2006 H1. Economic Indicators Stabilization of financial markets No major impact in 2006 of May –...
Transcript of 2006 H1. Economic Indicators Stabilization of financial markets No major impact in 2006 of May –...
2006 H1
Economic IndicatorsEconomic Indicators
• Stabilization of financial markets• No major impact in 2006 of May – June adjustments
Inflation - Devaluation - GNP Growth
-15%-9%
8% 6% 5%5%
5% 11% 11%14%
31%
14%
89%
6%
0%
16%6%
114%
-4%
14%10%
5%4% 3%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
inflation 89% 31% 14% 14% 5% 11% 11% 5%
devaluation (USD) 114% 14% -15% -4% 0% 16% 6% 6%
GNP Growth Rate -9% 8% 6% 10% 5% 4% 3% 5%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
GNP Growth & Construction Sector GNP Growth & Construction Sector
Real Growth of GNP & Construction Sector
8.3%3.9%
6.1%9.9%
4.3% 5.3%7.6% 6.3%
-12.5%
4.6%
25.9%
-6.1%
9.4%9.8%8.0% 7.1%
-6.1%-9.3%
7.8%5.9% 5.3%
21.5%
19.7%19.7%
-1.1%
14.9%
-5.4% -4.7%
5.8% 5.0%0.7%
5.8%
-7.1%
-4.9%
-9.0%
16.5%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
gnp growth
construction growth
• Construction has not suffered from financial turbulance• Lower growth in housing will be more than offset by infrastructural projects
Construction Expenditures 1987-2005Construction Expenditures 1987-2005(at constant prices 1987=100)(at constant prices 1987=100)
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (1987=100)
10075 76 86 85 87 97
62 6382
101126 124
163130
156114
86 100
100
72 8291 92 93
93
8561
78
99
10690
101
90
91
94
91106
100
120124
120 116 123139
149163
160
160
157
143
129
119101
90
103
134
16%15%
16%
15% 14% 15%15%
14% 14% 14%13%
12%12%
10%
9%9,7%
8%
14%
15%
0,0
50,0
100,0
150,0
200,0
250,0
300,0
350,0
400,0
450,0
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Public Building Construction Public Other Construction Private Building & Housing Construction Construction a % GDP
Construction Expenditures 2005-2006Construction Expenditures 2005-2006
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Expenditure on the gross domestic product)
2005 2006Q1Public sector mio USD
building construction 3,132 10% 3%other construction 8,399 26% 18%
Private Sector mio USD
building construction 21,280 65% 79%Total 32,811
Building Permits 2005
77,361,286 77.8% 21,961 77.8%
16,910,569 17.0% 4,812 17.0%
5,160,538 5.2% 1,449 5.1%
Total 99,432,393 28,222
Area (m2)
Private Housing
Commercial & Industrial Buildings
Public Buildings
Value (mio USD)
GNP per capita vs. Cement Consumption per GNP per capita vs. Cement Consumption per capitacapita
TURKEY GNP Capita vs Cement Capita
500 481
1.150
1.750
1.250
2.700
2.161
3.218
2.123
3.383
5.008
4.172
2.584
3.025
150
220
330
241
370
440
504
445
476
366
524
385
487
427
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
$/head
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
kg/head
GNP Capita Cement Capita
• Increase in consumption from 385 kg/head in 2002 to 487 kg/head in 2005• GNP/capita increased from 2,584 $/head in 2002 to 5,008 $/head in 2005
Cement SectorCement Sector
29.826.7
30.132.1 32.7 34.1
