2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

43
1 The Intention Economy: What happens when customers get real power 18 November 2009, Kynetx Impact

description

Slides that accompanied the opening keynote at the Kynetx Impact conference in Provo, Utah.

Transcript of 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Page 1: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

1

The Intention Economy:���What happens when customers ���

get real power

18 November 2009, Kynetx Impact

Page 2: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Some perspective.

2

Page 3: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

We’re all familiar with:

3

Page 4: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

The universe took a while to make.

4

Page 5: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

The Net’s taking some time too.

Right now we have a few light elements, a lot of heat and no galaxies. 5

TCP/IP! NOW! Whatever!

Giant Zero!

Ambient!Connectivity!

Web!

Blogging!& RSS!

1980s! 1990s! 2000s! 2010s! 20XXs! 2XXXs! XXXXs!

Early open!protocols!

ISPs!

Graphical!browsers!

Free!software!

Open!source!

Live!“real-time”

Web!

Dunno!

Linux!

Page 6: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Consider the online shopping “experience”

Doc’s wife, in 1996: “Why can’t I take my shopping cart from one site to another?”

6

Page 7: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

7

Consider “Terms of ‘Service’” that also haven’t changed since 1996:

Why even bother reading something you have to accept, and which give all advantages to the seller?

You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it.

Accept.

Page 8: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

It’s so early that…

8

Page 9: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Brick & mortar businesses are���adopting what’s broken online.

It’s so early online that you have to become a “member” and “sign in” to buy anything. SSO still isn’t here.

The old brick & mortar world was free of this silly friction. Now it’s encumbered. And it’s crazy.

9

Page 10: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Loyalty cards ���are the Green Stamps of our time.

The biggest press run in history was the 1966 Green Stamps Saver Book. Green stamps were about “raising switching costs”…

“differentiation” … “driving loyalty”… It’s all part of industrial automation gone wild.

10

Page 11: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Take for example ���one fine grocery store…

11

… with all the modern inconveniences.

Page 12: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

To check out “fast” at Shaws,���you need to operate one of these:

This is part of the cool new retail trend of outsourcing customer support.

To the customer. 12

Page 13: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Note to selves: When somebody sells an “experience,” think of this:

“Experience” too often means vendor control of the user. 13

Page 14: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

A typical check-out story.

Went to Shaws, gathered a bunch of groceries. Scanned and bagged at the “fast” self-check-out thing.

Failed to get the Shaws card discount. Went to Customer Service.

Had 20 minutes of life sucked away. Got a generous gift card from a Shaws human who hates the system too.

Why didn’t we learn from the Green Stamps experience? 14

Page 15: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Because we’ve idealized impersonal business.

Take for example “Customer Relationship Management.”

15

Page 16: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Do an image search for CRM ���and you’ll find these:

All are ways to “acquire,” “control,” “retain,” “manage” and otherwise “own” customers.

We talk about customers as if they were slaves. Or Worse. 16

Page 17: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Where do you fit in this picture?

Right about here:

17

Page 18: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

18

The problem is the persistent belief that���the best customer is a captive one.

So we think “the best captor wins.” And we is all of us. Not just sellers.

Page 19: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

19

Thus we think a “free market”���is “your choice of captor.”

Even though the Net is now in the middle of everything.

Page 20: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Every captor is also a silo���for storing customer data.

So a “free market” becomes “your choice of data captor.” 20

Page 21: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

So the hospitality market���looks like this:

All your data for each, and from each, is captive in each. 21

Page 22: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

“Social” systems are silos too.

22

Page 23: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

We’ve broken out of silos before.���One example:

Novell and the NOS blew that all up in the 80s. 23

Page 24: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

And look what the Net blew up���in the 90s:

But… ̀ 24

Page 25: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

We’re still in the past.

We need to keep building out the Net. And the Net is personal. Not just social. 25

TCP/IP! NOW! Whatever!

Giant Zero!Ubiquity!

Web!

RSS!

1980s! 1990s! 2000s! 2010s! 20XXs! 2XXXs! XXXXs!

Early open!protocols!

ISPs!Graphical!browsers!

Free!software!

Open!source!

Live Web!

Dunno!

“Social” whatever!

Page 26: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

26

How do we prove that a free customer is more valuable than a captive one.?

Page 27: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

27

One solution is ���Vendor Relationship Management

That’s how each of us manages relations with them… at least as well as they think they’re relating to us.

Page 28: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

28

VRM is the reciprocal of CRM.

VRM CRM

It will work together with CRM. Or without it.

Either way, sellers will have to deal for real with empowered customers.

Page 29: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

29

With VRM, the individual is the point of integration for his or her own data.

… and the point of origination for what’s done with it.

Page 30: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

30

Here is some���of what we want VRM to do.

Page 31: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

31

Manage our own health care data.

This is a tall order, and very long term. But there are some great people working on, for

example, personal health records (PHRs).

Page 32: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

32

Issue a “personal RFP” ���to whole markets, on the fly.

For example, send a message saying you need a 200w 220->110 converter

in Amsterdam on a Sunday afternoon… — without giving any more than the required information.

Scott Adams calls this “broadcast shopping.”

Page 33: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

33

Assert useful Terms of Service.

That are ours instead of theirs.

You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it.

Accept.

Page 34: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Have governance of and by���— and not just for — the people

34

Page 35: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

35

Create a new business model���for free media.

Free media include… Non-commercial broadcasting

Blogs, podcasts Music…

Anything that’s either free on purpose or too easy to “steal.”

Page 36: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

For example,���on the Public Radio Player…

36

Page 37: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

We’ll reform retail by giving customers their own tools of engagement.

Customers won’t be able to price everything. But they will be able to drive supply more directly.

And they will become platforms for whole new business categories. 37

Page 38: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

A new service category will appear.

Fourth-party services will be customer-driven.

38

Page 39: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

There will be no limit to the number or power of 4th parties.

It’s a big, green field. Built on the customer. 39

Page 40: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

So, for example, with hotels…

Fourth parties can represent, intermediate, or otherwise help out.

So, as this business expands… 40

Page 41: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

The Intention Economy���will get real.

It will be based on what customers actually want. Rather than the “attention economy” of guessing

what customers want. … or “driving” customers (like cattle) to want stuff.

As a result… 41

Page 42: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

The advertising bubble���will burst.

No, it won’t go away. We’ll always need some. It just won’t the business model of first resort.

At best it will be the reciprocal of customers advertising what they want.

42

Page 43: 2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference

Let’s talk.

http://projectvrm.org [email protected]

43