21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

22
Estimating Software Development The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them Steve McConnell § “Believing is Seeing: Confirmation Bias Studies in Software Engineering, “Magne Jørgensen and Efi Papatheocharous, 41st Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA) § “Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort estimates,” Erik Løhrea, and Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory, Oslo. § “Review on Traditional and Agile Cost Estimation Success Factor in Software Development Project,” Zulkefli Mansor, Saadiah Yahya, Noor Habibah Hj Arshad, International Journal on New Computer Architectures and Their Applications (IJNCAA) 1(3): 942–952. § “Release Planning & Buffered MoSCoW Rules,” Dr. Eduardo Miranda Institute for Software Research ASSE 2013 - 14th Argentine Symposium on Software Engineering / 42 JAIIO (Argentine Conference on Informatics) September 16th, 2013, Cordoba, Argentina § “Fixed price without fixed specification,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory, 15 March 2016. § “The Use of Precision of Software Development Effort Estimates to Communicate Uncertainty,” Magne Jørgensen, Software Quality Days. The Future of Systems-and Software Development. Springer International Publishing, 2016. § “The Influence of Selection Bias on Effort Overruns in Software Development Projects,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & Institute of Informatics, University of Oslo. § “Software effort estimation terminology: The tower of Babel,” Stein Grimstad, Magne Jørgensen, Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Information and Software Technology 48 (2006) 302– 310. § “Planning and Executing Time-Bound Projects,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Computer, March 2002, pp. 73 ‒ 78. § “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive Psychology Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005). § “Software quality measurement,” Magne Jørgensen, Advances in Engineering Software 30 (1999) 907–912. § “Group Processes in Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken-østvold and Magne Jørgensen, Empirical Software Engineering, 9, 315–334, 2004. § “Story Point Estimating,” Richard Carlson, ALEA, Agile and Lean Associates, 2013. § “Project Estimation in the Norwegian Software Industry – A Summary,” Kjetil Moløkken, Magne Jørgensen, Sinan S. Tanilkan, Hans Gallis, Anette C. Lien, and Siw E. Hove, Simula Research Laboratory. § “Software Estimation using a Combination of Techniques,” Klaus Nielsen, PM Virtual Library, 2013

Transcript of 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

Page 1: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

EstimatingSoftwareDevelopment

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ‒ Steve McConnell

§ “BelievingisSeeing:ConfirmationBiasStudiesinSoftwareEngineering,“MagneJørgensen

andEfiPapatheocharous,41stEuromicroConferenceonSoftwareEngineeringand

AdvancedApplications(SEAA)

§ “Numericalanchorsandtheirstrongeffectsonsoftwaredevelopmenteffortestimates,”

ErikLøhrea,andMagneJørgensen,SimulaResearchLaboratory,Oslo.

§ “ReviewonTraditionalandAgileCostEstimationSuccessFactorinSoftwareDevelopment

Project,”ZulkefliMansor,SaadiahYahya,NoorHabibahHjArshad,InternationalJournalon

NewComputerArchitecturesandTheirApplications(IJNCAA)1(3):942–952.

§ “ReleasePlanning&BufferedMoSCoWRules,”Dr.EduardoMirandaInstituteforSoftware

ResearchASSE2013-14thArgentineSymposiumonSoftwareEngineering/42JAIIO

(ArgentineConferenceonInformatics)September16th,2013,Cordoba,Argentina

§ “Fixedpricewithoutfixedspecification,”MagneJørgensen,SimulaResearchLaboratory,15

March2016.

§ “TheUseofPrecisionofSoftwareDevelopmentEffortEstimatestoCommunicate

Uncertainty,”MagneJørgensen,SoftwareQualityDays.TheFutureofSystems-andSoftware

Development.SpringerInternationalPublishing,2016.

§ “TheInfluenceofSelectionBiasonEffortOverrunsinSoftwareDevelopmentProjects,”

MagneJørgensen,SimulaResearchLaboratory&InstituteofInformatics,UniversityofOslo.

§ “Softwareeffortestimationterminology:ThetowerofBabel,”SteinGrimstad,Magne

Jørgensen,KjetilMoløkken-Østvold,InformationandSoftwareTechnology48(2006)302–

310.

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2002,pp.73‒78.

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KarlHalvorTeigenandMagneJørgensen,AppliedCognitivePsychologyAppliedCognitive

Psychology,19:455–475(2005).

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(1999)907–912.

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Jørgensen,EmpiricalSoftwareEngineering,9,315–334,2004.

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MagneJørgensen,SinanS.Tanilkan,HansGallis,AnetteC.Lien,andSiwE.Hove,Simula

ResearchLaboratory.

§ “SoftwareEstimationusingaCombinationofTechniques,”KlausNielsen,PMVirtualLibrary,

2013

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§ “AnEffortPredictionIntervalApproachBasedontheEmpiricalDistributionofPrevious

EstimationAccuracy,”MagneJørgensenandD.I.K.Sjøberg,SimulaResearchLaboratory,

Norway.

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PredictionIntervals,”MagneJørgensen,KarlHalvorTeigen,andKjetilMoløkken-Østvold,

JournalofSystemsandSoftware,February2004

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Estimates:ARandomizedControlledFieldExperiment,”MagneJørgensenandStein

Grimstad,IEEETransactionsofSoftwareEngineering,Volume37,Issue5,September‒

October2011.

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ErikArisholm,ToreDybå,MagneJørgensen,AmelaKarahasanovic,EspenF.Korenand

MarekVokác,InternationalSymposiumonEmpiricalSoftwareEngineering,2002.

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formalmodels,”MagneJørgensen,InternationalJournalofForecasting23(3)pp.449-462,

July2004.

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Jørgensen,KjetilMoløkken-Østvold,InformationandSoftwareTechnology,48(2006)302–

310.

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andMartinShepperd,IEEETransactionsOnSoftwareEngineering,Vol.33,No.1,January

2007.

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AtefTayhRaslan,NagyRamadanDarwish,andHeshamAhmedHefny,(IJCSIS)International

JournalofComputerScienceandInformationSecurity,Vol.13,No.1,2015,

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K.Pillai,andM.K.Jeyakumar,InternationalJournalofElectrical,Computer,Energetic,

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DACSState-of-the-ArtReport,August2007

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Papatheocharous,HarrisPapadopoulosandAndreasS.Andreou,3rdArtificialIntelligence

TechniquesinSoftwareEngineeringWorkshop,7October,2010,Larnaca,Cyprus

§ “TheBusinessofSoftwareEstimationIsNotEvil:Reconcilingagileapproachesandproject

estimates,”PhillipG.Armour,CommunicationsoftheACM,January2014,Vol.57,No.1.

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P,(IJCSIS)InternationalJournalofComputerScienceandInformationSecurity,Vol.7,No.3,

2010,

§ “EmpiricalEstimationofHybridModel:AControlledCaseStudy,”SadafUnNisaandM.

RizwanJameelQureshi,I.J.,InformationTechnologyandComputerScience,2012,8,43–50.

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§ “Identificationofinaccurateeffortestimatesinagilesoftwaredevelopment,”FlorianRaith,

IngoRichter,RobertLindermeier,andGudrunKlinker,201320thAsia-PacificSoftware

EngineeringConference(APSEC)

§ “EfficientIndicatorstoEvaluatetheStatusofSoftwareDevelopmentEffortEstimation

insidetheOrganizations,”ElhamKhatibiandRolianaIbrahim,InternationalJournalof

ManagingInformationTechnology(IJMIT),Vol.4,No.3,August2012

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Jørgensen,TheJournalofSystemsandSoftware70(2004)37–60.

