20120227 PTT AnalystMeeting4Q2011 en 03

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  • Analyst MeetingQ4 and FY 2011

  • Contents2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011 Highlights

    Performance & Roadmap

    Investment

    2012 Outlook2012 Outlook

    PTT Group Stress Test

    1

  • 2011 Highlights

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Economy

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    European Financial turmoil leading to credit rating downgrade in Italy, Spain, and other 7 European countries

    Exceptionally low Fed rate at 0 0.25%; however, improvement of employment rate and CPIExceptionally low Fed rate at 0 0.25%; however, improvement of employment rate and CPI shown

    Lower Chinese demand from tight monetary policy, however, increasingly gloomy global outlook and slower growth forced China to start easing monetary policy in December

    NESDB estimated that devastating flood led to contracting Thai economy by 9.0% in Q4/2011 and FY 2011 growth only at 0.1%

    Operations

    Flood caused NG sales volume to decrease by 7.7% QoQ, while only 1% effect in oil business

    Yetagun closed to install compressor platform lead to lower NGV supply

    Gradually increasing NGV retail price structure implemented since January 16, 2012

    ESP d ti f t h td i Q3/2011

    2

    ESP resumed operation from warranty shutdown in Q3/2011

    Improvement of coal sales volume from 2.5 to 3.1 MTon in Q4/2011

  • 2011 Year of Record Profit2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit : THB Billion

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Record Year

    Increasing sales volume 926

    1,2141,508

    2,0011,586

    1,898

    2,428

    Revenue~USD 80 bn

    from ESP, GSP6, Ethane cracker (PTTPE)

    Stock gain as crude oil price surged

    386 400 490645

    926 USD 80 bn~USD 60 bn

    surged

    Effective BCM

    Eff ti B i C ti it

    ~USD 10 bn

    Effective Business Continuity Management lead to minimal impact from flood in Q4/2011

    Stress Test

    Net Income

    62 7

    85.595.5 97.8

    59 5

    84.0

    105.3

    55% Stress Test

    Group-wide Stress Test to prepare for future uncertainties21.6

    24.537.6

    62.751.7

    59.5

    19% 38% 45% 41% 63% 43%45%50%

    37% 58%

    57%

    55%

    62%55%

    59%

    59%

    36% PTT

    Affiliates

    3

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    19%81%

    38% 45% 41% 63% 42%43%

    41%64% 50%36%

  • Strong Contributions from All Businesses

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit : THB Billion+25%

    Prices Drivers

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    17.8Petrochem

    84 0

    105.3Net Income

    +75%

    Prices Drivers

    Crudeoil106$/BBL(+40%) AccountingGRM6.08$/BBL(+26%) Spread HDPE 443 $/Ton (13%)

    9.4

    13.410.2

    PTTEP

    84.0 Refinery+43%

    SpreadHDPE443$/Ton(13%) SpreadPX647$/Ton(+93%)

    Volume Drivers

    28.7

    30.6 PTTEP+7% Ethanecracker1MTA(Q4/10)

    HDPE300KTA&LDPE300KTA(Q1/11) BisPhenolA150KTA(Q2/11)

    36.147.8

    PTT+32%

    PP/PDH300/310KTA(Q3/10,Q1/11) TDAE50KTA(Q1/11) OilSandsKKD15,000BOED(Q1/11) Vietnam 16 1 32 000 BOED (Q3/11)

    -0.4 -4.3 Others

    2010 2011

    Vietnam16132,000BOED(Q3/11) ESP0.76MTA(Q3/10) GSP61.8MTA(Q1/11) LNGTerminalcapacity5MTA(Q3/11)

    4

    2010 2011

    Dividend 10.25 13.00(THB/Share)

  • 2010-2011 AccoladesPTT is widely recognized among business communities both international and local2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    h h

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Asia Talent Management10th Asia Business Leaders Award 2011

    7th Top Asia Energy Companies of 201035th Top Global Energy Companies of 2010

    128th Fortune Global 500 of 2011- 155th in 2010 - 118th in 2009

    171th The Biggest Listed Companies in the World 2011-196th in 2010 -244th in 2009

    Dow JonesSustainabilityIndex # 17

    Best CEO 2010Best CFO 2010

    Asian Corporate Director Recognition Awards 2010 & 2011

    Thai BMA Best Bond Awards 2010

    The winners of The Assets Platinum Awards in 2011Best CFO 2010

    Best Managed Company 2010Best Corporate Governance 2010Best Investor Relations 2010Best Corporate Social

    Recognition Awards 2010 & 2011 Asias Best CEO Asias Best CFO Best IR Website/Promotion Best Environmental

    Responsibility

    2010 Deal of the Year Most Creative Issue Best Investor Relations Issuer

    Platinum Awards in 2011

    Best Corporate Social Responsibility 2010Best Commitment to Strong Dividend Policy 2010

    Responsibility Best Investor Relations Best Investor Relations

    ProfessionalBoard of the year Award 2010/11

    SET Awards Top Corporate Governance Trusted Brand 2011 Best CEO for Energy Sector 2011 Outstanding State Enterprise

    Report Award 2010 & 2011 Best Corporate Social

    Responsibility Awards 2011

    Thailands Top Brand in Platinum Award for Service Station

    gy g pAward 2010 Best State Enterprise of the

    Year, Best of the Best Outstanding Leadership Outstanding Innovation 5

  • Contents2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011 Highlights

    Performance & Roadmap

    Investment

    2012 Outlook2012 Outlook

    PTT Group Stress Test

    6

  • Exploration & Production Performance : PTTEP (65.29%)

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Product Prices Net Income (100%)E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    101.7 102.7

    73.8

    102.2

    Liquid (USD/BBL) 1,468

    Unit: MMUSD

    1,380

    6%

    5.91 6.64 5.52 6.00

    55.4 61.3 44.8

    55.5

    G (USD/MMBTU)

    Weighted Avg.(USD/BOE)

    489250

    96%

    Sales Volume Key Activities

    5.91 6.64 5.52 6.00

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Gas (USD/MMBTU)

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    250

    Sales Volume Key Activities

    265 262

    Unit: KBOED

    0.2%

    265

    5%

    QoQ Sales volume dropped from flood (i.e. Arthit

    North, Bongkot, MTJDA B-17, Yadana, Yetagun),

    86 78

    265 265251Liquid

    G

    265, g , , , g ),

    whilst sales price sharply increased from periodic gas price adjustment

    Net Income increased from FX gain on USD debts against stronger CAD currency

    165 187

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Gas

    7

    g g y

    YoY Avg. selling price increased by 24% Success ratio in 2011 was 11:25

  • Exploration & Production Roadmap : PTTEP

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Target Sales Volume Proved Reserves

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit: KBOEDTotal 969 MMBOE

    Overseas

    284

    330345

    326 324

    AustraliaMiddle East & AfricaNorth America7%

    16%

    44%56%

    265South East Asia

    Australia

    Policy

    DomesticThailand

    Reserves Replacement Ratio 1.10 > 1

    Reserve Life Index (year) 9 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 201620152011 CF 2012 2013 2014 2016

    8

    BKT South,Montara

    Zawtika Algeria

  • Gas Business Performance : Natural Gas

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    NG Sales Volume Gas BU EBITDA

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011

    2010 3,8024,055

    4,152

    4,1484,1454,330

    4,249

    3,919

    Unit: MMSCFD AVG.

