242342690 Macroeconomics by Paul Krugman and Robin Wells

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  • CHAPTER-OPENING STORIESCHAPTER

    APPL

    ICAT

    ION

    S IN

    MAC

    ROEC

    ONOM

    ICS 1: Any given Sunday, 1

    2: Tunnel vision, 20

    3: Gretzkys last game, 56

    4: Big city, not-so-bright ideas, 83

    5: Making gains by the book, 109

    6: Disappointed graduates, 138

    7: After the revolution, 159

    8: The bad old days, 186

    9: A hole in the ground, 210

    10: Shocks to the system, 236

    11: Be a patriot and spend, 269

    12: A bridge to prosperity?, 293

    13: A waggon-way through the air, 321

    14: Eight times a year, 342

    15: Two paths to unemployment, 368

    16: Hourly Wages, 393

    17: Purge the rottenness?, 415

    18: A rose by any other nation, 436

    19: Euro dilemmas, 460

    1: First Principles

    2: Economic Models: Trade-offsand Trade

    3: Supply and Demand

    4: The Market Strikes Back

    5: Consumer and Producer Surplus

    6: Macroeconomics: The BigPicture

    7: Tracking the Macroeconomy

    8: Long-Run Economic Growth

    9: Savings, Investment Spending,and the Financial System

    10: Aggregate Supply andAggregate Demand

    11: Income and Expenditure

    12: Fiscal Policy

    13: Money, Banking, and theFederal Reserve System

    14: Monetary Policy

    15: Labor Markets, Unemployment,and Inflation

    16: Inflation, Disinflation, andDeflation

    17: The Making of ModernMacroeconomics

    18: International Trade

    19: Open-Economy Macroeconomics

    Using a story-driven approach tolearning, every chapter of this

    textbook includes fully integrated

    real-world examples, stories,

    applications, and case studies.

    These many examples help to

    make economics accessible and

    entertaining while teaching

    intuitively and reinforcing critical

    concepts. There are three parts to

    this approach:

    1. Every chapter begins with anengaging and relevant

    chapter-opening story thatis integrated into the chapter

    discussion.

    2. Virtually every major textsection concludes with an

    "Economics in Action" casestudy that applies theconcept just covered to real-

    world situations.

    3. "For Inquiring Minds" boxesappear throughout chapters,

    offering still more in the way

    of real-world examples and

    applications.

    A complete list of the opening

    stories, "Economics in Action"

    cases, and "For Inquiring Minds"

    boxes follows. Examples that are

    international in focus are

    highlighted with two orange

    bullets ( ) and italic type.

  • FOR INQUIRING MINDSECONOMICS IN ACTION

    1: Got a penny?, 8 Pay for grades?, 10 Choosing sides, 13

    2: Models for money, 21 When economistsagree, 36

    3: Supply, demand, and controlled substances, 764: The rent control aristocracy, 88 Price floors

    and butter cookies, 92 If selling cigarettes isa crime, only criminals will sell cigarettes, 103

    5: I want a new Drug . . . , 1156: Defining recessions and expansions, 145

    When did long-run growth start?, 150

    7: Our imputed lives, 165 Gross what?, 167 Is the CPI biased?, 180

    8: The Wal-Mart effect, 193 Inventing R&D, 201

    9: Who enforces the accounting?, 216 Hownow, Dow Jones?, 230

    10: Whats truly flexible, whats truly sticky, 239 Keynes and the long run, 262

    12: Investment tax credits, 296 Whathappened to the debt from World War II?,312

    13: Whats with all the currency?, 325 Is banking a con?, 328

    14: Long-term interest rates, 35315: Full employment: Its the law!, 369 The

    aggregate supply curve and the short-runPhillips curve, 384

    16: Indexing to inflation, 397 A case fordeflation?, 405

    17: The politics of Keynes, 420 Supply-sideeconomics 428

    18: Does trade hurt poor countries?, 442 Increasing returns and international trade,443 Bittersweet, 454

    19: GDP, GNP, and the current account, 464 Twin deficits?, 467 Burgernomics, 476 From Bretton Woods to the euro, 481

    1: A womans work, 10 Restoring equilibrium on the freeways, 162: Rich nation, poor nation, 33 Economists in government, 363: Beating the traffic, 62 Down (and up) on the farm, 67 A fish story, 71

    Plain vanilla gets fancy, 76

    4: Oil shortages in the 1970s, 89 Black labor in Southern Europe, 93 Theclams of New Jersey, 99 Who pays the FICA?, 103

    5: When money isnt enough, 116 Gaining from disaster, 120 eBay andefficiency, 126 Missing the boats, 132

    6: The Great Depression, 142 Has the business cycle been tamed?, 148 Thedifference a point makes, 150 A (fast) food measure of inflation, 153 Northof the border, 155

    7: Creating the national accounts, 168 Good decades, bad decades, 172 Joblessrecoveries, 176 Indexing to the CPI, 180

    8: The luck of the Irish, 190 The information technology paradox, 197 TheBrazilian breadbasket, 201 Are economies converging?, 205

    9: Budgets and investment spending in 1990s, 221 Banks and the South Koreanmiracle, 228 Irrational exuberance 232

    10: Prices and output in the Great Depression, 245 Moving along the aggregatedemand curve, 19791980, 250 Supply shocks versus demand shocks in practice,260 The end of the Great Depression, 263

    11: Famous first forecasting failures, 274 A tale of two investment spending slumps,279 Bad times in Buenos Aires, 288

    12: Expansionary fiscal policy in Japan, 298 How much bang for the buck?, 302 Stability pactor Stupidity Pact?, 307 Argentinas creditors take a haircut, 313

    13: The history of the dollar, 325 Its a wonderful banking system, 329 Multiplying money down, 333 Building Europes Fed, 338

    14: A yen for cash, 349 The Fed takes action, 353 The Fed and the outputgap, 19852004, 359 International evidence of monetary neutrality, 363

    15: Eurosclerosis, 376 Jobless recoveries, 380 Sticky wages during the GreatDepression, 382 From the scary seventies to the nifty nineties, 388

    16: Money and prices in Brazil, 19851995, 399 Inflation and interest rates in theUnited States, 406 The great disinflation of the 1980s, 408 Japans trap, 411

    17: When did the business cycle begin?, 417 The end of the Great Depression, 421 The Feds flirtation with monetarism 426 Total factor productivity and thebusiness cycle, 428 After the bubble, 432

    18: The comparative advantage of the United States, 444 Trade, wages, and landprices in the nineteenth century, 449 Trade protection in the United States, 452 Declining tariffs, 455

    19: The golden age of capital flows, 468 The dollar and the deficit, 476 China pegs the yuan, 482 The joy of a devalued pound, 485

  • Robin WellsPrinceton University

    Paul KrugmanPrinceton University

    worth publishers

    macroeconomics

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    To beginning students everywhere, which we all were at one time.

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  • vPaul Krugman is Professor of Economics at Princeton University, wherehe regularly teaches the principles course. He received his BA from Yale and his

    PhD from MIT. Prior to his current position, he taught at Yale, Stanford, and

    MIT. He also spent a year on the staff of the Council of Economic Advisers in

    19821983. His research is mainly in the area of international trade, where he is

    one of the founders of the new trade theory, which focuses on increasing

    returns and imperfect competition. He also works in international finance, with

    a concentration in currency crises. In 1991, Krugman received the American Eco-

    nomic Associations John Bates Clark medal. In addition to his teaching and aca-

    demic research, Krugman writes extensively for nontechnical audiences.

    Krugman is a regular op-ed columnist for the New York Times. His latest trade

    book is a best-selling collection of his Times articles entitled The Great Unravel-

    ing: Losing Our Way in the New Century. His earlier books, Peddling Prosperity and

    The Age of Diminished Expectations, have become modern classics.

    Robin Wells is Researcher in Economics at Princeton University, whereshe regularly teaches undergraduate courses. She received her BA from the Uni-

    versity of Chicago and her PhD from the University of California at Berkeley; she

    then did postdoctoral work at MIT. She has taught at the University of Michigan,

    the University of Southampton (United Kingdom), Stanford, and MIT. Her

    teaching and research focus on the theory of organizations and incentives. She

    writes regularly for academic journals.

    About the Authors

  • What is above all needed is to let the meaningchoose the word, and not the other way about.George Orwell, Politics and the English Language, 1946

    FROM PAULobin and I like to think that we wrote this bookwith Orwells injunction in mind. We wanted towrite a different sort of book, one that gives asmuch attention to the task of making sure the

    student understands how economic models apply to thereal world as it gives to the models themselves. We want-ed to adapt Orwells principle to the writing of an eco-nomics textbook: to let the purpose of economicstoachieve a deeper understanding of the worldrather thanthe mechanics of economics dictate the writing.