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SoftwareDevelopmentEffort,”MagneJørgensen&SteinGrimstad,SimulaResearch

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Volume25,Issues3,May-June,2008.

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ManagementandEarnedSchedulePerformanceIndexes,”WaltLipke,OferZwikael,Kym

Henderson,andFrankAnbari,InternationalJournalofProjectManagement,27,pp.400-

407,2009

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Scrum(UsingRealOptions),”Dr.DavidRico,http://w.davidfrico.com/rico08b.pdf

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RogerBuehler,DaleGriffin,andMichaelRoss,JournalofPersonalityandSocialPsychology,

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Models,”KjetilMoløkken-ØstvoldandMagneJørgensen,IEEETransactionsonSoftware

Engineering,Volume31,Issue9,September2005.

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RichardMabe,22September2015,DoDAgileMeeting:EnhancingAdoptionofAgile

SoftwareDevelopmentinDoD,September2015,PARCAOSD.

§ “AnEmpiricalInvestigationonEffortEstimationinAgileGlobalSoftwareDevelopment,”

RicardoBritto,EmiliaMendes,andJurgenBorstler,2015IEEE10thInternationalConference

onGlobalSoftwareEngineering

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§ “Planning,Estimating,andMonitoringProgressinAgileSystemsDevelopment

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Models,”KjetilMoløkken-ØstvoldandMagneJørgensen,IEEETransactionsonSoftware

Engineering,Volume31,Issue9,September2005.

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JournalofCostAnalysisandManagement,Spring17–24.

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DoDAFtoCOSMO,”RicardoValerdi,MatthewDabkowski,andIndrajeetDixit,Systems

Engineering,Volume18,Issue4,2015

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https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula2762pdf/download

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Uncertainty,”MagneJørgensen,SoftwareQualityDays.TheFutureofSystems-andSoftware

Development.Springer.

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https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula2498pdf/download

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Compare,”MagneJørgensen,IEEESoftware(2013):74-79.

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CollectionApproach,andDataAnalysisMethodMagne,”JørgensenandKjetilMoløkken-

Østvold,IEEETransactionsOnSoftwareEngineering,Vol.30,No.12,December2004.

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Schofield,AlanW.Armentrout,andReginaM.Trujillo,CrossTalk:TheJournalofDefense

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ChulaniandBertSteece,TechnicalReport,USC-CSE-98515

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TechnologyConference,LongBeach,CA31March–3April,2014

§ “EstimatingtheEffortOverheadinGlobalSoftwareDevelopment,”AnsgarLamersdorf,

JurgenMunch,AliciaFernandez-delVisoTorre,CarlosRebateSanchez,andDieterRombach,

20105thIEEEInternationalConferenceonGlobalSoftwareEngineering

§ “AProposedFrameworkforSoftwareEffortEstimationUsingtheCombinationalApproach

ofFuzzyLogicandNeuralNetworks,”PawandeepKaurandRupinderSingh,International

JournalofHybridInformationTechnologyVol.8,No.10(2015),pp.73-80.

§ “SoftwareEstimatingRulesofThumb,”CapersJones,

http://www.compaid.com/caiinternet/ezine/capers-rules.pdf

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 41

§ “WhyAreEstimatesAlwaysWrong:EstimationBiasandStrategicMisestimation,”DanielD.

Galorath,http://www.iceaaonline.com/ready/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/RI03-Paper-

Galorath-Estimates-Always-Wrong.pdf

§ “Usingplanningpokerforcombiningexpertestimatesinsoftwareprojects,”K.Moløkken-

Østvold,N.C.Haugen,andH.C.Benestad,JournalofSystemsandSoftware,vol.81,issue

12(2008)pp.2106–2117.

§ “EffortDistributiontoEstimateCostinSmalltoMediumSoftwareDevelopmentProject

withUseCasePoints,”PutuLindaPrimandariandSholiq,TheThirdInformationSystems

InternationalConference,2015

§ “EstimationofIT-ProjectsHighlightsofaWorkshop,”ManfredBundschuh,MetricsNews,

Vol.4,Nr.2,December1999,pp.29–37,

https://www.itmpi.org/Portals/10/PDF/bundschuh-est.pdf

§ “CurbingOptimismBiasandStrategicMisrepresentationinPlanning:ReferenceClass

ForecastinginPractice,”BentFlyvbjerg,EuropeanPlanningStudiesVol.16,No.1,January

2008.

§ “TheUseofPrecisionofSoftwareDevelopmentEffortEstimatestoCommunicate

Uncertainty,”MagneJørgensen,SoftwareQualityDays.TheFutureofSystems-andSoftware

Development.SpringerInternationalPublishing,2016.

§ “Numericalanchorsandtheirstrongeffectsonsoftwaredevelopmenteffortestimates,”

ErikLøhrea,andMagneJørgensen,JournalofSystemsandSoftware(2015).

§ “ANeuro-FuzzyModelforFunctionPointCalibration,”WeiXia,DannyHo,andLuiz

FernandoCapretz,WSEAS,TransactionsOnInformationScience&Applications,Issue1,

Volume5,January2008.

§ “Uniteffectsinprojectestimation:Itmatterswhetheryouestimateinwork-hoursor

workdays,”MagneJørgensen,JournalofSystemsandSoftware(2015),

https://www.simula.no/file/time-unit-effect-woauthorinfpdf/download

§ “Fallaciesandbiaseswhenaddingeffortestimates,”MagneJørgensen,Proceedingsat

Euromicro/SEEA.:IEEE,2014.

§ “HowDoesProjectSizeAffectCostEstimationError?StatisticalArtifactsand

MethodologicalChallenges,”InternationalJournalofProjectManagement30(2012):751-

862,https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula742pdf/download

§ “DoestheUseofFibonacciNumbersinPlanningPokerAffectEffortEstimates?”Ritesh

TamrakarandMagneJørgensen,16thInternationalConferenceonEvaluation&Assessment

inSoftwareEngineering,2012.

§ “Usinginferredprobabilitiestomeasuretheaccuracyofimpreciseforecasts,”PaulLehner,

AvraMichelson,LeonardAdelman,andAnnaGoodman,JudgmentandDecisionMaking,

Vol.7,No.6,November2012,pp.728–740.

§ “SoftwareDevelopmentEffortEstimation:Whyitfailsandhowtoimproveit,”Magne

Jørgensen,SimulaResearchLaboratory&UniversityofOslo,

https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula1688pdf/download

§ ContrastingIdealandRealisticConditionsAsaMeanstoImproveJudgment-BasedSoftware

DevelopmentEffortEstimation,”MagneJørgensen,InformationandSoftware

Technology53(2011):1382-1390.

