2006€Port€Everglades€Master€Plan€Update ·...
Transcript of 2006€Port€Everglades€Master€Plan€Update ·...
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2006 Port Everglades Master Plan Update
Phase I WorkshopThe Board of County Commissioners of Broward County
February 20, 2007
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CMS
Lakdas/Yohalem Engineering
Bermello, Ajamil & Partners
Michael L. Sclar Associates
Martin Associates
Sandra Walters
J.D. Sanchez Consulting
Dickey Consulting Services
JWD/DMJM Harris
DMJM Harris
Company
Cost Estimating
Marine Structures
Cruise Analysis
NonContainerized Cargo MarketAssessment
Containerized Cargo Market Assessment
Environmental
Planning / Comp Plan
Public Involvement
Port Planning
Project Management
Role
Master Plan Team
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Goal Of 2006 Master Plan Update
Create a plan to maximize market share andrevenue through a realistic 5 year facilitydevelopment program within a framework of 10and 20 year vision plans.
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Work Products of 2006 Master Plan Update
§ Updated Market Study§ 10 & 20 Year Vision Plans§ 5 Year Capital Improvement Plan§ Updated Deep Water Component of Comp Plan
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Where We are Today . . . Public Participation
§ Managing Public Participation Program§ Conducted 2 Public Participation Meetings§ Established Interactive Website
§ www.portevergladesmasterplanupdate.com§ Check schedule of events§ View meetings / presentations / workshops§ Ask questions / give comments
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Where We are Today . . . Meetings Conducted
§ Two Group Tenant / Stakeholder and Agency Meetings§ Oneonone Tenant / Stakeholder Meetings§ Multiple Master Plan Meetings with Convention Center
and Fort Lauderdale Hollywood International Airport
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Where We Are Today . . . Tasks Conducted
§ Prepared Existing Facilities Assessment§ Developed Market Assessment By Commodity§ Forecasted Unconstrained Needs Assessment§ Applied Physical Constraints§ Created Vision Plans§ Requesting Guidance
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In Spring 2007 . . .§ Refinement of 10 and 20year Vision Plans§ Prepare Economic Impact of Potential Projects§ Develop Financial Strategy§ Preparation of 5year Capital Improvement Program§ Phase II Workshop with Board of County Commissioners
In Summer 2007 . . .§ Update Deep Water Component of Comp Plan
Where We Will Be Going . . .
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Mission Statement
The mission of Port Everglades is to manage theCounty’s Port related assets to maximize the economicbenefits to the citizens and businesses of BrowardCounty and the State of Florida. The Port will manage theCounty’s assets in a financially responsible,environmentally sound manner, consistent with the local,state and federal rules and regulations which governinternational and domestic trade, transportation and thePort Industry.
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Commodity Types Handled At Port Everglades
§ Containers§ Dry Bulk / NeoBulk§ Cruise§ Liquid Bulk / Petroleum
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Port Everglades Revenue Centers
Break Bulk3%
Real Estateinc. FTZ
11%Petroleum
21%
Container24%Cruise
26%
Bulk5%
Parking7%
Navy & Other3%
PetroleumContainerCruiseBulkBreak BulkReal Estate inc. FTZParkingNavy & Other
Navy & Otherincludes layin, publicsafety services andfinance
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Port Everglades Annual Throughput –FY 2006
§ Cruise Passenger 3.2 million passengers
§ Containerized Cargo 5.1 million tons (864,000 TEUs)
§ Bulk Cargo 3.0 million tons
§ Break Bulk Cargo 335 thousand tons
§ Petroleum 123.5 million barrels
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Port Everglades Economic Impact on theSurrounding Region
§ 25% of State’s waterborne commerce§ $11 billion cargo value (import/export)§ 15,000 direct jobs§ $880 million in personal income§ $2.9 billion in business activity§ 37% of Florida’s Gasoline Use
Source MARAD Economic Impact Model –FY 2005
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Existing Facilities Assessment
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Port Everglades’Assets Today
City of Ft Lauderdale
Dania Beach
City of Hollywood
Unincorporated
Dania Beach
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§ Deepwater Port§ 2000+ Acres of Jurisdictional Area§ Interstate Highway Connection§ Freight Rail Connection§ Proximity to FLL§ Cruise Facilities Infrastructure§ Cargo / Container Infrastructure§ Petroleum Storage Infrastructure
