2013 Interim Report - Labour Market Ottawa · Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013...
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Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 1
OTTAWA Integrated Local Labour Market
Planning
Fall 2013 Update with a Special Focus on
LABOUR MARKET SUPPLY
Updated October 2013
2013 Interim Report
This Employment Ontario project is funded by the Ontario government.
The views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect those of Employment Ontario.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 1
Table of Contents
This document was prepared by the Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Planning group, in
consultation with the Ottawa Labour Market Planning Committee, the Labour Market Service Delivery
Committee, and the Ontario Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities (MTCU).
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................2
1. LABOUR MARKET INDICATORS .......................................................................................................3
Background & Context .......................................................................................................................3
Highlights from New Data ..................................................................................................................3
Labour Force/Supply ................................................................................................................................. 3
Labour Demand ........................................................................................................................................ 9
Sector and Labour Forecast, Fall 2013 ................................................................................................... 14
2. A CLOSER LOOK AT SUPPLY – Focusing on the Unemployed ........................................................... 15
Labour Market Supply ...................................................................................................................... 15
Employment Ontario Data................................................................................................................ 16
Background ............................................................................................................................................. 16
Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 16
Age Group & Gender .............................................................................................................................. 17
Educational Attainment at Intake........................................................................................................... 22
Designated Groups ................................................................................................................................. 23
Second Career Approved Programs ....................................................................................................... 24
Apprenticeship ........................................................................................................................................ 25
3. 2013-14 ACTION PLAN UPDATE .................................................................................................... 26
2013-14 Action Plan................................................................................................................................ 26
Ongoing Consultations with LMPC and LMSDC (and EOON) .................................................................. 26
#1 Local Labour Market Planning Update .............................................................................................. 27
#2 2013-14 Partnership Projects ............................................................................................................ 27
Moving Forward .............................................................................................................................. 32
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
As the Ministry of Training, Colleges and Universities (MTCU) shifts the timelines for local labour market
planning, we are providing this update only six months after the 2013 Labour Market Update published
in April. This October 2013 Labour Market Update should be considered an interim report with a special
focus on labour market supply. Moving forward, the Local Labour Market Plans will be published in
October, with a comprehensive 3-year local labour market plan being prepared for October 2014.
Highlights from the Labour Market Indicators
With new data being released for the National Household Survey and updated Canadian Business
Patterns numbers, we provide an update on the local labour market indicators. Highlights include:
Ottawa's population continues to increase while labour force/employment numbers drop;
unemployment remains lower than Ontario/national average, although gap is narrowing.
Net in-migration of 47,380 migrants from 2006 to 2011, with all age groups showing a net in-
migration; 74% of net in-migration represented by those aged 15-44.
All three key populations (immigrant, aboriginal, youth) grew at a greater rate than the overall
population from 2006 to 2011; growth in the Aboriginal population was a significant 48.1%.
Educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for Ontario overall, with an
increase in those with post-secondary education both locally and provincially.
Solid increase in number of employers in first six months of 2013; continued increase in SMEs.
20% of Ottawa jobs are in Sales and service, with another 20% in Business, finance and
administration occupations; 9% of all workers identified themselves as "self-employed".
Ottawa employment forecast to show biggest decline in 19 years, with drops in public
administration, high tech manufacturing and residential construction.
Commercial construction expected to be strong for years to come.
A Closer Look at Supply - Focusing on the Unemployed
This report takes a closer look at Ottawa's unemployed population and ES Assisted Clients served at the
Employment Ontario Centres, using the Employment Ontario data provided by MTCU. While Ottawa
serves a lower percentage of the unemployed population in its EO centres than Ontario overall, when
compared to other urban centres, we are serving a greater percentage than either Hamilton or Toronto.
The 2013-14 Action Plan Update
OILLMP also provides an update on its 2013-14 action plan, highlighting progress made in terms of
consultations, partnership projects and ongoing efforts to provide user-friendly labour market
information and resources to service providers and employers to help connect job seekers to jobs.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 3
1. LABOUR MARKET INDICATORS
This section provides an update on those indicators for which we have new data (since March 2013). In
some cases, we have included highlights of the previously published data to provide a better picture in
one place. For more details, you can refer to our previous reports on our website, at www.oillmp.ca.
BACKGROUND & CONTEXT
While we include data from the National Household Survey (NHS) in this report, we should caution that
the non-response rate in Ottawa for this voluntary survey was 21.7%, according to Statistics Canada.
Because of this, there is a risk of a non-response bias in the data. Statistics Canada indicates that a
smaller GNR indicates a lower risk of inaccuracy. The threshold used for estimates' suppression is a GNR
of 50% or more1 .
In past reports, we have sometimes included both Ontario and Quebec parts of the Ottawa-Gatineau
Census Metropolitan Area in the data. Because of the focus on the Employment Ontario data, we
thought it was important to zero in on the Ontario side in this report, and will discuss what the best
approach is moving forward with our committees. Because of this, in some cases, numbers may be
different than previously reported.
HIGHLIGHTS FROM NEW DATA
Labour Force/Supply
Population continues to increase while labour force/employment numbers drop;
unemployment remains lower than Ontario/national average, although gap is narrowing.
Between September 2012 and September 2013, the working age population (aged 15 and over) of the
Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part) increased by 11,600, while the labour force decreased by 10,100 people
(Table 1). The local unemployment rate went up only 0.1% and, in September, showed its first decrease
since February 2013, coming in at 6.7%.
This remains lower than the national rate of 7.1% and the provincial rate of 7.5%, as of September 2013.
Ottawa’s employment picture also remain stronger than Toronto’s, as the latter has an unemployment
rate of 7.9%; however, the last year has seen the gap between local rates and provincial and national
rates narrow significantly as Ottawa numbers have risen to become more in line with general trends.
1 Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey User Guide, 2011
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 4
Table 1: Labour Force characteristics, by census metropolitan area (annual)
Employment (thousands) seasonally adjusted
Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part) Sep-12 Sep-13 Change % Change
Population (15 and over) 791.2 802.8 11.6 0.1
Labour force 574.3 563.8 -10.5 -0.2
Employment 536.4 526.2 -10.2 0.2
Unemployment 37.8 37.6 -0.2 -0.7
Unemployment rate (%) 6.6 6.7 0.1 …
Participation rate (%) 72.6 70.2 -2.4 …
Employment rate (%) 67.8 65.5 -2.3 …
Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013.
Chart 1: Unemployment Rate, Comparative Analysis, Sep-12 to Sep-13
Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013.
6.6 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.3
6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.5
6.8 7.1
6.7
5
6
7
8
9
10
Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13
Ottawa-Gatineau, Ontario part Canada Ontario Toronto
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 5
Chart 2: Labour Force, Employment, and Unemployment Rate, Spotlight on 2012
Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM 282-0116, 2013
IN AND OUT-MIGRATION
Net in-migration of 47,380 migrants from 2006 to 2011, with all age groups showing a net
in-migration; 74% of net in-migration represented by those aged 15-44.
New migration data became available from the 2011 National Household Survey over the summer. As
previously noted, the global non-response rate of 21.7% could indicate some inaccuracies in the data
based on non-response biases.
Referring to Chart 3 and Table 2 we see that between 2006 and 2011, Ottawa welcomed a net total of
47,380 migrants, based on the National Household Survey data. 41.7% were 25-44 year olds, 32.7%
were 15-24 year olds. For all age groups, there was a net in-migration.
6.6 6.6
6.7
6.6
6.3
6.1 6.1 6.1
6.2
6.5
6.8
7.1
6.7
6
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8
7
7.2
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
Un
em
plo
yme
nt
Rat
e (
%)
X1
,00
0 (
seas
on
ally
ad
just
ed
)
Labour force Employment Unemployment rate
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 6
Chart 3: Migration by Age Group, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011
Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011.
Table 2: Migration by Age Group, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011
Age Group In-migrants Out-migrants Net-
migrants
% of Net-
migrants
5-14 14,690 6,880 7,810 16.5%
15-24 26,240 10,755 15,485 32.7%
25-44 55,360 35,610 19,750 41.7%
45-64 20,850 16,680 4,170 8.8%
65+ 5,125 4,950 175 0.4%
Total 122,265 74,885 47,380
Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011.
LEVERAGING KEY POPULATIONS
All three key populations grew at a greater rate than the overall population from 2006 to
2011; growth in the Aboriginal population was a significant 48.1%.
In its Guiding Principles, OILLMP identified three key populations on which to focus - immigrants,
aboriginals and youth. On the next page, we provide a comparison of the 2006 and 2011 data for each
of these three groups, using the Ottawa-Gatineau CMA (Ontario part) data where possible.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
5 to 14 15 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65+
Nu
mb
er o
f P
eo
ple
In-migrants Out-migrants Net-migrants
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 7
All three of these key populations grew at a greater rate than the overall population from 2006 to 2011.
The growth in the Aboriginal population was most significant at 48.1%. It should be noted that the
actual Youth growth rate may be lower than shown as source data for 2006 is provided for Ottawa (City).
Table 3: Population & Growth, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2006 to 2011
2006 Census 2011 Census and NHS % growth
2006 to 2011 Number % of total pop. Number % of total pop.
Immigrants 171,785 20.3% 204,445 22.2% 19.0%
Aboriginals 12,970 1.5% 19,205 2.1% 48.1%
Youth (15-24) 113,085* 13.4% 129,445 14.0% 14.5%*
Total Population 846,802 921,823 8.9%
* 2006 Data for Ottawa (City) Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006, Census 2011.
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
Educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for the rest of Ontario, with an
increase in those with post-secondary education.
The level of educational attainment in Ottawa continues to be higher than for Ontario. One can see that
the increase in University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above of 2.2% in Ottawa was
reflected at the provincial level (2.9%). There was also an increase in those with College, CEGEP or other
non-university certificate or diploma, both locally and provincially. In both Ottawa and Ontario, those
with No certificate, diploma or degree dropped, by 2.3% and 3.5% respectively.
Table 4: Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 and 2011, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part)
Level of educational attainment (15+) Ottawa Ontario
2006* 2011 2006 2011
University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor level or above
32.4% 34.6% 20.5% 23.4%
University certificate or diploma below bachelor level
4.2% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1%
College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma
18.0% 19.2% 18.4% 19.8%
Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 5.6% 5.4% 8.0% 7.4%
High school diploma or equivalent 24.4% 23.7% 26.8% 26.8%
No certificate, diploma or degree 15.4% 13.1% 22.2% 18.7%
* 2006 Data for Ottawa Census Division Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 8
In looking at major field of study, comparing 2006 to 2011, there were not many changes. The biggest
shifts were in numbers going down for Architecture, engineering and related technologies (by 1.4%) and
increasing for Social and behavioural sciences and law (up 0.9%).
Chart 4: Major Field of Study, 2006 and 2011, Ottawa-Gatineau CMA (Ontario part)
Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011, Census 2006.
In 2013, EMSI Analyst added Education data to its economic modelling tool, based on the Classification
of Instructional Programs (CIP) codes. As part of this feature, they have also mapped occupations to
each educational program to allow users to explore employment prospects. OILLMP can now pull data
on the top program completions in Ottawa for 2010-11. These are shown on the following page. Where
there are a high number of completions and declining jobs, it could point to a potential skills mismatch
between supply and demand. Similarly, we will explore this data further over 2013-14 to determine
where a low number of completions may be pointing to shortage of labour for high demand jobs.
It should be noted that the EMSI Education data is provided for public institutions only, as it draws data
from Statistics Canada's Postsecondary Student Information System (PSIS). Completions are also based
on location of institutions and students may return to or leave Ottawa to join the labour force. This new
data does, however, provide an additional lens for exploring the local labour market.
20.0%
16.6%
16.6%
11.9%
7.2%
7.0%
6.3%
5.3%
4.3%
3.4%
1.4%
20.1%
18.0%
15.7%
11.6%
7.6%
7.1%
6.4%
4.9%
4.0%
3.4%
1.4%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Business, management and public administration
Architecture, engineering, and related technologies
Social and behavioural sciences and law
Health and related fields
Humanities
Mathematics, computer and information sciences
Education
Physical and life sciences and technologies
Personal, protective and transportation services
Visual and performing arts, and communicationstechnologies
Agriculture, natural resources and conservation
2006 2011
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 9
Table 5: Regional Completions, Post-Secondary Public Institutions, 2010-11, Ottawa
CIP Program Regional Completions (2010)
Median Hourly Earnings
Regional Jobs (2010)
Regional Jobs (2012)
Growth in Jobs (2010-12)
13.12 Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods
1,256 $29.38 36,789 35,455 -4%
51.16 Nursing 791 $28.96 14,792 15,310 4%
42.01 Psychology, General 742 $28.39 1,016 951 -6%
24.01 Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities
714 $0.00 0 0 0%
22.01 Law (LLB, JD, BCL) 511 $27.66 8,600 10,240 19%
43.01 Criminal Justice and Corrections 499 $27.28 14,339 13,785 -4%
45.04 Criminology 490 $38.96 4,473 4,436 -1%
45.10 Political Science and Government
443 $43.65 13,822 14,712 6%
52.02 Business Administration, Management and Operations
414 $25.60 145,506 142,410 -2%
09.01 Communication and Media Studies
402 $28.70 25,638 25,160 -2%
Source: EMSI Analyst, 2013.
Labour Demand
In terms of labour market demand, new numbers have come out from Canadian Business Patterns in
June. We have also pulled some recently-released occupation data from the National Household Survey,
as well as highlighting Ottawa's "top jobs" based on the numbers.
CANADIAN BUSINESS PATTERNS
A solid increase in number of employers in first six months of 2013, including a continued
increase in number of SMEs.
In addition to changes in employment, the change in the number of employers per industry over the
past year is a helpful labour market indicator. Table 6 shows expansion and contraction in the number
of businesses across different industries for the first six months of 2013. Overall, Ottawa gained 4,591
employers, an 8.1% growth. Management of companies and enterprises saw the only contraction in
both absolute and relative terms, losing 19 businesses, or 1.0% of employers in that industry.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 10
Table 6: Changes in Number of Employers per Industry, Ottawa, Dec 2012 to Jun 2013
Industry Sectors Dec
2012
Jun
2013
Absolute
Change
%
Change
Goods-producing sector
Construction 5,674 6,138 464 8.2%
Manufacturing 1,047 1,144 97 9.3%
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 687 779 92 13.4%
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 60 68 8 13.3%
Utilities 37 43 6 16.2%
Services sector
Professional, scientific and technical services 14,306 14,846 540 3.8%
Real estate and rental and leasing 6,508 6,667 159 2.4%
Retail trade 4,970 5,228 258 5.2%
Health care and social assistance 4,037 4,794 757 18.8%
Other services (except public administration) 4,499 4,732 233 5.18%
Finance and insurance 3,115 3,216 101 3.2%
Administrative and support, waste management and
remediation services 2,594 2,681 87 3.4%
Accommodation and food services 2,414 2,572 158 6.6%
Management of companies and enterprises 1,904 1,885 -19 -1.0%
Transportation and warehousing 1,675 1,754 79 4.7%
Wholesale trade 1,626 1,636 10 0.6%
Information and cultural industries 1,104 1,128 24 2.2%
Arts, entertainment and recreation 950 978 28 3.0%
Educational services 831 933 102 12.3%
Public administration 189 191 2 1.1%
Total 56,822 61,413 4,591 8.1%
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, 2012, 2013.
Analysis of Canadian Business Patterns data also helps us understand what is happening with the largest
group of Ottawa employers – small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), those organizations with
fewer than 100 employees. SMEs continued to increase over the first six months of 2013, after growing
slightly in 2012. Table 7 shows that Owner-operators make up 54.8%, up slightly from December 2012.
In June 2013, 97.6% of Ottawa businesses would classify as small businesses, with fewer than 50
employees. This is up 0.2% from December 2012. Over the past six months, Ottawa lost seven large
employers (over 500 employees), after adding 12 employers in this category in 2012.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 11
Table 7: Distribution and Change of Employers by Employee Size, Dec 2012 to Jun 2013
Employee Size Range
Number of Employers
Distribution Number of Employers
Distribution Absolute
Change %
Change
Dec 2012 % Jun 2013 % Dec 2012 -
Jun 2013 %
None (Indeterminate)
31,614 54.3% 33,625 54.8% 2,011 6.4
1 to 4 14,130 24.3% 14,925 24.3% 795 5.6
5 to 9 5,098 8.8% 5,285 8.6% 187 3.7
10 to 19 3,398 5.8% 3,519 5.7% 121 3.6
20 to 49 2,485 4.3% 2,557 4.2% 72 2.9
50 to 99 817 1.4% 823 1.3% 6 0.7
100 to 199 400 0.7% 399 0.6% -1 -0.3
200 to 499 183 0.3% 185 0.3% 2 1.1
500+ 102 0.2% 95 0.2% -7 -6.9
Total 58,227 61,413 3,186 5.5
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, 2012, 2013
OCCUPATION DATA FROM NHS
20% of Ottawa jobs are in Sales and service, with another 20% in Business, finance and
administration occupations; 9% of all workers identified themselves as "self-employed"
Forty per cent of Ottawa's workers are either in Business, finance and administration or Sales and
service occupations. Only 6% of those in these occupations were self-employed. More than one in ten
Ottawa jobs is considered a management occupation.
Chart 5: Jobs by Broad Occupation Category, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2011
Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011.
13%
20%
13%
6% 16%
4%
20%
7% 1% 1%
0 Management occupations
1 Business, finance and administration occupations
2 Natural and applied sciences and related occupations
3 Health occupations
4 Occupations in education, law and social, community andgovernment services 5 Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport
6 Sales and service occupations
7 Trades, transport and equipment operators and relatedoccupations 8 Natural resources, agriculture and related productionoccupations 9 Occupations in manufacturing and utilities
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 12
In the NHS, 9% of all Ottawa workers identified themselves as self-employed. This includes a small
proportion of self-employed who indicated that they were “unpaid family members”. Those in
occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport were most likely to be self-employed (26%). The fewest
number of self-employed were in Manufacturing and utilities (5%), Business, finance and administration
(6%) and Sales and service occupations (6%).
Chart 6: Jobs by Broad Occupation Category, Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part), 2011
(with percentage of workers who are self-employed)
Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011.
OTTAWA'S TOP JOBS "by the numbers"
OILLMP identified Ottawa's Top Jobs based on occupations with a high number of jobs in 2012, a large
increase in number of jobs from 2010 to 2012, and a high % of job growth from 2010 to 2012.
EMSI suggests taking occupation data between 100 and 500 jobs with “a grain of salt” because of the
Labour Force Survey sampling sizes; these have been identified as occupations to "keep an eye on" in
our list on the next page. EMSI also suggests that occupation data where there are fewer than 100 jobs
is NOT considered reliable. Because of this, we did not include any occupations with fewer than 100
jobs on our list.
8,410 5,970 4,555 4,185 6,065 4,450 5,655 5,655 700 280
62,500
95,510
61,375
29,165
76,930
17,110
97,440
36,300
3,745 5,480
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
0 Managementoccupations
1 Business,finance and
administrationoccupations
2 Natural andapplied sciences
and relatedoccupations
3 Healthoccupations
4 Occupations ineducation, law andsocial, communityand government
services
5 Occupations inart, culture,
recreation andsport
6 Sales andservice
occupations
7 Trades,transport and
equipmentoperators and
relatedoccupations
8 Naturalresources,
agriculture andrelated production
occupations
9 Occupations inmanufacturing
and utilities
Self-employed Total - Class of worker
13% 6% 7% 14% 8% 26% 6% 16% 19% 5%
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 13
Table 8: Ottawa Top Jobs (Occupations), 2012
# of Jobs in 2012 ∆ in # of Jobs (2010 to 2012)
% of Job Growth (2010 to 2012)
Also keep an eye on these jobs
Retail salespersons and sales clerks Other administrative services managers
Aircraft instrument, electrical and avionics mechanics, technicians and inspectors
Computer programmers and interactive media developers
Program officers unique to government
Occupational therapists Stationary engineers and auxiliary equipment operators
Information systems analysts and consultants
Sales, marketing and advertising managers
Audiologists and speech-language pathologists
Other professional occupations in therapy and assessment
Administrative clerks Health policy researchers, consultants and program officers
Butchers, meat cutters and fishmongers, retail and wholesale
Archivists
Cashiers Grocery clerks and store shelf stockers
Producers, directors, choreographers and related occupations
Power systems and power station operators
Food counter attendants, kitchen helpers and related occupations
Human resources managers
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics
Administrative officers Butchers, meat cutters and fishmongers, retail and wholesale
Librarians Drillers and blasters - Surface mining, quarrying and construction
Software engineers and designers Photographers Court officers and justices of the peace
Registered nurses
Natural and applied science policy researchers, consultants and program officers
Floor covering installers Crane operators
Professional occupations in business services to management
Secondary and elementary school teachers and educational counsellors, not elsewhere included (decline in broader category) *
General office clerks Supervisors, other products manufacturing and assembly
* This category includes only those teaching jobs where it was not clear whether the school was an
elementary school or a secondary school; for teachers overall, jobs are declining. Source: EMSI Analyst, 2013.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 14
Sector and Labour Forecast, Fall 2013
CONFERENCE BOARD OF CANADA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Ottawa employment forecast to show biggest decline in 19 years, with drops in public
administration, high tech manufacturing and residential construction; commercial
construction expected to be strong for years.
The Conference Board of Canada has adjusted its Employment Outlook numbers from Winter 2013, now
showing a bigger increase in non-commercial services, while personal services declined more than
forecast, and projected growth in wholesale & retail trade did not transpire. Transportation and
warehousing also declined more than projected, while Industrial held its own despite an earlier forecast
of decline. These new numbers are shown in the chart below.
Chart 7: Employment Outlook, Ottawa
Source: Conference Board of Canada, Metropolitan Outlook I, Fall 2013.
Highlights from Conference Board of Canada's Fall 2013 Economic Outlook 2:
Ottawa-Gatineau’s economy on track to expand by only 0.8% in 2013, while employment
forecast to drop 1.8%, the biggest decline in 18 years.
Things are expected to improve next year, with both real GDP and job growth forecast to reach
1.6%.
Public administration employment is headed for its biggest decline on record in 2013.
Non-residential construction sector will be busy for years, while residential slowing down.
High tech sector outlook is mixed – manufacturing still struggling, but services doing better
2 Source: Conference Board of Canada, Metropolitan Outlook I, Fall 2013
-1.8
-4
-1.9
-19.4
-0.6
-8.1
5.9
-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10
Total
Industrial
Office
Trans. & ware.
W&R trade
Personal ser.
Non-com. ser.
2013 (annual growth rate) EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK
1.6
2.9
0.5
5.2
2.7
3.4
1.0
0 2 4 6
Total
Industrial
Office
Trans.& ware.
W&R trade
Personal ser.
Non-com. ser.
2014-17 (average annual compound growth rate)
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 15
2. A CLOSER LOOK AT SUPPLY – Focusing on the Unemployed
LABOUR MARKET SUPPLY
In looking at labour market supply, one needs to take into account the full local labour force. This is
comprised of anyone currently working or looking for work.
When there is a job opening in the form of filling an existing position or creating a new one, those who
apply for it, and eventually fill it, can come from a number of different sources:
People who migrate into Ottawa;
People who are unemployed and looking for work;
People who are new or returning to the workforce (graduates, returning from voluntarily leaving
the workforce, etc.); and
People who are currently employed who change jobs.
Communities lose people from the local labour force pool when:
People migrate out of Ottawa;
People retire from the workforce; and
Unemployed people stop looking for work.
One important component of local labour market planning is to provide information to service providers
that help people who are unemployed and looking to find a job. To help facilitate this process, MTCU
has provided local boards with Case Management System (CaMS) data from Employment Ontario.
Analyzing this data will provide us with a better picture of the unemployed population in Ottawa and
will help us understand who is currently taking advantage of Employment Ontario programs and
services.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 16
EMPLOYMENT ONTARIO DATA
Background
As mentioned, this year MTCU provided the local boards with Employment Ontario data to help us gain
a better understanding of the local labour supply as represented by those looking for work. When
looking at the Employment Ontario data, it is important to note that this data is collected on ES Assisted
Service Clients. The numbers do not reflect those job seekers who come into an Employment Ontario
Centre to use the Centre’s resources, but have not signed up for assistance.
It should be noted that the data was not provided in a format that allowed for cross-tabulations. For
example, we can look at number of clients by gender (e.g., male) OR by age (e.g., 15-24), but cannot look
at the number of clients who are males, aged 15-24. We will be requesting this more raw data next year
to allow for this kind of analysis.
In OILLMP consultations with EOON, they recommended comparing to Hamilton (based on size of city)
and Toronto (based on “metropolitan nature” of city).
Overview
In 2012-13, Ottawa’s Employment Ontario service providers served a total of 9,099 ES Assisted Service
Clients. This represents 22.2% of the city’s 41,000 unemployed (based on Sep 2013 seasonally
unadjusted unemployment figures). In comparison, Toronto and Hamilton served 14.3% and 14.2% of
their unemployed, respectively. The numbers for the province were much higher, with 35.8% of the
unemployed population being served as ES Assisted Service Clients. We believe this could be a reflection
of the myriad of employment support options in urban centres that are unavailable in more rural
settings.
In breaking down the data, we will look at the EO data for Ottawa, and compare it to other geographic
regions for:
Age Group and Gender
Educational Attainment at Intake
Designated Groups
Where possible, we also determine the percentage of unemployed people in each category who are
Employment Ontario Assisted Clients. It should be noted that these comparisons use September 2013
unemployment figures, while the EO data is from March 2012 to April 2013.
We also felt it was important to look at the local occupation outlooks for the programs most commonly
approved for Second Career funding at the local level and to share key data on Apprenticeship.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 17
Age Group & Gender
ES ASSISTED SERVICE CLIENTS
When looking at the breakdown of ES Assisted Service Clients by age group, Ottawa seems to be quite
similar to Ontario overall, and to Hamilton and Toronto. We have a somewhat lower percentage of
clients aged 15-24 and a slightly higher percentage of 45-64 year olds.
Chart 8: ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP, by geography
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
When looking at the breakdown of ES Assisted Service Clients by gender, Ottawa has slightly more male
clients than female. This is quite similar to Ontario overall, with the proportion of male clients slightly
higher in Ottawa. This lean towards male clients is even more pronounced in Hamilton. It is interesting
to note that the ratios of males to females are essentially reversed for Toronto, as compared to Ottawa.
Chart 9: ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER, by geography
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
21.1%
47.5%
30.6%
0.8%
17.3%
51.2%
31.0%
0.7%
21.8%
47.3%
30.2%
0.7%
18.8%
53.7%
26.9%
0.7% 0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and older
ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
49.1% 50.6% 47.7% 52.2%
45.9%
54.1% 52.2% 47.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Female Male
ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 18
UNEMPLOYED POPULATIONS
In further exploring the data, we need to examine whether the above percentages are simply reflections
of the number of unemployed in each age group and each gender. We have prepared a population
pyramid of unemployed population by gender and age group for Ottawa and Toronto. Overall, Ottawa’s
unemployed include 51% males and 49% females, while Toronto is split 50/50 by gender.
While the percentages are quite similar for females by age groups, Ottawa’s unemployed males tend to
be older than Toronto’s. Especially notable is the difference between percentages for males, aged 45-
55 (15% of the unemployed in Ottawa and only 8% in Toronto). On the other hand, 36% of Toronto’s
unemployed are males 15-44, while this group represents only 28% of the unemployed in Ottawa.
Chart 10: Unemployed Population Pyramid for Ottawa & Toronto, August 2013
Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109.
17
19
8
5
1
15
20
9
6
0
13
15
15
5
4
14
21
6
6
0
30 20 10 0 10 20 30
15-24
25-44
45-55
55-64
65+
Percent of total unemployed
Ottawa Females Ottawa Males Toronto Females Toronto Males
MALES FEMALES
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 19
UNEMPLOYED USING ES ASSISTED SERVICES
As mentioned above, one needs to understand the breakdown of the unemployed population in each
region in order to put the numbers of ES Assisted Service Clients into perspective. The chart below
breaks down the number of unemployed and the number of ES Assisted clients by age group so that we
can come up with a percentage of how many are being serviced in each age group. This chart indicates
that the unemployed aged 25-44 are most likely to become clients, with a full 32.1% seeking support.
On the other hand, only 14.3% and 2.7% of those 15-24 and those 65 and older, respectively, are
seeking support in Ottawa.
Chart 11: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP, Ottawa
(with percentages of unemployed population who are clients)
Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
In order to determine if this phenomenon is similar across the province or specific to Ottawa, we also
provide a comparison of these percentages in Chart 12 on the next page.
As discussed earlier, when one looks at ONTARIO overall, there is a much higher percentage of
unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients. While this should be further explored, it could be
attributed to the fact that urban centres like Ottawa, Hamilton and Toronto provide other options for
employment support geared towards a variety of populations.
1,5774,656 2,820
65
11,000
14,500
13,100
2,400
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and older
ES Assisted Service Clients (2012-13) Unemployed (Sep 2013)
14.3% 32.1% 21.5% 2.7%
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 20
When comparing Ottawa to other urban centres such as Toronto and Hamilton, the Employment
Ontario Centres are seeing a higher percentage of unemployed in Ottawa for all age groups, other than
65 and older. Usage seems to be especially higher in Ottawa for those in the 25 to 44 age group.
Chart 12: Percentage of unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients by AGE GROUP,
by geography
Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
We can take a similar look at the clients by gender. The chart below shows that the Employment
Ontario Centres seem to be attracting males and females fairly equally when we compare the
percentage of unemployed populations served. The higher total number of male clients seems to be
largely a reflection of the higher number of unemployed males in Ottawa.
As with the Age Breakdowns, when we look at gender, Ottawa is getting a much higher percentage of
both the male and female unemployed population as ES Assisted Clients when compared to Toronto and
Hamilton, while being lower than the provincial average for both genders.
25.0%
43.7%
37.2%
17.6% 14.3%
32.1%
21.5%
2.7%
8.4%
18.1% 18.5%
7.8% 8.5%
19.9%
13.3% 9.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
15-24 25-44 45-64 65 and olderONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 21
Chart 13: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER, Ottawa
(with percentages of unemployed who are clients)
Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
Chart 14: Percentage of unemployed who are ES Assisted Service Clients by GENDER,
by geography
Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, CANSIM Table 282-0109 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
4,343 4,753
20,000 21,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Female Male
ES Assisted Service Clients (2012-13) Unemployed (Sep 2013)
21.7% 22.6%
37.0% 34.5%
21.7% 22.6%
15.0% 13.5% 13.1%
15.9%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Male FemaleONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 22
Educational Attainment at Intake
When looking at clients’ educational attainment at intake, we see a similarity with Toronto. Both urban
centres have a more highly educated unemployed population than ONTARIO or Hamilton (whose
numbers are much more similar to each other).
Chart 15: Clients by Educational Attainment at Intake, by geography
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
The National Household Survey (NHS) data also provides a local breakdown of the unemployed
population by educational attainment. It should be noted that the NHS data is from 2011 so, in this case,
we are comparing unemployment numbers from 2011 with 2012-13 Employment Ontario numbers.