31.7 31.5
25.3 26.8 28.130.7
35.1
43.044.7
3.2
5.2
4.63.7
4.64
4.66.6
8.6
10.410.4
10.7
9.7
7.07.0
34.8 35.436.9
38.840.5 40.2
41.5
43.9 43.945.3 45.5 46.3
50.452.1
58.0
45.446.9
52.2
31.3 31.933.2
34.936.5 36.1
37.339.5 39.5
40.7 41.0 41.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 F 2007 F
mio
tons
domestic consumption exports (cement + clinker) cement production capacity 100 % cement production capacity 90%
Company StructureCompany Structure
Akçansa is a Joint Venture between HC and Sabancı
Created in October 1996 by the merger of: Akçimento (Sabancı) Çanakkale Çimento
Quoted in the stock market
SABANCI GROUP; 32,2%HC - CBR
GROUP; 39,7%
FREE FLOAT; 20,6%
AKSİGORTA; 7,5%
IZMİR
ANKARA
KILN+GRINDING
CEMENT TERMINAL
CEMENT GRINDING
ALİAĞA
ÇANAKKALE
BÜYÜKÇEKMECE
AMBARLI KARÇİMSA*
KARAMÜRSEL
Capacity (mt/year)1,850,000 clinker2,800,000 cement Capacity (mt/year)
200,000 cement
Capacity (mt/year)1,900,000 clinker3,500,000 cement
+ 20 RMC plants
(*) Partnership between Akçansa (51%) and Kardemir Steel works (49%)
Capacity (mt/year) 577,500 clinker
1,160,000 cement
LADİK
LocationsLocations
2006 H12006 H1• Small financial crisis
• Strong domestic sales growth
• Price increase by 10% compared to Dec 2005
• Clinker imports
• ÇNK Investment Ground Breaking Ceremony
H2 Expectations
• Continued domestic growth
• Reduced exports
• Alternative fuel projects
Domestic Market PerformanceDomestic Market Performance
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000('000 ton)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Volumes 3,416 2,835 2,794 2,167 2,102 2,318 2,648 3,104 3,690
$/ton 77.2 71.4 56.1 60.9 61.9 53.7 60.2 63.3 64.7
YTL/ton 103.6 95.8 75.3 81.8 83.0 72.1 80.7 84.9 96.7
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
1.827
H1/06
1.426
H1/05
Export PerformanceExport Performance
• Low exports due to kiln stop and higher domestic demand
0
250
500
750
1.000
1.250
1.500
1.750
2.000
('000 ton)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Volumes 1.128 1.126 1.537 976 940 1.379 1.223 795 805
$/ton 58,2 59,1 49,3 64,6 48,9 36,9 35,7 36,7 45,2
Local $/ton 34,8 33,8 28,6 31,2 28,5 27,3 30,5 36,2 45,2
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
383
H1/06H1/05
363
RMC Sales PerformanceRMC Sales Performance
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
('00
0 m3 )
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Volumes 2,165 2,114 2,216 1,328 1,536 1,702 2,018 2,402 2,650
$/m3 59.4 60.9 52.4 52.0 46.1 44.0 46.5 45.3 47.8
YTL/m3 79.7 81.7 70.3 69.7 61.8 59.0 62.5 60.7 71.3
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
H1/06
1.3141.104
H1/05
Production Performance (PÇ 42.5)Production Performance (PÇ 42.5)
PÇ 42.5 VC (Rest @ 2006/12)
17 15 12 12 13 13 13
4 4
32
2425 25 22 22 22
41
3429 27
25 24 24
3
2
2 23 3 3
5 44 4 4
333
23 3 3
6869707374
100
82
0
20
40
60
80
100
02A 03A 04A 05A 06B 07 08
Raw material Additives Operating Material Fuel Electricity Other Total
Fixed CostsFixed Costs
• Decrease in fixed costs by 48% (1999 to 2006)
AKÇANSA Fixed Costs Rest US$ @ dec 06 p.p.
