14 Economic Trends Survey - Bundesarchitektenkammer · 2016. 12. 12. · Denmark Estonia France...
Transcript of 14 Economic Trends Survey - Bundesarchitektenkammer · 2016. 12. 12. · Denmark Estonia France...
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Janvier 2016
14th Economic Trends Survey
January 2016
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14th Economic Trends Survey
January 2016
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
2365 Architects have responded to the questionnaire.
Warning: Some countries of these answers were not included in the
overall results due to the fact that they were not sufficientlyrepresentative in relation to the number of architects (see countries are
highlighted in grey).
Austria
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Latvia
Luxembourg
Malta
Norway
Romania
Slovenia
Turkey
Belgium
Bulgaria
Finland
Germany
Hungary
Italy
Irlande
Lithuania
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Slovakia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
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All sizes of
architectural
practice are well
represented.
The distribution is
similar to the
previous surveys
Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
Profile of respondents
40,9%
17,7%
19,3%
8,4%
6,3%7,3%
Number of people in the company or
practice where respondents work
1 person
2 people
3 to 5 people
6 to 10 people
11 to 30 people
30 or more people
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
As in previous surveys,
global levels of optimism
remain very low: only
6.3% of respondents
declared themselves
optimistic, compared with
66% declaring themselves
pessimistic.
12,6%
34,9%
23,6%
21,5%
7,2% 0,3%
Current situation for architectural practice in
Europe
Very bad
Bad
Satisfactory
Good
very good
No opinion
Very Bad - Bad
Satisfactory-Good- Very
Good
April 2009 52,70% 46,30%
January 2010 58,40% 45,00%
January 2011 53,70% 43,90%
January 2012 51,40% 47,80%
January 2013 62,60% 36,63%
January 2014 54,60% 44,60%
January 2015 48,20% 51,50%
January 2016 47,50% 52,20%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%Apri
l 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Current situation for architectural practice (business) in
Europe
Very Bad - Bad
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
Persons judging the architectural market in their country to be
satisfactory, good or very good
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Very Good
Good
Satisfactory
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
Persons judging the architectural market in their country to be
bad or very bad
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Bad
Very Bad
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
8,4%
20,0%
39,0%
29,3%
1,4%1,9%
Expectation, for the next three months,
of architectural workload
Decrease
significantlyDecrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase
significantlyNo opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 48,47% 13,09% 38,90%
January 2010 32,80% 22,40% 42,10%
January 2011 32,80% 27,60% 39,00%
January 2012 35,20% 22,10% 42,00%
January 2013 34,10% 22,10% 41,50%
January 2014 31,30% 23,80% 43,60%
January 2015 23,70% 32,50% 43,10%
January 2016 28,50% 30,70% 39,00%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
Apri
l 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expectation for the next three months, of architecture
worklaod
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
26,9%
9,9%
34,6%
21,1%
5,5% 2,0%
Change in staff numbers since September
2008
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 37,18% 6,85% 60,40%
January 2010 40,90% 15,20% 41,50%
January 2011 42,30% 14,00% 42,00%
January 2012 42,40% 16,50% 37,30%
January 2013 45,30% 15,10% 35,60%
January 2014 45,70% 22,40% 29,50%
January 2015 42,90% 23,70% 30,90%
January 2016 36,90% 26,60% 34,61%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
Apri
l 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Change in staff numbers since September 2008
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
5,0%6,0%
61,0%
26,7%
0,1%1,3%
Expectation, re: staff numbers for the next
three months
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 32,35% 6,15% 64,80%
January 2010 17,00% 13,20% 68,90%
January 2011 15,00% 17,80% 64,80%
January 2012 16,20% 10,10% 72,50%
January 2013 20,80% 12,60% 62,50%
January 2014 21,30% 15,20% 62,10%
January 2015 12,80% 18,00% 67,50%
January 2016 10,90% 26,80% 61,00%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
80,00%
April 2009 January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expectation re: staff numbers for the next three months
