7.Monte Carlo Simulation

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Demand Frequency Relative Probability Cumulativ Prob 0 10 0.05 0.05 1 20 0.1 0.15 2 40 0.2 0.35 3 60 0.3 0.65 4 40 0.2 0.85 5 30 0.15 1 TOTAL 200 Trial 1 2 3 4 Random 0.88196 0.098985272 0.978056081711325 0.44865420774214 Result Err:504 Average

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Transcript of 7.Monte Carlo Simulation

Sheet1

DemandFrequencyRelative ProbabilityCumulativ ProbLower ValueUpper Value0100.050.0500.051200.10.150.0510.152400.20.350.1510.353600.30.650.3510.654400.20.850.6510.855300.1510.8511TOTAL200Trial12345678910Random0.61512463130.78553001930.16414052880.73526462340.80422502380.33457291640.40596402190.21608889020.65239302390.6928012867ResultERROR:#N/AAverage

Sheet2LLLPfrequencyaverage1469.976784086647020030022862372.231683184537330140043533524.425730771352540150084474627.647354020262850160025205619.835021905662060170046336673.3133103698674207281.64123604072828476.58187567144779609.502252598861010391.329935053439211430.979583950843112330.956767255331min28213315.308910911316max67414402.237050264440315422.649294603642316288.206878292828917443.207512842544418459.595243126446019513.485305316951420463.450704854464

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