2016 evolution of carriers offerings

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Findings across 50 states and DC 2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings CARRIER PARTICIPATION 1 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform MARKET VIEW Counting carriers unique at state level CONSUMER VIEW 4 Counting carriers at a county level WITHDRAWALS IN 2016 FROM STATES 50 NEW 2016 ENTRANTS TO STATES 31 TOTAL 2016 EXCHANGE CARRIERS 314 ARE SEEING AN EXIT BY A CARRIER IN THEIR COUNTY ARE SEEING A NEW ENTRANT IN THEIR COUNTY ARE SEEING A NET DECREASE IN CARRIERS IN THEIR COUNTY 3 ARE SEEING A NET INCREASE IN CARRIERS IN THEIR COUNTY 3 63% 47% 41% 16% WITHDRAWALS IN 2016 FROM COUNTIES BY STILL PRESENT ELSEWHERE IN STATE 2 275 NEW 2106 ENTRANTS TO COUNTIES WITH EXISTING PRESENCE ELSEWHERE IN STATE 2 631 = 10 CARRIERS As of 11.04.2015 Mix of carriers is continuing to change. 16% of consumers are seeing an increase in carriers, and nearly half of consumers are seeing a new entrant. 2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings I Page 1 of 4

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Transcript of 2016 evolution of carriers offerings

Findings across 50 states and DC

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings

CARRIER PARTICIPATION1

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform

MARKET VIEWCounting carriers unique at state level

CONSUMER VIEW4

Counting carriers at a county level

WITHDRAWALS IN 2016 FROM STATES

50NEW 2016 ENTRANTS TO STATES

31

TOTAL 2016 EXCHANGE CARRIERS 314

ARE SEEING AN EXIT BY A CARRIER IN THEIR COUNTY ARE SEEING A NEW ENTRANT IN THEIR COUNTY

ARE SEEING A NET DECREASE IN CARRIERS IN THEIR COUNTY3

ARE SEEING A NET INCREASE IN CARRIERS IN THEIR COUNTY3

63% 47%

41% 16%

WITHDRAWALS IN 2016 FROM COUNTIES BY STILL PRESENT ELSEWHERE IN STATE2

275 NEW 2106 ENTRANTS TO COUNTIES WITH EXISTING PRESENCE ELSEWHERE IN STATE2

631= 10 CARRIERS

As of 11.04.2015

Mix of carriers is continuing to change.

16% of consumers are seeing an increase in carriers, and nearly half of consumers are seeing a new entrant.

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings I Page 1 of 4

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings continued

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform

PLAN OFFERINGS5

MARKET VIEWCounting plans at a county level

BY PLAN TYPE

BY PLAN NUMBERThousands (000s)

126plans in

2015

59plans

terminated46

plans added

113plans in 2016

38of which

are bronzeand silver

33of which

are bronzeand silver

20152016

2015 2016

56% UNMANAGED 44%

MANAGED

46% UNMANAGED

54%MANAGED

The plan type mix is becoming more managed.

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings I Page 2 of 4

TOTAL 2016 EXCHANGE CARRIERS 314

Mix of carriers is continuing to change.

% SEEING INCREASE IN PLANS BY METAL TIER

The lowest-income consumers are seeing the fewest competitively priced plans.7

The plan type mix is becoming more managed.

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings continued

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform

BY PLAN NUMBER6

BY PLAN TYPE

31%of consumers are seeing

more plans in 2016

59%of consumers are seeing

fewer plans in 2016

Consumers <200% FPLhave, on average, 1.7competitively priced silveroptions available to them

% SEEING INCREASE IN PLANS BY METAL TIER

36% silver

13% platinum

33% bronze

29% gold

27% catastrophic

Consumers 200-400% FPL have, on average, 3.8competitively priced silveroptions available to them

Consumers >400% FPL have, on average, 5.2competitively priced silveroptions available to them

% SEEING DECREASE IN PLANS BY METAL TIER

49% silver

64% platinum

53% bronze

55% gold

29% catastrophic

BY SILVER PLAN VALUE7

36% are seeing morecompetitively pricedplan options7

36%are seeing fewer competitivelypriced options7

28% see no change

% of consumers

45%consumerssee more managed options in 2016

44%consumerssee fewermanagedoptions

21%consumerssee moreunmanaged options

64%consumerssee fewer unmanaged option

+ +

--

2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings I Page 3 of 4

CONSUMER VIEW4

Counting plans at a county level

Most consumers are seeing less plan choice, although some are seeing more competitively priced options.

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform

BY INCOME LEVEL

The lowest-income consumers are seeing the fewest competitively priced plans.7

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform

METHODOLOGYThe above findings are based on publicly available, approved 2016 individual market exchange rates as displayed on exchanges for all states and DC, compiled within the McKinsey Exchange Offering Database.

1 Carrier is defined as an insurance company2. Counting carriers unique at county level3. 43% of QHP eligible are seeing no net change in carriers in their county4. Consumer defined as all individuals eligible to purchase qualified health plans in the states analyzed5 Plan is defined as a health insurance offering in which an individual can enroll, offered by a carrier6. Percentages do not equal 100% as some consumers will see no change in number of plans7. Competitively priced defined as net premium within 10% of the lowest-price silver plan

healthcare.mkinsey.com/reform

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform2016 exchange market remains in flux: Evolution of carriers and offerings I Page 4 of 4

McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform