2011 Kentucky Derby Easyform

8/12/2019 2011 Kentucky Derby Easyform

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Churchill Saturday, May 7, 2011

RACE 11STAKES Purse $2,000,000

Start time: 6:24 ETDistance: 1 1/4 MilesSurface: Dirt

DRF Picks by Byron King1st Santiva2nd Soldat3rd Shackleford

3 DRF tips to remember Look for Key Stats with a 15% or better strike rate Ready for the next level? Try DRF Classic PPs at DRF.com Look for a horse that may wind up alone on the lead

PROG. PROB. RACE ODDS DRF NOTES

1 ArcharcharchSire: ArchSilks:Purple, gold 'Y', gold sleeves, purple cap

10-1 STARTS WINS 2ND 3RD MONEY EARNEDLifetime 6 3 1 1 $832,744At this Dist. 0 0 0 0 $0At this Track 1 0 1 0 $11,744This year 4 2 0 1 $785,000

2010 - 2011 STATSSTARTS WINS WIN %

Jockey:J Court 158 18 .11Trainer:William Fires 80 9 .11

Running Style:Near the front runnerKey Stat:Sharp recent workouts.

DATE WHEREDISTANCEIN MILES

FINAL TIMEOF RACE

TRACK CONDITION /COURSE TYPE OF RACE JOCKEY

EARLYPOSITION FINISH

BEYERSPEED FIG

LENGTHSW ON / L OS T R AC E RE CA P

04-16-11 Oaklawn 1 1/8 1:49.34 fast/dirt Grade 1 Stakes J Court 9th of 131 98 Neck Allowed pace to go,late bid,held03-19-11 Oaklawn 1 1/16 1:42.19 fast/dirt Gr 2 Rebel J Court 3rd of 93 92 6 1/2 Outfinished for place02-21-11 Oaklawn 1 1:38.23 fast/dirt Gr 3 Southwest J Court 4th of 111 89 1 4w into first turn,4-5w 2nd turn,compromised trip01-17-11 Oaklawn 1 1:43.07 good/dirt Ungraded Stakes J Court 4 63 13 1/4 Dense fog,tired12-18-10 Fair Grounds 3/4 1:10.49 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes J Court 2nd of 4 1 88 1 3/4 3w turn,asked 3/16,closed well,pulled away

2 Brilliant SpeedSire: DynaformerSilks:White, red dots, black sleeves, red cap

30-1 STARTS WINS 2ND 3RD MONEY EARNEDLifetime 8 2 2 2 $515,750At this Dist. 0 0 0 0 $0At this Track 0 0 0 0 $0This year 3 1 2 0 $490,000


Jockey:J Rosario 429 101 .24Trainer:T Albertrani 93 9 .10

Running Style:Comes from behind


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-16-11 Keeneland 1 1/8 1:50.92 fast/synth Gr 1 Blue Grass J Rosario 12th of 121 93 Nose Wider 3/16,finished well02-06-11 Gulfstream 1 1/16 1:41.30 firm/turf Ungraded Stakes J Velazquez 4th of 93 87 Compromised trip,edged01-16-11 Gulfstream 1 1:34.44 firm/turf Ungraded Stakes J Velazquez 6th of 9 2 86 Nose Rated,finished well,led,caught12-26-10 Tampa Bay 1 1/16 1:44.10 firm/turf Maiden D Centeno 5th of 101 79 1 1/2 Boxed,waited

10-17-10 Belmont 1 1/16 1:47.06 yielding/turf Maiden J Castellano 8th of 123 69 3 1/4 Unhurried,4w 2nd turn,good kick

3 Twice the AppealSire: Successful AppealSilks:Light blue brown 'B' brown diamonds sleeves



Jockey:C Borel 221 28 .13Trainer:Jeff Bonde 89 19 .21

Running Style:Versatile

Trainer profitablegraded stakes races.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-27-11 Sunland 1 1/8 1:50.91 fast/dirt Grade 3 Stakes C Santiago Reyes 6th of 111 89 1 1/2 Moved up,even terms,inched away02-26-11 Trf Paradise 1 1/16 1:41.99 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes J Barton 7th of 8 2 83 2 Unhurried,came in near 1/16,willingly,outfinished01-14-11 Santa Anita 1 1:35.31 fast/dirt Starter Allowance V Espinoza 4th of 5 1 75 4 3/4 4wide 1st turn,drew out final 1/812-29-10 Santa Anita 7/8 1:22.76 wet fast/dirt Maiden Claiming G Gomez 3rd of 91 74 4 1/4 Awaited room,rail,led,powered away late12-10-10 Golden Gate 1 1:39.75 fast/synth Maiden A Cedillo 6th of 8 5 56 2 3/4 Unhurried early,fanned 5w 2nd turn,finished well

4 Stay ThirstySire: BernardiniSilks:Royal blue orange circled 'R'



Jockey:R Dominguez 423 124 .29Trainer:Todd Pletcher 352 97 .28

Running Style:Middle of the pack

Trainer profitableremoving blinkers.

DATE WHERE

DISTANCE

IN MILES

FINAL TIME

OF RACE

TRACK CONDITION /

COURSE TYPE OF RACE JOCKEY

EARLY

POSITION FINISH

BEYER

SPEED FIG

LENGTHS

W ON / L OS T R AC E RE CA P04-03-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.07 fast/dirt Gr 1 Florida Derby R Dominguez 6th of 87 66 16 3/4 Taken in hand,through after 1/203-05-11 Aqueduct 1 1/16 1:44.78 fast/dirt Gr 3 Gotham R Dominguez 4th of 71 89 3 1/4 Trouble at the start,compromised trip,pulled away11-06-10 Churchill 1 1/16 1:42.60 fast/dirt Gr 1 BC Juvenile J Castellano 6th of 105 83 14 1/2 Compromised trip,tired09-06-10 Saratoga 7/8 1:23.27 fast/dirt Gr 1 Hopeful J Velazquez 1st of 4 2 86 1 3/4 Trouble at the start,test 1/4,no match08-14-10 Saratoga 3/4 1:11.01 fast/dirt Maiden J Velazquez 1st of 9 1 81 5 1/2 Bobbled brk,good speed,easy winner,pulled away

5 Decisive MomentSire: With DistinctionSilks:Royal blue green star green bars on sleeves



Jockey:K Clark 397 43 .11Trainer:Juan Arias 13 2 .15

Running Style:Front runnerKey Stat:Sharp recent workouts.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-26-11 Turfway 1 1/8 1:52.32 fast/synth Grade 3 Stakes K Clark 2nd of 112 89 2 3/4 Vied for lead,unable to resist winner02-19-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/16 1:43.98 fast/dirt Gr 2 Risen Star K Clark 1st of 105 85 5 1/4 Well rated,gave way01-14-11 Delta 1 1:38.91 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes K Clark 1st of 7 1 91 3 1/2 Broke sharp,responded,something left11-20-10 Delta 1 1/16 1:45.23 fast/dirt Gr 3 Delta Jackpot K Clark 2nd of 102 89 2 1/4 Finished well,bid 2nd turn,second best10-16-10 Calder 1 1/16 1:50.50 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes J Santiago 2nd of 63 62 2 1/2 Made lead,gave way

6 Comma to the TopSire: Bwana CharlieSilks:Hot pink, black circled 'B', black epaulets, black cap30-1STARTS WINS 2ND 3RD MONEY EARNED

Lifetime 13 6 2 0 $778,600At this Dist. 0 0 0 0 $0At this Track 0 0 0 0 $0This year 3 0 1 0 $227,000


Jockey:P Valenzuela 348 58 .17Trainer:Peter Miller 78 11 .14

Running Style:Near the front runnerKey Stat:Hot trainer over last 7 days with 4from 12 starts.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-09-11 Santa Anita 1 1/8 1:48.66 fast/dirt Gr 1 S A Derby C Nakatani 1st of 92 97 Head Speed,compromised trip,inched away,edged03-12-11 Santa Anita 1 1/16 1:41.23 fast/dirt Gr 2 San Felipe C Nakatani 3rd of 104 80 9 1/2 Led,compromised trip,tired02-12-11 Golden Gate 1 1/8 1:50.45 fast/synth Gr 3 ElCaminoReal C Nakatani 2nd of 64 87 4 1/4 Compromised trip,bid 3path,tired12-18-10 Hollywood 1 1/16 1:44.72 fast/synth Gr 1 Hol Futurity C Nakatani 2nd of 101 95 1 3/4 Compromised trip,led 2nd turn,pulled away11-27-10 Hollywood 1 1:34.77 firm/turf Gr 3 Generous C Nakatani 1st of 91 86 1 3/4 Speed,set pace,compromised trip,held


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7 Pants On FireSire: Jump StartSilks:Fluorescent pink orange hoops



Jockey:R Napravnik 438 92 .21Trainer:Kelly Breen 74 14 .19

Running Style:Front runner


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-26-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/8 1:49.92 fast/dirt Gr 2 Louisiana Dby R Napravnik 2nd of 121 94 Neck 2-3w 1st turn,asked 1/4,compromised trip,game02-19-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/16 1:43.98 fast/dirt Gr 2 Risen Star J Bravo 7th of 106 81 7 1/4 3w 1st turn,5-6wide 2nd turn,tired01-22-11 Fair Grounds 1 1:40.97 fast/dirt Gr 3 LeComte J Bravo 1st of 5 2 82 Head 2-3w 1st turn,asked 5/16,led past 1/16,denied01-01-11 Aqueduct 1 1/16 1:42.42 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes R Dominguez 1st of 63 82 4 1/2 Tested 1/4,tired12-19-10 Aqueduct 1 1/16 1:41.37 fast/dirt Allowance J Castellano 1st of 6 2 84 Neck Trouble at the start,dug in gamely

8 Dialed InSire: MineshaftSilks:Burgundy, gold epaulets, burgundy cap



Jockey:J Leparoux 456 68 .15Trainer:Nicholas Zito 159 22 .14

Running Style:Comes from behindKey Stat:Potent jockey/trainer combination


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-03-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.07 fast/dirt Gr 1 Florida Derby J Leparoux 8th of 81 93 Head Outrun early,finished well,just up03-06-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:51.12 fast/dirt Allowance J Leparoux 5th of 5 2 90 1/2 Taken in hand,split rivals far turn,finished well01-30-11 Gulfstream 1 1:35.19 fast/dirt Gr 3 Holy Bull J Leparoux 9th of 91 97 1 1/2 Sluggish start,swung out,finished well,going awa11-12-10 Churchill 13/16 1:17.77 fast/dirt Maiden J Leparoux 9th of 121 75 1/2 Broke slow,compromised trip,in time

9 Derby KittenSire: Kitten's JoySilks:White red 'R' white band on red sleeves



Jockey:J Castellano 432 81 .19Trainer:Michael Maker 270 61 .23



FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-23-11 Keeneland 1 1/16 1:42.03 fast/synth Grade 3 Stakes J Leparoux 6th of 61 92 1 1/2 Unhurried early,finished well04-02-11 Gulfstream 1 1:35.39 firm/turf Ungraded Stakes A Garcia 7th of 7 2 84 1 Unhurried early,swung out,finished well02-05-11 Tampa Bay 1 1:37.83 good/turf Handicap V Lebron 4th of 6 2 77 1/2 Swung in then back out,bid late,outfinished01-05-11 Gulfstream 15/16 1:30.28 firm/turf Maiden Claiming A Garcia 4th of 121 76 3/4 Rated,compromised trip,lasted11-13-10 Aqueduct 1 1/16 1:45.43 firm/turf Maiden A Solis 8th of 125 68 3 3/4 Compromised trip,overland 2nd turn,held well

10 TwinspiredSire: Harlan's HolidaySilks:Yellow blue alpha emblem white star on blue sleeves



Jockey:M Smith 148 24 .16Trainer:Michael Maker 270 61 .23



FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-16-11 Keeneland 1 1/8 1:50.92 fast/synth Gr 1 Blue Grass R Albarado 4th of 122 93 Nose Bid,outfinished03-26-11 Turfway 1 1/8 1:52.32 fast/synth Grade 3 Stakes V Lebron 9th of 113 84 6 Unhurried early,finished well03-05-11 Turfway 1 1/16 1:45.13 fast/synth Ungraded Stakes C Lanerie 6th of 94 73 9 Bobbled start,failed to sustain drive02-05-11 Turfway 1 1:41.57 fast/synth Ungraded Stakes J Santana 4th of 121 76 4 1/4 Easy winner01-16-11 Gulfstream 1 1:34.44 firm/turf Ungraded Stakes J Leparoux 3rd of 9 6 80 2 1/2 Tracked pace,bid,yielded

11 Master of HoundsSire: KingmamboSilks:Navy, navy cap

30-1 STARTS WINS 2ND 3RD MONEY EARNEDLifetime 7 1 3 1 $460,878At this Dist. 1 0 1 0 $400,000

At this Track 0 0 0 0 $0This year 1 0 1 0 $400,000


Jockey:G Gomez 266 47 .18

Trainer:Aidan O'Brien

Running Style:Not enough information


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-26-11 United ArabEmirates

1 3/16 fast/synth Grade 2 Stakes R Moore N/A 2 N/A Nose Headed at wire

11-06-10 Churchill 1 1:36.98 firm/turf Gr 2 BC Juv Turf J Murtagh 8th of 126 80 3 Compromised trip10-23-10 England 1 1:37.03 good/turf weight for age J Murtagh N/A 3 N/A 2 3/4 Effort, stayed on07-11-10 Ireland 7/8 1:33.80 good/turf maiden weight for ageJ Murtagh N/A 1 N/A 6 Stayed on strongly06-26-10 Ireland 7/8 1:26.25 good/turf maiden weight for ageJ Murtagh N/A 2 N/A 2 1/2 Not quite reach leader

12 SantivaSire: Giant's CausewaySilks:Red white blocks white stripe on sleeves



Jockey:S Bridgmohan 343 76 .22Trainer:Eddie Kenneally 92 10 .11

Running Style:Near the front runnerKey Stat:Hot trainer over last 7 days with 2from 6 starts.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-16-11 Keeneland 1 1/8 1:50.92 fast/synth Gr 1 Blue Grass J Leparoux 7th of 129 82 6 1/2 Bothered start,in hand,lcked room 1/8 pl,no threa02-19-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/16 1:43.98 fast/dirt Gr 2 Risen Star M Smith 4th of 102 91 1 1/2 3-4w 1st turn,4-5w 2nd turn,asked 5/16,outfinishe11-27-10 Churchill 1 1/16 1:45.31 fast/dirt Gr 2 Kentucky JC S Bridgmohan 2nd of 71 78 1/2 3 wide bid 2nd turn,fully extended10-09-10 Keeneland 1 1/16 1:44.12 fast/synth Gr 1 Breeders Fty J Castellano 9th of 112 77 4 Compromised trip,closed well08-21-10 Saratoga 1 1/16 1:43.31 firm/turf Maiden E Prado 4th of 9 2 68 1 3/4 Taken back 6-1/2,moved out,willingly

13 Mucho Macho ManSire: Macho UnoSilks:White dark green diamond white 'R'



Jockey:R Maragh 405 52 .13Trainer:Katherine Ritvo 50 2 .04



FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-26-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/8 1:49.92 fast/dirt Gr 2 Louisiana Dby R Maragh 4th of 123 93 3/4 3w 1st turn,3w 2nd turn,bid 3/16,outfinished02-19-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/16 1:43.98 fast/dirt Gr 2 Risen Star R Maragh 2nd of 101 94 1 1/2 2-3w 1st turn,3-4w 2nd turn,proved best01-30-11 Gulfstream 1 1:35.19 fast/dirt Gr 3 Holy Bull E Coa 2nd of 94 88 4 1/2 Compromised trip,vied for lead,gave way11-27-10 Aqueduct 1 1/8 1:50.03 fast/dirt Gr 2 Remsen E Coa 2nd of 52 99 2 Clipped behind,chased winner throughout,2nd bes11-06-10 Aqueduct 1 1:35.86 fast/dirt Gr 2 Nashua D Cohen 4th of 5 2 89 4 No match


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14 ShacklefordSire: ForestrySilks:White and royal blue halves white sleeves



Jockey:J Castanon 243 25 .10Trainer:Dale Romans 169 22 .13

Running Style:Front runnerKey Stat:Sharp recent workouts.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-03-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.07 fast/dirt Gr 1 Florida Derby J Castanon 1st of 82 93 Head Set pace,eased in,just failed02-26-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.23 fast/dirt Gr 2 Fntn of Youth J Castanon 5th of 85 58 23 1/2 Rated off pace02-05-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.04 fast/dirt Allowance J Castanon 2nd of 61 89 2 1/4 Took over stretch,pulled away11-27-10 Churchill 7/8 1:23.65 fast/dirt Maiden F Lenclud 1st of 121 85 3/4 Vied for lead,edged off late,pulled away10-16-10 Keeneland 7/8 1:23.13 fast/synth Maiden R Albarado 5th of 129 46 8 1/2 Prominent,faded

15 Midnight InterludeSire: War ChantSilks:Pink chartreuse 'Z' chartreuse dots on sleeves



Jockey:V Espinoza 279 39 .14Trainer:Bob Baffert 167 48 .29

Running Style:Near the front runner

Trainer profitableraces.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-09-11 Santa Anita 1 1/8 1:48.66 fast/dirt Gr 1 S A Derby V Espinoza 4th of 91 97 Head Compromised trip,up late03-20-11 Santa Anita 1 1:36.25 wet fast/dirt Maiden J Rosario 1st of 5 1 85 8 1/2 Speed,compromised trip,in hand late02-26-11 Santa Anita 1 1:35.08 fast/dirt Maiden J Rosario 3rd of 8 2 85 1/2 Chased,willingly01-29-11 Santa Anita 3/4 1:07.70 fast/dirt Maiden M Garcia 3rd of 6 3 69 11 Broke in bit,just held 3d

16 Animal KingdomSire: Leroidesanimaux*BrzSilks:Forest green, red inverted chevron, red cap



Jockey:R Albarado 96 6 .06Trainer:H. Motion 151 29 .19



FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


03-26-11 Turfway 1 1/8 1:52.32 fast/synth Grade 3 Stakes A Garcia 7th of 111 94 2 3/4 Finished well,pulled away03-03-11 Gulfstream 1 1:34.66 firm/turf Allowance R Maragh 4th of 112 83 Head Awkward start,advanced 3 wide far turn,missed10-23-10 Keeneland 1 1/8 1:49.01 fast/synth Maiden R Albarado 2nd of 121 84 3 1/4 Poked his head in front,pulled away09-18-10 Arlington 1 1/16 1:45.14 fast/synth Maiden J Alvarado 10th of 102 67 2 3/4 Off step slow,traffic far turn,2nd best

17 SoldatSire: War FrontSilks:Grey emerald green cross sashes



Jockey:A Garcia 264 46 .17Trainer:K McLaughlin 115 38 .33


Trainer profitablelayoffs between 31 and 60 days.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-03-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.07 fast/dirt Gr 1 Florida Derby A Garcia 5th of 85 76 10 1/4 Asked far turn02-26-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:50.23 fast/dirt Gr 2 Fntn of Youth A Garcia 1st of 81 96 2 Set pace,eased in,repulsed bid,pulled away01-21-11 Gulfstream 1 1/8 1:49.22 sloppy/dirt Allowance A Garcia 1st of 71 103 10 3/4 Set pace,repulsed bid,easy winner,pulled away11-06-10 Churchill 1 1:36.98 firm/turf Gr 2 BC Juv Turf A Garcia 4th of 122 84 1 Tucked in,slipped through,finished well,no match10-03-10 Belmont 1 1/16 1:47.87 yielding/turf Grade 3 Stakes A Garcia 5th of 72 71 1 1/2 Trouble at the start,good courage for pl

18 Uncle MoSire: Indian CharlieSilks:Royal blue orange circled 'R'

9-2 STARTS WINS 2ND 3RD MONEY EARNEDLifetime 5 4 0 1 $1,436,000At this Dist. 0 0 0 0 $0At this Track 1 1 0 0 $1,080,000This year 2 1 0 1 $140,000


Jockey:J Velazquez 397 79 .20Trainer:Todd Pletcher 352 97 .28


Trainer profitablegraded stakes races.


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-09-11 Aqueduct 1 1/8 1:49.93 fast/dirt Gr 1 Wood Memorial J Velazquez 1st of 93 92 1 1/4 In control well rated 2p 1st & back,test 1/4,yield03-12-11 Gulfstream 1 1:36.56 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes J Velazquez 1st of 5 1 89 3 3/4 Compromised trip,took charge,drew away11-06-10 Churchill 1 1/16 1:42.60 fast/dirt Gr 1 BC Juvenile J Velazquez 2nd of 101 108 4 1/4 Bid,easy winner,pulled away10-09-10 Belmont 1 1:34.51 fast/dirt Gr 1 Champagne J Velazquez 1st of 6 1 94 4 3/4 Duel in hand 2p,twice near 1/8,hand ride08-28-10 Saratoga 3/4 1:09.21 fast/dirt Maiden J Velazquez 1st of 101 102 14 1/4 In hand from rail,vigorous hand ride

