2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

44
2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey

Transcript of 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Page 1: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey

Page 2: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Survey Composition

Composition of Surveyed Businesses

Service25%

FIRE10%

Trade20%

Other20%

MFG25%

Survey by Number of Employees

1 to 1036%11 to 50

33%

51 to 10018%

500 +4%

101 to 5009%

Page 3: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Was your firm’s local employment: ahead, the same as or behind the

previous year?

Page 4: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Actual Employment Previous Year

44%

32.5%

21.5%

52%

42.5%40.5%

3%

24%

36.5%

1% 1% 1.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Ahead Same Behind NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 5: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

How would you rate the availability of qualified

workers for the positions that you filled?

Page 6: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Availability of Qualified Workers61%

48.5%

64.5%

32%36.5%

15%

5.5%

12.5%

7%1.5% 2.5%

13.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Excel/Good Avg. Below/Poor NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 7: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Average Unemployment Rates 1996-2009Average Unemployment Rates 1996-2009Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development

7.8%

2.9%

8.4%

3.6%

9.6%

5.4%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Fox Cities WI US

Page 8: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Unemployment Rates 2009Unemployment Rates 2009Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development

6.9%

7.5%

8.3%

7.7%

9.7%

8.5%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Nov Dec

Fox Cities WI US

Page 9: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Was your gross sales activity:ahead of, the same,

or behind the previous year?

Page 10: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Actual Gross Sales in Previous Year

61%

48%

32.5%32%

14%

13.5% 5.5%

45.5%

31.5%

1.5%7%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Ahead Same Behind NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 11: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Were your profits:ahead of, the same as

or behindthe previous year?

Page 12: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Actual Profits in Previous Year67.5%

33%35%

14%

19.5%17.5%

15.5%

36%40.5%

3%9.5% 9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Ahead Same Behind NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 13: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

What was the average change in salary for your

Fox Cities Employees?

Page 14: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Average Change in Salary in 2009

15.5%29%

64.5%69%

47%

25%

8.5% 7%2%4.5%

6.5%

0%2.5%

11%

8.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

less than 3% 3-4% 5-6% More than 6% NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 15: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Forecast Change in Salary in 2010

13%

45%

57%

72%

29.5%29%

8% 8%3%3%

4%3%4%

13.5%8.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

less than 3% 3-4% 5-6% More than 6% NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 16: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

2009 Forecasts vs.

2009 Actual Performance

Page 17: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

22% 21.5%

41%

32.5%

39%

33%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

EmploymentIncrease/Ahead

Gross SalesIncrease/Ahead

Net ProfitsIncrease/Ahead

2009 Forecast 2009 Actual

2009 Forecast vs. 2009 Actual

Page 18: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Turning now to the coming year, do you anticipate your

local employment to:increase, remain the same

or decrease?

Page 19: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Forecast of Local Employment in Coming Year

49%

22%

40%

50%

59.5%56%

1%

17.5%

3.5%0% 1% .5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Increase Remain Decrease NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 20: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Do you expect your gross sales volume to…

increase, remain the same, or decrease?

Page 21: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Forecast of Gross Sales in Coming Year

88.5%

41%

73%

10.5%

30.5%19%

1%

22.5%

4% 1%6%4%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Increase Remain Decrease NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 22: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Do you expect profits to: increase,

remain the same or decrease?

Page 23: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Forecast of Profits in Coming Year87%

39%

65.5%

9%

32.5%25.5%

1%

22%

4.5% 4% 6.5%4.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Increase Remain Decrease NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 24: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Is your firm planning a local capital expansion?

Page 25: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Planning Capital Expansions

Planning Capital Expansions 2009 Survey

Yes15%

No85%

Planning Capital Expansions 2010 Survey

Yes14%

No86%

Page 26: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

2009 Forecasts vs.

2010 Forecasts – Are we more optimistic?

Page 27: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

22%

40% 41%

73%

39%

65.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

EmploymentIncrease/Ahead

Gross SalesIncrease/Ahead

Net ProfitsIncrease/Ahead

2009 Forecasts 2010 Forecasts

2009 Forecasts vs. 2010 Forecasts

Page 28: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

How would you rate the vitality of the national economy at this present

time?

Page 29: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

National Economic Vitality

43.5%

2%4.5%

52%

13%

22.5%

3.5%

84.5%

73%

1% 0.5%0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Excel/Good Avg. Below/Poor NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 30: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

How would you rate the vitality of the

Fox Cities economy at this present time?

Page 31: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Fox Cities Economic Vitality

69%

13%13.5%

31%38%38.5%

0.5%

47.5%48%

0% 1.5% 0%0%

10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Excel/Good Avg. Below/Poor NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 32: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Economic Vitality Perceptions 2000-2010 Surveys

39.5%

13.% 13.5%

57%

69%

56%

47%

26%25%

70%

96%

94%

41%

7%11%

39.5%46% 43.5% 44%

18%

2%4.5%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Fox Cities National

Page 33: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

By the end of the year, do you anticipate the Fox Cities

economy will have….grown, stabilized, or declined?

Page 34: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Economic Projection73%

12.5%

27.5% 28%

60.5%

69%

0%

27%

3.5%0% 0% 0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Grown Stabilized Declined NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 35: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

When do you feel the economy will rebound?

Page 36: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Recovery by Quarter

1.8%

8.5%

32.3%

21.5%

38.9%

1.2%0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr 2011 NA

Page 37: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Compared to other US Cities of similar size, how would

you rate the Fox Cities as a place in which to do

business?

Page 38: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Fox Cities Compared to Other Places in which to do Business

95%

71%75%

4%

23%18%

0% 4%6.5%

1% 2%0.5%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Much/Better Same Worse/Much NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 39: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Compared to other US Cities of similar size, how would

you rate the Fox Cities as a place in which to live?

Page 40: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Fox Cities Compared to Other Places in which to Live

98%89.5%

92.5%

2%9%

5.5%1% 1%

1.5% 0% 0.5%0.5%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Much/Better Same Worse/Much NA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 41: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

2010 Economic Outlook Summary

There were fewer businesses that realized an increase in employment, sales and profits during 2009 versus 2008.

The number of businesses expecting an increase in employment in 2010 is up significantly from last year’s survey.

Most businesses, however, expect employment levels to remain the same. With fewer firms forecasting a decrease in employment for 2010.

Page 42: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Salary increases in 2009 were primarily less than 3 percent. And projections for 2010 salary increases also is expected to be less than 3 percent.

Forecast in gross sales and profits is significantly more optimistic than last year, with a greater number of businesses anticipating an increase.

The number of planned capital expansions is about the same as last year.

2010 Economic Outlook Summary

Page 43: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

Faith in the local economy remains stronger than the national economy and up slightly from 2009.

The majority of the businesses believe that the Fox Cities economy will stabilize in 2010.

The vast majority of the businesses still believe the Fox Cities is a better place to conduct business and reside than in other comparable markets.

The majority of businesses believe that the Fox Cities economy will rebound in 2011.

2010 Economic Outlook Summary

Page 44: 2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey. Survey Composition.

2010 Fox Cities Economic Outlook Survey