120 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service - Pacific Region …...from 0.0 (high hatchery influence, low...

82
120 Columbia River Basin Hatchery Review Team Columbia River Basin, Mountain Snake Province Clearwater and Salmon River Watersheds Dworshak, Kooskia and Hagerman National Fish Hatcheries Clearwater, Magic Valley, McCall, and Sawtooth Fish Hatcheries (Idaho Department of Fish & Game) Assessments and Recommendations Final Report, Appendix A: All-H Analyzer (AHA) Output for Salmon and Steelhead Stocks March 2011 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service - Pacific Region

Transcript of 120 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service - Pacific Region …...from 0.0 (high hatchery influence, low...

120

Columbia River Basin Hatchery Review Team

Columbia River Basin, Mountain Snake Province

Clearwater and Salmon River Watersheds

Dworshak, Kooskia and Hagerman National Fish Hatcheries

Clearwater, Magic Valley, McCall, and Sawtooth Fish Hatcheries

(Idaho Department of Fish & Game)

Assessments and Recommendations

Final Report, Appendix A:

All-H Analyzer (AHA) Output for Salmon and Steelhead Stocks

March 2011

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service - Pacific Region

Please cite as:

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). 2011. Dworshak, Kooskia, and Hagerman National Fish

Hatcheries and Clearwater, Magic Valley, McCall, and Sawtooth State Fish Hatcheries Assessments

and Recommendations - Appendix A: All-H Analyzer (AHA) Output for Salmon and Steelhead Stocks.

Final Report, March 2011. Hatchery Review Team, Pacific Region. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,

Portland, Oregon. Available at: http://www.fws.gov/Pacific/fisheries/Hatcheryreview/reports.html.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 3

Appendix A: All-H Analyzer (AHA) Output for Spring/Summer Chinook Salmon and Summer Steelhead Stocks at Dworshak NFH, Kooskia NFH, Hagerman NFH (USFWS), and Clearwater FH, Magic Valley FH, McCall FH, and Sawtooth FH (IDFG), including natural populations in the Clearwater and Salmon rivers, Idaho.

What is AHA?

AHA is an Excel-based spreadsheet simulation model that quantifies the mean number of adult

salmon or steelhead returning to a watershed after many generations (years) of reproduction

and migration based on equilibrium, or near equilibrium, conditions. Recent versions of AHA

(Versions 6.x and higher) for the Columbia River allocate returning adult fish to one of six

locations: (1) a hatchery and other recapture facilities where adult fish are removed; (2) the

natural habitat where adult fish spawn; (3) harvest in the marine environment; (4) harvest in

the lower Columbia River mainstem downstream from Bonneville Dam; (5) harvest in the

upper Columbia River mainstem upstream from Bonneville Dam, and (6) harvest in terminal

areas in the general areas where they originated as smolts.

The AHA model was originally developed primarily by Lars Mobrand (Mobrand Biometrics,

Vashon Island, WA), in collaboration with the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife

(WDFW) and the Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission (NWIFC), as part of the HSRG

review1 of salmon and steelhead hatcheries in Puget Sound and coastal Washington state.

Updated versions that summarize results over all populations (Version 12.1 and higher) were

developed by Greg Blair (Jones, Stokes, and Mobrand; Vashon Island, WA) in collaboration

with Lars Mobrand.

AHA is based on the Beverton-Holt spawner-recruit model where habitat capacity is the

asymptote of the Beverton-Holt curve (i.e., maximum number of adult recruits that the habitat

can produce) and productivity is the slope of the curve at the origin (i.e., the maximum

number of adult recruits per adult spawner [R/S] when density-dependent factors or

competition can be ignored). The actual model (spreadsheet) consists of several component

modules (e.g., natural component module, hatchery component module, genetic fitness

module, etc.) where estimated mean values of biological and population dynamic parameters

are provided by the user (e.g. mean fecundity of females, estimated egg-to-smolt survival,

etc.). The genetic fitness function is based on the model of Ford (2002)2 and allows the mean

fitness of a population (productivity) to change incrementally over time depending on (a) the

mean proportion of natural spawners composed of hatchery-origin adults (pHOS) relative to

the mean proportion of the hatchery broodstock composed of natural-origin adults (pNOB),

and (b) the number of generations that hatchery-origin fish spawn naturally in the watershed.

A useful index for assessing the genetic impact of a hatchery program on a natural population

is the Proportionate Natural Influence = PNI = pNOB/(pNOB + pHOS), where PNI varies

1 www.hatcheryreform.org

2 Ford, M.J. 2002. Selection in captivity during supportive breeding may reduce fitness in the wild. Conservation

Biology 16: 815-825.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

4 Appendix A – AHA Output

from 0.0 (high hatchery influence, low natural environmental influence) to 1.0 (no hatchery

influence). When pHOS = pNOB, the hatchery and natural environments will have

approximately equal influence on the genetic constitutions of both hatchery and wild fish, and

PNI = 0.5. For integrated hatchery populations and natural stocks, the goal is for PNI to be

greater than 0.5 and as close to 1.0 as possible (e.g., > 0.67) as a long-term goal.

The AHA model is currently being used by fishery comanagers in the Pacific Northwest as a

“planning tool” to (a) document assumptions and parameters for hatchery and natural

populations and (b) compare the outcomes of alternative management strategies and

scenarios. Only those scenarios achieving realistic or desired outcomes are considered valid.

For example, any scenario that results in extirpation of a stock is considered invalid, where

any or all of the four H’s3 can contribute to stock extirpation.

For more detail on AHA, see the “Tools” page of the Hatchery Scientific Review Group’s

(HSRG’s) website: http://www.hatcheryreform.us. An AHA user’s guide, the AHA model, and

all AHA datasets for the Columbia River Basin are available for download. See also “HSRG

White Paper No. 1” under the publications page for theoretical details regarding PNI and the

relative effects of the hatchery and natural environments on mean population fitness.

Explanation of Tables A1-A564

Information in the following AHA output tables (Tables A1-A56) is intended to provide a

summary “snapshot” of the potential equilibrium outcomes associated with current hatchery

programs and alternatives considered by the Hatchery Review Team. Five sets of simulations

or scenarios are presented in each table: (a) current situation and hatchery programs; (b) the

potential “no hatchery” condition; (c) the “hatchery solution” proposed by the HSRG; and (d)

two alternative scenarios proposed by the HRT. AHA version 13.2.1 was used to generate the

outputs in Tables A1-A56.

Output of AHA is displayed in a series of colored bar graphs representing the equilibrium,

mean numbers of adult fish (recruits) allocated to each of the six aforementioned locations

(hatchery, freshwater habitat, and four harvest locations). In those bar graphs, solid green

represents natural-origin fish; solid pink represents hatchery-origin fish, pink diagonal hash

bars represent hatchery-origin fish in excess of comanager goals, and pink vertical bars

represent hatchery-origin fish that have been selected at least one generation in the natural

environment (e.g. as occurs in a genetically-integrated hatchery program).

The graph in the lower-left portion of each table shows the realized mean values of pNOB and

pHOS for each of the five scenarios (Current, No Hatchery, etc.). The diagonal lines represent

combination values of pNOB and pHOS that yield the same value of PNI. Symbols on the PNI

graph correspond with each of the scenarios shown as bar graphs (see also the Components of

3 Habitat, Harvest, Hydropower, and Hatcheries are commonly referred to as the “four H’s”.

4 Parameter estimates used to generate the following tables have not all been verified and should be considered

preliminary. However, their values are based on the best information available, and the general results presented in the following tables are not expected to change significantly as the parameter estimates are verified and updated.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 5

this Report section for definitions of biological significance, population viability, habitat, and

harvest ratings).

The outputs presented in Tables A1-A56 are intended to be viewed electronically on a

desktop computer where portions of the tables can be “zoomed in” for clarity. The Review

Team acknowledges that those tables are difficult to read as printed paper copies.

AHA data files in V.13.2.1 are stored as “roll-up” files for all populations of each salmonid

species in the Columbia River Basin. The specific parameterized versions of the “roll-up”

files and AHA (V.13.2.1) used to generate the outputs in Tables A1-A56 are available upon

request from the Chair of the Hatchery Review Team. Some familiarity with AHA is required,

and expected, before implementing the software. The software and baseline data files for

Tables A1-A56 can be downloaded from the HSRG website under the “Tools” tab at

www.hatcheryreform.us.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

6 Appendix A – AHA Output

Tables A1-A9: AHA outputs for the Clearwater River Major Population

Group (MPG) of spring-summer Chinook salmon

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 7

Parameters and assumptions for spring/summer Chinook in the Clearwater River Major Population Group (MPG) Productivity and survival parameters for hatchery origin spring Chinook within the Clearwater River

basin (Table 1A) were obtained from the HSRG, as provided by Idaho Department of Fish and Game

(IDFG).

