1.Mining Industry Performance during 2011 & Role of Mining in the Namibian economy- Robin...

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  • 7/31/2019 1.Mining Industry Performance during 2011 & Role of Mining in the Namibian economy- Robin Sherbourne.pdf

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    Key Events Since Mining Expo 2011

    Ohorongo Angola import ban and application for IIP MoF tax proposals in July

    OPM policy announcement on New Equitable Economic Empowerment

    Framework (NEEEF) in October

    Environmental regulations under Environmental Management Act 2007

    passed and Environmental Commissioner appointed Epangelo deals with NRE, Bannerman and Extract

    Joint GRN-CMN Tax and Value Addition Committees

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    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Mining Value Added in Current Prices (N$m)

    Other mining

    Diamond mining

    Source: National accounts, Central Bureau of Statistics

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    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%

    20%

    1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Mining Value Added as Percentage of GDP

    Other mining

    Diamond mining

    Source: National accounts, Central Bureau of Statistics

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    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Mining Fixed Investment as Percentage of GDP (includes exploration expenditure)

    Source: National accounts, Central Bureau of Statistics

    3.1%

    5.1%

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    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Fixed Investment (N$m)

    Government Mining Source: CBS

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    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    18,000

    20,000

    '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10

    Mining Exports (N$m)

    SHG zinc

    Other minerals

    Blister copper

    Metal ores (including uranium)

    Rough diamonds

    Source: National accounts, Central Bureau of Statistics

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    - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000

    AREVA

    DBMN

    NamdebLanger Heinrich

    Navachab

    NCS

    Ohorongo

    Okorusu

    Rosh Pinah

    Rossing Uranium

    Salt & ChemicalsSalt Company

    Samicor

    Skorpion

    Weatherly Mining

    Auryx Gold

    Bannerman

    Craton

    Gecko

    Otjozondu

    Reptile Uranium

    Rio Tinto

    Swakop Uranium

    Valencia

    NIMT

    Employment in Mining Sector at end 2011

    Total employment more than 14,000

    ( as big as fishing and SOEs)

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    Key Numbers for Mining Sector in 2011

    Turnover > N$15.8bn

    Profits > N$1.7bn

    Wages and salaries > N$2.5bn

    Fixed investment > N$1.3bn

    Exploration spending by operating mines > N$404m

    Exploration spending by exploration companies > N$348m (AuryxN$91m, Bannerman N$60m, Reptile N$78m, Extract N$49m)

    Profits tax paid > N$884m

    Mineral royalties paid > N$867m

    7,034 permanent employees, 590 temporary employees, and 6,190contractors

    Rssing Uranium made loss of N$471m in 2011 (royalty 6%)

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    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Uranium Production (tonnes)

    Langer Heinrich

    Rossing

    Source: Rio Tinto, Paladin Energy

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    19,451

    9,145

    5,983

    4,351

    3,258

    2,993

    2,500

    1,537

    0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

    Kazakhstan

    Canada

    Australia

    Niger

    Namibia

    Russia

    Uzbekistan

    United States

    Uranium Producing Countries* (tonnes of contained U mined in 2011)

    Source: World Nuclear Association *only includes countries producing more than 1,000t

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    Conclusions

    Mining sector emerged well from crisis with most

    main projects intact (uranium delicately poised) Easily most dynamic sector of economy investing

    more than any other sector

    Attracting full spectrum of international investors

    Junior miners and stock exchanges playing criticalrole

    Investors highly sensitive to Namibian policypronouncements

    Mining to face new taxes, environmentalregulations, NEEEF, NT Levy, power and watercosts

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    Robin Sherbourne

    Namibian Economics

    [email protected]

    PO Box 86058

    Windhoek

    Namibia

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]