9,7 7,3 5,5 4,9 6,3 7,1 5,8 5,9 5,6
33,5 37,032,7 29,8 24,4 23,8 24,7 23,7 21,8
27,6 29,5
23,0
15,011,0 10,7 10,7 11,7
10,1
10,412,2
11,8
11,6
8,4 7,6 7,1 7,87,4
45,0
73,0
61,3
50,249,2 48,3 49,2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06B
material payroll external services other
86,081,2
Akçansa Financial StatementsAkçansa Financial Statements(2006H1 vs 2005H1)
Actual Actual Variance
(2005 restated KUSD @ December pp) 2005 H1 2006 H1
Domestic Sales 135.916 178.878 42.962
Export Sales 13.106 15.561 2.455
Total Gross Sales 149.022 194.439 45.417Distribution Costs 8.744 11.873 3.129
Net Sales 140.278 182.567 42.288Variable Costs 74.182 88.097 13.915
Gross margin 66.096 94.469 28.373
% of Sales 44,4% 48,6%Fixed Costs 28.324 28.324 -1Other Operating Income and Charges -1.233 389 1.622
Operating income bef. Depr. 36.539 66.535 29.996
% of Sales 24,5% 34,2%
Operating income 24.571 53.448 28.878
% of Sales 16,5% 27,5%
Non Operating Income -809 -321 489
Dividends 22.188 3.351 -18.836
Financial Result 4.762 7.955 3.193
Net Monetary Gain/Loss -747 0 747
Income before taxes 49.964 64.434 14.469
Income Taxes 8.483 13.548 5.066
Net Income 41.481 50.885 9.404
Deferred Tax 248 -12.069 -12.317
Net Income after deferred tax 41.234 62.954 21.720
Variance AnalysisVariance Analysis2006H1 vs 2005H1(rest K USD @ 2005Q4 pp)
30.765-V
8.016- P
-87-V
2.645- P
-14.515-V
895- C
0
878
-1.118
318 1.081
28.878
-20.000
-16.000
-12.000
-8.000
-4.000
0
4.000
8.000
12.000
16.000
20.000
24.000
28.000
32.000
36.000
40.000
Domestic Export V.Cost Fixed Cost Other Op.Inc/Ch. Depr. FX Diff. Opr.Mon G/L Net Op. Income
Financial Position (2006H1)Financial Position (2006H1)
mio USD 2006H1
Cash 24.7
Marketable Securities 19.1
Financial Fixed Assets 100.9
- Çimsa 48.8
- Enerjisa 28.7
- Liman İşletmeleri 14.8
- Other 8.6
Financial Debt 1.2
Net Financial Position 143.5
Akçansa and the CommunityAkçansa and the Community
• Akçansa has been selected as the biggest and the most profitable cement producer in Turkey and has been upgraded to the 71st rank in 2005.
• The construction of the Akçansa-Fatih Sultan Mehmet Primary School is completed, the school will be inaugurated on the 18th of September in the context of the 10th year celebrations of Akçansa after the merger. (43 classes and 1500 students)
Contacts
Christian Leclercq CFO - AKÇANSA [email protected]şe Soybaş Manager - SABANCI [email protected] Üçer Communication Officer - AKÇANSA [email protected]
Websites
www.akcansa.com.trwww.betonsa.com.trwww.sabanci.com.trwww.heidelbergcement.com
AppendixAppendix
World Cement Prices (+/- % 5)
130
107 105100
9289 88
85 84 83 81 81 81 81 80 78 78 77 77 75 75 74
65 65 65
50
40
64
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
USD/ton
Akçansa
Akçansa
Italcementi
Cementir
Cementir
Cementir
Batı
Batı
Denizli
NUH
Bursa
Italcementi
Göltaş
ADO
LF
Italcementi
Italcementi
OYAK
OYAK
OYAK
OYAK
OYAK
YİB-LF
YİB-LFYİB-LF
Çimsa
Çimsa
Çimsa
OYSA
ASKALE
ASKALE
LIMAK
LIMAK
Orascom
Türkerler
Türkerler
Vicat
Vicat
Cement Plant Grinding Mill
Karçimsa
OYSA
ADO
LF Aytek
YİB-LF
Batı
Major investment in ÇNK plantMajor investment in ÇNK plant• Major contracts have been
signed
• Equipment mainly will come from China, Germany and other European countries
• Erection and construction with local contractor
• Ground breaking ceremony on June 19
