United Nations Peacekeeping · Created Date: 9/7/2004 2:45:26 PM
2004 information peacekeeping-1.1-1
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Transcript of 2004 information peacekeeping-1.1-1
Information Peacekeeping:A Nobel Objective
• 112 awards, 103 years (1901>• 20 organizational awards
– UN elements 5 (PKF ’88)
– Red Cross 4
– Doctors w/o Borders ’99
– ICBL (Land Mines) ‘97
– Pugwash Conf. ‘’95
– International Physicians ’85
– Amnesty International ’77
– In’t Labor Org. ’69
– Quakers (2), ’47
– Nansen (NO) Refugees ’38
• 19 years with no award (18%)
• US 22, CH 12, UK 10, IE 5, FR 8, SE 5, BE 4, DE 4, ZA 4, IL 3, CA 2, NL 2, NO 2
• Focus of Effort:– 28 peace organization– 19 conflict resolution– 15 human rights, 14 relief– 9 arbitration, 6 disarmament– 5 refugees, 4 nuclear – 2 pacifism, 2 land mines
• Information Aspect:– 23 direct engagement on ground– 22 negotiation, 18 documentation– 12 personal, 7 educational, – 5 author, 5 publicity, 4 media
Top Ten ChallengesTerrorism is the Least of Our Worries
*State of the World Atlas (1997), ** Marq de Villier (Water), John Heidenrich and Greg Stanton (Genocide), Michael Klare et al (Resources), all others from PIOOM Map 2002
Complex Emergencies32 Countries
Refugees/Displaced66 Countries
Food Security33 Countries
Child Soldiers41 Countries
Modern Plagues*59 Countries & Rising
Corruption Common80 Countries
Censorship Very High62 Countries
Resource Wars, Energy Waste & Pollution**
Water Scarcity &Contaminated Water**
Ethnic Conflict 18 Genocides Today**
Policy OpportunitiesWe Can Leverage US Dollars—But You Have to Help…
Global War of Terrorism• ODSI (Dr. Stephen Cambone) wants universal
coverage down to the neighborhood levelTransition to and from War• DoD Directive 3000.cc (draft) is on target
– C4I needed to NGOs, PMCs, locals, etc.– Foreign open sources of information vital
DoD GIG Good But Needs to Evolve Faster • Can’t collect/connect the dots on the fly• Can’t cycle connected dots back to the field• Global grid runs from too fat to not at all
Seven Information Tribes:The Way Ahead
Military
Law EnforcementBusiness
Academic
National
NGO &Media
Religions& Clans
National TribeGovernment
Secrets
"Intelligence"
"Protected"
Open
• Spies & Secrets are the smallest part of government
• Government information is owned by the people, not the “State”
• National Institute of Health (NIH) now demands all research be published via Open Access
• Accountability at all levels is going to rise dramatically in next 5 years
Military TribeArmed Forces & Gendarme/Guard
Targeting
Signals
Imagery
Order of Battle
Mapping
• Military’s greatest value is in maps & charts as well as digital elevation data
• NGA is in process of taking mapping off the market—you must all file demarches at the national level
• Military can also provide C4I “hub” for PKI WAN/LAN open to all parties.
• Swedish Military Academy can provide common training for all
• Military information “process” is priceless
• Border patrol observation is priceless
Law Enforcement TribeINTERPOL, EUROPOL, Provincial & Local Police
Undercover
Investigation
Privacy
Metrics
• Must improve pay across the board—street cops must be “perfect” and protected from temptation—while also being ruthless with political corruption
• Synthetic information and aggregate data mining do not violate privacy
• Greatest obstacle is amount of hard-copy files and lack of digital tools at the precinct level—need US funding
• Metrics, coordination of effort, do not violate privacy—we must have a common view of the battlefield, and global “hot pursuit”
Business TribeBusiness Information Managers—Not Only BI/CI
Client Information
Pricing Information
Cost Information
External Information
• Client information is reasonably “top secret”
• Pricing information (discounts not made public) also
• Cost information can be shared in aggregate ways
• External information generally ignored—imagine if all general managers shared their insights into local political, economic, cultural, and demographic situation?
Academic TribeResearch, Distance Learning, Student Projects
Secret
Sensitive
Private
Open
• In the US, academics have identified $50B a year in import-export tax fraud/money laundering
• Academic data mining is the fastest cheapest means of discovering anomalies while learning new means of discovery
• We are wasting hundreds of billions around the world in duplicate, badly managed, academic studies that are neither digitized properly, nor shared
• Fixing this alone will double what we can know about our most serious issues
NGO-Media TribeGround Truth Observation & Investigation
Secret
Sensitive
Private
Open
• UN aid workers can be immature and spend too much time partying.