    4,040

    4,161

    Unit: MMTHB

    62,195

    32%

    2009

    2010

    3,280 3,6063,677 3,686

    , ,

    3,562

    47,212

    9,88016,83241%

    NG Customer Profile Key Activities

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    550237246

    Industry (13%)NGV (6%)

    3% Unit: MMSCFD

    4,0404,249 4,161

    3,9198%

    QoQ NG sales volume declined in all customers as a

    result of flood except sales volume to GSPs

    763 866430 486860

    867559

    5503

    IPP (21%)

    SPP (12%)

    GSP (21%)

    Industry (13%)increased due to the resumption of ESP & GSP 6

    Higher average gas cost from price adjustment

    YoY

    1,070 1,146

    763 866

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    EGAT (27%)

    ( )

    9

    YoY NG sales volume slightly increased due to gas

    leakage and flood

  • Gas Business Performance: GSPs & NGV

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    GSP - Reference Product Prices NGV EBIT Loss

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    PP HDPE

    Unit : USD/Ton

    1,399 1,3291,364

    1,6061,423

    1,340

    1,585

    Unit : MMTHB

    3 164

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Naphtha

    333 333 333 333

    869805 660

    8531,222

    Domestic LPG -7,323

    -3,259-3,164

    10 556

    3%

    GSP Sales Volume Key Activities

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    -10,55644%

    y

    Propane (9%)

    Unit : KTon

    542

    5,820

    36% QoQ GSPs sales volume increased mainly due to the

    resumption of GSP 6 and ESPPropane (9%)

    NGL (11%)

    Ethane (31%)

    647

    1,798

    542

    1,5001 381

    4,289 YoY GSP volume increased by 36% from COD of ESP

    in July 2010, and GSP 6 in Jan 20119%

    LPG (49%)

    712

    2,833167

    467154

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    ,1,381

    10

    y , NGV price increased by 0.50 Baht/Kg a month

    starting from Jan 16, 2012

  • Gas Business Roadmap

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    6,000

    Unit : MMSCFD

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    4,000GSP

    IndustryNGV

    21%

    13%

    7%

    6%18%

    16%7%

    0

    2,000Power

    - EGAT- IPP- SPP

    60%

    21%

    59%

    New Supply

    PTTEP (Bongkot

    PTTLNG PTTEP(M9)Chevron

    02011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    PipelineCapacity

    Supply South)

    4th Onshore Offshore

    Compressor

    Chevron(Plathong)

    Capacity(MMSCFD) 4,380

    GSP

    5,580 6,980 6,980Compressor

    6,980

    GSP#6

    6,980

    GSPCapacity

    (MTA)6.7 6.7 6.7 6.76.7

    GSP#6

    6.7

    11

  • Oil Business Performance : PTT

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Contribution Margin* Oil BU - EBITDA

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    11,973

    Unit : MMTHB

    0 730.77 0 75

    Unit : THB/Liter9%

    12,12613,224

    Oil

    0.72 0.73 0.75 11%

    3,236 2,874

    291 1,251 2,583

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Non-OilQ3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    * Exclude nonoil business

    Sales Volume Key Activities

    Unit : MM Liter 5%QoQ Sales volume returned to normal in Q4 after more

    5 590 5 536

    20,762 21,807 FO import in Q3 to compensate gas leakage

    YoY Sales volume increased due to the increase in

    2%

    5,590 5,536

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011 12

    domestic demand and fuel oil demand during gas leakage

    PTT stations 1,326 (+6 stations from Q3) Caf Amazon 634 branches (+29 branches)

  • International Trading Business Performance : PTT

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Contribution Margin Trading BU - EBITDA*

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2,188 2,209

    Unit : MMTHB

    0.04 0.04 0.04

    Unit :THB/Liter1%

    612283

    0.03

    54%

    283

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011* PTT Only

    Sales Volume Key ActivitiesUnit : MM Liter

    y

    QoQ Lower sales volume from the turnaround of2%

    16 098 13 736

    60,256 59,145

    15%

    Lower sales volume from the turnaround of IRPC

    Contribution margin slightly decreased due to the decrease in condensate margin

    16,098 13,736

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011 13

    YoY Lower sales volume, specially crude volume,

    due to schedule shutdown of affiliate refineries

  • Refining Business Performance

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    GRM/GIM Net Income (100%)

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    23,414

    32,455

    Unit : MMTHB 39%

    BCP

    IRPC

    Unit : USD/BBL

    6.875.90

    7.379.40

    6.08 A/C GRM

    A/C GIM

    3,935 1,396

    65%

    IRPCSPRC

    TOP

    4.66

    3.40 3.81

    4.53

    3.25

    3.854.82 Mkt GRM

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011Source : PTT, Refining AssociatesNote: Weighted Avg. GRM of PTTs associates complex refineries (TOP, SPRC, BCP, and IRPC)

    Weighted Avg. GIM of PTTs associates integrated refineries (TOP and IRPC)Account GRM/GIM = Market GRM/GIM + Hedging Gain/Loss + Stock Gain/Loss

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    93% 85% 90% 89% 100%900

    1000

    Total Intake Key ActivitiesUnit : KBD

    AggregatedUtil

    QoQ Market GRM decreased following European debt

    0%

    50%

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800 652 686 684704

    BCP

    SPRC

    Util. crisis For Aromatics, PX spread margin dropped due to the

    resumption of PX plants

    YoY

    IRPC

    50%

    0%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    SPRC

    TOP

    14

    YoY Market GRM improved from higher demand due to

    global economy recovered Higher stock gain due to crude oil price surged

  • Refining Business Roadmap

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    PTT 49 10% PX & BZ Upgrading HCU Revamp Benzene Power Plant Power Plant

