2013 Callan Risk Management Survey

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    2013 Risk Management Survey

    Risk Management in a New Light

    CALLAN

    INVESTMENTS

    INSTITUTE

     Survey

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 1Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Table of Contents

    Executive Summary  2

    Respondent Characteristics  3

    Are Risk Management Tools Effective?  4

    External Inuences  5

    Reactions to the 2008 Market Crisis  6

    Policy-Level Considerations  7

    Strategy-Level Considerations  8

    Formally Addressing Risk Management  9Risk Management Stafng  12

    Consultants  13

    Risk Measurement  14

    Risk Management Reports  17

    Reviewing and Communicating Risk Management Findings  18

    Taking Action  19

    Risk-Based Tactical Moves  20

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 2Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

     

    The 2008 market crisis put risk in the spotlight and prompted fund duciaries to look at risk management in a new light. Callan

    elded this survey in November 2012, and the results incorporate responses from 53 fund sponsors representing $576 billion

    in assets. The vast majority of this group has taken concrete steps in the past ve years to address investment risks. More

    than half (55%) believe their risk management tools are effective at mitigating investment risk, but 14% see these systems as

    simply a means to improve risk identication and monitoring. The jury is still out for one-third of respondents, as their tools are

    relatively new and untested in a true market crisis. Other key ndings of our survey include:

    • Public and corporate funds are embracing policy-level approaches to risk management more so than endowments/

    foundations. Public funds have implemented economic regime asset allocations, risk parity, and risk factor-based asset

    allocation, while corporate funds favor liability-driven investing and funded status-based glide path de-risking.

    • Strategy-level approaches to mitigate risk are easier to implement than those that alter the fund’s overall investment

    policy, and we observed higher levels of adoption for strategy changes across fund types. Public funds and endowments/

    foundations are most heavily implementing or considering real assets, opportunistic xed income, absolute return, and

    long/short equity. Corporate funds are also embracing absolute return, but long duration is the most favored strategy-level

    approach used to address risk.

    • Most funds (94%) do not have a formal risk budget, but rather explicitly address risk management in their plan governance

    via asset allocation, investment objectives, and disciplined rebalancing.

    • Formal risk management processes are most prevalent at large funds, although around half of medium and small funds have

    adopted one or are considering doing so this year. Funds implementing a formal risk management process generally aim to

    gain a better understanding of the risks taken, monitor them, and document them.

    • Forty-two percent of all respondents employ proprietary and/or third-party risk measurement tools, such as software or

    data services. Usage of third-party tools is most prevalent at public funds, while endowments/foundations are the greatest

    adopters of in-house (proprietary) tools.

    • The investment committee is the body most regularly tasked with deciding when to take action based on the ndings of risk

    management tools. The most common actions taken were asset allocation changes (64% of respondents), manager due

    diligence/search (56%), and increased manager monitoring (52%). A full 20% of respondents had not yet taken any actions

    based on risk management ndings.

    • Many fund sponsors wrestle with whether or not to tactically manage plan risk. Only 30% of sponsors have made

    rebalancing decisions (including but not limited to tactical rebalancing) based on risk management ndings. Of those that

    have not done so, most (82%) do not plan to in the future. Public (31%) and large (25%) funds are most likely to use tactical

    implementations going forward.

    Executive Summary

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 3Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Callan conducted the Risk Management survey in Novem-

    ber 2012. Results incorporate responses from 53 fund spon-

    sor organizations representing $576 billion in assets (as of

    June 30, 2012). Of those that measure funded status (79%

    of respondents), the average funded status was 75% within

    a range of 28% to 100%. More than one-third of respondents

    (37%) were Callan clients at the time they responded.

    The majority of respondents (51%) are public funds, and cor-

    porate funds make up 21%. The remaining respondents are

    endowments/foundations (17%), Taft-Hartley plans (5%), or

    other types of organizations (including charitable trusts and

    other types of tax-exempt plans).

    The respondent pool is split by fund size into roughly three

    parts: small funds (less than $1 billion in assets) make up

    30%, medium funds (between $1 and $5 billion) make up

    32%, and the remaining 38% are large funds (greater than

    $5 billion).

    Respondent Characteristics

    Respondents by Fund Type

    Respondents by Fund Size

    Public51%

    Corporate21%

    Other 6%

    Endowment/Foundation 17%

    Taft-Hartley 5%

    >$15 billion 21%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 4Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    More than half of fund sponsors (55%) feel that risk manage-

    ment tools and systems have had a positive overall impact

    on their fund. One-third of respondents are unsure how ef-

    fective these tools are, but will be able to better assess these

    systems after they have been tested in a future market crisis.

    Fourteen percent of asset owners do not see these tools as

    effective.

     Yes

    • “It has changed the staff, investment committee, and board focus from alpha to asset allocation. Thus, we have been able

    to build a more balanced portfolio together over the past year.”

    • “It allows us to look at the portfolio from a number of different ways that we haven’t considered in the past.”

    • “The fund is more diversied and has increased hedges.”

    No (or Not Yet)

    • “We have not yet used them to their fullest extent. We are continuing to learn how these can benet managing our

    investments.”

    • “Not really. We monitor risk, but do not manage it. The only formal risk management we do is in our strategic asset

    allocation and rebalancing to targets.”

    • “Not used to mitigate risk—mostly to identify and understand sources of risk. Used more for monitoring than mitigation

    to date.”

    Note: Throughout this survey, charts may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

    Are Risk Management Tools Effective?

    Have risk management tools/systems been effective atmitigating your fund’s investment risk?

    Select survey respondent quotes:

    Yes 55%

    No

    14%

    Unsure/

    too soon

    to know

    32%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 5Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Over the past decade, asset owners have begun to intensely

    focus on risk while taking a step back from “reaching for re-

    turns.” External factors have certainly played a role in shap-

    ing how investors view risk. We asked respondents to score

    the degree to which various factors have inuenced their

    organizations.

     Asset/liability considerations top fund sponsors’ list of inu-

    encing factors, which is not surprising given the plunging

    funded ratios witnessed in the recent past. Future market

    outlook and recent market events rank second and third,

    revealing enduring uncertainties stemming from the 2008

    nancial crisis.

    Liquidity/cash ow concerns rank fourth. Many funds faced

    unexpectedly large drawdowns despite their highly diversi-

    ed allocations, alongside signicant liquidity and rebalanc-

    ing issues caused in part by their large, ill iquid private market

    programs. Peer inuence registers low on the scale.

    External Inuences

    What external factors have inuenced how yourorganization addresses risk management?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

     Actions/results of peer funds

    Other regulatory/political issues

    Stakeholder/public scrutiny

    Projected future inflation

    Liquidity/cash flow concerns

    Recent market events(e.g., increased volatility, effectiveness of diversification, etc.)

    Future market outlook(e.g., low returns, high volatility, etc.)

     Asset/liability considerations(e.g., funded status volatility, contribution volatility, etc.)

    2.1

    3.3

    3.0

    2.7

    2.4

    2.2

    3.5

    1.8

    Weighted Average Score (0=Least Important, 5=Most Important)

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 6Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    The 2008 market crisis caused asset owners substantial

    stress, and continues to impact decision making. Signicant

    changes are occurring at many fund sponsor organizations,

    frequently driven by a renewed focus on risk. The majority of

    fund sponsors (81%) reveal increased concern about invest-

    ment risk at their organization following the market crisis.

    The focus on risk has impacted both the types of investments

    asset owners consider and the entire structure of their in-

    vestment policy. Sixty-two percent report that their strategic

    asset allocation changed; 47% of respondents signicantly

    increased allocations to alternatives, which can offer diversi-

    cation benets relative to traditional asset classes. Approxi-

    mately half of respondents lowered their return target.

    Just one respondent indicated no changes have occurred

    since 2008.

    Reactions to the 2008 Market Crisis

    What changes have occurred at your organization since the 2008 market crisis?

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    No changes

     Adoption of explicit risk target

    Other 

    Investment time horizon shortened

    More tactical in asset allocation(defensive to lower risk)

    Changed rebalancing policies(increased flexibility)

     Appetite for return and the necessaryrisk to achieve it declined

    Increased resources (people, tools, budgets, etc.)in risk measurement and management

    Risk focus changed from asset tofunded status volatility

    More opportunistic in asset allocation(aggressive to increase return)

    Significantly increased allocation to alternatives(increased diversification)

    Return target declined

    Strategic asset allocation changed

    Concern about investment risk increased

    21%

    2%

    4%

    8%

    11%

    21%

    28%

    26%

    25%

    32%

    47%

    51%

    62%

    81%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 7Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    To assess how discussions and actions around policy-level

    approaches—or those that impact the entire fund struc-

    ture—are developing, we asked respondents to indicate

    their organization’s status across six different strategies.

    Stages range across a spectrum, from Education (rst

    stage) to Implemented. It is implied that those that selected

    an advanced stage had already completed all the previ-

    ous stages, and might have ended there. Alternately, some

    funds at earlier stages may still be considering moves to

    more advanced stages.

    We dissect responses by fund type, as clear differences

    arise in approaches between publics, corporates, and en-

    dowments/foundations. For example, 73% of corporatefunds have considered risk factor-based asset allocation;

    9% of those made it all the way to implementation while 36%

    pursued education but had taken no further action as of the

    survey response date.

    Risk parity appears to have gained the most traction with

    public funds at the policy level. However, the 75% gure may

    be articially high due to respondents mistakenly noting it

    here when they in fact implemented this approach at the

    strategy level (as detailed on the following page).

     Around one-fth of public funds have implemented risk factor-

    based asset allocation, while another one-third or more have

    had staff consider the policy, but have taken no further action.

    Policy-Level Considerations by Fund Type

    Indicate which policy-level, “risk-centric” approaches you have considered orimplemented in your investment program.

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    Funded status-basedde-risking glide path

    LDI

    Tail risk hedging

    Economic regimeasset allocations

    Risk parity

    Risk factor-basedasset allocation

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    Education Staff Consideration Presented to Committee Board Approved Implemented

    CorporateEndowment/FoundationPublic

    Note: All bars do not sum to 100% as respondents could also select “N/A” or “Unsure”.

    64%

    73%

    73%18% 18% 9% 27%

    27%

    27% 27% 9%

    45% 18%

    36% 27%

    36% 27% 9%

    55%9%9%

    64%

    100%

    64%

    56%

    67%

    11%

    22% 11%

    11%   44%

    22% 33%

    44% 11%

    11%

    11%   44%   11%

    67%

    33%

    56%

    75%

    71%

    42%17%17%

    13% 29%

    17% 29% 17%

    33% 8% 25%

    13% 33%

    4%4%

    4%4%   4%

    4%

    8% 21%

    38% 21%

    67%

    42%

    67%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 8Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    To assess how discussions and actions around strategy-

    level approaches—or the adoption of individual strategies

    within the fund’s existing structure—were developing, we

    asked respondents to indicate their organization’s status

    across 11 different approaches. Stages range across a

    spectrum, from Education (rst stage) to Implemented. It

    is implied that those that selected an advanced stage had

    already completed all the previous stages, and might have

    ended there. Alternately, some funds at earlier stages may

    still be considering moves to more advanced stages.

    We dissect responses by fund type, revealing substantial

    differences between publics, corporates, and endowments/

    foundations. For example, long duration is on the radar formore than 90% of corporate funds, likely as part of discus-

    sions around LDI, and 73% have implemented a long dura-

    tion strategy. Conversely, less than half of public funds and

    endowments/foundations have considered this approach

    and only around 10% have implemented it.

     Approaches that generate return while adding to portfolio di-

    versication have gained the most traction with public funds

    and endowments/foundations, including opportunistic xed

    income, absolute return, long/short equity, and real assets.

    Strategy-Level Considerations by Fund Type

    Indicate which strategy-level, “risk-centric” approaches you have considered orimplemented in your investment program

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    56%

    56%

    67%

    67%

    78%

    89%

    100%

    56%

    44%

    56%

    67%

    Education Staff Consideration Presented to Committee Board Approved Implemented

    55%

    45%

    55%

    64%

    73%

    64%

    73%

    45%

    18%

    27%

    27% 27%

    27%

    27%

    27%

    27%

    45%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    73%

    18%

    18%

    18% 18%

    9%9%

    9%9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    91%

    36%

    27%

    CorporateEndowment/Foundation

    Note: All bars do not sum to 100% as respondents could also select “N/A” or “Unsure”.

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    Yield equity

    Short duration/floatingrate fixed income

    Currency hedging

    Long duration

    Risk parity

    Risk factor strategies

    Low volatility equity

    Opportunistic fixedincome

     Absolute return

    Long/short equity

    Real assets

    11%

    11%11%11%

    11%11%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    33%

    33%

    22%

    22%

    22%

    22%

    22%

    22% 22%

    22%

    54%

    58%

    63%

    83%

    75%

    79%

    88%

    54%

    38%

    50%

    63%

    Public

    8% 33%

    29%

    29%

    8%

    4% 4%

    4%

    8%4%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%8%

    8%

    8%

    17%

    17%

    17% 21%

    33%

    42%

    38%

    33%

    38%

    46%

    17%

    17%

    17%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    13%

    17%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 9Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Risk management is interwoven with plan governance. We

    assessed the popularity of more than a dozen options for ex-

    plicitly addressing risk in plan governance, and found three

    methods that are used by at least 50% of all fund types:

    1. Strategic asset allocation,

    2. Investment objectives, and

    3. Disciplined rebalancing.

    Performance and risk monitoring, liquidity needs, and peer

    comparisons all registered highly for public funds, and to a

    lesser degree for endowments/foundations and corporate

    funds.

    Other tactics, such as asset/liability matching targets, wereclearly popular with corporate funds (64%) but not with other

    fund types. Conversely, only public funds have adopted ex-

    plicit risk budgeting, and traction is low even within this group.

    Similarly, the majority (94%) of respondents do not have a for-

    malized risk budget.

    Formally Addressing Risk Management

    How is risk management explicitlyaddressed in plan governance?

    Does your organization have aformal risk budget?

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    Risk budgeting

    Valuation methodology

    Regulatory constraints

    Leverage of fundand investments

    Use/monitoringof derivatives

     Asset/liabilitymatching targets

    Counterparty risk

    Funded status/spending targets

    Peer comparisons(asset allocation, risk, return)

    Liquidity needs

    Performance and riskmonitoring for 

    all levels of fund

    Disciplined rebalancing

    Investment objectives(performance and risk)

     Asset allocation/diversification   73%

    96%89%

    64%

    79%89%

    64%

    36%

    71%67%

    75%44%

    9%

    71%

    56%

    56%

    18%

    25%

    71%

    45%44%

    9%44%

    42%

    64%

    17%

    18%29%

    11%8%

    9%

    21%

    0%

    0%0%

    44%25%

    33%

    0%

    0%

    29%11%

    Public Endowment/Foundation Corporate Yes 6%

    No 94%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 10Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    While the vast majority of funds do not formally budget risk,

    more than one quarter (27%) have a formal risk management

    process in place that extends beyond strategic asset alloca-

    tion and rebalancing. Interestingly, an additional 31% are con-

    sidering implementing one in 2013.

    Large funds are best equipped to implement a formal risk

    management process given the resources this entails. Ac-

    cordingly, a greater percentage of large funds have already

    implemented a formal risk management process (33%) than

    medium or small funds (25%), and another 44% of large funds

    are considering doing so in 2013.

    Results vary less by fund type than by fund size. Endow-ments/foundations are least likely to implement or consider a

    risk management process.

    For organizations that have a formal risk management pro-

    cess, understanding and documenting risks is the top prior-

    ity. Other goals that rank highly indicate a focus on improv-

    ing traditional duciary management practices. For example,

    “changing the mix of necessary and reasonable risks” and

    “lowering medium- to long-term total risk” are goals that are

    incorporated into most prudent, long-term asset allocations.

    Conversely, two goals that reect more tactical thinking reg-

    istered on the low end of the scale. Hedging specic risks

    and lowering short-term, downside risk are less traditional

    approaches that are typically more aggressive with a short-

    term focus. Few survey respondents prioritize these goals,

    as would be expected within a long-term, strategic asset al-

    location structure.

    Formally Addressing Risk Management (continued)

    What formal risk management process goals are most important to your organization?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    Tactically lower short-term, downside risk

    Specifically hedge certain risks(e.g., inflation, tail risk)

    Lower/minimize medium-to long-term total risk

    Change mix of necessaryand reasonable risks

    Improve the risk/return trade-off 

    Lower funded status volatility

    Better understand riskstaken and document them

    3.0

    2.9

    2.8

    2.8

    2.5

    3.4

    2.4

    Weighted Average Score (0=Least Important, 5=Most Important)

    Does your organization have a formal risk management process?

    Yes No, but considering for 2013 No,not considering for 2013

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Corporate

    Endowment/Foundation

    Public

    Small

    Medium

    Large

     All   27% 31% 41%

    50%25%25%

    33% 44% 22%

    56%19%25%

    22% 33% 44%

    36%36%28%

    27% 36% 36%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 11Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Bottom up 21%

    Risk Measured

    Both

    43%

    Top down

    36%

    Bottom up 0%

    Both

    57%

    Top down

    43%

    Risk Managed

    Risk Measured

    Both

    50%

    Relative risk(tracking error) 7%

    Relative risk(tracking error)

    29%

    Both

    43%

     Absoluterisk(volatility)

    50%

     Absolute risk(volatility) 

    21%

    Risk Managed

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Yes36%

    No64%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Yes29%

    No71%

    For organizations that have a formal risk management pro-

    cess, approaches to risk management are split between

    managing risk from both top down and bottom up (57%) and

    from top down exclusively (43%). Risk measurement tactics

    are more varied, with more than one-fth (21%) that mea-

    sure risk from the bottom up exclusively. A combination of

    both methods is the most popular means of measuring risk,

    as well, at 43%.

    Comparing absolute and relative risk, absolute risk appears

    to be the priority, with 50% of respondents relying solely on

    this measure to manage risk, and another 43% including it

    alongside relative risk. The tables turn when it comes to risk

    measurement: a slightly greater percentage of funds rely ex-clusively on relative risk (29%) than absolute risk (21%), al-

    though a majority (50%) uses both.

    Explicit risk hedging is utilized by a minority of funds. Just

    36% of those with a formal risk management process are al-

    lowed to explicitly hedge particular risks. Of those only 29%

    are currently hedging any risks, including currency, interest

    rates, ination, and funded status.

    Formally Addressing Risk Management (continued)

    What is your risk management structure approach?

    Absolute risk or relative risk?

    Do your guidelines allow you toexplicitly hedge particular risks?

    Are you currently hedging anyparticular risks?

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 12Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

     Although risk is clearly a priority for fund sponsors, the

    majority (84%) do not employ a chief risk ofcer (CRO) or

    other individual who is primarily focused on managing fund

    risk. However, results vary quite a bit by fund type and size.

    None of the endowments/foundations surveyed employ a

    CRO, while more than one-third of corporate funds have

    this position. Public funds strike a middle ground, with 16%

    employing a CRO and another 16% considering hiring one.

    Results are unsurprising by fund size in that the large funds

    are much more likely than small funds to have, or consider

    hiring, an in-house individual who is tasked with managing

    risks. This is probably a matter of having the resources avail-able to dedicate an individual to these responsibilities rather

    than incorporating them into an existing position.

    Risk Management Stafng

    Does your organization have a Chief Risk Ofcer (CRO) or similar assigned role?

    Yes No, but might hire one No, will not hire one

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    Corporate

    Endowment/Foundation

    Public

     All   16% 8% 76%

    100%

    16% 16% 68%

    64%36%

    19% 81%

    56%22%22%

    6% 94%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 13Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    General investment consultants are the most common

    source of risk management services, and the usage of dedi-

    cated risk management service providers is low.

    The majority of respondents (94%) employ a general invest-

    ment consultant,1  though only about half of those receive

    explicit risk management services from that consultant.

     All of the asset owners that employ a separate risk manage-

    ment rm also have a general investment consultant. Large

    asset owners, which dedicate more resources to this area,

    are three times as likely to use a separate risk management

    provider as their small and medium fund counterparts.

    Consultants

    Does your organization employ ageneral investment consultant?

    Does your fund employ a separate risk management consultant/advisor/provider(s)?

    If yes, does your consultant provideexplicit risk management services?

    No 6%

    Yes

    94%

    Unsure 5%

    Limited services 7%

     Yes

    46%

    No

    42%

    Yes No

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    CorporateEndowment/Foundation

    Public

     All   12% 88%

    100%

    17% 83%

    91%9%

    6% 94%

    78%22%

    7% 93%

    1 37% of total respondents were Callan clients at the time they

    completed the sur vey.

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 14Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    The adoption of risk management tools is greater than risk

    management consultants. Around one-third of respondents

    use third-party resources; 10% use these tools in conjunc-

    tion with in-house tools.

    Whereas none of the endowments/foundations surveyed uti-

    lize a dedicated risk management consultant (see page 13),

    these organizations were the greatest adopters of risk man-

    agement tools, with an emphasis on proprietary methods

    (22%). An additional 22% of endowments/foundations use

    third-party tools, either exclusively or alongside in-house

    software.

    In step with other survey ndings, large funds have themost resources to dedicate to r isk management and are the

    most likely to purchase risk management tools from outside

    vendors (61%).

    Most funds (87%) monitor risk, but the levels of granularity in

    these assessments vary. Top-down analysis of the total fund

    is the most common approach used by funds that have risk

    measurement systems; it is more prevalent at large (82%)

    and medium (80%) funds than small funds (67%).

    Large funds generally look at more levels than their smaller

    counterparts. Factor level analysis is now only common at

    large funds (47%). Very few asset owners (10%) analyze risk

    at the security level.

    Risk Measurement

    Does your fund use proprietary orthird-party tools, such as softwareor data vendors, for risk management?

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    Corporate

    Endowment/Foundation

    Public

     All   22%10%10% 16% 42%

    22% 33%11% 22% 11%

    4%8% 13% 42%33%

    9% 27% 45%18%

    13% 25% 63%

    50% 11% 22%11%6%

    13% 13% 13% 13% 47%

    Yes, we use both proprietaryand third-party tools

    Yes, we use in-house/proprietary tools

    Yes, we use third-party tools

    No, but considering investing

    No, will not invest in them

    At what fund level(s) do you use yourrisk monitoring system?

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    My fund doesnot have a risk 

    monitoring or reporting system

     Analysis at thesecurity level

     Analysis at thefactor level

     Analysis at themanager level

     Analysis at theasset class level

    Top-down analysisof total fund

     All Large Medium Small

    71%

    80%67%

    82%

    65%76%

    67%67%

    62%

    60%67%

    71%

    29%

    27%13%

    47%

    13%

    20%13%

    12%

    10%

    13%7%

    12%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 15Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    One can dene and therefore measure risk in many differ-

    ent ways: experienced vs. forecasted, absolute vs. relative,

    short vs. long time horizons. We posed two questions to

    gauge which metrics are most valuable in measuring risk.

    We observe that traditional risk metrics such as tracking error

    and volatility are being supplemented with downside risk and

    drawdown, particularly by public funds. Corporate funds are

    embracing surplus volatility, while public funds are the largest

    adopters of value at risk and conditional value at risk to better

    understand their tail risks.

    Nearly three-quarters (72%) of respondents measure actual

    experienced risk. Twenty percent measure both actual andforecasted risk, and an additional 20% measure forecasted

    risk over multiple time periods. Endowments/foundations

    generally focus on a longer time frame when assessing fu-

    ture risk, with 60% looking forward three to ve years and

    20% looking out further than ve years. Conversely, public

    funds are most likely to project shorter time frames of one

    year or less (74%), potentially indicating a focus on tail risks.

    Risk Measurement (continued)

    What key outputs do you use tomeasure risk? What type(s) of risk do you measure?

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    Surplus volatility

    Conditional Valueat Risk

    Value at Risk

     Absolute drawdown(peak to trough)

    Downside risk

     Absolute volatility

    Tracking error 

    65%

    70%44%

    60%

    63%

    61%56%

    50%

    48%57%

    33%

    30%

    33%

    43%11%10%

    30%

    43%22%

    10%

    13%

    26%0%0%

    13%9%

    0%40%

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    More than5 years forward

    Forecasted (future) risk 

    3 to 5 yearsforward

    Forecasted (future) risk 

    1 year forwardForecasted (future) risk 

    Less than1 year forward

    Forecasted (future) risk 

     Actualexperienced

    risk

     All Public Endowment/Foundation Corporate

    72%

    74%

    60%

    71%

    25%

    42%

    0%

    14%

    25%

    21%

    60%

    14%

    17%

    32%

    0%

    0%

    14%

    16%

    20%

    14%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 16Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    More than half of respondents with risk analysis tools can

    simulate economic scenarios, in essence enabling them to

    stress test their portfolios. This exercise can be especially

    useful in building consensus among duciaries on how to

    position the fund in a manner that reects its true risk appe-

    tite, as it helps in clarifying and understanding tail risks and

    exposures to various market scenarios.

    Of those that have risk measurement tools, public funds

    (77%) use simulations more frequently than their endow-

    ment/foundation (44%) and corporate (40%) counterparts.

    By fund size, large funds (71%) lead the charge, although

    more than half of small funds (64%) also have this capability.

    Most funds nd it useful to simulate both historical and po-

    tential scenarios. For example, one might simulate how their

    portfolio would have fared in the tech bubble crash, the 2008

    nancial crisis, or the 1987 market crash. Future-looking sce-

    narios often hinge on events that could occur, such as the

    breakup of the euro or various scal cliff scenarios.

    Only 4% of respondents indicate that these simulations are

    not  useful.

    Risk Measurement: Market Simulations

    Do your risk analysis tools utilize capital market and/or economic simulations?

     If yes, do you nd it useful to simulate:

    Yes No

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    Corporate

    Endowment/Foundation

    Public

     All   57% 43%

    56%44%

    77% 23%

    60%40%

    40% 60%

    29%71%

    64% 36%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Neither 

    Customized future

    scenarios

     Actual historical

    scenarios

    Both   58%

    31%

    8%

    4%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 17Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Less than one-third of funds (31%) regularly generate a formal

    risk management report. This gure jumps to 71% for large

    funds and 39% for public funds. Large funds are more likely to

    have dedicated staff to generate and review this type of report.

    The chief investment ofcer (85%) most frequently reviews

    this report, followed by investment staff (77%). The chief

    risk ofcer is rarely the primary audience for a risk report,

    largely because few respondents (16%) have a dedicated

    individual in this function.

    Risk Management Reports

    Is there a formal risk management report that is generated regularly?

     What group(s) are the primary audience for risk management reports?

    Yes No

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    Corporate

    Endowment/Foundation

    Public

     All   31% 69%

    56%22%

    39% 61%

    60%18%

    40% 60%

    29%71%

    20% 80%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Chief risk officer 

    Board

    Investment committee

    Staff 

    Chief investment officer    85%

    77%

    62%

    46%

    8%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 18Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Investment staff (including the chief risk ofcer, where ap-

    plicable) generally review risk management data quarterly

    (49%) or monthly (31%), with a handful looking at it on a

    weekly basis (4%). The 7% of respondents that never re-

    view risk management data do not have a formal process in

    place to assess or report on this type of information.

    Two-thirds of investment committees and boards review

    this material quarterly, likely in conjunction with committee/

    board meetings. Those that never review this information

    (12%) have informal, if any, risk management and measure-

    ment processes, and include the funds whose staff do not

    review this information.

    Risk management information is typically communicated to

    other stakeholders quarterly (40%) or annually (24%), if at all.

    Reviewing and Communicating Risk Management Findings

    How often do you review the ndings of risk management tools?

    How often do you communicate risk management ndings to other stakeholders?

     Annually 10%Never 12%

     As needed 7%

    Monthly 5%

    Never 7%

     As needed 9%

    Weekly 4%

    Quarterly 67%Monthly

    31%

    Quarterly

    49%

    Staff/CRO   Investment committee/board

     As needed 5%

    Monthly 2%

     Annually24%

    N/A29%

    Quarterly

    40%

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 19Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    Risk management involves a substantial amount of mea-

    surement and data analysis overlaid with prudent judgment.

    The investment committee (45%) is the body most f requent-

    ly tasked with responding to the ndings of risk manage-

    ment tools, followed by investment staff (24%). However,

    one-fth of respondents indicate they have not yet taken ac-

    tion based on risk assessments.

    Endowments/foundations and corporate funds rely most

    heavily on the investment committee to take action, while the

    staff at public funds have more responsibility in this respect.

    For those that have taken action, asset allocation changes are

    most prevalent with public and corporate funds. Endowments/foundations have focused on their investment managers,

    most frequently making changes to manager due diligence/

    search and manager review/termination. We note that while

    discussions of tail risk hedging have been lively in the insti-

    tutional investor community, few funds have taken concrete

    actions to implement such a hedge.

    Taking Action

    How does your fund decide when it isappropriate to take action based on riskmanagement tools?

    Indicate what types of actions yourorganization has taken based on riskmanagement ndings.

    N/A – we have not yet taken actionbased on any risk assessments

    Staff/CRO decides

    Investment committee decides

    Board decides

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    CorporateEndowment/Foundation

    Public All

    21%

    24%

    45%

    10%

    17%

    39%

    28%

    17%

    25%

    13%

    63%

    30%

    20%

    50%

    0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

    No actions taken

    Tail risk hedging or other structured programs

     Allow managersincreased flexibility in

    mandates and/or the useof derivative instruments

    Benchmark changes

    Rebalancing decisions(e.g., implemented tactical rebalancing)

    Manager review/termination

     Asset class“structuring” decisions

    Manager monitoring

    Manager duediligence/search

     Asset allocation changes(e.g., diversified assets, pursued LDI)

    64%77%

    33%70%

    56%73%

    56%30%

    52%64%

    44%50%

    50%

    50%

    64%

    64%

    33%

    30%

    50%

    56%

    30%45%

    30%22%

    26%36%

    10%

    10%

    11%5%6%

    10%

    0%32%

    16%

    22%

    20%18%

    22%30%

     All Public

    Endowment/Foundation Corporate

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    2013 Risk Management Survey 20Knowledge. Experience. Integrity.

    One goal of examining portfolio risk is to help prepare the

    fund for the impact of market volatility, and to be more aware

    of potential scenarios. Looking down the road to the next

    true market crisis, many funds wish to be better prepared

    to avoid the worst potential outcomes. While these issues

    should be addressed in a strategic, long-term investment

    plan, some funds are also considering tactical moves as a

    means to this end.

    Many fund sponsors wrestle with whether or not to tactically

    manage plan risk. Sponsors that do implement tactically must

    be willing to accept the risks involved. In fact, only 30% of

    sponsors have made rebalancing decisions (including but not

    limited to tactical rebalancing) based on risk managementndings. Of those that have not done so, most (82%) do not

    plan to in the future. Public (31%) and large (25%) funds are

    most likely to use tactical implementations going forward.

    Funds that have not used risk management ndings as a

    tactical allocation tool identify implementation challenges

    as the top structural limitation, particularly for endowments/

    foundations. Corporate funds identied the frequency of

    committee meetings and the ability to develop a consensus

    view as the biggest challenges.

    Risk-Based Tactical Moves

    If you have not decided to use the riskmanagement ndings as a tactical assetallocation tool, do you plan to in the future?

    What structural limitations do youforesee to implementing a tacticalstrategy to mitigate risk?

    Yes No

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Small

    Medium

    Large

    Corporate

    Endowment/

    Foundation

    Public

     All   18% 82%

    83%

    31% 69%

    100%

    17%

    17% 83%

    75%25%

    11% 89%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1 00%

    Other 

     Ability to develop aconsensus view

     Accountability for the view developed

    Frequency of 

    investment committeemeetings

    Implementationchallenges

    61%

    65%

    78%

    40%

    41%

    35%

    33%

    50%

    35%

    40%

    33%

    40%

    35%

    40%11%

    50%

    22%

    30%

    22%

    10%

     All Public

    Endowment/Foundation Corporate

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    About Callan Associates

    Founded in 1973, Callan Associates Inc. is one of the largest independently owned investment consulting rms in the country.

    Headquartered in San Francisco, California, the rm provides research, education, decision support, and advice to a broad

    array of institutional investors through four distinct lines of business: Fund Sponsor Consulting, Independent Adviser Group,

    Institutional Consulting Group, and the Trust Advisory Group. Callan employs more than 170 people and maintains four

    regional ofces located in Denver, Chicago, Atlanta, and Summit, N.J. For more information, visit www.callan.com.

    About the Callan Investments Institute

    The Callan Investments Institute, established in 1980, is a source of continuing education for those in the institutional in-

    vestment community. The Institute conducts conferences and workshops and provides published research, surveys, and

    newsletters. The Institute strives to present the most timely and relevant research and education available so our clients and

    our associates stay abreast of important trends in the investments industry.

    For more information about this report, please contact:

    Your Callan consultant or Anna West at [email protected]

    © 2013 Callan Associates Inc.

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    Corporate Headquarters

    Callan Associates

    101 California Street

    Suite 3500

    San Francisco, CA 94111

    800.227.3288

    415.974.5060

    www.callan.com

    Regional Ofces

     Atlanta

    800.522.9782

    Chicago

    800.999.3536

    Denver 

    855.864.3377

    New Jersey

    800.274.5878