2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

41
2° Investing Initiative

Transcript of 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Page 1: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

2° Investing Initiative

Page 2: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Agenda

Page 3: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

1: Intro to 2° Investing Initiative

& PACTA for Banks

Page 4: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Our mission

Page 5: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor
Page 6: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

What we do

Page 7: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Introduction to PACTA for Banks

The PACTA for Banks pilot group

2DII’s other partners in the academic and NGO sectors

Page 8: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Introduction to PACTA for Banks

Climate Change Scenarios Physical Assets in the Real Economy

Corporate lending portfolios

Page 9: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA Metrics

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Portfoliocurrent

exposure(2020)

Market(2020)

Portfolioprojection

(2025)

SDS-alignedPortfolio(2025)

SDS-alignedmarket(2025)

Coal Oil Gas Hydro Nuclear Renewables

0

1

2

3

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Pro

duction p

roxy

Below CPS

Between CPSand SPS

Between SPSand SDS

Between SDSand B2DS

B2DS andbeyond

Portfolio 1

Company A

Market

Page 10: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Toolkit

Page 11: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Evidence for Impact

Page 12: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENTAN APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY

BY KATOWICE BANKSSEPTEMBER 2020

Page 13: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

1. INTRODUCTION

1.1. Who are we

1.2. Our journey with the PACTA methodology

1.3. Publication of the Katowice application of PACTA

1.4. Why did Katowice Banks decide to use PACTA?

1.5. Why did Katowice Banks decide to write the KB paper?

13

Page 14: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 14 Classification : Internal

WHO WE ARE1.1.

The Katowice Banks (KB) is a coalition of 5 global banks comprisingBBVA, BNP Paribas, ING, Societe Generale and Standard Chartered.

On the occasion of COP24, in December 2018, we committed to:

• (1) contribute to the development of an open source methodologyand tools for measuring alignment;

• (2) and to steer credit portfolios to be in line with the ParisAgreement.

To meet this objective we joined forces with the 2°C Investing Initiative(2DII), an international, non-profit think tank working to align financialmarkets and regulations with the Paris Agreement goals.

Page 15: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 15 Classification : Internal

OUR JOURNEY WITH THE PACTA METHODOLOGY1.2.

2018

2DII develops PACTA

A first methodology isdeveloped on the basis ofPACTA for investors

2018 – 2019

2DII pilots PACTA with a set of banks

• 17 banks join the pilot and test the PACTAmethodology independently

• BBVA, BNP Paribas, ING, Societe Generaleand Standard Chartered are part of thepilot

Dec. 2018

Katowice commitment

The 5 banks pledge to contributeto the development of an opensource methodology and tools formeasuring alignment

2019 – 2020

Katowice Banks & 2DII workshops

• KB & 2DII organise workshops toimprove PACTA and find ways toharmonise its application

• Banks proposals are ultimatelyreviewed by 2DII who acts as the“scientific guarantor”

Page 16: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 16 Classification : Internal

PUBLICATION OF PACTA1.3.

September 2020 Publication of PACTA by 2DII and its application by KB

• 2DII publish the “PACTA methodology” with an online tool.https://www.transitionmonitor.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PACTA-for-Banks-Methodology-Document.pdf

• Katowice Banks to publish their “Application of the PACTA methodology”.

• The aim is to help peers apply the methodology and publish comparable results.https://2degrees-investing.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Katowice-Banks-2020-Credit-Portfolio-Alignment.pdf

Page 17: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 17 Classification : Internal

WHY DID KATOWICE BANKS DECIDE TO USE PACTA?1.4.

Katowice Banks looked for methodologies that helps:

• Set the right incentives for taking portfolio-reallocation decisions

− Climate scenarios show there is not one but a set of transitions that vary across sectors, regions and timeframes.

− PACTA’s sector-based approach is most suited for portfolio reallocation because it helps identify indicators that are enablers of the transition.

• Can easily be measured, monitored and steered, and are not volatile or dependent upon changes except for changes in the client’s alignment or the bank’s portfolio decisions.

− PACTA offers ways to monitor alignment based solely on counterparties climate materiality and banks’ portfolio decision.

Page 18: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 18 Classification : Internal

WHY DID KATOWICE BANKS DECIDE TO WRITE THE KB PAPER1.5.

• As far as possible, we have sought to align our application of PACTA to make resultscomparable across banks for the benefit of our stakeholders.

• Sometimes, we have suggested improvements to the PACTA methodology to ensure thatthe indicators developed are enablers of the transition

• The aim of this document is also to help banks get started by making use of the countlesshours we have spent applying and refining this methodology with internal sector experts,clients and stakeholders.

• We shared our operational feedback to help other banks with the methodologyimplementation

This document provides an overview of the application of the PACTAmethodology and the options viewed as most useful by the KatowiceBanks

Page 19: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

2. PACTA USE CASES

2.1. Scenario selection and target setting

2.2. Monitoring and Reporting

2.3. Steering and engagement with clients

19

Page 20: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 20 Classification : Internal

SCENARIO SELECTION AND TARGET SETTING2.1.

