2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import...

28
LOLEWG 9/11/2018 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline 1 Updated 10/3/2018

Transcript of 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import...

Page 1: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

LOLEWG

9/11/2018

2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values

and Study Timeline

1

Updated

10/3/2018

Page 2: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

• Purpose

• Inform stakeholders of Draft 2019-20

Capacity Import and Export Limits.

Key Takeaways (Limit changes)

• Limits have been impacted by the

FERC Locational filing changes

(MISO process change).

• Limits have been impacted by MISO

system changes including

transmission topology and generation

dispatch.

2

Purpose and Key Takeaways

Page 3: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Introduction

• Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this

presentation are calculated based on the FERC Locational

filing.

• The CIL and CEL results have been adjusted for exports to non-

MISO load.

• Coordinating Owner Resources and Border External Resources

are no longer treated as imports and instead treated as internal to

the zone which impacts base area interchange.

• CIL/ZIA for LRZs 1, 2, 3 and 4 along with CEL/ZEA for LRZs 4

and 5 have all been updated as of 10/03/18.

3

Page 4: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

2019-2020 Capacity Import Limits

4

Zone

19-20

ZIA1

(MW)

19-20

CIL1

(MW)

18-19

CIL2

(MW)

18-19

Import in

Auction

1 3,747 4,078 4,546 Export

2 1,713 1,713 2,317 121

3 2,813 3,037 2,812 Export

43 5,210 6,845 6,278 1,133

5 5,013 5,013 3,580 606

6 6,924 7,066 7,375 Export

73 3,211 3,211 3,785 320

8 4,185 4,424 4,778 Export

9 3,631 3,950 3,679 1,513

10 3,792 3,906 2,618 120

1 Limits based on revisions made to the new Locational Tariff filing

2 Limits after applying changes due to December 31, 2015 FERC Order on exports 3 Denotes voltage limited transfers

Page 5: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Planning Year (2019-2020) CIL Results

Page 6: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 1: MN and ND

Limit: 4,078 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Colby to North Iowa Wind 161 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Adams to Barton 161 kV Line

Re-dispatch of 1,992 MW applied

10/3 update: Added two expedited

ComEd projects that we not included in

the regional model

• Final Limiting Element:

Sherman Street to Sunnyvale 115 kV

• Final Contingency:

Arpin to Rocky Run 345 kV

6

Page 7: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 2: WI and MI

7

735 kV

345 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 1,713 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

University Park to East

Frankfort 345 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Dumont to Wilton 765 kV

Line

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

10/3 update: Added two expedited

ComEd projects that we not

included in the regional model

• No change in limiting

element or contingency

Page 8: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 3: IA

8

Limit: 3,037 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Sub 3458 to Sub 3456 345 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Sub 3455 to Sub 3740 345 kV Line

Mitigation of the initial limiting element as

an RCF flowgate

10/3 update: Added two expedited ComEd

projects that we not included in the

regional model

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

• No change in limiting element or

contingency

Page 9: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 4 – IL: Voltage Constraint

9

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 5,489 MW

• Limiting Voltage Element: Hallock138 kV Bus

• Limiting Contingency: Clinton unit

• Voltage constraint is more limiting than thermal constraint

• 10/3 update: A TO submitted a model correction that was applied after the 9/11/18 meeting that impacted this limit

345 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Page 10: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 5: MO

10

500 kV 345 kV 230 kV 115-161 kV

Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 5,013 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Heritage to Fredtown 161 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Lutesville to St. Francois 345 kV line

Redispatch of 1,820 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Joppa TS 345/161 kV Auto- transformer

• Final Contingency:

Shawnee 500/345 kV Auto- Transformer Line

Page 11: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 6: IN and KY

11

500 kV

345 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 7,066 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Benton 345/138 kV Auto

Transformer ckt. 1

• Initial Contingency:

Benton to Cook 345 kV Auto-

Transformer

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element: Paradise

to BRTAP 161 kV

• Final Contingency:

Volunteer to Phillips B 500 kV

Line

Page 12: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 7 – MI: Voltage Constraint

12

345 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 3,211 MW

• Limiting Voltage Element:

Pioneer 120 kV Bus

• Limiting Contingency: Wayne to

Monroe 345 kV Line

• Voltage constraint is more

limiting than thermal constraint

Page 13: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 8: AR

13

500 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 4,424 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Colonial Orange to Cow 138 kV

Line

• Initial Contingency:

Sabine to Cow 138 kV Line

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Moonlake to Ritchie 230 kV

Line

• Final Contingency:

Cordova TN to Benton MS

500 kV Line

Page 14: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 9: TX and LA

14

500 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 3,950 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Ray Braswell to Franklin 500 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Franklin to Grand Gulf 500 kV Line

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element: Sterlington to Downsville 115 kV Line

• Final Contingency:

• Mt. Olive to El Dorado 500 kV Line

Page 15: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Import Limits Zone 10: MS

15

500 kV

230 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 3,906 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Cow to Colonial Orange 138 kV

Line

• Initial Contingency:

Sabine to Cow 138 kV Line

Re-dispatch of 2,000 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Freeport to Twinkletown 230

kV Line

• Final Contingency:

Freeport to Hornlake 230 kV

Line

Page 16: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

1 Limits based on revisions made to the new Locational Tariff filing

2 Limits determined as the excess capacity in the zone. It is the difference between maximum available generation in that zones and

the total generation dispatched.

