1996 to 2006 Ten Years of TANF in Florida
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1996 to 2006 1996 to 2006 Ten Years of TANF in Florida Ten Years of TANF in Florida National Association for National Association for Welfare Research and Welfare Research and Statistics Statistics August 21, 2006 August 21, 2006 Don Winstead, Deputy Secretary Don Winstead, Deputy Secretary Bill Hudgens, Database Bill Hudgens, Database Administrator Administrator Florida Department of Children and Families Florida Department of Children and Families
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1996 to 2006 Ten Years of TANF in Florida. National Association for Welfare Research and Statistics August 21, 2006 Don Winstead, Deputy Secretary Bill Hudgens, Database Administrator Florida Department of Children and Families. Monthly TANF Caseload Report July 2006. Special thanks - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of 1996 to 2006 Ten Years of TANF in Florida
1996 to 2006 1996 to 2006 Ten Years of TANF in FloridaTen Years of TANF in Florida
National Association for Welfare National Association for Welfare Research and StatisticsResearch and Statistics
August 21, 2006August 21, 2006
Don Winstead, Deputy SecretaryDon Winstead, Deputy SecretaryBill Hudgens, Database AdministratorBill Hudgens, Database Administrator
Florida Department of Children and FamiliesFlorida Department of Children and Families
2
IndicatorBaseline Month
(Sept 96)
Report Month (June 06)
Report Month (July 06)
Difference From Baseline
Percentage Change
Comments
Total Number of Cash Assistance Families Containing an Adult
152,436 12,174 12,178 (140,258) -92%This indicator shows the number of families containing an adult. This number closely corresponds to the number of families subject to time limits
Total Number of Families Receiving Cash Assistance
200,292 50,831 50,590 (149,702) -75%The total number of families receiving cash assistance in Florida.
Total Number of Two Parent Families Receiving Assistance
2,353 1,198 1,203 (1,150) -49%The total number of two parent families. (Formerly AFDC-UP). Some of thesse families are included in the total above.
Total Number of People Receiving Cash Assistance
531,485 83,568 83,231 (448,254) -84%The total people in the families who receive cash assistance. This figure includes both children and adults.
Total Number of Adults Receiving Cash Assistance
155,071 12,976 12,993 (142,078) -92% The number of adults receiving cash assistance.
First of Month Cash Assistance Payroll
$48,731,324 $11,815,578 $11,779,580 ($36,951,744) -76%This is the value of cash assistance authorized for the first of the month.
Supplemental Payrolls (estimated)
$4,616,290 $1,965,819 $2,112,000 ($2,504,290) -54%This is the estimated value of supplemental payrolls that occur throughout the month. Based on most recent estimating conference.
(Actual) (Estimated)
Total cash assistance expenditures.
$53,347,614 $13,781,397 $13,891,580 ($39,456,034) -74% This is the sum of the regular and supplemental payrolls.
Monthly TANF Caseload ReportMonthly TANF Caseload ReportJuly 2006July 2006
3
DCF ESS Datamart
FETPIPFlorida Education and
Training Placement Information Program
Special thanksto Jay Pfeiffer
and Jeff Sellersfrom FETPIP
4
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
Sep-96
Jan-97
May-97
Sep-97
Jan-98
May-98
Sep-98
Jan-99
May-99
Sep-99
Jan-00
May-00
Sep-00
Jan-01
May-01
Sep-01
Jan-02
May-02
Sep-02
Jan-03
May-03
Sep-03
Jan-04
May-04
Sep-04
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-05
Jan-06
May-06
Florida Caseload ChangeFlorida Caseload ChangeSept. 1996 to June 2006Sept. 1996 to June 2006
+60%
+30%
+3%
-75%
-92%
Medicaid persons Unduplicated persons
Food Stamp households
TANF households
TANF adults
5
Welfare Reform MathWelfare Reform Math
Sept. 1996Sept. 1996 155,071155,071
Entered Entered + + 462,997462,997
ExitedExited - 605,092- 605,092
June 2006June 2006 12,97612,976
6
Customer GroupsCustomer Groups
Medicaid Food Stamps
Cash
3 12
4
5
1. Food Stamps Only2. Food Stamps and Medicaid3. Medicaid Only
4. Cash, Medicaid and Food Stamps
5. Cash and Medicaid
7
Public Assistance by GroupPublic Assistance by GroupAdults 18 - 59Adults 18 - 59
