5672_1187_27_1070_48_Forces at Work&SCP

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    Working Draft

    Forces at Work

    &Structure Conduct Performance (SCP)

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    "The essence of formulating

    competitive strategy isrelating a company toits environment"

    Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analysing Industriesand Competitors, 1980

    MICHAEL E. PORTER

    WHO DO WE THANK (OR BLAME) FOR THE FORCES ATWORK FRAMEWORK?

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    Industrycompetitors

    How intense is

    the rivalry ?

    Suppliers

    What is theirbargaining

    power?

    Buyers

    What is theirbargaining

    power?

    PotentialEntrants

    What is thethreat ?

    Substitutes

    What is the threat?

    ELEMENTS OF THE FORCES AT WORK FRAMEWORK

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    Industrycompetitors

    Daimler-Chrysler,

    Ford, GM, Toyota...

    Suppliers

    Partsmanufacturers,

    steel mills, labor

    unions...

    Buyers

    Households,governments,

    rental car

    companies...

    PotentialEntrants

    Motorcycleand truck

    manufacturers...

    Substitutes

    Manufacturers and

    operators of trains,buses, airplanes,

    motorcycles...

    NON-EXHAUSTIVEWHO ARE THE PLAYERS IN THE AUTOMOBILEMANUFACTURING INDUSTRY?

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    Industrycompetitors

    Disney,

    Universal,...

    Suppliers

    Park employees,food suppliers,

    construction

    companies...

    Buyers

    Families, travelagencies,

    business event

    planners...

    PotentialEntrants

    Regional themeparks, other large

    entertainment

    companies...

    Substitutes

    Disney Quest,

    Sony virtual reality,other destination-

    based resorts...

    WHO ARE THE PLAYERS IN THE DESTINATION THEMEPARK INDUSTRY?

    NON-EXHAUSTIVE

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    STRUCTURAL FACTORS IN INDUSTRY RIVALRY

    IndustrycompetitorsSuppliers Buyers

    Potential

    Entrants

    Substitutes

    Basis of competition(e.g., quality, price, service)

    Industry growth

    Product differentiation

    Brand identity/loyalty

    Switching costs

    Fixed cost/value added

    Nature of capacity (shortage/excess)

    Concentration of production

    Exit barriers

    Corporate stakes (e.g., strategicimportance, reputation)

    Diversity of competitors

    Information complexity/transparency

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    Bargaining leverage

    Buyer concentration vs. firmconcentration

    Buyer volume Buyer switching costs Buyer information Ability to backward integrate

    Availability of substituteproducts

    Price sensitivity

    Price/total purchases Product differences

    Brand identity/ qualityperception Buyer income/profits Decision makers incentives

    IndustrycompetitorsSuppliers Buyers

    Potential

    Entrants

    Substitutes

    DETERMINANTS OF BUYER POWER

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    Differentiation of inputs

    Switching costs of suppliers andcompetitors in the industry

    Availability of substitute inputs

    Supplier concentration

    Importance of volumeto supplier

    Cost relative to total purchasesin the industry

    Threat of forward integrationrelative to threat of backward

    integration by firms in industry

    IndustrycompetitorsSuppliers Buyers

    Potential

    Entrants

    Substitutes

    DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLIER POWER

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    Economies of scale

    Proprietary product differences

    Brand identity

    Switching costs

    Capital requirements

    Access to distribution Absolute cost advantages

    Proprietary learning curve Access to necessary inputs Proprietary, low-cost product

    design

    Government policies/regulation Expected retaliation

    Industrycompetitors

    Suppliers Buyers

    Potential

    Entrants

    Substitutes

    DETERMINANTS OF BARRIERS TO ENTRY

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    Relative price performance

    of substitutes Switching costs

    Buyer propensity to substitute

    Industrycompetitors

    Suppliers Buyers

    Potential

    Entrants

    Substitutes

    DETERMINANTS OF SUBSTITUTION THREAT

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    Overview of the forces at work framework

    Examples of forces at work framework

    Steps for creating a forces at workframework

    PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

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    Intense competition Little industry growth

    Recent excess capacity

    Little product differentiation

    No switching cost

    Some brand equity

    SuppliersLittle supplier power

    Low input differentiation

    Low switching costs for inputs

    Highly dependent on volume

    No input impact on differentiation

    Low impetus for forwardintegration

    New entrants Some barriers to entry Significant economies of scale

    in production

    High capital requirements

    Established brand equities

    No significant proprietaryproduct difference

    Low barriers for other dairycompanies

    Substitutes

    Significant threat of substitution Large substitution threat from

    unbranded ice cream, other milkproducts

    No switching cost to consumer

    Buyers

    Substantial buyer power Immense distributor concentration

    Little buyer switching cost

    Product costs passed through toconsumer

    FORCES AT WORK IN THE SUPER PREMIUM ICE CREAM INDUSTRY

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    Buyers have significantbuying power