19 NehroSire: MineshaftSilks:Turquoise gold ball sash and 'Z'



Jockey:C Nakatani 191 32 .17Trainer:Steven Asmussen 536 111 .21



FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-16-11 Oaklawn 1 1/8 1:49.34 fast/dirt Grade 1 Stakes C Nakatani 10th of 132 98 Neck Broke well,moved out,late surge03-26-11 Fair Grounds 1 1/8 1:49.92 fast/dirt Gr 2 Louisiana Dby M Baze 3rd of 122 94 Neck Rated,finished well,closed well,missed02-21-11 Oaklawn 1 1:39.20 fast/dirt Maiden M Baze 10th of 121 79 4 1/2 Lacked early speed,pulled away01-15-11 Oaklawn 1 1:42.76 fast/dirt Maiden A Gryder 9th of 1110 33 22 1/4 Through early12-12-10 Fair Grounds 3/4 1:12.47 fast/dirt Maiden B Hernandez Jr 8th of 104 64 5 Urged along,4wide turn,lacked needed response

20 Watch Me GoSire: West AcreSilks:Green white yoke white 'SF' white chevrons on sleeves



Jockey:R Bejarano 378 78 .21Trainer:K O'Connell 284 27 .10

Running Style:Near the front runner


FINAL TIMEOF RACE



BEYERSPEED FIG


04-09-11 Hawthorne 1 1/8 1:51.91 fast/dirt Grade 3 Stakes L Garcia 5th of 126 66 17 Tracked 2nd flight,steadily faded03-12-11 Tampa Bay 1 1/16 1:44.25 fast/dirt Grade 2 Stakes L Garcia 4th of 91 84 Neck Well placed,long drive,just up02-12-11 Tampa Bay 1 1/16 1:45.07 fast/dirt Gr 3 Sam F Davis L Garcia 5th of 103 76 5 Well placed,failed to gain01-23-11 Tampa Bay 13/16 1:17.59 fast/dirt Allowance L Garcia 1st of 71 78 8 Hung 5 wide early, drew off smartly when roused12-26-10 Tampa Bay 3/4 1:11.57 fast/dirt Ungraded Stakes L Garcia 9th of 115 62 7 Passed tiring rivals

General Pace Note -Many speed horses, could favor horses that come from behindWagering Menu -Daily Double, Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3, Super Hi-5


4/4


DRF Analysis by Byron King

RACE 11 - Taking a stand against favorites Dialed In and Uncle Mo in a wide open Kentucky Derby...The best wagering strategy for this race seemsa value-based approach, focusing on price horses that figure to be overlays. With that in mind, the choice is 30-1 morning-line bomb SANTIVA, thebeaten favorite in the Bluegrass, who ate kickback when boxed in for most of that race before fading to ninth. Throw in that the Bluegrass came overthe synthetic Polytrack at Keeneland, and this horse gets a pass for his last. Take note that on dirt he won the Kentucky Jockey Club over this track

last fall, and was second in the Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds in February while racing four wide around both turns. His stalking style also lookswell suited to what should be a lively pace, and being a son of Giant's Causeway, he is bred to stay a mile and a quarter. SOLDAT, a late arrival toChurchill this week after staying in Florida to prepare for this race, doesn't have much of a media story around him to drive down his price. What hedoes have, though, is talent and experience. He won the Fountain Of Youth this winter, which followed a romp in the slop at Gulfstream in an allowancethere. Admittedly, his last race, a fifth in the Florida Derby as the favorite, was dismal and has led many to conclude he needs the lead to be at his best.Perhaps so...but would rather take a contrarian view that he simply had an off day, since he is training well and a price. Unlike the top two selections,SHACKLEFORD comes off the race of his life, a close second in the Florida Derby to Dialed In after setting a fast pace, and has trained lights outleading up to the Derby. He seems favorably drawn outside most of the other speed horses. MUCHO MACHO MAN beat the top choice in the RisenStar Stakes in February but he had the benefit of having already started this year, while SANTIVA was just kicking off his 3-year-old campaign.MUCHO MACHO MAN was subsequently third in the Louisiana Derby, a respectable effort that came despite him losing a shoe.Picks 1st Santiva 2nd Soldat 3rd Shackleford

2011 Kentucky Derby Easyform

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Transcript of 2011 Kentucky Derby Easyform