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    PTT 49.10%

    Refining Cap. 275 KbpdPX 489 KTAMX 90 KTA

    PX & BZ Upgrading PX 100 KTA BZ 100 KTAEthanol UBE400 KLiter/day

    HCU RevampPhase I & IIPSA & HVU revamp

    Benzene Derivatives LAB 100 KTA

    Power Plant 110 MW

    Power Plant 110 MW

    BZ 177 KTATol 144 KTA

    PTT 38.51%

    Refining Cap. 215 KbpdA ti 367 KTA

    Propylene Booster Propylene

    100 KTA

    ABS/SAN Expansion ABS/SAN

    PP Compound and Specialties100 KTA

    Propylene 320 KTA

    Aromatic 367 KTAOlefin 728 KTA Polyolefin 615 KTA

    100 KTA ABS/SAN 61 KTA

    100 KTA

    PTT 27 22% Solar Power Plant Tail Gas Treating Solar Power Plant ContinuousPTT 27.22%

    Bangchak

    Refining Cap. 120 Kbpd

    Solar Power Plant Ph I38 MW

    Solar Power Plant Ph II

    Tail Gas Treating Unit

    Solar Power Plant Ph III 48 MW

    Continuous Catalytic Reforming Unit(CCR) 12 KBD

    Cogeneration P Pl tPh II

    32 MW

    Ethanol UBE400 KLiter/day

    Power Plant 15 MW

    Palm Plantation 3,300 Rais

    Expansion project15

  • Petrochemical Business Performance

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Spread Margins Net Income (100%)

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    638 647

    Unit : MMTHBUnit : USD/Ton

    37,086

    PTT Phenol

    71%

    HMC PolymersOthers

    21 731

    HDPE-Naphtha PX-Naphtha

    7% 13%

    13%

    93%

    462 429511

    443

    554

    335

    PTT Phenol

    PTTGC

    47%21,731

    8,3254,449

    7% 13%

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011 Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Sales Volume Key Activities

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011Note : PTTGC- Pro-forma income statement.

    89% 88% 90% 86%

    Unit : KTon

    23%

    QoQ Sales volume and average selling price dropped from

    lower demand following Chinas tight monetary policyAggregated

    Util.

    HMC Polymers

    1,2641,550 YoY

    Sales volume increased from the commercial operations of

    PTTGCs Ethane Cracker 1 MTA in Dec 201012%

    Q3/11* Q4/11* 2010 2011PTTGC

    HMC PolymersPTT Phenol 222 196

    16

    PTTGCs HDPE 300 KTA & LDPE 300 KTA in Q1/11 PTT Phenols Bis-Phenol A 150 KTA in Q2/11 HMC Polymerss PP/PDH 300/310 KTA in Q3/10

    and Q1/11, respectively* PTTGC sales volume not available due to the merger of PTTCH & PTTAR during the period

  • Petrochemical Business Roadmap

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    PTT 48.92%

    Refining 280 KTAOlefins 2,888 KTAA ti 2 259 KTA

    NatureWorks 50%PLA 70 KTA

    Aromatics 2,259 KTAPolymers 1,590 KTASpecialty 826 KTA

    Perstorp 51%TDI 125 KTAHDI 45 KTA

    PTT 40.00%PTT 40.00%

    Phenol 200 KTAAcetone 125 KTABPA 150 KTA

    Phenol 250 KTAAcetone 154 KTA

    PTT 41.44%

    PP 750 KTAPropylene 310 KTA

    PTT 48 50%PTT 48.50%

    AN 200 KTAMMA 70 KTA

    PTT 50 00%PTT 50.00%

    PBS 20 KTA

    17

  • Other Businesses : Coal - SAR (45.6%)

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Average SAR Selling Price Net Income (100%)

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit : MMUSD 116%

    100

    Unit : USD/Ton

    190

    94

    100

    73

    93

    3773 8897%

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    Sales Volume Key Activities

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    y

    Unit : KTon

    10 726

    QoQ Started production at Northern Lease, Sebuku Higher average selling price from higher quality coal

    from Northern Lease0.1%

    2 494 3,077

    10,726

    Jembayan

    Sebuku10,712

    23%

    from Northern Lease

    YoY Sales volume maintained at same level as previous

    year, despite a collapse of the Kutai Kartenegara

    Q3/11 Q4/11 2010 2011

    2,494 ,

    18

    gbridge that obstructed the coal transportation

    Increased in average selling price following global coal price surged

  • Coal Mining Roadmap

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Target Production Volume Resources & Reserves

    E & P Gas Oil & Trading Refining PetChem Coal2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit : MMTon

    14 0 2%

    SebukuReserves 146 MMTon

    12.0

    14.0

    Sebuku

    2%

    98%

    8.59.0

    10.7 10.7

    98%

    Jembayan

    JembayanJembayan

    Resources 1,505 MMTon

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E60%

    40%

    19

    60%

    Sebuku

    19

  • PTT Consolidated Performance : 20112011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    78106

    4%Others

    PTTEP

    Dubai (USD/BBL)

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit : MMTHB 28%

    1,898,6822,428,165

    16%

    6%4%

    PTT - Gas

    Revenue

    2010 2011

    74%

    PTT - Oil & Trading

    Others

    Revenue

    170,330210,748

    24%

    56%30%

    8%6%PTT - Oil & Trading

    PTT GPTTEP

    EBITDA170,330

    2010 201125%

    30%PTT - Gas

    Others

    EBITDA

    83,992 105,296

    25%

    45%17%

    13%4%

    PTT

    PetChem

    Refining

    Net IncomeNet Income

    2010 201129.58 36.91 29%

    PetChem

    PTTEP20

    co eNet Income

    EPS (THB/Share)

  • PTT Group Performance : 20112011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    % share

    Unit : MMTHB 2010 2011 YoY 2010 2011 YoY

    PTT Company Only 54,457 73,434 35% 54,457 73,434 35%

    Performance 100% Equity Method % PTT

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Less: Dividend Received 18,316 24,275 33% 18,316 24,275 33%Gain (Loss) on sales of investments in Associates and other adjusting 1,913 n.m. 1,913 n.m.

    PTT Net operating Income 36,141 47,246 31% 36,141 47,246 31%

    E&P PTTEP 43 774 44 748 2% 65 29% 28 722 30 558 6%E&P - PTTEP 43,774 44,748 2% 65.29% 28,722 30,558 6%

    Petro. Business 21,731 37,086 71% 10,158 17,753 75%

    - PTTGC* 16,320 30,033 84% 48.92% 7,922 14,465 83%

    - HMC/PPCL/PTTPL/PTTPM/PTTAC5 411 7 053 30% 40-48% 2 236 3 288 47%/ PTTME/PTTTANK 5,411 7,053 30% 40-48% 2,236 3,288 47%

    Refining 23,405 32,455 39% 9,377 13,445 43%

    - TOP 8,956 14,853 66% 49.10% 4,201 7,514 79%

    - IRPC 6,100 4,107 -33% 38.51% 2,250 1,443 -36%

    - SPRC 5,553 7,885 42% 36.00% 2,116 2,960 40%

    - BCP 2,796 5,610 101% 27.22% 810 1,528 89%

    Others Business 1,335 -2,114 n.m. -406 -4,276 n.m.

