global Location for
Exports Indians already
making 120 Million MT
Weaknesses Capital Availability Lack of Proper
Infrastructure Resources Like Coke,
Coal Plant & Machinery
Availability Government Policies
Vacillation Inconsistent Growth
Rates Manpower Shortage
since Indians already make 120 million MT
Immediate New Capacities Planned
Greenfield and Brownfield Capacity addition plan announced 6 Plants of 2 Million Tons & Up (Flat & Long Products) 87 Plants of 100,000 to 200,000 (all Long) All existing plants enhancing their Capacities, by 10-15%
Global majors like POSCO & Mittal Group have shown in putting up Integrated steel mills in India.
It is estimated that if all the plans fructify, Indian Steel capacity will be 60 million MT by 2012, which needs an investment of over USD 17 Billion
To reach 100 million MT by 2020, total required investment will be USD 37 Billion
Demand Indicators
Automobiles HCV’s/LCV’s- Growth 25% last 2 years , per
Annum Passenger Cars & 2 Wheelers-Growth 21% last 2
years , per Annum Exports of 800,000 Passenger vehicles projected by 2008
Housing Growth of 19% in organized sector Growth in Rural sector & Unorganized sector is
not measured. GDP Growth is currently 6.2%, from high of 8.5%
last year Manufacturing Sector Growth is 9.0% current year Capital Goods Industry Growth is 14.4%
Apparent Steel Consumption in India during 2003 - 2004
Production
Import Total Availability Export App Cons/capita
36.10 1.82 37.92 5.15 32.77
The total domestic Consumption is 32.7 million tons
Export at 5.15 Million Tons is 14.3% of Production
Can India Sustain 100 Million MT Consumption?
YearPopulation (Millions)
Growth over Previous decade (actual) and forecasted growth rates (beyond 2001)
Apparent Steel Consumption (Million MT)
Estimated Per Capita Steel consumption (KG)
1981 683 24.7% 17.658 25.85
1991 846 23.9% 23.658 27.41
2001 1027 21.4% 29.191 28.42
2011 1222 19% 62.600 63.04
2021 1429 17% 103.000 138.03
Projected Growth Rates in Per Capita Steel Consumption
GLOBAL EXPERIENCE-Benchmarking
Country Current Per Capita Consumption (KG)
South Korea 917
Japan 562
Germany 407
USA 309
Malaysia 307
China 163
World Average 144
India 29
CHALLENGES – AN OVERVIEW
A sustained growth of GDP at 6% and steel consumption at 7% for the next 16 years
Financing Greenfield Projects for the Long Term- An Investment of $37 Billion
Reaching Per Capita Growth of 138 Kgs, against Historical Consumption of 30 Kgs, & Lesser
Exporting 5 Million Tons till 2012 if consumption grow at 6% per annum and 8 Million Tons by 2020.
GLOBAL EXPERIENCE-Benchmarking
Developed countries like USA, Russia, Japan went through a manufacturing led growth, with thrust on value added steel production.
Chinese experience was building capacities slowly to match higher domestic demand.
Being highly Populated, a healthy Mix of Both strategies will be followed by India
Introduction to Lloyds
-A Quick Sales Spiel
Lloyds Group in Steel One of the top 100 Companies in India One of the top 10 steel producers in India 5 Manufacturing Units Totally Integrated Operations-
From DRI to Value Added Steels API HR Coils, Commodity HR Coils Galvanized Coils Galvanized Pipes, & API Pipes
Exported 120,000 MT of Galvanized Coils & Pipes to the USA between Mar 2002 & Dec 2004
Total Employees Currently – 2761 Total Sales Mar ‘2005 Apprx $383 Million
Lloyds Group in Steel 5 DRI Kilns-Capacity 225,000 MTPA
Currently 150,000 Scrap Trading Company-300,000MTPA 2 EAF’s, 60MT Capacity 2 Slab Casters
#2 will be commissioned by Dec 2005 One 4 Hi-Steckle Mill, Allied Facilities 2 Cold Rolling Mills, Allied Facilities 2 Galvanizing Lines
#2 will be commissioned by April 2005 3 ERW Pipe Mills
From ½ “ to 14” 2 Galvanizing Lines
Lloyds Group in Steel-Value Added Product Range Hot Rolled Coils & Plates
Coils from 2mm (0.08”) to 16mm (0.63”) Plates Upto 60mm (2.36”) Structural Grades, Pipe Grades, Cold Rolling
Grades Special Steels like API (Upto X-70), HSLA, High
Tensile, Hi Manganese , Boiler Quality
Galvanized Coils 0.23mm (0.009”) to 1.50mm(0.059”)
ERW Pipes ½” to 14” Galvanized, Black (Gr A, GrB, API)
Lloyds Group in Steel
LloydsIn
Steel
225,000 MT DRI
(5 Kilns LMEL)
225,000 MT Purchased DRI
& Pig Iron200,000
Scrap
240,000 MT Galvanized
Coils
60,000 MT Galvanized & Black Pipes
200,000 MT HR Special Coils
& Plates
100,000 MTHR Coils
(Commodity)
Thank You