    We believe that writing in this style reflects a commit-ment to the readera commitment to approach thematerial from a beginners point of view, to make thematerial entertaining and accessible, to make discovery ajoy. Thats the fun part. But we also believe that there isanother, equally compelling obligation on the part of anauthor of a principles of economics text. Economics is anextremely powerful tool. Many of us who are economistsoriginally started in other disciplines (I started in history,Robin in chemistry). And we fell in love with economicsbecause we believed it offers a coherent worldview thatoffers real guidelines to making the world a better place.(Yes, most economists are idealists at heart.) But like anypowerful tool, economics should be treated with greatcare. For us, this obligation became a commitment thatstudents would learn the appropriate use of the modelsunderstand their assumptions and know their limitationsas well as their positive uses. Why do we care about this?Because we dont live in a one model of the economy fitsall world. To achieve deeper levels of understanding ofthe real world through economics, students must learn toappreciate the kinds of trade-offs and ambiguities thateconomists and policy makers face when applying theirmodels to real-world problems. We hope this approachwill make students more insightful and more effectiveparticipants in our common economic, social, and polit-ical lives.

    To those familiar with my academic work, this per-spective will probably look familiar. There I tried to makethe problem to be solved the focus and to avoid unneces-sary technique. I tried to simplify. And I tried to choosetopics that had important real-world implications.Writing for a large, nontechnical audience has only rein-forced and expanded these tendencies. I had to begin with

    the working assumption that readers initially have noreason to care about what I am writing aboutthat it ismy responsibility to show them why they should care. Sothe beginning of each chapter of this book is writtenaccording to the dictum: If you havent hooked them bythe third sentence, then youve lost them. Ive alsolearned that about all you can take for granted in writingfor a lay audience is basic numeracyaddition and sub-traction, but no more than that. Concepts must be fullyexplained; likely confusions must be anticipated andheaded off. And most of all, you must be judicious inchoosing the content and pacing of the writingdontoverwhelm your reader.

    FROM ROBINike Paul, I wanted to write a book that appeals tostudents without unduly sacrificing an instructorsobligation to teach economics well. I arrived at a

    similar perspective on how this book should be written,but by a different path. It came from my experiencesteaching economics in a business school for a few years.Facing students who were typically impatient withabstraction and often altogether unhappy to be takingeconomics (and who would often exact bloody revenge inteaching evaluations), I learned how important it is tohook the students into the subject matter. Teaching withcase studies, I found that concepts had been truly learnedonly when students could successfully apply them. Andone of the most important lessons I learned was not topatronize. Weeconomists, that isoften assume thatpeople who arent familiar with conceptual thinkingarent smart and capable. Teaching in a business schoolshowed me otherwise. The majority of my students weresmart and capable, and many had shouldered a lot ofresponsibility in their working lives. Although adept atsolving practical problems, they werent trained to thinkconceptually. I had to learn to acknowledge the practicalskills that they did have, but also show them the impor-tance of the conceptual skills they didnt have. AlthoughI eventually returned to an economics department, thelessons I learned about teaching economics in a businessschool stayed with me and, I believe, have been crucialingredients in writing this textbook.

    vi

    Preface

    R

    L

  • were written with this in mind, allowing instructors tocraft a course that fits their needs. For a detailed lookat the organization of chapters and ways to use them,see pages ix through xv of this preface.

    Tools for LearningWe have structured each of the chapters around a commonset of features. The following features are intended to helpstudents learn better while also keeping them engaged.

    What You Will Learn in This ChapterTo help readers get oriented, the first page of each chaptercontains a preview of the chapters contents, in an easy-to-review bulleted list format, that alerts students to thecritical concepts and details the objectives of the chapter.

    Opening StoryIn contrast to other books in which each chapter beginswith a recitation of some aspect of economics, weveadopted a unique approach: we open each chapter with acompelling story that often extends through the entirechapter. Stories were chosen to accomplish two things: toillustrate important concepts in the chapter and then toencourage students to want to read on to learn more.

    As weve mentioned, one of our main goals is to buildintuition with realistic examples. Because each chapter isintroduced with a real-world story, students will relatemore easily to the material. For example, we introduceChapter 7, on macroeconomic datausually one of thedriest subjects in macroeconomicswith the story of howan accurate estimate of real GDP growth steadied nervousPortuguese officials and helped the country make thetransition from dictatorship to democracy (see After theRevolution on page 159). We introduce Chapter 15, onunemployment, with a story of two lives changed by jobloss (see Two Paths to Unemployment on page 368).For a list of our opening stories, see the inside front cover.

    Economics in Action Case StudiesIn addition to introducing chapters with vivid stories, weconclude virtually every major text section with still moreexamples: a real-world case study called Economics inAction. This feature provides a short but compellingapplication of the major concept just covered in that sec-tion. Students will experience an immediate payoff frombeing able to apply the concepts theyve just read about.For example, our discussion of long-run fiscal issues (inChapter 12, Fiscal Policy), which includes the questionof solvency, is followed by an account of Argentinas debtdefault (see Argentinas Creditors Take a Haircut, on

    P R E FA C E vii

    Advantages of This BookDespite our fine words, why should any instructor useour text? We believe our book distinguishes itself in sev-eral ways that will make your introductory macroeco-nomics course an easier and more successful undertakingfor the following reasons:

    Chapters build intuition through real examples. In everychapter, we use real-world examples, stories, applica-tions, and case studies to teach concepts and motivatestudent learning. We believe that the best way to intro-duce concepts and reinforce them is through real-worldexamples; students simply relate more easily to them. Inaddition, we stress throughout the book that economicmodels arent just intellectual games; they are ways tounderstand the real world and the dilemmas faced bypolicy makers. The real-world examples, stories, applica-tions, and case studies are drawn from a wide variety ofsourcesindividual stories, economic history, andrecent experience, with a strong emphasis on interna-tional cases.

    Real-world data illustrate concepts. Examples are oftenaccompanied by real-world data so that students cansee what real macroeconomic numbers look like andhow they relate to the models.

    Pedagogical features reinforce learning. Weve workedhard to craft a set of features that will be genuinelyhelpful to students. We describe these features in thenext section, Tools for Learning.

    Chapters have been written to be accessible and enter-taining. We have used a fluid and friendly writing stylethat makes the concepts accessible. And we have triedwhenever possible to use examples that matter directlyto students; for example, considering why decisionsmade by economic policy makers have importantimplications for what the job market will look likewhen they graduate.

    Although easy to understand, the book also prepares stu-dents for further coursework. Too often, instructorsfind that selecting a textbook means choosing betweentwo unappealing alternatives: a textbook that is easyto teach but leaves major gaps in students under-standing, or a textbook that is hard to teach but ade-quately prepares students for future coursework. Wehave worked very hard to create an easy-to-understandtextbook that offers the best of both worlds.

    The book permits flexible yet conceptually structureduse of chapters. We recognize that instructors will havedifferent preferences about which topics to emphasizeand how much detail to give tools of analysis. Chapters

  • page 313). In Chapter 19, Open-Economy Macro-economics, we follow the discussion of exchange ratepolicy with an account of Chinas massive intervention tokeep the yuan from rising (see China Pegs the Yuan onpage 482). For a complete list of all the Economics inAction cases in the text, see the inside front cover andour table of contents.

    Unique End-of-Section Review: QuickReview and Check Your UnderstandingQuestionsIn contrast to most other textbooks, which offer a reviewof concepts only at the end of each chapter, we includereview material at the end of each major section within achapter.

    Economics contains a lot of jargon and abstract con-cepts that can quickly overwhelm the principles student.So we provide Quick Reviews, short bulleted sum-maries of concepts at the end of each major section. Thisreview helps ensure that students understand what theyhave just read.

    The Check Your Understanding feature, whichappears along with every Quick Review, consists of ashort set of review questions; solutions to these questionsappear at the back of the book in the section set off witha burgundy tab at the edge of each page. These questionsand solutions allow students to immediately test theirunderstanding of the section just read. If theyre not get-ting the questions right, its a clear signal for them to goback and reread before moving on.

    The Economics in Action cases, followed by theQuick Reviews and Check Your Understanding ques-tions comprise our unique end-of-section pedagogical setthat encourages students to apply what theyve learned(via the Economics in Action) and then review it (withthe Quick Reviews and Check Your Understandingquestions). Our hope is that students will be more suc-cessful in the course if they use this carefully constructedset of study aids.

    For Inquiring Minds BoxesTo further our goal of helping students build intuitionwith real-world examples, almost every chapter containsone or more For Inquiring Minds boxes, in which con-cepts are applied to real-world events in unexpected andsometimes surprising ways, generating a sense of thepower and breadth of economics. These boxes helpimpress on students that economics can be fun despitebeing labeled the dismal science.

    In a Chapter 8 box, for example, students learn how asubstantial portion of recent productivity gains in theUnited States can be attributed to a rather unglamorousindustry, one that most of us take for grantedretailing

    viii P R E FA C E

    (see The Wal-Mart Effect on page 193). In Chapter 13,Money, Banking, and the Federal Reserve System, wepoint out the puzzling fact that theres $2,500 worth ofcurrency in circulation for every man, woman, and childin the United States (how many people do you know whokeep $2,500 in their wallets?). We then explain how cur-rency in domestic cash registers and in the hands of for-eigners resolves the puzzle (see Whats with All TheCurrency? on page 325.) For a list of For InquiringMinds boxes, see the inside front cover and our table ofcontents.