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§ SoftwareEffortEstimationasCollaborativePlanningActivityKristinBørte,

https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula1226pdf/download

§ “Humanjudgmentinplanningandestimationofsoftwareprojects,”

https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula886pdf/download

§ “GuidelineforSizingAgileProjectswithCOSMIC,”SylvieTrudelandLuigiBuglione,

http://cosmic-sizing.org/publications/guideline-for-sizing-agile-projects-with-cosmic

§ “TheCOSMICFunctionalSizeMeasurementMethod,Version3.0.1,Guidelinefortheuseof

COSMICFSMtomanageAgileprojects,VERSION1.0,”September2011,http://cosmic-

sizing.org/cosmic-method-v3-0-1-agile-projects-guideline-v1-0/

§ “UsingtheCOSMICMethodtoEvaluatetheQualityoftheDocumentationofAgileUser

Stories,”Jean-MarcDesharnais,BuğraKocatürk,andAlainAbran,Proceedingsofthe12th

InternationalConferenceonProductFocusedSoftwareDevelopmentandProcess

Improvement,Pages68-73

§ “AnEmpiricalStudyofUsingPlanningPokerforUserStoryEstimation,”NilsC.Haugen,

ProceedingsofAGILE2006Conference(AGILE’06).

§ “AFrameworkfortheAnalysisofSoftwareCostEstimationAccuracy,”SteinGrimstadand

MagneJørgensen,ISESE'06,September21–22,2006.

§ “AnEmpiricalInvestigationonEffortEstimationinAgileGlobalSoftwareDevelopment,”

RicardoBritto,EmiliaMendes,andJurgenBorstler,2015IEEE10thInternationalConference

onGlobalSoftwareEngineering

§ “SoftwareEffortEstimation:UnstructuredGroupDiscussionasaMethodtoReduce

IndividualBiases,”KjetilMoløkkenandMagneJørgensen,IncrementalandComponent-

BasedSoftwareDevelopmentOctober2003,UniversityofOslo.

§ “ACaseStudyonAgileEstimatingandPlanningusingScrum,”V.Mahnic,ElectronicsAnd

ElectricalEngineering,2011.No.5(111).

§ “ReviewonTraditionalandAgileCostEstimationSuccessFactorinSoftwareDevelopment

Project,”ZulkefliMansor,SaadiahYahya,NoorHabibahHjArshad,InternationalJournalon

NewComputerArchitecturesandTheirApplications(IJNCAA)1(3):942-952.

§ “ACollectiveStudyofPCAandNeuralNetworkbasedonCOCOMOforSoftwareCost

Estimation,”RinaM.Waghmode,L.V.Patil,andS.DJoshi,InternationalJournalofComputer

Applications(0975–8887)Volume74–No.16,July2013.

§ “iUCP:EstimatingInteractive-SoftwareProjectSizewithEnhancedUse-CasePoints,”Nuno

JardimNunes,LarryConstantine,andRickKazman,IEEESoftware,IssueNo.04-July/August

(2011vol.28)

§ “EstimatingSoftwareProjectEffortUsingAnalogies,”MartinShepperdandChrisSchofield,

IEEETRANSACTIONSONSOFTWAREENGINEERING,VOL.23,NO.12,NOVEMBER1997.

§ “SoftwareEngineeringEconomics,”BarryW.Boehm,SoftwareInformationSystems

Division,TRWDefenseSystemsGroup,RedondoBeach,CA90278

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K.Abdel-Hamid,IEEEComputer,March1993.

§ “Estimatingsoftwareprojects,”R.Agarwal,ManishKumart,Yogesh,S.Mallick,RM.

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 43

§ “Costestimationinagiledevelopmentprojects,”SiobhanKeaveneyandKieranConboy,

ProceedingsoftheFourteenthEuropeanConferenceonInformationSystems,ECIS2006,

Göteborg,Sweden,2006.

§ “ManagingUncertaintyinAgileReleasePlanning,”K.McDaid,D.Greer,F.Keenan,P.Prior,

P.Taylor,G.Coleman,ProceedingsoftheEighteenthInternationalConferenceonSoftware

Engineering&KnowledgeEngineering(SEKE'2006).

§ “ResearchChallengesofAgileEstimation,”RashmiPopli,Dr.NareshChauhan,International

JournalofIT&KnowledgeManagement,Volume7•Number1•December2013pp.108-

111(ISSN0973-4414),

§ “AllowingforTaskUncertaintiesandDependenciesinAgileReleasePlanning,”KevinLogue,

KevinMcDaid,andDesGreer,

§ “AgileSoftwareDevelopmentinLargeOrganizations,”MikaelLindvall,DirkMuthig,Aldo

DagninoChristinaWallin,MichaelStupperich,DavidKiefer,JohnMay,adnTuomo

Kähkönen,IEEEComputer,December2004.

§ "AdoptionofTeamEstimationinaSpecialistOrganizationalEnvironment,“TorErlendFægri,

LectureNotesinBusinessInformationProcessing·June2010

§ “TheRelationshipbetweenCustomerCollaborationandSoftwareProjectOverruns,”Kjetil

Moløkken-ØstvoldandKristianMariusFurulund,IEEEAgileConference,13-17August,2007.

§ “ImprovingEstimationsinAgileProjects:IssuesandAvenues,”LuigiBuglione,AlainAbran,

ProceedingsSoftwareMeasurementEuropeanForum(SMEF)2007.

§ “AllowingforTaskUncertaintiesandDependenciesinAgileReleasePlanning,”KevinLogue,

KevinMcDaid,andDesGeer,ProceedingsSoftwareMeasurementEuropeanForum(SMEF)

2007.

§ “Fundamentaluncertaintiesinprojectsandthescopeofprojectmanagement,”Roger

Atkinson,LynnCrawford,andStephenWard,InternationalJournalofProjectManagement

24(2006)687–698.

§ “ImprovingestimationaccuracybyusingCaseBasedReasoningandacombinedestimation

approach,”SrinivasaGopalandMeenakshiD’Souza,ProceedingsofISEC'12,Feb.22-25,

2012.

§ “EffortEstimationinAgileSoftwareDevelopment:ASystematicLiteratureReview,”

MuhammadUsman,EmiliaMendes,FrancilaWeidt,andRicardoBritto,Proceedingsofthe

10thInternationalConferenceonPredictiveModelsinSoftwareEngineering,2014,Pages

82-91

§ “IncrementaleffortpredictionmodelsinAgileDevelopmentusingRadialBasisFunctions,”

RaimundMoser,WitoldPedrycz,andGiancarloSucci,SEKE2007

§ “ApplyingCombinedEffortsofResourceCapabilityofProjectTeamsforPlanningand

ManagingContingencyReservesforSoftwareandInformationEngineeringProjects,”Peter

H.Chang,GSTFJournalonComputing(JoC)Vol.2No.3,October2012.

§ Evidence-BasedSoftwareEngineeringandSystematicReviews,BarbaraAnnKitchenham,

DavidBudgenandPearlBrereton,November5,2015

§ “TheSignalandtheNoiseinCostEstimating,”ChristianB.Smart,Ph.D.,2016International

TrainingSymposium,BristolEngland,2016.

§ EstimatingSoftwareIntensiveSystems:Project,Products,andProcesses,RichardStutzke,

AddisonWesley.

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 44

§ EstimatingSoftwareCosts:BringingRealismtoEstimating,2ndEdition,CapersJones,

McGrawHill

§ SoftwareEstimation:DemystifyingtheBlackArt,SteveMcConnell,MicrosoftPress.

§ SoftwareMetrics:ARigorousandPracticalApproach,3rdEdition,NormanFentonandJanes

Bieman,CRCPress.

§ ProbabilityMethodsforCostUncertaintyAnalysis:ASystemsEngineeringPerspective,Paul

R.Garvey,CRCPress.

