2012 may amm_scheps_pres
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Transcript of 2012 may amm_scheps_pres
AluminumInTransportation.org
Randall SchepsChairman, The Aluminum Association’s
Aluminum Transportation Group
AluminumInTransportation.org
40 Years of Uninterrupted Growth
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025
Po
un
ds
pe
r V
eh
icle
2025: 550 lbs
2012: 343 lbs
The trend line continues to be supported by new aluminum applications
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
AluminumInTransportation.org
Powertrain & Wheels Led Past Growth
125
14
23
24
49
60
69
70
88
89
112
115
126
130
371
516
588
636
785
790
All Other Compnents
Drive Shafts & Yokes
IP Structure
Cradles & Crossmembers
Engine Mounts
Other Steering
Differential Carriers
Bumpers
Transfer Cases
Control Arms & Links
Intake Manifolds
Steering Knuckles
Closures
Brake Parts
Other Engine
Heat Transfer
Cylinder Heads
Cylinder Blocks
Transmissions
Wheels
Millions of Pounds
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Hoods, Trunks, Doors and Bumpers are Next
1210
6
3 2 3
58
10 11 121
4
8
11
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Po
un
ds
pe
r V
eh
icle
Pounds per Vehicle New Applications(Primarily body, bumper & closure components)
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
AluminumInTransportation.org
Europe on a Similar Path
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2012
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Helps Automakers
Aluminum is the one material that automotive industry professionals
rated as most helpful in meeting the new CAFE fuel economy
standards…
2011 WardsAuto/DuPont Survey
of Auto Industry Challenges
Based on our current understanding, we
believe we’re approaching the practical limits of the application of high-strength steels [in vehicle bodies]…
Frank Paluch, Senior Vice President,Honda R&D Americas
Plans to use more aluminum to cut vehicle weight.
BMW, Reuters
Audi relies on aluminum… to achieve benefits of down
weighting as seen in the 2011 A8, such as a 25% increase in body stiffness, while reducing
weight by up to 20%.
Audi/ATG joint press release
AluminumInTransportation.org
Concern over Rising U.S. Gas Prices
Aluminum Helps Consumers
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Is Fuel Efficient
Vehicles downweightedwith aluminum can save
fuel, thus saving consumers money
at the pump
Matching smart design with powertrain advances and intensive use of aluminum reduces weight to use less fuel or battery power.
A 5 to 7 percent fuel savings can be realized for every 10 percent weight reduction by substituting lightweight aluminum for a heavier material.
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum has
lower life cycle CO2 emissions than steel or high
strength steel
Aluminum Is Sustainable
Source: Magnesium Front End Research and Development Project
AluminumInTransportation.org
Adding crush space without adding weight improves safety 27%
Source: Dynamic Research, Inc. (DRI)
ELU Scenarios
0
20
40
60
80
100
Baseline Added Length Baseline Weight
Reduced Weight Baseline Length
ELU Other Car
Driver
85.9
63.0 61.8
27%28%
Downweighting is necessary to meet
demands without sacrificing safety
or functionality
Aluminum Is Safe & DurableSafety Increased with Weight Reduction
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Is Safe & Durable
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Is High Performing
Cars made lighter with aluminum can
accelerate faster and brake quicker
than their heavier counterparts
Mercedes Benz SL
Audi A8
Jaguar XJ
Acura NSX
AluminumInTransportation.org
Aluminum Is Cost EffectiveSecondary Weight Savings Adds Value
(Mass and Cost Savings by Component)
Secondary
Source: IBIS Associates
Lighter vehicles
are less expensive for consumers to own and operate
AluminumInTransportation.org
Downweighting: Cost Benefit of Fuel Saving Technologies
Source: EPA/NHTSA Joint Technical Support Document – Final Rulemaking; Mass + Secondary – Alum. Association/IBIS
Better
Improved Auto TransVVT-ICP
Engine Friction ReductionCylinder Deact. On OHV
VVT - CCP on OHV
Cylinder Deact on SOHC
Aero Drag Dred.
EGR Boost Combustion Restart
Belt Mounted BMISG
6/7/8 speed Auto Trans
Electric Power Steering
DVVL on DOHC
Mass Reduction
Low Drag Brakes Electric Power SteeringEngine Friction Reduction
Mass+Secondary
Turbo
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
$- $100.00 $200.00 $300.00 $400.00 $500.00 $600.00 $700.00
Aluminum Is Cost Effective
AluminumInTransportation.org
Conclusions
• Incredible growth for aluminum in cars
• Passenger vehicle bodies will no longer be dominated by a single material
• The aluminum industry can and will increase capacity to support an aluminum intensive fleet in 2017-2025
• High volume aluminum-intensive vehicles will be in showrooms in the next 5 years
The aluminum revolution in cars continues to roll!