Chart 16: Unemployed Population and ES Assisted Service Clients by EDUCATIONAL
ATTAINMENT, Ottawa (with percentages of unemployed population who are clients)
Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011 and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
1.2%
12.2%
29.6% 27.1%
22.6%
7.2%
1.1%
8.5%
23.3%
27.9% 32.4%
6.8% 1.4%
14.9%
29.3% 28.3%
17.5%
8.6%
0.9%
7.5%
23.2% 24.2%
37.2%
7.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Less thanGrade 8
Less thanGrade 12
Completionof Secondary
Completionof College
Completionof University
Other
ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
873 2,123 2,539 2,947
5,145
12,185
5,465
10,110
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
No certificate,diploma or degree
High school diplomaor equivalent
College, CEGEP orother non-universitycertificate or diploma
University certificate,diploma or degree at
bachelor level or above
EO Clients Unemployed
17.0% 17.4% 46.5% 29.1%
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 23
Designated Groups
Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON) advises that we should not put too much stock in the
data in this breakdown as clients are asked to self-identify and they have observed that many clients are
not doing so. In comparing the percentages of clients who fall under these groups, however, we can see
that as would be expected, the urban centres tend to see more clients who are newcomers and visible
minorities than the Ontario average. The percentages also show that the Ontario average for aboriginal
groups is somewhat higher than for the cities in the comparison, which likely reflects the higher density
of this population in Northern and rural Ontario.
Note that because of the data limitations highlighted by EOON, we do not draw comparisons to the
unemployed population in this case.
Chart 17: Clients by Designated Groups, by geography
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
8.6% 9.6%
4.3% 2.5%
12.9%
18.2%
5.7%
1.6%
9.1%
12.4%
9.2%
1.9%
17.6%
21.6%
1.9% 1.1%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Newcomer Visible Minority Person withDisability
Aboriginal Group
ONTARIO Ottawa Hamilton Toronto
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 24
Second Career Approved Programs
The Second Career program looks to provide skills training to increase the labour market supply in
occupations with good employment prospects. In looking at the EO data provided for Second Career
clients, we felt it was important to look at the local occupation outlooks for the top skills training
programs being approved at the local level. We also take a look at the only program that appears on
both EASTERN REGION and ONTARIO Top 10 lists that is not included on the Ottawa list - Heavy
Equipment Operators (Except Crane).
Table 9: Top Ten Second Career Approved Skills Training Programs with
Local Growth in Jobs, Ottawa, 2012-13
Approved Skills Training Program
2010 Jobs 2012 Jobs 2015 Forecast Ottawa Job Growth 2010-2015 (%)
Transport Truck Drivers 3448 4113 4212 22.1
Social and Community Service Workers
3086 2173 1856 -39.8
Accounting and Related Clerks
6026 4803 4768 -20.9
Paralegal and Related Occupations
2630 3306 3785 43.9
Computer Network Technicians
3033 2750 2648 -9.3
Medical Administrative Assistants
667 925 946 41.8
Administrative Officers 8646 9405 10179 17.7 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants
8327 7173 7445 -10.6
Home Support Workers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations
1496 1376 1404 -6.1
Accounting Technicians and Bookkeepers
2996 2612 2501 -16.5
NOT in Ottawa’s Top 10, but on both EASTERN REGION and ONTARIO Top 10
Heavy Equipment Operators (Except Crane)
1229 1337 1337 8.7%
Source: EMSI Analyst and Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 25
Apprenticeship
We are also including some of the EO data on apprenticeships, as this helps tell part of the labour
market supply story.
Table 10: Apprenticeships, Ottawa, 2012-13
Number of Certificates of Apprenticeship (CoAs) Issued 621
Number of Certificates of Qualification (CoQs) Issued 475
Number of Modular Training Registrations 223
Average Age of Apprentices at Registration 27
Number of New Registrations 1,637
Number of Active Apprentices 8,927
Number of Active Journeypersons 17,218
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
Below we provide the information on the top 10 new registrations and active journeypersons,
highlighting in bold text those trades that appear on both lists. It is interesting to note that five of the
trades listed in the Top trades appear on only one of the two lists (either new registrations or active
journeypersons), while five appear on both lists (these are highlighted in bold text).
Table 11: Top Ten Trades, Ottawa, 2012-13
NEW REGISTRATIONS ACTIVE JOURNEYPERSONS
1. Information Technology - Contact Centre
Customer Service Agent
2. Electrician - Construction and Maintenance
3. Automotive Service Technician
4. Instrumentation and Control Technician
5. Hairstylist
6. Water Meter Installer
7. General Carpenter
8. Plumber
9. Information Technology - Contact Centre
Customer Sales Agent
10. Child Development Practitioner
1. Automotive Service Technician
2. Electrician - Construction and Maintenance
3. Industrial Mechanic Millwright
4. Hairstylist
5. Industrial Electrician
6. Truck and Coach Technician
7. General Carpenter
8. Plumber
9. General Machinist
10. Tool and Die Maker
Source: Custom data provided by Employment Ontario.
In our more detailed three-year labour market plan, we will explore the occupations associated with
these trades to see what the Ottawa outlooks are in terms of demand.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 26
3. 2013-14 ACTION PLAN UPDATE
2013-14 Action Plan
Ongoing Consultations with LMPC and LMSDC (and EOON)
While community consultations were not a requirement in the 2013-14 action plan, OILLMP continued
its ongoing consultations, including a consultation with Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON)
and plans to provide regular updates to the EOON executive committee. Highlights included:
June 2013 – Thank-you BBQ for both LMPC and LMSDC that included an update from OILLMP,
showcasing new LMI tools and resource portals, and getting input into proposed projects.
September 2013 – Met with the Employment Ontario Ottawa Network executive committee to
present sample LMI tools, showcase portals, and consult on interpretation of the EO data.
October 2013 – LMPC session with employers and other stakeholders and LMSDC session with
service providers to share updates, validate tools, consult on projects and labour market update.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 27
#1 Local Labour Market Planning Update
1A - Identify information & planning needs of EO network, including MTCU, and broader community support services
This action is ongoing; further consultations planned with LMPC /LMSDC in December and February.
Through consultations, solicited input from various service providers on our LMI tools, including:
Occupation Outlooks for Ottawa, Top Jobs in Ottawa, Education Program Reports.
We fine-tuned the tools to best suit their needs and consulted on effective ways to market materials.
1B - Update the eight base indicators and provide an interpretation of local employment and workforce changes (based on June data)
This action is complete. Update is included in this report (see Labour Market Indicators – pages 3-14).
1C - Prepare overview & analysis of locally based aggregate EO program/client data sets
This action is complete. We will, however, provide an additional update to Employment Ontario
Ottawa Network (EOON). This overview and analysis has been completed and is included in this report
(see A Closer Look at Supply - pages 15-25). We also met with Employment Ontario Ottawa Network
and the Labour Market Service Delivery Committee to validate findings.
#2 2013-14 Partnership Projects
PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #1 - Service Coordination (Year One Implementation)
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
The Service Coordination Workplan will be developed by March 31 in partnership with the Ottawa
Community Coalition for Literacy (OCCL), based on consultations with MTCU, other government
departments and Ottawa service providers. It is anticipated that the first phase of the project will
include a comprehensive assessment of the Current State of service coordination in Ottawa, including
a gap analysis against the desired future state.
Proposed Deliverable: Meet the following MTCU objective over several years: In each community, the
assessment and referral process ensures that the client pathway to employment is seamless. Clients
can access the right community services and programs, the first time, to address their specific needs.
RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS
OILLMP and OCCL facilitated a session in February 2013 with more than 20 community partners
to solicit inputs into the workplan; plan was submitted to and approved by MTCU in April.
This will also build on the current Service Provider Portal project (2012 Partnership Project #4).
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 28
SERVICE COORDINATION FRAMEWORK FOR YEAR ONE
ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS
Phase I of this project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:
Framework was validated with LMPC and LMSDC in the spring.
Additional budget request approved in May; a part-time Project Coordinator started in July.
Prepared a project plan and Strategic Working Group membership list with input from MTCU.
Held a Strategic Working Group Kick-off Session on Sep 25th to review project and validate data
collection tools for identifying the current state.
Establish advisory groups in September/October (ongoing)
Prepared data collection surveys; to be launched in October/November (ongoing)
Proposed actions are outlined in the framework on the previous page. Key next steps include:
Meet with Advisory Groups to validate current state in November/December.
Meet with Strategic Working Group in November/December to define Future State.
PARTNERS ENGAGED (Strategic Working Group members) MTCU, Employment & Training, Literacy and Basic Skills, Apprenticeships.
Ministry of Community & Social Services, Ministry of Children & Youth Services.
Employment Ontario Ottawa Network (EOON), Ottawa Community Coalition for Literacy.
John Howard Society, City of Ottawa, St. Lawrence College, Ontario March of Dimes.
Service Canada, LASI World Skills, Kagita Mikam, Youth Services Bureau.
Sep NovOctJun AugJul MarMayApr Dec FebJan
PRIORITY AREAS
Ongoing Governance, Communication, Stakeholder Engagement & Project Management
DEV
ELO
P A
PP
RO
AC
H &
PR
OJE
CT
PLA
N -
Esta
blis
h W
ork
ing
Gro
up
to
Det
erm
ine
Go
vern
ance
Mo
del
, Gu
idin
g P
rin
cip
les,
an
d D
evel
op
Det
aile
d P
roje
ct P
lan
#1 – Create a common assessment/ screening tool
#2 – Create value proposition, identify right levels to engage, and get formal buy-in from government and stakeholders
#3 – Identify existing collaborations, relationships, contacts; share and expand within the network
#5 – Identify client pathways in order to establish an accepted process for referrals
#6 – Funders’ common knowledge/ awareness (review of strategic plans and funding allocations, streamlining and coordination)
#7 – Inventory of existing programs/ services/networks (analyze best practices and share)
#8 – Continuous training and engagement of staff (develop tools)
#4 – Survey clients for input into service coordination (Validate plan-Y2)
KEY ACTIVITIESConsult with service providers, funders, employers and other stakeholders to collect information on:• Assessment and
screening tools• Relationships and
networks• Referral process• Existing programs/
services• Client pathways• Funders’ current
knowledge/ awareness
• Training and engagement activities
• Operating environment
KEY ACTIVITIESConduct research on best practices:• What is currently
happening in Ottawa that we can leverage and adapt
• What can we learn from similar initiatives in other parts of Ontario
• Explore current trends and global best practices around service coordination (both in terms of employment services and more broadly)
Create Value Propositions to support communication and engagement
KEY ACTIVITIESBased on desired outcome defined by MTCU and best practice research, articulate where we want to be 3 years from now:• Assessment and
screening tools• Relationships
and networks• Referral process• Programs/
services• Client pathways• Funder
alignment• Training and
engagement YEA
RS
2 a
nd
3 –
Val
idat
e an
d R
oll
ou
t Im
ple
men
tati
on
Pla
n
KEY ACTIVITIESValidate the Current State and outline how we will get to Desired Future State for each Priority Area:• Map Current
State against Desired Future State (additional data collection as required)
• Conduct a Gap Analysis
• Formulate Recommen-dations to Close the Gaps over next 1 to 2 years
THE CHALLENGEIdentify Current State
People, Processes, Practices, Tools
THE OPPORTUNITYExplore Best
Practices Local & Global
THE RESPONSEDefine Desired
Future State To achieve outcome
THE IMPLICATIONSConduct Gap
Analysis & Make Recommendations
Monitor environment, assess changes and adapt as required
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 29
PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #2 - Ottawa Construction Labour Needs/ Gaps
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Further identify and address Construction labour needs/skills gaps - share survey findings, dig deeper
and follow-up:
Prepare Presentation on Findings for Service Providers.
Conduct a survey with unions to see where they see gaps/surplus.
Ensure Employer survey becomes an annual event (compare to baseline established in 2012).
Include Heavy Construction Association (add them to current survey).
Plug into labour needs of the Rideau Transit Group for LRT.
Determine how to get people skilled to fast-track into positions.
Consider promoting females in non-traditional roles.
Proposed Deliverable: A report on Labour Needs and Gaps in Ottawa's Construction Industries shared
with service providers and employers. An event or plan to address the gaps, in partnership with
employers and services providers.
RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS
This will build on Construction Event; incorporate findings into Service Provider Portal.
ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS
This project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:
Met with City of Ottawa Employment Services/Light Rail Project Office to discuss approach to
identify labour needs and to highlight EO and OILLMP support available to employers (Jul 2013).
Discussed idea of a brief survey for contractors coming on board around their labour needs.
Proposed next steps include:
Light Rail Project Office to position initiative with Rideau Transit Group (pending).
Finalize Special Report on the Construction Sector (will be published in November).
Follow up with Unions and Associations on surveys (timed with release of Special Report).
PARTNERS ENGAGED City of Ottawa, Employment Services and City of Ottawa, Light Rail Project Office.
Proposed partners: Ottawa Construction Association, Greater Ottawa Home Builders'
Association, Rideau Transit Group (all engaged in the Construction Event in February 2013).
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 30
PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #3 - Position OILLMP as a data hub
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Position OILLMP as a data hub for both demand-side and supply-side data (explore how we can further
leverage and broaden sources of information, identify new sources of information and determine which
ones we can access (e.g., search firms and recruitment agencies, educational institutions, LinkedIn data),
solicit input from service providers and employers on an ongoing basis, and educate service providers on
data analysis/interpretation.
Proposed Deliverable: Monthly updates to the OILLMP website with additional LMI added. Ongoing
dialogue with service providers and employers to collect LM data. Potential training session with EO
service providers on analyzing/interpreting CaMs data.
RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS
This will be tied to the OILLMP website, as well as LMI section of the Service Provider Portal, as
“real-time” LMI – incorporate into members only area if necessary.
ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS
This project is still in progress. Key actions taken to date include:
Data snapshots are updated monthly on the OILLMP website.
Prepared a template for Occupation Outlooks; consulted with EOON, LMSDC and Employment
Ontario to validate; approx. 200 reports prepared in English with French one page summaries.
Prepared template for Ottawa’s Top Jobs Quick Reference Sheets to highlight top occupations
in Ottawa (approx. 35 occupations to be highlighted); validated with EOON.
Preparing a Labour Market Information self-guided tutorial to show job seekers and students
how to explore labour market information (to be completed in Oct 2013).
Prepared an Education Program Report with EMSI Analyst; acquired a subscription for a Jobs
Demand Report; will explore outputs and include on the OILLMP website in 2013-14 or 2014-15.
Formed a partnership with City of Ottawa to develop Labour Market Workshops to Youth to be
piloted through the City’s Employment Services with high school students and youth job
seekers. OILLMP will get feedback on the tools and tutorial (as described above) through these
pilots. Workshop materials and a train-the-trainer session will be provided to all EO centres.
Formed a partnership with Ottawa Network for Education (ONFE) and Algonquin College to
prepare Labour Market Links Workshops for delivery to guidance counsellors and co-op
teachers. ONFE is currently meeting with school boards to finalize approach. This will provide an
opportunity for OILLMP to market its LMI website/tools to prospective job seekers.
Proposed next steps include:
New tools will all be on OILLMP website in English and French by December 2013.
PARTNERS ENGAGED City of Ottawa, EOON, Ottawa Network for Education, Algonquin College.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 31
PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #4 - HR Projections for Invest Ottawa Priority Sectors
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Determine HR Projections around Invest Ottawa priority sectors (focus on Photonics as a first priority,
then potentially Life Sciences and/or Film, Digital Media and Television Production).
Proposed Deliverables: A report on HR projections associated with Invest Ottawa's priority sectors
focused on Photonics (as the pilot sector).
RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS
This will be tied to the OILLMP website, as well as LMI section of the Service Provider Portal, as “real-
time” LMI – incorporate into Members Only area if necessary.
ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS
This project is still in progress. No actions taken to date. OILLMP to meet with Invest Ottawa in
October to confirm which sector will serve as a pilot and to develop an approach and project plan.
PARTNERS ENGAGED
Lead partner: Invest Ottawa. Other potential partners include: Ottawa Photonics Cluster (OPC), The
Ontario Center for Excellence for Photonics, educational institutions.
PARTNERSHIP PROJECT #5 - Enhance/market the Employer Portal
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Identify ways to market, and further engage employers in enhancement of, the Employer Portal
designed to help Ottawa's small and mid-sized businesses recruit and retain their workforce.
Proposed Deliverables: These will be defined with the working group.
RELATED ACTIONS FROM PREVIOUS YEARS
This will include optimizing the website and working with employers to identify and share case studies
that highlight best practices and lessons learned, aligned with our priorities.
ACTIONS & ACCOMPLISHMENTS / NEXT STEPS
This project is still in progress. Actions taken to date include:
OttawaStaffingToolkit.ca went “live” in June.
Marketed at the New Entrepreneurs Ottawa Networking (NEON) Fall 2013 event.
Presented to EOON in September to get input on marketing ideas.
Ottawa Integrated Local Labour Market Plan - 2013 INTERIM REPORT - October 2013 32
Proposed next steps include:
Market on City of Ottawa’s portal for businesses.
Get feedback from employer test group, modify English and finalize French (Oct/Nov).
Reconvene working group to flesh out marketing plan through Chambers, BIAs, etc. (Nov/Dec).
Market to job developers across the City to share with employers and market to service
providers (many are SMEs) for their own use, as recommended by EOON (Oct/Nov).
Hire Immigrants Ottawa will provide a case study for us to use as the first one (Nov).
PARTNERS ENGAGED
Ottawa Chamber of Commerce, Invest Ottawa, HRPA (Ottawa), Hire Immigrants Ottawa, City of Ottawa.
Employer test group includes: Pythian, Cinnamon Toast, N-VisionIT, National Bank, On Point
Performance Training Inc., Canadian Kiosk.
OTHER ACTIVITIES
The Labour Market Planning Office (LMPO) will consult with committee members on the best approach
to ongoing consultations and will also enhance the Members Only area of OILLMP website to facilitate
these consultations.
This is in progress. One-on-one discussions will take place in Nov/Dec.
We will also be "rebranding" OILLMP in 2013-14 to a more "user-friendly" and intuitive name, with
updates to the website to reflect the new branding.
This is in progress. Got initial input from LMSDC and LMPC; will get more feedback in one-on-
one discussions in Nov/Dec.
OILLMP will work with the Economic Sector Table of the Ottawa Local Immigration Partnership (OLIP)
to tie their service coordination activities into the broader service coordination mandate of our group.
This is in progress. Ingrid Argyle, OILLMP Project Manager and Jean Huard, Service Delivery
Manager, MTCU identified as working group co-chairs for Employment Service Coordination.
Moving Forward We look forward to continuing to work with our partners through the remainder of 2013 and into 2014
on all of our ongoing activities and partnership projects, while continuing to prepare labour market
information and tools in user-friendly formats that respond to our partners' needs.
We will also be broadening our consultations, and digging deeper into the National Household Survey
findings and other available data in preparing the comprehensive three-year local labour market plan
for October 2014.