2020 Q2 Corporate 16-9 EN · 15 3.7 3.3 4.2 6.2 0.1 1.5 2.6 Q4/15 Q2/20 Loan Portfolio (In $...
Transcript of 2020 Q2 Corporate 16-9 EN · 15 3.7 3.3 4.2 6.2 0.1 1.5 2.6 Q4/15 Q2/20 Loan Portfolio (In $...
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Corporate Presentation
Second Quarter 2020
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Caution Regarding Forward-Looking StatementsIn this document and in other documents filed with Canadian regulatory authorities or in other communications, we may, from time to time, make written or oral forward-looking statements within the meaning
of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our business plan and financial objectives including statements contained in our 2019
Annual Report under the heading “Outlook”. The forward-looking statements contained in this document are used to assist readers in obtaining a better understanding of our financial position and the results of
operations as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward-looking statements typically are identified with words or phrases such as believe,
estimate, forecast, project, expect, anticipate, plan, goal, target, may, should, could, would, will, intend or the negative of these terms, variations thereof or similar terminology.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements require us to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific in nature. There is significant risk that the
predictions, forecasts, projections or conclusions will prove to be inaccurate, that our assumptions may not be correct, and that actual results may differ materially from such predictions, forecasts, projections
or conclusions.
We caution readers against placing undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict, could cause
our actual results to differ materially from the targets, plans, objectives, expectations, forecasts, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements.
The future outcomes that relate to forward-looking statements may be influenced by many factors, including but not limited to: general economic and market conditions; changes in government monetary,
fiscal or economic policies; changes in currency and interest rates; legislative and regulatory developments, including tax legislation and interpretation; critical accounting estimates and the effect of changes to
accounting standards, rules and interpretations on these estimates; changes in competition; modifications to credit ratings; scarcity of human resources; developments with respect to labour relations;
information technology and cyber security; developments in the technological environment; environmental risk including changes to global environmental policy and the effects of climate change; the possible
effects of global conflicts and terrorism, natural disasters, public health emergencies, including the direct and indirect impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, disruptions to public infrastructure
and other catastrophic events; our ability to execute our strategic plans including the reorganization of our retail branches, the modernization of our core banking system and the implementation of the
Advanced Internal Ratings-Based (AIRB) Approach to credit risk; as well as our ability to anticipate and effectively manage risks arising from the foregoing.
Since December 31, 2019, the outbreak of COVID-19 has resulted in governments worldwide enacting emergency measures to contain the spread of the virus. These measures, which include the
implementation of travel bans, temporary business and school closures, self-imposed quarantine periods and physical distancing, have caused considerable financial and social disruption resulting in economic
weakness and market volatility. Governments and central banks have reacted with monetary and fiscal interventions and proposed measures and subsidies designed to stabilize economic conditions. The
magnitude, duration and outcome of the outbreak, including its impact on customers, team members and third-party providers; the efficacy of government and central bank interventions; and the related
financial and social impacts are uncertain, and could have a material and adverse effect on our business. Such adverse effect could be rapid and unexpected. It is not possible to reliably estimate the length
and severity of these developments and the impact on the financial results and condition of the Bank.
We further caution that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Other factors and risks could adversely affect our results. For more information on the risks, uncertainties and assumptions that would
cause our actual results to differ from current expectations, please see the more detailed description of the risks associated with COVID-19 pandemic and related impacts in the Risk Management section
below, the “Risk Appetite and Risk Management Framework” section of our 2019 Annual Report, as well as our other public filings available at www.sedar.com.
We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether oral or written, made by us or on our behalf, except to the extent required by securities regulations.
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Who We Are
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Laurentian Bank Financial Group (LBCFG)
(1) The Canadian equipment financing and corporate financing activities of CIT Canada
Founded as Montreal
City and District
Savings Bank
1846
1965
Allowed to offer
services outside the
city of Montreal
Allowed to offer
services outside of
Quebec
1981
LBS created
1993
2000
B2B Trust
created
B2B Trust became
federally chartered and
was renamed B2B
Bank. MRS Group of
Companies acquired
2011
2012
AGF
Trust
acquired
CIT Canada(1)
acquired.
LBC Capital
created
2016
2017
NCF acquired.
LBCFG formed
1987
Became a chartered
Bank, renamed
Laurentian Bank of
Canada, allowed to
offer commercial loans
2015
Implemented
Strategic
Plan
175 Years Strong
Total Revenue
reached $1B.
Established the
first Advice-Only
Branch
2018
2019
Implemented
Phase 1 Core
Banking
System.
Converted to
100% Advice.
Launched
Digital
Mission Help customers improve their financial health
Values Proximity Simplicity Honesty
Launched pan-
Canadian digital
offering
2020
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7th Largest Canadian Bank(1) / Top 40 North American Bank
Total Assets: $45.4 B
19.622.1
27.129.0
34.9 33.936.5
39.743.0
46.7 45.9* 44.4 45.4
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2/20
Total Assets (2)
($ Billions)
(1) Based on total assets among publicly listed banks on the TSX (2) The value of total assets for the years prior to 2012 has been calculated in accordance with previous Canadian GAAP.
* Reflects $0.8B of non-strategic commercial loan portfolio sales
+132%
Assets Under Administration: $27.1 B
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Pan-Canadian Bank with Targeted U.S. Presence
Digital Offer
B2B Bank, Business Services, LBS
Financial Clinics
Business Services through NCF
Our Clients
• Personal
• Business
• Institutional
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Strategic Plan
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A Proactive Approach to Support Our Customers
Early activation of
Business Continuity Plan
Offering customers
support & advice including
Relief programs for those
in need
Helping customers improve their financial health
in good times and bad
80% of our Team
members working safely
from home
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A Solid Foundation
Strong capital
position
Conservative credit
portfolioHigh level of
liquidity
Providing the Bank with operational flexibility
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Completing What We Started
Working to complete
core banking
Timely digital offering
as consumer adoption
accelerates
Expanding the Advisor
team as 100% Advice
model gains
momentum
Setting a strong foundation, working on profitable growth
and enhancing performance
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Loan Portfolio Evolution – Strategic Diversification
60%
40%
Q2-2020 Total Loans $33.7B
Personal
Commercial
43%
32%
8%
7%
2% 8%
Quebec
Ontario
British Columbia
Alberta & Prairies
Atlantic Provinces
US
58%
30%
12%
Quebec
Ontario
Rest of Canada
77%
23%
Q4-2015 Total Loans $30.0B
Personal
Commercial
Evolving business mix
Diversified geographies
Loan growth
Note: Personal includes Personal Loans and Residential Mortgage Loans
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Solid Capital Position
(1) CET1 Ratio and Basel III Leverage Ratio excluding transitional arrangements given by OSFI in Q2-2020 for expected credit losses provisioning, in response to the
COVID-19 pandemic, are 8.7% and 4.5% respectively.
CET1 Ratio 7.6% 8.8% (1)
Q4-2015
AIRB will improve the capital efficiency of the balance
sheet and performance
Q2-2020
Basel III
Leverage Ratio3.5% 4.6% (1)
Beyond 2022 :+ 120 bps
+ 110 bps
Above regulatory requirements (under the Standardized approach for credit risk)
CET1 Capital Ratio Tier 1 Capital Ratio Total Capital
Ratio
Basel III Leverage
Ratio
As at April 30, 2020 8.8% (1) 10.0% 12.0% 4.6%
Regulatory Minimum 7.0% 8.5% 10.5% 3.0%
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Credit
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Loan Portfolio at a Glance (as at April 30, 2020)
Total Loans* $33.7B
Residential Mortgages (RM) $15.9B
Commercial Loans (Comm.) $13.5B
Personal Loans $4.3B
✓ 98% of the loan portfolio is collateralized
✓ No sub-prime mortgage lending
4%
9%
8%
18%
13%
24%
21%
3%
Diversified Across Sectors
Comm. - equipment financing ($1.5B)
Comm. - commercial ($3.2B)
Comm. - inventory financing ($2.6B)
Comm. - real estate ($6.2B)
Personal Loans ($4.3B)
RM - insured ($8.0B)
RM - uninsured prime ($6.8B)
RM - uninsured Alt-A ($1.1B)
Comm.
