The European venture capital landscape Bruno Robino European Investment Fund Athens, 28 June 2006.
1Q 2016 European Venture Industry Report
Transcript of 1Q 2016 European Venture Industry Report
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1Q 2016
VC invested declines intandem with activity
PAGE 5 ››
Spotlight: Nordics
PAGE 7 ››
Healthy fundraising totals
PAGE 10 ››
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
20092008
2016
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Introduction 4
Overview 5
Rounds by Region & Sector 6
Spotlight: Nordics 7-8
Exits 9
Fundraising 10
1Q 2016 League Tables 11
Contents
Feature photograph in Nordics sectioncourtesy of Erik A. Drabløs, WikimediaCommons.
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PITCHBOOK 1Q 2016 EUROPEAN VENTURE INDUSTRY REPORT
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European venture
activity slows furtherIntroduction
European venture investment continued to decline in the rst quarter of
2016, not only due to intensifying macro and political concerns but also the
slowing of the VC cycle worldwide. To some degree, European startups were
insulated from the extremes of the cycle that is ongoing in the U.S., in terms
of massively inated late-stage activity, but they weren't wholly unaffected.
Although gures for VC investment in Europe-based companies may inch up
a bit further even for 1Q, it's clear that any potential hangover among VCs,
on top of the array of other risk-inducing factors, will lead to a subdued year
for VC activity across the continent. Further legislative efforts on a regional
basis, as well as the still-apparent promise of the Capital Markets Union
becoming reality, may shake up the current barrier-abounding environment
to some extent. The boom of VC invested from 2014 through 2015 may also
encourage future entrepreneurial activity as employees leave to found their
own ventures. It's also undeniable that quite a few venture rms are still seeing
success on the fundraising trail, leading to substantial sums of capital awaiting
deployment. Thus, when all is said and done, there are enough positive factors
for European venture activity that this year may not see a dramatic decline in
investment. Numbers will be subdued, relative to the last handful of years, as
larger economic concerns remain to be resolved and the venture investment
shakeout continues, but it isn't so much a time for alarm as for shrewd caution.
GARRETT JAMES BL ACK
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Activity by both count and value slidesOverview
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
Slowest quarter in nearly four years
European VC activity
In some ways, top-level European
venture trends mirror those in
the U.S. currently. Especially when
foreign investors are taken into
€ 3 .
0
€ 6 . 4
€ 4 . 5
€ 3 . 9
€ 5 . 8
€ 5 . 9
€ 7 . 1
€ 7 . 5
€ 9 . 6
€ 1 3 . 4
€ 2 .
4
855
1,214 1,365
1,407
1,888
2,289
2,778
3,3963,756
3,005
523
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Deal value (€B)
# of deals closed
Investors are still willing to inject signicant sums in
late-stage rounds
European VC invested (¤B) by round size
Late-stage activity remains most resilient, relatively
speaking, while earlier deals plummet
European VC rounds (#) by stage
237
197
890
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Angel/Seed
Early VC
Late VC
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
€0.0
€2.0
€4.0
€6.0
€8.0
€10.0
€12.0
€14.0
€16.0
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
€25M+ €10M-€25M €5M-€10M
€1M-€5M €500K-€1M Under €500K
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
account, there remains plenty of
institutional capital looking for
opportunities throughout the
Eurozone, which is one reason why a
fair number of late-stage rounds still
closed in 1Q 2016. But it's clear that
as activity overall slides—particularly
at the early stage—VCs are pulling
back in the face of increased risk
and consequently fewer worthwhile
opportunities. As opposed to last
year, this slide is now matched by a
slowdown in euros invested, signaling
increased perception of risk. On
a quarterly basis, the number of
completed venture rounds in Europe
declined by nearly 23%, while total
value returned to numbers more
akin to those seen in 2014. Faced
with greater macro uncertainties
in addition to familiar challenges
such as fragmented markets and
regionalized access to capital, there
are more obstacles for both founders
and VCs than in the U.S. At the same
time, the European startup scene
did not overheat nearly as much, so
any coming correction owing to that
won't be as signicant a detriment.
