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360 Degree Perspective of the Environmental Industry and Review of Major Trends by 2020
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Transcript of 360 Degree Perspective of the Environmental Industry and Review of Major Trends by 2020
360 Degree Perspective
of the Environmental Industry
and Review of Major Trends by 2020
Q2 Analyst Briefing
Environment & Building Technologies
Presented by:
Konkana Khaund
Industry Manager
Environment and Building Technologies Practice
Environment & Building Technologies
Apr 20, 2011
Today’s Presenters
Konkana Khaund,
Industry Manager – North America
Environment & Building Technologies
2
Waste Management
Environmental Management
Sustainability with Social
Responsibility
Green Monitoring and Diagnostics
The Interplay of Environmental Issues
Cross-impact of Diverse Issues
Air Pollution Control
4
Water and Wastewater
Green Supply Chain Management
Responsibility
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Circular Economy/Cradle-
to-Cradle
Low Emission Future
Environmental Protection and
Security
Diverse Issues
Achieving environmental sustainability depends on a multitude of factors exerting simultaneous influence
Poll Question #1
A. Effective in stirring dialogue for change
1. What is your opinion of the current legislation in the environmental area?
5
B. Adequate for tangible change
C. Grossly inadequate
1950s Urbanization
2000s Suburbanization
2020s: Branded Cities
Creation of the historic center and
districts
Ring road motorway, living areas growing
outside the ring road as seen in
London
Urbanization Trends will Impact Environmental PrioritiesNeeds from emerging deurbanized cities and corridors will create new challenges and opportunities
Western Hemisphere will face an increasing trend of deurbanization
6
2015s Network City
• Emerging urban layouts will have a
tremendous impact on environmental
issues
Urban sprawl, first highways and ring
road
Third suburban area and cities along the
highways created, ring road overblown by
urban sprawl
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
2010 2015
Water Issues
Major Issues
Global Environmental IndustryAnticipated Timeline for Major Issues
2020
Price stability
Deregulation and public-private-partnerships (PPP)
Mandate for water footprinting and
reporting globally
Water becomes the new carbon
“Green” dominates chain of command
Revisiting drinking water security
Drinking water and sanitation
Drinking and sanitation needs for developing countries
Water stress
Concerns on chlorine by-productsUV joined by ozone,
advanced oxidation, and
Mandatory standards for cradle-to-cradle production
8
Sustainability and
Environmental Security
China overtakes the United States as the
world’s biggest emitter of CO2
Accelerated investmentin carbon capture
and storage
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Environment Management
Issues Water security planning gains momentum
Information technology plugs Into
environmental diagnostics
Carbon becomes a business imperative
Environmental information monitoring
Regulators take class actions
chain of command
Streamlining of landfill regulations
Municipalities establish commercial links of selling treated
wastewater to industry
Concerns on chlorine by-products advanced oxidation, and chlorine alternatives
cradle-to-cradle production process
Global sustainability rankings
Membranes and reverse osmosis, EDI –
electrodeionization
Bioremediation
Rapid population growth and urbanization
Water quality and public health
SocialWater supply and sanitation
needs of remote communities
International agenciesRegional/national environmental
protection agencies
Political and
Financial Business and financial agencies
Key Sustainability Drivers
9
and urbanization
Water stressStorm/flood
water management
Material resource and energy recovery
Carbon footprint
public health
Water reuse and recycling
(membranes, chlorine injections)Water tariffs
Ecological
Economical
needs of remote communities
Aquatic biodiversity and habitats
� Global populations are expected to exceed 9 billion by
2050.
� Inadequate infrastructure and management systems.
� Only 1% of the Earth's fresh water is available for
withdrawal and human use.
� Water availability, security, and the problems of
wastewater management are challenged by
three interlocking crises that make present
supply and distribution systems unsustainable:
� Rising costs
� Changing demographics
� Quality
The Size of the Problem
Water and Wastewater—A Key Global Challenge
10
withdrawal and human use.
� Inadequate attention from various sources continue to
spell uncertainty.
� Successful and sustained water and wastewater
management will need new investments.
� Communities should plan water and wastewater
management against future scenarios
Cost
Demographics Quality
Cost
Demographics Quality
American Clean Energy and Security Act
“Reduce GHG emissions by 83 percent over 2005 levels by 2050”
UNCCC, 2009 -
WORLD WATER WEEK Stockholm
“Review regulatory directives; Highlighting Water Stress and Water Foot printing”
A mixed bagof bills making
headlinesin 2009
with varying priorities
and mandates
Regulatory Perspective
12
California Global Warming Solutions Act
“GHG reductions to 1990 levels by 2020”
Other state and provincial initiatives:United States—Oregon, New York, Florida, ConnecticutOntario, Canada—Green Energy ActBritish Columbia, Canada—Environmental Assessment Act
Other state and provincial initiatives:United States—Oregon, New York, Florida, ConnecticutOntario, Canada—Green Energy ActBritish Columbia, Canada—Environmental Assessment Act
UNCCC, 2009 -Copenhagen Climate Summit
“Copenhagen Green Climate Fund -$30 billion to developing nations to fight climate change issues”
“Outcome –Still Divided on
Climate Change”
Smart infrastructure: Multimodal transport hubs providing air, rail, road connectivity to other megacities.
Smart technology: Intelligent communications systems connecting home, office, iPhone and car on a single wireless IT platform.
Smart energy: About 20% of the energy produced in a city will be renewable (wind, solar).
Smart buildings: At least 50% of buildings will be green and intelligent, built with building integrated photovoltaics (BIPV); 20% of the buildings will be net zero energy buildings.
The Integrated Industry Overview—2020Environmental Issues and the Urban Infrastructure Setting
Megatrends in parallel industries will influence the
environmental sector
14
Satellite towns: The main city center will merge with several satellite towns to form one megacity.
Smart cars: At least 10% of cars will be electric, with free fast-charging stations every half mile.
Smart grid: Infrastructure to enable real-time monitoring of power flow and provide energy surplus back to the grid.
Source: Google ImagesImpact zone for water, waste management, environmental management
environmental sector and present new opportunities for
suppliers
ProjectedImpact on the
Industry
High Impact
Opportunity Triggers—Major Trends by 2020
2015
2020
EU water reuse and
Biosolid concerns in the municipal sector catalyze growth in Europe and the
United States
Sludge generation in developing countries
triggers biogas and waste in the energy market
Interest in nonchlorine
UV joined by ozone, advanced oxidation, and chlorine alternatives
The Asia-Pacific region emerges as the strongest market opportunity for
biosolids
Complex contaminants such as endocrine
disruptors gain focal
Marketplace established for water trading between municipalities and commerce
Europe and North America evaluate best options to tackle extreme
weather -related flooding
15
Industry
Low Impact
Drinking water and sanitation needs in Asia, the Middle East,
Latin America, and Africa
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
2010
EU water reuse and recycling catalyzes growth;
China and India boost momentum
Carbon footprint drives energy recovery particularly in
industries
Sludge dewatering continues to be the choice for developing countries
Produced water sector for oil and gas establishes presence
Interest in nonchlorine disinfectants and
techniques such as UV
disruptors gain focal point
Rainwater harvesting systems emerge as a strong market in the
Asia-Pacific region
Decentralized systems market heats up in Southern, Central and Eastern Europe
Immediate Long Term
Mark
et
Dri
vers
1-2 yrs 3-5 yrs 6-10 yrs
Lack of resource supply to meet existing demand on a regional basis
Corporate social responsibility and sustainability considerations
Government support stemming from a need to satisfy resource demand in a sustainable way and curb carbon emissions
Addressing needs of aging infrastructurerequirements globally
Current Trends and Challenges to Market Growth
17
Mark
et
Restr
ain
ts
Slow adoption rate for innovative technology and high investments
Planning issues and slow regulations for energy and resources, including technology adoption
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Economic instability, reductions in capital expenditures and budget constraints