(40%)
Personal
(13%)
RM
(47%)
* Gross balance
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3.7 3.3
4.2 6.20.1
1.5
2.6
Q4/15 Q2/20
Loan Portfolio (In $ Billions)
Inventory financing
Equipment financing
Commercial real estate
Commercial
8.0
13.5
27%
40%
Q4/15 Q2/20
Commercial Loans(As a % of total loans)
A pan-Canadian
and a U.S. Presence(As a % of commercial loan portfolio)
(As at April 30, 2020)
Across the United States
4%
4%
24%48%
19%
10.0
12.2 12.013.0 13.5
0.06% 0.08%0.16% 0.18%
0.68%
2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2/20
Commercial loans and acceptances (in $ Billions)
PCL (as a % of commercial loans and acceptances)
Credit Quality
Commercial Loan Portfolio: Strong, Diversified and Growing
1%
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0.81.4
2.7 2.7
0.3
0.50.3
3.13.8
0.1
$ 1.3$ 1.8
$ 5.8
$ 6.5
$ 0.4
8%
11%
3%
BritishColumbia &territories
Alberta &prairies
Ontario Quebec Atlanticprovinces
Insured
Uninsured (including Alt A)
37%
41%
8.1 8.0
6.0 6.8
0.91.1
$ 15.0 $ 15.9
Q4/2015 Q2/2020
Portfolio mix (in $ Billions)
Uninsured - Alt A
Uninsured - Prime
Insured
Residential Mortgage (RM) Portfolio (as at April 30th, 2020)
LTV reflects current estimated value of collateral, including HELOCs. As at April 30th, 2020: HELOCs $0.7B (66% in Quebec, 18% Ontario, 16% rest of Canada)
From Q4/2015 – Q2/2020:
✓ Declining proportion of insured
mortgages and consistently low
loan losses reflect LBCFG’s
strong underwriting
As at Apr. 30, 2020:
LBCFG has
✓ 2 in-house origination channels
(Branches & B2B Bank. Alt-A
through B2B Bank only)
✓ 1 underwriting policy and
guideline
42% 51% 44% 53% 53%
✓ Consistently low LTV (avg. 51%) on Uninsured RM across Canada
✓ A sliding scale: higher the property value, lower the LTV
$ 15.0 $ 16.7 $ 18.5 $ 17.0 $ 16.0 $ 15.9
0.04% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.04%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Residential mortgage loans (in $ Billions) PCL (as a % of average residential mortgage)
PCL(%) vs Loan balance ($B)
Portfolio by region (in $ Billions)
LTV of Uninsured RM by region (including Alt A)
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Uninsured RM Portfolio (as at April 30th, 2020)
* Uninsured include Prime and Alt A
** LTV – reflects current estimated value, including HELOCs | GMA- Greater Montreal Area. GTA- Greater Toronto Area. GVA- Greater Vancouver Area
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9
82
2
1114
73
2
1014
74
3
1114
72
<600 600-649 650-679 >680
Current Beacon Score Distribution in selected regions (%)
Uninsured* - GMA
Uninsured* - GTA
Uninsured* - GVA
Uninsured Alt A -Canada
32
40
27
1
3234
23
11
44
36
15
5
68
32
0 0
<=50% 50-65% 65-75% >75%
Current LTV Distribution in selected regions (%)
Uninsured RM Prime Alt A
Region GMA GTA GVA CANADA
Loan balance $2.4 B $ 1.4 B $0.2 B $1.1 B
Average LTV (%) ** 51% 49% 48% 33%
Average Beacon Score 733 690 697 685
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Payment Deferrals
(1) Including BAs
As at April 30, 2020(Millions of Canadian dollars )
$ Deferred
payments$ Loan value
As a % of loan
portfolio
Personal loans 1 6 0.1%
Residential Mortgages 50 3,061 19.3%
Commercial loans(1) 58 1,374 10.5%
Total 109 4,441 13.3%
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Forward-looking Economic Scenarios
High weights were assigned to the base and downside scenarios, with a small residual weight to the upside scenario
Base Downside Upside
Relatively is short but steep recession
followed by a moderate rebound
Recession is more pronounced due to
prolonged shutdowns
Milder recession and the economic activity
resumes as the virus is brought under control
GDP at its pre-pandemic level in early 2021 GDP reaches pre-pandemic level in 2022
Structural economic damage is limited, as
businesses and individuals return to normal
activities
Home prices decline gradually and
temporarilyModerate correction in home prices Home prices remains relatively unaffected
Unemployment peaks at the early 1990’s
recession level and 2/3 of the shock reversed
by end of 2020
Unemployment reaches an all-time high post-
WWII
Most of the unemployment increase is reversed
early in 2021
Market risk appetite rebounds in Summer
2020 due to improving economic expectations
Weaker economic rebound reflects a slower
easing in restrictions and additional balance
sheet stress for individuals and companies
Market risk appetite rebounds in Summer 2020
due to improving economic expectations
Yield curve stays relatively flat and rates
remain at historical lows
Interest rates across the yield curve remain low
for a prolonged period
Interest rates rebound gradually starting in
2021
