2.810 Cost Adventureweb.mit.edu/2.810/www/files/lectures/lec20-cost-2019.pdfBudget Issues •Retail...

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2.810 Cost Adventure John Lewandowski

Transcript of 2.810 Cost Adventureweb.mit.edu/2.810/www/files/lectures/lec20-cost-2019.pdfBudget Issues •Retail...

Page 1: 2.810 Cost Adventureweb.mit.edu/2.810/www/files/lectures/lec20-cost-2019.pdfBudget Issues •Retail Cost: $1000 (assuming 50% markup to customer) •Wholesale Cost: $500 (assuming

2.810 Cost AdventureJohn Lewandowski

Page 2: 2.810 Cost Adventureweb.mit.edu/2.810/www/files/lectures/lec20-cost-2019.pdfBudget Issues •Retail Cost: $1000 (assuming 50% markup to customer) •Wholesale Cost: $500 (assuming

Assumptions/constraints

- Must keep holes/locations- Must achieve approximately same strength- Cost will include material/tooling/production

How does our manufacturing process, design, and cost per part change as our company grows in size and sells higher quantity?

L-bracket LLC

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First prototype: L-bracket by 3D printing

Additive X

Additive Y

Additive Z

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Let’s separate production levels

• Prototyping: QTY 1-10• Demo units (design changes needed)

• Lead time: days

• Short-term manufacturing: QTY 10-1,000• Products for first-customers (functional)

• Lead time: weeks

• High-quantity production: QTY 1,000-1,000,000• Scaled mass manufacturing (throughput)

• Lead time: months

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L-bracket via extrusion and machining

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L-bracket by 3D printing (less material)Additive

Additive X

Additive Y

Additive Z

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L-bracket via sheet metal forming or waterjet

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L-bracket

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Fill Pressure OK.

1,000 psi.

Number of Gates: 1.

Gate Type: Tab.

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Part is too big for a multi cavity mold in a standard sized machine

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L-bracket by injection molding

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L-bracket via casting

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Assuming each part is optimizedBreakeven between die casting and machining is at ~20,000 unitsInjection molding becomes cost effective at under ~1000 unitsMachining/waterjet/sheet metal are very competitive for low qtyAdditive has no scaling advantage, only useful for a few parts

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$-

$50.00

$100.00

$150.00

$200.00

$250.00

$300.00

1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000

Cavity trade-offs

1 Cavity 2 Cavity 4 Cavity 8 Cavity

Break even points

2 Cavity ~50004 Cavity ~100008 Cavity ~25000

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Takeaways

• Think about the sensitivity analysis and risk: what if wages increase, material changes (quality, cost), design/function changes (more holes in the bracket, thicker part)

• Even the simplest part can have significant trade-offs between manufacturing cost and functionality

• There will be multiple iterations for every process

• All departments/skills should be involved in the discussion

• Let’s see a real life example of when not everybody was involved in the decision-making process…

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Apple has machined

Aluminum, let’s cast our

computer out of magnesium

Go tell marketing to announce a magnesium

laptop

Then go talk to engineering to design it, we’re taking over this

industry

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Laptop Enclosure Manufacturing Cost and Process Breakdown

Top Cover

Keyset Cover

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Raw MaterialExtruded Mg billet

Anti-Corrosion TreatmentCeramic anti-corrosion coating

Top Cover

Keyset Cover

PaintSpray + Conveyor

CNC Milling7 operations, 98.3 minutes total

Step 3

80.5

min

Step 2

10.5

min

Ste

p 6

7.5

mi

n

CNC Milling6 operations, 105.3 minutes total

Step 5

16.1

min

Step 2

23.8

min

Step 3

48.1

min

Raw MaterialExtruded Mg billet

MgC

Line

Anti-Corrosion TreatmentCeramic anti-corrosion coating

MgC

Line

Logo SubassemblyAssembly + Inspection

Laser

Paint

Ablation

Logo

Inspect

ion

Secondary OperationsLaser etching + Paint touch-up

Vent Hole

Micro-

spray

Laser

Etch

PaintSpray + Conveyor

Paint

Line

Paint

Line

Post-CNC Robot deburr and wash

Was

h

LineRob

ot

Deb

urr

Wash

Line

Post-CNC Robot deburr and wash

Was

h

LineRob

ot

Deb

urr

Wash

Line

Secondary OperationsLaser etching + inspection

Laser

Inspecti

on

Logo

Asse

mbly

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Material/mechanical properties

Magnesium

• Cost: $2.10/lb.

