2013-09-02 RC report draft 3 - CONNECT Our Future · Reality Check event held on June 4, 2013,...
Transcript of 2013-09-02 RC report draft 3 - CONNECT Our Future · Reality Check event held on June 4, 2013,...
FINAL REPORT
1 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
ExecutiveSummaryTheverynameoftheevent‐RealityCheck–saiditall.ItwasanopportunityforhundredsofleadersfromthroughouttheNorthandSouthCarolinaregiontopauseforasingledaytotakestockofthepaceandmagnitudeoftheregionsexpectedgrowth.Indoingso,itservedasa“realitycheck”forthoseleadersaboutwheretheregionisheaded.ThisgroundbreakingULIRealityCheckeventheldonJune4,2013,challengedparticipantstoaccommodate1.8millionnewresidentsand860,000millionnewjobsintheregionby2050.Thedaywasfilledwithenergyandexcitement.Thespeakersgaveanationalperspectivewhilethegamedayexercisegavealocalperspective.Theparticipantswerefrommanydifferentbackgroundsandages.Formanyoftheparticipants,thestatisticswereasoberingreminderabouttherapidrateoftheregion’sgrowthandthepressingneedforaregion‐wideconversationabouthowthisgrowthwillaffectoureconomy,ourenvironmentandourqualityoflife.CollaboratingfortheSuccessofOurRegionAnallianceofULICharlotte,CentralinaCouncilofGovernmentsandCatawbaRegionalCouncilofGovernmentsraisedawarenessthroughtheRealityCheckevent,andcommittedtobreakingdownbarrierstoachievingqualitygrowthintheregion.TheseorganizationscametogetherbecauseofCONNECTOurFuture,athree‐yearprocessthatbringstogetherpublic,privateandnonprofitorganizationsacrossour14‐countyregion.Thisinitiativeiscreatingaregionalgrowthframeworkthatwillhelptobuildjobsandtheeconomy,improvequalityoflifeandcontrolthecostofgovernmentastheregiongrows.TheRealityCheck2050visioningexercisewasanextraordinaryopportunityforkeybusiness,political,communityandnon‐profitleadersfromthe14‐county
regiontopause,thinkbig,andconsiderhowtheregioncanbestgrowandthriveoverthenext37years.Whenthe41tablesbegantheirworkwithLEGObricksandyarn,four"growththemes"emerged:1. “Compact,urban,”whichconcentratesmost
growthclosertoCharlotte.2. “Multiplecenters,”whichfocusesdevelopmentin
multipleexistingcitiesandtownsintheregion.3. “Corridor,”whichdirectsgrowthalongmajor
highwayortransitcorridors.4. “Dispersed,”whichlocatesgrowthinmultiple
centersandthroughouttheregion,mostlyasadditionstoexistingcommunities.
Participants’desiredoutcomesforthefutureoftheregionincluded:1. Ourcitiesandtownsarevibrantplaceswhere
peoplewanttolive.2. Peoplecangetgoodjobswithinareasonable
commute.3. Accessibilitytoparks,greenways,biketrailsand
otheramenitiesisincreased.4. Housingisavailabletomeetawiderangeof
needs.5. Thereisopportunityforanyonetosucceed.NeweraoflanduseandtransportationThiseventmadehistory.Abroadsampleofprivate,publicandnonprofitleadersgatheredtoconsiderlandusedecisionsusingaunique,tactileexercisedevelopedbytheULI–theUrbanLandInstitute.RealityCheck2050organizersturnedaspotlighttowardtherealitythatfuturelanduseandtransportationdecisionscancreatedrasticallydifferentlandusepatterns,opportunities,andtrade‐offs,andparticipantssoundedacalltoactionanddemandedeffectiveleadership.
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 2
Partners,ProgramsandInitiativesCatawbaRegionalCouncilofGovernments–anassociationofSouthCarolinalocalgovernmentsinChester,Lancaster,Union,andYorkcounties.TheCOGservesasaforumforintergovernmentalcooperationandasacentralstaffingresourceforgrantsmanship,landuseandtransportationplanning,communityandeconomicdevelopment,workforceinvestment,GISmapping,informationsystems,andprojectmanagement.CentralinaCouncilofGovernments(CCOG)–avoluntaryorganizationofmunicipalandcountygovernmentsservingtheGreaterCharlotteregionservinganine‐countyareaincludingAnson,Cabarrus,Gaston,Lincoln,Iredell,Mecklenburg,Rowan,Stanly,andUnion.CCOGassistslocalgovernmentsincoordinatingforsoundregionaldevelopmentandprovidesaforumtoaddressissuesbesthandledthroughregionalcooperation,planningandaction.ULI–theUrbanLandInstitute–a501(c)(3)nonprofitresearchandeducationorganizationsupportedbyitsmemberswhichrepresenttheentirespectrumoflanduseandrealestatedevelopmentdisciplinesworkinginprivateenterpriseandpublicservice.Amultidisciplinaryrealestateforum,ULIfacilitatesanopenexchangeofideas,information,andexperienceamongindustryleadersandpolicymakersdedicatedtocreatingbetterplaces.ULICharlotte–aDistrictCouncilofULI,ourmissionistoprovideleadershipintheresponsibleuseoflandandincreatingandsustainingthrivingcommunitiesworldwide.ULICharlottecarriesforththatmissionbyservingtheCharlotte,PiedmontandWesternNorthCarolina'spublicandprivatesectorswithpragmaticlanduseexpertiseandeducation.
CONNECTOurFuture–aprocessinwhichcommunities,counties,businesses,educators,non‐profitsandotherorganizationsworktogethertogrowjobsandtheeconomy,improvequalityoflifeandcontrolthecostofgovernment.Thisprojectwillcreatearegionalgrowthframeworkdevelopedthroughextensivecommunityengagementandbuiltonwhatcommunitiesidentifyasexistingconditions,futureplansandneeds,andpotentialstrategies.RealityCheck–avisioningexercisecreatedbyULI–theUrbanLandInstitute,tohelpaddresstherealityofgrowthprojectedforourarea.RealityCheckseekstobuildbroad‐basedconsensusonwhereandhowgrowthshouldbeaccommodatedbyconveningadiversegroupofstakeholderstoaskthequestions:Howshallwepreserve,promote,andprotectourstrengthsandassets?Howshallweaddressthechallengesandseizetheopportunitiesfacedbyourregion?SustainableCommunitiesRegionalPlanningGrantProgram–SCRPsupportslocally‐ledcollaborativeeffortsthatbringtogetherdiverseinterestsfromthemanymunicipalitiesinaregiontodeterminehowbesttotargethousing,economicandworkforcedevelopment,andinfrastructureinvestmentstocreatemorejobsandregionaleconomicactivity.TheSCRPprogramisakeyinitiativeofthePartnershipforSustainableCommunities,inwhichHUDworkswiththeU.S.DepartmentofTransportation(DOT)andtheU.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA)tocoordinateandleverageprogramsandinvestments.
3 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
TableofContents
ExecutiveSummary........................................................................................................................page1
Partners,ProgramsandInitiatives..........................................................................................page2
Background........................................................................................................................................page4
TheGame............................................................................................................................................page7
SpecificResults.................................................................................................................................page9
GamePlayandSurveyFindings..............................................................................................page15
NextSteps.........................................................................................................................................page17
Acknowledgements......................................................................................................................page18
Resources..........................................................................................................................................page22
Appendix...........................................................................................................................................page23
RealityCheck2050Quotables“Thisisanopportunitytogetinthegame.Themorepeoplewehave,themorecollectivevisionwehavethebetterwe’llbeasaregion”DavidHoward,NonprofitDeveloperandCharlotteCityCouncil“RealityCheck2050allowedustomakesureweplanforthepresent,andwearepreparedforthefuture”EddieLee,ProfessorWinthropUniversityandMayorofYork,SC“RealityCheck2050putitouttheregraphicallyforthem,itputitoutthere3‐dimensionallyforthem.Wewereabletotouchandfeeltheissues.”MichaelJohnson,MayorPro‐Tem,Statesville,NC
“RealityCheck2050isthestartofthework.Wehavetotakeallofthegreatideasthatcomeoutoftoday—alloftheenergy,vision,inspiration,andexcitement;andthistimewehavetomakeitwork.Wehavetotakeourprinciplesandachievequalitygrowth.”Participant“Ithinkthisregionisontherightpath.You'redoingalotofrightthings.But,you'vegottwomillionmorepeoplecominghere.Whereareyougoingtoputthemandhowaretheygoingtogetaroundandareyoureadyforthat?”EdMcMahon,ULISeniorResidentFellowandKeynoteSpeakerforRealityCheck2050“Itisimportantforyoungprofessionalstogetinvolvedandbeapartofthechangesthatwewanttoseeoverthenext20years.”KristenWorley,Woolpert
“Thechallengesarevast...butworkingtogether,wecanfindwaystobestaddressthecompetingintereststhatareinherentinanychallengeswemightface.”StephenStansbery,Kimley‐HornandAssociates“Understandingtherealramificationsofallthesechallengesandbeingwilling,ascitizensofthisarea,torespondandmeetthatchallengeforourfuture,iscritical.”DougEchols,MayorofRockHill“Maybewhatsomeofthefolksthinkintheruralareascouldactuallyhavesomeapplicationforusintheurbanareasandviceversa.”BrianJenest,ColeJenest&Stone
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 4
0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000
1,000,000
Anson County
Cabarrus County
Cleveland County
Gaston County
Ired
ell County
Lincoln County
Mecklen
burg County
Rowan
County
Stanly County
Union County
Chester County
Lancaster County
Union County
York County
1970‐2010 Population for 14 Counties
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
BackgroundTheU.S.CensusdatashowsthattheCharlotteRegionwasthefastestgrowingregionintheU.S.overthepastdecade.Projectionsindicatethisgrowthratewillcontinuewitha50percentpopulationincreaseintwodecadesandadoublingofthepopulationinfourdecades.
Ourabilitytogrowbusinessesthatsupporthighqualityjobstomatchpopulationgrowthisdirectlylinkedtotheeconomichealthandvitalityofthisregion.Ontheflipside–ifwedon’tcreatequalityjobsfortomatchpopulationgrowthourregionandourstatewillsufferseriouseconomicconsequences.Thereisclearevidencethatregionswithgrowthframeworksarebetterequippedtodevelopandrefinestrategiesthatgrowtheeconomyandjobs,controlcostofgovernmentandimprovequalityoflife.Thereasonissimple.Betteralignmentofstrategiesmeansthatlimitedresourcescanbedirectedwheretheywillproducethebestresults.Thisisespeciallyimportantgiventhefactthatfederalandstatefundingfortheinvestmentsneedtoaccommodategrowthwillbeclearlymorelimitedinthefutureandthecompressedtimeframetomaketheneededinvestmentstostayaheadofgrowthimpacts.Thisregionisnotedforitsexceptionalpublic‐privatepartnershipsandcollaborativeeffortsbutwehavenotyetdevelopedaregionalgrowthframework.Despitethisfact,ourregionhasdevelopedsomeofthe“bestinclass”workforceandeconomicdevelopmentprogramsinthecountryandhasprosperedoverthe
pastdecades.Witharegionalframeworkwewilldoevenbetter.Developingaregionalgrowthframeworkwillenableourregiontoacceleratethisprogressbybroadeninguseof“best‐in‐class”programs;developingconsensus
basedregionalstrategiesandanon‐goingcapacitytoaddressbarriersandopportunities;aligntactics,programsandresources;eliminategapsandoverlapsandmeasureprogresstowardregionalgoals.CONNECTOurFutureCONNECTOurFutureisathree‐yearprocessthatbringstogetherpublic,privateandnonprofitorganizationsacrossour14‐countyregiontodevelopaplanforgrowththatwillhelpbuildjobsandthe
economy,improvequalityoflifeandcontrolthecostofgovernment.RealityCheck2050participantsrepresentedCONNECT’s14counties:Anson,Cabarrus,Cleveland,Gaston,Iredell,Lincoln,Mecklenburg,Rowan,StanlyandUnioncountiesinNorthCarolina,andChester,Lancaster,UnionandYorkcountiesinSouthCarolina.RealityCheck2050iskeystoneinCONNECT'sprogramming,whichincludesextensivecommunityengagementbuiltonwhatcommunitiesidentifyasexistingconditionsandfutureplans,andwhichwillcreatepotentialstrategiesforthefuture.CONNECTissupportedbya$4.9millionHUDSustainableCommunitiesGrantand$3millioninlocalin‐kindpublicandprivatematchingresources.TheprimarydriverforCONNECTOurFutureistheregion’sprojectedgrowth.CONNECTOurFuturealsohelpstheregionaddresscurrentchallengesasweplanforthisgrowth.CONNECTOurFuturewill: helpcommunitiesconsiderhowtheywantthe
vision’scorevaluestoplayout, providethetoolsneededtohelpcommunities
implementthepartsofthevisionthataremostimportanttothem,
5 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
helpustousethelimitedresourcesavailablefortheinfrastructureandsystemsnecessaryforgrowth,
giveustheopportunitytodiscusshowwewanttoaddressmulti‐billiondollarinfrastructureinvestments,and
encourageexistingandnewbusinessinvestmentsinourregion.
Thisambitiousinitiativeisathree‐phaseprocess.PhaseOnestartedinthefallof2012byengagingcommunitymembersabouttheirpersonalneedsandvaluesthroughopenhouses,smallgroupdiscussionsandsurveys.Morethan2,200participantsfromthe14‐countyregionprovidedawealthofvaluableinformation.PhaseTwostartedinthesummerof2013withRealityCheck2050,duringwhich400participantshelpedusbegintofigureouthowwefittheprojected1.8millionpeopleand850,000‐plusjobstobeaddedtothisregionbytheyear2050,whilestillpreservingthethingsPhaseOneparticipantssaidwereimportant.The“themes”forgrowththatweredevelopedatRealityCheck2050willbesharedregionallyat48workshopsplannedineachofthe14counties.AttheseCommunityGrowthWorkshops,atleast1,600residentswillhavetheopportunitytoweighinonhowtheythinkthosethemesmightworkintheircounty.InPhaseThree,startinginearly2014,fourtofive“AlternativeGrowthScenarios”fortheregion’sfuturewillbedevelopedbasedontheresultsofthosecommunityworkshops,the“themes”fromReality
Check2050andinformationgatheredfromPhaseOne.Thepublicwillgettoprovidefeedbackoneachofthosescenariosandspecifywhichscenario(s)providetheregionaloutcomestheywouldliketosee.Onceapreferredscenarioisselected,recommendationsandstrategieswillbedevelopedtohelptheregionachieveitsgoalsandatoolkitwillprovideresourcesandexamplesofregionalandnationalbestpractices.CONNECTOurFutureisbasedon,andbuildsfrom,theregion’ssharedvision.In2005‐2008,the14‐countybi‐stateregioncametogetheranddevelopedavisionfortheregion’sfuture.Thatvisionhasbeenadoptedbythelocalgovernmentsrepresentingmorethan70percentofthepopulationintheregionandisbeingtranslatedintogrowthoptionsthatwillproducetheresultsthepublicwants.CONNECTandfuturescenarioplanningprovidesaforum,process,setoftools,andmeasurableoutcomesforcommunitiesofallsizestocontemplatefuturedevelopmentpossibilitiesandsharealong‐termvision.Whyisthisprocesssoimportant?Itallowscommunitiesto: explorethe“whatif’s”ofaregion’sfuture, considerthetradeoffsbetweendifferentgrowth
scenariosorpolicydecisions, re‐framelocalgrowthquestions,and answerwhat,where,when,andhowgrowth
shouldoccurtomeetacommonvision.
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 6
RealityCheck2050RealityCheckreferstoadefiningmoment,atippingpoint,whenaregion’sresidentsbecomeawarethattheyhavechoicestomakeaboutgrowth,airquality,traffic,housingaffordability,andotherimportantissues.Neitheratraditionalconferencenoratheoreticalexercise,RealityCheckisaplanningtoolrootedinanalysisofreal‐worldeconomic,demographic,andgeographicdataandtrends.Itallowsparticipantstothrowouttheirpreconceivednotionsofhowlandiszonedtodayandforgetwhattypeofgrowththeybelieveiscomingtomorrow.Theexerciseisachanceforparticipantstoactasmasterplannersforhowtheywouldliketheregiontolookinthefuture.RealityCheck2050isacollaborativeregionalvisioningprocessthatbringstogetherstakeholdersfromtheCONNECTOurFutureRegiontobegina
dialogueabouthowwewantourregiontolookintheyear2050.Theexercisehadseveralgoals,including: torecognizethelegitimatepointsofviewof
differentstakeholders topromotearegion‐wideawarenessofthelevel
ofgrowththatisprojected toenvisionhownewresidents,jobs,greenspace,
andtransportationoptionsmightbedistributedthroughouttheregion
tolaythefoundationforthedevelopmentofaconcretelistofnextstepstosupportregionalplanningandensurequalitygrowthfortheregionoverthecomingdecades.
CONNECTOurFuturechoseRealityCheck2050tolaunchitssecondphaseofpublicengagementaroundgrowth.TheULIRealityCheckeventprovidedawaytolookregionallyatgrowthissues,andfollowedatime‐tested,nationally‐usedmodeltoprovidea"realitycheck"tothoseconsideringregionalgrowth.
7 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
TheGameRealityCheck2050wasauniqueeventthatbroughttogetheralargeanddiversesetofpolitical,businessandcommunityleaderstoenvisionthefutureoftheirregion.Insodoing,theyworkedwiththebestandmostrecentinformationavailableaboutpopulationgrowthaswellasexistingtransportationandlanduseresources.Theydecidedonguidingprinciples,placedLEGOblocksrepresentinggrowthonaboard,andlistedbarrierstotheirvisionalongwithsolutions.Morethan400individualsappliedandparticipateinRealityCheck2050.Participantsincludedleadersfromlargecorporations,smallbusinesses,developers,electedofficials,conservationists,andcivicleaders.AtRealityCheck2050,theparticipantswereassignedtooneofthe41tables.Eachtablehadrepresentativesfromawidevarietyofbackgroundsalongwithatrainedfacilitatorandscribesupportingthetable’sdeliberation.Together,theywerechargedwithplottingwherefuturegrowththrough2050shouldgo,decidingwheretoplacepopulation,jobsandthetransportationinfrastructuretoconnectthem.The“gameboard”wasalarge‐formatmapofthe14‐countyregionshowingtownsandcities,majorroadandtransitcorridors,andprotectedareas,thoughttoencourageparticipantstothinkregionallyratherthanlocally,alljurisdictionalboundarieswereintentionallyomitted,althoughplacenamesofcitiesandtownshelpedparticipantsorientthemselves.Themapwasgriddedwithacellequalingtwosquaremiles.Eachtable’sgamepiecesincludedasetofcoloredLEGOsusedtoallocateprojecteddensitiesandthreecolorsofyarntoidentifyroads,transitandgreensspace.ResidentialandemploymentdensitiesincreaseasLEGOsarestackedtogetherinagridcell.Accordingtotherulesoftheexercise,thegrowthprojectionswerenotnegotiable.Whilethesenumberscouldbedebated,expertsintheregionagreetheyarereasonableprojections.Also,the
projectedgrowthrepresentedinLEGOswererequiredtobeplacedonthemapbeforetheendoftheexerciseandallgrowthallocationswereadditive–thatis,thegrowththatisallocatedwasconsideredanadditiontowhatalreadyexists.AlltheprojectedgrowthrepresentedbyLEGOswasallocatedbeforetheendofthe90‐minutegameboardexercise.Participantswereadvisedtothinkbig,keepanopenmindandbeboldandcreativeintheirapproach.BeforepositioningLEGOsontheboard,teamswereaskedtodeveloptheirkeyprinciplestoguidegrowth.TheseprinciplesguidedtheallocationofgrowthandtransportationresourcessymbolizedbytheLEGOandyarnallocations.Facilitatorsinsistedthatallviewsbeconsideredandthatconsensusbereachedbeforeaprinciplecouldbeadopted.Scribesateachtablerecordedtheprinciples,whichwerelatercollectedandtabulated.Althoughtheparticipantscamefromdifferentpartsoftheregion,representeddifferentconstituenciesorpointsofview,andwereofvariedrace,genders,agesandpoliticalaffiliations,theyenunciatedremarkablysimilarsetsofguidingprinciples.TheparticipantsthenplacedhundredsofLEGObricksanddozensoffeetofyarnonthemaps.YellowLEGOsrepresentedjobs,redLEGOsrepresentedhouseholds,andyarnoutlinednewroads,regionaltransit,andgreenspace.Inafewhours,participantscreatedprinciplestoguidegrowth,understoodscenariosforthe
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 8
year2050and,perhapsmostimportantly,gainedanewunderstandingoftheregion’sgrowthissues.Aftergameplay,participantsdiscussedthefindingsfromtheexerciseinrelationshiptotheirguidingprinciplesanddefinedthenextsteps.Aftertheboardgameportionconcluded,datafromeachtablewascollectedbyvolunteers.YellowandredLEGOswerecountedandrecordedonacell‐by‐cellbasisaswasthepresenceofdifferenttypesoflandusepatternsandtransportationprioritiesofeachtable.Local,regionalandnationalspeakersdeliveredcandidinsightsandinspirationtothepackedroom.ULI’sSeniorResidentFellow,EdMcMahonspotlightednationalexamplesofcommunitiesthathaveplannedforandleveragedgrowthtocreatethriving,sustainableplaces.Hecautionedthat,whileourregionisdoingmanythingswell,westillmustmakechangestogrowaswechoosewithoutdestroyingwhatpeopleloveaboutthecommunity.ProvidinganinspiringstoryofthesuccessofEnvisionUtah,RobertGrowofferedinsightintotheorganizationthatcreatedagrassrootsinitiativeaimedtokeepUtahbeautiful,prosperous,andneighborlyforfuturegenerations.Asaneutralfacilitator,EnvisionUtahbroughttogetherresidents,electedofficials,developers,conservationists,businessleaders,andotherinterestedpartiestomakeinformeddecisionsabouthowweshouldgrow.Empoweringpeopletocreatethecommunitiestheywantisstillourgoal.TheongoingprogressofferedhopeforthefutureoftheregionalframeworkbeingdevelopedthroughCONNECT.Hope,mixedwithrealityandinspiration,werepartoftheRealityCheck2050experience,asregionalleadersthoughbigandenvisionedwhatthenextthirty‐sevenyearscouldlooklikeintheCharlotteregion.
9 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
SpecificResults
Thingstorememberwhenreviewingresults Tryingtounderstandthewaydevelopment
lookedattheexerciseandhowitlooksontheground.Inexercisesofthissort,itisdifficulttopredictwhetherpeoplewillactuallyliveandworkinthesameplace,evenifjobsandhousingarestackedtogether.Someofthisisduetothescaleofthemap,andsomeofitisduetothereal‐lifefactthatevenwhenoneareamayhaveanexcellentmixofjobsandhousing,somepeoplestillchoosetoworkoutsidethearea.AtRealityCheck2050,someofthetablesthatfollowedthemoreDispersed(conventional)developmentpatternalsohadabalancebetweenjobsandhousing.
Thisisalargeregion.HavingaregionthesizeofConnecticutmadethescaleofeachgridquitelarge‐2squaremiles.EvenoneLEGObrickrepresentedeither1700householdsor1500jobs.Thisverylargescaleprobablycontributedtosomeconfusion,andcreatedagreatdealofvariationevenwithingrowthpatterns.Duringtheexercise,participantsappearedtohavefounditdifficulttodemonstratedifferentmixesofjobsandhousing,particularlyinnon‐urbanizedareas.
TherearevariationswithinthePatterns.Evenwithinthefourgenericgrowthpatterns,therewasalotofvariation.Forexample,intheCorridorGrowthPattern,sometablesshowedfewcorridorswithhighstacksandsomeshowedmanycorridorswithmediumstacks.AlsointheMultipleCenterGrowthpatternsometablesshowedfewcenterswithhighstacksandsomeshowedmanycenterswithmediumstacks.
TheresultsoftheRealityCheck2050visioningexerciseinclude:collectedandcompiledstatementsonguidingprinciples,barriersandsolutions;datafromthegameboardsthemselves;andpollinginformation.
GuidingprinciplesAsRealityCheck2050participantsrepresenteddiversecommunitiesandbroughtawiderangeofviewpointstotheexercise,itwasrecognizedthattotalagreementoneveryaspectrelatedtogrowthwouldnotbeachievable.Therefore,tableswereaskedtoidentifykeyguidingprinciplesinwhichtherewerefulltableagreementandthenusedthosesamesharedprinciplestoinformandguildthevisioningexercise.Anumberofsharedprinciplesemergedincluding: Supportenhancedregionaltransportation
connectionswithintheregionandotherpartsofthestate
Encourageamorecompactpatternofdevelopmentthatwillreducesuburban/ruralsprawl.
Encouragedevelopmentinareaswherethenecessaryinfrastructure–roads,water,sewer,andschools‐isavailable,plannedorcanbecosteffectivelyprovided.
Preservewaterresourcesandquality. Positionasmuchgrowthaspossibleinwaysthat
supporttransit. Createabalancebetweenjobsandhousing. Protectandenhancetheregion’seconomic
drivers. Supportreuseofexisting/abandonedcommercial
andindustrialsites. Preservelargetractsofprimeagriculturalland
fromprematuredevelopmenttoensurethatfarmingremainsaviablepartoftheregion’seconomy.
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 10
Top10wordsusedinthetables’guidingprinciples1. development2. support3. preserve4. water
5. transportation6. transit7. quality8. existing
9. resources10. regional
AwordcloudofthemostfrequentlyusedwordsintheGuidingPrinciples.Thelargerthewordthemoreitwasused.
LandusepatternsdevelopedbyparticipantsWhileeachofthe41tablescreatedauniquevisionforthefuture,somesimilaritiesemerged.ThescenariosbelowareexamplesoffivegeneralizedlandusepatternsdevelopedbyRealityCheck2050participants.Eachproducesitsownrangeofbenefitsandchallenges.Therewere41tableseachwithcompletelydifferentscenarios,buttoevaluatetheresultsforfuturestudy,thetablesweregroupedintoapatternofgrowththatbestrepresentstheLEGObrickdispersion.SeveraltablesplacedtheirLEGOsinwaysthatrepresentahybridofthesepatterns.
Groupingresultsforstudypurposes
Pattern Tables Total
Dispersed 9‐10‐13‐16‐20‐23‐29‐31‐33‐35‐36 11
Corridor 1‐2‐3‐5‐7‐8‐12‐19‐21‐22‐24‐26‐32‐34‐42 15
CompactUrban 6‐28‐39 3
Multi‐Centers 4‐11‐15‐17‐18‐25‐27‐30‐37‐38‐40‐41 12
11 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
DispersedGrowth
Thisland‐usescenarioresemblescurrentlow‐densityland‐usepatterns.Somehigher‐densitydevelopmentinurbancentersoccursinthisscenario,butthebulkofresidentialconstructionwouldoccuraslow‐densitysingle‐familyresidences.Manyjobsaredispersedtosmallerofficeandindustrialparks,withmostemploymentandretailseparatedfromresidences.TheDispersedGrowthtablesalsoplacedasubstantialamountofhousinginexistingruralareas.Examples:Table16
Table36
Dispersed Mostnewgrowthresemblesexistingdevelopmentpatterns(lowdensity,single‐usedevelopments/sprawl). Newgrowthisassignedbothinsideandoutsideofexistingurbanareas. Mostjobsareseparatedfromresidentialareas. Moreimpactonagriculture.Density:verylowandlowdensity,withsmallareasofmediumandhighdensityUses:mostlysingle‐usezoningwithpocketsofmixed‐useTransit:mostnewdevelopmentlargelyautomobiledependentTablesinthiscategory:9‐10‐13‐16‐20‐23‐29‐31‐33‐35‐36
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 12
CorridorFocus
Thisland‐usepatternischaracterizedbytowncentersthataresmallerinscalethantheregionalcenters,butmorecompactandmixedthantraditionalsuburbandevelopment.Thisissometimescalleda“StringofPearls”pattern.Mostnewgrowthisfocusedalongnewandexistingtransportationcorridors(US70,I‐85,US17,I‐40,NC24,etc.)wherepocketsofmixed‐usehousingoverretailaresurroundedbyavarietyofhousingtypes.Somejobsarelocatednearhousing,butmanymorejobsarenot.Therewouldneedtobeasubstantialnumberoftowncenterandcorridordevelopmentstoassumethebulkofnewgrowth.ThisurbanformisrelativelymorecompactthanthelowerdensityDispersedGrowthscenario.Examples:Table1
Table26
Corridor Mostnewgrowthisfocusedalongnewandexistingtransportationcorridors. UrbanformisgenerallymorecompactthantheDispersedPattern. Combinationofbothlinearandnodaldevelopmentclusters.Density:mixoflowandmediumdensities,withsomepocketsofhighdensityUses:somenewdevelopmentmixed‐useTransit:sufficientdensitiesinsomelocationstosupportdiverseoptionsTablesinthiscategory:1‐2‐3‐5‐7‐8‐12‐19‐21‐22‐24‐26‐32‐34‐42
13 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
CompactUrbanCentralcitiesarecharacterizedbycompacturbaninfillandgradualredevelopmentathigherdensities.Inthisscenario,thebulkofthepopulationwasallocatedtothelargestcities.Inseveralplaces,asmanyas12yellowLEGObrickswerestackedup,indicatingapreferenceforhigherdensitydevelopmentthathasnoprecedentinourregion.Veryfewnewareaswouldbedevelopedatlessthanmediumdensity.Intime,certainkeyareascouldreachsignificantdensities.Centralcitiesmaximizetheuseofexistinginfrastructureandprovidethegreatesttransitaccessibility.Amorecompacturbanform,accesstoplentifultransitoptionsandahighdegreeofmixed‐usedevelopmentproducesthegreatestclimatechangebenefitsofanyparticipantscenario.Examples:Table6
Table28
CompactUrban Mostnewgrowthisassignedtoexistingurbanareas,particularlythecities. Patternofgrowthiscompactandmixed. Mostgrowthisinstacksofgreaterthan5or6LEGOs. Infillandredevelopment(LEGObricksontopofexistingdevelopmentasshownonthebasemap). Lessimpactonagriculture.Density:broadmix,includingsubstantialmedium,highandveryhighdensityareasUses:mostnewdevelopmentismixed‐use,eitherverticallyorhorizontallyTransit:sufficientdensitiestosupportdiverseoptions;greatesttransitridership.Tablesinthiscategory:6‐28‐39
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 14
MultipleGrowthCentersRatherthanconcentratinggrowthonlyinthelargestcities,thisscenariocreateddistinctregionalcentersbyclusteringgrowthintowell‐definedareas.Thishigher‐densitydevelopmenthelpsmaintainopenspacesattheperipheryforrecreationornaturalfunctions.Someregionalcentersarecharacterizedbyurbaninfillandtherevitalizationofexistingdowntownareas;otherswouldemergeasnewurbanareas.Thesecenterstypicallyhavegroupsof2to5yellowLEGObricksandplentifuljobstocreateamixofuses.Examples:Table11
Table41(Ayouthtable)
MultipleCenters DistinctfromCompactUrbanDevelopment,whichfocusesonthelargercities.Herenewgrowthisfocusedon
existingcitiesplussometowns(sizedoesn’tmatter)andpossiblynewlocations. Patternofnewgrowthismixed. Growthisclusteredinwell‐definedareas.Density:broadmix,includingsubstantialmediumandhighdensityareasUses:Mostnewdevelopmentmixed‐useTransit:sufficientdensitiesinsomelocationstosupportdiverseoptionsTablesinthiscategory:4‐11‐15‐17‐18‐25‐27‐30‐37‐38‐40‐41
Reality Check 2050 Final Report 15
GamePlaySurveyFindings
Theprinciples,barriersandsolutionsthatemergedinRealityCheck2050tellusthatleadersandopinion‐shapersareconcernedabouttheregionalchallengesofgrowth.Theybelievethereisalinkbetweenlandusepatterns,regionalprosperityandqualityoflifeforeveryone,andtheywanttogrowalongcorridors.Theyarereadytoworktowardsolutions,andtheydemandeffectiveleadershipsothatwecanprotectourcommunities,continuetoenjoyeconomicprosperityandensurethatpeopleatallincomelevelshaveaccesstoqualityhousingnearjobs.Followingthereviewofthemorninggameplay,participantswerefurtherpolledabouttheirprioritiesfortheregion.Usinghandheldpollingdevices,participantsregisteredtheirvotes.Duringthepolling,severalquestionsallowedformultipleanswersfromtheaudience(thusvotingpercentagesmaynotequal100%).Guidingprinciples(seeAppendixforspecificpollingresults)Afterparticipatingintheexerciseandmovingintoanotherforum,participantswereaskedagaintochoosetheirtopthreeguidingprinciplesthataremostimportantfortheregioninthenext30years.Emergingfromthispoll,anoverwhelming47%oftheparticipantsstatedtheysupportedenhancedregionaltransportationconnections,connectingwithinourregionandwithotherpartsofthebi‐stateregion.Thenwith36%support,threeprinciplesofmorecompactpatternofdevelopment,developmentinareasofpresentorplannedinfrastructuresupportandthereservationofwaterresourcesandquality.Infurthercomparisonoftheguidingprinciplesdevelopedbyeachtableandthenthepatternsdevelopedduringgameday,itwasfascinatingtoreviewthecontrasts.Forexample,ofthe11tables(27%)thatplacedtheirLEGOsinaDispersedGrowthpattern,only8%ofthepolledparticipantsagreedwiththeseprinciplesduringthefinalpolling.Thatwouldonlyequateto3oftheparticipatingtables.Thisisfurthersupportedbythekeypadpolling,laterintheday,showingadesireforspecificdevelopmentqualities(seeAppendixquestion1).LinkinglanduseandourcommunitiesParticipantsdemonstratedgrowinginsightthatlanduseandtransportationareintimatelyconnected.ThemanyLegosrepresentinghousingandjobsthatwereaddedtothegameboardshowedthatastheregioncontinuestourbanize,theconnectionbecomesanevenmorecriticalone.Aspartsoftheregionbecomeincreasinglyurban,automobiletrafficwillbecomeamoreandmoreburdensomefactoflife.
Reality Check 2050 Final Report 16
Whenconsideringthefutureofourregion,two‐thirdsoftheparticipantsfinditiscriticalthatourcitiesandtownsarevibrantplaceswherepeoplewanttolive.Additionally,with47and43percentrespectively,peoplewanttohavegoodjobswithinareasonablecommuteandaccesstoparks,greenways,biketrailsandotheramenities.Additionally,whenpolled,41percentagreedthatgrowthshouldbecenteredalongcorridors,withanother37percentsidingwithmultiplecentersofgrowth.Acorridorgrowthland‐usepatternischaracterizedbytowncentersthataresmallerinscalethantheregionalcenters,butmorecompactandmixedthantraditionalsuburbandevelopment.Whilethemultiplegrowthcenterscreatesdistinctregionalcentersbyclusteringgrowthintowell‐definedareas.Thishigher‐densitydevelopmenthelpsmaintainopenspacesattheperipheryforrecreationornaturalfunctions.PrioritizinginvestmentintransportationandutilityinfrastructureToachievethegrowthscenariosandguidingprinciplesthatemergedfromtheexercise,therewasanoverwhelmingsupportforincreasinglightrailandcommuterrailtransitintheregion(supportedby84percentoftheparticipants),repairingandincreasingcapacityoftheexistinglinestosupportredevelopmentandinfill(58percent),andtoimprovetheroadswealreadyhave.AddressingthechallengesandbarriersUltimately,thechallengestheregionfacesincludethedevelopmentofqualityhousing,increasedmodalchoiceintransportation,andresourceandlandconservation/preservation.Astheparticipantsfurtherarticulatedupontheseconcepts,itbecameevidentthattheyareallinterrelatedandrequire
investmentintothefollowingfourcategories:regionalleadership,jobcreation,adequateformsoftransportation,andcommunityeducation.Regionalleadershipwillhelptoalignpolicyattheleveloflocaljurisdictions.Participantscalledformorecooperationbetweenelectedofficials,business,andcommunityleaderstocoordinateoverallgoalsandvisionsforlanduseandtransportation.Whileidentifiedasachallenge,itwasalsonotedthataregionalvision,leadershipandcooperationisthewaywearegoingtoachievethegoalsofthe14‐countyregion.Whilethechallengeisjobcreation,participantsrealizeditistheengineforfuturegrowththeregionandlocalcommunities.Economicgrowththroughouttheregioniscriticalforsupportingthefutureofourregion.Thefutureofthe14‐countyregiondependsongrowthforthehealthofthecommunity(vibrancy,fiscallyandfunctionally).Notingtheneedtobroadentheaccesstoalternativeformsoftransportationincludingtransit,walkingandbiking,putslessstrainonpresentinfrastructureandoffersadditionaloptionsforvaryinglifestyles,theparticipantsalsobelievestoovercomethischallenge,thereneedstobeadditionalinvestmentininfrastructure.Developingfundingoptionsforavarietyofinfrastructurefundingandcommunityinvestmentarecritical.Theneedformoreeducationofthecommunityisachallengemanyintheaudienceidentified.TheongoingcommunicationofwhyandhowneedstobefeedtothecommunityasawholetoreinforcetheworkandofCONNECTandthefuturestepsnecessarytoimplementthegrowthplans.
GameDayTablesvs.GrowthPatternsfromGuidingPrinciples
Pattern
NumberofTables
%ofTablesinGrowthPattern
Polling%inGrowthPattern
EquivalentNumberofTables
Dispersed 11 27% 8% 3
Corridor 15 37% 41% 17
CompactUrban 3 7% 14% 6
MultipleCenters 12 29% 37% 15
17 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
NextStepsAccommodating1.8millionnewresidentsand860,000newjobsinthe14‐countyregionisbothatremendousopportunityandaformidablechallenge.Preparingforitcannotwait.BreakingnewgroundWhathappenedonJune4thinRealityCheck2050willbeusedalmostimmediatelybyCONNECTOurFuture.The“GrowthThemes,”thescorecardsthatgowiththemandtheresultsfromthepolling,willbesharedwiththeentireregionthroughaseriesof16daysofCommunityCharacterWorkshops.Thesewilltakeplaceinthe14‐countiesbeginningSeptember5andrunningthroughOctober17,2013.Fellowresidentsallovertheregionwillseeandrespond,usingtheRealityCheckinformationtofigureouthowyourideasmaywork,ornot,intheirowncounties.DuringtheCommunityWorkshops,participantswillworktowardcreating“AlternativeGrowthScenarios”thatwillbesharedinearly2014withtheentireregion.ParticipantswillhavetheopportunitytobeanambassadorforCONNECTOurFutureinsharingtheseresultsandtoweighintheapproachthatproducesthelong‐termoutcomesthecommunitywantstoseefortheregionandyourcommunity.TheendresultofRealityCheckandCONNECT,andthatofsomanyothers,willbeaRegionalGrowthFrameworkthatincludestheoverall“selectedgrowthoption”thatyouhavehelpedtodevelop(afirstforthisregion!),thatproducestheoutcomesthepublicagreesareimportantforthefuture.ThefinalRegionalGrowthFrameworkwillalsoincludetoolboxesandrecommendationsforvoluntaryadoptionbycommunitiestohelpmakethoseselectedoutcomesareality.Thesearescheduledtobeavailablebytheendof2014.AtRealityCheck2050,wehelpedtheregiondevelopitsfirst‐everframeworkforgrowthforthenext37years.
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 18
RealityCheck2050ParticipantsThefollowing400+regionalleaders(notingthecountytheyreside)werepartoftheRealityCheckeventonJune4,2013.PrivateSectorJordanAbshire,MecklenburgViAlexanderLyles,MecklenburgSteveAlfaro,MecklenburgLeeAllen,StanlyKathleenAllen,York,SCJeffAmes,ClevelandRubenArce,MecklenburgStephanieBaker,MecklenburgScottBarnette,MecklenburgLarryBaucom,StanlyJameyBaysinger,MecklenburgMarkBeattie,MecklenburgMarjorieBenbow,CabarrusAllisonBillings,MecklenburgRobBittler,MecklenburgBenBoyles,York,SCSusanBrackett,York,SCFordeBritt,MecklenburgBradBucy,Lancaster,SCKennBullock,MecklenburgRickBurleyson,CabarrusMikeBurnett,MecklenburgKevinCampbell,MecklenburgCarolCardwell,IredellBrianCarnes,Lancaster,SCJenniferClark,MecklenburgBobCollier,IredellMikeCollins,Union,NCJohnCulbertson,MecklenburgKatieCurry,MecklenburgKristieDarling,IredellJaimeDeLaTorre,Union,NCGabeDobbs,MecklenburgDanielDodd,York,SCKaylaDugger,York,SCLindseyDunevant,StanlyBillDuston,MecklenburgJohnEakin,York,SCTanquerayEdwards,MecklenburgKenElkins,York,SCNatalieEnglish,MecklenburgMichelleEstradaAbels,MecklenburgLizEtheredge,MecklenburgPatEudy,Lancaster,SCMikeFarmer,GastonToddFarrell,MecklenburgFrankFawcett,MecklenburgDavidFlowe,CabarrusRichardFlowe,CabarrusWendyFoster,GastonJudyFrancis,OtherAlexFraser,IredellDFranklinFreemanPhD,MecklenburgOwenFuruseth,MecklenburgMattGallagher,Mecklenburg
JimGamble,MecklenburgPhilGandy,MecklenburgJ.PatrickGeorge,MecklenburgTraceyGibson,IredellTomGibson,MecklenburgRichardGoforth,Union,NCRodneyGraham,MecklenburgPrestonGray,StanlyTamekaGreen,MecklenburgHooverGutierrez,MecklenburgStuartHair,MecklenburgLeTanyaHall,Chester,SCStevenHarper,Lancaster,SCJoselynHarriger,MecklenburgScottHarris,MecklenburgTamalaHarris,MecklenburgThomasHarris,MecklenburgTedHogan,MecklenburgTobeHolmes,MecklenburgDeloresHurt,MecklenburgJohnHusonP.E.,MecklenburgAmiraIssa,MecklenburgMichaelJohnson,IredellHarryJohnson,MecklenburgKemRaSkhertJoseph‐AchikeobiJess,Lancaster,SCMaryJoyce,MecklenburgPaulKardous,MecklenburgDavidF.Keely,York,SCHalKempson,MecklenburgJ'aimeKent,MecklenburgAlanKerley,CabarrusSyKing,MecklenburgRussKnight,York,SCFrancisKoster,RowanLynnmarieKovach,Lancaster,SCMikeLaRuffa,MecklenburgBobbiJoLazarus,MecklenburgCraigLewis,MecklenburgCathyLewis,GastonRobertLink,CabarrusAmberLogan,MecklenburgHarrisonLong,MecklenburgLucyLustig,MecklenburgJonathanMangels,Union,NCCorkyManns,Lancaster,SCJohnMarshall,IredellCharlieMartin,GastonPatMartinez,MecklenburgChristineMason,MecklenburgSarahMcAulay,MecklenburgDennisMcGlory,MecklenburgDeanMcKenzie,MecklenburgParkerMelvin,MecklenburgMarioMendigana,MecklenburgMichaelMilesJr,York,SC
MichaelMilesJr,York,SCJeffMiller,MecklenburgSummerMinchew,MecklenburgMikeMinett,MecklenburgMariaMoats,MecklenburgBillMonroe,GastonLisaLeeMorgan,MecklenburgWilliamMorgan,IredellMattMorrison,MecklenburgAprilMorton,MecklenburgBrandonNewton,Lancaster,SCBrianNicholson,MecklenburgMickeyNorris,CabarrusJoshOakhurst,MecklenburgAndrewPack,MecklenburgCharlesPage,IredellRonPappas,Lancaster,SCBryanPaschal,MecklenburgPhilipPayne,MecklenburgChristinePoinsette,LincolnElainePowell,MecklenburgAndrenaPowell‐Baker,Union,SCCurtisPressley,ClevelandStuartProffitt,MecklenburgJoelRandolph,MecklenburgAngelineRansom,MecklenburgJimRedd,LincolnReneeReese,MecklenburgDavidReynolds,MecklenburgDennisRichter,MecklenburgClydeRobinson,MecklenburgKerriRobusto,York,SCSergioRocha,MecklenburgWandaRosa,Lancaster,SCDavidH.Rosenthal,MecklenburgStanRostas,MecklenburgGeorgeRoyIII,MecklenburgByronSackett,LincolnRosannaSaladin,MecklenburgRosaSansbury,Lancaster,SCShannonSapp,CabarrusMarieSchmader,MecklenburgEdShimpock,StanlyNinaShor,MecklenburgScotSibert,MecklenburgDanielSmith,CabarrusKevanSmith,MecklenburgSonaSpencer,MecklenburgRaineSpivey,MecklenburgGeoffSteele,MecklenburgRuthStevenson,MecklenburgGaryStewart,Union,NCDaleStewart,MecklenburgVanceStine,York,SCJanisTacy,Lancaster,SCKatrynahTalbert,Mecklenburg
19 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
JaneTanner,Lancaster,SCEugeniaTaylor,MecklenburgChrisThomas,MecklenburgMelvinThreatt,Lancaster,SCDavidTibbals,MecklenburgJamesTraynor,York,SC
KeithTunnell,Lancaster,SCLoriTurner,MecklenburgXimenaUribe,MecklenburgRobertVail,MecklenburgAndrewVentresca,IredellO'LyndaWalker,Cabarrus
MarilynWells,MecklenburgRobbieWhite,MecklenburgJimWilliams,MecklenburgLizWilson,MecklenburgJarvisWoodburn,Anson
PublicSectorAishaAlexander,MecklenburgRobertAllen,Union,NCStephenAllen,York,SCSandyAndrews,York,SCElsonBaldwin,GastonTrishBeam,ClevelandHeatherBirch,MecklenburgGaryBlack,York,SCRyanBlancke,York,SCDebraBlanton,ClevelandJerryBrannon,Union,SCSusanBritt,York,SCDelanieBrown,CabarrusRobertBundy,Lancaster,SCJasonBurdette,MecklenburgRoxBurhans,Union,NCNeilBurke,IredellDebraCampbell,MecklenburgJoeCarpenter,GastonNancyCarter,MecklenburgWalterCollins,Lancaster,SCBobbyCompton,IredellGwenCook,MecklenburgRobertCook,MecklenburgScottCorrell,MecklenburgReginaCousar,MecklenburgBillCoxe,MecklenburgKristyCrisp,GastonJoeCronin,York,SCCraigCulberson,IredellJohnCurry,MecklenburgShelleyDeHart,Union,NCJeffDerwort,Union,NCDougEchols,York,SC
ErickaEllis‐Stewart,MecklenburgWilliamFeather,RowanJasonFlora,York,SCRonFoulk,GastonHankGraham,MecklenburgMarthaSueHall,StanlyBjornHansen,MecklenburgBillHarris,York,SCElizabethHarris,York,SCGregHauser,MecklenburgEricHawkins,York,SCEldewinsHaynes,MecklenburgKatherineHebert,MecklenburgMarionHicklin,York,SCJerryHolt,Lancaster,SCDavidHooper,York,SCDavidHoward,MecklenburgCarlaHowell,RowanJimHumphreyOtherPamHumphrey,StanlyTorreJessup,MecklenburgVictoriaJohnson,MecklenburgCherieJzar,CabarrusJayKalter,MecklenburgColleenKaphengst,York,SCPenelopeKaragounis,Lancaster,SCDavidKeilson,ClevelandRonKimble,MecklenburgJackKiser,GastonMariaLaury,Union,NCPhilLeazer,York,SCChrisLopez,CabarrusAndyLucas,StanlyDarleneLuther,Union,NC
ErikaMartin,IredellJeanMatthews,York,SCBillMcCarter,ClevelandLisaMcCarter,Union,NCBenMcCrary,MecklenburgLarryMcCullough,Lancaster,SCJamesMeacham,RowanAdrianMiller,GastonDannieMontgomery,AnsonSarahMoore,CabarrusKarenNichols,York,SCLaVernePartlow,GastonMargaretPearson,CabarrusKathyPender,York,SCDanPeters,RowanDannyPleasant,MecklenburgLarryPressley,IredellJoeyRaczkowski,IredellDevinRhyneLincolnMichaelSandy,StanlyKateSatchwill,MecklenburgJerrySimpson,Union,NCJeannieSkula,Lancaster,SCRonSmith,IredellLisaStiwinter,Union,NCNicoleStorey,MecklenburgJasonThompson,GastonBillThunberg,IredellL.J.Weslowski,CabarrusKarenWhichard,MecklenburgCharlesWilliams,York,SCSteveWillis,Lancaster,SCDickWinters,MecklenburgPeterZeiler,Mecklenburg
Non‐ProfitOrganizationsDawnAllen,StanlyKathyAlmond,StanlyBillAnderson,MecklenburgGeorgeArena,LincolnKimAtkins,IredellRayAtkinson,MecklenburgEleanorBartley,MecklenburgArmandoBellmas,MecklenburgJenniferBlanchardBelk,York,SCJuneBlotnick,MecklenburgStephanieBoschee,MecklenburgAndrewBowen,MecklenburgRichardBoyce,GastonFreemanBrian,StanlyCliffBrumfield,LincolnAndrewBryant,LincolnDwayneBurks,GastonDaveCable,MecklenburgRobertCarney,Iredell
MarkCarr,MecklenburgDeborahCarter,CabarrusCoryCarter,MecklenburgKennethCauthen,Lancaster,SCScottChagnon,MecklenburgEdnaChirico,MecklenburgAstridChirinos,MecklenburgShanerraCovington,Lancaster,SCMelissaCurrie,MecklenburgDoreenDavis,MecklenburgBrianDeck,MecklenburgColleenDick,York,SCEdwardDuffy,York,SCAlissaDuncan,Union,SCGainorEisenlohr,MecklenburgCherieEllis,Lancaster,SCGinaEsquivel,MecklenburgSilviaFalconi,MecklenburgShaunFerguson,Mecklenburg
HamaniFisher,MecklenburgDanFogel,MecklenburgNamonFreeman,MecklenburgMorganFrye,LincolnWilliamGarcia,MecklenburgRichardGaskins,MecklenburgD'AngeloGatewood,AnsonKimGeorge,GastonMaggieGiraud,MecklenburgAlexisGordon,MecklenburgSamanthaGrass,CabarrusTerryGriffin,StanlyReginaGuyer,MecklenburgChristineHamlett,MecklenburgCarolHardison,MecklenburgTinaHaynes,CabarrusChrisHemans,MecklenburgMaryHenderson,Lancaster,SCHelenHerndon,Gaston
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 20
JohnHighfill,MecklenburgMaryHopper,MecklenburgGeneHunt,York,SCDeanHybl,Union,SCRussellIngram,OtherPhroniceJohnson,RowanKathyJohnson,Lancaster,SCEricJohnson,MecklenburgLeeJohnson,StanlyDonaldJonas,MecklenburgBrendaKays,StanlyGloriaKellerhal,Chester,SCTarikKiley,MecklenburgJohnKimbrell,GastonKenLambla,MecklenburgBartLandress,MecklenburgCandiceLangston,MecklenburgLydnonLewis,Lancaster,SCDonnaLockett,GastonJohnLuebke,MecklenburgJanetMalkemes,MecklenburgAlisonMallard,York,SCMikeManis,MecklenburgJohnMarek,IredellLuisMartinez,Mecklenburg
RebeccaMasters,York,SCJamesMathis,MecklenburgMichaelMcAllister,MecklenburgGayeMcConnell,RowanBillMcCoy,MecklenburgBobMcElfresh,MecklenburgFultonMeachem,Jr.,MecklenburgMaudiaMelendez,MecklenburgJeffMichael,MecklenburgBenMiller,York,SCJeanieMoore,RowanJamesMorton,Lancaster,SCTerrellMurphy,MecklenburgWayneMurray,Lancaster,SCMaryNewsom,MecklenburgTomOkel,MecklenburgMelanieOutlaw,Lancaster,SCJoePadilla,MecklenburgAdeliaParrado‐Ortiz,OtherTimPatterson,York,SCDoralisaPellane,Union,NCTimothyPererva,Union,NCMarkPeres,MecklenburgDavidPerry,MecklenburgDavePettine,York,SC
JeffreyPhillips,Lancaster,SCJuanEstebanRamirez,OtherPollyRedd,LincolnJamesRiemann,StanlyRachelRussell,MecklenburgJamesSanders,LincolnEmilyScofield,MecklenburgSallySherrin,Lancaster,SCDarbahSkaf,IredellMichaelSmith,MecklenburgBenSmith,MecklenburgCarolSpalding,RowanBrendaSpeece,IredellNormanSpencer,CabarrusJanetSpriggs,RowanJessicaStewart,IredellVickieTessener,ClevelandQueenThompson,MecklenburgLucretiaTillman,AnsonMaryVickers‐Koch,MecklenburgJohnWear,RowanDavidWiggins,MecklenburgMichaelWilliamson,York,SCStevenWray,MecklenburgMartinZimmerman,Mecklenburg
FacilitatorsandScribesRealityCheckhadtremendoussupportfromvolunteerfacilitatorsandscribesthatguidedinclusivedialogueatthetablesanddocumentedkeycommentsanddata.Datacollectionandsynthesiswascarriedoutbyresultsvolunteers.BothvolunteergroupswereinlargepartresponsibleforthesuccessoftheRealityCheck2050event.FacilitatorsKyleBaughShannonBinnsTimBrownLibbyCableMonicaCarneyHolmesDeborahClarkKarynCrichtonJohnCulbertsonScottCurryNathanDoolittleJasonEpleyHollyEskridgeJenniferFairchildWalterFieldsChristineFisherSeanFlahertyDanGallagherZacGordonMeganGudeVagnHansenDarleneHeaterMikeHolder
BlairIsraelBrianJenestDavidJonesAllisonKraftKrisKriderSteveLinebergerColeMcKinneyColeMcKinneyBillMeyerRobbyMoodyDanMummeyMichelleNanceSaraO'MaraKatePearceMattPesceHeidiPruessVictoriaRittenhouseKathleenRoseJackSimoneauDeirdreSmithStephenStansberyAndiStevensonJennyVallimont
JasonWagerDavidWaltersFrankWarrenSteveWindellLeahYoungbloodScribesRoyAlexanderStephenAllenNadineBennettChandraChristmas‐RouseAdrienneCoxRichardCoxAllenDavisJeffDerwortEissabethDizonAngelaFaisonTimFerraroChrisFrommeEmmaFulopAnnaGallupWarrenGodfrey
JenniGrayAndyGrzymskiSarahHejmaLydiaHillRobbieHowellBeckyJohnsonMaryScottKennedyAlexaKingPatMartinMelonyMcCulloughAlysonMetcalfeMarianneMoseleyAshleyPageEmilyParkerCarolineSawyerLindsaySheltonLucasShiresDanaStoogenkeMattVanHoyJonathanWellsReseaWillisKristinWorley
21 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
RecognitionWhileitwassevenyearsofdiscussion,threeyearsinthefundraising,andoneandahalfyearsinthepreparation,RealityCheckwastheproductofagroupofdedicatedvolunteerleadersasdiverseastheparticipantsinvitedtoplaythegamethatday.Aspecialthankyoutoourvolunteers,participants,sponsors,communitysupporters,RealityCheck2050SteeringandTechnicalCommittees,andprofessionalsupportthatmadethisextraordinaryeventpossible.RealityCheck2050SteeringCommitteeChair:ScottMingonetBenCollins,BillMeyer,BrianJenest,ColeMcKinney,DavidJones,FultonMeachem,JamesTraynor,JennyVallimont,MikeHolder,PeterZeiler,RebeccaYarbrough,StephenStansbery,SteveWindellRealityCheck2050TechnicalCommitteeChair:ScottMingonetAndrewJenkins,CamilleBarchers,DianeDil,MichaelKemp,MikeDavis,NateDoolittle,TobeHolmes,ZacGordan,MichelleNanceCreatingthemomentumandeducatingthefutureparticipants,KristinWorleyandWoolpertdevelopedtheRealityCheck2050video.ParticipantsinOurRealityCheck2050VideoincludedTracyDodson,DavidWalters,DavidHoward,JasonWalser,EddieLee,KristinWorley,DavidWalters,StephenStansbery,BrianJenest,MichaelJohnson,DougEchols,AnthonyFoxx.TechnicalassistanceandfacilitatortrainingwasprovidedbyKimley‐HornandAssociates.Ensuringtheevent’scriticalpath,projectmanagerKimberlyMeltonofULICharlottecontributedsignificantly.OverseeingtheCONNECTOurFutureProjectwasSushilNepal.WhileRealityCheck2050wasalargeinitiative,thePublicEngagementCommitteeofCONNECThelpedguidethevisionofCONECTandworkwithULItoweaveitintothetoolthatbroughttheprogramtogether.RealityCheck2050isapartoftheCONNECTOurFutureprocess,aSustainableCommunitiesinitiative,fundedbyagrantfromtheU.S.DepartmentofHousingandUrbanDevelopment(HUD).
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 22
ResourcesInterestedinlearningmoreaboutlanduseandgrowthintheCharlotteregion?Thefollowingorganizationsprovidesubstantialonlineresourcesonthesesubjects:CONNECTOurFutureandRealityCheckCONNECTOurFuture,www.ConnectOurFuture.orgRealityCheck,www.RealityCheck2050.orgPartnerOrganizationsULICharlottewww.charlotte.uli.org704.940.7388CentralinaCouncilofGovernmentswww.centralina.org704.372.2416CatawbaRegionalCouncilofGovernmentswww.catawbacog.org803.327.9041RelatedResourcesULI–theUrbanLandInstitute,www.uli.orgPartnershipforSustainableCommunities,www.sustainablecommunities.govEPA–SmartGrowth,www.epa.gov/smartgrowth/index.htmULIRoseCenterforPublicLeadership,www.uli.org/research/centers‐initiatives/daniel‐rose‐center‐for‐public‐leadership‐in‐land‐use/PartnershipforLivableCommunities,www.livable.org/ULITerwilligerCenterforHousing,www.uli.org/research/centers‐initiatives/terwilliger‐center‐for‐housing/
23 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
AppendixPollingResults1. Participantswereaskedwhichthree(3)ofthefollowingnine(9)guidingprinciples,doyoubelieveare
mostimportantfortheregionoverthenext30years?
2. Whenconsideringthefutureofourregion,selectthetopthree(3)desiredoutcomesfromthefollowing:
Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte 24
3. WhichofthesefourthemesforregionalgrowththatemergedtodaymostcloselyalignswiththeGuidingPrinciplesyoubelieveareimportantfortheregion’sfuture?
4. Continuingwithyourtoppickfromthepreviousquestion,wherewouldyouprioritizeinvestmentsin
transportationandutilityinfrastructure?Remember:resourcesarelimited.
25 Reality Check 2050 Final Report by ULI Charlotte
5. Whichofthethree(3)regionalchallengesdoyoubelieverequirethegreatestattentionnow?
6. Whichofthefollowingapproachesdoyoubelieveismostneededtoovercomethesechallengesto
regionalsuccess,orbarriersofgrowth?(VOTEFOR3)
Reality Check 2050 Final Report 26
7. Areyouwillingtohelplocalleadersandothersinsomeway—suchasparticipatinginalocalworkshoplikethisorencouragingyourneighborstocometoone—asweworktogethertoaddressthesechallengesandhelpbringabouttheoutcomesyouseek?