3rd Annual emsi Conference Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc . | October...

3rd Annual emsi Conference Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc. | October 16, 2013

Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov

Strengthening the Talent Pipeline• About TIP• Selected data

examples• Regional example:

Greater Houston Partnership

• Q&A

Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov

• Founded in 1995• Based in Austin, TX• Expertise: economic &

workforce development strategic planning

ABOUT US

theory into practice

we design strategies that will support your community’s

vision for the future

More than 15 years of experiencein 100+ unique communities,across 29 states & 4 countries.

• Las Vegas/Clark County, NV

• Greater Phoenix Chamber• Puget Sound Regional

Commission (Seattle area)• Oklahoma City• North Jersey region• Fort Collins, CO• Richmond, VA• Blaine County, ID

Strategy

• Greater Houston Partnership

• Clarksville-Montgomery County, TN

• Wired 65 (Louisville area)• Frisco, Texas• Purchase Region Ind. Park

(Western KY)• Pearland, TX• Lower Rio Grande Valley

Workforce

• Fort Hood (Killeen, TX)• Fort Campbell

(Hopkinsville, KY/ Clarksville, TN)

• Anniston Army Depot (Anniston, AL)

• Sheppard AFB (Wichita Falls, TX)

• Fort Knox (Elizabethtown, KY)

• Eglin AFB (Okaloosa County, FL)

Military

Our Services | Selected Projects

Strengthening the Pipeline

• Using employment data to:– Profile your labor market – Align target industries with labor

market strengths– Leverage specific talent pools– Address regional challenges

Unleash the Power!

Labor Market Profile: PSRCPuget Sound Regional Council (PSRC)4-county region including Seattle Washington

Counties

2011 Emp.

2011 Median Hourly

Earnings

2011-2021 Projected

Change in the Job Base

Net Chg.

Pct Chg.

King 1,472,666 $23.19 +144,8

60+10%

Kitsap 122,928 $19.11 +10,048 +8%

Pierce 374,964 $19.12 +34,088 +9%

Snohomish 322,405 $18.61 +28,08

9 +9%

PSRC region

2,292,963 $21.66 +217,0

85 +9%Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.

10

PSRC: Occupational Criteria

Objective Measure Weight Threshold

1 Job quality Relative median earnings, 2011 40% ≥ 100 of region

2 Critical mass Employment level, 2011 30% > 200 jobs

3 Relative advantage Location quotient, 2011 15% Above US average (>1.0)

4 Momentum LQ momentum, 2001-2021 7% Strengthening over 20-yr cycle

5 Regional outlook Proj. job growth, 2011-2021 2% Positive projection 2011-2021

6 Job stability Job volatility, 2002-2010 2% Historic job change by percentiles

7 National outlook Bright outlook 2% USDOL identified

8 Green job Green applications 2% USDOL identified

Defining an occupational “short-list”Filtered 751 occupations to identify 248 priority occupations

Source: TIP Strategies, Inc.

PSRC: Employment Distribution

PSRC: Employment Distribution

Professional, scientific, and

technical services24.3%

Federal govt., civilian, except postal service

8.9%

Transportation equip. mfg.

8.7%

State government

6.5%

Credit intermediation

and related 5.6%

Insurance carriers and related

activities5.3%

Rest40.7%

Regional Staffing Patterns: Business & Finance OccupationsDistribution of occupational group by industry

Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.

PSRC: Employment Trends


SOC Code SOC title

Average annual

openings 2011-2015

13-1111 Management analysts 953

13-2011 Accountants and auditors 709

13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other 625

13-2051 Financial analysts 289

13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other 255

13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products 208

13-1071 Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists 205

13-2072 Loan officers 165

13-1073 Training and development specialists 138

13-1041 Compliance officers, except agriculture, constr., health/safety, and transportation 137

13-1081 Logisticians 108

13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators 97

13-1051 Cost estimators 95

13-2081 Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents 88

13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists 79

13-2099 Financial specialists, all other 78

13-2031 Budget analysts 43

13-2053 Insurance underwriters 32

13-2061 Financial examiners 18

13-2071 Loan counselors 17

13-1061 Emergency management specialists 9

13-1021 Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products 5

100

0 100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

(+) / (-) New demand Replacement


Estimated annual demand: selected Business & Finance occupationsJobs needed annually to meet demand from new and replacement jobs