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Provision for Credit Losses (PCL)
PCL($ millions)
Q2/20 Q1/20 Q2/19
Personal Loans
Stage 1 and 2 $ 9.6 $ (2.9) $ (1.8)
Stage 3 7.8 6.9 6.1
17.4 4.0 4.3
Residential Mortgage Loans
Stage 1 and 2 0.8 0.4 (0.2)
Stage 3 0.6 1.1 0.7
1.4 1.5 0.5
Commercial Loans
Stage 1 and 2 21.0 0.9 0.3
Stage 3 15.1 8.5 4.1
36.1 9.4 4.4
$ 54.9 $ 14.9 $ 9.2
Q2/20 Highlights
• PCL increased by $45.7M Y/Y and $40.0M
Q/Q mainly due to provisions in the
commercial and personal loan portfolio
• The increase is primarily driven by the outbreak of COVID-19 which led to
adverse shift in forward-looking economic
scenarios and respective probability weights
• 98% of our loan portfolio is collateralized
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0.42% 0.45%0.40% 0.42%
0.53%
Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q1/20 Q2/20
Net Impaired Loans (NIL)(1)
(As a % of loans and acceptances)
0.55% 0.59%0.52% 0.56%
0.70%
Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 Q1/20 Q2/20
Gross Impaired Loans(As a % of loans and acceptances)
• Net impaired loans of $175.5M increased by $33.2M Y/Y and $34.8M Q/Q
• Gross impaired loans of $235.2M, increased by $48.5M Q/Q and $48.3M Y/Y mainly due to an
increase in the commercial loan portfolio
• Allowances for loan losses against impaired
loans increased due to collective allowance which are impacted by the adverse shift in
forward-looking economic scenarios related to
COVID-19 and respective probability weights as well as by individual allowances
(1) Net impaired loans are calculated as gross impaired loans less allowances against impaired loans.
Impaired Loans
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Income stability outperformed peers- underlines solid
risk management and the robust risk appetite framework
(1) Before Q1/19, PCL ratio sourced from Bloomberg, since Q1/19, PCL ratio sourced from individual bank disclosure (as an average of net loans and acceptances).
(2) Reported Net Income, sourced from Bloomberg.
(3) Volatility = Standard Deviation of quarterly reported Net Income / Mean
Consistency and Stability
Credit outperformed the Big 6 - Driven by in-house
expertise in chosen niche markets, reinforced by secured lending,
disciplined underwriting and management strategies to mitigate risk
…
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18
67
31
96
38
144
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Apr-20
Quarterly PCL ratios (in bps)
LB Weighted Avg. Big 6
0.7
0.6
0.5 0.5 0.5
0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.30.3
A B C D E F LB G H I J K
Quarterly Earnings Volatility Since 2008LBC vs TSX listed peers
(1)
(2)
(3)(2)
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Liquidity and
Funding
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2.00
33.5
9.9
TotalAssets
LiquidAssets
Loans
OtherAssets
Balance Sheet Management (as at April 30, 2020)
Loans: Net loans and acceptances. Capital: Equity and Subordinated Debt
Balance Sheet ($45.4B)
• Prudent liquidity management guided by risk appetite
• Internal liquidity metric targets a 90-day survival horizon and is more
conservative than LCR
• ~90% of the liquidity portfolio is invested in high quality, liquid assets
• Maintain a comprehensive contingency funding plan
• Regular issuances to Canadian market while ensuring diversification
• Match funding: term liabilities to fund term assets
1.31.6
2.9
33.9
7.0
Liabilities &Capital
Demand &NoticeDeposits
TermDeposits &WholesaleFunding
Capital
OtherLiabilities
655348
9551,177
400125
Q3-2020 Q4-2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Unsecured Wholesale Funding Maturities (in $ Millions)
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Well Diversified and Stable Sources of Funding
1.0 0.7
7.27.0 7.2
13.4 12.1 11.9
2.9 2.6 2.8
3.62.6 2.7
7.98.9 9.3
0.3 0.3 0.3
2.6 2.6 2.6
Q2/19 Q1/20 Q2/20
Funding($ billions)
Shareholders' equity
Subordinated debt
Debt related tosecuritization activities
Deposits - Institutional
Deposits - Business
Deposits - Personal -Advisors and Brokers
Deposits - Personal -Financial Clinics
Deposits - DigitalDirect to Customers
37.837.537.1
Total deposits decreased by 7% Y/Y, mainly as a result of lower asset levels, and remained stable Q/Q
− Demand deposits of LBC Digital stood at
$0.7B, in line with our expectations
Personal deposits represented 78% of total deposits
as at April 30, 2020 and contributed to our good liquidity position
Securitization funding up by $0.4B Q/Q and $1.4B
Y/Y:
• $1.1B of residential mortgage loans
• $0.1B of equipment finance loans
• $0.2B of investment loans
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Investor Relations ContactSusan Cohen
Director, Investor Relations
(514) 970-0564