PACTA is Scenario agnostic: the PACTA methodology can accept different climate scenarios (benchmarks), assuming they are scientifically defined and Paris-aligned and that the desired indicators are provided

The PACTA methodology proposes two approaches to define the trajectory the portfolio should follow to meet the end target:

The ‘convergence approach’ (SDA approach is a type of application of the convergence approach), which specifies that the portfolio indicator needs to adjust at the same level as the scenario benchmark, independent of the indicator level at baseline => Katowice banks preferred option as it is easier to communicate and is connected directly with the level of the benchmark

The ‘rate of change approach’ (trajectory Approach), where the level of the indicator is not compared with the benchmark, but rather the portfolio indicator needs to adjust at the same rate of change as the scenario benchmark.

Katowice bankspreferredapproach

Page 21: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 21 Classification : Internal

MONITORING AND REPORTING2.2.

Forward-looking approachAs much as possible, forward-looking datarelated to clients and assets financed will beintegrated to the alignment analysis.

MonitoringYear on year the degree of alignment could bemonitored to ensure that the portfolio is ontrack with its target trajectory

ReportingBanks can report their ‘degree of alignment’ and‘track the trajectory of their alignment’, byspecifying whether their degree ofmisalignment is ‘on track’ or ‘off track’ with thepathway

Acc

ou

nti

ng

un

it

T0 T-targetT1 T2 T3

Starting point

Misaligned and not on-track

Misaligned but on-track

Aligned

Portfolio indicator

Portfolio target Portfolio trajectory

Scenario benchmark

Page 22: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 22 Classification : Internal

STEERING AND ENGAGEMENT WITH CLIENTS2.3.

Principle of engagement over divestment

Portfolio alignment, or steering, can be achieved either byaccompanying existing clients to align their activities, orthrough shifting our client base.

As a principle, KB believe it is more productive from a climateand business standpoint to work with existing clients andaccompany them towards lower carbon practices.

Therefore, an approach of engagement over divestment isfavoured, as previously mentioned, although divestment isnot ruled out in some circumstances.

Distribution of companies by scenario band

Page 23: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

3. MAIN LESSONS AND NEXT STEPS

23

Page 24: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 24 Classification : Internal

MAIN LESSONS FROM PORTFOLIO PACTA ANALYSIS3.1

• It is possible to build and to co-create together with 4 other banks and to share it

• Financial flows must be consistent with a low-carbon strategy to keep global warming at a levelwell below 2°C and ideally 1.5°C.

• This calls for engagement with customers to• re-orient their investment plans towards low-carbon technologies and activities,• to divert the investment flows from activities not compatible with this objective and/or• to bolster the financing of green activities.

Page 25: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 25 Classification : Internal

NEXT STEPS3.2.

• Data quality and availability: Availability of climate data to measure alignment is the main limit tothe development of methodologies.• As of today, companies that report information related to their emissions are listed companies

or sectors subject to specific regulations (e.g. automotive).• Lack of standardized reporting framework for carbon intensity• Revenue segmentation: Should be considered as a proxy of the distribution of activities.

• Current available climate scenarios mainly focus on physical variables (energy demand, energyproduction, vehicles quantity …). Indeed, financial variables scenarios (energy capex …) that mayseem to be the most intuitive benchmarks to the portfolio mixes indicators [since they are expressedin the same unit (% euro invested)] are poorly documented

• The study has been focused on the most climate relevant sectors. It will subsequently be expandedto other major GHG emitting sectors.

Further research is needed

Page 26: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

ANNEX

26

Page 27: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

KATOWICE BANK – APPLICATION OF THE PACTA METHODOLOGY FOR CREDIT PORTFOLIO ALIGNMENT │ SEPTEMBER 2020 │ FOR PUBLIC USE │ 27 Classification : Internal

SUMMARY OF CHOICES MADE BY KATOWICE BANKS

Page 28: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Q&A

Page 29: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

2: Deep-dive into the PACTA

for Banks Methodology

Page 30: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Introduction to PACTA for Banks

Climate Change Scenarios Physical Assets in the Real Economy

Corporate lending Portfolios

Page 31: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Methodology

Sectors Scope

Page 32: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Methodology

Method of allocating physical economic assets to financial instruments

Physical Assets in the Real

Economy

Corporate lending Portfolios

Page 33: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Methodology

Method of allocating physical economic assets to financial instruments

Physical Assets in the Real

Economy

Corporate lending Portfolios

Page 34: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Methodology

For distributing macro carbon budgets to micro-economic actors

Climate Change Scenarios

Corporate lending Portfolios

Page 35: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

PACTA for Banks Methodology

Sectors Approach

0

1

2

3

Pro

duction p

roxy

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Page 36: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Technology / Fuel Mix

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Portfolio currentexposure (2020)

Market (2020) Portfolio projection(2025)

SDS-aligned Portfolio(2025)

SDS-aligned market(2025)

Coal Oil Gas Hydro Nuclear Renewables

Page 37: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Production Volume Trajectory

0

1

2

3

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Pro

duction p

roxy

Below CPS

Between CPS andSPSBetween SPS andSDSBetween SDS andB2DSB2DS and beyond

Portfolio 1

Company A

Page 38: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Emission Intensity Metric

Page 39: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Q&A

Page 40: 2° Investing Initiative - Transition Monitor

Getting started – next steps