PSRC: Earnings & Demographics



Current median hourly wages: selected Business & Finance occupationsMedian wages (line) in the context of the national wage range (bar)

SOC code Title

Median hourly wage

13-2072 Loan officers 34.19$

13-2031 Budget analysts 33.06$

13-1081 Logisticians 33.03$

13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other 31.49$

13-2061 Financial examiners 30.53$

13-1073 Training and development specialists 30.50$

13-1061 Emergency management specialists 30.18$

13-1051 Cost estimators 30.01$

13-2053 Insurance underwriters 29.85$

13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products 29.34$

13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists 29.00$

13-1021 Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products 28.92$

13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other 28.90$

13-2099 Financial specialists, all other 28.75$

13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators 27.59$

13-1111 Management analysts 26.82$

13-1071 Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists 25.93$

13-2011 Accountants and auditors 25.16$

13-2051 Financial analysts 24.48$

13-1041 Compliance officers, except agriculture, constr, health/safety, and transportation 24.01$

13-2071 Loan counselors 23.68$

13-2081 Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents 22.32$

$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80

Target Industry Alignment

Occupation-driven approach uses labor market data to document:

– Composition. Does the composition of my workforce match the needs of the industry or industries I’m targeting?

– Availability. Do I have a sufficient supply of workers in critical occupations?

– Training. What options are available to increase the supply of relevant occupations?

Composition of Workforce60-mile radius of Purchase Region (Western, KY)Manufacturing industries most likely to need the region's talentIndustries by row; occupations in columns

>10% share of thedesignated

5-10% industry's jobsthat are in the

1-5% selectedoccupation

<1%

Occupations ►

▼ IndustriesCement & Concrete Product Mfg. 2 1 2 31 4 2 2

Basic Chemical Mfg. 5 1 3 3 12 10 1 2Machine Shops 5 4 26 1

Iron & Steel Mills & Ferroalloy Mfg. 4 1 2 4 3 7 6 4 4Resins & Artificial Fibers Mfg. 5 1 5 9 5 7 1 2

Pesticide, Fertilizer, & Ag Chemical Mfg. 5 2 2 2 15 3 1 1 1Railroad Rolling Stock Mfg. 4 11 3 2 7

Steel Product Mfg. 4 4 2 3 2 1 6 2Alumina & Aluminum Production 5 1 3 4 3 5 2 2

Ag & Construction Machinery Mfg. 4 12 7 2 1Boiler, Tank, & Shipping Container Mfg. 4 14 3 3 1

Nonferrous Metal Processing 5 1 2 3 3 1 2 4 2Animal Food Mfg. 4 5 2 7 2 1 2

Lime & Gypsum Product Mfg. 6 7 3 2 2 1 1Architectural & Structural Metals Mfg. 4 12 2 1 1 1

Metalworking Machinery Mfg. 5 1 13 1Foundries 5 2 3 2 2 3 5

Petroleum & Coal Products Mfg. 5 1 2 3 3 3 1 1 1Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg. 4 6 7 2 1

Industrial Machinery Mfg. 4 4 7 2 1

SOURCE: EMSI Complete Employment - 2nd Quarter 2010

Extr

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Rail

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eng

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Gas

pla

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Occupations with significant regional concentrations (LQ > 1.25)

SOURCES: EMSI Complete Employment - 2nd Quarter 2010

Labor AvailabilityEstimates of Key Occupational Demand for Toyota Expansion

Estimated Potential Demand*NAICS► 3361 3362 & 3363 Maximum Availability**

Industry► Assembly Core Suppliers Total Lee 10-CountySOC▼ Occupation▼ County Region*** Skill/Training Level Required51-2099 Assemblers & fabricators 499 93 591 61 ■■■■ 197 ■■■■ Moderate-term on-the-job training51-2092 Team assemblers 358 331 689 1,333 ■■ 3,376 Moderate-term on-the-job training51-4041 Machinists 67 74 141 148 ■■■ 360 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training51-9061 Inspectors, testers, & sorters 53 70 123 355 ■■ 876 Moderate-term on-the-job training47-2111 Electricians 50 20 70 206 ■■ 532 Long-term on-the-job training51-1011 Line supervisors of production workers 49 69 118 542 1,532 Work experience in a related field17-2112 Industrial engineers 47 43 91 53 ■■■■ 139 ■■ Bachelor's degree51-9122 Painters, transportation equipment 37 5 41 36 ■■■■ 86 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training17-2141 Mechanical engineers 35 31 66 34 ■■■■ 76 ■■■ Bachelor's degree51-4121 Welders, cutters, solderers, & brazers 30 44 74 178 ■■ 467 Long-term on-the-job training49-9041 Industrial machinery mechanics 26 30 56 105 ■■ 263 Long-term on-the-job training49-9042 Maintenance & repair workers 26 39 65 628 1,615 Moderate-term on-the-job training51-4111 Tool & die makers 25 48 73 71 ■■■■ 136 ■■ Long-term on-the-job training51-4199 Metal workers & plastic workers 24 10 35 na 15 ■■■■ Moderate-term on-the-job training53-7051 Industrial truck & tractor operators 23 48 71 376 1,063 Short-term on-the-job training51-2031 Engine & other machine assemblers 23 25 47 43 ■■■■ 146 ■■ Short-term on-the-job training49-9044 Millwrights 21 11 31 13 ■■■■ 41 ■■■ Long-term on-the-job training47-2152 Plumbers, pipefitters, & steamfitters 19 7 26 115 319 Long-term on-the-job training13-1023 Purchasing agents 16 14 30 77 ■■ 177 Work experience in a related field11-3051 Industrial production managers 16 18 34 87 ■■ 238 Work experience in a related field51-9198 Helpers--production workers 15 32 47 518 1,474 Short-term on-the-job training51-4031 Cutting & press machine operators 13 79 92 236 ■■ 576 Moderate-term on-the-job training49-3021 Automotive body & related repairers 13 na 13 77 186 Long-term on-the-job training

SOURCE: EMSI, Spring 2009 forecast; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAICS-SOC national crosswalk , May 2009; TIP Strategies, Inc.

*NOTE: Potential demand is estimated based on the following assumptions for local hiring by Toyota and suppliers (assembly = 2000 jobs, bodies = 100, parts = 1900)

**NOTE: The maximum estimated number of occupations available within the designated jurisdication.

***NOTE: The 10-county region includes Alcorn, Chickasaw, Clay, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah, & Union Counties

Potential Scarcity IndicatorToyota-related demand for this occupation is equal to:Ŷ 25-50% of local availabilityŶŶ 50-75% of local availabilityŶŶŶ 75-100% of local availabilityŶŶŶŶ >100% of local availability

Training

HISPANIC SCHOLARSHIP FUND1. Profiled occupations that will

demand the most college graduates over the 2012-2018 period.

2. Identified industries that will be most impacted by high-demand occupations (HDOs).

3. Cataloged fields of study that most closely link to HDOs.

21

Matching occupations with fields of study: selected STEM occupationsComparison of US annual openings with annual completions

Com

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and

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10 target occupations (by SOC code) ► 15-1

051

15-1

031

15-1

032

15-1

071

17-2

051

15-1

021

17-2

112

17-2

141

15-1

099

17-2

199

Annual Openings (2012-18) ► 23,3

36

20,0

25

14,6

68

13,1

84

10,7

92

10,1

85

8,79

0

8,31

8

7,69

2

5,92

8

Completions* ▼ 14.1901 Mechanical Engineering. 18,374 11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General. 16,003 14.0801 Civil Engineering, General. 11,138 11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications. 9,983 11.0701 Computer Science. 9,012 52.1201 Management Information Systems, General. 8,473 11.0103 Information Technology. 8,223 11.0401 Information Science/Studies. 7,422 14.0901 Computer Engineering, General. 3,925 14.0101 Engineering, General. 3,622 14.3501 Industrial Engineering. 3,140 11.1003 Computer and Information Systems Security/Information Assurance. 2,650 11.0803 Computer Graphics. 2,371 11.1001 Network and System Administration/Administrator. 2,234 11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General. 2,143 11.0501 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst. 1,418 11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician. 1,048 14.0401 Architectural Engineering. 804 11.0202 Computer Programming, Specific Applications. 782 14.9999 Engineering, Other. 709

▼ related fields of study (by CIP Code)

Source: EMSI Complete Employment 2012.1, National Crosswalk Service Center. Notes: Completions include degrees/awards conferred for credit by institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs. * Openings from occupations that require an associate’s or bachelor’s degree, less than one year of work experience, and an internship or no on-the-job training.

