15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at...

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• 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month but Fed Beige book release on 011613 could cause volatitilty. Entering a possible supply zone after a strong uptrend move. BUY THE RUMOR AND SELL THE NEWS 2013 0115- 0116 +5.27% SHORT 31.29 29.64

Transcript of 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at...

Page 1: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

• 15

FB

QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week

lows.

Earnings not until the end of the month but Fed Beige book release on 011613 could cause

volatitilty.

Entering a possible supply zone after a strong uptrend

move.

BUY THE RUMOR AND SELL THE NEWS

2013

0115-0116

+5.27%SHORT

31.29 29.64

Page 2: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

FB

1. BEFORE THE TRADE WAS EXECUTED

2. TRADE AT THE ENTRY OF THE POSITION

3. TAPE DURING THE OPEN POSITION

4. TAPE AT THE EXIT OF THE POSITION

5. TAPE AFTER THE POSITION WAS CLOSED.

011113

Page 3: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB

1. BEFORE THE TRADE WAS EXECUTED

1

011113

Page 4: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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QQQ011113

THOUGHTS: Even though the market is trending higher, extended stocks can still pullbackOr start selling off before the market turns lower. However, you are going against the generalTide if you short an uptrending market so a tight stop loss needs to be in place.

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SPY011113

THOUGHTS:

Page 6: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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VIX011113

THOUGHTS:

Page 7: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011413

THOUGHTS: After a nice run up since mid-November (15 day run into December consolidation)And then another move higher for first two weeks of January 2013 (11 days), the trend seemed extended, going from around 17 to 32 in less than two months.

Page 8: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: This was the announcement later in the trading day.

Page 9: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS:

Page 10: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB

2. TRADE AT THE ENTRY OF THE POSITION

2

011513

STOP LOSS 32.00

TARGET EXIT 28.50-29.50

Page 11: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: Market was trading sideways.

Page 12: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: The view on the HTCTrading by phone. The trade worked right away. A 31.29 price was executed with a market order indicating a lot of buyers pushing the bid higher.

Page 13: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: The view on the HTCTrading by phone. The trade worked right away. A 31.29 price was executed with a market order indicating a lot of buyers pushing the bid higher.

Page 14: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB

3. TAPE DURING THE OPEN POSITION

3

011513

Page 15: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: Markets close the day higher even though FB sold off.

Page 16: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: Markets close the day higher even though FB sold off.

Page 17: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: QQQ SPY after hours.

Page 18: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: SPY holding above 10 dMA, trending higher.

Page 19: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: The trade continued its downward movement twenty to thirtyminutes later as the news conference continued.

Page 20: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: Other tape action and after hours movement.

Page 21: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: The short trade worked from the start today and continuedTo work into the close and after hours.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS:

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FB011513

THOUGHTS:31.50 to 32 was the supply or cover short zone.

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FB011513

THOUGHTS: FB was pulling back to the 10 dMA and held around 30. I expect it to Go to 28-28.50 demand zone and hit 20 dMA as well near 28.50 by 011612.

Page 25: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: Pre-market movement on the second day.

Page 26: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:FB was moving higher in pre-market trading but couldn’t budge past 30.43, whichProved to hold as hours opened.

Page 27: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB

4. TAPE AT THE EXIT OF THE POSITION4

011613

Page 28: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: With markets trending higher into the Fed Beige Book announcementand FB hitting 5% gains in less than 24 hours, it was time to exit to avoid the mostlikely bounce back as the markets drifted higher. To get to 28.50 could take another 2-5 days,so with the current market trending higher, position was exited.

Page 29: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: GOOG mobile viewpoint.

Page 30: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB

5. TAPE AFTER THE POSITION WAS CLOSED.

5

011613

Page 31: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: S&P500 is getting ready to make 5 year highs so get out.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

Page 36: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: Intraday, I left right near the day’s low.

Page 37: 15 FB QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. QQQ SPY trending higher while VIX is at 52 week lows. Earnings not until the end of the month.

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: After a three day sell-off, expect a bounce back?

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

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FB011613

THOUGHTS:

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FB011613

THOUGHTS: More FB charts will come tomorrow, next week and 1 month from now alongwith market charts to determine if the entry and exit points were well chosen.