2014 11 Milltrust Emerging Markets Model Portfolios
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Transcript of 2014 11 Milltrust Emerging Markets Model Portfolios
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GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITIES
MODEL PORTFOLIOS NOVEMBER 2014
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
INVESTING WITH CONFIDENCE
INTO EMERGING MARKETS
Milltrust International is an award winning asset manager
regulated in the United Kingdom which focuses on investment
management expertise in Frontier and Emerging Markets, as
well as specialist real asset solutions driven by the changing
demographics of the developing world.
Milltrust delivers the industry’s first dedicated Emerging
Markets Managed Accounts (EMMA) platform, in conjunction
with State Street, offering investors access to the local equity
markets through a selection of some of the world's largest
regional asset managers, including BTG Pactual (Brazil), Itaú
Unibanco (Latin America), Value Partners (Greater China), UTI
International (India) and Lion Global Investors (ASEAN). The
funds take the form of regulated Irish UCITS funds. Milltrust
also advises the Emerging Markets Land Opportunities (EMLO)
SPC, with a specific focus on developing agricultural farmland
projects in Latin America and Australasia.
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
PROFILE FUND ALLOCATIONS
Model Portfolio: Milltrust GEMMA UCITS
Fund Holdings: Milltrust EMMA UCITS Funds
Approach: Long-biased, actively managed, unconstrained
Exposure: Latin America, China, India, ASEAN
Liquidity: Weekly
Asset Class: Listed Equities
Regulation: UCITS
Infrastructure: Commingled Managed Accounts
Brazil Fund
Latin American
Fund
ASEAN Fund
India Fund
21.42%
PERFORMANCE TABLES – NET RETURNS
USD Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
2014 Fund -5.77% 1.81% 5.00% 1.33% 3.44% 3.44% 1.53% 3.09% -5.66% 1.49% -0.47% 8.96%
Index -6.60% 3.19% 2.92% 0.06% 3.26% 2.25% 1.93% 2.07% -7.59% 1.07% -1.12% 0.20%
2013 Fund 3.72% -0.59% -1.19% 1.31% -3.25% -7.33% -0.83% -4.05% 7.16% 5.67% -1.36% -0.33% -1.97%
Index 1.31% -1.35% -1.87% 0.44% -2.94% -6.79% 0.77% -1.90% 6.23% 4.76% -1.56% -1.53% -4.98%
2012 Fund 1.21% 0.73% 1.55% 4.08% 1.47% 0.80% 4.93% 15.65%
Index 2.20% 1.61% -0.54% 5.84% -0.73% 1.18% 4.78% 15.05%
Notes: Index = MSCI EM (USD). Performance shown above should be used as a guide only and is not an indication of the future performance of Milltrust GEMMA UCITS Model Portfolio.
PERFORMANCE ANALYTICS
SUMMARY FUND INDEX*
Latest Month: -0.47% -1.12%
Last 3 Months: -4.70% -7.65%
Year to Date: 8.96% 0.20%
Since Fund Inception: 23.53% 9.54%
Annualised Return: 8.82% 3.71%
Positive Months: 63.33% 60.00%
Largest Monthly Return: 7.16% 6.23%
Largest Monthly Loss: -7.33% -7.59%
Ann. Standard Deviation: 12.00% 11.85%
Ann. Sharpe Ratio (RFR=4%): 0.40 -0.02
* INDEX: MSCI EMERGING MARKETS in USD
24.72%
9.10%
18.72%
26.04%
Greater China Fund
SECTOR ALLOCATION MARKET CAP
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
100M
-500M
500M
-1B 1B -
5B
5B -
10B
10B -
50B
50B+
Cash
MODEL PORTFOLIOS
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
140.00
-10.00%
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
Jun-1
2
Jul-
12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-
12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Jul-
13
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar-
14
Apr-
14
May-1
4
Jun-1
4
Jul-
14
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Cum
ula
tive N
AV
Month
ly R
etu
rn
Milltrust GEMS Milltrust GEMS
Comm., 6.23%
Cons. Cycl., 13.29%
Cons. Non-Cycl., 14.13%
Diversified, 1.64%
Energy, 5.34%
Financial, 34.33%
Industrial, 7.36%
Materials, 1.97%
Technology, 3.70%
Utilities, 3.24%
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
STRATEGY: The Fund aims to achieve strong long-term, risk-adjusted returns by actively investing in companies in Latin America with both high-quality fundamentals and those that will benefit the most from the region’s structural growth story. TEAM: The Milltrust Latin America Fund is managed by Scott Piper, one of the most knowledgeable managers in the region with nearly two decades experience investing in Latin American markets. Scott Piper is supported by one of the largest dedicated investment teams locally based in Brazil, Peru, Chile and Mexico.
STRATEGY: The Fund follows a concentrated and actively managed long-biased Brazil equity strategy designed to capture capital gains from the growing domestic sectors that will benefit from the favourable investment climate and the more stable political environment in Brazil. TEAM: The Fund is managed by one of the most experienced, award-winning equity teams in Brazil led by Jose Zitelmann and Gustavo Hungria. The core team has worked together since 1998 and has won the S&P/ Valor Economico award for 3 years in a row.
STRATEGY: The Fund employs a long biased equity strategy with a focus on value across the Greater China markets from which it aims to capture capital gains from undervalued and exceptional businesses in the region. TEAM: The Fund is managed by a highly reputable and award-winning team led by Cheah Cheng Hye and Louis So and supported by a team of 38 investment professionals leveraging off the firm’s 20 year history of network connections, stock analysis, and company research in the Asia- Pacific region.
STRATEGY: The Fund follows an actively managed long-biased multi-cap strategy with a value approach in India, incorporating fundamental research and quantitative multi-factor models to construct a portfolio of high-conviction stocks that will benefit from the India story. TEAM: The Fund is managed by an experienced team of India specialists led by N. Murali and V. Srivatsa who have been running the highly-rated strategy for over 5 years. The managers are supported by a dedicated team of 23 investment professionals, one of the largest India dedicated teams amongst its peers.
STRATEGY: The Fund aims to provide long-term capital growth by investing in listed securities in South East Asia. The team employs an actively managed, high conviction value approach combined with a top-down thematic focus on sectors and stocks that will benefit from the long-term secular economic growth of the region.
TEAM: Led by Gerard Lee and Alan Tan, and supported by over 50 professionals, Lion Global Investors has one of the largest and most experienced investment teams in Asia. A true Asian specialist, the team manages one of the few dedicated South East Asia funds and has won numerous performance awards over the years.
MILLTRUST LATIN
AMERICA FUND
MILLTRUST
BRAZIL FUND
MILLTRUST GREATER
CHINA FUND
MILLTRUST INDIA FUND
MILLTRUST
ASEAN FUND
Itaú Asset Management
BTG Pactual
Value Partners
Group Limited
UTI
International
Lion Global
Investors
FUND HOLDINGS
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
Milltrust Global Emerging Markets Managed
Accounts (“GEMMA”) UCITS Milltrust Global Emerging Markets
Approach: Long-biased, actively managed, unconstrained Long-biased, actively managed, unconstrained
Fund Holdings: Invests only in the Milltrust Emerging Markets Managed Accounts (“EMMA”) UCITS Funds
May invest in offshore, onshore, open-ended, closed-ended and passive (ETFs) investments
Current Geographical
Exposure: Latin America, China, India, ASEAN
Latin America, China, India, ASEAN, Korea, MENA, South Africa, Russia, Eastern Europe
Liquidity: Weekly Weekly
Asset Class: Listed equities Listed Equities
Regulatory Structure:
UCITS Regulated and offshore funds allowed
Infrastructure: Commingled managed accounts All structures considered
20.95%
Follow a multi manager approach by selecting locally-based
leading investment teams who have both the local
penetration and informational edge in their respective
markets to run country or regional unconstrained, alpha-
seeking strategies.
Allocate between the different regional investments teams to
the regions in the developing world that provide the most
favourable environment.
Emphasis on fundamental and on-the-ground company
research where the teams seek out strong growing companies
that are well-run and levered to the dominant domestic
themes in each region.
STOCK PICKING HAS BECOME THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF
ALPHA. Drilling down and distinguishing between different
sectors and companies within an EM allocation is of greater
importance now.
LOCAL PRESENCE WITH DEEP REGIONAL PENETRATION IS
A MUST. Deeply entrenched local investment teams have an
important informational edge which enables them to take
high conviction positions in exceptional companies. They
are in a better position to uncover growing companies that
are not in the index; the companies that are currently US$2
to 3bn today and US$7 to 8bn tomorrow.
9.12%
19.55%
27.54%
RATIONALE
REGIONAL ALLOCATION PROCESS
Use quantitative models to create a
disciplined and transparent framework for
comparisons between the countries.
Rely on our team of experienced
professionals to bring in the necessary
qualitative analysis to interpret the model
outputs and identify other levels of risk and
opportunities.
Overweight the regions and countries that
provide the most favourable environment for
growing economic activity, rising income
levels and expanding investment
opportunities.
FUND SELECTION PROCESS
• Select underlying regional or country Funds
from our pre-approved elite Fund list of
locally-based investment teams from across
the developing world.
Ongoing monitoring and due diligence of the
underlying Funds.
OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Update and review allocation models on a
monthly basis which then recalibrates the
optimal portfolio.
Rebalance the portfolio on a quarterly basis.
Release allocation report on a quarterly
basis.
PROCESS
Build a portfolio of best ideas stocks from across the
developing world and deliver strong risk adjusted returns
across the market cycle irrespective of overall market
performance.
OBJECTIVE
Milltrust International produces a selection of Model Portfolios for investments in Emerging Markets equities. Our focus is on
building liquid, transparent and alpha-seeking portfolios.
STRATEGY
MODEL PORTFOLIOS
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
Category Description Factors – what we look for
GROWTH
Factors that forecast the size and growth of the
economy and investment universe.
• Growing economies with increasing
productivity
• Deepening and broadening capital markets
SECULAR
TRENDS
Factors that drive medium to long-term economic
activity
• Strong demographics
• Improving information and communication
technologies
• Increasing urbanization and growing labour
markets
• Rising levels of income and savings rate
Factors that evaluate sovereign and fiscal risk as
well as a country’s external balance and foreign
exposure.
• Sustainability of the debt service obligations
• Low risk of default
• Healthy current account balance
Factors that look at the robustness and strength of
financial systems.
• Bank solvency and resiliency
• Asset quality in loan portfolio and bank
efficiency
Factors that measure the effectiveness of the
government, regulatory environment and legal
framework in a country.
• Government effectiveness
• Regulatory quality and environment
• Rule of law
• Control of corruption
Strategic Regional Allocation Model (SRAM) Tactical Regional Allocation Model (TRAM)
Approach: Multi-factor quantitative model Multi-factor quantitative model and qualitative
analysis
Time Horizon: Medium to long-term Short to medium-term
Frequency: Quarterly updates. Annual data and YOY% Monthly updates
Factors:
Thirty-six factors grouped into five different
categories. The focus is on identifying the key
drivers of medium to long term economic activity
and the important economic, financial and
political risks.
Twelve factors including: Valuation, Momentum,
Sentiment, Growth, Demand, Consumer
Confidence, External Balance, Foreign Exposure,
FX, Monetary Policy, Political Review and
Structural Reform.
Methodology:
Each country gets a score for each factor which then receives a weighting according to relevance. The
weighted scores are then summed up to provide an overall relative weighting percentage within each
model which are then combined to form the optimal portfolio and recommended allocation range (which
is +/- 5% of final weighting).
REGIONAL ALLOCATION
Our proprietary models include the medium to long term Strategic Regional Allocation Model (SRAM) and the shorter term
Tactical Regional Allocation Model (TRAM).
Components of the Strategic Regional Allocation Model (SRAM):
ECONOMIC
RISKS
MODEL PORTFOLIO
PROCESS
FINANCIAL
RISKS
POLITICAL
RISKS
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
PEDIGREE AND REPUTATION
EDGE
INVESTMENT EXPERIENCE
ETHICAL PRINCIPLES
INVESTMENT PROCESS
RISK MANAGEMENT DISCIPLINE
TRACK RECORD
ABILITY TO MANAGE A BUSINESS OR TEAM
KOREA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Korea Fund
FUND SELECTION
The Milltrust team has a long track record in identifying and selecting third party managers in the developing world for
investment. We seek to identify managers that have an excellent:
The portfolio construction process combines the results of our regional allocation and fund selection processes. We typically
assign one investment team/fund per country/region which is subject to our ongoing monitoring and due diligence. The
portfolio is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
RISK
OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
INCLUDED IN MODEL PORTFOLIO 1: Milltrust Global Emerging Markets Managed Accounts (“GEMMA”) UCITS
INCLUDED IN MODEL PORTFOLIO 2: Milltrust Global Emerging Markets
CHINA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Milltrust Greater
China Fund
ASEAN
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Milltrust ASEAN Fund
INDIA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: India Fund
SOUTH AFRICA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: South Africa Fund
EMERGING EUROPE
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Emerging Europe Fund
MENA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: MENA Fund
BRAZIL
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Milltrust Brazil Fund
LATIN AMERICA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Milltrust LatAm Fund
RUSSIA
Optimal Weight: xx%
Fund: Russia Fund
MILLTRUST MODEL PORTFOLIOS
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
Vishaal Shah was, until recently a co-portfolio manager within the hedge fund
team at a UK listed financial services group, where he co-managed $300m in
client assets. Mr. Shah brings over 5 years of expertise in investing in emerging
and frontier markets. Mr Shah was the lead analyst for a fund of hedge fund
segregated mandate, managing an uncorrelated, concentrated and highly liquid
managed account. The portfolio had annualized returns of in excess of 9%
between Jan 2008 and April 2011 with no negative years.
Alexander Kalis is responsible for Milltrust’s manager selection, due diligence
and discretionary client advisory practice. He has over 13 years’ experience
working at top-tier asset management firms managing some of the largest pools
of capital dedicated to Emerging Markets funds in the industry. He has an
award-winning portfolio management track record and extensive experience
carrying out investment research, due diligence and client advisory on
traditional and alternative investment managers across all asset classes.
Eric Anderson, an economics major from the University of California,
Berkeley, brings nearly fifteen years of international investment industry
experience in the United States, Europe, and Asia. Mr. Anderson has a
successful track record in building and developing a multi-manager investment
platform and setting strategic fund allocations for institutional investors. He
has spent nearly a decade focused exclusively on the Emerging Markets, where
he has extensive experience on the ground researching local investment
managers, providing full due diligence capabilities and structuring and seeding
a number of fund strategies in these regions.
MILLTRUST CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Simon Hopkins, Chief Executive Officer, has been a senior figure in the
international investment management industry for more than two decades.
After pursuing a successful investment banking career spanning more than a
decade at S.G. Warburg, UBS, HSBC James Capel and Nomura where he
participated in numerous Emerging Markets transactions, in 1996 Mr. Hopkins
created one of the industry’s first dedicated research and investment consulting
businesses, Global Fund Analysis, to provide truly objective analysis for
investors. At its peak GFA had over 27,000 registered users around the globe.
Concurrently, Mr. Hopkins played a pioneering role in seeding many of the
incipient European hedge funds through the Fortune Group, an award-winning
alternatives investment banking and advisory business, which he also created in
1996, and which merged with Global Fund Analysis in 2000. Fortune Group went
on to become one of the UK’s pre-eminent hedge fund advisory firms with
clients in 24 countries and a focus on pension funds, charities and endowments,
as well as a number of the world’s leading families. The firm was successfully
sold to UK-listed, financial services group, Close Brothers Group PLC, in 2006,
culminating in its full integration in January 2010.
Mr. Hopkins is a regular commentator on fund industry topics in the financial
media and has addressed numerous conferences, the OECD and the London
School of Economics on fund investing. He graduated with honours from the
University of Bristol's Faculty of Law in 1986 and speaks fluent French. He now
resides with his family in Singapore.
MODEL PORTFOLIO
EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY TEAM
FACT SHEET: MILLTRUST GEMMA UCITS
DISCLAIMER: Milltrust International LLP is a subsidiary of Milltrust International Group (Singapore) Pte Ltd. and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom. Milltrust International (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Milltrust International LLP. Milltrust International (Singapore) Pte Ltd has submitted a notification for Exempt Fund Manager status to the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and in accordance with the changes to the regulatory regime for fund management companies in force from August 2012 will supplement this notification during the prescribed transition period to comply with the new rules. This document does not constitute any offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any shares or other securities. This document is confidential. It is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, forwarded to any other person or published in whole or in part for any purpose without the prior written consent of Milltrust International LLP. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by Milltrust International LLP as to the accuracy, fairness, sufficiency or completeness of the information, opinions or beliefs contained in this document. Save in the case of fraud, no liability is accepted for any loss, cost or damage suffered or incurred as a result of the reliance on such information, opinions or beliefs. Any financial projections given are illustrative only and none of the projections or assumptions should be taken as forecasts or promises on the part of Milltrust International LLP. Accessing this document or using its information is not intended for persons who are restricted or prohibited from accessing or using this document or its information by relevant laws in any jurisdiction, and it is the responsibility of any person accessing the information contained in this document to observe all applicable laws and regulations of such jurisdiction. Any investment in the fund should be based on the full details contained in the relevant prospectus which is available
from the Milltrust International LLP website ( www.milltrust.com ).
HOW TO INVEST:
Direct Investments. Investors invest directly into
each Fund as per the desired weighting which
removes the necessity for an over-arching fund of
funds structure or any additional fees.
Single Structure. If required by the investor,
Milltrust can also structure a single vehicle on the
Platform that invests across the Milltrust Funds.
ALLOCATION DECISIONS:
Investors are able to outsource their allocation
decisions to the regulated investment advisory team
at Milltrust who maintain and provide full
transparency to the Milltrust Model Portfolios
Do-it-yourself. Investors are also able to build their
own Global Emerging Markets portfolio by investing
across the Milltrust Funds and weighting the
different investments as they see fit.
CONTACT US:
LONDON: Hudson House | 8 Tavistock Street London WC2E 7PP E: [email protected] | T: +44 (0)20 3427 3440 SINGAPORE: 80 Raffles Place | #26-01 UOB Plaza 1 Singapore 048624 E: [email protected] | T: +65 6225 3052