2008 ANALYST AND INVESTOR EVENT - IIS Windows...
Transcript of 2008 ANALYST AND INVESTOR EVENT - IIS Windows...
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SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
Except for the historical information contained herein, this presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other unknown factors that could cause the actual results of the Company to be materially different from the historical results or from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
STEVEN MADDEN, LTD. MANAGEMENT
• Ed RosenfeldChairman & Chief Executive Officer
• Awadesh SinhaChief Operating Officer
• Arvind DhariaChief Financial Officer
• Steve MaddenCreative & Design Chief
• Rob SchmertzBrand Director
• Amelia Newton VarelaExecutive Vice President Wholesale & Retail
• Ian GomarPresident - Retail
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COMPANY OVERVIEW Ed Rosenfeld, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
BRANDS & BUSINESS MODEL Rob Schmertz, Brand Director
DIVISIONAL OVERVIEW Ed Rosenfeld, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Rob Schmertz, Brand Director Ian Gomar, President - Retail
BREAK
OPERATIONS OVERVIEW Awadhesh Sinha, Chief Operating Officer
CREATIVE OVERVIEW Steve Madden, Creative & Design Chief Rob Schmertz, Brand Director
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Ed Rosenfeld, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
AGENDA
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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE2007 EBITDA Margin = 14.7%
2007 ROIC = 27.5%
3 Year CAGR
10 Year CAGR
Net Sales 8.4% 21.9%
EBITDA 37.1% 27.6%
Diluted EPS 42.8% 23.6%
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STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
Leveraging our Core Assets
Optimizing our Growth
Platform
Diversifying our Business
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LEVERAGING OUR CORE ASSETSSTEVE MADDEN BRAND• Diffusion brands (e.g. Madden Girl, Steven by Steve Madden,
Steve Madden’s Fix*)
• International expansion
• Category extensions
• Strengthening core channels
FOOTWEAR/ACCESSORIES EXPERTISE• Private label
• Betsey Johnson / Betseyville
• Fabulosity
• l.e.i.
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DIVERSIFYING OUR BUSINESS
2008E Sales by Channel
23%
20%
18%
11%
6%5%
17%
Specialty Retailers Department StoresMass Merchants Shoe ChainsMid-Tier Retailers InternetOff-Price and Other
2008E Sales by Segment
53%
21%
21%5%
Wholesale Retail
Adesso Madden "First Cost" Licensing
Note: Figures are current year company estimates; sales figures shown as if the Company reported sales from its “first cost” and licensing businesses
DIVERSIFYING OUR BUSINESS
41%
10%9%8%
2%
23%
4%2%1%
Steve Madden Women's Steve Madden Men'sSteven by Steve Madden Madden GirlBetsey Johnson / Betseyville Candie'sStevies Other BrandsPrivate Labels
2008E Sales by Brand
70%
10%
3%12%
5%
Women's Footwear Men's FootwearKids' Footwear Accessories (DMF)Other Licensed Categories
2008E Sales by Category
Note: Figures are current year company estimates; sales figures shown as if the Company reported sales from its “first cost” and licensing businesses
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InternationalAsia
New territories
RetailFull-priceInternetOutlet
LicensingNew categories
(apparel, jewelry,bedding & bath, etc.)
AccessoriesSteve Madden
& Steven Handbags
Private Labell.e.i.
Wholesale FootwearMadden Girl
Steve Madden’s Fix*Fabulosity
GrowthOpportunities
OPTIMIZING OUR GROWTH PLATFORMOPTIMIZING OUR GROWTH PLATFORM
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BRAND STRENGTHSteve Madden has been 2nd most preferred footwear brand, behindNike, among teenagers nationally every year from 2002 - 2007
Source: Piper Jaffray Taking Stock With Teens Survey; Fall 2007Students were asked to list their favorite brands; responses were unaidedSurvey Inception: 2002
Brand % Total
1 Nike 29%
2 Steve Madden 7%
3 Adidas 6%
4 Puma 5%
5 Vans 4%
6 Footlocker 3%
7 Coach 2%
8 DC Shoes 2%
9 Rainbow 2%
10 Payless Shoes 2%
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MARKET SHARE
Brand Sales Market Share
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Steve Madden $114,987,241 27.6%
Jessica Simpson $90,296,839 21.7%
Skechers $59,058,834 14.2%
Rampage $31,747,980 7.6%
Report $21,464,440 5.1%
Rocket Dog $17,704,630 4.3%
Mia $15,335,360 3.7%
Roxy $15,272,270 3.7%
Chinese Laundry $13,315,420 3.2%
Unlisted By Kenneth Cole $10,496,130 2.5%
Mudd Footwear $6,027,227 1.4%
Madden Girl $4,701,982 1.1%
Diesel $4,386,931 1.1%
Baby Phat $3,434,603 0.8%
Me Too $1,721,581 0.4%
Volatile $1,547,564 0.4%
Rhino Red $1,438,155 0.3%
Dr. Martens $1,288,350 0.3%
Penny Loves Kenny $1,236,901 0.3%
Rebels $674,883 0.2%
Brand Sales Market Share
1 Coach $193,134,189 5.0%
2 Nine West $132,543,915 3.4%
3 Naturalizer $115,949,593 3.0%
4 Steve Madden $114,987,241 3.0%
5 Clarks England $114,496,536 3.0%
6 BCBG Girl $104,690,566 2.7%
7 Cole-Haan $100,416,367 2.6%
8 UGG $91,110,831 2.4%
9 Jessica Simpson $90,296,839 2.3%
10 Franco Sarto $83,625,090 2.2%
11 Easy Spirit $83,146,094 2.2%
12 Bandolino $80,175,635 2.1%
13 AK Anne Klein $69,206,143 1.8%
14 Born $61,088,259 1.6%
15 Skechers $59,058,834 1.5%
16 Guess $57,419,622 1.5%
17 Kenneth Cole Reaction $56,920,551 1.5%
18 LifeStride $56,479,450 1.5%
19 Merrell $55,934,311 1.5%
20 Stuart Weitzman $52,723,147 1.4%
#4 in 2007 Department Store Sales
#1 in 2007 Juniors Department Store Sales
Source: The NPD Group, Inc.
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HOW WE STAY COMPETITIVE
Design Expertise and Relentless Focus on Product
Test and React Strategy
Speed to Market
Innovative Marketing
Creative and Design ChiefSteve Madden
Steve Madden’s Fix*
DESIGN EXPERTISEOur top 8 designers have been with Steven Madden, Ltd. for an average of 11 years
Candie’sStevies
Steven bySteve Madden
Steve Madden Men’s
AdessoMaddenRetail
Brand DirectorRob Schmertz
2 Designers2 Linebuilders
1 Product DevelopmentCoordinator
6 Design Associates
2 Designers1 Linebuilder
1 Product Development Coordinator
1 Design Associate
1 Designer3 Linebuilders
16 Design Associates
1 Designer1 Linebuilder
1 Design Associate
2 Linebuilders1 Design Associate
1 Designer1 Linebuilder
1 Design Associate
1 Designer1 Linebuilder
3 Design Associates
1 Designer1 Linebuilder
1 Designer1 Linebuilder
1 Product Development Coordinator
1 Linebuilder1 Associate Linebuilder
Steve Madden Women’s
Madden Girl
Accessories (DMF)
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TEST…
Retail Sell-Through Data
Product Samples and Small-Scale
Production
Product Designs
Retail Stores/ Internet
Design Team
Sample Factory
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…AND REACT
“Test”Results
AdessoMadden
Customers
RetailStores
Wholesale Customers
Private Label Versions of
Successful StylesSuccessful Styles
Successful Styles
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Divisional Overview Ed Rosenfeld
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Rob SchmertzBrand Director
Ian GomarPresident - Retail
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WHOLESALE OVERVIEW
• LTM net sales = $304 million
• 8 footwear brands
• 6 accessories brands
• Tiered distribution strategy from better department stores through mid-tier retailers as well as specialty stores
• Carefully select top selling products from retail for wholesale business
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Mass Market
Retailers
FOOTWEAR PORTFOLIOBloomingdales
Nordstrom
Dillards
Macy’s
JCPenney
Kohl’s
Target
Wal-Mart
DSW
Famous Footwear
Private Labels
BrandedWholesale
AdessoMadden
“First Cost”
Shoe Chains
Better Department
Stores
Mid-Tier Retailers
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STEVE MADDEN WOMEN’S
• LTM wholesale net sales = $122 million
• Target consumer – women 16 to 35 years old
• Average retail price points– Shoes: $60 to $100– Boots: $90 to $160
• Distribution through better department stores and specialty stores
• 4,900 doors
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STEVE MADDEN MEN’S
• LTM wholesale net sales = $47 million
• Target consumer – men 20 to 40 years old
• Average retail price points of $70 to $100
• Distribution through better department stores and specialty stores
• 4,800 doors
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STEVEN BY STEVE MADDEN
• LTM wholesale net sales = $16 million
• Target consumer – women 25 to 45 years old
• Average retail price points– Shoes: $90 to $160– Boots: $200 to $290
• Distribution through better department stores and specialty stores
• 800 doors
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MADDEN GIRL
• LTM net sales = $37 million
• Target consumer – young women 13 to 20 years old
• Average retail price points of $30 to $50
• Distribution through department stores, mid-tier retailers and specialty stores
• 6,300 doors
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STEVIES
• LTM net sales = $6 million• Target consumer – young girls
6 to 9 years old and “tweens”10 to 12 years old
• Average retail price points of $30 to $45
• Distribution through better department stores and specialty stores
• 2,800 doors
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STEVE MADDEN’S FIX*
• New fashion sneaker brand launched in late 2007
• Target consumer – women 16 to 35 years old
• Average retail price points of $60 to $80
• Distribution through better department stores and specialty stores
• 750 doors
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CANDIE’S
• LTM net sales = $17 million
• Target consumer – girls and young women 6 to 20 years old
• Average retail price points of $30 to $50
• Distribution through Kohl’s
• 900 doors
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FABULOSITY
• New urban lifestyle brand created by Kimora Lee Simmons
• Target consumer – young women 13 to 25 years old
• Average retail price points of $40 to $50
• Distribution through JC Penney
• Launching Spring 2009
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DANIEL M. FRIEDMAN & ASSOCIATES
• LTM net sales = $57 million
• Accessories business acquired February 2006
2008E Sales by Category
76%
24%
Handbags Belts
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ACCESSORIES PORTFOLIOHandbags
Fabulosity JC Penney $28-$48 TBD
Brand Distribution Price Points DoorsSteven Department / Specialty Stores $98 - $298 160
Steve Madden Department / Specialty Stores $38 - $128 520
Betsey Johnson Department / Specialty Stores $165 - $395 130
Betseyville Department / Specialty Stores $25 - $145 721
Daisy Fuentes Kohl's $36 - $68 945
Private Labels Kohl's, Shopko, Costco, Payless $9.99 - $58 2,500
Belts
Fabulosity JC Penney $20-$24 TBD
Brand Distribution Price Points DoorsSteven Department / Specialty Stores $28-$42 643
Betsey Johnson Department / Specialty Stores $38-$68 273
Private Labels Kohl's, Shopko, Costco, Payless $12.99 - $24.00 2,500
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2008-2009 WHOLESALE FOCUSGoal: Optimize Penetration Across Channels
• Continue to stay ahead of fashion curve in Steve Madden Women’s and Steven
• Increase penetration of Madden Girl in department stores
• Improve product in Steve Madden Men’s, particularly in sport category
• Grow new brands (Steve Madden’s Fix* and Fabulosity)
• Expand product assortment for Steve Madden Kids
• Grow Steve Madden and Steven handbags
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RETAIL OVERVIEW
•LTM net sales = $122 million
•99 stores− 93 Steve Madden
stores
− 5 Steven by Steve Madden stores
− 1 Internet store
•Strong brand building platform
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STORE AVERAGES
Net Sales $1.1 mm
Square Footage 1,701
Sales per square foot
$623
Net Sales $1.8 mm
Square Footage 1,575
Sales per square foot
$1,146
Steve Madden Stores Steven by Steve Madden Stores
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NEW STORE ECONOMICS
TargetedPerformance
• Net Sales $1,000,000• Cash Flow Contribution Margin 15 - 18%• Investment (Includes Inventory) $400,000• Targeted ROI (Before Tax) 37.5 - 45%
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E-COMMERCE
• Largest retail “store”
• Broad online product assortment
• LTM net sales = $15.4 million
• YTD net sales growth = 26%
• Average monthly visits = 1.2 million
• E-mail list = 865,000 people
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2008-2009 RETAIL FOCUSGoal: Improve Profitability and Leverage Brand Building Tool
• Leverage systems enhancements and new personnel to improve store performance
• Close underperforming locations
• Continue to open stores opportunistically in select markets
• Further enhance e-commerce business
• Explore outlet opportunity
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ADESSO MADDEN
• “First cost” commission-based business with no inventory risk or investment
• LTM net commission income = $10.6 million
Adesso Madden “First Cost”
Private Label International
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PRIVATE LABEL
• Allows Company to leverage its product design capabilities and sourcing relationships in order to generate additional income
• Key customers = Target, Wal-Mart
• Candie’s transitioning to “first cost” model
• l.e.i. will be growth vehicle
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INTERNATIONAL
• Company operates internationally through retail and/or wholesale distribution agreements with local partners
• Company’s products currently distributed in 47 countries
• Company currently has 47 free-standing retail stores and 52 concessions (shop-in-shops) internationally
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2008-2009 ADESSO MADDEN FOCUS
Goal: Deliver Consistent Growth by Maximizing Mass Market andInternational Channels
Private Label• Transition Candie’s to new design team and “first cost” model
• Build l.e.i. business with Wal-Mart
International• Expand in Asia through partnership with GRI• Explore partnerships for Europe, Brazil, and India
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LICENSING
• LTM royalty income = $3.2 million
• Current licenses:− Cold weather and other
fashion accessories− Outerwear− Hosiery− Sunglasses and eyeglasses
• Significant growth opportunity
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2008-2009 LICENSING FOCUSGoal: Effectively Leverage/Monetize our Powerful Brand
• Build infrastructure to support licensing program
• Sign additional licenses – targeted areas include:
– Bedding and bath
– Loungewear
– Jewelry
– Swimwear
– Apparel
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KEY OPERATING INITIATIVES
• Sourcing initiatives
• IT / Systems upgrades and planned improvements
• Logistics accomplishments and future enhancements
• Website initiatives
• Tax savings – 42.5% to 39.0%
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• Currently source about 95% of products from China through agents
• Recently opened sourcing office in China– Plan to source 40% of products direct to factory through
sourcing office by end of 2010
• Increasing production from Mexico, India, Brazil
• Exploring possibility of Texas warehouse to reduce freight costs and transit time from Mexico
SOURCING INITIATIVES
Infrastructure:
• New Data Center
• New Emergency Generator
• Mainframe Computer
– 3 AS400 – New
• Real Time Private Network
• New Phone System
– VOIP
2006 2007
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X
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IT / SYSTEMS UPGRADES
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Wholesale:• New EDI System• In Transit Inventory Control SystemRetail:• POS Systems Upgrade• Centralized Credit Approval• Trickle Polling• Warehouse & Distribution Systems
(Location based Inventory)• Send Sale• Traffic Counter
2006 2007XX
XXXX
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IT / SYSTEMS UPGRADES
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• Planning & Allocation – Retail Stores
• Budgeting, Forecasting & Financial Systems
• Retail ERP
• Web PDM
• B 2 B – International & Wholesale
• Call center technology refresh
• Integrated retail payroll management implementation
FUTURE IT / SYSTEMS INITIATIVES
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LOGISTICS ACCOMPLISHMENTS
• Added 3rd distribution center
• Reduced compliance chargebacks
• Achieved better freight rates from factory to distribution center (while cutting down transit time)
• Achieved better freight rates from distribution center to retail stores
• Implemented pre-custom clearance
• Established 24-hour turnaround time at distribution center
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• Further improve supply chain environment:– Improved reporting/visibility
– Transportation management
– Cross docking and yard management
– Forecasting systems for warehouse labor allocation
FUTURE LOGISTICS INITIATIVES
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WEBSITE INITIATIVES
• Automation of pre-order/back order status
• Gift card offering
• Marketing database segmentation
• In-store pick-up
• More efficient use of call center personnel
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INFRASTRUCTURE & SYSTEMS COSTS
• Investments of $4.2 and $3.8 million for 2006 and 2007 respectively
• Anticipate investment of $3.0 to $4.0 million per year for 2008 and 2009
• Approximately $1.5 to $2.0 million per year after 2009
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2008-2009 INFRASTRUCTURE FOCUS
Goal: Create Superior Infrastructure to Support our Growth
• Further improve sourcing capabilities including diversification of production
• Implement next stage of IT / systems upgrades for Corporate, Retail and Supply Chain
• Leverage supply chain improvements
• Complete website upgrades for enhanced functionality and improved customer service
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RECENT FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
(Dollars in Millions, Except Per Share Data)Six Months Ended LTM
2005 2006 2007 6/30/07 6/30/08 6/30/08
Net Sales $375.8 $475.2 $431.1 $214.9 $209.9 $426.0% Growth 11.1% 26.4% (9.3%) -- (2.4%) --
Gross Profit $139.2 $198.4 $173.4 $87.6 $85.8 $171.5% Margin 37.0% 41.8% 40.2% 40.8% 40.9% 40.3%
EBITDA $37.7 $86.8 $63.2 $37.5 $25.1 $50.8% Margin 10.0% 18.3% 14.7% 17.5% 11.9% 11.9%
EBIT $31.6 $78.3 $54.1 $33.2 $19.9 $40.9% Margin 8.4% 16.5% 12.6% 15.4% 9.5% 9.6%
Net Income $19.2 $46.3 $33.6 $20.1 $12.7 $26.2% Margin 5.1% 9.7% 7.8% 9.3% 6.0% 6.2%
Diluted EPS $0.92 $2.09 $1.58 $0.92 $0.67 $1.32% Growth 59.5% 128.0% (24.7%) -- (27.5%) --
All data excludes non-recurring items
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BALANCE SHEET AND CASH FLOW
Cash and Securities = $46.3 million (as of 6/30/08)
Average Free Cash Flow (2005-2007) = $37.8 million
Returning Capital to Shareholders
• Dutch Auction for 2.6 million shares (12.9%) of Company completed in 1Q08 at $17.00 per share
• $145 million returned to shareholders in share repurchases and dividends since 2005
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LOOKING AHEAD
Full Year 2008 Guidance
Implied Back Half Guidance
Sales Growth 0-2% 2-6%
Diluted EPS $1.55-$1.65 $0.88-$0.99
Diluted EPS Growth
(2)-5% 38-54%
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WELL POSITIONED FOR FUTURE
Leveraging our Core Assets
Steve Madden brand
Design and marketing expertise
Brands
Channels
Products
Geographies
Poised for long-term growth and value creation
Diversifying our Business
Optimizing our Growth Platform