2010 Commercial review - · PDF file400 500 600 Jan Feb Mar Apr May ... 100-200 seater . 960...
Transcript of 2010 Commercial review - · PDF file400 500 600 Jan Feb Mar Apr May ... 100-200 seater . 960...
2010 Commercial reviewJohn LeahyChief Operating Officer, Customers
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Airbus 2010 firm orders – end November
440 aircraft to 34 customers worldwide
*Private customers: 5 A319; 2 A340-500Undisclosed: 10 A319
2 A320
30 A320
7 A330-200
25 A350-9008 A330-200
Iberia10 A320
5 A320
1 A330-200
32 A380
10 A320
15 A330-300 4 A330-200F
11 A330-300
3 A330-200
31 A32020 A321 60 A320
6 A3197 A3207 A321
5 A350-900
7 A330-300
Tibet Airlines3 A319
30 A350-900
3 A320
19 A3201 A321
3 A330-300
5 A321 5 A319
2 A3202 A321
5 A330-300
8 A319
7 A320
13 A330-2003 A330-300
6 A321 2 A330-300
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Airbus orders to end November 2010
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
Cumulative orders (gross)
440 sales to 34 customers
440
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644 Airbus orders in 2010
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Cumulative orders (gross)
204 new sales in December 2010
644
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Strong December 2010 sales performance
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
December sales as % of annual gross sales
10 Year average of 22.4%
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
December 2010 Airbus orders
End November orders (Gross/Net) 440 388
1 Private Customer A320 17 Aircraft Purchase Fleet A320 116 Avolon A320 820 Private Customer A319CJ 121 Lan Airlines A319/A320/A321 5021 Aercap A320 229 CASC A320/A330-300 5629 Air China A350-900 1029 Virgin America A320 6031 Easy Jet A320 15
7 Aircraft Purchase Fleet A330-200 -222 Grupo Marsans A330-200 -631 US Airways A330-200 -10
End 2010 orders (Gross/Net) 644 574644 sales to 43 customers
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2010 gross market share
Airbus644 a/c
Boeing625 a/c
Units
1269 industryorders
Revenues
$ 154.4 bnindustry
49%51% 45%55%Airbus$84.6 bn
Boeing$69.8 bn
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
2010 net market share
Airbus574 a/c
Boeing530 a/c
1104 industryorders
$ 126.2 bnindustry
48%52% 41%59%Airbus$74.6bn
Boeing$51.6 bn
Units Revenues
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Market share by category - gross
100-200 seater 960 orders
275-375 seater208 orders
200-275 seater68 orders
375+ seater33 orders
124A330-300A350-900A350-1000A340
84777
787-9
32A380
1747
ACJ 7 70%BBJ 3 30%
A350 70 65% 787 37 35%
452A320Family
508737
47% 53% 36A330-200A350-800
32767
787-3787-8
2010 gross orders
47%53%
60% 40% 97%3%
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Market share by category - net
100-200 seater 902 orders
275-375 seater163 orders
200-275 seater8 orders
375+ seater31 orders
110A330-300A350-900A350-1000A340
53777
787-9
32A380
-1747
ACJ 5 83%BBJ 1 17%
A350 63 100% 787 - 4
416A320Family
486737
46% 54% 16A330-200A350-800
-8767
787-3787-8
2010 net orders
100%
67% 33% 100%
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Airbus order backlog - end 2010
Backlog by aircraft type:
A320 Family 2,418
A330/A340 358
A350 XWB 583
A380 193
Total backlog of 3,552 aircraft
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Airbus order backlog - end 2010
3,552 aircraft worth $483.1 billion
North America353 (10%)
Latin America260 (7.5%)
Middle East462 (13%) Asia/ Pacific
1075 (30%)Lessors
629 (17.5%)
Corporate JetPrivate
83 (2.5%)
Africa84 (2.5%)
Europe606 (17%)
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Gross order comparison on the last decade
Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 9 out of last 10 years
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600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
AirbusBoeing
Annual gross orders
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Net order comparison in the last decade
Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 8 out of last 10 years
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200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
AirbusBoeing
Annual net orders
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Delivery comparison in the last decade
Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 8 out of 10 years
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100
200
300
400
500
600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
AirbusBoeing
Annual deliveries
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Recovery much stronger than anticipated last year
World economy expected to grow at 3.5% in 2011
4.0%
1.6%
-2.0%
4.0%3.5% 3.6%
2.7%3.1%
3.4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
January 2011 forecastJanuary 2010 forecast
World real GDP and passenger traffic growth (%)
Source: IHS Global Insight, Airbus 2010: Estimation 2011 & 2012: Forecast
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Cycle analysis of passenger aircraft capacity
From excess to under-capacity
2001-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N2005
Under capacity (compared with pre-Sep
2001 maximum productivity level)
Excess capacity (compared with pre-Sep
2001 maximum productivity level)
200420032002
Source: OAG, Ascend, Airbus
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Cycle analysis of passenger aircraft capacity
From excess to under-capacity
2001-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N2005
Under capacity (compared with pre-Sep 2001 (2008) maximum
productivity level)
Excess capacity (compared with pre-Sep 2001 (2008) maximum
productivity level)
2004200320022008 2012201120102009
Source: OAG, Ascend, Airbus
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Passenger load factor at record high level
Record airline productivity
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012
World passenger aircraft load factor (%)
Source: ICAO, IATA (2010 estimation), Airbus
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Airlines’ profitability at record high level
-15-10-505
1015202530
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
World airline operating profit (US$ billion)
US$30 billion operating profit in 2010Source: ICAO, IATA (2010 estimation), Airbus
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Fuel price history and forecast
A320neo is a natural fuel hedge
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1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
History Forecast
A320neoEIS
Oil price (Current US$ per bbl)
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High commonality with A320 FamilyUp to 15% lower fuel burn vs. today’s A320
A320neo
Sharklets
New engines
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A320neo further reduces emissions
A320neo annual fuel savings of 15% equate to:
1.4 million litres of fuelequivalent to the consumption of 1000 mid size cars
3,600 tonnes of CO2,
equivalent to the CO2 absorption of 240,000 trees
NOx emissions 50% below CAEP/6
Aircraft noise up to 15dB below Stage IV
A major contribution to the environment
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© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
The growing A380 network 42 A380s flying 27 routes to 20 destinations
Over 9 million passengers have enjoyed the A380 experience
Qantas
Additional airline-announced routes for 2011 shown dotted
Toronto
London
Seoul
AucklandJohannesburg
Jeddah
Beijing
Bangkok
Zurich
Manchester
EmiratesSingapore Airlines
Air FranceLufthansa
MontrealParis
Sydney
Melbourne
Singapore
Frankfurt
DubaiWashington
New York Tokyo
Hong Kong
Los Angeles
With 24,500 revenue flights and over 220,000 flight hours,
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The A380 in 2010
First deliveries to Lufthansa
Emirates increases order to 90 aircraft
3rd anniversary of 1st commercial flight
Air France fly CDG-LHR with 96% load factor
16 new routes, 6 new destinations
More popular, more preferred and more profitable
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Airbus orders/commitments in 2011
A strong start to the New Year!
6 A380s ordered by Asiana
MOU for 30 A320 +150 A320neo from IndiGo
© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.
Airbus orders/commitments in 2011
A strong start to the New Year!
6 A380s ordered by Asiana
MOU for 30 A320 +150 A320neo from IndiGo
Airbus Annual Press Conference 201117th January