• Strength:

• Density:

• Specific strength: 158 kN*m/kg

• Embodied energy:

• Specific energy:

Aluminum

• Cost: $0.72/lb.

• Strength:

• Density:

• Specific strength: 115 kN*m/kg

• Embodied energy:

• Specific energy:

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Laptop Top Cover Mfg ProcessStarting Weight: 1165 g Final Weight: 115 gMaterial Waste: 90.1%

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Laptop Top Cover Cost Breakdown

Top Cover Process StepsProjected

Yield %

Raw Material Billet (Mg) 100%

CNC Milling 92%

Deburr 99%

Cleaning 99%

Anti-corrosion Treatment 98%

Painting 90%

Secondary Operations 99%

Logo Subassembly 98%

Packing and Logistics /

TOTAL 77%

Top Cover Cost Structure

Total Cost: $33.73Material + Machining: $18.21

Cost (w/ defect): $43.80

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Laptop Keyset Cover Mfg ProcessStarting Weight: 1225 g Final Weight: 176 gMaterial Waste: 85.6%

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Laptop Keyset Cover Cost Breakdown

Keyset Process StepsProjected

Yield %

Raw Material Billet (Mg) 100%

CNC Milling 91%

Deburr 99%

Cleaning 99%

Anti-corrosion Treatment 98%

Painting 90%

Secondary Operations 96%

Packing and Logistics /

TOTAL 75%

Keyset Cost Structure

Total Cost: $37.80Material + Machining: $21.55

Cost (w/ defect): $50.40

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Budget Issues• Retail Cost: $1000 (assuming 50% markup to customer)

• Wholesale Cost: $500 (assuming 50% markup to Best Buy)

• Cost out the door: $250 (all-in cost)

• Laptop cover + Keyboard cover: $43.80 + $50.40 = $94.20

• …

• Max budget for the rest of the computer: $155.80

• Already burned ~40% of the budget on two parts of the BOM

• Think about how many computers they make and sell (1M/year)

• Production rate also becomes an issue, at 90 minutes on the CNC per part, this would mean they would have to buy >100 CNC’s and run 24/7

• Total disaster: Laptop discontinued

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This is a long time for each part to be on the CNC!

The interior finishing and vents make up ~70%

Look at all the tool changes

So many side vent holes

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Just these 5 features make up 25% of the of the total CNC timeHow important are those, really?

This design is in big trouble, not even that much opportunity for cycle time reduction, only 10-15 minutes each

What about material savings? Or energy savings?

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Takeaways

• Design + Engineering + Marketing + Management

• Build a process plan before making decisions

• Think about both cost as well as production rate issues

• Consider sensitivities as well as opportunities for cost optimization

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Poly board pre-cast concrete

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BAAM pre-cast concrete mold

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What if the tool was ½ or ¼ of the size?

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What if material rates for plastic doubled/tripled?

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What if labor costs decreased by ¼?

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Summary

• The additional benefits of the technique will always maintain

• Shipping costs ½ for long hauls

• Higher qty, getting 4 parts for every 3 of the lay-up method

• Every part will be different (size, material) but immune to labor changes

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Mat: $24.65Tool:Prod:

Mat: $1.38Tool:Prod:

Mat: $95.37Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $6.84Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.52Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.99Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $2.48Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.14Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.37Tool:Prod:

Mat: $25.05Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $0.24Tool:Prod:

Mat: $242.97Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.14Tool:Prod:

Mat: $242.97Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $2.37Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.29Tool:Prod:

Mat: $4.20Tool:Prod:

Mat: $7.80Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $1.19Tool:Prod:

Mat: $7.20Tool:Prod:

Mat: $3.48Tool:Prod:

Mat: $263.90Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $7.82Tool:Prod:

Mat: $0.37Tool:Prod:

Mat: $7.82Tool:Prod:

Mat: $16.69Tool:Prod:

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Mat: $1.15Tool:Prod:

Mat: $22.38Tool:Prod:

Mat: $31.20Tool:Prod:

Mat: $2.45Tool:Prod: