2013 Interim Report - Labour Market Ottawa · Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013...

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Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 1 OTTAWA Integrated Local Labour Market Planning Fall 2013 Update with a Special Focus on LABOUR MARKET SUPPLY Updated October 2013 2013 Interim Report This Employment Ontario project is funded by the Ontario government. The views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect those of Employment Ontario.

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Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 1

OTTAWA Integrated Local Labour Market

Planning

Fall 2013 Update with a Special Focus on

LABOUR MARKET SUPPLY

Updated October 2013

2013 Interim Report

This Employment Ontario project is funded by the Ontario government.

The views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect those of Employment Ontario.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 1

Table of Contents

This document was prepared by the Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Planning group, in

consultation with the Ottawa Labour Market Planning Committee, the Labour Market Service Delivery

Committee, and the Ontario Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities (MTCU).

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................2

1. LABOUR MARKET INDICATORS .......................................................................................................3

Background & Context .......................................................................................................................3

Highlights from New Data ..................................................................................................................3

Labour Force/Supply ................................................................................................................................. 3

Labour Demand ........................................................................................................................................ 9

Sector and Labour Forecast, Fall 2013 ................................................................................................... 14

2. A CLOSER LOOK AT SUPPLY – Focusing on the Unemployed ........................................................... 15

Labour Market Supply ...................................................................................................................... 15

Employment Ontario Data................................................................................................................ 16

Background ............................................................................................................................................. 16

Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 16

Age Group & Gender .............................................................................................................................. 17

Educational Attainment at Intake........................................................................................................... 22

Designated Groups ................................................................................................................................. 23

Second Career Approved Programs ....................................................................................................... 24

Apprenticeship ........................................................................................................................................ 25

3. 2013-14 ACTION PLAN UPDATE .................................................................................................... 26

2013-14 Action Plan................................................................................................................................ 26

Ongoing Consultations with LMPC and LMSDC (and EOON) .................................................................. 26

#1 Local Labour Market Planning Update .............................................................................................. 27

#2 2013-14 Partnership Projects ............................................................................................................ 27

Moving Forward .............................................................................................................................. 32

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 2

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

As the Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities (MTCU) shifts the timelines for local labour market

planning, we are providing this update only six months after the 2013 Labour Market Update published

in April. This October 2013 Labour Market Update should be considered an interim report with a special

focus on labour market supply. Moving forward, the Local Labour Market Plans will be published in

October, with a comprehensive 3-year local labour market plan being prepared for October 2014.

Highlights from the Labour Market Indicators

With new data being released for the National Household Survey and updated Canadian Business

Patterns numbers, we provide an update on the local labour market indicators. Highlights include:

Ottawa's population continues to increase while labour force/employment numbers drop;

unemployment remains lower than Ontario/national average, although gap is narrowing.

Net in-migration of 47,380 migrants from 2006 to 2011, with all age groups showing a net in-

migration; 74% of net in-migration represented by those aged 15-44.

All three key populations (immigrant, aboriginal, youth) grew at a greater rate than the overall

population from 2006 to 2011; growth in the Aboriginal population was a significant 48.1%.

Educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for Ontario overall, with an

increase in those with post-secondary education both locally and provincially.

Solid increase in number of employers in first six months of 2013; continued increase in SMEs.

20% of Ottawa jobs are in Sales and service, with another 20% in Business, finance and

administration occupations; 9% of all workers identified themselves as "self-employed".

Ottawa employment forecast to show biggest decline in 19 years, with drops in public

administration, high tech manufacturing and residential construction.

Commercial construction expected to be strong for years to come.

A Closer Look at Supply - Focusing on the Unemployed

This report takes a closer look at Ottawa's unemployed population and ES Assisted Clients served at the

Employment Ontario Centres, using the Employment Ontario data provided by MTCU. While Ottawa

serves a lower percentage of the unemployed population in its EO centres than Ontario overall, when

compared to other urban centres, we are serving a greater percentage than either Hamilton or Toronto.

The 2013-14 Action Plan Update

OILLMP also provides an update on its 2013-14 action plan, highlighting progress made in terms of

consultations, partnership projects and ongoing efforts to provide user-friendly labour market

information and resources to service providers and employers to help connect job seekers to jobs.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 3

1. LABOUR MARKET INDICATORS

This section provides an update on those indicators for which we have new data (since March 2013). In

some cases, we have included highlights of the previously published data to provide a better picture in

one place. For more details, you can refer to our previous reports on our website, at www.oillmp.ca.

BACKGROUND & CONTEXT

While we include data from the National Household Survey (NHS) in this report, we should caution that

the non-response rate in Ottawa for this voluntary survey was 21.7%, according to Statistics Canada.

Because of this, there is a risk of a non-response bias in the data. Statistics Canada indicates that a

smaller GNR indicates a lower risk of inaccuracy. The threshold used for estimates' suppression is a GNR

of 50% or more1 .

In past reports, we have sometimes included both Ontario and Quebec parts of the Ottawa-Gatineau

Census Metropolitan Area in the data. Because of the focus on the Employment Ontario data, we

thought it was important to zero in on the Ontario side in this report, and will discuss what the best

approach is moving forward with our committees. Because of this, in some cases, numbers may be

different than previously reported.

HIGHLIGHTS FROM NEW DATA

Labour Force/Supply

Population continues to increase while labour force/employment numbers drop;

unemployment remains lower than Ontario/national average, although gap is narrowing.

Between September 2012 and September 2013, the working age population (aged 15 and over) of the

Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part) increased by 11,600, while the labour force decreased by 10,100 people

(Table 1). The local unemployment rate went up only 0.1% and, in September, showed its first decrease

since February 2013, coming in at 6.7%.

This remains lower than the national rate of 7.1% and the provincial rate of 7.5%, as of September 2013.

Ottawa’s employment picture also remain stronger than Toronto’s, as the latter has an unemployment

rate of 7.9%; however, the last year has seen the gap between local rates and provincial and national

rates narrow significantly as Ottawa numbers have risen to become more in line with general trends.

1 Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey User Guide, 2011

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 4

Table 1: Labour Force characteristics, by census metropolitan area (annual)

Employment (thousands) seasonally adjusted

Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part) Sep-12 Sep-13 Change % Change

Population (15 and over) 791.2 802.8 11.6 0.1

Labour force 574.3 563.8 -10.5 -0.2

Employment 536.4 526.2 -10.2 0.2

Unemployment 37.8 37.6 -0.2 -0.7

Unemployment rate (%) 6.6 6.7 0.1 …

Participation rate (%) 72.6 70.2 -2.4 …

Employment rate (%) 67.8 65.5 -2.3 …

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013.

Chart 1: Unemployment Rate, Comparative Analysis, Sep-12 to Sep-13

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013.

6.6 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.3

6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.5

6.8 7.1

6.7

5

6

7

8

9

10

Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13

Ottawa-Gatineau, Ontario part Canada Ontario Toronto

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 5

Chart 2: Labour Force, Employment, and Unemployment Rate, Spotlight on 2012

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013

IN AND OUT-MIGRATION

Net in-migration of 47,380 migrants from 2006 to 2011, with all age groups showing a net

in-migration; 74% of net in-migration represented by those aged 15-44.

New migration data became available from the 2011 National Household Survey over the summer. As

previously noted, the global non-response rate of 21.7% could indicate some inaccuracies in the data

based on non-response biases.

Referring to Chart 3 and Table 2 we see that between 2006 and 2011, Ottawa welcomed a net total of

47,380 migrants, based on the National Household Survey data. 41.7% were 25-44 year olds, 32.7%

were 15-24 year olds. For all age groups, there was a net in-migration.

6.6 6.6

6.7

6.6

6.3

6.1 6.1 6.1

6.2

6.5

6.8

7.1

6.7

6

6.2

6.4

6.6

6.8

7

7.2

490

500

510

520

530

540

550

560

570

580

590

Un

em

plo

yme

nt

Rat

e (

%)

X1

,00

0 (

seas

on

ally

ad

just

ed

)

Labour force Employment Unemployment rate

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 6

Chart 3: Migration by Age Group, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011

Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011.

Table 2: Migration by Age Group, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011

Age Group In-migrants Out-migrants Net-

migrants

% of Net-

migrants

5-14 14,690 6,880 7,810 16.5%

15-24 26,240 10,755 15,485 32.7%

25-44 55,360 35,610 19,750 41.7%

45-64 20,850 16,680 4,170 8.8%

65+ 5,125 4,950 175 0.4%

Total 122,265 74,885 47,380

Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011.

LEVERAGING KEY POPULATIONS

All three key populations grew at a greater rate than the overall population from 2006 to

2011; growth in the Aboriginal population was a significant 48.1%.

In its Guiding Principles, OILLMP identified three key populations on which to focus - immigrants,

aboriginals and youth. On the next page, we provide a comparison of the 2006 and 2011 data for each

of these three groups, using the Ottawa-Gatineau CMA (Ontario part) data where possible.

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

5 to 14 15 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65+

Nu

mb

er o

f P

eo

ple

In-migrants Out-migrants Net-migrants

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 7

All three of these key populations grew at a greater rate than the overall population from 2006 to 2011.

The growth in the Aboriginal population was most significant at 48.1%. It should be noted that the

actual Youth growth rate may be lower than shown as source data for 2006 is provided for Ottawa (City).

Table 3: Population & Growth, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011

2006 Census 2011 Census and NHS % growth

2006 to 2011 Number % of total pop. Number % of total pop.

Immigrants 171,785 20.3% 204,445 22.2% 19.0%

Aboriginals 12,970 1.5% 19,205 2.1% 48.1%

Youth (15-24) 113,085* 13.4% 129,445 14.0% 14.5%*

Total Population 846,802 921,823 8.9%

* 2006 Data for Ottawa (City) Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006, Census 2011.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for the rest of Ontario, with an

increase in those with post-secondary education.

The level of educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for Ontario. One can see that

the increase in University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above of 2.2% in Ottawa was

reflected at the provincial level (2.9%). There was also an increase in those with College, CEGEP or other

non-university certificate or diploma, both locally and provincially. In both Ottawa and Ontario, those

with No certificate, diploma or degree dropped, by 2.3% and 3.5% respectively.

Table 4: Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 and 2011, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part)

Level of educational attainment (15+) Ottawa Ontario

2006* 2011 2006 2011

University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above

32.4% 34.6% 20.5% 23.4%

University certificate or diploma below bachelor level

4.2% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1%

College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma

18.0% 19.2% 18.4% 19.8%

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 5.6% 5.4% 8.0% 7.4%

High school diploma or equivalent 24.4% 23.7% 26.8% 26.8%

No certificate, diploma or degree 15.4% 13.1% 22.2% 18.7%

* 2006 Data for Ottawa Census Division Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 8

In looking at major field of study, comparing 2006 to 2011, there were not many changes. The biggest

shifts were in numbers going down for Architecture, engineering and related technologies (by 1.4%) and

increasing for Social and behavioural sciences and law (up 0.9%).

Chart 4: Major Field of Study, 2006 and 2011, Ottawa-Gatineau CMA (Ontario part)

Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006.

In 2013, EMSI Analyst added Education data to its economic modelling tool, based on the Classification

of Instructional Programs (CIP) codes. As part of this feature, they have also mapped occupations to

each educational program to allow users to explore employment prospects. OILLMP can now pull data

on the top program completions in Ottawa for 2010-11. These are shown on the following page. Where

there are a high number of completions and declining jobs, it could point to a potential skills mismatch

between supply and demand. Similarly, we will explore this data further over 2013-14 to determine

where a low number of completions may be pointing to shortage of labour for high demand jobs.

It should be noted that the EMSI Education data is provided for public institutions only, as it draws data

from Statistics Canada's Postsecondary Student Information System (PSIS). Completions are also based

on location of institutions and students may return to or leave Ottawa to join the labour force. This new

data does, however, provide an additional lens for exploring the local labour market.

20.0%

16.6%

16.6%

11.9%

7.2%

7.0%

6.3%

5.3%

4.3%

3.4%

1.4%

20.1%

18.0%

15.7%

11.6%

7.6%

7.1%

6.4%

4.9%

4.0%

3.4%

1.4%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

Business, management and public administration

Architecture, engineering, and related technologies

Social and behavioural sciences and law

Health and related fields

Humanities

Mathematics, computer and information sciences

Education

Physical and life sciences and technologies

Personal, protective and transportation services

Visual and performing arts, and communicationstechnologies

Agriculture, natural resources and conservation

2006 2011

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 9

Table 5: Regional Completions, Post-Secondary Public Institutions, 2010-11, Ottawa

CIP Program Regional Completions (2010)

Median Hourly Earnings

Regional Jobs (2010)

Regional Jobs (2012)

Growth in Jobs (2010-12)

13.12 Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods

1,256 $29.38 36,789 35,455 -4%

51.16 Nursing 791 $28.96 14,792 15,310 4%

42.01 Psychology, General 742 $28.39 1,016 951 -6%

24.01 Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities

714 $0.00 0 0 0%

22.01 Law (LLB, JD, BCL) 511 $27.66 8,600 10,240 19%

43.01 Criminal Justice and Corrections 499 $27.28 14,339 13,785 -4%

45.04 Criminology 490 $38.96 4,473 4,436 -1%

45.10 Political Science and Government

443 $43.65 13,822 14,712 6%

52.02 Business Administration, Management and Operations

414 $25.60 145,506 142,410 -2%

09.01 Communication and Media Studies

402 $28.70 25,638 25,160 -2%

Source: EMSI Analyst, 2013.

Labour Demand

In terms of labour market demand, new numbers have come out from Canadian Business Patterns in

June. We have also pulled some recently-released occupation data from the National Household Survey,

as well as highlighting Ottawa's "top jobs" based on the numbers.

CANADIAN BUSINESS PATTERNS

A solid increase in number of employers in first six months of 2013, including a continued

increase in number of SMEs.

In addition to changes in employment, the change in the number of employers per industry over the

past year is a helpful labour market indicator. Table 6 shows expansion and contraction in the number

of businesses across different industries for the first six months of 2013. Overall, Ottawa gained 4,591

employers, an 8.1% growth. Management of companies and enterprises saw the only contraction in

both absolute and relative terms, losing 19 businesses, or 1.0% of employers in that industry.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 10

Table 6: Changes in Number of Employers per Industry, Ottawa, Dec 2012 to Jun 2013

Industry Sectors Dec

2012

Jun

2013

Absolute

Change

%

Change

Goods-producing sector

Construction 5,674 6,138 464 8.2%

Manufacturing 1,047 1,144 97 9.3%

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 687 779 92 13.4%

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 60 68 8 13.3%

Utilities 37 43 6 16.2%

Services sector

Professional, scientific and technical services 14,306 14,846 540 3.8%

Real estate and rental and leasing 6,508 6,667 159 2.4%

Retail trade 4,970 5,228 258 5.2%

Health care and social assistance 4,037 4,794 757 18.8%

Other services (except public administration) 4,499 4,732 233 5.18%

Finance and insurance 3,115 3,216 101 3.2%

Administrative and support, waste management and

remediation services 2,594 2,681 87 3.4%

Accommodation and food services 2,414 2,572 158 6.6%

Management of companies and enterprises 1,904 1,885 -19 -1.0%

Transportation and warehousing 1,675 1,754 79 4.7%

Wholesale trade 1,626 1,636 10 0.6%

Information and cultural industries 1,104 1,128 24 2.2%

Arts, entertainment and recreation 950 978 28 3.0%

Educational services 831 933 102 12.3%

Public administration 189 191 2 1.1%

Total 56,822 61,413 4,591 8.1%

Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, 2012, 2013.

Analysis of Canadian Business Patterns data also helps us understand what is happening with the largest

group of Ottawa employers – small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), those organizations with

fewer than 100 employees. SMEs continued to increase over the first six months of 2013, after growing

slightly in 2012. Table 7 shows that Owner-operators make up 54.8%, up slightly from December 2012.

In June 2013, 97.6% of Ottawa businesses would classify as small businesses, with fewer than 50

employees. This is up 0.2% from December 2012. Over the past six months, Ottawa lost seven large

employers (over 500 employees), after adding 12 employers in this category in 2012.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 11

Table 7: Distribution and Change of Employers by Employee Size, Dec 2012 to Jun 2013

Employee Size Range

Number of Employers

Distribution Number of Employers

Distribution Absolute

Change %

Change

Dec 2012 % Jun 2013 % Dec 2012 -

Jun 2013 %

None (Indeterminate)

31,614 54.3% 33,625 54.8% 2,011 6.4

1 to 4 14,130 24.3% 14,925 24.3% 795 5.6

5 to 9 5,098 8.8% 5,285 8.6% 187 3.7

10 to 19 3,398 5.8% 3,519 5.7% 121 3.6

20 to 49 2,485 4.3% 2,557 4.2% 72 2.9

50 to 99 817 1.4% 823 1.3% 6 0.7

100 to 199 400 0.7% 399 0.6% -1 -0.3

200 to 499 183 0.3% 185 0.3% 2 1.1

500+ 102 0.2% 95 0.2% -7 -6.9

Total 58,227 61,413 3,186 5.5

Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, 2012, 2013

OCCUPATION DATA FROM NHS

20% of Ottawa jobs are in Sales and service, with another 20% in Business, finance and

administration occupations; 9% of all workers identified themselves as "self-employed"

Forty per cent of Ottawa's workers are either in Business, finance and administration or Sales and

service occupations. Only 6% of those in these occupations were self-employed. More than one in ten

Ottawa jobs is considered a management occupation.

Chart 5: Jobs by Broad Occupation Category, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2011

Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011.

13%

20%

13%

6% 16%

4%

20%

7% 1% 1%

0 Management occupations

1 Business, finance and administration occupations

2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations

3 Health occupations

4 Occupations in education, law and social, community andgovernment services 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport

6 Sales and service occupations

7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and relatedoccupations 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related productionoccupations 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 12

In the NHS, 9% of all Ottawa workers identified themselves as self-employed. This includes a small

proportion of self-employed who indicated that they were “unpaid family members”. Those in

occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport were most likely to be self-employed (26%). The fewest

number of self-employed were in Manufacturing and utilities (5%), Business, finance and administration

(6%) and Sales and service occupations (6%).

Chart 6: Jobs by Broad Occupation Category, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2011

(with percentage of workers who are self-employed)

Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011.

OTTAWA'S TOP JOBS "by the numbers"

OILLMP identified Ottawa's Top Jobs based on occupations with a high number of jobs in 2012, a large

increase in number of jobs from 2010 to 2012, and a high % of job growth from 2010 to 2012.

EMSI suggests taking occupation data between 100 and 500 jobs with “a grain of salt” because of the

Labour Force Survey sampling sizes; these have been identified as occupations to "keep an eye on" in

our list on the next page. EMSI also suggests that occupation data where there are fewer than 100 jobs

is NOT considered reliable. Because of this, we did not include any occupations with fewer than 100

jobs on our list.

8,410 5,970 4,555 4,185 6,065 4,450 5,655 5,655 700 280

62,500

95,510

61,375

29,165

76,930

17,110

97,440

36,300

3,745 5,480

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

0 Managementoccupations

1 Business,finance and

administrationoccupations

2 Natural andapplied sciences

and relatedoccupations

3 Healthoccupations

4 Occupations ineducation, law andsocial, communityand government

services

5 Occupations inart, culture,

recreation andsport

6 Sales andservice

occupations

7 Trades,transport and

equipmentoperators and

relatedoccupations

8 Naturalresources,

agriculture andrelated production

occupations

9 Occupations inmanufacturing

and utilities

Self-employed Total - Class of worker

13% 6% 7% 14% 8% 26% 6% 16% 19% 5%

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 13

Table 8: Ottawa Top Jobs (Occupations), 2012

# of Jobs in 2012 ∆ in # of Jobs (2010 to 2012)

% of Job Growth (2010 to 2012)

Also keep an eye on these jobs

Retail salespersons and sales clerks Other administrative services managers

Aircraft instrument, electrical and avionics mechanics, technicians and inspectors

Computer programmers and interactive media developers

Program officers unique to government

Occupational therapists Stationary engineers and auxiliary equipment operators

Information systems analysts and consultants

Sales, marketing and advertising managers

Audiologists and speech-language pathologists

Other professional occupations in therapy and assessment

Administrative clerks Health policy researchers, consultants and program officers

Butchers, meat cutters and fishmongers, retail and wholesale

Archivists

Cashiers Grocery clerks and store shelf stockers

Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations

Power systems and power station operators

Food counter attendants, kitchen helpers and related occupations

Human resources managers

Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics

Administrative officers Butchers, meat cutters and fishmongers, retail and wholesale

Librarians Drillers and blasters - Surface mining, quarrying and construction

Software engineers and designers Photographers Court officers and justices of the peace

Registered nurses

Natural and applied science policy researchers, consultants and program officers

Floor covering installers Crane operators

Professional occupations in business services to management

Secondary and elementary school teachers and educational counsellors, not elsewhere included (decline in broader category) *

General office clerks Supervisors, other products manufacturing and assembly

* This category includes only those teaching jobs where it was not clear whether the school was an

elementary school or a secondary school; for teachers overall, jobs are declining. Source: EMSI Analyst, 2013.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 14

Sector and Labour Forecast, Fall 2013

CONFERENCE BOARD OF CANADA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Ottawa employment forecast to show biggest decline in 19 years, with drops in public

administration, high tech manufacturing and residential construction; commercial

construction expected to be strong for years.

The Conference Board of Canada has adjusted its Employment Outlook numbers from Winter 2013, now

showing a bigger increase in non-commercial services, while personal services declined more than

forecast, and projected growth in wholesale & retail trade did not transpire. Transportation and

warehousing also declined more than projected, while Industrial held its own despite an earlier forecast

of decline. These new numbers are shown in the chart below.

Chart 7: Employment Outlook, Ottawa

Source: Conference Board of Canada, Metropolitan Outlook I, Fall 2013.

Highlights from Conference Board of Canada's Fall 2013 Economic Outlook 2:

Ottawa-Gatineau’s economy on track to expand by only 0.8% in 2013, while employment

forecast to drop 1.8%, the biggest decline in 18 years.

Things are expected to improve next year, with both real GDP and job growth forecast to reach

1.6%.

Public administration employment is headed for its biggest decline on record in 2013.

Non-residential construction sector will be busy for years, while residential slowing down.

High tech sector outlook is mixed – manufacturing still struggling, but services doing better

2 Source: Conference Board of Canada, Metropolitan Outlook I, Fall 2013

-1.8

-4

-1.9

-19.4

-0.6

-8.1

5.9

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10

Total

Industrial

Office

Trans. & ware.

W&R trade

Personal ser.

Non-com. ser.

2013 (annual growth rate) EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK

1.6

2.9

0.5

5.2

2.7

3.4

1.0

0 2 4 6

Total

Industrial

Office

Trans.& ware.

W&R trade

Personal ser.

Non-com. ser.

2014-17 (average annual compound growth rate)

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 15

2. A CLOSER LOOK AT SUPPLY – Focusing on the Unemployed

LABOUR MARKET SUPPLY

In looking at labour market supply, one needs to take into account the full local labour force. This is

comprised of anyone currently working or looking for work.

When there is a job opening in the form of filling an existing position or creating a new one, those who

apply for it, and eventually fill it, can come from a number of different sources:

People who migrate into Ottawa;

People who are unemployed and looking for work;

People who are new or returning to the workforce (graduates, returning from voluntarily leaving

the workforce, etc.); and

People who are currently employed who change jobs.

Communities lose people from the local labour force pool when:

People migrate out of Ottawa;

People retire from the workforce; and

Unemployed people stop looking for work.

One important component of local labour market planning is to provide information to service providers

that help people who are unemployed and looking to find a job. To help facilitate this process, MTCU

has provided local boards with Case Management System (CaMS) data from Employment Ontario.

Analyzing this data will provide us with a better picture of the unemployed population in Ottawa and

will help us understand who is currently taking advantage of Employment Ontario programs and

services.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 16

EMPLOYMENT ONTARIO DATA

Background

As mentioned, this year MTCU provided the local boards with Employment Ontario data to help us gain

a better understanding of the local labour supply as represented by those looking for work. When

looking at the Employment Ontario data, it is important to note that this data is collected on ES Assisted

Service Clients. The numbers do not reflect those job seekers who come into an Employment Ontario

Centre to use the Centre’s resources, but have not signed up for assistance.

It should be noted that the data was not provided in a format that allowed for cross-tabulations. For

example, we can look at number of clients by gender (e.g., male) OR by age (e.g., 15-24), but cannot look

at the number of clients who are males, aged 15-24. We will be requesting this more raw data next year

to allow for this kind of analysis.

In OILLMP consultations with EOON, they recommended comparing to Hamilton (based on size of city)

and Toronto (based on “metropolitan nature” of city).

Overview

In 2012-13, Ottawa’s Employment Ontario service providers served a total of 9,099 ES Assisted Service

Clients. This represents 22.2% of the city’s 41,000 unemployed (based on Sep 2013 seasonally

unadjusted unemployment figures). In comparison, Toronto and Hamilton served 14.3% and 14.2% of

their unemployed, respectively. The numbers for the province were much higher, with 35.8% of the

unemployed population being served as ES Assisted Service Clients. We believe this could be a reflection

of the myriad of employment support options in urban centres that are unavailable in more rural

settings.

In breaking down the data, we will look at the EO data for Ottawa, and compare it to other geographic

regions for:

Age Group and Gender

Educational Attainment at Intake

Designated Groups

Where possible, we also determine the percentage of unemployed people in each category who are

Employment Ontario Assisted Clients. It should be noted that these comparisons use September 2013

unemployment figures, while the EO data is from March 2012 to April 2013.

We also felt it was important to look at the local occupation outlooks for the programs most commonly

approved for Second Career funding at the local level and to share key data on Apprenticeship.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 17

Age Group & Gender

ES ASSISTED SERVICE CLIENTS

When looking at the breakdown of ES Assisted Service Clients by age group, Ottawa seems to be quite

similar to Ontario overall, and to Hamilton and Toronto. We have a somewhat lower percentage of

clients aged 15-24 and a slightly higher percentage of 45-64 year olds.

Chart 8: ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP, by geography

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

When looking at the breakdown of ES Assisted Service Clients by gender, Ottawa has slightly more male

clients than female. This is quite similar to Ontario overall, with the proportion of male clients slightly

higher in Ottawa. This lean towards male clients is even more pronounced in Hamilton. It is interesting

to note that the ratios of males to females are essentially reversed for Toronto, as compared to Ottawa.

Chart 9: ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER, by geography

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

21.1%

47.5%

30.6%

0.8%

17.3%

51.2%

31.0%

0.7%

21.8%

47.3%

30.2%

0.7%

18.8%

53.7%

26.9%

0.7% 0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and older

ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

49.1% 50.6% 47.7% 52.2%

45.9%

54.1% 52.2% 47.5%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Female Male

ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 18

UNEMPLOYED POPULATIONS

In further exploring the data, we need to examine whether the above percentages are simply reflections

of the number of unemployed in each age group and each gender. We have prepared a population

pyramid of unemployed population by gender and age group for Ottawa and Toronto. Overall, Ottawa’s

unemployed include 51% males and 49% females, while Toronto is split 50/50 by gender.

While the percentages are quite similar for females by age groups, Ottawa’s unemployed males tend to

be older than Toronto’s. Especially notable is the difference between percentages for males, aged 45-

55 (15% of the unemployed in Ottawa and only 8% in Toronto). On the other hand, 36% of Toronto’s

unemployed are males 15-44, while this group represents only 28% of the unemployed in Ottawa.

Chart 10: Unemployed Population Pyramid for Ottawa & Toronto, August 2013

Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109.

17

19

8

5

1

15

20

9

6

0

13

15

15

5

4

14

21

6

6

0

30 20 10 0 10 20 30

15-24

25-44

45-55

55-64

65+

Percent of total unemployed

Ottawa Females Ottawa Males Toronto Females Toronto Males

MALES FEMALES

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 19

UNEMPLOYED USING ES ASSISTED SERVICES

As mentioned above, one needs to understand the breakdown of the unemployed population in each

region in order to put the numbers of ES Assisted Service Clients into perspective. The chart below

breaks down the number of unemployed and the number of ES Assisted clients by age group so that we

can come up with a percentage of how many are being serviced in each age group. This chart indicates

that the unemployed aged 25-44 are most likely to become clients, with a full 32.1% seeking support.

On the other hand, only 14.3% and 2.7% of those 15-24 and those 65 and older, respectively, are

seeking support in Ottawa.

Chart 11: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP, Ottawa

(with percentages of unemployed population who are clients)

Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

In order to determine if this phenomenon is similar across the province or specific to Ottawa, we also

provide a comparison of these percentages in Chart 12 on the next page.

As discussed earlier, when one looks at ONTARIO overall, there is a much higher percentage of

unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients. While this should be further explored, it could be

attributed to the fact that urban centres like Ottawa, Hamilton and Toronto provide other options for

employment support geared towards a variety of populations.

1,5774,656 2,820

65

11,000

14,500

13,100

2,400

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and older

ES Assisted Service Clients (2012-13) Unemployed (Sep 2013)

14.3% 32.1% 21.5% 2.7%

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 20

When comparing Ottawa to other urban centres such as Toronto and Hamilton, the Employment

Ontario Centres are seeing a higher percentage of unemployed in Ottawa for all age groups, other than

65 and older. Usage seems to be especially higher in Ottawa for those in the 25 to 44 age group.

Chart 12: Percentage of unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP,

by geography

Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

We can take a similar look at the clients by gender. The chart below shows that the Employment

Ontario Centres seem to be attracting males and females fairly equally when we compare the

percentage of unemployed populations served. The higher total number of male clients seems to be

largely a reflection of the higher number of unemployed males in Ottawa.

As with the Age Breakdowns, when we look at gender, Ottawa is getting a much higher percentage of

both the male and female unemployed population as ES Assisted Clients when compared to Toronto and

Hamilton, while being lower than the provincial average for both genders.

25.0%

43.7%

37.2%

17.6% 14.3%

32.1%

21.5%

2.7%

8.4%

18.1% 18.5%

7.8% 8.5%

19.9%

13.3% 9.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and olderONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 21

Chart 13: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER, Ottawa

(with percentages of unemployed who are clients)

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

Chart 14: Percentage of unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER,

by geography

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

4,343 4,753

20,000 21,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Female Male

ES Assisted Service Clients (2012-13) Unemployed (Sep 2013)

21.7% 22.6%

37.0% 34.5%

21.7% 22.6%

15.0% 13.5% 13.1%

15.9%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Male FemaleONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 22

Educational Attainment at Intake

When looking at clients’ educational attainment at intake, we see a similarity with Toronto. Both urban

centres have a more highly educated unemployed population than ONTARIO or Hamilton (whose

numbers are much more similar to each other).

Chart 15: Clients by Educational Attainment at Intake, by geography

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

The National Household Survey (NHS) data also provides a local breakdown of the unemployed

population by educational attainment. It should be noted that the NHS data is from 2011 so, in this case,

we are comparing unemployment numbers from 2011 with 2012-13 Employment Ontario numbers.

Chart 16: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by EDUCATIONAL

ATTAINMENT, Ottawa (with percentages of unemployed population who are clients)

Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

1.2%

12.2%

29.6% 27.1%

22.6%

7.2%

1.1%

8.5%

23.3%

27.9% 32.4%

6.8% 1.4%

14.9%

29.3% 28.3%

17.5%

8.6%

0.9%

7.5%

23.2% 24.2%

37.2%

7.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Less thanGrade 8

Less thanGrade 12

Completionof Secondary

Completionof College

Completionof University

Other

ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

873 2,123 2,539 2,947

5,145

12,185

5,465

10,110

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

No certificate,diploma or degree

High school diplomaor equivalent

College, CEGEP orother non-universitycertificate or diploma

University certificate,diploma or degree at

bachelor level or above

EO Clients Unemployed

17.0% 17.4% 46.5% 29.1%

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 23

Designated Groups

Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON) advises that we should not put too much stock in the

data in this breakdown as clients are asked to self-identify and they have observed that many clients are

not doing so. In comparing the percentages of clients who fall under these groups, however, we can see

that as would be expected, the urban centres tend to see more clients who are newcomers and visible

minorities than the Ontario average. The percentages also show that the Ontario average for aboriginal

groups is somewhat higher than for the cities in the comparison, which likely reflects the higher density

of this population in Northern and rural Ontario.

Note that because of the data limitations highlighted by EOON, we do not draw comparisons to the

unemployed population in this case.

Chart 17: Clients by Designated Groups, by geography

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

8.6% 9.6%

4.3% 2.5%

12.9%

18.2%

5.7%

1.6%

9.1%

12.4%

9.2%

1.9%

17.6%

21.6%

1.9% 1.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

Newcomer Visible Minority Person withDisability

Aboriginal Group

ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 24

Second Career Approved Programs

The Second Career program looks to provide skills training to increase the labour market supply in

occupations with good employment prospects. In looking at the EO data provided for Second Career

clients, we felt it was important to look at the local occupation outlooks for the top skills training

programs being approved at the local level. We also take a look at the only program that appears on

both EASTERN REGION and ONTARIO Top 10 lists that is not included on the Ottawa list - Heavy

Equipment Operators (Except Crane).

Table 9: Top Ten Second Career Approved Skills Training Programs with

Local Growth in Jobs, Ottawa, 2012-13

Approved Skills Training Program

2010 Jobs 2012 Jobs 2015 Forecast Ottawa Job Growth 2010-2015 (%)

Transport Truck Drivers 3448 4113 4212 22.1

Social and Community Service Workers

3086 2173 1856 -39.8

Accounting and Related Clerks

6026 4803 4768 -20.9

Paralegal and Related Occupations

2630 3306 3785 43.9

Computer Network Technicians

3033 2750 2648 -9.3

Medical Administrative Assistants

667 925 946 41.8

Administrative Officers 8646 9405 10179 17.7 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants

8327 7173 7445 -10.6

Home Support Workers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations

1496 1376 1404 -6.1

Accounting Technicians and Bookkeepers

2996 2612 2501 -16.5

NOT in Ottawa’s Top 10, but on both EASTERN REGION and ONTARIO Top 10

Heavy Equipment Operators (Except Crane)

1229 1337 1337 8.7%

Source: EMSI Analyst and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 25

Apprenticeship

We are also including some of the EO data on apprenticeships, as this helps tell part of the labour

market supply story.

Table 10: Apprenticeships, Ottawa, 2012-13

Number of Certificates of Apprenticeship (CoAs) Issued 621

Number of Certificates of Qualification (CoQs) Issued 475

Number of Modular Training Registrations 223

Average Age of Apprentices at Registration 27

Number of New Registrations 1,637

Number of Active Apprentices 8,927

Number of Active Journeypersons 17,218

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

Below we provide the information on the top 10 new registrations and active journeypersons,

highlighting in bold text those trades that appear on both lists. It is interesting to note that five of the

trades listed in the Top trades appear on only one of the two lists (either new registrations or active

journeypersons), while five appear on both lists (these are highlighted in bold text).

Table 11: Top Ten Trades, Ottawa, 2012-13

NEW REGISTRATIONS ACTIVE JOURNEYPERSONS

1. Information Technology - Contact Centre

Customer Service Agent

2. Electrician - Construction and Maintenance

3. Automotive Service Technician

4. Instrumentation and Control Technician

5. Hairstylist

6. Water Meter Installer

7. General Carpenter

8. Plumber

9. Information Technology - Contact Centre

Customer Sales Agent

10. Child Development Practitioner

1. Automotive Service Technician

2. Electrician - Construction and Maintenance

3. Industrial Mechanic Millwright

4. Hairstylist

5. Industrial Electrician

6. Truck and Coach Technician

7. General Carpenter

8. Plumber

9. General Machinist

10. Tool and Die Maker

Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.

In our more detailed three-year labour market plan, we will explore the occupations associated with

these trades to see what the Ottawa outlooks are in terms of demand.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 26

3. 2013-14 ACTION PLAN UPDATE

2013-14 Action Plan

Ongoing Consultations with LMPC and LMSDC (and EOON)

While community consultations were not a requirement in the 2013-14 action plan, OILLMP continued

its ongoing consultations, including a consultation with Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON)

and plans to provide regular updates to the EOON executive committee. Highlights included:

June 2013 – Thank-you BBQ for both LMPC and LMSDC that included an update from OILLMP,

showcasing new LMI tools and resource portals, and getting input into proposed projects.

September 2013 – Met with the Employment Ontario Ottawa Network executive committee to

present sample LMI tools, showcase portals, and consult on interpretation of the EO data.

October 2013 – LMPC session with employers and other stakeholders and LMSDC session with

service providers to share updates, validate tools, consult on projects and labour market update.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 27

#1 Local Labour Market Planning Update

1A - Identify information & planning needs of EO network, including MTCU, and broader community support services

This action is ongoing; further consultations planned with LMPC /LMSDC in December and February.

Through consultations, solicited input from various service providers on our LMI tools, including:

Occupation Outlooks for Ottawa, Top Jobs in Ottawa, Education Program Reports.

We fine-tuned the tools to best suit their needs and consulted on effective ways to market materials.

1B - Update the eight base indicators and provide an interpretation of local employment and workforce changes (based on June data)

This action is complete. Update is included in this report (see Labour Market Indicators – pages 3-14).

1C - Prepare overview & analysis of locally based aggregate EO program/client data sets

This action is complete. We will, however, provide an additional update to Employment Ontario

Ottawa Network (EOON). This overview and analysis has been completed and is included in this report

(see A Closer Look at Supply - pages 15-25). We also met with Employment Ontario Ottawa Network

and the Labour Market Service Delivery Committee to validate findings.

#2 2013-14 Partnership Projects

PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #1 - Service Coordination (Year One Implementation)

PROJECT DESCRIPTION

The Service Coordination Workplan will be developed by March 31 in partnership with the Ottawa

Community Coalition for Literacy (OCCL), based on consultations with MTCU, other government

departments and Ottawa service providers. It is anticipated that the first phase of the project will

include a comprehensive assessment of the Current State of service coordination in Ottawa, including

a gap analysis against the desired future state.

Proposed Deliverable: Meet the following MTCU objective over several years: In each community, the

assessment and referral process ensures that the client pathway to employment is seamless. Clients

can access the right community services and programs, the first time, to address their specific needs.

RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS

OILLMP and OCCL facilitated a session in February 2013 with more than 20 community partners

to solicit inputs into the workplan; plan was submitted to and approved by MTCU in April.

This will also build on the current Service Provider Portal project (2012 Partnership Project #4).

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 28

SERVICE COORDINATION FRAMEWORK FOR YEAR ONE

ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS

Phase I of this project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:

Framework was validated with LMPC and LMSDC in the spring.

Additional budget request approved in May; a part-time Project Coordinator started in July.

Prepared a project plan and Strategic Working Group membership list with input from MTCU.

Held a Strategic Working Group Kick-off Session on Sep 25th to review project and validate data

collection tools for identifying the current state.

Establish advisory groups in September/October (ongoing)

Prepared data collection surveys; to be launched in October/November (ongoing)

Proposed actions are outlined in the framework on the previous page. Key next steps include:

Meet with Advisory Groups to validate current state in November/December.

Meet with Strategic Working Group in November/December to define Future State.

PARTNERS ENGAGED (Strategic Working Group members) MTCU, Employment & Training, Literacy and Basic Skills, Apprenticeships.

Ministry of Community & Social Services, Ministry of Children & Youth Services.

Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON), Ottawa Community Coalition for Literacy.

John Howard Society, City of Ottawa, St. Lawrence College, Ontario March of Dimes.

Service Canada, LASI World Skills, Kagita Mikam, Youth Services Bureau.

Sep NovOctJun AugJul MarMayApr Dec FebJan

PRIORITY AREAS

Ongoing Governance, Communication, Stakeholder Engagement & Project Management

DEV

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ork

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, Gu

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#1 – Create a common assessment/ screening tool

#2 – Create value proposition, identify right levels to engage, and get formal buy-in from government and stakeholders

#3 – Identify existing collaborations, relationships, contacts; share and expand within the network

#5 – Identify client pathways in order to establish an accepted process for referrals

#6 – Funders’ common knowledge/ awareness (review of strategic plans and funding allocations, streamlining and coordination)

#7 – Inventory of existing programs/ services/networks (analyze best practices and share)

#8 – Continuous training and engagement of staff (develop tools)

#4 – Survey clients for input into service coordination (Validate plan-Y2)

KEY ACTIVITIESConsult with service providers, funders, employers and other stakeholders to collect information on:• Assessment and

screening tools• Relationships and

networks• Referral process• Existing programs/

services• Client pathways• Funders’ current

knowledge/ awareness

• Training and engagement activities

• Operating environment

KEY ACTIVITIESConduct research on best practices:• What is currently

happening in Ottawa that we can leverage and adapt

• What can we learn from similar initiatives in other parts of Ontario

• Explore current trends and global best practices around service coordination (both in terms of employment services and more broadly)

Create Value Propositions to support communication and engagement

KEY ACTIVITIESBased on desired outcome defined by MTCU and best practice research, articulate where we want to be 3 years from now:• Assessment and

screening tools• Relationships

and networks• Referral process• Programs/

services• Client pathways• Funder

alignment• Training and

engagement YEA

RS

2 a

nd

3 –

Val

idat

e an

d R

oll

ou

t Im

ple

men

tati

on

Pla

n

KEY ACTIVITIESValidate the Current State and outline how we will get to Desired Future State for each Priority Area:• Map Current

State against Desired Future State (additional data collection as required)

• Conduct a Gap Analysis

• Formulate Recommen-dations to Close the Gaps over next 1 to 2 years

THE CHALLENGEIdentify Current State

People, Processes, Practices, Tools

THE OPPORTUNITYExplore Best

Practices Local & Global

THE RESPONSEDefine Desired

Future State To achieve outcome

THE IMPLICATIONSConduct Gap

Analysis & Make Recommendations

Monitor environment, assess changes and adapt as required

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 29

PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #2 - Ottawa Construction Labour Needs/ Gaps

PROJECT DESCRIPTION

Further identify and address Construction labour needs/skills gaps - share survey findings, dig deeper

and follow-up:

Prepare Presentation on Findings for Service Providers.

Conduct a survey with unions to see where they see gaps/surplus.

Ensure Employer survey becomes an annual event (compare to baseline established in 2012).

Include Heavy Construction Association (add them to current survey).

Plug into labour needs of the Rideau Transit Group for LRT.

Determine how to get people skilled to fast-track into positions.

Consider promoting females in non-traditional roles.

Proposed Deliverable: A report on Labour Needs and Gaps in Ottawa's Construction Industries shared

with service providers and employers. An event or plan to address the gaps, in partnership with

employers and services providers.

RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS

This will build on Construction Event; incorporate findings into Service Provider Portal.

ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS

This project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:

Met with City of Ottawa Employment Services/Light Rail Project Office to discuss approach to

identify labour needs and to highlight EO and OILLMP support available to employers (Jul 2013).

Discussed idea of a brief survey for contractors coming on board around their labour needs.

Proposed next steps include:

Light Rail Project Office to position initiative with Rideau Transit Group (pending).

