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The IS-LM Model
Chahir Zaki
FEPS, Cairo University
Second semester, 2012
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Determination of Aggregate Output
The total quantity demanded of an economy's
output is the sum of four types of spending
Yad = C + I +G + NX
Equilibrium occurs in the economy
when the total quantity of output supplied
equals the total quantity of output demanded
Y=Yad
Analysis assumes the price level is fixed
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Consumption Expenditure and the
Consumption Function
Income is the most important factor determining consumption spending
Disposable income (YD) is total income less taxes (Y - T)
The marginal propensity to consume (mpc) is the slope of
the consumption function (∆C / ∆Y ), the change in consumer
the consumption function (∆C / ∆YD), the change in consumer
expenditure that results from an additional dollar of disposable income
a is automonous consumer expenditure, the amount of consumer
expenditure that is independent of disposable income (how much
will be spent when disposable income is 0)
C = a +mpc(YD)
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Investment Spending
• Fixed investment—always planned
• Inventory investment—can be unplanned
• Planned investment spending
– Interest rates– Interest rates
– Expectations
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Expenditure Multiplier
A change in planned investment spending leads to an even larger
change in aggregate output
An increase in planned investment spending leads to an
additional increase in consumer expenditure which raises aggregate
demand and output further
demand and output further
∆Y= (1
1−mpc)∆I
∆Y / ∆I = (1
1−mpc)
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Changes in Autonomous Spending
Any change in autonomous spending will lead to a multiplied
change in aggregate output
∆Y= (a + I )(1
1−mpc)
1−mpc
The shift in the aggregate demand function can come from a
change in planned investment, a change in autonomous
consumer spending, or both
Changes in autonomous spending are dominated by
animal spirits
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Government’s Role
Government spending and taxes
can be used to change the position of the
aggregate demand function
Government spending adds directly
to aggregate demand
Taxes do not affect aggregate demand directly
C = a + [mpc× (Y−T)] = a + (mpc×Y) − (mpc×T)
If taxes change, consumer expenditure changes
in the opposite direction
∆C = -mpc× ∆T
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Role of International Trade
A change in net exports (exports - imports) is positively
related to changes in aggregate output
∆ = ∆1
∆Y= ∆NX(1
1−mpc)
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The ISLM Model
• Includes money and interest rates in the Keynesian
framework
• Examines an equilibrium where aggregate output equals
aggregate demand
• Assumes fixed price level where nominal and real quantities• Assumes fixed price level where nominal and real quantities
are the same
• IS curve is the relationship between equilibrium aggregate
output and the interest rate
• LM curve is the combinations of interest rates and aggregate
output for which MD = MS
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market:
The IS Curve
• Interest rates and planned investment spending
– Negative relationship
• Interest rates and net exports
– Negative relationship
• The points at which the total quantity of goods produced
equals the total quantity of goods demanded
• Output tends to move toward points on the curve that
satisfies the goods market equilibrium
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Equilibrium in the Market for Money:
The LM Curve
• Demand for money called liquidity preference
• Md/P depends on income (Y) and interest rates (i)rates (i)
• Positively related to income
– Raises the level of transactions
– Increases wealth
• Negatively related to interest rates
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Equilibrium in the Market for Money:
The LM Curve (cont’d)
• Connects points that satisfy the equilibrium condition that MD = MS
• For each level of aggregate output, the LM curve tells us what the interest rate must be curve tells us what the interest rate must be for equilibrium to occur
• The economy tends to move toward points on the LM curve
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References
• Mishkin, Chapter 20.
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Thanks for your attention!