    Pitfalls BoxesCertain concepts are prone to be misunderstood whenstudents begin their study of economics. We try to alertstudents to these mistakes in Pitfalls boxes, wherecommon misunderstandings are spelled out and cor-rected. For example, in Chapter 19 on open-economymacroeconomics, we address the tricky business of howto read an exchange rate (see Which Way Is Up? onpage 470). For a list of all Pitfalls boxes see the tableof contents.

    Student-Friendly GraphsComprehending graphs is often one of the biggest hur-dles for principles students. To help alleviate that prob-lem, this book has been designed so that figures arelarge, clear, and easy for students to follow. Many con-tain helpful annotationsin an easy-to-see balloonlabel formatthat link to concepts within the text.Figure captions have been written to complement thetext discussion of figures and to help students morereadily grasp what theyre seeing.

    Weve worked hard to make these graphs student-friendly. For example, to help students navigate one of thestickier thicketsthe distinction between a shifting curveand movement along a curvewe encourage students tosee this difference by using two types of arrows: a shiftarrow ( ) and what we call a movement-along arrow ( ). You can see these arrows inFigures 3-12 and 3-13 on pages 73 and 74.

    In addition, several graphs in each chapter are accompa-nied by the icon , which indicates that these graphsare available online as simulations (the graphs are animat-ed in a Flash format and can be manipulated). Every inter-active graph is accompanied by a quiz on key concepts tofurther help students in their work with graphs.

    Instructing students in the use of graphs is alsoenhanced by our use of real-world data, often presentedin charts that can be compared directly to the analyticalfigures. For example, the aggregate supply curve canseem like a highly abstract concept, but in Chapter 10,Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand, we make it

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  • less abstract by illustrating the concept with the actualbehavior of aggregate output and the aggregate price levelduring the 1930s (see Figure 10-6 on p. 245).

    Helpful Graphing Appendix For students whowould benefit from an explanation of how graphs areconstructed, interpreted, and used in economics, weveincluded a detailed graphing appendix after Chapter 2on page 41. This appendix is more comprehensive thanmost because we know that some students need thishelpful background, and we didnt want to breezethrough the material. Our hope is that this compre-hensive graphing appendix will better prepare studentsto use and interpret the graphs in this textbook andthen out in the real world (in newspapers, magazines,and elsewhere).

    Definitions of Key TermsEvery key term, in addition to being defined in the text, isalso placed and defined in the margin to make it easierfor students to study and review.

    A Look AheadThe text of each chapter ends with A Look Ahead, ashort overview of what lies ahead in upcoming chapters.This concluding section provides students with a sense ofcontinuity among chapters.

    End-of-Chapter ReviewIn addition to the Quick Review at the end of eachmajor section, each chapter ends with a complete butbrief Summary of the key terms and concepts. In addi-tion, a list of the Key Terms is placed at the end of eachchapter along with page references.

    For each chapter we have a comprehensive set of End-of-Chapter Problems that test intuition and the abilityto calculate important variables. Much care has beendevoted to the creation of these problems. Instructors canbe assured that they provide a true test of studentslearning.

    Macroeconomic Data To supplement our in-chapter use of real-world data toillustrate macroeconomic concepts, weve included abroad selection of macroeconomic data at the back of thebook in a section set off with blue tabs at the edge of eachpage. These data series include most of the importantmacroeconomic variables for the United States. Selectedearly years illustrate the behavior of the economy duringthe Great Depression and the postWorld War II boom.The series also include data for each year from 1970 to2004 for full coverage of recent years.

    The Organization of This Book and How to Use ItThis book is organized as a series of building blocks in whichconceptual material learned at one stage is clearly builtupon and then integrated into the conceptual material cov-ered in the next stage. These building blocks correspond tothe eight parts into which the chapters are divided. Wellwalk through those building blocks shortly. First, however,lets talk about the general question of the order in whichmacroeconomic topics are best covered.

    Teaching Macroeconomics: Short Run or Long RunFirst? The history of macroeconomic theory is one inwhich short-run and long-run issues vie for priority. Thelong-run focus of classical economists gave way to theshort-run focus of Keynesian economics; then the pen-dulum swung back to the long run, and lately it seems tobe swinging back to the short run. This struggle over pri-ority is reproduced every time an instructor must decidehow to teach the subject. Two issues are particularlytricky. First, should long-run economic growth be coveredearly or later, after the business cycle has been discussed?Second, should classical, full-employment analysis of theprice level come before or after business-cycle analysis?

    We have chosen to cover long-run growth early (Part 4,Chapters 8 and 9) because we feel that an early discussionof the long-run growth of real GDP helps students under-stand why the business cycle involves fluctuations aroundan upward trend. We have, however, structured the subse-quent short-run analysis (Part 5, Chapters 1014) in away that allows instructors to reverse this order, deferringour chapter on long-run growth (Chapter 8) until later inthe course. However, weve taken a firmer stand when itcomes to the second question. We believe that the funda-mental approach of this bookto tie macroeconomics toreal-world concernsrequires that a discussion of theshort-run effects of demand and supply shocks comebefore a discussion of the classical model.

    Although some macroeconomics textbooks treat theclassical model first, and some even devote more space tolong-run analysis than to the short run, we believebasedon our own teaching experiencethat this is a formula forlosing the interest of beginning students. We are, after all,living in a time of activist monetary and fiscal policy.Students are likely to read newspaper accounts of theFederal Reserves attempts to stabilize the economy or ofdebates over the impact of tax cuts on job creation. If stu-dents begin their study of macroeconomics with models inwhich monetary policy has no effect on aggregate output,they will get the impression that what they are learning inthe classroom is irrelevant to the real world. In this bookwe explain early why demand shocks have no effect onoutput in the long run, but we dont emphasize the long-run neutrality of money before describing how monetaryand fiscal policy work in the short run.

    P R E FA C E ix

  • We also believe that students could lose their sensethat macroeconomics is relevant if the book starts with amodel best used to explain inflation. Were living in atime when sustained high inflation is a distant memoryin wealthy nationsand even in many developing coun-tries. The great majority of students likely to use this bookhadnt been born the last time the U.S. core inflation ratewas above 6%. In contrast, the effects of short-rundemand and supply shockssuch as the 2001 recessionand the subsequent jobless recovery, or the surge in ener-gy prices from 2003 to 2005are fresh in our memories.We believe that a book aimed at showing students howeconomics applies to the real world must emphasize earlyon, rather than later, how macroeconomic models helpus understand such events.

    We believe that the diffidence with which some text-books approach the short run is partly driven by reluc-tance to enter an area that was marked by fierce debatesin the 1970s and 1980s. But the ferocity of those debates,like double-digit inflation, has receded into the past. Yes,there are still serious disputes about macroeconomic the-ory and policy. But as we explain in Chapter 17, TheMaking of Modern Macroeconomics, there is also farmore consensus than in the past. Students are best servedby a book that emphasizes the macroeconomic issues thatmatter most to public debate rather than downplays theseissues out of fear of stepping into contentious areas.Thats why we have chosen to provide an extended earlydiscussion of the short-run effects of demand and supplyshocks and the role of fiscal and monetary policy inresponding to these shocks.

    Finally, one last issue involves the order in which theshort run should be taught. Some instructors prefer tobegin their coverage with a traditional Keynesian dis-cussion of the determinants of aggregate expenditure.Some prefer to place that discussion after a basic intro-duction to aggregate supply and aggregate demand. Anda third group prefers to skip that analysis altogether.Weve used a structural innovation to make all threeapproaches work, by including an intuitive discussion of the multiplier in Chapter 10, Aggregate supply and Aggregate Demand, followed by a more detailed,algebraic discussion in Chapter 11, Income andExpenditure. Instructors who follow the table of con-tents, teaching Chapter 11 after Chapter 10, can treatthe famous 45-degree diagram and its associated algebraas a more in-depth discussion of the multiplier princi-ple students have already learned. Instructors whochoose to teach Chapter 11 first can treat Chapter 10sdiscussion as a reinforcement of the graphical and alge-braic analysis. And instructors who skip Chapter 11 willfind that the intuitive discussion of the multiplier inChapter 10 is sufficient for the analysis of fiscal andmonetary policy.

    With that, lets walk through the books organization.

    Part 1: What Is Economics?In the Introduction, The Ordinary Business ofLife, students are initiated into the study of economicsin the context of a shopping trip on any given Sunday ineveryday America. It provides students with basic defini-tions of terms such as economics, the invisible hand, andmarket structure. In addition, it serves as a tour dhori-zon of economics, explaining the difference betweenmicroeconomics and macroeconomics.

    In Chapter 1, First Principles, nine principles arepresented and explained: four principles of individualchoice, covering concepts such as opportunity cost, mar-ginal analysis, and incentives; and five principles of inter-action between individuals, covering concepts such asgains from trade, market efficiency, and market failure.In later chapters, we build intuition by frequently refer-ring to these principles in the explanation of specificmodels. Students learn that these nine principles form acohesive conceptual foundation for all of economics.

    Chapter 2, Economic Models: Trade-offs andTrade, shows students how to think like economists byusing three modelsthe production possibility frontier,comparative advantage and trade, and the circular-flowdiagramto analyze the world around them. It gives stu-dents an early introduction to gains from trade and tointernational comparisons. The Chapter 2 appendix con-tains a comprehensive math and graphing review.