• UN information constitutes the largest garbage pit in the world—but if we can connect it, use it, it becomes an information goldmine
• Red Cross, Green Peace, Amnesty International, Doctors without Borders, ECCP—these are the real-world information leaders
• Media publishes 10% of what it knows—we have to get at the other 90% via shared networks
• “Eyes on target” is the gold standard
Citizen-Labor-Religion TribeNeighborhoods, Collectives, and Faith-Based Networks
Secret
Sensitive
Private
Open
• The ultimate intelligence network is public—”intelligence minutemen”
• Labor unions & other collectives have the power to match governments and corporations with public intelligence
• Faith-based networks—B’Nai Brith, Islam, the Catholic Church, Evangelicals, Pentecostals, all have information power that is not properly processed nor shared
• Where we have gone wrong is in thinking that organizations control information—they do not. Weber is dead—we are free if we wish to be…
Three ArchitecturesOne Global Data Capture Service
3. INFORMATION ARCHITECTURE:• incorporates open sources, on and off line• matches global real time knowledge to individual situations
1. NETWORK ARCHITECTURE:• processing in the bit stream• interoperation
2. SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE:• text-capable• scaled
4. COMMERCIAL COLLECTION:• open source feeds• special collection
Point of Entry Raw Produces Actionable Intelligence
Processed Raw
OPINTEL
Finished Intelligence
Policy Package
Public Perception
HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER
HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER
Dots need to be connecting at every level,Including immediately upon ingestion.
Today, one third of the dots connect here.(Collect 2/3rd, spill half—some say 80%)
Connecting the Dots 24/7, All Levels
Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form
Automated Extraction of Data Elements From
Text and Images
Standardizing and Converting Data Formats
Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data
Automated Foreign Language
Translation
Open Literature Non-Text Data Restricted Information
Detection of Alert Situations
Clustering and Linking of
Related Data
Statistical Analysis to Reveal
Anomalies
Detection of Changing Trends
Interactive Search and Retrieval of
Data
Graphic and Map-Based Visualization
of Data
Modeling and Simulations
Collaborative Work
Notetaking and Organizing Ideas
Structured Argument Analysis
Desktop Publishing and
Word Processing
Production of Graphics, Videos and
Online Briefings
Revision Tracking and Realtime Group
Review
NEW: Intelligent Network Enables Applications At All Points
OLD:
On-the-fly Analytic Tools Applied At All Points
Inter-Agency CollaborationDoD Directive 3000.cc Opens New Doors
JICC
J-2 J-3
J-1MP
J-5CA
J-4Eng
J-6IT
CGR2
INTELLIGENCE CLUSTER
SERVICE CLUSTER
COALITION CLUSTER
LAW ENFORCEMENT
CLUSTER
CIVIL CLUSTER
NGO CLUSTER
80% Unclassified Information
Bridge: ClearVillage: Friendly
Over Hill: E PltDefilade: OnStar
NNE 1509 3921 7502Alt 11,004
Everyone Has Information NeedsMany of those needs are common to more than one party.
We’re concerned about all information needs, not just “intelligence” requirements.
Regional Information Center
O SINTH U MINT
IM INTSIG INT
D ep uty fo r Co lle ctionAu stra lia
D igitizationTran slation
V isua liza tionAn alytic Su p po rt
D e pu ty for Pro ce ssingM a laysia
W a rn ingEstima tiveC ou n tries
Issu es
D e pu ty for An a lysisC hina
C hie f o f Ce nterS ing a po re
Deputy for CounterintelligenceJapan
Deputy for Covert ActionThailand
Ronald Kasrils, Minister for Intelligence
Services Republic of South Africa
To Montevideo To Singapore
Chief:South Africa
Deputy Chief:North Africa
Collection:East Africa
Processing:West Africa
Analysis:Central Africa
Counter-I:TBD
Covert Action:TBD
Suez Team:Egypt
Gibralter Team:Spain
[Positions rotate every 3 years]
Overlay & Virtually
Integrate:
African Early
Warning &
Open Source
Information Network
African Regional
Intelligence Center
Joint Analysis
Center Molesworth
Information PeacekeepingThrough Collective Intelligence