Table 1A. Mean values of reproductive and survival parameters assumed in the AHA analyses

for hatchery-origin spring/summer Chinook released within the Clearwater River MPG.

Hatchery/

Release location

Population/Stock

Female

Fecundity

(No. of

eggs)

Within-

hatchery

survival

(egg-to-

smolt)

Post-release

survival (%)

(smolt-to-adult)

Recruit/spawner

(R/S; adults)

Dworshak NFH

Dworshak NFH Spring

Chinook

4,500

0.79

0.58%

7.0

Kooskia NFH

Kooskia NFH Spring

Chinook

4,500

0.79

0.58%

7.0

Clearwater FH/

Powell Satellite, Lochsa

River

Lochsa River Spring

Chinook

4,200

0.90

0.44%

6.0

Clearwater FH, NPTH/

Lower Selway River,

Lochsa River Spring

Chinook

4,500

Smolts = 0.79

Parr = 0.85

Smolts = 0.26%

Smolt+parr=0.14%

Smolts = 3.2

Parr = 0.7

Clearwater Hatchery/

Upper Selway River,

Lochsa River Spring

Chinook

4,500

Parr = 0.85

Parr = 0.07%

Parr = 0.9

Clearwater Hatchery/

Crooked and Red River

Satellites

S.F. Clearwater R. Spring

Chinook

4,200

0.70

0.37%

4.0

Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery

NPTH Spring Chinook

4,500

0.79

0.35%

4.2

Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery/

Newsome Creek

Newsome Creek Spring

Chinook

4,200

Smolts = 0.70

Pre-smolts =

0.79

Smolts = 0.37%

Pre-smolts= 0.09%

Smolts = 4.0

Pre-smolts = 1.0

Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery/

Lolo Creek

Lolo Creek Spring Chinook

4,500

Smolts = 0.70

Pre-smolts =

0.79

Smolts = 0.37%

Pre-smolts= 0.08%

Smolts = 4.0

Pre-smolts = 1.0

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

8 Appendix A – AHA Output

Current programs, HSRG solutions, and HRT alternatives

The HRT modeled Alternative 1 (current hatchery programs with implementation of all HRT

recommendations) and the Team’s preferred alternatives for each of the spring Chinook hatchery

programs conducted within the Clearwater River basin. Each population release site consists of five

scenarios: Current program, No Hatchery scenario, HSRG Solution, HRT Alternative 1, and the HRT

Preferred Alternative (Table 2A). The HRT Preferred Alternative assumes that reestablishment of

naturally spawning populations is the principal short-term goal of spring Chinook hatchery programs

in the Lochsa, Selway, and upper South Fork Clearwater rivers.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 9

Table 2A. Summary of the number of hatchery-origin (HOR) spring Chinook smolts, pre-smolts, and parr released in the Clearwater River

under four strategies modeled in AHA Tables A1-A9: (1) Current programs are based on the LSRCP Cooperators 2008 Annual Operating

Plan for the Clearwater River, (2) the HSRG Solution, (3) HRT Alternative 1 (current programs with implementation of HRT

recommendations), and (4) the HRT Preferred Alternative which emphasizes reestablishment of naturally spawning populations in the

Lochsa, Selway, and upper S.F. Clearwater rivers and emphasizes harvest in the mainstem Clearwater River. The names of hatchery

stocks/populations are in italics (e.g., “Dworshak”, “Kooskia”, etc.) and are identified by the facility/location where adults are trapped for

broodstock. The Hatchery Review Team did not specifically review programs associated with the Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery (e.g., Lolo

Creek, Newsome Creek), but the AHA outputs for those programs are presented here as part of the data set packages available from the

HSRG (www.hatcheryreform.us).