• The clinker capacity of ÇNK plant will increase by 100 %: +1.9 mio tons
• Cost of investment is 135 Mio USD
• State-of the-art & environmentally friendly production technologies will be used
Total Cement ConsumptionTotal Cement Consumption
('000 tons)1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total Turkeyconsumption 34,127 31,530 31,515 25,082 26,811 28,106 30,671 35,083
% growth -7.6% 0.0% -20.4% 6.9% 4.8% 9.1% 14.4%
Total Akçansa 3,412 2,783 2,792 2,167 2,102 2,318 2,648 3,104
% growth -18.4% 0.3% -22.4% -3.0% 10.3% 14.2% 17.2%Total Marmara
consumption 9,723 8,961 8,326 6,135 6,507 7,093 8,215 9,773% growth -7.8% -7.1% -26.3% 6.1% 9.0% 15.8% 19.0%
Total Marmara in Turkey 28.5% 28.4% 26.4% 24.5% 24.3% 25.2% 26.8% 27.9%
Akçansa Marmara 3,085 2,508 2,504 1,836 1,850 2,076 2,382 2,819
% growth -18.7% -0.2% -26.7% 0.8% 12.2% 14.8% 18.3%Total Aegean
consumption 4,683 3,941 3,864 2,981 3,000 3,445 3,978 3,907% growth -15.8% -2.0% -22.8% 0.6% 14.8% 15.5% -1.8%
Total Aegean in Turkey 13.7% 12.5% 12.3% 11.9% 11.2% 12.3% 13.0% 11.1%
Akçansa Aegean 327 275 288 184 218 242 266 286% growth -15.9% 4.7% -36.2% 18.4% 11.4% 9.7% 7.4%
Akçansa Market SharesTurkey 10.0% 8.8% 8.9% 8.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8%Marmara 31.7% 28.0% 30.1% 29.9% 28.4% 29.3% 29.0% 28.8%Aegean 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3%
Ladik AcquisitionLadik Acquisition
• 140.25 Mio USD, best bid given by AKÇANSA:– Refused by Competition Board
– According to the Tender Process, has been granted to the second best bidder, i.e. Turkerler
– Akçansa appealed to the decision and as of March 7, the Council of State approved the suspension order
• Capacity:
– 577 k tons Clinker
– 1,162 k tons - Cement
• Market share: 10.7% in Black Sea Region/1.5% in Turkey
• Technology:
– Dry kiln with 4 stages preheater
– Includes a Paper-bag Plant
• Financing: Mixed (available cash and debt)
GNP & Cement ConsumptionGNP & Cement Consumption
GNP & Cement Consumption
8%
-6%
4%
10%
0%
8% 6%
-1%
22%
2%
12%
-8%
-25,0%
-20,0%
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
GNP Growth
Cement ConsumptionGrowth
’83 Nov Elections83-87 ANAP Period Avr.GNP : 6.4 %Avr.cc : 15.1 %
’87 Nov Elections88-91 ANAP Period Avr.GNP : 3.2 %Avr.cc : 1.2 %
’91 Oct Elections92-95Period Avr.GNP : 4.1 %Avr.cc : 6.0 %
’95 Dec Elections96-98 Period Avr.GNP : 6.4 %Avr.cc : 4.2 %
’99 Apr Elections99-03 Period Avr.GNP : -0.4 %Avr.cc : -5.2 %
’02 Nov Elections03-05 AKP Period Avr.GNP : 7.8 %Avr.cc : 9.3 %
* The chart on the right shows the new picture after the sale of formerly seized Uzan Plants in October
AFTERBEFORE
Akçansa11,1%
Oysa1,0%
Oyak16,8%
Italcementi7,2%
Batı5,5%Cementir
6,2%
Vicat5,0%
Lafarge3,2%
Nuh10,3%
Bursa3,5%
Others21,2%
Yibitaş LF4,1%
Çimsa4,9%
Çimsa3,6% Akçansa
9,6%
Oyak16,8%
Vicat5,0%
Nuh10,3%
Others15,8%
Cementir4,8%
Lafarge3%
Yibitaş LF4,1%
Batı5,5%
Italcementi7,2%
Rumeli9,7%
Bursa3,5%
Oysa1,0%
Capacity BreakdownCapacity Breakdown
(9.6%)(3.6%)
Pre-calciner investment in ÇNK plantPre-calciner investment in ÇNK plant
• Investment amounting to USD 4.6 mio
• Allowing to burn 100 % petcoke
(full flexibility in fuel mix)
• Expected cost saving : decrease of
fuel cost by 24 % per ton of clinker
produced
Due to the pre-calciner investment, our ÇNK plant stopped for 8 weeks, and became operational by the beginning of May 2005.