    Inter - PTTI group -2 923 -6 922 -137% 100% -2 922 -6 922 -137%Inter (PTTAPM,EMG,PTTML,FLNG),PTTGE -2,923 -6,922 -137% 100% -2,922 -6,922 -137%

    Gas & Utilities

    -TTM/PTTNGD/IPT/TP/DCAP/CHPP 3,008 2,927 -3% 20-100% 1,783 933 -48%

    Oil & Oth. - PTTRB/PTTT/SBECL/THAPPLINE//PTTCL/TLBC/ICT/EnCo 1,250 1,881 50% 33-100% 733 1,713 134%

    Shared of Net Income from Affiliates 90,245 112,175 24% 47,851 57,480 20%

    21

    Add Gain (Loss) on sales of investments in Associates0 570 n.m. 0 570 n.m.

    PTT Conso. Net Income 126,386 159,991 27% 83,992 105,296 25%

    *PTTGC performance from Pro-Forma Statement

  • Statement of Financial Position : Solid and Secured2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit: MMTHB Increased assets : GSP#6 Strong Financial Position

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    11.2 12.1

    GSP#6 PTTLNG WIP of 4th pipeline Platform compression 40% KKD Oil Sands

    ICR

    Strong Financial Position

    116,132

    366 060Other 1,229,109

    1,402,41214%

    Treasury policy

    0.4 0.4 1.4 1.3

    2010 2011228,132

    265,025 135,801

    392 403

    300,666

    366,060 Liabilities

    OtherCurrentAssets

    L/TLiabilities

    Cash & S/T Invest

    Net Debt/EBITDA < 2.0

    Net Debt/Equity < 1.0

    2010 2011368,515

    419,914 371,029

    392,403 Others

    Non-currentAssets

    (incl. due within 1 yr)

    PTT Ratings at Sovereign Level

    496,661 601,341 557,414 643,949

    PP&E

    TotalEquity

    PTT Ratings at Sovereign Level FC : Moodys (Baa1), S&P (BBB+),

    JCR (A-), FITCH (BBB)

    LC : Moodys (Baa1), S&P (BBB+),

    JCR (A), FITCH (A-)

    31 Dec10 31 Dec 11

    22

  • Dividend Policy & Historical PaymentsPTT is firmly committed to pay dividend at no less than 25% of net income

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    EPS DPS % Dividend Payout

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    25% 25%

    32.4% 32.6% 29.8% 30.1% 30.3% 30.8% 33.0%43.6% 40.4%

    35.0% 35.2%

    30.5734.14 34.82

    29.26

    36.9125% 25%

    PTTs minimum payout ratio

    22.4018.33

    21.06UNIT : Baht / share

    7.71 8.75

    13.43

    4 006.75

    9.25 10.5011.50

    8.00 8.5010.25

    13.00

    2.50 2.85 4.00

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    23

  • Contents2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011 Highlights

    Performance & Roadmap

    Investment

    2012 Outlook2012 Outlook

    PTT Group Stress Test

    24

  • PTT: CAPEX (PTT and Wholly Owned Subsidiaries)PTT plans to invest ~Bt 358 bn ($12bn) during 2012-2016

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Unit: MMTHBCAPEX B kd 5 Y

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    R&DJV & Investment in SubsidiariesOil & Trading

    CAPEX Breakdown : 5 YearsBy Business Unit

    Gas33%Coal2%

    Power2% LNG5%

    gGas

    85,48491,467

    JV & Others41%

    32 383

    ,81,513

    61,148

    JV & Investment in Subsidiaries

    50%

    Oil&Trading14%R&D3%

    55,49241,279 32,383

    26,880 38,384

    27,163 31,83135,812

    16,6537,611

    23,134

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    25

  • PTTEP: 2012-2016 CAPEX

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Total Expenditures (2012-2016) = US$ 20 Billion**

    CAPEX = US$ 12 Billion

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    5,168

    CAPEX = US$ 12 Billion

    OPEX = US$ 8 Billion

    3 295 3,479

    4,129

    3,5533,495*1,571

    3,295

    1,174

    1,397

    1,473 1,522 1,747

    3,5972,732

    1,822 1,957 1,8062,321

    20142011 2012 2013 2015 2016

    * Exclude KKD Oil Sands Acquisition cost of US$ 2.28 Billion** Exclude expenditure for M&A opportunities

    26

  • PTT Group CAPEX 2012 2016 ~ THB 900 BN*2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    P&R**R&D

    Biochemical Specialty

    Upstream E&P41%

    Otheropportunities

    P&R**16%

    2% Thailand 54% SE Asia 22% North America 15% Australasia 5%

    Coal Palm Oil 41%

    GasOil&Trading

    opportunities19%

    Australasia 5% ME & Africa 4% FLNG

    Power

    Gas16%

    6%

    LPG facilities

    Onshore Pipeline LNG Terminal NGV Stations

    * Excluded M&A of Affiliates, ** PTTGC excludes new initiatives

    NGV Stations Offshore Spur Lines

    27

  • Contents2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011 Highlights

    Performance & Roadmap

    Investment

    2012 Outlook2012 Outlook

    PTT Group Stress Test

    28

  • Economic Outlook : 20122011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Positive Negative

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Fed planned to keep interest rate exceptional low until late 2014

    Irans threat to the Strait of Hormuz will cause supply disruption and crude oil price surged

    Global US economic data indicates upward momentum

    surged

    Greece debt may prolong and tend to be more severe possibly leading to contagion among EU community

    fl d i l d i

    Thailand

    Post-flood construction lead to increasing in domestic consumption and investment

    Concern on repeating great flood

    Argument on ConstitutionThailand More stability of the

    government

    Argument on Constitution amendment

    29

  • Market Outlook

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Global oil demand in 2012 is

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Global oil demand in 2012 is forecasted to grow 1.0 MMBPD, reaching 90.0 MMBPD, according to IEAs report in January 2012.

    Dubai crude oil price in 2012 is expected to be aroundUS$ 100 -110 per barrel.

    Supply disruption from Irans reaction to the sanction

    US economic data indicates upward momentum

    An increase in oil supply from the exporting countries

    The fragile European economic situation

    Source: IEA

    30

    Source: IEA

  • Market Outlook

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Si GRM i 2012 i ti t d t

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Singapore GRM in 2012 is estimated to be at around US$ 6-7 per barrel

    A result of narrowed refining capacity surplus

    Lower global petroleum products demand caused by economic slowdown.