Environmental Market SegmentsGlobal Snapshot of Projected Growth of Select Segments
2010
Water and Wastewater
Waste Management
2012
�� ��
2013 2014 2015
����
��������
Example: North American Market Opportunities by 2015
• Water and wastewater treatment equipment
dominate all key environmental market segments
• Water and wastewater treatment equipment
equals approximately $4.50 billion
• Bioremediation equals approximately $12.00
billion
• Air pollution control equals $1.35 billion
• Waste to energy equals 2,500 megawatts of
18
Bioremediation
Waste to Energy
Air Pollution Control
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
• Waste to energy equals 2,500 megawatts of
installed capacity
����
Global Water and Wastewater MarketsMarket Growth Opportunities
� Global growth for the past five years
creating a sustainable buzz
� Clean water is the oil of the 21st century,
representing a rising demand for a fixed
resource
Market Growth Opportunities
Drive
rs
Drive
rs
Growing demand for
potable water
Environmental legislation
Private sectorinvestment
Qualityrequirements
Initiatives toraise access to
sanitation
Drive
rs
Drive
rs
raise access to
Intrinsic link to energy markets
19
Restra
ints
Restra
ints
Failed privatization
ventures
Re
stra
ints
Re
stra
intsRegionally
poor enforcement
Lack of public sector capital
Market maturity in the European Union (and United States)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
($ m
illio
n)
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Water Wastewater Sludge
Competitive Tiers and Future Evolution
Manufacturers
Technology incubators, third-party solution
providers and integrators
Monitoring, quality control, health and safety
providers, IT solution providers
Market Evolution and Consolidation
Traditional Positioning
Diversification, collaboration and
21
Environemntal consulting companies/service providers
Turnkey infrastructure providers
Municipalities, grid-security solution
providers, power infrastructure providers, IT
solution providers
providers, IT solution providers
Co
mp
eti
tive T
iers
collaboration and new capability creation with
market evolution
Competitive Focus and PositioningInnovation to Drive Positioning of Players
Supply chain and logistics
management for remote
deployments
Advanced environmental quality monitoring
Advanced waste management for
nuclear waste and carbon waste
Water grid management and
monitoring
Packaged solutions for small
communities Technology and market trends will shape competitive focus
Mark
et
Tech
no
log
y
22
monitoring
Carbon capture, storage and
sequestration
Turnkey solutions for water, waste
and sanitation for emerging markets
Technology diversification to
include treatments for complex
environmental contaminants
Value recovery and treatment of by-products
Readiness to respond to these changing trends will influence
growth of market participants by ensuring potentially high returns
Readiness to respond to these changing trends will influence
growth of market participants by ensuring potentially high returns
Mark
et
Tech
no
log
y
Strategy for operating decentralized market
systems
Global Water Shortages Will Drive Water Strategy and Planning Issues
� Intelligent water planning to be
strictly followed by organizations in
2020
� Mandates for water footprint and
reporting
� Challenge from waste disposal and
� Intelligent water planning to be
strictly followed by organizations in
2020
� Mandates for water footprint and
reporting
� Challenge from waste disposal and
24
Water stress in the above map is defined as: • Low when less than 10% of total available is withdrawn • Moderate when 10% to 20% of total available is withdrawn • Medium-High when 20% to 40% of total available is withdrawn • High when more than 40% of total available is withdrawn
Source: The World Business Council for Sustainable Development, and Frost & Sullivan analysis.
� Challenge from waste disposal and
deep-sea burial issues will continue
� Emergence of new demand
influencers
� Challenge from waste disposal and
deep-sea burial issues will continue
� Emergence of new demand
influencers
Energy and resource recovery from reverse osmosis desalination plants
Water reuse and recycling systems market (membrane bioreactor systems) *
Biogas generation from wastewater treatment (anaerobic digesters such as upflow anaerobic sludge blanket
Demand from Asia, Africa, and the
Middle East will fuel the need for faster commercialization and deployment.