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1995 2005
Cash & Medicaid
Cash, Medicaid &FS
Medicaid Only
FS & Medicaid
Food Stamp Only
8
Adults Receiving AssistanceAdults Receiving AssistanceChange from 1995 to 2005Change from 1995 to 2005
21% 22%
-79%-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
Food Stamps Medicaid TANF Cash
9
The Class of September
1996
10
Age of TANF AdultsAge of TANF Adults
Under 208%
20 to 2422%
25 to 2921%
30 to 3419%
35 to 3915%
40 to 4912%
50 and up3%
Under 204%
20 to 2422%
25 to 2921%
30 to 3416%
35 to 3914%
40 to 4918%
50 and up5%
September 1996Median Age = 29.6
N=155,071
June 2006Median Age = 30.2
N=12,976
11
Race and GenderRace and Gender
September 1996
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Bla
ck
His
pa
nic
Wh
ite
All O
the
r
To
tal
Female Male
June 2006
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%B
lac
k
His
pa
nic
Wh
ite
All O
the
r
To
tal
Female Male
46%
19%
35%
1%
5% Male
43%
30% 26%
2%
11% Male
12
Cumulative Months of Cash AssistanceCumulative Months of Cash AssistanceSeptember 1996 to July 2006September 1996 to July 2006
93%99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
53%
81%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
1 - 12 13 - 24 25 - 36 37 - 48 49 - 60 61 - 72 73 - 84 85 - 96 97 - 108 109 - 119
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Count Cumulative Percentage
N = 155,071 adults
13
Episodes of Cash AssistanceEpisodes of Cash AssistanceSeptember 1996 to July 2006September 1996 to July 2006
71%
84%
92%96% 98% 99% 100%
46%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Over 7
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Count Cumulative Percentage
N = 155,071 adultsEpisode ends with 2 consecutive months not receiving cash assistance
14
Count of September 1996 Adults Receiving Cash Count of September 1996 Adults Receiving Cash Assistance by MonthAssistance by Month
Jan. 1993 to July 2006Jan. 1993 to July 2006
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Ja
n-9
3
Ja
n-9
4
Ja
n-9
5
Ja
n-9
6
Ja
n-9
7
Ja
n-9
8
Ja
n-9
9
Ja
n-0
0
Ja
n-0
1
Ja
n-0
2
Ja
n-0
3
Ja
n-0
4
Ja
n-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
Sept. 1996155,071
15
Receipt of AssistanceReceipt of AssistanceAdults Receiving Cash in Sept. 1996Adults Receiving Cash in Sept. 1996
155,071 155,071145,007
1,398
29,65039,774
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
Cash Medicaid FS
Sep-96 Jun-06
16
Quarterly EarningsQuarterly EarningsFor Sept. 1996 adults with earnings in nominal dollarsFor Sept. 1996 adults with earnings in nominal dollars
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
Mar 1996
Sep
1996
Mar 1997
Sep
1997
Mar 1998
Sep
1998
Mar 1999
Sep
1999
Mar 2000
Sep
2000
Mar 2001
Sep
2001
Mar 2002
Sep
2002
Mar 2003
Sep
2003
Mar 2004
Sep
2004
Mar 2005
Sep
2005
Earnings per adult with earnings
17
Quarterly EarningsQuarterly EarningsFor Sept. 1996 adults with earnings in nominal and constant dollarsFor Sept. 1996 adults with earnings in nominal and constant dollars
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
Mar 1996
Sep
1996
Mar 1997
Sep
1997
Mar 1998
Sep
1998
Mar 1999
Sep
1999
Mar 2000
Sep
2000
Mar 2001
Sep
2001
Mar 2002
Sep
2002
Mar 2003
Sep
2003
Mar 2004
Sep
2004
Mar 2005
Sep
2005
Earnings per adult with earnings In 1996$
Adjusted by CPI-U
18
Education EnrollmentEducation EnrollmentAdults Receiving Cash Assistance in Sept. 1996Adults Receiving Cash Assistance in Sept. 1996
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2001 2003 2004 2005
Community College State University System Voc Ed
36% of Sept. 1996 adults have subsequently been enrolled in postsecondary
education
*
2005 Voc Ed data not included*
19
Sept. 1996 Adults with Subsequent IncarcerationSept. 1996 Adults with Subsequent Incarcerationby Dept. of Correctionsby Dept. of Corrections
503 618 733 659 858 930
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1999 -2000
2000 -2001
2001 -2002
2002 -2003
2003 -2004
2004 -2005
98.5% of Sept. 1996 adult have never been
subsequently incarcerated by DOC
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Did Child Recipients Become Did Child Recipients Become Recipients as Adults?Recipients as Adults?