    Part 2: Supply and DemandIn this part we provide students with the basic analyticaltools they need to understand how markets work, tools thatare common to microeconomics and macroeconomics.

    Chapter 3, Supply and Demand, covers the stan-dard material in a fresh and compelling way: supply anddemand, market equilibrium, and surplus and shortage areall illustrated using an example of the market for scalpedtickets to a sports event. Students learn how the demandand supply curves of scalped tickets shift in response to theannouncement of a star players impending retirement.

    Chapter 4, The Market Strikes Back, covers var-ious types of market interventions and their conse-quences: price and quantity controls, inefficiency anddeadweight loss, and excise taxes. Through tangible exam-ples such as New York City rent control regulations andNew York City taxi licenses, the costs generated byattempts to control markets are made real to students.

    Chapter 5, Consumer and Producer Surplus, isdesigned to be optional. In the chapter, students learnhow markets increase welfare through examples such as amarket for used textbooks and eBay. Although the con-cepts of market efficiency and deadweight loss are strong-ly emphasized, we also describe the ways in which a mar-ket can fail. This chapter will be particularly helpful forinstructors who teach Chapter 18 on international trade.

    x P R E FA C E

  • Part 3: Introduction to MacroeconomicsChapter 6, Macroeconomics: The Big Picture,introduces the big ideas in macroeconomics. Starting withan example close to students heartshow the businesscycle affects the job prospects of graduatesthis chapterprovides a quick overview of recessions and expansions,employment and unemployment, long-run growth, infla-tion versus deflation, and the open economy.

    Chapter 7, Tracking the Macroeconomy, explainshow the numbers macroeconomists use are calculated,and why. We start with a real-world example of how anestimate of real GDP helped save a country from policymistakes, then turn to the basics of national incomeaccounting, unemployment statistics, and price indexes.

    Long-Run Growth We begin our discussion of macro-economic models with long-run economic growth. Webelieve that students are best prepared to understand thesignificance of fluctuations around long-run trends ifthey first acquire an understanding of where long-runtrends come from. Instructors can, however, deferChapter 8 until later in the course if they choose.

    Part 4: The Economy in the Long RunChapter 8, Long-Run Economic Growth, startswith a reality TV showa BBC series about a family thatspent three months living life as it was in 1900to illus-trate the human significance of economic growth. Whenwe turn to economic data, we emphasize an internation-al perspectiveeconomic growth is a story about theworld as a whole, not just the United States. The chapteruses a streamlined approach to the aggregate productionfunction to present an analysis of the sources of eco-nomic growth and the reasons some countries have beenmore successful than others.

    Chapter 9, Savings, Investment Spending, andthe Financial System, introduces students to financialmarkets and institutions. We group it with Chapter 8 inthis part because it highlights the role of these marketsand institutions in economic growth. Chapter 9 is also,however, integral to short-run analysis, for two reasons.First, its analysis of the market for loanable funds and thedetermination of interest rates provides an analytical toolthat will be helpful for understanding monetary policy,international capital flows, and other topics covered laterin the book. Second, its discussion of financial institu-tions provides background when we turn to the role ofbanks in creating money.

    The Short Run Macroeconomics as we know it emergedduring the Great Depression, and the effort to under-stand short-run fluctuations and the effects of monetaryand fiscal policy remains as important as ever. So wedevote a large block of chapters (Chapters 1014) to

    short-run fluctuations. These chapters are, however,structured to allow instructors to choose their preferredlevel of detail. In particular, we know that some instruc-tors want to place more emphasis than others on the con-sumption function and the multiplier. So we provide abasic, intuitive explanation of the multiplier in Chapter10 but reserve a detailed discussion of consumer behaviorand how it relates to the 45-degree diagram for Chapter11, which is designed to be optional (but can be taughtbefore Chapter 10, if instructors choose to do so).

    There is also an ongoing debate among economicsinstructors about whether the traditional presentationof aggregate supply and aggregate demand, which treatsthe aggregate quantities of goods and services demand-ed and supplied as functions of the price level, should bereplaced with a framework that treats them as functionsof the inflation rate. In this alternative framework, theaggregate supply curve is really the short-run Phillipscurve, and the aggregate demand curve is really a rep-resentation of the effects of monetary policy that leansagainst inflation. We understand the appeal of such apresentation, which makes for an easier transition tothe discussion of inflation. But we believe that thisapproach blurs the important distinction between theprivate sectors behavior and the effects of policyresponses on that behavior. Furthermore, a crucialinsight from the traditional aggregate supplyaggregatedemand approach is the economys ability to correctitself in the long run. This insight is lost in the alterna-tive approach. So we introduce short-run macroeco-nomics with a traditional focus on the aggregate pricelevel, and we treat ongoing inflation as a medium-runissue, reserved for Part 6.

    Part 5: Short-Run Economic FluctuationsPart 5 begins with Chapter 10, Aggregate Supply andAggregate Demand. This chapters opening story cov-ers the economic slump of 19791982, which startledAmericans with its combination of recession and infla-tion. This leads into an analysis of how both demandshocks and supply shocks affect the economy. In analyz-ing demand shocks, we offer a simple, intuitive explana-tion of the concept of the multiplier, using the idea ofsuccessive increases in spending after an initial shock toexplain how the aggregate demand curve shifts. In ana-lyzing supply shocks, we emphasize positive shocks, suchas the productivity surge of the late 1990s, as well as neg-ative shocks. The chapter concludes with the key insightthat demand shocks affect only output in the short run.

    Chapter 11, Income and Expenditure, is anoptional chapter for instructors who want to go into somedetail about the sources of changes in aggregate demand.We use real-world data to delve more deeply into the deter-minants of consumer and investment spending, introduce

    P R E FA C E xi

  • the famous 45-degree diagram, and present a fully fleshed-out explanation of the logic of the multiplier. For instruc-tors who would like more algebraic detail, the Chapter 11appendix shows how to derive the multiplier algebraically.

    Chapter 12, Fiscal Policy, starts in Japan, wherediscretionary fiscal policy has taken the form of huge pub-lic works projects, often of doubtful value. This leads intoan analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy inshifting the aggregate demand curve, which makes use ofthe intuitive explanation of the multiplier from Chapter10. We also cover automatic stabilizersusing the woes ofEuropes stability pact to illustrate their importanceand long-run issues of debt and solvency. The Chapter 12appendix shows how to introduce taxes into the analysis.It shows more specifically than the main text how the sizeof the multiplier depends on the tax rate, and it providesan intuitive explanation, in terms of successive rounds ofspending, of how taxes reduce the multiplier.

    Part 5 concludes with two monetary chapters.Chapter 13, Money, Banking, and the FederalReserve System, covers the roles of money, the ways inwhich banks create money, and the structure and role ofthe Federal Reserve and other central banks. We useepisodes from U.S. history together with the story of thecreation of the euro to illustrate how money and mone-tary institutions have evolved.

    Chapter 14, Monetary Policy, covers the role ofFederal Reserve policy in driving interest rates and aggre-gate demand. In the real-world examples, we took fulladvantage of the dramatic developments in monetarypolicy since 2000, which make it easier than ever beforeto illustrate what the Federal Reserve does. We also madea special effort to build a bridge between the short runand the long run. For example, we carefully explain howthe Federal Reserve can set the interest rate in the shortrun, even though that rate reflects the supply anddemand for savings in the long run.

    The Medium Run An important set of questions inmacroeconomics revolves around unemployment andinflation: can monetary and fiscal policy be used toreduce unemployment, does the attempt to reduce unem-ployment cause inflation, is there a trade-off betweeninflation and unemployment? These questions fall intothe category of medium-run issues, which apply toperiods long enough that wages and prices cant be takenas given, but short enough that productivity and popula-tion growth dont dominate the story.

    Part 6: The Supply Side and the Medium RunChapter 15, Labor Markets, Unemployment, andInflation, begins with stories of how real people moveinto and out of unemployment. It explains why there isalways some frictional and structural unemployment,illustrated by the problem of Eurosclerosis. It then

    turns to the relationship between unemployment and theoutput gap. It concludes with the Phillips curve, the roleof inflation expectations, and how this relates to the nat-ural rate hypothesis.

    Chapter 16, Inflation, Disinflation, andDeflation, covers the causes and consequences of infla-tion, as well as the reasons disinflation imposes largecosts in lost output and employment. A unique final sec-tion analyzes the effects of deflation and the problemsthat a zero bound poses for monetary policy. As weexplain, these issues, dormant for more than half a cen-tury after the Great Depression, surfaced in Japan in the1990s and have had a major impact on policy thinking.

    If Theres Time We recognize that many instructorswill find that theres only enough time to cover the corechapters up through Chapter 16 on inflation. For thosewith enough time, however, Parts 7 and 8 (and Chapter8, on long-run growth, for instructors who choose tocover it later) broaden the analysis. Part 7 offers a briefhistory of macroeconomic thought. Part 8 takes theanalysis into international economics.

    Part 7: Events and IdeasMacroeconomics has always been a field in flux, withnew policy issues constantly arising and traditional viewsoften challenged. Chapter 17, The Making ofModern Macroeconomics, provides a unique overviewof the history of macroeconomic thought, set in the con-text of changing policy concerns, then turns to a descrip-tion of the current state of macroeconomic debates(theres more agreement than people think.)