§ ForecastingandSimulatingSoftwareDevelopmentProjects:EffectiveModelingofKanban&

ScrumProjectsusingMonte-CarloSimulation,TroyMagennis,CreateSpaceIndependent

PublishingPlatform,October25,2011.

§ “EffortestimationforAgileSoftwareDevelopmentProjects,”AndreasSchmietendorf,

MartinKunz,ReinerDumke,Proceedings5thSoftwareMeasurementEuropeanForum,

Milan2008.

§ “TheQUELCEMethod:UsingChangeDriversToEstimateProgramCosts,”SarahSheard,

April2016,SoftwareEngineeringInstitute.

§ “SoftwareCostandScheduleEstimating:AProcessImprovementInitiative,”RobertPark,

WolfhartGoethert,J.ToddWebb,SpecialReportCMU/SEI-94-SR-3May1994.

§ “OrganizationalConsiderationsfortheEstimatingProcess,”BobFerguson,Software

EngineeringInstitute,November,2004.

§ “AParametricAnalysisofProjectManagementPerformancetoEnhanceSoftware

DevelopmentProcess,”N.R.Shashikumar,T.R.GopalakrishnanNair,SumaV,IEEE

InternationalConferenceonAdvancedResearchinEngineeringandTechnology(ICARET-

2013)

§ “ChecklistsandCriteriaforEvaluatingtheCostandScheduleEstimatingCapabilitiesof

SoftwareOrganizations,”RobertE.Park,CMU/SEI-95-SR-005

§ “AManager'sChecklistforValidatingSoftwareCostandScheduleEstimates,”RobertE.

Park,SpecialReportCMU/SEI-95-SR-004January1995.

§ ACEAccurateConfidentEstimatingTSPSymposiumNovember4,2014Pittsburgh,PA,Team

SoftwareProcess(TSP)Symposium,4Nov2014,SEICarnegieMellonUniversity

§ HowtoLiewithStatistics,DarrellHuff,W.W.Norton,1954

§ “ASimulationandEvaluationofEarnedValueMetricstoForecasttheProjectDuration,”

MarioVanhouckeandStephanVandevoorde,TheJournaloftheOperationalResearch

Society,Vol.58,No.10(Oct.,2007),pp.1361-1374

§ “AvoidSoftwareProjectHorrorStories:ChecktheRealityValueoftheEstimateFirst!”,

HaroldvanHerringen,ICEAA2014

§ COSMIC:GuidelineforSizingBusinessSoftware,Version3,http://www.etsmtl.ca/Unites-

de-recherche/GELOG/accueil

§ “FactorsAffectingDurationAndEffortEstimationErrorsInSoftwareDevelopment

Projects,”OferMorgenshtern,TzviRaz,andDovDvir,WorkingPaperNo8/2005,Henry

CrownInstituteofBusinessResearch,Israel.http://recanati-

bs.tau.ac.il/Eng/?CategoryID=444&ArticleID=747

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 45

§ “ADecisionSupportSystemToChooseOptimalReleaseCycleLengthInIncremental

SoftwareDevelopmentEnvironments,”AvnishChandraSuman,SaraswatiMishra,and

AbhinavAnand,InternationalJournalofSoftwareEngineering&Applications(IJSEA),Vol.7,

No.5,September2016.

§ “ProtectingSoftwareDevelopmentProjectsAgainstUnderestimation,”EduardoMiranda,

AlainAbran,Écoledetechnologiesupérieure-UniversitéduQuébec,

http://mse.isri.cmu.edu/software-engineering/documents/faculty-

publications/miranda/mirandaprotectingprojectsagainstunderestimations.pdf

§ “ImprovingSubjectiveEstimatesUsingPairedComparisons,”EduardoMiranda,IEEE

Software,January/February2001.

§ “ImprovingEstimationsinAgileProjects:IssuesandAvenues,”LuigiBuglione,AlainAbran,

SoftwareMeasurementEuropeanForum–SMEF2007,Rome(Italy),May8-11,2007.

§ “EstimationofSoftwareDevelopmentEffortfromRequirementsBasedComplexity,”Ashish

Sharma,DharmenderSinghKushwaha,2ndInternationalConferenceonComputer,

Communication,ControlandInformationTechnology(C3IT2012),February25-26,2012

§ “EstimatingtheTestVolumeandEffortforTestingandVerification&Validation,”Alain

Abran,JuanGarbajosa,,LailaCheikhi1,FirstAnnualESAWorkshoponSpacecraftData

SystemsandSoftware-SDSS2005,ESTEC,Noordwijk,EuropeanSpaceAgency,Netherlands,

17-20October2005.

§ “AGeneralEmpiricalSolutiontotheMacroSoftwareSizingandEstimatingProblem,”

LawrenceH.Putnam,IEEETransactionsOnSoftwareEngineering,VOL.SE-4,NO.4,JULY

1978.

§ “AComparisonofSoftwareCost,Duration,andQualityforWaterfallvs.Iterativeand

IncrementalDevelopment:ASystematicReview,”SusanM.MitchellandCarolynB.Seaman,

ThirdInternationalSymposiumonEmpiricalSoftwareEngineeringandMeasurement,2009.

§ SoftwareSizingandEstimating:MKIIFPA,CharlesR.Symons,JohnWileyandSons,1991

§ “AReviewofSurveysonSoftwareEffortEstimation,”KjetilMolkken andMagne

Jorgensen,ProceedingofInternationalSymposiumonEmpiricalSoftwareEngineering,ISESE

'03.

§ “AccurateEstimatesWithoutLocalData?”TimMenzies,SteveWilliams,OussamaElrawas,

DanielBaker,BarryBoehm,JairusHihn,KarenLum,andRayMadachy,SoftwareProcess

ImprovementAndPractice,(2009).

§ “AnAssessmentandComparisonofCommonSoftwareCostEstimationModeling

Techniques,”LionelC.Briand,KhaledElEmam,DagmarSurmann,IsabellaWieczorek,and

KatrinaD.Maxwell,Proceedingsofthe21stinternationalconferenceonSoftware

engineering,Pg.313-322

§ “TheProbableLowest-CostAlternativeAccordingtoBorda,”NealD.Hulkower,Journalof

CostAnalysisandParametrics,3:2,29-36

§ “AnEfficientApproachforAgileWebBasedProjectEstimation:AgileMOW,”Ratnesh

LitoriyaandAbhayKothari,JournalofSoftwareEngineeringandApplications,2013,6,297-

303.

§ “CoradAgileMethodforAgileSoftwareCostEstimation,”GovindSinghRajputandRatnesh

Litoriya,http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1100579

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 46

§ “ABaselineModelforSoftwareEffortEstimation,”PeterA.Whigham,CaitlinA.Owen,and

StephenG.MacDonell,ACMTransactiononSoftwareEngineeringMethodology,24,3,

Article20(May2015).

§ AgileProductManagement:AgileEstimating&PlanningYourSprintwithScrumandRelease

Planning21Steps,PaulVii,CreateSpace,2016

§ “CoreEstimatingConcepts,”WilliamRoetzheim,CrossTalk:TheJournalofDefenseSoftware

Engineering—January/February2013.

§ “APracticalApproachtoSizeEstimationofEmbeddedSoftwareComponents,”Kenneth

LindandRogardtHeldal,IEEETransactionsOnSoftwareEngineering,Vol.38,No.5,

September/October2012.