    Olefins price is on a declining trend Olefins price is on a declining trend

    Restocking after Chinese new year and annual schedule shutdown

    O l d l t h i l d tUSD/Ton USD/Ton

    Oversupply and lower petrochemical products demand caused by economic slowdown

    Aromatics price tends to be improved p p

    PX demand remains strong from the delay of new PX supply

    The start up of new PTA plantsp p

    Lower demand caused by economic slowdown

    31Source : DB, KBD, Reuters, FACTS, IEA (Jan11), Thaioil, OIM and PIM

  • Contents2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    2011 Highlights

    Performance & Roadmap

    Investment

    2012 Outlook2012 Outlook

    PTT Group Stress Test

    32

  • PTT Group Financial Stress Test

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    RationaleWe are operating under VUCA* circumstances

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    p g

    European debt crisis Double dip economy in the U.S Natural disasters

    1 T t th ili d th l f th

    Natural disasters

    2 Provide transparency and confidence to investors on

    1. Test the resilience and manage the solvency of the company

    Objectives

    2. Provide transparency and confidence to investors on PTTs health

    Scope

    * Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity33

  • 7-Step Approach

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    1 3 52 4

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    External scenarios

    Industry ecosystem

    Company risk model

    1 3 5

    Transmission to industry

    linkages

    Transmission to company

    model

    2 4Build stresstesting engine & capability

    linkages model

    7 6

    Build mitigation

    plan

    Run model and measure

    impact

    7 6Iterate for

    mitigation plansOperate

    Monitor & Modify

    Th i th h l di i di t The scenario through leading indicators Stress scenarios to reflect the new uncertainties and changes

    to levels of macro-economic indicators in existing scenarios Transmission mechanisms to reflect new linkages to industry

    and compan

    Maintain

    and company

    34

  • Stress Scenarios

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Europe Orderly defaults of Euro zone

    Extreme stress

    StressImpending crisisSigns of weakness

    Business as usual

    Recapitalization of bank balance sheets in progress

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Europe Orderly defaults of PIIGS

    Eurozone intact due to Focus on fiscal transfers as adjustment mechanism

    breakdownin progress Manufacturing and service sectors in contraction zone

    All countries cost of borrowing increased

    Deteriorating financial health of Italy Partial arrangement on Euro zone fiscal mechanism

    Trade and FX imbalances: Deterioration of fiscal situation

    TodayUS

    Debt deleveraging increases pace, reducing capital availability

    Partial arrangement on Euro zone fiscal union

    Decline in housing prices Inflation falls to lowest

    levels since march 2011 Retail sales increasing

    China

    and increasing imbalances

    Further downgrade of US

    Todayy

    Unemployment remains at 8-9%

    Consumer spending weakens

    Real estate transaction

    Retail sales increasing pace

    Unemployment improves to 9%

    China Credit crunch from NPAs in real estateRefinancing of past stimulus program

    Export decline due to developed world

    Social unrest in China due to rural and urban economic divide

    Today

    volume declined in Oct Trade surplus

    increased, but slowdown in exports in October

    M1 and M2 growth developed world slowdown

    The flood repeats in this year and FDI

    Thailand

    M1 and M2 growth remained on downward trend

    Impact of flood affects GDP growth Thailand

    On top of flood, Social and politicalslows down as several

    industries move to other ASEAN countries

    Today

    gin Q1-2 , 2012, no industries relocate

    political tensions and rise to civil unrest

    35

  • Mitigation Plan to Ensure Resilience

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Range of impact of stress

    Stress caseBase case (from business plan 2012)

    Actions to take before the stress scenario materializes

    2011 Highlights Performance & Roadmap Investment 2012 Outlook PTT Group Stress Test

    Business as usual

    Monitor scenario through lead indicators; incorporate into investment approval decisionsAA

    Performance decline

    No regret operational

    Operational mitigation:

    Launch opex and capex excellence to achieve top quartile

    Build cash buffer e g max debt capacity

    b1

    b2

    B

    decline pmitigation Build cash buffer e.g. max debt capacity

    Create a pre-emptive and contingency operational plan Crisis plan for capacity optimization

    b2

    b3

    Financial Health issue

    Optimal hedging strategy

    Strategic mitigation: C

    B C

    Crisis

    g g

    Prepare for divestments of non strategic assets

    Review and prioritize capex

    c1

    c2Crisis Review the trade off of early major additional debt or

    equity issuancec3

    36

  • ".

    "

  • Thank youThank youPTT Public Company Limited Investor Relations Department

    Tel. +66 2 537-3518, Fax. +66 2 537-3948, E-mail: [email protected]://www.pttplc.com, http://www.twitter.com/PTTIRp // p p , p // /

    The information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your personal reference only. In addition, such

    Disclaimer

    information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on assumptions subject to various risks and uncertainties. No assurance is given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that our assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected.

  • Oil Balance Thailand: Jan - Dec 2011 Adequate refining capacity maintains the stability of supply

    I t (80%) D ti

    Supply Production Sales

    Imported Refined Petroleum Products 54 KBDImport (80%)

    Crude/ Condensate Refined

    Domestic848 KBD

    Condensate794 KBD Products919 KBD*

    Total Refining Capacity in Thailand: 1,099 KBD

    Indigenous (20%)

    787 KBD (**)Crude/ Condensate 175 KBD PTTs Associated Refineries : 905 KBD Refined

    Export207 KBD(TOP, PTTGC, SPRC, IRPC, BCP)

    Other Refineries : 194 KBD(ESSO, RPC)

    Products189 KBD

    Source: PTIT

    Crude Export 32 KBD221 KBD

    Sou ceRemark : (*)Refined product from refineries= 822 KBD, including domestic supply of LPG from GSPs and Petrochemical Plants = 97 KBD

    (**) Not included InventoryKBD = Thousand Barrels per day

    39

  • Natural Gas Balance: Jan Dec 2011Main driver of the Thai economy

    Supply Production Sales

    Indigenous (78%)3,253 MMSCFD

    Petrochemical

    Ethane/ Propane/LPG/NGL

    Total 4,167 MMSCFD

    Feedstock (14%)

    IndustryH h ld

    2,469 MMSCFD 867 MMSCFD (21%)Chevron28%Others

    40%

    HouseholdTransportation

    (7%)

    LPG/NGL

    Methane

    6 GSPsTotal Capacity 2,665 MMSCFD

    PTTEP 32%

    Power (59%)Industry (14%)

    Pipeline 784 MMSCFD

    Methane 1,602 MMSCFDImport (22%)

    922 MMSCFD

    LNG10%

    Myanmar90%

    y ( )NGV (6%)