Leveraging Displaced Workers

SOURCES: Anniston Army Depot, URS Corporation, TIP Strategies.

Region of impact – Anniston Army DepotPlace of residence of affected workers

CALHOUN COUNTY, AL

23

Sidebar: Employer ZIP Code Data

CLARKSVILLE, TN


SOURCE: Compiled by TIP Strategies from data provided by URS and ANAD on affected workforce

Industrial machinery mechanics = largest single occupational classification

Occupational distribution Occupational category of affected workers


TOP INDUSTRIES AFFECTED OCCUPATIONS EMPLOYING MORE THAN 10 WORKERS

NAICS Code Industry description 11

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3314 Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing

3313 Alumina/Aluminum Production & Processing 3251 Basic Chemical Manufacturing 3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial

Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Mfg. 3329 Other Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. 3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining

Machinery Manufacturing 3221 Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills 3241 Petroleum and Coal Products Mfg. 3366 Ship and Boat Building 5622 Waste Treatment and Disposal 3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from

Purchased Steel 3315 Foundries 3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg. 3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing 3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Mfg. 4821 Rail Transportation 5612 Facilities Support Services

8113 Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance

Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, TIP Strategies.

Top industries Which industries are most likely to employ affected occupations?


Ideal transition scenario is into an occupation with higher wages and stronger projected demand (i.e., upper right-hand quadrant)

SOURCE: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3

Transferrable skillsWhat occupations could the affected workers transition to?

Leveraging Displaced WorkersOperation 1st RATE [Ready Able Trained Employees]

Leveraging Displaced WorkersJob Station | EMSI Career Coach

GHP Regional Workforce Development Task ForceThe Middle Skills Challenge

Skills gap: In the spotlight locally

Coverage focused on shortage of skilled workers in Energy and Construction sectors Rising wages

Project slow-down

Hampering ability to expand in Houston

Safety affected

GHP Regional Workforce Development Task ForceOBJECTIVE:• to create an action plan to address

the middle skills challenge in Greater Houston

SCOPE OF INITIATIVE:• project(s) that will address the areas

of highest need and yield results in a 1 to 5 year time horizon

1: Demand & Supply

Challenge:Why “middle skills” jobs and what are they?

… as many as 25 million new job openings in the US between 2010 and 2020 (47 %) will fall into the middle-skills category.

“Middle Skills” jobs are those that require at least a high school diploma but less than a 4-year degree.

Table 1.12 Education and training categories by detailed occupationSource: Employment Projections program, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticshttp://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_training_system.htm

Typical education needed for entry

Work experience in a related occupation

Typical on-the-job training needed to attain competency in the occupation

Chief Executives 11-1011 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneGeneral and Operations Managers 11-1021 Associate's degree 1 to 5 years NoneLegislators 11-1031 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneAdvertising and Promotions Managers 11-2011 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneMarketing Managers 11-2021 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NoneSales Managers 11-2022 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years NonePublic Relations and Fundraising Managers 11-2031 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years None

Administrative Services Managers 11-3011High school diploma or equivalent 1 to 5 years None

Computer and Information Systems Managers 11-3021 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneFinancial Managers 11-3031 Bachelor's degree More than 5 years NoneIndustrial Production Managers 11-3051 Bachelor's degree 1 to 5 years None

11-9031

2010 National Employment Matrix title and code

Used BLS education & training definitions to define skill levels:• “low” = less than HS, HS diploma/GED (no experience, little

or no OTJ training, no apprenticeship) • “middle” = HS diploma or equivalent (some experience,

moderate to long-term OTJ, or apprenticeship ), post-secondary non-degree award, some college/no degree, and associates degree

• “high” = bachelor’s degree or higher

http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_training_system.htm

Distribution of TOTAL employment by broad skill level, Houston MSA

Low38%

Middle41%

High20%

Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013

3.6 million jobs in Houston MSA in 20121.4 million are middle-skill jobs

Est. average ANNUAL openings, 2012-2017by broad skill level, Houston MSA

Low Middle High

78,832 74,177

41,624

With current estimates calling for 75,000 middle skills jobs to be added to the Houston MSA each year through 2017

Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013

Challenge:Adding detail while keeping the data accessible.

The Standard Occupational Classification

(SOC) system has 23 major groups 11-0000 Management 13-0000 Business & Financial

Operations 15-0000 Computer &

Mathematical 17-0000 Architecture &

Engineering 19-0000 Life, Physical, & Social

Science 21-0000 Community & Social

Services 23-0000 Legal 25-0000 Education, Training, &

Library 27-0000 Arts, Design,

Entertainment, Sports, & Media 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners

& Technical 31-0000 Healthcare Support

33-0000 Protective Service 35-0000 Food Prep & Serving

Related 37-0000 Building & Grounds

Cleaning & Maintenance 39-0000 Personal Care & Service 41-0000 Sales & Related 43-0000 Office & Admin. Support 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, &

Forestry 47-0000 Construction &

Extraction 49-0000 Installation,

Maintenance, & Repair 51-0000 Production 53-0000 Transportation &

Material Moving 55-0000 Military Specific

“Help Wanted” report has 10 broad categories:1. Sales & Office Support2. Blue Collar3. Food & Personal Services4. Managerial & Professional

Office5. Education6. Healthcare Professional &

Technical7. Healthcare Support8. STEM9. Community Services &

Arts10.Social Science

Distribution of middle skills OCCUPATIONS

by broad categories, Houston MSA

Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.

Blue Collar

Food & Personal Services

Sales & Office Support

Managerial & Professional Office

STEM

Healthcare Practioners & Technical

Community Services & Arts

Healthcare Support

Education

Social Science

188

38

27

22

22

21

18

9

3

(e.g. nurses, technologists, technicians)

(e.g. production, transportation, construction)

(e.g. technicians, drafters)

(e.g. therapists, assistants, aides)

Challenge:Narrowing the field. How do you focus on 348 occupations?

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversRegistered Nurses

Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific ProductsManagers, All Other

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction WorkersGeneral and Operations Managers

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks

Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and AttendantsMaintenance and Repair Workers, General

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and BrazersCarpenters

Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative AssistantsIndustrial Machinery Mechanics

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales WorkersMedical Secretaries

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500


Average annual openingsHouston MSA, 2012-2017

Selected middle skills occupations with minimum of 150 projected annual openings

Staffing environmentEMSI Talent Market Analyst | 9-box

RELATIVE WAGEThis factor compares absolute wages with expected wages

SUPPLY & DEMAND This factor considers:1. concentration of

occupation in the region

2. changes in concentration over time, and

3. actual changes in the number of jobs

Houston-Sugar Land – Baytown, TexasRecruiting environment for software developers

Source EMSI http://www.economicmodeling.com/2013/05/17/thinking-inside-the-9-box-to-find-recruiting-options-with-talent-market-analyst/

High Demand Middle Skills OccupationsStaffing Environment

Description Supply/Demand

Wage Environment

General and Operations ManagersBusiness Operations Specialists, All OtherSales Reps, Wholesale and Mfg, Except Technical & Scientific Industrial Machinery MechanicsManagers, All OtherExecutive Secretaries and Executive Administrative AssistantsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales WorkersFirst-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support WorkersComputer Support SpecialistsFirst-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersWelders, Cutters, Solderers, and BrazersMachinistsRegistered NursesFirst-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction WorkersInspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers

MoreDifficul

t

Less Difficul

tSource: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.

High Demand Middle Skills Occupations (cont.)Staffing Environment

Description Supply/Demand

Wage Environment

Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing ClerksMedical SecretariesElectriciansMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except EnginesLicensed Practical and Licensed Vocational NursesOperating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment OperatorsMedical AssistantsHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversMaintenance and Repair Workers, GeneralTeam AssemblersCarpentersAutomotive Service Technicians and MechanicsNursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants

More Difficul

t

Less Difficul

tSource: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.