§ “AProbabilisticModelforPredictingSoftwareDevelopmentEffort,”ParagC.Pendharkar,

GirishH.Subramanian,andJamesA.Rodger,IEEETransactionsOnSoftwareEngineering,

Vol.31,No.7,July2005.

§ “APatternLanguageforEstimating,”DmitryNikelshpur,PLoP'11Proceedingsofthe18th

ConferenceonPatternLanguagesofPrograms,ArticleNo.17.

§ “DoEstimatorsLearn?OntheEffectofaPositivelySkewedDistributionofEffortDataon

SoftwarePortfolioProductivity,”HennieHuijgensandFrankVogelezang,7thInternational

WorkshoponEmergingTrendsinSoftwareMetrics,2016.

§ “TheInaccurateConception:Somethoughtsontheaccuracyofestimates,”PhillipG.

Armour,CommunicationsOfTheACM,March2008/Vol.51,No.3

§ “UnderstandingSoftwareProjectEstimates,”KatherineBaxter,CrossTalkTheJournalof

DefenseSoftwareEngineering,March/April2009,

§ “ValidationMethodsforCalibratingSoftwareEffortModels,”TimMenzies,DanPort,Zhihao

Chen,andJairusHihn,May15–21,2005,http://menzies.us/pdf/04coconut.pdf

§ “RequirementsInstabilityinCostEstimation,”AbihaBatool,SabikaBatool,andMohammad

AyubLatif,

https://www.academia.edu/4493828/Requirements_Instability_in_Cost_Estimation

§ “NegativeResultsforSoftwareEffortEstimationTimMenzies,YeYang,GeorgeMathew,

BarryBoehm,JairusHihn,EMSE2016.

§ “CreatingRequirements-BasedEstimatesBeforeRequirementsAreComplete,”CarolA.

Dekkers,CrossTalkTheJournalofDefenseSoftwareEngineering,April2005.

§ “RationalCostEstimationofDedicatedSoftwareSystems,”BeataCzarnacka-Chrobot,

JournalofSoftwareEngineeringandApplications,2012,5,262-269.

§ “SummarizationofSoftwareCostEstimation,”XiaotieQinaandMiaoFang,Advancesin

ControlEngineeringandInformationScience,2011

§ “SoftwareProjectDevelopmentCostEstimation,”BarbaraKitchenham,TheJournalof

SystemsandSoftware3,267-278(1985).

§ “CostEstimationinAgileSoftwareDevelopmentProjects,”MichaelLang,KieranConboy

andSiobhánKeaveney,InternationalConferenceonInformationSystemsDevelopment

(ISD2011)Prato,Italy.

§ “ProjectEstimatingandScheduling,”TerryBoult,UniversityofColorado,ColoradoSprings,

CS330SoftwareEngineering.

§ “PracticalGuidelinesforExpert-Judgment-BasedSoftwareEffortEstimation,”Magne

Jørgensen,IEEESoftware,May/June2005.

Page 15: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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§ “PredictingSoftwareProjectsCostEstimationBasedonMiningHistoricalData,”Hassan

Najadat,IzzatAlsmadi,andYazanShboul,ISRNSoftwareEngineering,Volume2012,Article

ID823437.

§ “ModelsforImprovingSoftwareSystemSizeEstimatesduringDevelopment,”WilliamW.

Agresti,WilliamM.Evanco,WilliamM.Thomas,JournalofSoftwareEngineering&

Applications,2010,3:1-10.

§ “RequirementsEngineeringforAgileMethods,”AlbertoSillittiandGiancarloSucci,in

EngineeringandManagingSoftwareRequirements,pp.306-326,Springer,2005.

§ “AMethodforImprovingDevelopers’SoftwareSizeEstimates,”LawrenceH.Putnam,

DouglasT.Putnam,andDonaldM.Beckett,CrossTalkTheJournalofDefenseSoftware

Engineering,April2005.

§ “PERT,CPM,andAgileProjectManagement,”RobertC.Martin5October2003,

http://www.codejournal.com/public/cj/previews/PERTCPMAGILE.pdf

§ “ReliabilityandaccuracyoftheestimationprocessWidebandDelphivs.Wisdomof

Crowds,”MarekGrzegorzStochel,35thIEEEAnnualComputerSoftwareandApplications

Conference,2011

§ “Predictingdevelopmenteffortfromuserstories,”P.Abrahamsson,I.Fronza,R.Moser,J.

Vlasenko,andW.Pedrycz,InternationalSymposiumonEmpiricalSoftwareEngineeringand

Measurement,2011

§ “Effortpredictioniniterativesoftwaredevelopmentprocesses-incrementalversusglobal

predictionmodels,”PekkaAbrahamsson,RaimundMoser,WitoldPedrycz,AlbertoSillitti,

GiancarloSucci,FirstInternationalSymposiumonEmpiricalSoftwareEngineeringand

Measurement,2007.

§ “PlanningPokerorHowtoavoidanalysisparalysiswhilereleaseplanning,”JamesGrenning,

https://wingman-sw.com/papers/PlanningPoker-v1.1.pdf

§ “AgileEstimationusingCAEA:AComparativeStudyofAgileProjects,”ShilpaBhalerao,

MayaIngle,2009InternationalConferenceonComputerEngineeringandApplications

IPCSIT,Vol.2(2011).

§ “ABayesianapproachtoimproveestimateatcompletioninearnedvaluemanagement,”

FrancoCaron,FabrizioRuggeri,andAlessandroMerli,ProjectManagementInstitute

Journal,Vol.44,No.1,pp.3-16.2013.

§ “AnEmpiricalApproachforEstimationoftheSoftwareDevelopmentEffort,”AmitKumar

JakharandKumarRajnish,InternationalJournalofMultimediaandUbiquitousEngineering,

Vol.10,No.2(2015),pp.97-110.

§ “ForecastingofSoftwareDevelopmentWorkEffort:EvidenceonExpertJudgmentand

FormalModels,”MagneJørgensen,InternationalJournalofForecasting,2007

§ SoftwareProjectEffortEstimationFoundationsandBestPracticeGuidelinesforSuccess,

AdamTrendowiczandRossJeffery,Springer2014.

§ “AgileReleasePlanning:DealingwithUncertaintyinDevelopmentTimeandBusiness

Value,”KevinLogueandKevinMcDaid,15thAnnualIEEEInternationalConferenceand

WorkshopontheEngineeringofComputerBasedSystems,March31–April4,2008.

§ “WhyAreEstimatesAlwaysWrong:EstimationBiasandStrategicMisestimation,”DanielD.

Galorath,AIAASPACE2015ConferenceandExpositionPasadena,California,2015.

Page 16: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 48

§ “EstimationofProjectSizeUsingUserStories,”MuradAli,ZubairAShaikh,EamanAli,

InternationalConferenceonRecentAdvancesinComputerSystems(RACS2015).

§ “ASurveyofAgileSoftwareEstimationMethods,”HalaHamadOsmanandMohamed

ElhafizMusa,InternationalJournalofComputerScienceandTelecommunications,Volume

7,Issue3,March2016.