Finalize Special Report on the Construction Sector (will be published in November).

Follow up with Unions and Associations on surveys (timed with release of Special Report).

PARTNERS ENGAGED City of Ottawa, Employment Services and City of Ottawa, Light Rail Project Office.

Proposed partners: Ottawa Construction Association, Greater Ottawa Home Builders'

Association, Rideau Transit Group (all engaged in the Construction Event in February 2013).

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 30

PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #3 - Position OILLMP as a data hub

PROJECT DESCRIPTION

Position OILLMP as a data hub for both demand-side and supply-side data (explore how we can further

leverage and broaden sources of information, identify new sources of information and determine which

ones we can access (e.g., search firms and recruitment agencies, educational institutions, LinkedIn data),

solicit input from service providers and employers on an ongoing basis, and educate service providers on

data analysis/interpretation.

Proposed Deliverable: Monthly updates to the OILLMP website with additional LMI added. Ongoing

dialogue with service providers and employers to collect LM data. Potential training session with EO

service providers on analyzing/interpreting CaMs data.

RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS

This will be tied to the OILLMP website, as well as LMI section of the Service Provider Portal, as

“real-time” LMI – incorporate into members only area if necessary.

ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS

This project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:

Data snapshots are updated monthly on the OILLMP website.

Prepared a template for Occupation Outlooks; consulted with EOON, LMSDC and Employment

Ontario to validate; approx. 200 reports prepared in English with French one page summaries.

Prepared template for Ottawa’s Top Jobs Quick Reference Sheets to highlight top occupations

in Ottawa (approx. 35 occupations to be highlighted); validated with EOON.

Preparing a Labour Market Information self-guided tutorial to show job seekers and students

how to explore labour market information (to be completed in Oct 2013).

Prepared an Education Program Report with EMSI Analyst; acquired a subscription for a Jobs

Demand Report; will explore outputs and include on the OILLMP website in 2013-14 or 2014-15.

Formed a partnership with City of Ottawa to develop Labour Market Workshops to Youth to be

piloted through the City’s Employment Services with high school students and youth job

seekers. OILLMP will get feedback on the tools and tutorial (as described above) through these

pilots. Workshop materials and a train-the-trainer session will be provided to all EO centres.

Formed a partnership with Ottawa Network for Education (ONFE) and Algonquin College to

prepare Labour Market Links Workshops for delivery to guidance counsellors and co-op

teachers. ONFE is currently meeting with school boards to finalize approach. This will provide an

opportunity for OILLMP to market its LMI website/tools to prospective job seekers.

Proposed next steps include:

New tools will all be on OILLMP website in English and French by December 2013.

PARTNERS ENGAGED City of Ottawa, EOON, Ottawa Network for Education, Algonquin College.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 31

PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #4 - HR Projections for Invest Ottawa Priority Sectors

PROJECT DESCRIPTION

Determine HR Projections around Invest Ottawa priority sectors (focus on Photonics as a first priority,

then potentially Life Sciences and/or Film, Digital Media and Television Production).

Proposed Deliverables: A report on HR projections associated with Invest Ottawa's priority sectors

focused on Photonics (as the pilot sector).

RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS

This will be tied to the OILLMP website, as well as LMI section of the Service Provider Portal, as “real-

time” LMI – incorporate into Members Only area if necessary.

ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS

This project is still in progress. No actions taken to date. OILLMP to meet with Invest Ottawa in

October to confirm which sector will serve as a pilot and to develop an approach and project plan.

PARTNERS ENGAGED

Lead partner: Invest Ottawa. Other potential partners include: Ottawa Photonics Cluster (OPC), The

Ontario Center for Excellence for Photonics, educational institutions.

PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #5 - Enhance/market the Employer Portal

PROJECT DESCRIPTION

Identify ways to market, and further engage employers in enhancement of, the Employer Portal

designed to help Ottawa's small and mid-sized businesses recruit and retain their workforce.

Proposed Deliverables: These will be defined with the working group.

RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS

This will include optimizing the website and working with employers to identify and share case studies

that highlight best practices and lessons learned, aligned with our priorities.

ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS

This project is still in progress. Actions taken to date include:

OttawaStaffingToolkit.ca went “live” in June.

Marketed at the New Entrepreneurs Ottawa Networking (NEON) Fall 2013 event.

Presented to EOON in September to get input on marketing ideas.

Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 32

Proposed next steps include:

Market on City of Ottawa’s portal for businesses.

Get feedback from employer test group, modify English and finalize French (Oct/Nov).

Reconvene working group to flesh out marketing plan through Chambers, BIAs, etc. (Nov/Dec).

Market to job developers across the City to share with employers and market to service

providers (many are SMEs) for their own use, as recommended by EOON (Oct/Nov).

Hire Immigrants Ottawa will provide a case study for us to use as the first one (Nov).

PARTNERS ENGAGED

Ottawa Chamber of Commerce, Invest Ottawa, HRPA (Ottawa), Hire Immigrants Ottawa, City of Ottawa.

Employer test group includes: Pythian, Cinnamon Toast, N-VisionIT, National Bank, On Point

Performance Training Inc., Canadian Kiosk.

OTHER ACTIVITIES

The Labour Market Planning Office (LMPO) will consult with committee members on the best approach

to ongoing consultations and will also enhance the Members Only area of OILLMP website to facilitate

these consultations.

This is in progress. One-on-one discussions will take place in Nov/Dec.

We will also be "rebranding" OILLMP in 2013-14 to a more "user-friendly" and intuitive name, with

updates to the website to reflect the new branding.

This is in progress. Got initial input from LMSDC and LMPC; will get more feedback in one-on-

one discussions in Nov/Dec.

OILLMP will work with the Economic Sector Table of the Ottawa Local Immigration Partnership (OLIP)

to tie their service coordination activities into the broader service coordination mandate of our group.

This is in progress. Ingrid Argyle, OILLMP Project Manager and Jean Huard, Service Delivery

Manager, MTCU identified as working group co-chairs for Employment Service Coordination.

Moving Forward We look forward to continuing to work with our partners through the remainder of 2013 and into 2014

on all of our ongoing activities and partnership projects, while continuing to prepare labour market

information and tools in user-friendly formats that respond to our partners' needs.

We will also be broadening our consultations, and digging deeper into the National Household Survey

findings and other available data in preparing the comprehensive three-year local labour market plan

for October 2014.