Infrastructure Assets at Port Everglades
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§ Enhance the Port’s Assets§ “Carve Out”Convention Center§ Improve Traffic Circulation§ Develop Intermodal Rail Facility§ Partner With FLL in Shared Facility§ Continue Improving Security
Opportunities
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Environmental Objective
§ Identify and Quantify True Environmental ImpactsFrom Projected Infrastructure Improvements
§ Use Environmental Impacts in the Project DecisionMaking Process
§ Inform Public on Environmental Initiatives
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Master Plan Interfaces
§ Broward County Intermodal Center and People Mover§ Alternative corridors§ Alternative locations for an IMC§ Potential seaport station locations
§ Fort LauderdaleHollywood International Airport§ Shared Airport/Seaport facilityUS1 north of Eller
Drive§ Evaluate obstacle clearances associated with
current and future airfield and seaport operations§ Evaluate baggage handling operations
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Master Plan Interfaces§ Florida East Coast Railroad
§ Incorporating FDOT’s Eller Drive Overpass§ Evaluating potential of Intermodal Container
Transfer Facility (ICTF)§ Evaluating potential of import aggregate facility
§ Army Corps of Engineers Dredging Program§ Inner harbor deepening to 49 ft.§ Approach channel deepening to 54 ft.§ Dania Cut Off Canal to 32 ft.§ Hard bottom within channel issues
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Master Plan Interfaces
§ Calypso and AES pipeline proposals§ Coordinating to maintain Port development options
§ Convention Center “Carve Out”§ Public access to Convention Center / Hotel
development§ Maintain Port’s security perimeter as required by
Federal / State law§ Allow Convention Center / Hotel to expand§ Allow Port to develop Mega Cruise terminals
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ByPass Road
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Traffic Mitigation Measures
§ Increase Intermodal Zone Area§ Lengthen DropOff Curb / Reduce Congestion
§ Intermodal Rail Use§ “Empties”Located OffPort§ Use Righthand Turns
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Market Assessment
§ Container cargo§ Noncontainer cargo; dry bulk & neobulk cargos (i.e.
cement, lumber, etc.)§ Liquid bulk (petroleum products)§ Cruise
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Container Market Assessment§ Assess historical containerized growth§ US Port growth§ Southeast Port growth§ Florida Port growth
§ Examine historical container growth of key trading partners§ Asia§ Europe§ Latin America/Caribbean§ Other world areas
§ Examine historical and future GDP growth of Latin Americanand Caribbean regions§ International Monetary Fund§ Economic Commission for Latin American and the Caribbean
(ECLAC)§ Determine Florida and South Florida population growth and
projections24
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0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Tons
Carib/Central Am S. America Asia EuropeMed/ME Australia/NZ Africa All Other
US containerized import cargo has grown at anaverage annual rate of 9.8% driven by Asian imports
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0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
SOUTH FLA TOTAL FLA
Florida/Southern Florida population growth and estimates 19802026Southern Florida population growth is expected to average nearly 1.6% annually overplanning horizon
Source: Demographic Estimating Conference Database, updated July 2006; South FLA counties include: Broward, Charlotte, Collier,De Soto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, Indian River, Lee, Manatee, Martin, MiamiDade, Monroe, Okeechobee, Palm Beach, St.Lucie and Sarasota
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Perc
ent c
hang
e in
GD
P
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Latin American and Caribbean GDP growth rates are expectedto maintain levels between 4% and 5% in the near term
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, September 200627
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Percent of Container Imports by Trade Route2006 comparison with other Ports
Source: PIERS Database, 2006
PEV
17%
7%52%
6% 2%16%
ASIA/ISCSOUTH AMERCARIBBEANCENTRAL AMEREUROPE/MEDOTHER
SAVANNAH
4%
0%
1%15%
2%
78%
ASIA/ISCSOUTH AMERCARIBBEANCENTRAL AMEREUROPE/MEDOTHER
CHARLESTON
10%2%
44%
4%
40% ASIA/ISCSOUTH AMERCENTRAL AMEREUROPE/MEDOTHER
MIAMI
14%10%
14%
27%
1%
34%ASIA/ISCSOUTH AMERCARIBBEANCENTRAL AMEREUROPE/MEDOTHER
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Container Forecast Assumptions§ Developed LOW and HIGH scenarios
§ LOW scenario assumes modest growth based on historical andprojected growth§ South Florida population growth (import consumption)
§ Statistically closely related to container growth§ Growth by trade lane§ Latin American and Caribbean GDP (export)
§ ECLAC and IMF historical and nearterm projections§ South Florida (PEV + Miami) container growth§ Assumes same carrier composition, NO NEW SERVICE
§ HIGH scenario assumes more robust growth based on historical andprojected growth§ South Florida population growth (import consumption)§ Growth by trade lane§ Latin American and Caribbean GDP§ Terminal and carrier nearterm projections§ New services
§ Latin American/Caribbean§ Asian/Northern European POTENTIAL
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Low/High Container Forecast
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012 20
320
1420
1520
1620
1720
1820
1920
2020
2120
2220
2320
2420
2520
26
TEU
LOW HIGH
2.7 M
1.8 M
Note: High Forecast TEUs represents the Needs Forecast30
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NonContainer Cargo Market Assessment
§ Overview§ The overwhelming proportion of dry bulk and
neobulk cargos are related to the Floridaconstruction industry
§ Dry bulk cargos are dominated by cementand aggregates for the cement industry
§ Similarly, the largest proportion of neobulkcargos are steel (rebar) and lumber
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Other Commodities Neobulk
§ Yachts and autos for export represent the twoother significant neobulk commodities
§ Yacht imports are projected to increasesignificantly with the potential to double every 5years (until the market is saturated)
§ Autos handled in Port Everglades are primarilyused automobiles for export; new cars arerouted via Jacksonville
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Primary Forecast Drivers
§ Over the longterm, the growth of the Floridaconstruction industry will approach the growth ratesfor Florida population
§ The economic cycles impacting construction growthrates will dominate the longterm trends
§ Specific events such as courtordered limitations oncrushed rock mining at the Lake Belt mines couldcreate a significant opportunity for Port Everglades
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01,000,0002,000,0003,000,0004,000,0005,000,0006,000,0007,000,0008,000,0009,000,000
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
2021
2024
BaseForecastHighForecastLowForecastNeeds Forecast
High, Baseline, Low and Needs Assessment ForecastsDry bulk and neobulk tonnage for Port Everglades
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Conclusions
§ Cement represents the most stable market
§ The dry bulk and neobulk markets for PortEverglades are relatively flat
§ Growth in yachts and a stable used car marketround out the neobulk market
§ The addition of 24 million tons of aggregaterepresents the most significant potential upside, iffeasible
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Cruise Market Assessment Factors
§ Very successful in developing new products thatgenerate sustained interest in cruising§ New, larger, exciting vessels, diverse onboard products
and services
§ Products deliver a high level of passenger satisfaction,leading to repeat clientele and lower conversion costs
§ Several lines report repeat levels of over 45%
§ Lines have learned to adapt quickly to changing marketconditions and shift business models accordingly
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Evolution of Cruise Vessels
Product and service led design; newinnovative marine hull design tosupport more above water structure.Separate apartment towers,entertainment zones and amenities.Limited port deployment options.
5,000+32 36 ft.1,100 –1,400ft.
NextGeneration(Genesis)
Freedom class, 160,000GT. Allows forincreased onboard revenue areas,largest ship in world status (ego /marketing boost), economies of scale.
4,00029.5 ft.1,000 ft.2006
Larger ship volume concentrating oncreating efficiencies with ship design,outside cabin development, shipservices and flexible deployment.
3,00029.5 ft.1,000 ft.2000
Megaships that are floating cities.Focus on maximizing passengercapacity. Oneregion vessels notcapable of Panama Canal Transit.
3,60026.25 ft.965 ft.1997
Larger ships becoming the destination.Shallower drafts.2,60026.25 ft.902 ft.1990
Change in business model;experimentation with larger ships andoperating itineraries.
