389 Food Retail Sector in Vietnam
Transcript of 389 Food Retail Sector in Vietnam
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Pham Quang Dieu (MARD; Institute of Agriculture
Economics; [email protected]
Tran Van Cong (MARD; International CooperationDepartment; [email protected])
FOOD RETAIL SECTOR INVIETNAM
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• Changing from planning to market system
• Changing from state dominance towardmulti-players (state; private; foreign…)
• Opening to the world market.• Increasing trend of industrialization and
urbanization.
• Income and consumption increase (200USD/year in the early 90s to 500
USD/year in 2004).
MACRO ECONOMICENVIRONMENT
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Vietnam and other countries in theregion – early phase of
development
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Vietnam
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
China
Philippin
Lao
1981 1991 2002
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Vietnam and other countries in theregion – the challenge of
industrialization (1981-1991-2002)
Vietnam
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippin
China
Lao
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
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90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60Agricultural share in GDP (%)
A g r i c u l t u r a l l a b o r s h a r e
i n l a b o r f o r c e ( %
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• Strong growth of the agriculturalsector
• From self-sufficiency tocommercialization (crop sale in totalcrop output: 1993-40%; 1998-54%;
2002-61%); available to supply tocities and for export.
• The free-up in domestic trade and
improvement of marketing system.
• The restructuring process andemergence of new actors in
processing industries.
0
2
4
6
8
10
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16
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 8
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 2
Agriculture
Industry
Service
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH ANDTHE FOOD RETAIL SECTOR
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
1 9 8 5
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 1
Paddy production (1000 tons)
Economic growth rate (%)
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• Increasing number of stake-holders in foodretail sector (from state dominance to multi-
players.– SOEs and cooperative are less
competitive and being in the adjustment
process.– New actors:
• The private sector is on the rise (the
case of Trung Nguyen coffee; Futuregeneration tea). Trade mark andsetting up domestic selling network
• The entering of foreign corps (Metro)
• Standardization process: quality; price
Characteristics of food retailsector
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• Traditional versus modern food retail
– 9000 traditional markets; 160 supermarkets; 32 trade centers.– Small and large scale
– Technological use (PC; storing; refrigerator system…)
– Price and quality differences
– Management model: family versus company
– Safeness problems. The quality control in farming activities
and sale (in HCM city 80% processed food in traditionalmarket is unsafe)
Characteristics of food retailsector
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• The increasing trend of modern food retail sector
(Supermarket HCM city 45; Hanoi 25)
• Increasing from raw material toward processed products
• Diversified business and restaurants (drink and food)• Innovation in food retailing: institution and technology
• The emergence of organic products (tea; vegetable)
• Rising demand for modern market place (equipment,
storing, facilities)
Characteristics of food retailsector
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Who supply to food retailling- thevalue chain
Supermarket
Traditionalmarket
Food shop
Metro
Vender
Import agency
wholesale
Farmer
Cooperative
Processingcompanies
Import
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– Increasing income and changing demand pattern
(booming effect of market renovation), use less riceand more meat, vegetable, fruit.
– Urbanization process, the rising of middle class,
consumers increasingly depended on market for theirfood needs.
– More using canned products and packaged foods.
– Women increasingly join the labor force, have lesstime to prepare meals from scratch.
– Value driven versus price driven
– Western style on the rise, import increase
Demand pattern and the foodretail sector
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• The changing of food retail sector
– Traditional versus modern – State versus private and foreign
• Shaping agriculture growth pattern- domesticversus export: the importance of domestic market
• Quality control
• Urban planning and market development• How to make the poor farmers get benefit in the
food retail innovation process (resource; access;association…)
Future prospect and policyimplications
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION
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Consumer preference of vegetablepurchase outlets in Ho Chi Minh
city (Malica study)
Officialretail
market
Unofficialretail
market
Venders Supermarket
Metro
1. Next
home2. Fresh
3. Cheap
price4. Many
types
1. Next
home2. Cheap
price
3. Fresh4. Can
buy
smallquantity
1. Next
home2. Cheap
price
3. Fresh4. Seller
friendly
1. Safe
2. Fresh3. Many
kinds
4. Nexthome
1. Safe
2. Fresh3. Cheap
4. Many
kinds
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0
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400
600
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1000
1200
1400
1600
Hanoi HoChiMinh Vietnam
poorest
2
3
4
richest
The rising of middle class
0100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Hanoi HoChiMinh Vietnam
poores
2
3
4
richest
Income per capita (USD/year) in 2002 Expenditure per capita (USD/year) in 2002
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The rising of middle class
Income per capita (USD/year) in 1998- 2002
0
200
400
600
800
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1200
poorest 2 3 4 richest
1998
2002
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0
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40
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Rural Urban
%
0
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U S D / m
o n t h Food Exp
share (%)
Food expUSD/month
Urbanization and food expenditure
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Urbanization and food expenditure
0
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1998 2002
Rural
Urban
Budget share for eating out of household 1998-2002 (%)
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Expenditure elasticity – theincreasing pattern toward non-
basic food expenditure
-1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
Rice
maize
fruit
vegetable
meat
fish
beverage
Rural
Urban
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Food import (million USD)
0
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200
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1000
1995 2000 2001 2002