Environmental investmentsEnvironmental investments
• USD 18 million allocated to environmental investments between 1997-2004.
• Both our plants certified by BSI with ISO 14001 Envrionmental Management System.
• Our BÇM and ÇNK cement plants are the first plants in Turkey to receive Ministry of Environment & Forestry R134-001 and R117-001 certificates authorizing the use of alternative fuel. – Currently tyres are burnt – Waste oil : in both plants– Expected cost saving is 3 % per ton clinker produced. (2005)
We started burning tyres in our BÇM plant...We started burning tyres in our BÇM plant...
Emission values in different countriesEmission values in different countries
dust
mg/Nm3
SO2,
mg/Nm3
NOx
mg/Nm3
Austria 50 200 500/1000
Belgium 50-150 1000 1800
Denmark 50 250 1200
Finland 50 150-400 1200-1800
France 50 500 1200/1500/1800
Germany 50 400 500
Grece 100
İrland 50 400 1300
İtaly 50 600 1800
Luxemburg 30 100 800
Netherlands 15 (l) 1300
Portugal 50 400 1300
Spain 100 600 1300-1800
Sweden 50 - <200
UK 40 200 900
Turkey 120/50 300 1300/1800
Akçansa
(2004 (Actual)
23/50/38 65/37/30 596/747/610
570529
297309349347
1005
798
709
1227
374
10411087
177205
360
418
279289
554
411
239
132
581
214
384
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000
Latvia
RomaniaEstonia
Czech Rep.
TURKEY Hungary
Slovenia
Ireland
PortugalSpain
Greece
Italy
Belgium
Austria
Iceland
GermanyFinland
UK Sweden
France
NorwayDenmark
Netherlands
Switzerland
Luxemburg
2003
Cement per capita in other countriesCement per capita in other countries
PE
R C
AP
ITA
CE
ME
NT
CO
NS
UM
PT
ION
(k
g / per p
erson)
GNP PER CAPITA
Shift to higher strength rmc Shift to higher strength rmc classesclasses
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
1996 37,3 52,3 6,4 3,4 0,6
1997 27,0 51,1 12,0 7,6 2,3
1998 24,4 45,4 18,0 8,1 4,1
1999 22,7 35,9 27,6 10,3 3,3
2000 12,0 26,2 43,0 13,8 5,1
2001 7,0 21,3 47,9 18,0 5,8
2002 5,9 21,1 46,9 19,2 6,9
2003 4,6 14,7 39,6 25,4 15,7
BS 14 BS 18 BS 20 BS 25 BS 25 +
%
Source : THBB
in the world + C25Belgium 75%Finland 95%Germany 83%Ireland 80%Norway 80%Spain 90%Sweden 95%England 70%
Akçansa Extended Executive CommitteeAkçansa Extended Executive CommitteeEXTEN DED EXEC U TIVE C OM M ITTEE
Strategy & Bus. Dev. Mng.-Nevra ÖZHATAY
In ternal Audit ManagerYavuz ÜNA L
Ass.Gn.Mng.-Cem ent Sales & MarketingTayfun ÖNEŞ
Ass.Gn.Mng.-RMC & PurchasingHakan GÜRDA L
Ass.Gn.Mng.-Hum an ResourcesA.Özer ERMAN
Plant Manager-ÇanakkaleHasan İME R
Ass.Gn.Mng.-OperationsAhmet Vasfi PEKİN
Ass.Gn.Mng.-F inanceChristian LECLERC Q
Karçim sa Company ManagerŞahap SARIER
General ManagerMehmet GÖÇME N
Cem MAY
Doğan ÖZKUL
Plant Manager – BÇM
İlkfer AKMAN