    922 MMSCFD

    90%

    Remark: MMSCFD = Million Cubic Feet @ Heating Value 1,000 Btu/ft3

    40

  • Oil & Gas Balance Operational Results Financial Performance Economic & Market Outlook

    Our Major Businesses & Activities

    Oil & Gas Balance Operational Results Financial Performance Economic & Market Outlook

    E&P PTTEP 65.29% Exploration and Production

    s

    t

    r

    e

    a

    m

    Business Areas ActivitiesCompany PTTs holding (%)

    Gas

    U

    p

    s

    e

    d

    i

    a

    t

    e PTT PLC Gas Pipeline 100% Sole owner/operator of the Transmission pipeline

    Gas

    Oil M k tiPTT PLC

    I

    n

    t

    e

    r

    m

    e S&M 100% Supply & Marketing of Natural Gas GSP 100% Extracting Hydrocarbon contents in NG for

    Petrochemicals feedstock

    Oil Marketing

    Intl Trading

    e

    a

    m

    Oil Marketing 100% Retail service Stations and commercial Marketing

    Intl Trading 100% Import/Export/Out-Out trading of petroleum and petrochemical products

    D

    o

    w

    n

    s

    t

    r

    e

    Petrochemical & Refining

    PTTGC 48.92% Petrochemical FlagshipTOP 49.10% Integrated Refinery & Petrochemical IRPC 38.51% Integrated Refinery & Petrochemical

    & Refining SPRC 36.00% Stand alone Complex RefineryBCP 27.22% Complex Refinery & Retail Stations

    s

    N

    e

    w

    B

    u

    s

    i

    n

    e

    s

    s

    International PTT Inter 100% Overseas investment arm of PTT : Coal, New energy and related businesses

    41

  • Subsidiaries ConsolidateS b idi i C lid t Petrochemical Subsidiaries Consolidate

    Petrochemicals & Refining Business GroupE&P and Gas Business Group Oil Business Group

    Data as of 31 December 2011

    Subsidiaries ConsolidatePTT (Cambodia) Co., Ltd. PTTCL 100.00%Subic Bay Energy Co., Ltd. SBECL 100.00%PTT Retail Business Co., Ltd. PTTRB 100.00%PTT Green Energy Pte. Ltd PTTGE 100.00%Thai Lube Blending Co., Ltd. TLBC* 48.95%

    Associates Equity

    Subsidiaries ConsolidatePTT Exploration & Production Plc. PTTEP 65.29%PTT Natural Gas Distribution Co., Ltd. PTTNGD 58.00%PTT LNG Co., Ltd. PTTLNG 100.00%Combined Heat and Power producing Co.,Ltd CHPP 100.00%

    Joint Ventures ProportionateT Th i M l i (Th il d) C Ltd TTM (T) 50 00%

    Petrochemical Subsidiaries ConsolidatePTT Polymer Marketing Co., Ltd. PTTPM 50.00%PTT Polymer Logistics Co., Ltd. PTTPL 100.00%PTT Tank Terminal Co., Ltd. PTTTANK 100.00%

    Associates EquityPTT Global Chemical Plc. PTTGC 48.92%PTT Phenol Co Ltd PPCL 40 00%Associates Equity

    Keloil-PTT LPG Sdn. Bhd. KPL 40.00%Vietnam LPG Co., Ltd. VLPG 45.00%Thai Petroleum Pipeline Co., Ltd. THAPPLINE 33.19%PetroAsia (Thailand) Co., Ltd. PA(Thailand) 35.00%

    Others CostPetroAsia (Huizhou) Co Ltd PA(Huizhou) 25 00%

    Trans Thai-Malaysia (Thailand) Co., Ltd. TTM (T) 50.00%Trans Thai-Malaysia (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd. TTM (M) 50.00%District Cooling System and Power Plant DCAP 35.00%

    Associates EquityThai Oil Power Co., Ltd. TP 26.00%Independent Power (Thailand) Co., Ltd. IPT 20.00%PTT Utilit Co Ltd PTTUT 40 00%

    PTT Phenol Co., Ltd. PPCL 40.00%PTT Maintenance and Engineering Co., Ltd.PTTME 40.00%

    Joint Ventures ProportionateHMC Polymers Co., Ltd. HMC 41.44%PTT Asahi Chemical Co., Ltd. PTTAC 48.50%PTT MCC Biochem Co., Ltd. PMBC 50.00%

    PetroAsia (Huizhou) Co., Ltd. PA(Huizhou) 25.00%PetroAsia (Maoming) Co., Ltd. PA(Maoming) 20.00%PetroAsia (Sanshui) Co., Ltd. PA(Sanshui) 25.00%Intoplane Services Co., Ltd. IPS 16.67%Fuel Pipeline Transportation Co., Ltd.FPT 2.76%

    Others Fair ValueBangkok Aviation Fuel Services Plc BAFS 7 06%

    PTT Utility Co., Ltd. PTTUT 40.00%B.Grimm BIP Power Co., Ltd. B.Grimm BIP 23.00%Nava Nakorn Electricity Generation Co.,Ltd NNEG 30.00%Bangpa-in Cogeneration, Ltd BIC 25.00%

    Others CostRatchaburi Power Co., Ltd. RPCL 15.00%

    Refining Associates EquityThai Oil Plc. TOP 49.10%IRPC Plc. IRPC 38.51%Star Petroleum Refining Co., Ltd. SPRC 36.00%Bangchak Petroleum Plc. BCP 27.22%PTT Energy Solutions Co., Ltd. PTTES 40.00%

    Bangkok Aviation Fuel Services Plc. BAFS 7.06%

    International Trading Business Group

    OthersOthers Fair ValueSubsidiaries Consolidate

    Subsidiaries ConsolidatePTT International Trading Pte. PTTT 100.00%

    Associates Equity

    42

    Others Fair ValueDhipaya Insurance Plc. TIP 13.33%

    Subsidiaries ConsolidatePTT International Co., Ltd. PTTI 100.00%Energy Complex Co., Ltd. EnCo 50.00%Business Service Alliance Co., Ltd. BSA * 25.00%

    Remark : * Subsidiaries that PTT holds less than 50% but being consolidated because PTT has the power to control the financial and operating policies.