    Part 8: The Open EconomyChapter 18, International Trade, contains a recapof comparative advantage, traces the sources of compara-tive advantage, considers tariffs and quotas, and exploresthe politics of trade protection. In response to currentevents, we give in-depth coverage to the controversy overimports from low-wage countries.

    Chapter 19, Open-Economy Macroeconomics,analyzes the special issues raised for macroeconomics bythe open economy. We frame the discussion with real-world concerns: Britains debate over whether to adoptthe euro, Americas current account deficit, Chinas accu-mulation of dollar reserves.

    For instructors and students who want to delve moredeeply into international macroeconomics, we providea supplemental chapteravailable on the Web, atwww.worthpublishers.com/krugmanwells, and in bookletform. This chapter, Currencies and Crises, takesstudents into the world of currency speculation andinternational financial crises, with an emphasis on thedramatic events that have unfolded in developing coun-tries over the past decade.

    xii P R E FA C E

  • Core and Optional Chapters PlusPossible OutlinesFor an overview of what chapters are considered core andoptional, see page xiv of this preface. For ideas on usingthis book to meet specific course goals, see the outlineson page xv.

    Supplements and MediaWorth Publishers is pleased to offer an exciting and use-ful supplements and media package to accompany thistextbook. The package has been crafted to help instruc-tors teach their principles course and to help studentsgrasp concepts more readily.

    The entire package has been coordinated by MarthaOlney, University of California-Berkeley, to provide con-sistency in level and quality. Rosemary Cunningham,Agnes Scott College, has coordinated all of the quizzingmaterials in the Study Guide, Test Bank, and all theonline materials to guarantee uniformity.

    Since accuracy is so critically important, all the sup-plements have been scrutinized and double-checked bymembers of the supplements team, reviewers, and a teamof additional accuracy checkers. The time and care thathave been put into the supplements and media ensure aseamless package.

    Companion Website for Studentsand Instructors

    (www.worthpublishers.com/krugmanwells)The companion website for the Krugman/Wells text offersvaluable tools for both the instructor and students.

    For instructors, this completely customized websiteoffers many opportunities for quizzing and, most impor-tant, powerful grading tools. The site gives you the abilityto track students interaction with the Practice QuizzingCenter and the Graphing Center by accessing an onlinegradebook. Instructors have the option to have studentresults e-mailed directly to them.

    For students, the site offers many opportunities topractice, practice, practice. On the site, students canfind animated graphs, practice quizzes, videos, graphingtutorials, and links to many other resources designed tohelp them master economic concepts. In essence, thissite provides students with a virtual study guide, twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week by offering a peda-gogically sound means of testing their understanding oftext material.

    This helpful, powerful site contains the following:

    Homework Advantage Center Worths secure, inter-active, online homework system is accessible through theKrugman/Wells website. Using the Homework AdvantageCenter, instructors can easily create automatically gradedhomework assignments, quizzes, and tests. This onlinequizzing engine, which includes algorithmically generat-ed questions, allows for repeatable, varied assignmentsfor students. Students get immediate, individualizedresults after submitting their work. All student responsesare stored in an electronic gradebook so that instructorscan easily grade exams and generate reports. The grade-book has the following features that allow for flexibilityin assessing students abilities.

    Grades can be organized into as many as 25 relatedcategories (tests, papers, homework, etc.).

    Assignments can be independently weighted.

    Letter grade cutoffs can be adjusted, and custom grad-ing created (Fair, Good, Excellent, and so on).

    Assignment scores and category averages can beentered or displayed as percentages, points, lettergrades, or according to your own customized gradingscheme.

    Gradebooks can be set up to report final averages aspoints earned across all categories.

    Student properties can include ID number, password(for online testing), e-mail address, and status(active, withdraw, incomplete).

    Grades can be dropped manually or automatically.

    Assignment, category, and final scores can be curved.

    Numerous reports can be customized and printedwith an interactive print preview.

    Results can be merged from TheTestingCenter.Com.

    Student rosters can be imported and exported.

    P R E FA C E xiii

  • xiv P R E FA C E

    1. First Principles2. Economic Models: Trade-offs and Trade

    3. Supply and Demand4. The Market Strikes Back

    6. Macroeconomics: The Big Picture7. Tracking the Macroeconomy8. Long-Run Economic Growth9. Savings, Investment Spending, and the Financial

    System

    10. Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand

    12. Fiscal Policy

    13. Money, Banking, and the Federal Reserve System14. Monetary Policy15. Labor Markets, Unemployment, and Inflation16. Inflation, Disinflation, and Deflation

    Introduction: The Ordinary Business of Life

    Appendix: Graphs in EconomicsA comprehensive review of graphing and math for students whowould find such a refresher helpful.

    5. Consumer and Producer SurplusA brief introduction to welfare economics, which helps drive homethe reasons markets are usually efficient. This chapter will beparticularly helpful for instructors who teach international trade(Chapter 18).

    11. Income and Expenditure plus Appendix: Derivingthe Multiplier AlgebraicallyA chapter for instructors who want to provide full details on thedeterminants of aggregate demand: the consumption function, thedeterminants of investment spending, and the determination ofequilibrium by the requirement that planned spending equal GDP.The appendix offers an algebraic treatment of the multiplier forinstructors who want to supplement the graphical analysis

    Appendix: Taxes and the MultiplierA more rigorous derivation of the role of taxes in reducing themultiplier and acting as an automatic stabilizer

    17. The Making of Modern MacroeconomicsA chapter for instructors who like to cover the history of economicideas and the current state of policy debate. It offers a uniquesurvey of changing macroeconomic thought, leading up to currentdebates about monetary policy.

    18. International TradeThis chapter recaps comparative advantage, considers tariffs andquotas, and explores the politics of trade protection. Coveragehere links back to the international coverage in Chapter 2 andmakes use of the welfare economics introduced in Chapter 5.

    19. Open-Economy MacroeconomicsA chapter for instructors who take a more international approach. Itcovers the ways in which capital flows affect financial markets, theimportance of exchange rates and exchange rate regimes, and theeffects of monetary policy changes under fixed and floating rates.

    Supplemental chapter: Currencies and CrisesAvailable on the Web, at www.worthpublishers.com/krugmanwells,and in booklet form for instructors and students who want tocover currency speculation and international financial problems.

    Core Optional

    WHAT'S CORE, WHAT'S OPTIONAL: AN OVERVIEWAs noted earlier, we realize that some of our chapters will be considered optional. Below is a list of what we view as core chapters and those that could be considered optional. Weve annotated the list of optionalchapters to indicate what they cover should you wish to consider incorporating them into your course.

  • P R E FA C E xv

    THREE POSSIBLE OUTLINES

    Basic macroeconomics Expenditure first Long run later

    Part 11. First Principles2. Economic Models: Trade-offs

    and TradeAppendix: Graphs in Economics

    Part 23. Supply and Demand4. The Market Strikes Back

    Part 36. Macroeconomics: The Big

    Picture7. Tracking the Macroeconomy

    Part 48. Long-Run Economic Growth9. Savings, Investment Spending,

    and the Financial System

    Part 511. Income and Expenditure10. Aggregate Supply and

    Aggregate Demand12. Fiscal Policy13. Money, Banking, and the

    Federal Reserve System14. Monetary Policy

    Part 615. Labor Markets, Unemployment,

    and Inflation16. Inflation, Disinflation, and

    Deflation

    And, if there is time: Part 8 18. International Trade19. Open-Economy Macroeconomics

    Part 11. First Principles2. Economic Models: Trade-offs

    and TradeAppendix: Graphs in Economics

    Part 23. Supply and Demand4. The Market Strikes Back

    Part 36. Macroeconomics: The Big

    Picture7. Tracking the Macroeconomy

    Part 49. Savings, Investment Spending,

    and the Financial System

    Part 510. Aggregate Supply and

    Aggregate Demand12. Fiscal Policy13. Money, Banking, and the

    Federal Reserve System14. Monetary Policy

    Part 615. Labor Markets, Unemployment,

    and Inflation16. Inflation, Disinflation, and

    Deflation

    8. Long-Run Economic Growth

    And, if there is time: Part 818. International Trade19. Open-Economy Macroeconomics

    Part 11. First Principles2. Economic Models: Trade-offs

    and TradeAppendix: Graphs in Economics

    Part 23. Supply and Demand4. The Market Strikes Back

    Part 36. Macroeconomics: The Big

    Picture7. Tracking the Macroeconomy

    Part 48. Long-Run Economic Growth9. Savings, Investment Spending,

    and the Financial System

    Part 510. Aggregate Supply and

    Aggregate Demand12. Fiscal Policy13. Money, Banking, and the

    Federal Reserve System14. Monetary Policy

    Part 6 15. Labor Markets, Unemployment,

    and Inflation16. Inflation, Disinflation, and

    Deflation

    And, if there is time: Part 818. International Trade19. Open-Economy Macroeconomics

    To illustrate how instructors can use this book to meet their specific goals, we offer a selection of possible outlines that are alternatives to simply covering the chapters in order. By no means exclusive,these outlines reflect a likely range of different ways in which this book could be used.