Age
Child on TANF in
Sept 1996 and Adult on TANF in June 2006
Child in Sept 1996 Pct
Child on TANF in
Sept 1996 and Adult on TANF in
June 2006
Child in Sept 1996 Pct
Child on TANF in
Sept 1996 and Adult on TANF in
June 2006
Child in Sept 1996 Pct
19 100 9,804 1.0% 0 9,679 0.0% 100 19,483 0.5%20 123 9,307 1.3% 0 8,742 0.0% 123 18,049 0.7%21 163 8,412 1.9% 1 8,167 0.0% 164 16,579 1.0%22 156 7,991 2.0% 4 7,597 0.1% 160 15,588 1.0%23 160 7,584 2.1% 3 7,334 0.0% 163 14,918 1.1%24 127 7,004 1.8% 1 6,742 0.0% 128 13,746 0.9%25 107 6,373 1.7% 3 6,104 0.0% 110 12,477 0.9%26 86 5,470 1.6% 2 5,323 0.0% 88 10,793 0.8%27 43 3,632 1.2% 3 3,792 0.1% 46 7,424 0.6%
Total 1,065 65,577 1.6% 17 63,480 0.0% 1,082 129,057 0.8%Age 19 - 27 1,065 65,577 1.6% 17 63,480 0.0% 1,082 129,057 0.8%
Female Only Male Only Total
Children who received cash assistance in September 1996 and who were age 19 through 27 in June 2006
21
Children Receiving Cash Assistance in Sept. 1996 Children Receiving Cash Assistance in Sept. 1996 who were age 19 through 27 in June 2006who were age 19 through 27 in June 2006
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Female Male Total
On cash assistance Not on cash assistance
Almost no childrenwho were on assistanceIn Sept. 1996 are adult
recipients today.
1.6% 0.8%
22
Current Cash Assistance Recipients
23
Cumulative Months of Cash Assistance Cumulative Months of Cash Assistance Under TANFUnder TANF
July 2006 Adult RecipientsJuly 2006 Adult Recipients
89%94% 96% 98% 98% 99% 99% 100%
60%
79%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
1 - 12 13 - 24 25 - 36 37 - 48 49 - 60 61 - 72 73 - 84 85 - 96 97 - 108 109 - 119
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
July 2006 Count Cumulative Percentage
N = 12,993 adults receiving cash assistance in July 2006
24
Cumulative Months of Cash Assistance Cumulative Months of Cash Assistance Under TANFUnder TANF
July 2006 Adult Recipients Caring for a July 2006 Adult Recipients Caring for a Disabled Family MemberDisabled Family Member
67%
75%
82%88%
92%96%
100%
56%
24%
40%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1 - 12 13 - 24 25 - 36 37 - 48 49 - 60 61 - 72 73 - 84 85 - 96 97 - 108 109 - 119
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jul-06 Cumulative Percentage
N = 1,484 adults receiving cash assistance in July 2006 who were medically verified to be caring for a disabled family member
25
Disabled Family MembersDisabled Family Members
All Adults
11.4%88.6%
Percent of July 2006 adults medically verified to be caring for disabled
family members
Adults with Greater than 60 Cumulative Months of TANF
77.3%22.7%
N = 12,993 N = 472
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Where Do We Need To Go?Where Do We Need To Go?
• Refocus on Refocus on workwork for TANF recipients. for TANF recipients.
• Support low-income Support low-income working familiesworking families..
• Strengthen families through promoting Strengthen families through promoting healthy marriage and responsible healthy marriage and responsible fatherhoodfatherhood..
• Use Use automationautomation to increase efficiency and to increase efficiency and move from “welfare-centric” to “work-move from “welfare-centric” to “work-centric”centric” service delivery. service delivery.
• Enhanced help to families with Enhanced help to families with special special needsneeds such as those with disabled family such as those with disabled family members.members.