Demand for Emerging Technology Solutions
25
Chemical-free, disinfection, and water and wastewater treatment (UV and ozone; OSHG and BHC; advanced water treatment technology such as UV, EDI, ozone; desalination) *
Nutrient removal and wastewater treatment solutions for rapidly growing cities (moving bed bioreactor systems)
as upflow anaerobic sludge blanket systems)
Continued Interest in DesalinationDriving Water Programs and Innovations
� Limited technological advancements continue to restrict
the use of this process, however, prospects for innovation
will keep this segment active
� Limited technological advancements continue to restrict
the use of this process, however, prospects for innovation
will keep this segment active
26
The Road Ahead
Impact of Market Forces (Present to 2020 and beyond)
Present
2015
Market proliferation of smart concepts
Decentralized markets with enhanced
competitiveness
2020 and beyond
Explore linkages for market commercialization of innovative technologies
Water scarcity planning techniques and advanced treatment process to gain market traction
Sustainability rankings to influence corporate decisions and behavior
Enhanced awareness for climate change issues
27
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Present
Stimulus funding
Entry of sustainable technologies
Infrastructure renewal opportunities
Increased interest and attention for water
scarcity planning and emission reduction
Growth in opportunities supported by
emerging demand from developed
countries
change issues
Smart technologies make serious inroads into stress areas
Effective C02 reductions and adherence toward climate change targets
Focus Areas for Industry Participants
Focus Areas
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
28
• Focus on technological innovations
• Explore geographic concentration of opportunities
• Adopt strategic alliances and partnerships
• Maintain competitive differentiation
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Key Issues
o Issues of water and energy are
converging . Efficiency is emerging as
the most important value proposition.
o Smart technology is redefining the
Key Issues
o Issues of water and energy are
converging . Efficiency is emerging as
the most important value proposition.
o Smart technology is redefining the
Conclusion
The Big Questions
� Commoditization of water—Is it time for
a seasonal water tariff?
� Green nuclear—How should the industry
address safe disposal and treatment
The Big Questions
� Commoditization of water—Is it time for
a seasonal water tariff?
� Green nuclear—How should the industry
address safe disposal and treatment
29
market and becoming integral to energy
efficiency. “Smart” solutions have
leapfrogged “green” solutions.
o Technology convergence leads to
convergence of competition and
redefined value chains.
market and becoming integral to energy
efficiency. “Smart” solutions have
leapfrogged “green” solutions.
o Technology convergence leads to
convergence of competition and
redefined value chains.
practices?
� Smart technologies—How do we speed
up “concept to commerce”?
� Waste to value—Will there be viable
commercial linkages for treated
wastewater and hazardous waste?
practices?
� Smart technologies—How do we speed
up “concept to commerce”?
� Waste to value—Will there be viable
commercial linkages for treated
wastewater and hazardous waste?
Poll Question #3
A. Established global player
3. How would you rate your current capabilities in meeting global challenges?
30
B. Regional player, in need of global strategy
C. Yet to make an informed market entry decision into global markets
Next Steps
� Request a proposal for or Growth Partnership Services or Growth Consulting Services to support you and your team to accelerate the growth of your company. ([email protected]) 1-877-GoFrost (1-877-463-7678)
� Join us at our annual Growth, Innovation, and Leadership 2011: A Frost & Sullivan Global Congress on Corporate Growth (www.gil-global.com)
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� Register for the next Chairman’s Series on Growth: Driving Innovation – The What, Why, and How. Visions and Benchmarks as the Innovation Key
(October 5th) (http://www.frost.com/growth)
� Register for Frost & Sullivan’s Growth Opportunity Newsletter and keepabreast of innovative growth opportunities(www.frost.com/news)
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For Additional Information
Britni Myers
Corporate Communications
Energy & Environment
(210) 477-8481
Nils Frenkel
Sales Director
Energy & Environment
(210) 247-2451
34
Konkana Khaund
Industry Manager – North America
Environment & Building Technologies
(416) 495-2673