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
4,8%
13,8%
50,5%
14,6%
4,5% 11,8%
Expected change in workload over next 3
months - Private housing
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 67,04% 10,44% 22,80%
January 2010 47,30% 15,70% 29,80%
January 2011 34,00% 26,20% 32,60%
January 2012 35,10% 20,10% 38,40%
January 2013 43,00% 16,10% 34,80%
January 2014 33,10% 24,30% 37,50%
January 2015 26,70% 27,50% 37,60%
January 2016 18,60% 19,10% 50,50%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
80,00%
April 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expected change in workload over next three months -
Private Housing
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
9,9%
13,1%
37,9%
20,2%
2,0% 16,9%
Expected change in workload over next 3
months - Public housing
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 59,78% 9,73% 27,00%
January 2010 48,30% 9,80% 29,10%
January 2011 43,00% 20,30% 28,20%
January 2012 43,80% 10,20% 37,00%
January 2013 41,90% 16,80% 30,60%
January 2014 34,10% 20,70% 35,10%
January 2015 34,80% 21,30% 33,70%
January 2016 23,10% 22,20% 37,90%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
April 2009 January2010
January2011
January2012
January2013
January2014
January2015
January2016
Expected change in workload over next three months -
Public Housing
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
8,2%
11,5%
41,5%
33,5%
1,6%
3,7%
Expected change in workload over next 3
months - Commercial (offices, shops,
industrial buildings, etc)
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 76,19% 5,18% 15,30%
January 2010 57,80% 9,50% 25,60%
January 2011 40,10% 20,60% 33,70%
January 2012 50,80% 10,20% 30,10%
January 2013 49,40% 13,30% 28,10%
January 2014 35,70% 14,10% 41,40%
January 2015 36,70% 21,40% 35,10%
January 2016 19,80% 35,10% 41,50%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
80,00%
April 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expected change in workload over next three months -
Commercial
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
8,2%
11,8%
58,8%
11,1%
1,9% 8,3%
Expected change in workload over next
3 months - Other private (leisure,
private schools, medical facilities, etc)
Decreased significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 62,07% 3,12% 23,00%
January 2010 48,50% 11,40% 30,00%
January 2011 35,40% 13,90% 36,80%
January 2012 40,50% 10,30% 40,30%
January 2013 42,90% 10,00% 34,70%
January 2014 30,30% 13,30% 45,50%
January 2015 34,10% 17,70% 40,60%
January 2016 19,90% 13,00% 58,80%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
Apri
l 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expected change in workload over next three months - Other
Private
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
10,4%
15,5%
42,4%
16,6%
0,6% 14,6%
Expected change in workload over next
3 months - Other public (schools,
hospitals, museums, prison, etc)
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 42,18% 14,58% 30,30%
January 2010 41,40% 16,30% 29,80%
January 2011 38,10% 20,10% 31,70%
January 2012 44,30% 14,90% 31,00%
January 2013 46,50% 17,10% 25,50%
January 2014 34,20% 17,30% 39,70%
January 2015 34,70% 22,60% 32,30%
January 2016 25,90% 17,20% 42,40%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
5,00%
10,00%
15,00%
20,00%
25,00%
30,00%
35,00%
40,00%
45,00%
50,00%
April 2009
January
2010
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
Expected change in workload over next three months - Other
Public
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
4,9%6,0%
46,8%
23,6%
4,4%14,4%
Expected change in workload over next 3
months - Other (consultancy, energy
audits, feasibility studies, etc)
Decrease significantly
Decrease a little
Stay the same
Increase a little
Increase significantly
No opinion
Decrease increase Stay the same
April 2009 47,38% 16,51% 26,80%
January 2010 31,60% 28,20% 28,50%
January 2011 26,00% 36,10% 27,10%
January 2012 23,90% 31,30% 35,90%
January 2013 23,30% 31,40% 35,20%
January 2014 21,30% 28,50% 41,40%
January 2015 25,80% 26,70% 35,90%
January 2016 10,90% 27,90% 46,80%
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
0,00%
5,00%
10,00%
15,00%
20,00%
25,00%
30,00%
35,00%
40,00%
45,00%
50,00%
April 2009 January 2010 January 2011 January 2012 January 2013 January 2014 January 2015 January 2016
Expected change in workload over next three months - Other
Decrease
increase
Stay the same
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Economic Trends Survey – January 2016
CONCLUSIONS
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Thank you for your attention
www.ace-cae.eu