Release location

Current

HSRG Solution

HRT Alternative 1

HRT Preferred Alternative

Dworshak NFH,

N.F. Clearwater River

(AHA Table A1)

1.05 M Dworshak smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

Same as current

1.45M Dworshak smolts

Kooskia NFH,

Clear Creek

(AHA Table A2)

600K Kooskia smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

500K Kooskia smolts

Terminate on-station rearing;

600K Kooskia smolts reared at

Clearwater Hatchery.

S.F. Clearwater River,

Red and Crooked rivers

(AHA Table A3)

1.1M SF Clearwater smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

Same as Current

300K Red/Crooked R. smolts

(pNOB = 0.67)

Newsome Creek

(AHA Table A4) 30K Newsome Cr. pre-smolts

45K NPTH pre-smolts

75K Newsome Cr. smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

Lolo Creek

(AHA Table A5) 85K Lolo Cr. pre-smolts

65K NPTH pre-smolts

100K Lolo Cr. smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

Nez Perce Tribal

Hatchery (NPTH)

(AHA Table A6)

125K NPTH smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

Lochsa River at Powell

Pond (AHA Table A7)

400K Lochsa smolts

700K Lochsa smolts

400K Lochsa smolts

300K Lochsa smolts

(pNOB = 0.75)

Lower Selway River,

including Meadow Cr.

(AHA Table A8)

300K Lochsa smolts

400K Dworshak parr (released

into Meadow Creek)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

300K Lochsa smolts

200K Lochsa smolts

Upper Selway River

(AHA Table A9)

300K Lochsa parr

100K Selway smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

300K Lochsa parr

200K Lochsa parr

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

10 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A1. AHA output for Dworshak NFH spring Chinook, North Fork Clearwater River

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 700 700 700 966

266 266 266 266

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

443

13Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 979 170 979 170 979 170 1,351 234

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

7.0

0

Current

0.01 0 00.01

No Hatchery

Segregated Hatchery

0.01

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

0

y

0.82

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

0.413

pHOS

320

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.300

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.01Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.413

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

0.01

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

11

6B-NF Clearwater_Spring Chinook

(Dworshak-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

1

0.01 0

1

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

0.01

0.050

00

0.080

0.080

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

0

1

0.01

0.82

1

y

0.82

0.020 0.080

0.300

0.0100.010

10%

0.083

0.300

0.083

Seg

320

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.5%

pHOS-Goal

1,051,143

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

90%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90%

7.0

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv Seg

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.5%

Current Harvest

7.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.5%

11

0

0.82

0.01 0

0.300

0.4130.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

0.01 0

1

0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.0050.300

pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

100%

0.080

pNOB

Harv

7.0

90%

0.413

Reintroduction: Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.5%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1,450,576

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.413

0.050

pHOS

1,051,143

100%

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1 1

HSRG Solution

0.01 0

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

10%

320

90% 10%

Current Habitat

0.8%

442

0

Subregion/Subbasin

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Harvest

Hatchery

0.01

Harv

1,051,143

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

1

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest

Natural Reproduction only Segregated Hatchery Segregated Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 11

Table A2. AHA output for Kooskia NFH spring Chinook, Clear Creek, and Middle Fork Clearwater River

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 400 400 334 400

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

444

12Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 559 97 559 97 467 81 559 97

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

7.0

0

Current

0.01 0 00.01

No Hatchery

Segregated hatchery

0.01

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

0

y

0.82

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

0.413

pHOS

183

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.300

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.01Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.413

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

0.01

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

11

6A-Clearwater_Middle Fork Clearwater

Spring Chinook (Kooskia-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

1

0.01 0

1

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

0.01

0.050

00

0.080

0.080

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

0

1

0.01

0.82

1

y

0.82

0.020 0.080

0.300

0.0100.010

10%

0.083

0.300

0.083

Seg

183

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.5%

pHOS-Goal

600,652

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

90%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90%

7.0

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv Seg

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.5%

Current Harvest

7.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.5%

11

0

0.82

0.01 0

0.300

0.4130.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

0.01 0

1

0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.0050.300

pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

100%

0.080

pNOB

Harv

7.0

90%

0.413

Reintrodution: Harvest

Rear spring Chinook at Clearwater and Dworshak

0.5%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

600,652

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.413

0.050

pHOS

501,545

100%

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1 1

HSRG Solution

0.01 0

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

10%

153

90% 10%

Current Habitat

0.8%

183

0

Subregion/Subbasin

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintrodution: Harvest

Hatchery

0.01

Harv

600,652

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

1

0.34

y

Reintrodution: Harvest

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintrodution: Harvest

Natural Reproduction Only Segregated hatchery Segregated hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

