50 Year Perspective of Automotive 50 Year Perspective of Automotive Engineering Body Materials and...

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    50 year Perspective of Automotive50 year Perspective of Automotive

    Engineering Body Materials and anEngineering Body Materials and an

    Analysis of the FutureAnalysis of the Future

    Jody N. HallJody N. Hall

    Manager, Global Die Standards & Materials ApplicationsManager, Global Die Standards & Materials Applications

    General Motors Manufacturing EngineeringGeneral Motors Manufacturing Engineering

    Great Designs in Steel 2008Great Designs in Steel 2008

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    Steel Becomes theSteel Becomes the Material of ChoiceMaterial of Choice

    for Auto Bodiesfor Auto Bodies

    Original bodies made of wood& steel

    Quick to tool, easy to change

    Large number of skilled

    workers

    1914 Dodge & Budd produce5,000 all-steel bodies

    All-steel body was lighter,stronger, easier to make

    Most significant advantage wasin painting

    Benz Patent Motorwagen 1886 (Replica)

    Dodge Brothers Touring Car 1917

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/40/1917_Dodge_Touring_Car.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/40/1917_Dodge_Touring_Car.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/40/1917_Dodge_Touring_Car.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/40/1917_Dodge_Touring_Car.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/40/1917_Dodge_Touring_Car.jpghttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/53/Benz_Patent_Motorwagen_1886_%28Replica%29.jpg
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    Every time the price ofEvery time the price ofsteelsteel goes up,goes up,DetroitDetroits auto makers moan in anguishs auto makers moan in anguish

    and intensify their search forand intensify their search for

    replacementsreplacements

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    Every time the price ofEvery time the price ofsteelsteel goes up,goes up,DetroitDetroits auto makers moan in anguishs auto makers moan in anguish

    and intensify their search forand intensify their search for

    replacementsreplacements

    gasgas

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    Materials Causing the Biggest Stir in BodyMaterials Causing the Biggest Stir in Body

    TechnologyTechnology

    PlasticsPlastics--been getting the big playbeen getting the big play

    as successor to steelas successor to steel

    Aluminum AlloysAluminum Alloys--about as strong as steel,about as strong as steel,

    less than half the weightless than half the weight--usedused since birth of autosince birth of auto

    --most plentiful metal on earthmost plentiful metal on earth

    Magnesium AlloysMagnesium Alloys

    --even lighter than aluminum,even lighter than aluminum,stronger for its weight than steelstronger for its weight than steel

    --most easily machined and castmost easily machined and cast

    --enough in the oceanenough in the oceanto provide 100,000,000 tons a yearto provide 100,000,000 tons a year

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    Published October 1953

    The day of the passengercarmade primarily of ironand steelis on the wane!Some sources predict that

    by 1960a Cadillac will weighless than a 1953 Chevroletand a Chevy will probablyweigh about as much as amotorcycle.

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    Prediction 50+ Years AgoPrediction 50+ Years Ago

    SteelAl Plastics

    Mg

    FUTURE

    PAST

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    Steel Mass ReductionSteel Mass Reduction

    Time

    M

    assReduc

    tion

    Opportunity

    0%

    20%

    10%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    1970 1990 2000 2010 20201980 2030

    MILD STEELS

    CONV HSS

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    54.6%

    12.7%

    15.8%

    0.8%9.5%

    6.6%

    Current Body and Closure Metallic MaterialCurrent Body and Closure Metallic MaterialContent by Type for North AmericaContent by Type for North America

    Mild SteelMild Steel

    MediumMedium

    HSSHSS

    850 Pounds850 Pounds

    AdvancedAdvanced

    HSSHSS

    BakeBake

    HardenableHardenable

    SteelSteel

    ConventionalConventional

    HSSHSS

    Aluminum &Aluminum &

    MagnesiumMagnesium

    Source: Ducker WorldwideSource: Ducker Worldwide

    20072007

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    The Question isThe Question is

    Why do these materials continue to fall

    short of the prediction?

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    Comparison of Materials by PerformanceComparison of Materials by Performance

    Density Modulus Tensile

    Strength

    Elongation Corrosion

    Resistance

    Mild Steel

    Aluminum ++ -- 00 00 0 /0 / ++

    Magnesium ++ -- -- 00 -- 0 /0 / --

    Polymers &Composites ++ 0 /0 / -- --/ 0 // 0 / ++ -- ++

    - - - - - - - - - - BASELINE - - - - - - - - - -

    KEY: 00 = equal ++ = better -- = worse

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    Comparison of Materials byComparison of Materials by

    Other Important CharacteristicsOther Important Characteristics

    CostCost

    (Est. $/lb.)(Est. $/lb.)

