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The poker over pipelines for oil and gas

Evelyn FuchsThomas MaierInes Sturm

World primary energy consumption of oil and natural gas

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Global oil consumption declined by 1.2 million barrels per day

Global consumption of natural gas declined in all regions except the Middle and Asia Pacific.

World‘s proved oil reserves 2009

19.05.11BP Statistical Report 2009

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World‘s proved gas reserves 2009

BP Statistical Report 2009

Environmental impacts

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Human, socio-economic and cultural impactsAtmospheric impactsAquatic impactsTerrestrial impactsEcosystem impactsPotential emergenciesEnvironmental impacts in the context of

protection policies and requirements

World‘s poker over pipelines (I)

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If you own a pipeline, it‘s like having a trump- secure high profits- political influence - political competition

Often political and economical interests are contradictory- companies search for the cheapest route to transport the resource- this can make certain countries too powerful because they have various interests to their benefit

World‘s poker over pipelines (II)

Pipeline system of the world Source: http://www.petroleum-economist.com/Product/5692/Map-Store/Major-Pipelines-of-the-World-3rd-Edition.html

The biggest oil companies

Source: http://www.petrostrategies.org/Links/Worlds_Largest_Oil_and_Gas_Companies_Sites.htm

The „New Seven Sisters“

• Saudi Aramco

• Gazprom

• CNPC

• NIOC

• PDVSA

• Petrobras

• Petronas.

Pipeline Conflicts

• History and interests behind the pipelines

• New conflicts about fossil energy

– China & U.S.

– South Caucasus

– Iran

– Iraq

– Africa/ Sudan

– Nigeria

– Venezuela

Expectations for oil and gas

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EU - Outlook 2020

Natural Gas

Oil

Environmental risks of pipelines

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Emission into the atmosphere

Emission into the sea

Risks for the whole environment

Environmental risks of pipelines

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The World of pipelines, Zeit-Online, Die Welt der Pipelines, Zeit-Online, Source: http://www.zeit.de/online/2008/02/bg-pipelines?page=1

Alternative possibilities for Pipelines

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Transportation by Tankers Transport of oil by tanker is as risky as pumping oil

through underwater pipelines

Transportation by Trains Infringements of regulations concerned with handling

dangerous loads Human error and bad management Train collisions Mechanical impact on the train

Potential expectations for the future

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World primary energy demand Demand in 2030Forecasts

Potential expectations for the future

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World Energy Trends:

-World pirmary energy demand will continue to grow

-Fossil fuels will continue to account for over 80 % of primary energy supply

- Oil will continue to account the largest share of primary energy

-Increasing shares of oil, gas and coal will be traded internationally

Source: Recent Developments and their Implications for Arab Countries

Thank you for your attention!

VIDEO „Europe Russia: A pipeline story“

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iRXbiPsYGH4&feature=related

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