    Highly concentrated buying

    power (top 4 companiesrepresent 67% of market)

    Growing preference forturnkey solutions

    20% - 40% price reductionsobserved from 1990 to 1994

    Product innovation in the railtransportation industry has reducedthe threat of substitutes

    High speed rail networks haveoutperformed air travel for shortertrips (under 3 hours)

    Urban railway systems preferred inmany regions with road congestion

    and pollution

    Although increasing, suppliers

    bargaining power remains low

    Highly fragmented

    supply chain Bargaining power is

    increasing due to growingupstream integration betweenmanu-facturers and suppliers

    Current barriers to entry are highbut are falling due to adoption oftechnical standards

    High capital requirements forR&D efforts

    Development of modular platformswill reduce R&D costs and willincrease economies of scale

    Intense rivalry based largely on

    non-price competition

    Product differentiation achieved

    via technical innovation,integrated systems, andproject financing

    Large but infrequent orders

    Excess production capacity

    FORCES RESHAPING THE ROLLING STOCK INDUSTRY

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    Overview of the forces at work framework?

    Examples of forces at work framework

    Steps for creating a forces at workframework

    PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

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    Synthesize your findings into

    summary messages for eachcategory. Include prioritized

    bullet points under each

    summarized message

    Industrycompetitors

    Suppliers

    Intensity of rivalry

    Substitutes

    New

    entrants

    Buyers

    4Define the industry that

    you will analyze usingthe framework

    1

    Create an exhibit lead that

    captures the key message of theframework

    5

    Review exhibit for quality control

    purposes6

    Create an exhibit thatexplicitly identifies

    competitors,

    customers, suppliers,

    potential new entrantsand substitutes

    2

    CompetitorsSuppliers

    Substitutes

    Entrants

    Buyers

    Review trade press, financial reports, marketresearch, broker reports and interview notes,

    organizing key information into the major

    categories of forces

    3

    Six steps for building a forces at work framework

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    SITUATION ANALYSISSTRUCTURE-CONDUCT-PERFORMANCE (SCP) FRAMEWORK

    Structure Conduct Performance

    Rigorousapproach toanalyze industrystructure

    Emphasis onconduct as keydeterminant ofeconomic returns

    Performancedefined from therational shareholderperspective

    $

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    Structure

    THE ELEMENTS OF THE S-C-P FRAMEWORK INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

    Economics of supply Concentration of producers Import competition Diversity of producers Fixed/variable cost structure Capacity utilization Technological opportunities Shape of supply curve Entry/exit barriers

    Economics of demand Availability of substitutes Differentiability of products Rate of growth Volatility/cyclicality

    Industry chain economics Bargaining power of input

    suppliers Bargaining power of

    customers

    Information market failure Vertical market failure

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    THE ELEMENTS OF THE S-C-P FRAMEWORKPLAYERS CONDUCT

    Vertical integration Forward/backward integration Vertical joint ventures Long-term contracts

    Marketing Pricing Volume Advertising/promotion

    New products/R&D Distribution

    Capacity change Expansion/contraction Entry/exit Acquisition/merger/ divestiture

    Internal efficiency Cost control Logistics Process R&D Organization effectiveness

    Cooperation versus Rivalry

    ConductStructure

    THE ELEMENTS OF THE S C P FRAMEWORK PLAYERS PERFORMANCE

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    THE ELEMENTS OF THE S-C-P FRAMEWORK PLAYERS PERFORMANCE

    Non-financial Technological progress

    Employment objectives Customer value/service

    Financial Profitability

    EBIT ROS Margins

    Value creation EVA ROE TRS

    ConductStructure Performance

    STATIC VS DYNAMIC SCP

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    STATIC VS. DYNAMIC SCP

    SCP provides forcing device tospeculate about how expected external

    shocks may affect the future of anindustry

    Initial impact on SResultant impact on CUltimate impact on PFeedback effects

    Actions

    Expected

    external events

    Feedback

    Future

    PCS

    SCP provides MECE organizingframework

    Identifies key issuesHighlights information gapsCreates understanding of links between S,

    C, and PDescriptive

    Today

    Historical data

    PCS