2017 Annual Hurricane Preparedness FTG Hurr… · This brief is 10mb and is located on APAN in the...
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Welcome Navy Tropical Information History 2017 Forecast Evacuation Preparedness 2017 Annual Hurricane Preparedness Duncan St - Sep 2004 (looking south from front gate)
Transcript of 2017 Annual Hurricane Preparedness FTG Hurr… · This brief is 10mb and is located on APAN in the...
WelcomeNavy Tropical InformationHistory 2017 ForecastEvacuationPreparedness
2017 Annual HurricanePreparedness
Duncan St - Sep 2004(looking south from front gate)
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Presentation Notes
Today we will discuss command hurricane preparedness. This brief is 10mb and is located on APAN in the files section and is saved as a power point presentation with notes at the bottom. Your Emergency Management Coordinator has access to this website.
Conditions of Readiness (CORs)
Conditions of Readiness (CORs)
COR 5: Destructive winds of > 50 kts are possible w/in 96 hrsCOR 4: possible w/in 72 hrsCOR 3: possible w/in 48 hrsCOR 2: anticipated w/in 24 hrs COR 1: anticipated w/in 12 hrs
Hurricane Season: June 1st – November 30th
Set June 1st
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Hurricane season for the Atlantic basin begins June 1st and ends on November 30th every year. The US Navy uses “Conditions Of Readiness” or CORs to prepare for tropical events inbound. CORs are set with the timeframe in hours and expectation of 50 knots of wind occurring on an installation. On June 1st, COR 5 is set for installations in Region Southeast. This condition is set because, within the Region, especially the installations adjacent to the Gulf of Mexico, a tropical system has, in the past, can currently, and has the potential to develop and move onshore within 96 hours. Hurricane Opal in 1995 proved that theory, coming ashore in Pensacola, Fl. As a major hurricane.
NamingBegins
NumberedWrngs begin
Tropical Season FAQs
Saffir-Simpson Scale
Cat Wind (kts) Wind (MPH) Damage1 64-82 74-95 Minimal 2 83-95 96-110 Moderate3 96-112 111-129 Extensive4 113-136 130-156 Extreme5 137+ 157+ Catastrophic
2017 Tropical Cyclone Names
Tropical Disturbance
Tropical Depression
Tropical Storm
HurricaneStages of Development
> 64 kts
34-63 kts
25-33 kts
< 25 kts
(Tropical Cyclone Symbols
Cat 3/4/5 systems are “Major hurricanes”
ArleneBretCindyDonEmilyFranklinGert
OpheliaPhilippeRinaSeanTammyVinceWhitney
HarveyIrmaJoseKatiaLeeMariaNate
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The Saffir-Simpson scale is the scale that NHC uses to categorize hurricanes. The US Navy uses wind speed measure in knots which equals approximately 1.2 miles per hour. Category 3 and above storms are considered “major”. The top right box features the stages of development; tropical systems are not named until they reach tropical storm strength. Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms have been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center. They are now maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. The original name lists featured only women's names. In 1979, men's names were introduced and they alternate with the women's names. Six lists are used in rotation. Thus, the 2016 list will be used again in 2022. After each season, this same group decides if any of the names from the previous year are retired due to any unprecedented events that occurred during the season. .
Hurricanes Since 1900
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Major Hurricanes Since 1950
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Tropical Cyclone History
02468
101214161820
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
9 86 7
119
11
2
7 8
43
1
73 8
2
4
23
2 5
2
5 42
0
2
2
4
MAJOR HURRICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000)
9.6 Tropical Storms5.9 Hurricanes2.3 Major Hurricanes
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This represents a 10 year review of Atlantic tropical systems. The blue line represents the average amount of tropical storms over a 50 year period. As you can see the past few years have been relatively quiet in respect to tropical activity.
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Colorado State SummaryApril 2017
“We anticipate that the 2017 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have slightly below-average activity. ”.
“ The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past month and the far North Atlantic is relatively cold, potentially indicative of a negative phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. ”
“The current neutral ENSO is likely to transition to either weak or moderate El Niño conditions by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season ”
Radford Blvd in front of Bldg 1500Post Ivan
Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one
hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded
to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little
activity is predicted.
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Every year in April, Colorado State issues an early forecast for the upcoming hurricane season. They base their forecast on several criteria including mean temperatures in the pacific and Atlantic during winter and spring months preceding the upcoming season, along with forecast that predict the onset of El Nino, which is abnormal warming of the southern Pacific Ocean. A moderate to strong El Nino season normally indicates a suppression of tropical activity in the Atlantic basin.
April 2017 Tropical Cyclone Forecast
02468
1012141618
Average 2017 Forecast
9.6 11
5.9 4
2.3 2
MAJOR HURRICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Source: Colorado State University
National Hurricane Center releases it’s annual forecast June 1st
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This is the April 2016 April forecast from Colorado State. It shows that an average amount of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes are predicted for this season.
Secure your home
Have a family pet plan
Even Renters need insurance
Be prepared BEFORE it’s an EMERGENCY!!
Develop a Family Plan
Create a Disaster Supply Kit
Have a place to go
Don’t get caught in a “PILUP”
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The picture in the top left is called a PILUP (pronounced pile up) which is the acronym for “post incident line of unprepared people”. Emergencies are stressful. Evacuation is even more stressful, especially if you’re in a hurry. Think of how many times you’ve left something important at home because you were in a hurry to get to the ball park, soccer practice or dance class. Pre-planned checklist ensures you have your essential belongings with you. If you rent an apartment or home, the landowners insurance will not cover you unless you’ve made some sort of agreement with them specifically indicating this type of insurance. Renters insurance averages $10-$15 a month and covers a variety of things from fires to floods along with other natural or accidental disasters. Check with your local agent that provides you other insurance such as car insurance for more information.
NAS Pensacola
350 Mile radius
Safe Haven Location –Atlanta, Ga
C2 Team –NAS Meridian
Evacuation
POST STORM RETURN
* Return only when “All Clear” is issued by ICO
* Bring essentials back with you(milk, cash, eggs, etc)
* Prepare for slow inflow returning
* Fuel up over 100 miles out; stop to top off frequently
* Be prepared to live without power for periods of time
Gulf Bch Hwy @ Snug Harbor
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When returning, please keep in mind that the closer you get to your destination, the probability decreases of a rest stop having fuel or power. Plan for a long ride back. Leave early enough to allow plenty of time for daylight travel. Stop frequently the closer you get, topping off the fuel tank. Anticipate detours as some roads and bridges may still be impassible. Buy perishables just as you are returning to ensure maximum freshness.
www.bereadyescambia.com
What Evacuation Zone do you live in?
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Be Ready Escambia is a top notch website for hurricane preparedness. As you can see there are multiple forms of information just a click away. You can visit this site to determine if your residence is in a potential evacuation zone. You can even sign up for news updates (which is a good idea if you are out of the area during an evacuation).
The county and the ARC will NOT be opening all of the shelters at one time like in previous years. What this means for you:
Shelter openings may vary with each emergency situation. Do not go to a shelter until local officials announce through the media that a shelter is open.
The phasing of shelter openings will differ by size and intensity of an emergency situation.
Do not wait to evacuate in hopes that a specific shelter location might open in any given emergency situation.
Disaster Supply Kit/Supplies
– Heavy duty trash bags– Bleach– Water purification tablets– Non-perishable food (pre-packaged or canned)– Manual can opener– Emergency / Camping equipment and fuel– Matches / Lighters– Portable Cooler– Rope / Duct tape– Tarp– Portable fire extinguisher– Pet carrier and supplies
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There are hundreds of websites that produce list of supplies that you may need. Tailor any list to fit your individual needs. Examples include Ready Navy, Ready.gov and American Red Cross.
Communication
• AtHoc (power and NMCI permitting)• Email• Press Release through Escambia Co PIO• Information Line• Social Media (facebook, twitter)
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There are different ways NASP uses to communicate information. Hurricane information normally begins with email, and progresses to AtHoc notifications as COR conditions change and personnel depart the base. Public Affairs Office issues statements released through Escambia County Public Information Officer. The NASP information line is updated daily or as required as events unfold. Social Media is rapidly becoming one of the fastest ways to receive information.
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This is the offcial NAS Pensacola Public Affairs facebook page. A good source of information to follow.
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Public Affairs Information is also available on Twitter. Search for @NASP_PAO. Please be advised that both facebook and twitter are information only sites. These sites are not manned for questions concerning the installation.
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2016 RecapHurricane Matthew
Total Direct Fatalities – 585
546 4
34
1
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Didn’t hear much about Matthew from a casualty standpoint. Were there any casualties? Actually yes…
Storm Surge
US Fatalities –* 34 Direct* 18 Indirect
2
2
4
25
1
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Storm surge was minimal; see recorded totals…
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Rainfall totals were high; max was 18.95 in North Carolina…
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Fatalities are listed; note storm surge or wind is NOT the major factor…