12 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A3. AHA output for South Fork Clearwater River Spring Chinook, including Red and Crooked rivers (Clearwater Anadromous Fish

Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 832 832 832 229

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

442

7Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.62

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.65

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 16 30 16 16 38

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.49 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.49 Effective pHOS -> 0.49 Effective pHOS -> 0.67

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.34

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 640 57 301 13 661 59 647 58 1,571 -2

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 657 114 685 119 666 116 2,413 419

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

4.0

180

Current

1.30 1,875 1,8751.30

No Hatchery

Integrated Hatchery

1.30

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

1,875

y

0.82

Current Habitat

93

Ave

0.8%

0.455

pHOS

215

13

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.100

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.350

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.170

0.100

0.455

pNOB

0.170

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

4-Clearwater_South Fork Clearwater Spring

Chinook

y

231,905

Historic

231,905

1.30 1,875

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

231,905

1.00 0.34

1,875

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

1,8751,875

0.080

0.080

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

1,875

1

1.30

0.82

231,905

y

0.82

0.020 0.080

0.350

0.0100.010

22

10%

0.170

0.350

0.170

Seg

224

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

pHOS-Goal

1,100,736

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

90%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90%

4.0

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 49%

Int

pHOS-Realized

ConsBoth Seg

Strays

186

Ave Ave

182

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

4.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.3%

231,905161

1,875

0.82

1.30 1,875

0.100

0.1700.170

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 1,875

1

0.050

0.020 0.020

0.100

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.1000.350

pNOB

IntCons

67%

pHOS

0.50

67%

49%

0.080

pNOB

Both

4.0

90%

0.455

Reintroduction: Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

0.3%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

300,861

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.455

0.050

pHOS

1,100,736

49%

16

Not listed; excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 1,875

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

10%

218

10% 90%

27

Current Habitat

0.8%

786

311

Subregion/Subbasin

0.100

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

1.30

Both

1,100,736

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

231,905

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Segregated Hatchery Segregated Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 13

Table A4. AHA output for Newsome Creek Spring Chinook, S.F. Clearwater River (Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 22 35 57 57 57

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

828

8Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.77 0.77 0.77

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.78 0.78 0.78

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 20 30 10 10 10

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.43 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.57 Effective pHOS -> 0.57 Effective pHOS -> 0.57

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> 0.05 pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 146 10 239 19 724 17 714 15 742 20

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 122 21 772 134 755 131 801 139

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

4.0

41

Current

1.30 625 6251.30

No Hatchery

Integrated + supplementation

1.30

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

625

y

0.82

Current Habitat

89

Ave

0.8%

0.083

pHOS

39

11

0.8%

50%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

4-Clearwater_South Fork

Clearwater_Newsome Creek Spring

Chinook

y

77,302

Historic

77,302

1.30 625

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

77,302

1.00 0.34

625

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

625625

0.020

0.050

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

625

1

1.30

0.82

77,302

y

0.82

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.0100.010

20

100%

100%

0.083

0.005

0.083

Int

252

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

pHOS-Goal

75,411

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

10%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 50%

4.0

pNOB-Goal

0.08

pHOSpNOB

PNI 43%

Int

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons Int

Strays

154

Ave Ave

151

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

1.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.1%

77,302161

625

0.82

1.30 625

0.005

0.0830.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 625

1

0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

0.0050.005

pNOB

IntCons

57%

pHOS

0.64

100%

57%

0.050

pNOB

Cons

0.64

4.0

0.083

Reintroduction: Conservation

Integrated + supplementation

0.3%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

75,279

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.083

0.050

pHOS

75,279

57%

14

Not listed; excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 625

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

100%

247

100%

29

Current Habitat

0.8%

262

159

Subregion/Subbasin

100%

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Conservation

Hatchery

0.64

1.30

Cons

75,279

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

77,302

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Conservation

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Integrated + supplementation Integrated + supplementation

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

14 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A5. AHA output for Lolo Creek Spring Chinook, Clearwater River (Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 64 48 76 76 76