All in all, 2016 is shaping up to
resemble 2012 in terms of activity.
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The U.K. & Ireland saw a steep
plunge in venture nancing activity
from 4Q 2015 to 1Q; in fact, the region
saw the smallest tally of completed
deals for a single quarter since 2Q
Healthcare is on pace to record a similar sum as seen
in 2015, although software garnered the most
European VC rounds (¤) by sector
Most sectors slumped, yet healthcare and pharma &
biotech proved slightly more stable
European VC rounds (#) by sector
As activity plunges, France/Benelux & GSA prove resilient
Rounds by region & sector
Source: PitchBook
The U.K. & Ireland have been hit hard, although other, more troubled regions saw relatively greater decreases
European VC activity by region
2011. An uptick in caution among
VC rms could be one contributing
factor, but it's also highly probable
that the Brexit wild card is spooking
investors. Access to customers could
be curtailed for at least some time,
while regulatory burdens would
remain unclear and difcult to
navigate. We've seen a handful of VC
surveys indicate talent retention and
recruiting, should the U.K. exit the
EU, could become more difcult, as
visa processes get reworked. Last but
not least, the implications for taxes,
particularly on investment capital,
remain unknown. Hence the decline
in U.K. & Ireland startup nancings,
although it's worth noting that on the
mainland, venture investors are still
plying companies in France/Benelux
and GSA at fairly healthy rates,
comparable at least to 2012 levels.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.K./Ireland
Southern Europe
Nordic Region
GSA
France/Benelux
Central & Eastern
Europe
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
Commercial
ServicesConsumer Goods &
Recreaton
Energy
Healthcare
Svcs/Suppl./Syst.
IT Hardware
Media
Other
Pharma & Biotech
Sofware
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
Commercial
ServicesConsumer Goods &
Recreaton
Energy
Healthcare
Svcs/Suppl./Syst.
IT Hardware
Media
Other
Pharma & Biotech
Sofware
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
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After such heights, isn't a slowdown to be expected?
Nordic VC rounds
Spotlight: NordicsOverview of VC activity in the Nordics
Even removing Spotify's massive
late-stage financing from last
year's tally leaves the Nordic region
at more than ¤1 billion invested in
venture rounds. Consequently, the
¤230 million invested in the first
quarter of 2016 isn't as much of a
slowdown in money deployed as
it may appear, but rather slightly
over historical quarterly averages.
Activity is off pace, of course, as is
the case across the venture industry
worldwide. The fact the Nordic
region simply saw less overheating
is why the rate of investment hasn't
slowed quite as dramatically as
elsewhere, although investor wariness
is clear. That is also attributable
to sustained local activity. As the
portion of overall activity with U.S.-
based investor participation slid
over the past few years, even though
venture investment totals steadily
climbed, regional investors ramped
up correspondingly. Unaffected to
the extent that U.S. VC firms have
been by overly optimistic valuations,
Nordic or even Northern and Western
European VCs in general have
found more cause to maintain their
investing pace, if even at a slightly
subdued level relative to the past
three years. There was some minor
swelling of investment sizes, as the
increase in larger rounds indicates
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€ 0 .
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€ 0 .
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€ 0 .
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€ 0 .
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9
€ 1 .
5
€ 0 .
2
132
183 176 186
265
293318
377 369 378
76
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Deal value (€B)
# of deals closed
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
Fewer nancings with U.S. participation speak to growing local strength
Nordic VC rounds with U.S.-based investor participation
66.1%65.8%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
20 06 2 007 20 08 2 009 20 10 2 011 20 12 2 013 20 14 20 15 2 016 *
% of deals with U.S.-based investor parcipaon
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
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Amid a slowdown, pharma & biotech startups have
been able to grab most of the capital invested so far
Nordic VC deals (¤B) by sector
Activity remains primarily concentrated in software
and healthcare-related niches
Nordic VC deals (#) by sector
A few large rounds have bolstered capital invested
considerably
Nordic deals (¤B) by size
Over 60% of all rounds in 1Q were ¤1M or more in size,
a percentage likely to slide as the year goes on
Nordic VC deals (#) by size
below. Given how interest in certain
sectors—such as fintech—that have
strong footholds in the Nordics has
skyrocketed as of late, some degree
of round inflation was bound to
occur, particularly on a sector-by-
sector basis. The concentration of
capital invested in software is to
be expected, accordingly, although
the success of biotechs in 2016
to date should be noted. Nordic
fintech in particular has only grown
more alluring to investors, given the
potential inherent in the Eurozone's
fragmented payments market as well
as strong institutional support, as
evidenced by Nordea Bank launching
an accelerator program for fintech
startups last year. Such promising
factors are why 1Q 2016 still saw a fair
proportion of rounds at or exceeding
¤5 million in size. Investors,
particularly of the domestic variety,
still are willing to offer substantial
sums. Going forward, activity should
proceed at a dampened level, similar
to what we observed before the
boom period of 2013-2015. Increased
apprehension is here to stay, but
positive factors such as the krone's
weakness and relatively strong
Swedish growth will help assuage
fears of broader economic troubles
affecting local companies.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
€25M+
€10M-
€25M
€5M-€10M
€1M-€5M
€500K-€1M
Under
€500K
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
€25M+
€10M-
€25M
€5M-€10M
€1M-€5M
€500K-€1M
Under
€500K
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
Commercial
Services
Consumer Goods &
Recreaton
Energy
Healthcare
Svcs/Suppl./Syst.
IT Hardware
Media
Other
Pharma & Biotech
Sofware
Source: PitchBook*As of 3/31/2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%90%
100%
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
2 0 1 3
2 0 1 4
2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6 *
Commercial
Services
Consumer Goods &
Recreaton
Energy
Healthcare
Svcs/Suppl./Syst.
IT Hardware
Media
Other
Pharma & Biotech
Sofware
Source: PitchBook*As of 3/31/2016
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A temporary slowdown?European VC-backed exits
Although conditions that have
encouraged M&A over the past few
years remain in place, volatility and
uncertainty around growth forecasts
have contributed to a slowdown in
the buying of VC-backed startups
in Europe. Corporate buyers look
to venture portfolios for innovative
technology and talent, not somuch potential synergies that an
established business would provide.
But in the current environment,
strategic acquirers are dialing back
activity as they assess opportunities
more carefully. Some of the more
attractive opportunities in terms of
innovation have seen their valuations
climb, and, given how much they
may be spending, might be just
costly enough that potential buyers
are taking their time to thoroughlyvet prospects. As for IPOs, general
uncertainty still plagues public
markets, discouraging those looking
to debut, although not nearly to the
extent seen in the U.S.
1Q was considerably off-pace, more in line with early 2013 totals
European VC-backed exits
Currently, the slowdown is more attributable
to increased caution, as potential buyers
assess prospects more rigorously.
€ 5 .
3
€ 7 .
8
€ 2 .
8
€ 1 .
9
€ 3 .
4
€ 5 .
5
€ 3 . 3
€ 9 .
5
€ 1 0 .
9
€ 1 2 .
4
€ 1 . 2
207241
195
155
252279
323
361
480439
71
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Exit value €B # of exits closed
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Acquisiton IPO Buyout
Interestingly, 1Q saw M&A only just barely outpace
buyouts in terms of exit value
European VC-backed exits by type
Only a handful of VC-backed IPOs occurred in 1Q, part
and parcel of overall VC trends
European VC-backed exits (#) by type
€0
€2
€4
€6
€8
€10
€12
€14
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Acquisiton (€B) IPO (€B) Buyout (€B)
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
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Trending larger, but smaller opportunities remainFundraising
2016 started off strong for VC
fundraisers, with ¤3 billion collected
across 17 vehicles. As the breakdown
by size reveals, a bevy of large funds
Thus far, 2016 is exhibiting strong fundraising numbers
European VC fundraising by year
€ 5 .
5
€ 5 .
7
€ 8 .