§ “WhyCan’tPeopleEstimate:EstimationBiasandMitigation,”DanGalorath,IEEESoftware

TechnologyConference,October12-15,2015

HiltonHotel,LongBeachCalifornia

§ “Cost-EffectiveSupervisedLearningModelsforSoftwareEffortEstimationinAgile

Environments,”KayhanMoharreri,AlhadVinayakSapre,JayashreeRamanathan,andRajiv

Ramnath,40thAnnualIEEEComputerSoftwareandApplicationsConference(COMPSAC),

2016

§ “AReviewofSurveysonSoftwareEffortEstimation,”KjetilMoløkkenandMagneJørgensen,

http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/Review_final8.pdf

§ “ProjectDurationForecastingUsingEarnedValueMethodandTimeSeries,”Khandare

ManishA.,VyasGayatriS.,InternationalJournalofEngineeringandInnovativeTechnology

(IJEIT)Volume1,Issue4,April2012.

§ “IntegratingRiskAssessmentandActualPerformanceforProbabilisticProjectCost

Forecasting:ASecondMomentBayesianModel,”Byung-CheolKim,IEEETransactionsOn

EngineeringManagement,Vol.62,No.2,May2015.

§ “Astudyofprojectselectionandfeatureweightingforanalogybasedsoftwarecost

estimation,”Y.F.Li,M.Xie,andT.N.Goh,TheJournalofSystemsandSoftware82(2009)

241–252.

§ “ComplementingMeasurementsandRealOptionsConceptstoSupportInterSprint

Decision-MakinginAgileProjects,”ZornitzaRacheva,MayaDaneva,LuigiBuglione,34th

EuromicroConferenceSoftwareEngineeringandAdvancedApplications

§ “SoftwareCostEstimationandSizingMethods:IssuesandGuidelines,”ShariLawrence

Pfleeger,FeliciaWu,andRosalindLewis,RANDCorporation,ProjectAirForce,2005.

§ “AnchoringandAdjustmentinSoftwareEstimation,”JorgeArandaandSteveEasterbrook,

ESEC-FSE’05,September5–9,2005,Lisbon,Portugal.

§ “CycleTimeAnalytics:MakingDecisionusingleadTimeandCycleTimetoavoidneeding

estimatesforeverystory,”TroyMagennis,LKCE2013‒ModernManagementMethods,

§ “ProbabilisticForecastingDecisionMaking:WhenDoYouWantit?”LarryMaccherone,

http://www.hanssamios.com/dokuwiki/_media/larry-maccherone-probabilistic-decision-

making.pdf

§ “SoftwareProjectPlanningforRobustnessandCompletionTimeinthePresenceof

UncertaintyusingMultiObjectiveSearchBasedSoftwareEngineering,”StefanGueorguiev,

MarkHarman,andGiulianoAntoniol,GECCO’09,July8–12,2009,MontréalQuébec,

Canada.

§ “EmpiricalValidationofNeuralNetworkModelsforAgileSoftwareEffortEstimationbased

onStoryPoints,”AditiPanda,ShashankMouliSatapathy,andSantanuKumarRath,3rd

InternationalConferenceonRecentTrendsinComputing2015(ICRTC-2015).

§ “When90%ConfidenceIntervalsare50%Certain:OntheCredibilityofCredibleIntervals,”

KarlHalvorTeigenandMagneJørgensen,AppliedCognitivePsychology,19:455–475(2005)

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 49

§ “ScalingAgileEstimationMethodswithaParametricCostModel,”CarlFriedrichKreß,

OliverHummel,MahmudulHuq,ICSEA2014:TheNinthInternationalConferenceon

SoftwareEngineeringAdvances,2014

§ “ExpertEstimationandHistoricalData:AnEmpiricalStudy,”GabrielaRobiolo,Silvana

Santos,andBibianaRossi,ICSEA2013:TheEighthInternationalConferenceonSoftware

EngineeringAdvances

§ “AgileMonitoringUsingTheLineOfBalance,”EduardoMiranda,InstituteforSoftware

Research–Carnegie-MellonUniversityandPierreBourque,Écoledetechnologiesupérieure

–UniversitéduQuébec

§ “ManagerialDecisionMakingUnderRiskandUncertainty,”AriRiabacke,IAENG

InternationalJournalofComputerScience,32:4,IJCS_32_4_12

§ “SimpleMethodProposalforCostEstimationfromWorkBreakdownStructure,”Sérgio

SequeiraandEuricoLopes,ConferenceonENTERpriseInformationSystems/International

ConferenceonProjectManagement/ConferenceonHealthandSocialCareInformation

SystemsandTechnologies,CENTERIS/ProjMAN/HCist2015October7-9,2015.

§ “FromNobelPrizetoProjectManagement:GettingRisksRight,”BentFlyvbjerg,Aalborg

University,Denmark,ProjectManagementJournal,vol.37,no.3,August2006,pp.5-15.

§ “TheUncertaintyPrincipleinSoftwareEngineering,”HadarZivandDebraRichardson,ICSE

97,9thInternationalConferenceonSoftwareEngineering,BostonMA,17‒23May,1997

§ “AnalyzingSoftwareEffortEstimationusingkmeansClusteredRegressionApproach,”

GeetaNagpal,MoinUddin,andArvinderKaur,ACMSIGSOFTSoftwareEngineeringNotes,

January2013Volume38Number1.

§ “AssuringSoftwareCostEstimates:IsitanOxymoron?,”JairusHihnlandGrantTregre,

GoddardSpaceFlightCenter,201346thHawaiiInternationalConferenceonSystem

Sciences.

§ “HowDoesNASAEstimateSoftwareCost?SummaryFindingsandRecommendations,”

JairusHihn,LisaVanderAar,ManuelMaldonado,PedroMartinez,GrantTregre,NASACost

Symposium,OCESoftwareWorkingGroup,August27-29,2013.

§ “CalibratingSoftwareCostModelsUsingBayesianAnalysis,”SunitaChulani,BarryBoehm,

BertSteece,USC-CSE1998

§ “SoftwareProjectandQualityModellingUsingBayesianNetworks,”NormanFenton,Peter

Hearty,MartinNeil,andŁukaszRadliński,Elsevier,November31,2013.

§ “SoftwareProjectLevelEstimationModelFrameworkbasedonBayesianBeliefNetworks,”

HaoWang,FeiPeng,andChaoZhang,2006SixthInternationalConferenceonQuality

Software(QSIC'06),27-28October,2006.

§ “UsingBayesianBeliefNetworkstoModelSoftwareProjectManagementAntipatterns,”

DimitriosSettas,StamatiaBibi,PanagiotisSfetsos,IoannisStamelos,andVassilis

Gerogiannis,SoftwareEngineeringResearch,ManagementandApplications,ACIS

InternationalConferenceon(2006),Seattle,Washington,Aug.9,2006toAug.11,2006.

§ “ASurveyOfBayesianNetModelsForSoftwareDevelopmentEffortPrediction,”Lukasz

Radlinski,InternationalJournalOfSoftwareEngineeringAndComputing,Vol.2,No.2,July-

December2010

Page 18: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 50

§ “TenUnmythsofProjectEstimationReconsideringsomecommonlyacceptedproject

managementpractices,”PhillipArmour,CommunicationsoftheACM,November2002,Vol.

45,No.11

§ “UsingEarnedValueDatatoForecasttheDurationandCostofDoDSpacePrograms,”Capt.

ShedrickBridgeforthAirForceCostAnalysisAgency(AFCAA).

§ “EnterpriseAgility—WhatIsItandWhatFuelsIt?,”RickDove,inUtilityAgility-WhatIsIt

andWhatFuelsIt?-Part2,10/24/2009.