    Associates EquityPTT ICT Solutions Co., Ltd. PTTICT 20.00%

  • PTTs Strategic Importance to the Thai Economy

    PTT has the largest market cap on the SET

    PTTEP 6.6%

    PTTGC 3.6%

    PTT

    SET Market Cap = Baht 9.3 trillion

    PTT 10.9%

    3.6%

    TOP 1.7%

    IRPC1.0%

    Others 75.8%

    PTT Group 24.2%

    100

    BCP & Others 0.4%

    139

    Ministry of Finance holds majority stake in PTT

    Data as of 20 February 2012

    Fortune Global 500 Ranking

    118

    155

    128

    100

    Need new initiatives

    59.9 59.9

    Ministry of Finance holds majority stake in PTT

    Rev.of 100th company in Fortune Global 500 (Billion USD)

    g

    64.9 65.068.1

    155

    Vayupak Fund

    46.2Fund 15% Public

    34%

    Ministry of

    Finance

    2008 2009 2010 2020

    Revenue (Billion USD)

    43Data as of 9 September 2011

    Remark: * DJSI = Dow Jones Sustainability Index

    51%

  • PTT Aspiration

    To perform listedTo perform listed company role in high returns

    HPO(Technologically Advanced Green NOC)

    Sustainable Growth Strategy

    EconomicTo perform SOE role in public service

    To perform energy company role in caring society & environment

    CG CSR

    StrategySocial Environmental

    44

  • PTT Group Strategic DirectionInvestment priorities by geography and value chain

    Internationalization

    Non- AsiaEuropeNon- AsiaAfrica Non- AsiaAmericasNon- AsiaMiddle EastAustralia, N. Asia and S. AsiaASEAN

    G

    a

    s

    UpstreamUpstream

    UpstreamMidstream

    Create P&R flagship and

    Expand production to 900 kbd

    Build LNG business & expand mid-/ downstream gas value chain

    Support group inv.

    UpstreamP&R

    O

    i

    l

    &

    G

    Retail

    T di

    Create P&R flagship and internationalize chemical business

    Expand oil station related business and spin off lubricants

    Consolidate petroleum commodities and create value through international transactions

    Top oil and gas player

    UpstreamCoal

    A

    d

    j

    a

    c

    e

    n

    t

    i

    n

    d

    u

    s

    t

    r

    y

    Trading

    r

    s

    i

    f

    i

    c

    a

    t

    i

    o

    n

    Grow coal mining to large scale

    UpstreamPower Build Thailand Gas, follow int. gas value chain e pansion oppo t nistic coal

    Consolidate petroleum commodities and create value through international transactions

    A i

    E

    n

    e

    r

    g

    y

    /

    i

    a

    l

    s

    D

    i

    v

    e

    Alt. energy Build Thai clean power, monitor opport. in ASEAN

    chain expansion, opportunistic coal

    Plantations Develop palm oil, sugar and cassava Energy conglomerate

    s

    G

    r

    e

    e

    n

    m

    a

    t

    e

    r

    i

    Infrastructure

    Build Green business (ASEAN biohub) Bio-business

    pp

    Strengthen integrated hub Business

    Non-oil RetailExplore opportunities in non-fuel retailO

    t

    h

    e

    r

    s

    teg ated ub(e.g. Gr. Marine) Business

    conglomerate

    Priority 1 Priority 3Priority 2 based on market attractiveness and potential for PTT Group to be distinctive 45

  • Statements of Cash Flows for Year 2011 & 2010 (PTT Only)2010 20112010 2011

    Investing2010

    -29,1332011

    -15,270

    CAPEX(PP&E, Intangible asset) -18,925 -24,842

    Operating2010

    65,7012011

    72,632

    Net Income 54,457 73,434

    Changes in assets & liabilities 18,636 4,263Investment (Sub. &Affiliates) -8,335 -32,910

    Dividend/Interest Received 22,123 30,588

    Others -23,998 11,894

    Income Tax -14,153 -9,655

    Non-Cash Adjustment 6,625 4,087

    Interest-net 136 503

    Free Cash flow

    Financing -18,024 -67,380

    Repayment Loans -26,250 -32,786Free Cash flow

    36,568 57,362 Interest paid -11,932 -12,628

    Dividend paid -33,447 -31,722

    Received from share issue 3,185 1,698

    Adjust effect of FX

    -1 47

    Received from loans/Bonds 50,420 8,058

    Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents

    Beginning Cash and Cash Equivalents Cash In/(Out)

    1 47

    46

    Equivalents

    61,311 51,341

    Equivalents

    42,768 61,311

    Cash In/(Out)

    18,543 -9,971

    46

  • Statements of Consolidated Cash Flows for Year 2011 & 2010

    Investing2010

    -123,1262011-160,454

    CAPEX (PP&E, Intangible asset)

    -105,916 -112,525

    2 672 77 033

    Operating2010155,902

    2011177,550

    Net Income 83,992 105,296

    Changes in assets & liabilities 20,629 -289Investment (Sub. &Affiliates) -2,672 -77,033

    Dividend/Interest Received 10,623 15,644

    Others -25,161 13,460

    Changes in assets & liabilities

    Income Tax -43,707 -42,074

    Non-Cash Adjustment 94,890 113,386

    Interest - net 99 1,231

    Free Cash flow

    Financing 4,901 -45,423

    Repayment Loans 51 452 36 284Free Cash flow

    32,776 17,096Repayment Loans -51,452 -36,284

    Interest paid -14,718 -18,536

    Dividend paid -31,755 -41,103

    Received from share issue 3,626 1,983, ,

    Received from loans/Bonds 99,200 48,517

    Adjust effect of FX

    Ending Cash & Cash E i l t

    Beginning Cash and Cash E i l t C h I /(O t)

    -5,909 8,658

    47

    Equivalents

    135,801 116,132

    Equivalents

    104,033 135,801

    Cash In/(Out)

    31,768 -19,669

    47

  • Debt Profile : Control Cost & Manage RiskManaged debt according to financial risk and policy

    Debt Portfolio

    ConsolidatedPTT OnlyUnit : MMTHB ConsolidatedPTT OnlyU t

    : Cost of debts ~ 4.34 %: % fixed-rate ~ 82 %: Avg. debt life ~ 6.1 years

    : Cost of debts ~ 5.04 %: % fixed-rate ~ 90 %: Avg. debt life ~ 7.5 years

    343,138 370,262391,696

    g y

    84,147114,442

    229,606

    USD THB,

    266,185257,443 (31%)(25%)(41%)

    243,153

    63,979 68,30872,337(25%) (26%)(30%)

    (41%)

    193,454 197,877170,816

    258,991 255,860

    162,090 (75%) (74%)

    (69%)(75%)

    (70%) (59%)

    31 Dec 09 31 Dec 10 31 Dec 11 31 Dec 09 31 Dec 10 31 Dec 11

    Note : Data as of 31 Dec 2011 (THB/USD = 31.8319 THB/JPY = 0.4124 ) Excluding liabilities from finance leases; Cost of debts includes withholding tax. 48

  • PTT Consolidated Performance : Q4/11

    Dubai (USD/BBL)