5
€ 3 .
1
€ 6 .
3
€ 5 .
2
€ 4 .
9
€ 4 . 6
€ 5 .
5
€ 7 .
9
€ 3 .
0
113
105
146
111
121130
110
98
81
55
17
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Capital raised (€B) # of funds closed
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
Even if the numbers decline as the year wends on, the
elevated median indicates bigger rms remain active
Median & average European VC fund size (¤M)
The hefty total of capital raised is primarily due to a
handful of large pools closing
European VC funds (#) by size
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2 0
0 6
2 0
0 7
2 0
0 8
2 0
0 9
2 0
1 0
2 0
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2 0
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6 *
€1B+
€500M-€1B
€250M-
€500M
€100M-
€250M
€50M-
€100M
Under €50M
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
€85
€97
€157
€175
€0
€20
€40
€60
€80
€100
€120
€140
€160
€180
€200
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Median Average
Source: PitchBook
*As of 3/31/2016
were responsible for the surge in
capital raised, ranging from Index
Ventures' two vehicles to Creandum
IV. As we've previously stated, this
further testies to limited partners
exhibiting increased selectivity and
bias toward entrusting larger rms
with their money, particularly given
their advantages in investing across
fragmented markets. Accordingly, it's
important to note that even as the
majority of commitments in terms of
euros has been owing to bigger and
bigger funds, in last quarter alone
nine funds of ¤100 million or less
were closed. There is considerable
enthusiasm around seed funding
opportunities in pockets around
Europe, particularly as waves of
talent that have beneted from
the recent venture boom go on to
start their own companies. Granted,
past years have still seen a primary
trend toward larger funds, which
possess considerable advantages in a
fragmented market such as Europe's,
but that doesn't preclude seed
funds from being able to nd viable
opportunities.
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League tables1Q 2016
High-Tech Gründerfonds 8
Finnvera Venture Capital 4
Kima Ventures 4
Seedcamp 4
Parkwalk Advisors 3
Speedinvest 3
Funding London 3
IBB Beteiligungsgesellschaft 3
Heilemann Ventures 2
Innovationsstarter Hamburg 2
Lifeline Ventures 2
Evonik Venture Capital 2
Catapult Ventures Group 2
Balderton Capital 2
Almi Invest 2
Cambridge Angels 2
Techstars 2
Sunstone Capital 2
Voltage Ventures 2
Patrick Joy 2
Seventure Partners 2
Point Nine Capital 2
Index Ventures 2
Oxford Sciences Innovation 2
IQ Capital Partners 2
Most active seed-stage investors by
round count
Kima Ventures 11
Finnvera Venture Capital 5
High-Tech Gründerfonds 5
Holtzbrinck Ventures 5
Imperial Innovations Group 5
Index Ventures 5
Partech Ventures 5
IDInvest Partners 4
Caixa Capital Risc 4
Atomico 4
e.ventures 3
Midven 3
JamJar Investments 3
IBB Beteiligungsgesellschaft 3
Funding London 3
b-to-v Partners 3
Participatiemaatschappij
Vlaanderen3
Notion Capital 3
Octopus Investments 3
Ventech 3
Sonnova Partners 3
Finnvera Venture Capital 3
German Startups Group 3
IDInvest Partners 3
Salesforce Ventures 3
Inventure 2
MMC Ventures 2
Notion Capital 2
Finnish Business Angels Network 2
Eden Ventures 2
IQ Capital Partners 2
Orange Digital Ventures 2
Accel Partners 2
Archangels Informal Investment 2
Balderton Capital 2
Bayern Kapital 2
Orrick Herrington & Sutcliffe 10
Cooley 4
DLA Piper 3
Olswang 2
Weil, Gotshal & Manges 2
Jones Day 2
Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati 2
Walker Morris 2
Hill Dickinson 2
Goodwin Procter 2
Gunderson Dettmer 2
Cuatrecasas, Gonçalves Pereira 2
Most active early-stage investors by
round count
Most active late-stage investors by
round count
Most active law rms by round count
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
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