2019-2020 Capacity Export Limits

16

Zone

19-20

ZEA1

(MW)

19-20

CEL1

(MW)

18-19

CEL

(MW)

18-19

Export in

Auction

1 3,379 3,048 516 516

2 979 979 2,017 Import

3 4,664 4,440 5,430 651

4 5,332 3,693 4,280 Import

52 2,122 2,122 2,122 Import

6 1,577 1,435 3,249 346

7 1,358 1,358 2,578 Import

8 5,328 5,089 2,424 2,299

9 2,224 1,905 2,149 Import

10 1,721 1,607 1,824 Import

Page 17: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Planning Year (2019-2020) CEL Results

Page 18: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 1: MN and ND

18

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

345 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Limit: 3,048 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

New Ulm South to New Ulm 69

kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

System Intact

Re-dispatch of 400 MW

GLT applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Seneca to Gran Grae 161 kV

Line

• Final Contingency:

Arpin to Eau Claire 345 kV Line

Page 19: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 2: WI and MI

19

345 kV

230 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 979 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Wempletown 345/138 kV auto-

transformer

• Initial Contingency:

Cherry Valley 345/138 kV auto-

transformer

Cherry Valley 138/34.5 kV auto-

transformer

Cherry Valley 2M to Cherry Valley B 138

kV Line

Re-dispatch of 1,208.5 MW

GLT applied

• No change in limiting element or

contingency post re-dispatch

Page 20: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 3: IA

20

345 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 4,440 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Sub P Iowa City 161/69 kV

auto-transformer

• Final Contingency:

System Intact

GLT applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Fargo 345/138 kV Auto-

Transformer

• Final Contingency:

Mapleridge to Tazewell 345 kV

Line

Page 21: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 4: IL

21

345 kV

230 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 3,693 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Pontiac to Brokaw 345 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Pontiac to Bluemond 345 kV Line

Re-dispatch of 350 MW applied

GLT applied

Implemented two expedited ComEd

projects that we not initially submitted

• No change in limiting element or

contingency post re-dispatch

Page 22: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 5: MO

22

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 2,122 MW

• A valid constraint was not found.

• Initially, Capacity Export Limit was determined as the sum of

the Base Area Interchange and the excess capacity in LRZ 5.

• This was discussed at the 9/11/18 LOLEWG and the 9/12/18

RASC meetings and it was agreed that without any major

changes from last year within LRZ 5, the previous limits would

be utilized.

Page 23: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 6: IN and KY

23

500 kV

345 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 1,435 MW

GLT Applied

• Final Limiting Element:

University Park to East

Frankfort 345 kV Line

• Final Contingency:

Dumont to Wilton 765 kV

Line

Page 24: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 7: MI

24

345 kV

230 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 1,358 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

University Park to East

Frankfort 345 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Dumont to Wilton 765 kV

Line

Re-dispatch of 1,400 MW applied

• No change in limiting

element or contingency

post re-dispatch

Page 25: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 8: AR

25

500 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element

Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 5,089 MW

• Initial Limiting Element: Catherine

U4 to Arklahoma 115 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

System Intact

GLT Applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Russelville South to Dardanelle

161 kV Line

• Final Contingency:

Arkansas Nuclear to Fort Smith

500 kV Line

Page 26: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 9: TX and LA

26

500 kV

230 kV

115-161 kV

Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 1,905 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Addis to Tiger 230 kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Formosa to Enco kV Line

Re-dispatch of 800 MW applied

• Final Limiting Element:

Addis to Tiger 230 kV

• Final Contingency:

Dowmeter to Chenango 230

kV

Page 27: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Capacity Export Limits Zone 10: MS

27

230 kV 115-161 kV Limiting Element Map data ©2017 Google, INEGI

Limit: 1,607 MW

• Initial Limiting Element:

Batesville to Tallahachie 161

kV Line

• Initial Contingency:

Choctaw to Clay 500 kV

Line

Re-dispatch of 100 MW applied

GLT Applied

• No change in limiting element

or contingency post re-dispatch

Page 28: 2019-2020 CIL/CEL Values and Study Timeline LOLEWG Item 03... · Introduction • Capacity Import and Export Limits (CIL and CEL) in this presentation are calculated based on the

Next Steps

28

• Next steps

• These results are final. However, if any updates are deemed

necessary, a conference call will be scheduled to discuss the revision.

• Results will be incorporated into the LOLE report