1,50029.5 ft.803 ft.1980
Standard business model used withprofitable results until the fuel crisis.65032 ft.705 ft.1970
Vessels acquired & refurbished.50036 ft.508 ft.1960
Characteristics of the PeriodPAXDraftLengthPeriod Fantasy Class
Grand Class
Radiance Class
Freedom Class
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Cruise Overview§ Strengths include:
§ Access to regional consumers§ High quality tourism infrastructure§ Convenient marine access§ Number and length of cruise berths
§ Improvement foreseen in cruiseterminal facility offerings§ Capability of terminals to receive
largest cruise vessels§ Availability of additional berthing areas
on peak days of operation§ Ingress/egress issues impacting cruise
operations and parking
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0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Port Canaveral Port Everglades Port of Miami
Port of Palm Beach Port of Tampa
Regional Homeport Passenger Throughput
Source: B&A, 2006
39
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Attractiveness of Port Everglades to Cruise Market
Source: B&A, 2006
Key: Strong (ã), Fair (¾), Weak (ä)
¾ / ãMarketing / CommunicationsãGeneral AppealãAccess to ConsumersãAttractions and VenuesãLodging
(proximity and capacity)¾ / ãAirport and Airlift(gate and roadway access) ¾ / ãLandside Access
¾ / ãSecurityãProvisioning
(proximity to terminals) ¾Parking¾ / ãGround Transportation Areas (GTA)¾Terminal Operations
(new systems installed)¾ / ãGangways¾Apron
(length of berths)¾ / ãPier / BerthingãTerminal Location(s)
(short channel for large ships)¾ / ãMarine AccessAssessmentCriteria
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Range of Revenue Total Passenger Projections
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
10,000,000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
Historical A B LOW B HIGH B MID C1 C2 C3Source: B&A, 2006
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0123456789
101112131415
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Num
ber o
f ber
ths
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
Pas
seng
ers
TOTAL BERTHS DEMANDED TOTAL +/ 1,100 LOA DEMANDED PASSENGERS
Berths vs. Volumes –Mid ProjectionProjection B MID
Note: Projection B Mid Berths and Passengers Represents the Needs Forecast42
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Monthly Passenger Traffic
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: B&A, 2006.
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Daily Passenger Traffic Comparison
0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%14%16%18%20%22%24%26%28%30%32%34%36%38%40%
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: B&A, 2006.
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§ Primary Market: Broward,MiamiDade, Palm Beach,Martin Counties
§ Secondary Market: Collier,Glades, Hendry, IndianRiver, Lee, Monroe,Okeechobee, and St. Lucie
§ Port supplies 87 percent ofgasoline demand in regionand 37 percent of Florida’sgasoline requirements
§ Port supplies jet fuel to FLLand MIA and other airports
Port Everglades’Petroleum Industry serves a12County Region
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Petroleum Product Diversity
§ Regional petroleum product demand is growingat about 2.7 percent annually
§ Gasoline predominates, but Port also suppliesdiesel, asphalt, jet fuel, fuel oil for the powerplants, propane, biodiesel and ethanol fuels
§ Industry services include§ Selling gasoline to retail gas stations in the region§ Supplying the region’s international airports§ Fueling the Port’s cargo and cruise ships§ Serving military needs§ Providing emergency storage
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Port Everglades PetroleumThroughput Forecast
19992020(Thousand Barrels per Day)
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Market Characteristics§ Percentage of vessel calls is shifting from barge to
tanker, with more product coming from internationalsources
§ Tankers coming from international markets are largerthan those from domestic sources
§ Existing petroleum berths are utilized to capacity
§ Fully loaded larger tankers can experienceconstraints (berth length, slip width, water depth)
§ Emergency situations such as hurricanes during peakseasonal demand can stress tenants’storage anddistribution capabilities
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Needs Assessment
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What is Needed to meet Market Forecasts . . . .
§ Container Cargo§ Add berths and increase yard utilization§ Add longer/flexible berths§ Increase efficiencies
§ Increase berth occupancy§ Increase lifts per call§ Use higher density stacking equipment
§ Deepen and widen channel / harbor
§ NonContainer Cargo§ Determine feasibility of aggregate as major import
commodity
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What is Needed to meet Market Forecasts . . . .
§ Cruise§ Increase berth lengths to handle ships 1100 ft. in length§ Increase cruise season/weekday use§ Continue dual use of berths for cargo and cruise
§ Petroleum§ Increase receiving system efficiencies§ Add berth efficiencies and safety for larger vessels§ Deepen and widen channel / harbor
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Results of Market Based Needs Assessment( Build Out 2026)
Container Terminals
NonContainer Cargo Terminals
11001300900750900700
6507001100
BerthLength
(Ft)Gross Area
(acres)
BerthsRequired(rounded)
8.3 (10)1.7 (2)Cement1.10.7 (1)Lumber
7.7 (8)0.8 (1)Steel
60.5 (1)Bananas (wheeled)892.9 (3)RORO1405.6 (6)STD Dock Side Cranes
4.2 (6)0.9 (1)Aggregate
2923 vessel/1 bargePetroleum TerminalsNA810Cruise Terminals
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Berth Provisions of 2026 Vision Plan
10.9 (1)Aggregate
NonContainer Cargo Terminals
Container Terminals
3/1 barge
810
1.7 (2)0.7 (1)0.8 (1)
0.5 (1)2.9 (3)5.6 (6)
BerthsRequired
VisionPlan
2CementsharedLumbersharedSteel
1Bananas (wheeled)3RORO
67STD Dock Side Cranes
7+2flex
Cruise Terminals
3/1Petroleum Terminals53
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2026 Year Vision Plan
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N
Vision Plan –Area 1
IssuesBenefitsArea•Take of privateproperty/tankfarm relocation
•Significantdredging andpiping costs
•Cost for newterminal
•Creates oneadditional megacruise berth &enlarges one tomega cruise size
•SeparatesCruise &Petroleumactivities
•Accommodateslarger vessels
•Increasesnavigationalsafety
•Adds berthlength for cement
•Mitigates soilcontamination inSuperfund site
•Increasespetroleumdistributionefficiencies
•Reconstructsdeterioratingbulkheads
Reconfigure &Expand Slips13
SPANGLER
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Vision Plan –Area 2
•Significantdevelopment cost
•Environmentalimpact toconservationeasement
•Createsadditional berthlengths
•Increasesflexibility to berthlonger ships &ability toaccommodateboth containerand mega cruiseships at (2) berths
•Reconstructsdeterioratingbulkheads
Expand containerberths along ICW
IssuesBenefitsArea
N
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Vision Plan –Area 3
•Significantdredging costs
•Excavation inclosed landfill
•Conservationarea impact
•Createsadditional longcontainer berth
•Minimizesimpact oflarger vesselson aviationflight path
•Placeswheeled cargoops onunstablegeotechnicalproperty
•Minimizesdredgingimpacts atDCC & WestLake Park
•Increasesflexibility toberth longerships
RelocateSouthportRORO Piers
IssuesBenefitsArea
N
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Vision Plan –Area 4
•Cost ofrelocatingFTZ andCBPoperations
•Cost of newbuildings
•Allowscontiguouscontainerterminalexpansion ofSouthport &Midport areas,adjacent to thewater
•Providescirculationwithin Portrestricted area
•Replacesaged buildings
RelocateFTZ & CBPfacility westof McIntoshRoad
IssuesBenefitsArea
N
FTZ
CBP
ELLER DRIVE
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Vision Plan –Area 5
•Environmental impact
•Significant shared dredgingcosts
•Accommodates longer anddeeper vessels
•Increases navigational safety
•Necessary to meet tenants &future market requirements
•Entrance channel & harbordeepening and widening
IssuesBenefitsArea
N
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Vision Plan –Area 6
•Significantcosts associatedwith rail & siteinfrastructure
•Longterminvestment withslow startuprevenues
•Reduces truck traffic onPort and in Region
•Creates potential forgreater hinterland marketpenetration by rail
•Supports import ofaggregate materials inFlorida, to replacepotential quarry closures
•Intermodalrail yard &import rockfacility
IssuesBenefitsArea
N
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Conclusion Berth capacity is the primary limiting factor toPort growth
Next StepsDevelop economic impact & financial strategyBalance capital improvements with operationalefficiencies and environmental stewardship toachieve optimum Master Plan
§ Balance upland infrastructure improvements andefficiencies to berth capacity§ Maximize flexibility and multiuse of berths
61