    AvailabilityAvailability(Annual Metric Ton(Annual Metric Ton

    Production)Production)

    EnvironmentEnvironment(Primary Production Emissions(Primary Production Emissions

    reported by industry)reported by industry)

    Mild SteelMild Steel

    (Baseline)(Baseline)$0.50$0.50 110 Million110 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 2.3Emissions = 2.3 2.7 kg CO2.7 kg CO22/kg/kg

    AluminumAluminum

    (Al)(Al)

    $1.00$1.00 2.5 Million2.5 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 13.9Emissions = 13.9 15.5 kg15.5 kg

    COCO22/kg/kg

    MagnesiumMagnesium

    (Mg)(Mg)

    $1.50$1.50 0.5 Million0.5 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 18.0Emissions = 18.0 24.8 kg24.8 kg

    COCO22/kg/kg

    PMCPMC $1.20$1.20 --

    6.506.50UnknownUnknown difficult to recycledifficult to recycle

    Emissions = 2.5Emissions = 2.5 23.0 kg CO23.0 kg CO22/kg/kg

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    6.6%

    9.5% 0.8%

    15.8%

    12.7%

    54.6%

    Current Body and Closure Metallic MaterialCurrent Body and Closure Metallic Material

    Content by Type for North AmericaContent by Type for North America

    Mild SteelMedium

    HSS

    850 Pounds850 Pounds

    AdvancedHSS

    BakeHardenable

    Steel

    Conventional

    HSS

    Aluminum &Magnesium

    Source: Ducker Worldwide

    2007

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    Comparison of Materials by PerformanceComparison of Materials by Performance

    Density Modulus Tensile

    Strength

    Elongation Corrosion

    Resistance

    Mild Steel

    Aluminum ++ -- 00 00 0 /0 / ++

    Magnesium ++ -- -- 00 -- 0 /0 / --

    Polymers &

    Composites

    ++ 0 /0 / -- --/ 0 // 0 / ++ -- ++

    HSS/AHSS 00 00 + ++ + 0 /0 / -- 00

    - - - - - - - - - - BASELINE - - - - - - - - - -

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    Comparison of Materials by ManufacturabilityComparison of Materials by Manufacturability

    Steel &Steel &

    HSS/AHSSHSS/AHSS

    AdvantagesAdvantages::

    FormabilityFormability

    WeldabilityWeldability

    InfrastructureInfrastructure

    Painted SurfacePainted Surface

    DisadvantagesDisadvantages::

    CastabilityCastability

    AluminumAluminum

    AdvantagesAdvantages::

    FormabilityFormability

    CastabilityCastability

    Painted SurfacePainted Surface

    DisadvantagesDisadvantages::

    LowerLowerformability thanformability than

    steelsteel

    WeldabilityWeldability

    MagnesiumMagnesium

    AdvantagesAdvantages::

    CastabilityCastability

    DisadvantagesDisadvantages::

    FormabilityFormability ElevatedElevated

    temperaturetemperature

    stamping &stamping &

    hemminghemming

    WeldabilityWeldability

    Polymer/Polymer/

    CompositesComposites

    AdvantagesAdvantages::

    Low costLow cost

    toolingtooling

    Shorter leadShorter lead

    timetime

    DisadvantagesDisadvantages::

    Cycle TimeCycle Time InfrastructureInfrastructure

    Difficult toDifficult to

    repairrepair

    PaintedPainted

    SurfaceSurface

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    Comparison of Materials byComparison of Materials by

    Other Important CharacteristicsOther Important Characteristics

    CostCost

    (Est. $/lb.)(Est. $/lb.)

    AvailabilityAvailability(Annual Metric Ton(Annual Metric Ton

    Production)Production)

    EnvironmentEnvironment(Primary Production Emissions(Primary Production Emissions

    reported by industry)reported by industry)

    Mild SteelMild Steel

    (Baseline)(Baseline)$0.50$0.50 110 Million110 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 2.3Emissions = 2.3 2.7 kg CO2.7 kg CO22/kg/kg

    AluminumAluminum(Al)(Al)

    $1.00$1.00 2.5 Million2.5 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 13.9Emissions = 13.9 15.5 kg15.5 kg

    COCO22/kg/kg

    MagnesiumMagnesium

    (Mg)(Mg)

    $1.50$1.50 0.5 Million0.5 Million easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 18.0Emissions = 18.0 24.8 kg24.8 kg

    COCO22/kg/kg

    PMCPMC $1.20$1.20 --6.506.50

    UnknownUnknown difficult to recycledifficult to recycle Emissions = 2.5Emissions = 2.5 23.0 kg CO23.0 kg CO22/kg/kg

    HSS/AHSSHSS/AHSS $0.55$0.55 Included in MildIncluded in Mild

    SteelSteel

    easy to recycleeasy to recycle

    Emissions = 2.3Emissions = 2.3 2.7 kg CO2.7 kg CO22/kg/kg

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    Engineering StrategyEngineering Strategy

    MaterialsMaterials

    ManufacturingManufacturing

    DesignDesign

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    Global MarketGlobal Market

    North America

    Well developed market

    Consumer demand for largevehicles

    Relatively low fuel prices

    Primary challenges U.S. CAFEand emissions regulations(particularly diesel); strictcollision performancerequirements

    Latin America, Africa & Middle East

    Diverse market

    New market players

    Lead in alternative fuels,particularly ethanol

    Primary challenge is productcost

    Opportunity for more growth

    Europe

    Well developed market

    Consumer demand for a balance of

    utility & efficiency

    Relatively high fuel prices

    Taxes on poor fuel economy &emissions

    Primary challenges CO2 commitmentand Euro 5 emissions; strict collisionperformance requirements

    Asia Pacific

    Fast growing diverse market

    Infrastructure still developing

    Primary challenges are new fueleconomy/emission regulations

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    Conclusions

    Always be a need/desire to push tolightweight materials for the auto industry

    Doesnt mean no steel

    Current prediction is mainly some form ofsteel

    Best value to customer (performance/cost)

    However, disruptive event(s) is as likely, or

    even more likely, than ever before