  • xvi P R E FA C E

    Practice Quizzing Center Developed by Debbie Mullin,University of Colorado-Colorado Springs, this quizzingengine provides 20 multiple-choice questions per chapterwith appropriate feedback and page references to the text-book. The questions as well as the answer choices are ran-domized to give students a different quiz with every refreshof the screen. All student answers are saved in an onlinedatabase that can be accessed by instructors.

    of the curves. Every interactive graph is accompanied byquestions that quiz students on key concepts from thetextbook and provide instructors with feedback on stu-dent progress. Student responses and interactions aretracked and stored in an online database that can beaccessed by the instructor.

    Research Center Created and continually updated byJules Kaplan, University of Colorado-Boulder, theResearch Center allows students to easily and effectivelylocate outside resources and readings that relate to topicscovered in the textbook. It lists web addresses that hotlinkto relevant websites; each URL is accompanied by adetailed description of the site and its relevance to eachchapter, allowing students to conduct research andexplore related readings on specific topics with ease. Alsohotlinked are relevant articles by Paul Krugman and otherleading economists.

    Video Center In video interviews, the texts authors,Paul Krugman and Robin Wells, comment on specificaspects of each chapter and their relevance to studentslives. Each video is embedded in a Flash format withother pedagogical features and a running transcript ofthe authors remarks. Videos can be presented in classto generate discussion or assigned as homework to givestudents a deeper understanding of key topics in thetextbook.

    Student Powerpoint Created by Can Erbil, BrandeisUniversity, this PowerPoint presentation is ideal for stu-dents who need extra help in understanding the conceptsin each chapter. The PowerPoint presentations for eachchapter come complete with animations, notes, sum-maries, and graphics. This tool enables students to reviewand practice and helps them to more readily grasp eco-nomic concepts.

    ApliaAplia, founded by Paul Romer, StanfordUniversity, is the first web-based companyto integrate pedagogical features froma textbook with interactive media.Specifically designed for use with theKrugman/Wells text, the figures, end-

    of-chapter problems, boxes, text, and other pedagogicalresources have been combined with Aplias interactivemedia to save time for professors and encourage stu-dents to exert more effort in their learning.

    The integrated online version of the Aplia media andthe Krugman/Wells text includes:

    Extra problem sets suitable for homework and keyedto specific topics from each chapter

    Regularly updated news analyses

    Graphing Center Developed by Cadre LLC in conjunc-tion with Debbie Mullin, University of Colorado-Colorado Springs, the Graphing Center includes selectedgraphs from the textbook that have been animated in aFlash format. Approximately five graphs from each chap-ter have been animated and are identified in the textbookby a web icon within the appropriate figure.Working with these animated figures enhances studentunderstanding of the effects of the shifts and movements

    >wweebb......

  • Real-time online simulations of market interactions

    Interactive tutorials to assist with math

    Graphs and statistics

    Instant online reports that allow instructors to targetstudent trouble areas more efficiently

    With Aplia, you retain complete control and flexibilityfor your course. You choose the topics you want studentsto cover, and you decide how to organize it. You decidewhether online activities are practice (ungraded or grad-ed). You can even edit the Aplia contentmaking cuts oraddtions as you see fit for your course.

    For a preview of Aplia materials and to learn more,visit http://www.aplia.com.

    Additional Student SupplementsStudent CD-ROM This CD-ROM contains all of themultimedia content found on the Krugman/WellsCompanion website, including the practice quizzes, inter-active graphs, Krugman/Wells videos, and the studentPowerPoint slides. This CD-ROM is ideal for studentswith limited web access or for use in a lab setting.Available upon request, this CD can be packaged with thetextbook at no additional cost to the student.

    Study Guide Prepared by Rosemary Cunningham, AgnesScott College, and Elizabeth Sawyer-Kelly, University ofWisconsin-Madison, the Study Guide reinforces the top-ics and key concepts covered in the text. For each chapter,the Study Guide provides:

    An introduction A fill-in-the-blank chapter review

    Learning tips with graphical analysis

    Four or five comprehensive problems and exercises

    Twenty multiple-choice questions

    Solutions to all fill-in-the-blank reviews, problems,exercises, and quizzes found in the Study Guide.

    Additional Instructor SupplementsInstructors Resource Manual The Instructors ResourceManual written by David Findlay, Colby College, andDiane Keenan, Cerritos Community College, is an idealresource for instructors teaching principles of economics.The manual includes:

    Chapter-by-chapter learning objectives Chapter outlines

    Teaching tips and ideas

    Hints on how to create student interest

    Common misunderstandings that are typical amongstudents

    Activities that can be conducted in or out of theclassroom

    Detailed solutions to every end-of-chapter problemfrom the textbook

    Printed Test Bank The Test Bank, coordinated by RosemaryCunningham, Agnes Scott College, with contributingauthors Doris Bennett, Jacksonville State University; DiegoMendez-Carbajo, Illinois Wesleyan University; RichardGosselin, Houston Community College; Gus W. Herring,Brookhaven College; James Swofford, University of SouthAlabama; and James Wetzel, Virginia CommonwealthUniversity, provides a wide range of creative and versatilequestions ranging in levels of difficulty. Selected questionsare paired with original graphs and graphs from the text-book to reinforce comprehension. Totaling over 2,800questions, the Test Bank offers 150 multiple-choice ques-tions and 20 true/false questions per chapter assessingcomprehension, interpretation, analysis, and synthesis.Each question is conveniently cross-referenced to the pagenumber in the text where the appropriate topic is dis-cussed. Questions have been checked for continuity withthe text content, reviewed extensively, and checked againfor accuracy.

    Diploma 6 Computerized Test Bank The Krugman/Wells printed Test Bank is also available in CD-ROM for-

    mat, powered by Brownstone, forboth Windows and Macintosh users.With Diploma, you can easily createtests, write and edit questions, and

    create study sessions for students. You can add an unlim-ited number of questions; scramble questions; andinclude pictures, equations, and multimedia links. Testscan be printed in a wide range of formats or administeredto students with Brownstones network or Internet test-ing software. The softwares unique synthesis of flexibleword-processing and database features creates a programthat is extremely intuitive and capable. With Diploma,you can:

    Work with complete word-processing functions(including creating tables).

    Work with myriad question formats, including multi-ple choice, true/false, short answer, matching, fill inthe blank, and essay.

    Attach feedback (rationales) to questions (or answers). Create, install, and use an unlimited number of

    question banks. Incorporate references (including tables, figures, and

    case studies). Attach customized instructions.

    P R E FA C E xvii

  • Use multiple graphic formats (BMP, DIB, RLE, DXF,EPS, FPX, GIF, IMG, JPG, PCD, PCX, DCX, PNG,TGA, TIF, WMF, and WPG).

    Take advantage of a powerful algorithm engine forcomplex, dynamic question types and dynamicequations.

    Export self-grading tests (in HTML formats) for usewith web browsers.

    Export test files in Rich Text File format for use withany word-processing program.

    Export test files to EDU, WebCT, and Blackboardcourse management systems.

    Preview and re-format tests before printing them. Include custom splash screens that feature graphics

    or images. Post tests to Diplomas online testing site,

    TheTestingCenter.com.

    This computerized Test Bank is accompanied by a grade-book that enables you to record students grades through-out a course; it also includes the capacity to track studentrecords and view detailed analyses of test items, curve tests,generate reports, add weights to grades, and allows you to:

    Organize grades into as many as 25 related categories. Adjust letter grade cutoffs and create customized

    grading. Enter/display assignment scores and category averages

    as percentages, points, letter grades, or according toyour own customized grading scheme.

    Report final averages as points earned across allcategories.

    Customize student properties (including ID number,password, e-mail address, and status).

    Drop grades either manually or automatically. Import and export student rosters.

    Diploma Online Testing at www.brownstone.net isanother useful tool within the Brownstone software thatallows instructors to provide online exams for studentsusing Test Bank questions. With Diploma, you can easilycreate and administer secure exams over a network and overthe Internet, with questions that incorporate multimediaand interactive exercises. The program allows you to restricttests to specific computers or time blocks, and it includes animpressive suite of gradebook and result-analysis features.

    Lecture PowerPoint Presentation Created by CanErbil, Brandeis University, the enhanced PowerPoint pres-entation slides are designed to assist you with lecturepreparation and presentation by providing original anima-tions, graphs from the textbook, data tables, and bulletedlists of key concepts suitable for large lecture presentation.Although the slides are organized by topic from the texts

    table of contents, you can customize these slides to suityour individual needs by adding your own data, questions,and lecture notes. You can access these files on theinstructors side of the website or on the InstructorsResource CD-ROM.

    Instructors Resource CD-ROM Using the InstructorsResource CD-ROM, you can easily build classroom pre-sentations or enhance your online courses. This CD-ROM contains all text figures (in JPEG and GIF formats),video clips of interviews with Paul Krugman and RobinWells, animated graphs, and enhanced PowerPoint slides.You can choose from the various resources, edit, and savefor use in your classroom.

    Overhead Transparencies Worth is also happy to pro-vide you with more than 100 vivid color acetates of textfigures designed for superior projection quality.

