2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA,...

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200 3 Rex L. Powell Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD [email protected] Interbull as a Tool Interbull as a Tool for Genetic for Genetic Improvement Improvement

Transcript of 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA,...

Page 1: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

2003

Rex L. PowellRex L. PowellAnimal Improvement Programs LaboratoryAgricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, [email protected]

Interbull as a Tool for Interbull as a Tool for Genetic ImprovementGenetic Improvement

Page 2: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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INTERBULLINTERBULL

International Bull Evaluation Service

Centre in Uppsala, Sweden

Responsibilities and activities Steering committee sets policy General operations by staff Global service provider

Page 3: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Interbull Evaluation ProcessInterbull Evaluation Process

National evaluations sent to Centre

MACE combines pedigree and national evaluation data

Estimated genetic correlations applied

Evaluations returned to countries on their own scale

Officiality responsibility of countries

Page 4: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Interbull Service Participants Interbull Service Participants Brown SwissBrown Swiss

Country

Trait Participation

Percentage of bullsYield Type SCS

Germany/Austria 51Switzerland 24Italy 12USA 8Slovenia 3Canada 1France 1The Netherlands <1New Zealand <1

Page 5: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Numbers of Countries per BullNumbers of Countries per Bull

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100P

erce

nta

tge

of

Bu

lls

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Number of Countries

5401

237 80 32 13 15 3 5

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Genetic Correlations with USAGenetic Correlations with USA

Country Protein StatureFrance .95 .97Canada .94 .94Italy .91 .96The Netherlands .90 .98Germany/Austria .89Switzerland .89 .88Slovenia .87New Zealand .77

Page 7: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Example Bull “Kiwi”Example Bull “Kiwi”

Country

Daughters

Genetic CorrelationNumber Percentage

New Zealand 144 75% 0.77

USA 49 25% 1.00Interbull Breeding Value in the US

=26% New Zealand daughters57% USA daughters17% Pedigree

Source: Dr. Kent Weigel, University of Wisconsin

Page 8: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Example Bull “Bratwurst”Example Bull “Bratwurst”

Interbull Breeding Value in the US

=45% German daughters40% USA daughters15% Pedigree

Source: Dr. Kent Weigel, University of Wisconsin

Country

Daughters

Genetic CorrelationNumber Percentage

Germany 94 72% 0.89

USA 37 28% 1.00

Page 9: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Example Bull “Meatball”Example Bull “Meatball”

Country

Daughters

Genetic CorrelationNumber Percentage

Italy 78 37% 0.91

New Zealand 79 38% 0.77

USA 51 25% 1.00Interbull Breeding Value in the US

=

34% Italian daughters12% New Zealand daughters42% USA daughters12% Pedigree

Source: Dr. Kent Weigel, University of Wisconsin

Page 10: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Top 50 Bulls for Yield (USA)Top 50 Bulls for Yield (USA)Based on Interbull EvaluationsBased on Interbull Evaluations

Country Milk Protein Fat

Germany/Austria 8 19 21USA 19 16 17Italy 14 11 7Switzerland 9 3 5France 0 1 0Canada 0 0 0The Netherlands 0 0 0New Zealand 0 0 0Slovenia 0 0 0

Top-50 Bulls with US Sires

44 28 37

Source: Interbull, May 2003

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Study ObjectiveStudy Objective

Do foreign data (Interbull

evaluations) aid in

prediction of future

national evaluations?

Page 12: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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Sources of Added DataSources of Added Data

NATIONALNATIONAL

NowEarlier

NATIONALNATIONAL

Data Best Predictor?

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AssumptionsAssumptions

Current national evaluation is what we want to predict

Part-whole correlations between national evaluations and between national and Interbull evaluations

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Data SourcesData Sources

Interbull PTA that included foreign daughters from February 1999

Concurrent US-only (national) PTA

May 2003 national PTA REL 90% Addition of 50 daughters between

national evaluations

All expressed on US scale, and current US base

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Data IncludedData Included

Number of bulls: 24

% US daughters in Interbull evaluationAverage: 28%Median: 22%Range: 1 – 97%

Average RELFeb 1999 Interbull: 94%Feb 1999 national: 89%May 2003 national: 97%

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Correlations with February 2003 Correlations with February 2003 National PTANational PTA

February 1999 PTA

Trait Interbull National

Milk .97 .86

Fat .91 .74

Protein .94 .74

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Differences From February 2003 Differences From February 2003 National PTANational PTA

February 1999 PTA

Interbull National

Average Absolute DifferencesMilk (lb) 102.8 139.5Fat (lb) 6.3 7.7Protein (lb) 3.5 4.9

February 1999 PTA

Interbull National

Average Absolute DifferencesMilk (lb) 102.8 139.5Fat (lb) 6.3 7.7Protein (lb) 3.5 4.9

SD of DifferencesMilk (lb) 114.9 232.6Fat (lb) 7.8 12.5Protein (lb) 2.7 7.9

Page 18: 2003 Rex L. Powell Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell@aipl.arsusda.gov Interbull as a Tool.

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How to Use Interbull EvaluationsHow to Use Interbull Evaluations

All data on the same scale

Use reliability properly (how much to use a bull, not whether to use a bull)

Use appropriate indexes when possible

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ConclusionsConclusions

Interbull provides a useful tool

Increases the bull pool

Improves accuracy

Beware of truncation selection

Array of evaluated traits is expanding

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WebsitesWebsites

www.interbull.org Publications & bulletins Evaluation summaries

www.aipl.arsusda.gov Documents (including presentations) Downloadable files – top bull lists Public access to all evaluations on

the US scale, national and Interbull