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The transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement Dr. Shannon Page Lecturer in Energy Management Department of Environmental Management NERI Winter Lights Forum 16 th June, Otago Museum
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The transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement
Dr. Shannon Page
Lecturer in Energy Management
Department of Environmental Management
NERI Winter Lights Forum 16th June, Otago Museum
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Fossil Fuel
2050
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient– More efficient modes i.e. Car train/bus
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like2011
Bus
Car
Coastal
Air
Passenger RailFreight Rail
Freight Road
Bio Fuel
Fossil Fuel
Renewable Electricity
Bio Mass
Other
Trolley bus/tram people & freight
Passenger rail
Freight rail
2050
• Energy required decreased but ...• Increased activity...quality of life improved • Because....
– Electricity based systems more efficient– More efficient modes i.e. Car train/bus– Urban from changed reduced travel distances
Energy Required Energy Required
The 2050 system: what’s it like
Household
2011 DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
The 2050 system: what’s it like
Household
2011
Household
2050
DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
DriverPassengerWalkPublic TransportBikeMotorbikeOther
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
Freight RoadRailSea
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
Freight
2050 Freight
RoadRailSeaTram
RoadRailSea
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
2050
Urban form
Urban form
The 2050 system: what’s it like
2011
2050
Urban form
Urban form
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
2011
The 2050 system: what’s it like
• All still accessible by a vehicle• Not one size fits all – City dependant• Location changes – residences & activities• Location changes – production & processing
2011 2050
The 2050 system: what’s it like
The 2050 system: how we got there
The 2050 system: how we got there
Didn’t wait for “just around the corner” technology
The 2050 system: how we got there
Used systems/technology that worked in 2011
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
• We took control – lead the way
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality
• We took control – lead the way• Became an example to other countries on
solving the problem
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want– Goods that we make/need getting to market
The 2050 system: how we got there• It is not about mobility• It is not about transport
• It was about us as Kiwis– Being able to access the actives we want– Goods that we make/need getting to market
The 2050 system: how we got there
• We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport
The 2050 system: how we got there
• We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport
Instead....• Aggressively pursued an infrastructure
where low/zero energy access was the least cost option
• No more time spent contemplating the roll of fossil fuels in the future
• Only steps towards a fossil free future were taken
The 2050 system: how we got there
Lignite Coal Diesel
CO2
“Take full account of CO2“
“Transitional measure”
• No new roads
The 2050 system: how we got there
• No new roads• Drastic change in funding:
– roads redevelopment
The 2050 system: how we got there
• No new roads• Drastic change in funding:
– roads redevelopment• City streets progressively pedestrianised
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....
The 2050 system: how we got there
• Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....
• Given the urgency of the situation, ALL efforts were put into reducing fossil fuel use
The 2050 system: how we got there