    Web-CT E-pack The Krugman/Wells WebCT E-Packsenable you to create a thorough, interactive, and pedagog-

    ically sound online course or coursewebsite. The Krugman/Wells E-Packprovides you with cutting-edge online

    materials that facilitate critical thinking and learning,including course outlines, preprogrammed quizzes, links,activities, threaded discussion topics, animated graphs, anda whole array of other materials. Best of all, this material ispre-programmed and fully functional in the WebCT envi-ronment. Prebuilt materials eliminate hours of course-preparation work and offer significant support as youdevelop your online course. You can also obtain a WebCT-formatted version of the texts test bank.

    Blackboard The Krugman/Wells Blackboard CourseCartridge allows you to combine Blackboards popular

    tools and easy-to-use interface with theKrugman/Wells text-specific, rich webcontent, including course outlines, prepro-grammed quizzes, links, activities, interac-

    tive graphs, and a whole array of other materials. Theresult: an interactive, comprehensive online course thatallow for effortless implementation, management, anduse. The Worth electronic files are organized and prebuiltto work within the Blackboard software and can be easi-ly downloaded from the Blackboard content showcasesdirectly onto your department server. You can also obtaina Blackboard-formatted version of the books test bank.

    Dallas TeleLearning videos The Krugman/Wells textwas chosen to accompany the economics telecourse devel-oped by the Dallas Community College District (DCCCD).For use in class, instructors have access to videos producedby the DCCCD, the nations leading developer of distance-learning materials. These videos dramatize key economicconcepts and can be used in a classroom setting.

    xviii P R E FA C E

    TM

  • EduCue Personal Response System (PRS)Clickers Instructors can create a dynamic, interactiveclassroom environment with a personal response system,powered by EduCue. This wireless remote system allowsyou to ask your students questions, record their respons-es, and calculate grades instantly during lectures.Students use a hand-held wireless device (about the sizeof a television remote control) to transmit immediatefeedback to a lecture hall receiver.

    WWaallll SSttrreeeett JJoouurrnnaall Edition For adopters of theKrugman/Wells text, Worth Publishers and the Wall StreetJournal are offering a 10-week subscription to students at atremendous savings. Professors also receive their own freeWall Street Journal subscription plus additional instructorsupplements created exclusively by the Wall Street Journal.Please contact your local sales rep for more information orgo to the Wall Street Journal online at www.wsj.com.

    FFiinnaanncciiaall TTiimmeess Edition For adopters of the Krugman/Wells text, Worth Publishers and the Financial Times areoffering a 15-week subscription to students at a tremendoussavings. Professors also receive their own free Financial Timessubscription for one year. Students and professors mayaccess research and archived information at www.ft.com.

    Acknowledgments Writing a textbook is a team effort and we could neverhave reached this point without all of the talented andthoughtful consultants, reviewers, focus-group partici-pants, class testers, and others who have been so gener-ous with their insights on our work.

    We are indebted to the following reviewers and otherconsultants for their suggestions and advice on our chapters:

    Ashley Abramson, Barstow College

    Ljubisa Adamovich, Florida State University

    Lee Adkins, Oklahoma State University

    Elena Alvarez, State University of New York, Albany

    David A. Anderson, Centre College

    Fahima Aziz, Hamline University

    Sheryl Ball, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

    Charles L. Ballard, Michigan State University

    Cynthia Bansak, San Diego State University

    Richard Barrett, University of Montana

    Daniel Barszcz, College of DuPage

    Charles A. Bennett, Gannon University

    Andreas Bentz, Dartmouth College

    Ruben Berrios, Clarion University

    Joydeep Bhattacharya, Iowa State University

    Harmanna Bloemen, Houston Community College

    Michael Bordo, Rutgers University, NBER

    James Bradley, Jr., University of South Carolina

    William Branch, University of Oregon

    Michael Brandl, University of Texas, Austin

    Greg Brock, Georgia Southern University

    Raymonda L. Burgman, DePauw University

    Charles Callahan III, State University of New York, Brockport

    James Carden, University of Mississippi

    Bill Carlisle, University of Utah

    Leonard A. Carlson, Emory University

    Andrew Cassey, University of Minnesota

    Shirley Cassing, University of Pittsburgh

    Yuna Chen, South Georgia College

    Jim Cobbe, Florida State University

    Eleanor D. Craig, University of Delaware

    Rosemary Thomas Cunningham, Agnes Scott College

    James Cypher, California State University, Fresno

    Susan Dadres, Southern Methodist University

    Ardeshir Dalal, Northern Illinois University

    A. Edward Day, University of Texas, Dallas

    Dennis Debrecht, Carroll College

    Stephen J. DeCanio, University of California, Santa Barbara

    J. Bradford DeLong, University of California, Berkeley

    Julie Derrick, Brevard Community College

    Carolyn Dimitri, Montgomery College, Rockville

    Patrick Dolenc, Keene State College

    Amitava Dutt, University of Notre Dame

    Jim Eaton, Bridgewater College

    Jim Eden, Portland Community College

    Rex Edwards, Moorpark College

    Can Erbil, Brandeis University

    Sharon J. Erenburg, Eastern Michigan University

    Joe Essuman, University of Wisconsin, Waukesha

    David N. Figlio, University of Florida

    David W. Findlay, Colby College

    Eric Fisher, Ohio State University/University of California, Santa Barbara

    Oliver Franke, Athabasca University

    Rhona Free, Eastern Connecticut State University

    K. C. Fung, University of California, Santa Cruz

    Susan Gale, New York University

    Neil Garston, California State University, Los Angeles

    E. B. Gendel, Woodbury University

    J. Robert Gillette, University of Kentucky

    Lynn G. Gillette, University of Kentucky

    James N. Giordano, Villanova University

    Robert Godby, University of Wyoming

    David Goodwin, University of New Brunswick

    Lisa Grobar, California State University, Long Beach

    Philip Grossman, St. Cloud State University

    Wayne Grove, Syracuse University

    Alan Gummerson, Florida International University

    Jang-Ting Guo, University of California, Riverside

    P R E FA C E xix

  • Jonathan Hamilton, University of Florida

    Mehdi Haririan, Bloomsburg University of Pennsylvania

    Hadley Hartman, Santa Fe Community College

    Julie Heath, University of Memphis

    John Heim, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

    Jill M. Hendrickson, University of the South

    Rob Holm, Franklin University

    David Horlacher, Middlebury College

    Robert Horn, James Madison University

    Scott Houser, California State University, Fresno

    Patrik T. Hultberg, University of Wyoming

    Aaron Jackson, Bentley College

    Nancy Jianakoplos, Colorado State University

    Donn Johnson, Quinnipiac University

    Bruce Johnson, Centre College

    Philipp Jonas, Western Michigan University

    Michael Jones, Bridgewater State College

    James Jozefowicz, Indiana University of Pennsylvania

    Kamran M. Kadkhah, Northeastern University

    Matthew Kahn, Columbia University

    Barry Keating, University of Notre Dame

    Diane Keenan, Cerritos College

    Bill Kerby, California State University, Sacramento

    Kyoo Kim, Bowling Green University

    Philip King, San Francisco State University

    Sharmila King, University of the Pacific

    Kala Krishna, Penn State University, NBER

    Jean Kujawa, Lourdes College

    Maria Kula, Roger Williams University

    Michael Kuryla, Broome Community College

    Tom Larson, California State University, Los Angeles

    Susan K. Laury, Georgia State University

    Jim Lee, Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi

    Tony Lima, California State University, Hayward

    Solina Lindahl, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

    Malte Loos, Christian-Albrechts Universitt Kiel

    Marty Ludlum, Oklahoma City Community College

    Mark Maier, Glendale Community College

    Rachel McCulloch, Brandeis University

    Doug Meador, William Jewell College

    Diego Mendez-Carbajo, Illinois Wesleyan University

    Juan Mendoza, State University of New York at Buffalo

    Jeffrey Michael, Towson University

    Jenny Minier, University of Miami

    Ida A. Mirzaie, John Carroll University

    Kristen Monaco, California State University, Long Beach

    Marie Mora, University of Texas, Pan American

    W. Douglas Morgan, University of California, Santa Barbara

    Peter B. Morgan, University of Michigan

    Tony Myatt, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton

    Kathryn Nantz, Fairfield University

    John A. Neri, University of Maryland

    Charles Newton, Houston Community College

    Joe Nowakowski, Muskingum College

    Seamus OCleireacain, Columbia University/State University of New York, Purchase

    Martha Olney, University of California, Berkeley

    Kerry Pannell, DePauw University

    Chris Papageorgiou, Louisiana State University

    Brian Peterson, Central College

    John Pharr, Dallas County Community College

    Clifford Poirot, Shawnee State University

    Raymond E. Polchow, Zane State College

    Adnan Qamar, University of Texas, Dallas

    Jeffrey Racine, University of South Florida

    Matthew Rafferty, Quinnipiac University

    Dixie Watts Reaves, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

    Siobhn Reilly, Mills College

    Thomas Rhoads, Towson University

    Libby Rittenberg, Colorado College

    Malcom Robinson, Thomas More College

    Michael Rolleigh, Williams College

    Christina Romer, University of California, Berkeley

    Brian P. Rosario, University of California, Davis

    Bernard Rose, Rocky Mountain College

    Patricia Rottschaefer, California State University, Fullerton

    Jeff Rubin, Rutgers University

    Henry D. Ryder, Gloucester Community College

    Allen Sanderson, University of Chicago

    Rolando Santos, Lakeland Community College

    Christine Sauer, University of New Mexico

    Elizabeth Sawyer-Kelly, University of Wisconsin, Madison

    Edward Sayre, Agnes Scott College

    Robert Schwab, University of Maryland

    Adina Schwartz, Lakeland College

    Gerald Scott, Florida Atlantic University

    Stanley Sedo, University of Maryland

    William Shambora, Ohio University

    Gail Shields, Central Michigan University

    Amy Shrout, West High School

    Eugene Silberberg, University of Washington

    Bill Smith, University of Memphis

    Ray Smith, College of St. Scholastica

    Judy Smrha, Baker University

    Marcia S. Snyder, College of Charleston

    John Solow, University of Iowa

    David E. Spencer, Brigham Young University

    Denise Stanley, California State University, Fullerton

    Martha A. Starr, American University

    Richard Startz, University of Washington

    Carol Ogden Stivender, University of North Carolina, Charlotte

    xx P R E FA C E

  • Jill Stowe, Texas A&M University, Austin

    William Stronge, Florida Atlantic University

    Rodney Swanson, University of California, Los Angeles

    Sarinda Taengnoi, Western New England College

    Lazina Tarin, Central Michigan University

    Jason Taylor, University of Virginia

    Mark Thoma, University of California, San Diego

    Mehmet Tosun, West Virginia University

    Karen Travis, Pacific Lutheran University

    Sandra Trejos, Clarion University

    Arienne Turner, Fullerton College

    Neven Valev, Georgia State University

    Kristin Van Gaasbeck, California State University

    Abu Wahid, Tennessee State University

    Stephan Weiler, Colorado State University

    James N. Wetzel, Virginia Commonwealth University

    Robert Whaples, Wake Forest University

    Roger White, University of Georgia

    Jonathan B. Wight, University of Richmond

    Mark Wohar, University of Nebraska, Omaha

    William C. Wood, James Madison University

    Ken Woodward, Saddleback College

    Bill Yang, Georgia Southern University

    Cemile Yavas, Pennsylvania State University

    Andrea Zanter, Hillsborough Community College

    We must also thank the following graduate studentreviewers for their assistance: Kristy Piccinini, University ofCalifornia, Berkeley; Lanwei Yang, University of California,Berkeley; Casey Rothschild, Massachusetts Institute ofTechnology; and Naomi E. Feldman, University ofMichigan, Ann Arbor.

    During the course of drafting our manuscript, we metwith instructors of principles courses for face-to-facefocus-group sessions that afforded us invaluable input.We appreciate the forthright advice and suggestions fromthese colleagues:

    Michael Bordo, Rutgers University

    Jim Cobbe, Florida State University

    Tom Creahan, Morehead State University

    Stephen DeCanio, University of California, Santa Barbara

    Jim Eden, Portland Community College, Sylvania

    David Flath, North Carolina State University

    Rhona Free, Eastern Connecticut State University

    Rick Godby, University of Wyoming

    Wayne Grove, Syracuse University

    Jonathan Hamilton, University of Florida

    Robert Horn, James Madison University

    Patrik Hultberg, University of Wyoming

    Bruce Johnson, Centre College

    Jim Jozefowicz, Indiana University of Pennsylvania

    Jim Lee, Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi

    Rachel McCulloch, Brandeis University

    Ida Mirzaie, John Carroll University

    Henry D. Ryder, Gloucester Community College

    Marcia Snyder, College of Charleston

    Brian Trinque, University of Texas, Austin

    William C. Wood, James Madison University

    Many thanks to the class testers who took the time touse early drafts of our chapters in their classrooms. Thefollowing instructors should know that we made use oftheir helpful suggestions. We also extend special thanksto so many of your students who filled out user surveysabout our chapters. This student input inspired us.

    Ashley Abramson, Barstow College

    Terry Alexander, Iowa State University

    Fahima Aziz, Hamline University

    Benjamin Balak, Rollins College

    Leon Battista, Bronx Community College

    Richard Beil, Auburn University

    Charles Bennett, Gannon University

    Scott Benson, Idaho State University

    Andreas Bentz, Dartmouth College

    John Bockino, Suffolk County Community College

    Ellen Bowen, Fisher College, New Bedford

    Anne Bresnock, University of California, Los Angeles

    Bruce Brown, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

    John Buck, Jacksonville University

    Raymonda Burgman, University of Southern Florida

    William Carlisle, University of Utah

    Kevin Carlson, University of Massachusetts, Boston

    Fred Carstensen, University of Connecticut

    Shirley Cassing, University of Pittsburgh

    Ramon Castillo-Ponce, California State University, Los Angeles

    Emily Chamlee-Wright, Beloit College

    Anthony Chan, Santa Monica College

    Mitch Charkiewiecz, Central Connecticut State University

    Yuna Chen, South Georgia College

    Maryanne Clifford, Eastern Connecticut State University

    Julia Chismar, St. Josephs High School

    Gregory Colman, Pace University

    Sarah Culver, University of Alabama

    Rosa Lea Danielson, College of DuPage

    Lew Dars, University of Massachusetts/Dartmouth

    Stephen Davis, Southwest Minnesota State University

    Tom DelGiudice, Hofstra University

    Arna Desser, United States Naval Academy

    Nikolay Dobrinov, University of Colorado

    Patrick Dolenc, Keene State College

    Stratford Douglas, West Virginia University

    Julie Dvorak, Warren Township High School

    P R E FA C E xxi

  • Dorsey Dyer, Davidson County Community College

    Mary Edwards, St. Cloud State University

    Fritz Efaw, University of Tennessee, Chattanooga

    Herb Elliot, Alan Hancock College

    Can Erbil, Brandeis University

    Yee Tien Fu, Stanford University

    Yoram Gelman, Lehman College, The City University of New York

    E.B. Gendel, Woodbury College

    Doug Gentry, St. Marys College

    Tommy Georgiades, DeVry University

    Satyajit Ghosh, University of Scranton

    Richard Glendening, Central College

    Patrick Gormely, Kansas State University

    Richard Gosselin, Houston Community College, Central

    Patricia Graham, University of Northern Colorado

    Kathleen Greer Rossman, Birmingham Southern College

    Wayne Grove, Syracuse University

    Eleanor Gubins, Rosemont College

    Alan Haight, State University of New York, Cortland

    Gautam Hazarika, University of Texas, Brownsville

    Tom Head, George Fox University

    Susan Helper, Case Western Reserve University

    Paul Hettler, Duquesne University

    Roger Hewett, Drake University

    Michael Hilmer, San Diego State University

    Jill Holman, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee

    Scott Houser, California State University, Fresno

    Ray Hubbard, Central Georgia Technical College

    Murat Iyigun, University of Colorado

    Habib Jam, Rowan University

    Louis Johnston, College of St. Benedict/St. Johns University

    Jack Julian, Indiana University of Pennsylvania

    Soheila Kahkashan, Towson University

    Charles Kaplan, St. Josephs College

    Jay Kaplan, University of Colorado, Boulder

    Bentzil Kasper, Broome Community College

    Kurt Keiser, Adams State College

    Ara Khanjian, Ventura College

    Sinan Koont, Dickinson College

    Emil Kreider, Beloit College

    Kenneth Kriz, University of Nebraska, Omaha

    Tom Larson, California State University, Los Angeles

    Delores Linton, Tarrant County College, Northwest

    Rolf Lokke, Albuquerque Academy

    Ellen Magenheim, Swarthmore College

    Diana McCoy, Truckee Meadows Community College

    Garrett Milam, Ryerson University

    Robert Miller, Fisher College, New Bedford Campus

    Michael Milligan, Front Range Community College

    Cathy Miners, Fairfield University

    Larry Miners, Fairfield University

    Kristen Monaco, California State University, Long Beach

    Marie Mora, University of Texas, Pan American

    James Mueller, Alma College

    Ranganath Murthy, Bucknell University

    Sylvia Nasar, Columbia University

    Gerardo Nebbia, Glendale Community College

    Anthony Negbenebor, Gardner-Webb University

    Joseph Nowakowski, Muskingum College

    Charles Okeke, Community College of Southern Nevada

    Kimberley Ott, Kent State University, Salem Campus

    Philip Packard, St. Marys College

    Jamie Pelley, Mary Baldwin College

    Michael Perelman, California State University

    Mary K. Perkins, Howard University

    John Pharr, Dallas Community College, Cedar Valley

    Jerome Picard, Mount Saint Mary College

    Ray Polchow, Muskingum Area Technical College

    Ernest Poole, Fashion Institute of Technology

    Reza Ramazani, St. Michaels College

    Charles Reichheld, Cuyahoga Community College

    Siobhan Reilly, Mills College

    Michael Righi, Bellevue Community College

    Carl Riskin, Queens College, The City University of New York

    Malcolm Robinson, Thom