§ “ScrumMetricsforHyperproductiveTeams:HowTheyFlylikeFighterAircraft,”Scott

DowneyandJeffSutherland,HICSS'13Proceedingsofthe201346thHawaiiInternational

ConferenceonSystemSciences,Pages4870-4878,IEEEComputerSociety

§ SoftwareProjectEstimation:TheFundamentalsforProvidingHighQualityInformationto

DecisionMakers,AlainAbran,Wiley-IEEE,6April2016

§ PracticalSoftwareProjectEstimation3rdEdition,PeterHill,McGraw-HillEducation,2010

§ “EngagingSoftwareEstimationEducationusingLEGOs:ACaseStudy,”LindaLairdandYe

Yang,IEEE/ACM38thIEEEInternationalConferenceonSoftwareEngineeringCompanion,

2016

§ “SoftwareEstimation–AFuzzyApproach,”NonikaBajaj,AlokTyagiandRakeshAgarwal,

ACMSIGSOFTSoftwareEngineeringNotes,Page1May2006Volume31Number3.

§ “LimitstoSoftwareEstimation,”J.P.Lewis,ACMSIGSOFTSoftwareEngineeringNotesVol.

26No.4,July2001,Page54.

§ “RecentAdvancesinSoftwareEstimationTechniques,”RichardE.Fairley,ICSE'92:

Proceedingsofthe14thInternationalConferenceonSoftwareEngineering,May1992.

§ “SoftwareEstimationUsingtheSLIMTool,”NikkiPanlilio-Yap,Proceedingsofthe1992

conferenceoftheCentreforAdvancedStudiesonCollaborativeresearch-Volume1,

CASCON'92

§ “AnApproachforSoftwareCostEstimation,”VioletaBozhikovaandMarianaStoeva,

InternationalConferenceonComputerSystemsandTechnologies-CompSysTech’10.

§ “EstimatingSoftware-IntensiveProjectsintheAbsenceofHistoricalData,”AldoDagnino,

ICSE'13:Proceedingsofthe2013InternationalConferenceonSoftwareEngineering,May

2013.

§ “AFrameworkforSoftwareProjectEstimationBasedonCOSMIC,DSMandRework

Characterization,”ShararehAfsharian,MarcoGiacomobono,andPaolaInverardi,BIPI’08,

May13,2008.

§ “Estimatingsoftwareprojects,”R.Agarwal,ManishKumart,Yogesh,S.Mallick,RM.

Bharadwaj,andD.Anantwar,SoftwareEngineeringNotesvol26no4July2001Page60.

§ “SoftwareIntensiveSystemsCostandScheduleEstimationTechnicalReportSERC-2013-TR-

032-2,”StevensInstituteofTechnology,SystemsEngineeringResearchCenter,31June

2013.

§ “ImprovedSizeAndEffortEstimationModelsForSoftwareMaintenance,”VuNguyen,

UniversityofSouthernCalifornia,December2010.

§ “ProbabilisticEstimationofSoftwareProjectDuration,”AndyM.Connor,NewZealand

JournalofAppliedComputing&InformationTechnology,11(1),11-22,2007.

Page 19: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 51

§ “ApplicationofSizingEstimationTechniquesforBusinessCriticalSoftwareProject

Management,”ParvezMahmoodKhanandM.M.SufyanBeg,InternationalJournalofSoft

ComputingAndSoftwareEngineering(JSCSE),Vol.3,No.6,2013

§ “DoubleWhammy–HowICTProjectsareFooledbyRandomnessandScrewedbyPolitical

Intent,”AlexanderBudzierandBentFlyvbjerg,SaïdBusinessSchoolworkingpapers,August

2011.

§ “SoftwareCostEstimationFrameworkforService-OrientedArchitectureSystemsusing

Divide-and-ConquerApproach,”ZhengLiandJackyKeung,Proceedingsofthe5th

InternationalSymposiumonService-OrientedSystemEngineering(SOSE2010),pp.47-54,

Nanjing,China,June4-5,2010.

§ “InvestigatingEffortPredictionOfSoftwareProjectsOnTheISBSGDataset,”Sanaa

ElyassamiandAliIdri,InternationalJournalofArtificialIntelligence&Applications(IJAIA),

Vol.3,No.2,March2012.

§ “ResourceEstimationinSoftwareEngineering,”LionelC.Briand,EncyclopediaofSoftware

Engineering,JohnWileyandSons,2001.

§ SoftwareMeasurementandEstimation:APracticalApproach,LindaM.LairdandM.Carol

Brennan,Wiley-IEEEComputerSocietyPress,June2006

§ CECS543/643AdvancedSoftwareEngineering,Dar-BiauLiu,CaliforniaStateUniversity,

LongBeach,Spring2012

§ “SoftwareCostEstimationReview,”AlphonceOmondoOngere,HelsinkiMetropolia

UniversityofAppliedSciences,30May2013.

§ “Softwareestimationprocess:acomparisonoftheestimationpracticebetweenNorway

andSpain,”PaulSalaberria,1December2014,UniversitetetIBergenm.

§ “ComparisonofavailableMethodstoEstimateEffort,PerformanceandCostwiththe

ProposedMethod,”M.Pauline,Dr.P.Aruna,Dr.B.Shadaksharappa,InternationalJournal

ofEngineeringInventions,Volume2,Issue9(May2013),pp.55-68

§ “ApplyingFuzzyID3DecisionTreeforSoftwareEffortEstimation,”AliIdriandSanaa

Elyassam,IJCSIInternationalJournalofComputerScienceIssues,Vol.8,Issue4,No1,July

2011.

§ “SoftwareEffortEstimationwithRidgeRegressionandEvolutionaryAttributeSelection,”Efi

Papatheocharous,HarrisPapadopoulosandAndreasS.Andreou,3dArtificialIntelligence

TechniquesinSoftwareEngineeringWorkshop,7October,2010.

§ “AComparisonofDifferentProjectDurationForecastingMethodsUsingEarnedValue

Metrics,”StephanVandevoordeandMarioVanhoucke,InternationalJournalofProject

Management,24(2006),289-302

§ “QuantifyingITForecastQuality,”J.L.EveleensandC.Verhoef,ScienceofComputer

Programming,Volume74,Issues11–12,November2009,Pages934-988.

§ “PredictiveModeling:PrinciplesandPractices,”RickHefner,DeanCaccavo,PhilipPaul,and

RasheedBaqai,NDIASystemsEngineeringConference,pp.20-23October2008.

§ “Modeling,Simulation&DataMining:AnsweringToughCost,Date&StaffForecasts

Questions,”TroyMagennisandLarryMaccherone,Agile2012,13-17August,2013,Dallas

Texas.

§ HowtoMeasureAnything,DouglasHubbard,JohnWileyandSons,2014.

Page 20: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 52

§ AllAboutAgile:AgileManagementMadeEasy!,KellyWaters,CreateSpaceIndependent

PublishingPlatform,March19,2012.

§ “EnhanceAccuracyInSoftwareCostAndScheduleEstimationByUsing'UncertaintyAnalysis

AndAssessment’InTheSystemModelingProcess,”KardileVilasVasantrao,International

JournalofResearch&InnovationinComputerEngineering,Vol1,Issue1,(6-18),August

2011.