Construction Trades WorkersOther Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations

Motor Vehicle OperatorsHealth Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners

Other Management OccupationsMetal Workers and Plastic Workers

Health Technologists and TechniciansSupervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers

Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and RepairersTop Executives

Business Operations SpecialistsAssemblers and Fabricators

Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health AidesOther Healthcare Support Occupations

Other Production OccupationsComputer Occupations

Plant and System OperatorsSupervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers

Supervisors of Production WorkersSupervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers

Operations Specialties ManagersLife, Physical, and Social Science Technicians

Other Construction and Related WorkersDrafters, Engineering Technicians, and Mapping Technicians

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

High Demand, Middle Skills OccupationsRanked by estimated average annual openings, 2012-

2017Total average annual openings = 33,769 across 53

occupationsNeutral Hard to Fill Hardest to Fill


53 High demand occupations (HDOs)that support the region’s key industries

(e.g. energy, construction, manufacturing, healthcare)

Healthcare

STEMBlue

Collar

FILTERED OUT:• Sales • Food & personal

services • Community

services & arts

Relevance to Houston’s key sectors

Challenge:Getting a handle on employment when the economy is in MEGA expansion-mode.

Houston area investment over the next 5 years…

Source: Greater Houston Partnership.

100+expansion projects

20,000+

new, permanent JOBS

from 74 projects

$20+ BILLIO

Nin

investmentfrom 83 projects

Challenge:Getting the complete picture of the system.

The Crosswalk Validation Project

– Table 7 Connects SOC to Department of Education Career Clusters (& Career Pathways)

– Still not a one-to-one relationship

– Some discretion used to make best match

http://www.nrccte.org/resources/studies/crosswalk-validation-project

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Department of Education.

Health Science

Education & Training

Human Service

Transportation, Dist., & Logistics

Business & Administration

Architecture & Construction

STEM

Manufacturing

Law & Public Safety

Information Technology

Hospitality & Tourism

Arts, A/V Tech. & Communication

Finance

Ag., Food & Natural Resources

Sales & Marketing

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

88

0

0

988

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

Less than 1 year

At least 1 but < 2 academic years

Associates

At least 2 but < 4 academic yrs

Distribution of postsecondary awards of less than four-yearsRanked by 2012 completions by career cluster

Notes: Includes only those institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs.

Source: Alvin Community College, Brazosport College, Houston Community College, Lee College, Lone Star College, and San Jacinto College

Health Science

Manufacturing


Transp., Dist. & Logistics

STEM

Business, Mgmt. & Admin.



Human Services

Finance

Sales & Marketing

Arts, A/V Technology & Communications

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Distribution of non-credit completions for select collegesRanked by 2012 completions by career cluster

Manufacturing

Sales & Marketing

Business Mgmt. & Admin.

Health Science


Transportation, Dist. & Logistics

Human Services

Hospitality & Tourism

Law & Public Safety

Finance


Arts, A/V Tech. & Comm.

Ag., Food & Natural Resources


Govt. & Public Adminstration

STEM

0 5,000 10,000 15,000

12,500

11,600

9,300

9,000

8,600

6,700

3,800

2,700

2,400

2,000

1,600

1,600

900

700

600

200

Source: EMSI, Department of Education Career Clusters.

Annual Openings for Middle Skills Jobs in Houston RegionRanked by annual openings, 2012-2017

Observations• Health professions dominate middle-skills

education awards• Almost a quarter of openings are for

supervisors & managers• Though almost three-quarters of

occupations are classified as entry-level, the actual job opening is for an experienced worker (replacement for retiree)

2: System “Gaps”

AwarenessPotential workers are not aware of the opportunities

in the middle skills segment or hold

inaccurate perceptions of the

jobs.

A

Basic Skills & Employability

Many potential workers lack some of the most basic

hard and soft skills needed for any

middle skills job.

B

CoordinationThe landscape of

programs and organizations with

a focus on workforce is broad

and varied, but also fragmented.

C

Data SystemsThe lack of

accurate, reliable data creates a

disconnect between demand

and supply.

D

3: Response

APPROACH:1.Sector-based, business-led2.GHP as the “System

Integrator”3.Based on primary data

Questions?

TIP STRATEGIES, INC.106 E 6th Street, Suite 550Austin, TX 78701512.343.9113tipstrategies.com

[email protected]@tipstrategies.com

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3rd Annual emsi Conference Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc . | October...

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