8.Humans and Climate

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    ES8007 Climate and Climate ChangeES1007 Oceans, Atmosphere and Climate

    © NEA-MSS 

    Humans and Climate-Part II

    Asst. Prof. WANG

    Xianfeng

    Asian School of theEnvironment

    Nanyang Technological

    University5 April, 2016

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    ES8007 Climate and Climate ChangeES1007 Oceans, Atmosphere and Climate

    © NEA-MSS 

    Humans and Climate-Part I

    Asst. Prof. WANG

    Xianfeng

    Asian School of theEnvironment

    Nanyang Technological

    University5 April, 2016

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    KEY QUESTIONS

    How did climate afect hma!evoltio!"

    How cold ice volme #sea level$cha!ge afect hma! migratio!"

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    HU%&N E'O(UTION T)EE

    (Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and Future)

    1. Humans originated and evolved in East Africa.

    2. The last ~5 million years span the evolutionaryline from primitive apes (particularlychimpanzees to the australopithecines (!southern apes"# ~$%& million years ago to our

    o'n genus# Homo (~2 million years ago# andfinally our o'n species# Homo sapiens(!intelligent man"# !anatomically modernhumans"# ~2# years ago.

    ). *ipedalism (+eing a+le to 'al, upright on t'olegs# an energy%saving mechanism for travelinglong distance- 'as pro+a+ly developed ~$%&million years ago# and has +een considered asthe defining characteristic that separated thehominins from the hominoids (humanli,e apes#pro+a+ly the single most important event inhuman evolution.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    (Stanley, 2009, Earth System History; Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and Future)

    1. harles /ar'in 'as among the first to suggest a lin, +et'een the African arid savanna andhuman evolution.

    2. The uplift and su+sidence of the East African 0ift resulted in a comple topography that+loc,ed the effective moisture from transferring inland from the ndian 3cean# hence causedintensified aridification and ever%epanding savanna in Africa# and then stimulated human

    evolution +y +ipedalism developing.

    &*)I+&N TO,O-)&,HY

    The East African 0ift4

     All of the early () 6ahominin fossil sites arelocated along the narro'

    +elt of the East African 0ift.

    Hominin footprints# 7aetoli#

    Tanzania# ~).& 6a.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    )O(E O* +(I%&TES&'&NN& HY,OTHESIS

    This hypothesis ties human evolutionto long%term drying in Africa andglo+al climate processes.

    Through the last 5 million years# 'hileplanet is cooling# Africa is getting

    dryer and less forested. The tropicalrainforests in Africa largely have+ecome semi%arid grasslandsavannas.

    This 'ould force hominins to adapt

    from forests to an open environment#and force them to move rapidly tocover longer distances to survive.

    auses of drying may +e many4tectonic uplift# ice volume# lo'er 32#

    and monsoons.(Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and Future)

    +/ vs +0

    1la!ts

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    HU%&N %I-)&TION OUT O* &*)I+&

    Hominin spreading

    1. Homo sapiens

    2. Neanderthals

    3. Homo erectus

    ?

    8or most of the last ) million years# hominins onlydeveloped slightly +eyond the most primitive level of9tone Age of life4 e.g.# control of fire and gradually moresophisticated stone tools.

    Ho'ever# 'hen our species appeared# the pace of change+ecame faster. The early human !culture" 'as developed4

    cave paintings# figure statues# shell :e'elry# etc.(Stanley, 2009, Earth System

    ?

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    I+E +O)E )E+O)2

    (Petit et al., 1999, Nature3arm tem1.4 low ice volme4 high sea level5 cold tem1.4 low sea level

    ~1!

    ~"#

    ~1$%1

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    %ONSOON&( +I)+U(&TIONS

    (Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and Future)

    Seasonal monsoon circulations

    n summer# more rapid heating of landsurfaces than of the ocean producesrising motion over the continents anddra' moist air in from the ocean#producing precipitation over the land.

    n 'inter# more rapid cooling of the landsurface than of the ocean producessin,ing motion over the continents andsheds cold dry air out over the 'armocean# shifting most 'inter precipitationout to sea.

     A similar pattern can +e found on longertimescales. ;enerally spea,ing#summer monsoon is strong ininterglacial periods# +ut 'ea, in glacialperiods.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    6NO)TH 'S. SOUTH 2IS,E)S&( %O2E(7

    1

    1

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    ,EO,(IN- O* NO)TH &%E)I+&

    (Stanley, 2009, Earth System

    The megafaunalpopulation 'ashighly diverse untilthe late stages ofthe most recentdeglaciation in@orth America. *utmost of the largemammal species+ecame etinct'ithin a short timeperiod centered on

    ~12#5 years ago.

    /id climate cause the megafaunal

    etinction directly=

    9harp spear pointsand over,ill hypothesis

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    2&3N O* +I'I(I8&TION

    3ur invention of agriculture coincides 'iththe onset of the sta+le climate of the past~1# years.

    This is ~1# years of climatic

    sta+ility that ena+led humanity toevolve and cultures to develop.

     Agricultural revolution in the moist andfertile land4 several ,inds of agriculture

    originated in the 8ertile rescent regionnorth and east of the 6editerranean# andgradually spread into Europe# @orth Africa# and other parts of Asia.

    (Alley, 2007; Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and Future)

    Holocene# the current interglacial period#is characterized +y a 'arm and relativelysta+le climate. A strong monsoon prevailsin the +road regions of Africa and Asia.

    The region also sa' the developmentand flourishing of the earliest human

    civilizations.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    KEY QUESTIONS

    How may climate cha!ge afect the9ates o9 +hi!ese a!cie!t dy!asties"

    Is a glaciatio! overde" +old earlycivili:atio!s already have alteredclimate"

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    t/s tal0 a,ot a 2ro3y for rainfall

    )emember that !ot all water #H;O$ is the same. Some H

    ;O is

    heavier tha! other H;O 1roto!s a!d >!etro!s i! its !cles

    ?t a small @ #abot A.;@$ has> 1roto!s a!d BA !etro!s

     That heavier H;B>O does!Ct eva1orate as easily as thelighter H;

    BDO. So rai!water is actally lighter tha! the

    seawater 9rom which it comes.Similarly4 the rst water to 9all ot o9 the clod has a

    larger @ o9 heavier o=yge! tha! water that 9alls ot later.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    +&'E 2E,OSITS #ST&(&-%ITES &N2ST&(&+TITES$ &S & +(I%&TE &)+HI'E

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    INTO THE 2&)K TO SHE2 SO%E(I-HTS ON )E+ENT +(I%&TE

    %i!eralFlade! rai!water 1asses

    throgh soil a!d rocG cracGs4 a!ddri1s o!to the cave oor. The waterthe! eva1orates. +alcite #+a+O/$ is

    the mi!eral le9t behi!d. It 9ormsstalagmites that rise 9rom the oor o9

    the cave.

    htt1wiGi1ediacommo!s(echgillaJ+aveJ,earlsia!J-l9.1g

    +ave de1osits #stalagmites a!d

    stalactites$ ca! be a very se9lclimate archive. &!d 1ast climatecha!ge ca! be recorded throgh thecha!ges o! the ratio o9 B>OBDO i! thecalcim carbo!ates.O!e o9 the sig!ica!t adva!tages tose stalagmite to reco!strct 1ast

    climate is that they ca! be dated1recisely by si!g the radioactivedecay o9 ra!im #here ;/0U$ tothorim #here ;/A Th$ i! thecarbo!ates. The less ra!im a!d the

    more thorim4 the older the sam1le.

    -eochemists at EOS&SE se a masss1ectrometer to measre the atoms

    o9 ra!im a!d thorim4 a!d the!

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    +&'E 2E,OSITS #ST&(&-%ITES &N2ST&(&+TITES$ &S & +(I%&TE &)+HI'E

    9o# the ratio of 13 to1&3 is a climate proy#

    and can record the

    'ea,ening and

    strengthening of theEast Asian monsoon.

    7etBs loo, at a cave at

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    18/248ha!g et al ;AA>   H

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       (   i  g   h   t  e  r

       H   ;

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     The Ha!g+hao U1risi!go9 the >LAs a!d>>As was 9eledby a droght4whe! locstsswarmed thela!d4 a!d led to

    the e!d o9 the Ta!g 2y!asty.

    2ri!g the Norther! So!gStro!g %o!soo! ,eriod4 the+hi!ese 1o1latio! more

    tha! tri1led. )ice becamethe sta1le o9 the +hi!ese

    Ha!g+hao

    )iver sce!e at Qi!gmi!g 9estival

    8h Ya!:ha!g4

    Bst %i!gem1eror

    &t the e!d o9 the Ya!2y!asty4 there were a serieso9 droghts a!d a 1easa!t1risi!g. I! B/D>4 8h

     Ya!:ha!g4 the leader o9 the

    1risi!g4 tooG ?eii!g. His1are!ts a!d older brother all

     The +ho!g:he!2roght4 at the e!d o9the %i!g 2y!asty#BD/LFBD0/$4 is G!ow!as o!e o9 the most

    severe i! +hi!esehistory. It afectedmore tha! ;A 1rovi!cesi! N a!d S +hi!a. The1rolo!ged droghthel1ed (i 8iche!gorga!i:e a 1o1lar1risi!g a!d overthrow+ho!g:he! i! BD00.

    (i 8iche!g

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    +(I%&TE &N2 +I'I(I8&TION

    500

    51 15Cear (A/

    multiyear droughtsi!s o9 a 'iGi!g bar! i! -ree!la!d

    9everal ma:or civilization collapses coincide 'ithperiods of intense droughts# or etremely cold climate.

    Abandoned in ~14

    th

     and 15th centuries

    Dariations in climate can +e dangerous to societies and civilizations. 3ther

    factors can also play a role4 political sta+ility ('ar# overeploitation of soiland resources# food and 'ater securities

    Maya, ucatan

    (Zhang et al. 2008, Science)

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    2I2 E&)(Y *&)%E)S &(TE) +(I%&TE"

    Eventually# the relationship +et'een humans and their environment

    +egan to change. nstead of +eing passive players# human +egan toactively influence their environment and EarthBs climate.

    *y clearing of forests# slashing and +urning agriculture# and other practices# evenfarmers 'ith 'ooden plo's could alter the atmosphere. The modern man,ind 'illfurther mess up the planetBs thermostat. %%%

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    IS & -(&+I&TION O'E)2UE"

    (Kump, Kasting and Crane, 2010, The Earth System; Petit et al., 1999, Nature)

    !emperature stability

    in last 1",""" years

    B. & sawtooth 9eatre o9 the glacialFi!terglacial cycle the tra!sitio!9rom glacial 1eriods to i!terglacial 1eriods is characteri:ed by a!abr1t warmi!g4 a!d the! relatively4 it cools gradally i!toglacials.;. I!terglacial co!ditio!s o!ly 1revailed abot BA@ o9 the,leistoce!e glaciatio!. However4 the climate i! the 1ast MBA4AAA

    years is !sally commo!. It a11ears to be the lo!gest stableclimate i! the 1ast 0AA4AAA years.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    E&)(Y &NTH)O,O-ENI+ HY,OTHESIS

    (Ruddiman, 2014, Earth’s Climate: Past and

    1. “Wrong-way trend”: during the current

    interglaciation (Holocene), greenhouse-gas

    (here, CH4) concentration did not track the

     .H. su!!er insolation change, "ut instead

    started to rise at #$,%%% years ago.

    &. 'ast $ interglacial CH4 records ro! ntarctic ice

    cores. CH4 concentration rose during the later *art o

    Holocene, "ut continuously ell during *re+ious

    interglaciations.

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    All objects emit radiation as long as they have a non-zero temperature on the kelvin

    (K) scale. x °C = (273.15 + x) K

    E&)(Y &NTH)O,O-ENI+ HY,OTHESIS

    (R ddi 2014 E h’ Cli P d

    1. ice was irst culti+ated in China. y 4,%%%

    years ago, archeological sites (red) show that

    rice irrigation was *resent across !ost o

    China, where rice is !ainly grown in its south

    today ("lue).

    &. ince $,%%% years ago, rice irrigation has

    e/*anded ra*idly into other countries inoutheast sia and 0ast sia

    . e+eral hu!an

    acti+ities can generate

    CH4, including irrigatingields, "urning "io!ass

    (weeds and cro*

    residues), tending

    li+estock, and *roduction

    o organic wastes.

    0arly rice ar!ing

    and ano!alous

    !ethane (CH4) trend