2016 Review Prepared for the Chronos Board of Directors April 23, 2014.

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2016 Review Prepared for the Chronos Board of Directors April 23, 2014

Transcript of 2016 Review Prepared for the Chronos Board of Directors April 23, 2014.

Page 1: 2016 Review Prepared for the Chronos Board of Directors April 23, 2014.

2016 ReviewPrepared for the Chronos Board of Directors

April 23, 2014

Page 2: 2016 Review Prepared for the Chronos Board of Directors April 23, 2014.

Agenda

• 2016 Summary

• Finance

• Marketing

• Operations

• 2017 Overview and Future Outlook

• Compensation Plan

• Game Wrap-Up

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2016 Summary

Products

• Sprout: High End

• Evergreen: Low End

Business

• Sales: 1st in world 4, 2nd in all worlds

• Profits: 3rd in world 4, 4th in all worlds

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Competition Landscape

• C3 & C5 specializing in P2

• C1 in the middle ground for P1 & P2

• C4 is closely positioned but inferior to Chronos

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Items that require Board Approval

• Dividend policy: $3MM/quarter

• Debt policy: $1MM/quarter

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Jason Chen

Finance

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2016 Financial Performance2014 2015 2016

Annual Sales $161MM $178MM $200MM

Economic Profit $10MM $12.7MM $15.9MM

Ann. Net Income $9.8MM $15MM $17.7MM

Ann. Net Income % of Total Rev

6.1% 8.4% 8.9%

Ann. ROIC 30% 36% 44%

Avg Contr. Margin 29.87% 38% 42%

Annualized ROE 38% 60% 55%

Avg Market Share 20% 20% 21%

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Balance Sheet

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Income Statement

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Cash Flow Statement

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Value created

• 3 yr annuity of NI: $35.5MM

• 3 yr annuity of Econ Profit: $32.5MM

• 3 year annuity of NOPAT: $44MM

• Perpetuity of business: $147.5MM

• Perpetuity of net income: $4.3B

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2017 Financial Goals

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annual Sales $161MM $178MM $200MM $236MM $244MM $253MM

Economic Profit $10MM $12.7MM $15.9MM $20MM $20.6MM $21.5MM

Ann. Net Income $9.8MM $15MM $17.7MM $20.5MM $21.5MM $22.5MM

Ann. Net Income % of Total Rev

6.1% 8.4% 8.9% 9% 9% 9%

Ann. ROIC 30% 36% 44% 51% 56% 62%

Annualized ROE 38% 60% 55% 62% 62% 63%

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Madison Rabson & Eric Bae

Marketing

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Goals for 2016

• Push Sprout as a winning product

• Increase marketing consulting by 15% by Q4

• Continue to occupy the lower quality market for product 2 with Evergreen

• Increase marketing expenses in Europe and the U.S. in order to increase market share

• Adjust marketing expenses every quarter so as to stay above 20% in Japan

• Focus on winning government contracts

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Notable Achievements of 2016

• Won ¾ Government contracts for Sprout

• Evergreen green value 98.73%

• Highest quality for P1 across all companies

• Gained 26% of P1 market share in Japan

• 2nd highest overall total sales across all companies

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Sprout Sales and Marketing

Japan Mexico China U.K. Germany U.S.

Sprout Sales

26% 14% 21% 18% 21% 19%

Contribution Margin

46% 29% 41% 35% 43% 27%

Marketing 22% 19% 20% 19% 19% 18%

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Evergreen Sales and Marketing

Japan Mexico China U.K. Germany U.S.

Evergreen Sales

18% 14% 21% 17% 20% 19%

Contribution Margin

54% 44% 50% 43% 49% 49%

Marketing 16% 16% 22% 15% 16% 19%

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Sprout Quality and Green v World Averages

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Product Positioning for SproutHigh Quality

Low Quality

Least Green Most Green

S

S

S

S

2013201420152016

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2016 Sprout is High-End Product

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Evergreen Quality and Green v World Averages

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Product Positioning for EvergreenHigh Quality

Low Quality

Most GreenLeast Green E

E

2013201420152016

E

E

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2016 Evergreen is Low-End Product

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Characteristics of Competition

• Company 3o Highest overall sales (Chronos #2)o Lowest prices in most countries for product 1 (C5)o Lowest quality in product 1 (76.7% below Chronos)o Highest prices in every country for product 2o Highest quality in product 2 (21.4% above Chronos)o Spending well over $6 million for quality of product 2o Have essentially abandoned quality of product 1o Green values are unknown

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Characteristics of Competition

• Company 4o Unstable sales record, although currently in 3rd

placeo Highest quality of product 1 (0.4% above Chronos)o Prices very competitive with Chronos in P1o Low quality of product 1 (7.8% above Chronos)o Prices competitive with Chronos in P2o Never wins government contractso Green values are unknown

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Chronos v. Competition

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Long Term Plans for Future Management

• Build up Evergreen and develop the product through more R&D

• Maintain competitive advantage of Sprout through marketing and green

• Continue to invest in marketing consultants

• Promote Chronos as an environmentally friendly and green brand

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Lisa Cherkassky & Sophy Chu

Operations

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Goals for 2016

• Inventory control: 15% goal

• Production consulting: gradual increaseSprout: 80%

Evergreen: 20%

• Purchase more shipping containers to stay at 110% of sales

• Capacity utilization: 100% capacity goal

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2016 Strategy Results

• Inventory control:o No stockouts o Sprout jumps at Q4

• Production consulting increased to 600,000:o Variable costs minimally affectedo For Sprout: variable cost correlated with Quality

• Shipping capacity with respect to demand:o No emergency purchases

• Capacity utilization: Closer to 100% utilization

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2016 Inventory

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Higher Quality Higher Variable Costs⇒

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Higher Quality for Evergreen

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Shipping Containers

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Capacity Utilization Recap (2014-2016)

Sprout Evergreen

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Production Budget Projections

Year Sprout Evergreen

2017 $18 $20.9

2018 $17 $20.5

2019 $16 $20.0

Variable Cost Assumptions:

(Holding fixed costs constant)

Total Production Costs: $266,523,000

Total Construction Costs: $2,812,385

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Operations Recommendations

• Prevent Stockouts: Spend on production and construction costs to prevent stockouts

• Capacity Control: Do not decrease units of capacity unless capacity utilization is significantly low

• Shipping Containers: 110% of demand; prioritize shipping destinations based on higher opportunity

• Consultants: Countries with variable costs that depend on the quality have variable costs correlated positively with quality

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Germany for Thought

Consider expanding Evergreen to Germany:

• R&D efficiency

• High quality

• Advantage in German and UK markets (no tariffs)

• Great profit margin

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Jason Chen

Future Outlook

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Defendable Position?

• Sprout has no competitors with a similar position

• Evergreen occupies a profitable market segment

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Possible Merger

• Merge with Company 3o Company 3

Premium P2 product Possibly consider dropping economy P1 product

o Chronos: Premium P1 product

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Items that require Board Approval

• Dividend policy: $3MM/quarter

• Debt policy: $1MM/quarter

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Jason Chen

2016 Compensation

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Salary Increase

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Bonus

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Modifications and Improvements

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• Financial measures: LT vs. STo Fwd looking/predictive vs. backward looking

• Alternative strategyo Golden strategy: High quality/price/profit margin

premium product strategyo Strategically wage price war in economy market

• Trade payables: Operating Costs

• Super cheap P1: max profit in contracts

Modifications and Improvements

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Appendices

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3 year forward income statement

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3 year forward balance sheet

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3 year forward cash flow statement

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Stock Price