    Unit : MMTHB

    107 107

    4%

    OthersPTTEP

    648,365595,366

    Unit : MMTHB8%

    73%

    16%

    7%PTT - Gas

    Revenue

    Q3/11 Q4/11

    Revenue73% PTT - Oil & Trading

    8%PTT - Oil & Trading

    Others

    52,866 50,9754%

    64%19%

    9%

    8%

    PTT - Gas PTTEPEBITDA

    EBITDAQ3/11 Q4/11

    Others

    Net Income

    21,59916,645

    23%63%

    15%6%

    29%

    PetChem

    PTTEPRefiningNet

    IncomeNet Income

    EPS (THB/Share)Q3/11 Q4/117.57 5.83

    46%

    PTT

    49

  • PTT Group Performance : Q4/11

    % share

    Unit : MMTHB Q3/11 Q4/11 QoQ 3Q/11 Q4/11 QoQ

    PTT Company Only 24 894 9 024 -64% 24 894 9 024 -64%

    Performance 100% Equity Method % PTT

    PTT Company Only 24,894 9,024 -64% 24,894 9,024 -64%

    Less: Dividend Received 13,182 493 -96% 13,182 493 -96%Gain (Loss) on sales of investments in Associates and other adjusting 5 919 n.m. 5 919 n.m.

    PTT Net operating Income 11 707 7 612 -35% 11 707 7 612 -35%PTT Net operating Income 11,707 7,612 -35% 11,707 7,612 -35%

    E&P - PTTEP 7,450 15,150 103% 65.29% 5,176 10,433 102%

    Petro Business 8,325 4,449 -47% 3,957 2,417 -39%

    - PTTGC* 6,095 3,998 -34% 48.92% 3,006 2,083 -31%

    - HMC/PPCL/PTTPL/PTTPM/PTTAC/ PTTME/PTTTANK 2,230 451 -80% 40-48% 951 334 -65%

    Refining Business 3,936 1,395 -65% 1,456 1,052 -28%

    - TOP 2,518 1,862 -26% 49.10% 1,220 1,064 -13%

    IRPC 177 2 195 38 51% 275 587 113%- IRPC -177 -2,195 n.m. 38.51% -275 -587 113%

    - SPRC 991 1,167 18% 36.00% 339 446 32%

    - BCP 604 561 -7% 27.22% 172 129 -25%

    Others Buiness -106 -4,484 4130% -697 -4,869 n.m.( G G)Inter - PTTI group(PTTAPM,EMG,PTTML,FLNG),PTTGE -445 -5,861 n.m. 100% -445 -5,861 n.m.

    Gas & Utilities

    -TTM/PTTNGD/IPT/TP/DCAP/CHPP 853 169 -80% 20-100% 269 -125 -146%

    Oil & Oth. - PTTRB/PTTT/SBECL/THAPPLINE//PTTCL/TLBC/ICT/EnCo -514 1,208 n.m. 33-100% -521 1,117 n.m.

    Shared of Net Income from Affiliates 19,605 16,510 -16% 9,892 9,033 -9%

    PTT Conso. Net Income 31,312 24,122 -23% 21,599 16,645 -23%

    50*PTTGC performance from Pro-Forma Statement

  • Natural Gas : Strong and Increasing Demand over Long TermNatural gas is a fuel of choice for power producers and transportation industry

    Gas demand forecast (CAGR during 2011-2030): Total ~ 1%: Power ~ 1%: GSP ~ 1%

    6,000mmscfd

    : GSP ~ 1%: Industry ~ 3%: NGV ~ 2%

    NGV 7%

    5,422

    4,000

    5,000

    Industry

    13%

    17%

    NGV

    6%

    3,000

    GSP

    21%1,970

    13%18%

    1 000

    2,0008%

    15%

    0

    1,000

    2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

    Power77% 60%

    58%

    2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

    Source : PTT

    51

  • Thailands Projected Energy Demand

    160,000

    180,000KTOE

    6%

    163,812145,604 2%Nuclear

    120,000

    140,000

    Hydro/Import

    17%

    6%

    15%

    Renewable

    126,588

    106,263

    87,651 3% 15%

    6%

    14%4%13%

    1%

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    14%13%

    Natural Gas

    Coal/Lignite

    33%

    2%

    ,

    38%

    14%

    13%3%

    35%

    15%

    38%

    14%

    20,000

    40,000

    ,

    38%

    33%

    Oil 27%32%

    38%

    29%31%

    0

    Source : EPPO/ PDP 2010/ PTT team analysis 2011 52

  • Natural Gas Price StructureGas prices are mostly agreed under long-term contracts and volatility pass-through to ensure stable returns.

    CustomersSales Price Structure

    Gas Pool Price Supply Margins Pipeline Tariffs+ +

    Power Producers 60%

    EGAT 27% 1 75%: EGAT 27%

    : IPP 21%

    : SPP 12%

    Average Purchased Gas Price

    1.75%

    1.75%

    9.33%

    21.8 Bt/MMBtu

    GSP 21% Charged at the same price structure of power producers

    Petrochemicals Feedstocks

    Ethane Propane LPG Profit-sharing mechanism based on market prices of petrochemicalsEthane, Propane, LPG Profit-sharing mechanism based on market prices of petrochemicals

    NGL Reference to Naphtha market price

    Local Cooking Gas

    ki

    Capped at 333 USD/ton

    Reference to Saudi Aramcos contract price

    Industry 13% Charged at prices comparable to fuel oil

    NGV 6% Capped at 9.5 Baht/Kg*

    Export Cooking Gas

    53

    pp g

    * Government will increase NGV retail price Baht 0.50 /kg per month from January 16, 2012 until January 15, 2013

    Contract periods are ~ 25-30 years or until depletion of gas fields or the expiration of concessions

  • Future Growth of PTTPTT International

    Coal Pipeline

    10 712.0

    14.0Unit : MM TonSAR EMG (Egypt)

    8.5 9 10.710.7

    Investing 25% in EMG Offshore natural gas pipeline system

    from Egypt to Israel2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Jembayan Sebuku

    Expansion at Sebuku Northern Leases and Jembayan Potential development in Brunei & Madagascar

    2011 Sales volume = 0.69 BCM/y (67 mmscfd) due to interrupted supply

    PowerPalm PlantationPTT Green Energy

    Potential development in Brunei & Madagascar projects

    2011 Xayaburi Hydro 1,285 MW

    2012Onwards

    Expanding in neighboring countries

    PTT Green Energy

    225,877 Ha land acquired

    19,706 Ha plantedo Additional 22 650 Ha has been Onwards countrieso Additional 22,650 Ha has been prepared in 2012.

    2 CPO Mills : 45 T/Hr & 30 T/Hr operated commercially in Mid 2011p y

    54