§ “EstimatingPerspectives,RichardD.Stutzke,20thInternationalCOCOMOandSoftwareCost

ModelingForum,LosAngeles25-28October2005

§ “IntroductiontoSystemsCostUncertaintyAnalysis:AnEngineeringSystemsPerspective,”

PaulR.Garvey,NationalInstituteofAerospace(NIA)SystemsAnalysis&Concepts

DirectorateNASALangleyResearchCenter,2May2006.

§ “CostandScheduleUncertaintyAnalysisofGrowthinSupportofJCL,”DarrenElliotand

CharlesHunt,2014NASACostSymposium,13August2014.

§ “MeasurementofSoftwareSize:ContributionsofCOSMICtoEstimationImprovements,”

AlainAbran,CharlesSymons,ChristofEbert,FrankVogelezang,andHassanSoubra,ICEAA

InternationalTrainingSymposium,BristolEngland,2016.

§ “WhatDoesaMatureCostEngineeringOrganizationLookLike?”DaleShermon,

InternationalCostEstimatingandAnalysisAssociation(ICEAA)201618thto20thOctober

2016.

§ “AHybridModelforEstimatingSoftwareProjectEffortfromUseCasePoints,”Mohammad

AzzehandAliBouNassif,AppliedSoftComputingjournal,Elsevier

§ “ADeepLearningModelforEstimatingStoryPoints,”MorakotChoetkiertikul,HoaKhanh

Dam,TruyenTran,TrangPham,AdityaGhose,andTimMenzies,

§ “AHybridIntelligentModelforSoftwareCostEstimation,”WeiLinDu,LuizFernando

Capretz,AliBouNassif,DannyHo,JournalofComputerScience,9(11):1506-1513,2013

§ “AnEmpiricalAnalysisofTaskAllocationinScrum-basedAgileProgramming,”JunLin,Han

Yu,ZhiqiShen

§ “AgilePlanning&MetricsThatMatter,”SallyElatta,AgileTransformationforGovernment.

§ IntroductiontoUncertaintyQuantification,T.J.Sullivan,Springer,2016

§ GeneralizedEstimatingEquations,2ndEdition,JamesW.Hardin,ChapmanandHall,2012.

§ SoftwareEstimationBestPractices,Tools&Techniques:ACompleteGuideforSoftware

ProjectEstimators,MuraliK.Chemuturi

§ “#NoEstimates,But#YesMeasurements:WhyShouldn’tagileteamswastetheirtimeand

effortinestimating,”PekkaForselius,ISBSGITConfidenceConference,2016

§ “AgileBenchmarks:WhatCanYouConcluded?”DonReifer,ISBSGITConfidenceConference,

2016

§ “ImproveEstimationMaturityusingFunctionalSizeMeasurementandIndustryData,”Drs.

HaroldvanHeeringen,ISBSGITConfidenceConference,2016

§ “WhyCan’tPeopleEstimate:EstimationBiasandMitigation,”DanGalorath,ISBSGIT

ConfidenceConference,2015

§ “WhyCan’tPeopleEstimate:EstimationBiasandStrategicMis-Estimation,”DanielD.

Galorath,ISBSGITConfidenceConference,2014

§ “Estimation‒NextLevel,”TonDekkers,ISBSGITConfidenceConference,2013.

Page 21: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

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IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 53

§ “AreWeReallyThatBad?ALookAtSoftwareEstimationAccuracy,”PeterR.Hill,ISBSGIT

ConfidenceConference,2013.

§ HybridApproachForEstimatingSoftwareProjectDevelopmentEffort:DesigningSoftware

CostEstimationModel,KetemaKifle,LAPLAMBERTAcademicPublishing,June2,2016.

§ AHedonicApproachtoEstimatingSoftwareCostUsingOrdinaryLeastSquaresRegression

andNominalAttributeVariables,MarcEllis,BiblioScholar,2012.

§ “TheEvaluationofWell-knownEffortEstimationModelsbasedonPredictiveAccuracy

Indicators,”KhalidKhan,SchoolofComputingBlekingeInstituteofTechnology,Sweden

§ UncertaintyQuantification:Theory,Implementation,andApplications,RalphSmith,SIAM-

SocietyforIndustrialandAppliedMathematics,December2,2013.

§ “AKnowledgeandAnalytics-BasedFrameworkandModelforForecastingProgram

SchedulePerformance,KevinT.KnudsenandMarkBlackburn,ComplexAdaptiveSystems,

LosAngeles,CA,2016

§ “ManagingProjectUncertainty:FromVariationtoChaos,”ArnounddeMeyer,Christoph

Loch,andMichaelPich,IEEEEngineeringManagementReview43(3):91-91·December

2002

§ “ProjectUncertaintyandManagementStyle,”C.H.Loch,M.T.Pich,andA.DeMeyer,

2000/31/TM/CIMSO10

§ EffectsofFeatureComplexityofSoftwareEstimates‒AnExploratoryStudy,”Ana

MagaziniusandRichardBerntssonSvensson,40thEuromicroConferenceonSoftware

EngineeringandAdvancedApplications,2014

§ ProjectManagementUnderRisk:UsingtheRealOptionsApproachtoEvaluateFlexibilityin

R&D,"ArndHuchzermeierandChristophLoch,INSEAD

§ HowManyLicks:OrHowToEstimateDamnNearAnything,AaronSantos,RunningPress,

2009.

§ “EvaluationandImprovementsforAgilePlanningTools,”SultanAlyahya,ManalAlqahtani,

andMohamedMaddeh,SERA2016,June8-10,2016,Baltimore,USA

§ “Fermiquestionstoestimatesoftwaredevelopmentprojects,”EduardoMiranda,Joint

ConferenceoftheInternationalWorkshoponSoftwareMeasurementandtheInternational

ConferenceonSoftwareProcessandProductMeasurement,2014

§ “AReviewofSoftwareCostEstimationinAgileSoftwareDevelopmentUsingSoft

ComputingTechniques,”SaurabhBilgaiyan,SamareshMishra,andMadhabanandaDas,

InternationalConferenceonComputationalIntelligenceandNetworks2016

§ “QualityofEstimationsHowtoAssessReliabilityofCostPredictions,”Dr.ThomasFehlmann

andEberhardKranich,JointConferenceofthe22ndInternationalWorkshoponSoftware

Measurementandthe2012SeventhInternationalConferenceonSoftwareProcessand

ProductMeasurement,2012

§ “ImpactofSoftwareResourceEstimationResearchonPractice:APreliminaryReporton

Achievements,Synergies,andChallenges,”BarryBoehmandRicardoValerdi,ICSE’11,May

21–28,2011,Waikiki,Honolulu,HI,USA

§ “PredictingAccuracyOfEarlyCostEstimatesBasedOnEstimateQuality,”GaroldD.

Oberlender,andStevenM.Trost,JournalOfConstructionEngineeringAndManagement,

May/June2001

Page 22: 21.5 Estimating Agile Softare Development

EstimatingSoftwareDevelopment

IntegrationofAgileandEarnedValueManagement 54

§ “EstimatingSoftware‒IntensiveProjectsintheAbsenceofHistoricalData,”AldoDagnino

IndustrialSoftwareSystems,35thInternationalConferenceonSoftwareEngineering(ICSE)

2013.

§ “SoftwareEstimationBasedonUseCaseSize,”GustavoBestettiIbarraandPatríciaVilain,

BrazilianSymposiumonSoftwareEngineering,2010.