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

439

10Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.83 0.83 0.83

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.83 0.83 0.83

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 19 30 25 25 25

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.39 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.43 Effective pHOS -> 0.43 Effective pHOS -> 0.43

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 280 23 575 44 1,473 69 1,452 66 1,498 72

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 216 34 1,014 176 995 172 1,038 180

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

4.0

81

Current

1.30 1,500 1,5001.30

No Hatchery

Integrated + Supplementation

1.30

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

1,500

y

0.82

Current Habitat

214

Ave

0.8%

0.083

pHOS

66

14

0.8%

50%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

5-Clearwater_Lolo Creek Spring Chinook

y

185,524

Historic

185,524

1.30 1,500

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

185,524

1.00 0.34

1,500

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

1,5001,500

0.020

0.050

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

1,500

1

1.30

0.82

185,524

y

0.82

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.0100.010

22

100%

100%

0.083

0.005

0.083

Int

332

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

pHOS-Goal

150,535

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 50%

4.0

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 39%

Int

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons Int

Strays

357

Ave Ave

352

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

1.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.1%

185,524161

1,500

0.82

1.30 1,500

0.005

0.0830.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 1,500

1

0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

0.0050.005

pNOB

IntCons

43%

pHOS

0.70

100%

43%

0.050

pNOB

Cons

0.70

4.0

0.083

Reintroduction: Conservation

Integrated + Supplementation

0.3%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

100,990

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.083

0.050

pHOS

100,990

43%

16

Not listed; excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 1,500

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

100%

326

100%

30

Current Habitat

0.8%

340

363

Subregion/Subbasin

100%

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Conservation

Hatchery

0.70

1.30

Cons

100,990

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

185,524

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Conservation

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Integrated + Supplementation Integrated + Supplementation

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 15

Table A6. AHA output for Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery Spring Chinook, Clearwater River

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 83 83 83 83

120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

820

14Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 97 16 97 16 97 16 97 16

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

4.2

0

Current

0.00 0 00.00

No Hatchery

Segregated Hatchery

0.00

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

0

y

0.82

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

0.182

pHOS

31

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.34

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

6C-Clearwater_Lower Mainstem_Spring

Chinook (NPTH-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

1

0.00 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

0.00

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

0

1

0.00

0.82

1

y

0.82

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.0100.010

10%

0.182

0.030

0.182

Seg

31

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

pHOS-Goal

124,635

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

90%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90%

4.2

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv Seg

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

4.2Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.3%

10

0

0.82

0.00 0

0.030

0.1820.182

0.0100.010

y

0.34

0.00 0

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

0.0300.030

pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

100%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

4.2

90%

0.182

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Segregated Hatchery

0.3%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

124,635

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.182

0.140

pHOS

124,635

100%

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0 0

HSRG Solution

0.00 0

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

10%

31

90% 10%

Current Habitat

0.8%

31

0

Subregion/Subbasin

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

0.00

Harv

124,635

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

1

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Segregated Hatchery Segregated Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

16 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A7. AHA output for Lochsa River Spring Chinook (Powell Satellite Facility and Clearwater Fish Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 236 412 236 177

460 460 274 274 386 386 258 258

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

695

1Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.63

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.66

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 17 30 15 16 38

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.47 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.59 Effective pHOS -> 0.53 Effective pHOS -> 0.74

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.37

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 371 33 262 17 800 82 584 56 1,109 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 358 62 1,172 203 682 118 2,257 392

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

6.0

105

Current

1.30 940 9401.30

No Hatchery

Segregated Hatchery + Imports

1.30

Not listed; excluded from ESU

1

940

y

0.82

Current Habitat

92

Ave

0.8%

0.330

pHOS

117

11

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.050

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.200

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.124

0.050

0.330

pNOB

0.124

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

1-Clearwater_Lochsa Spring Chinook

y

116,262

Historic

116,265

1.30 940

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

116,262

1.00 0.34

940

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

940940

0.080

0.080

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed; excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

940

1

1.30

0.82

116,262

y

0.82

0.020 0.080

0.200

0.0100.010

14

20%

0.124

0.200

0.124

Seg

383

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

pHOS-Goal

401,436

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

80%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90%

6.0

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 47%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsBoth Seg

Strays

216

Ave Ave

159

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.4%

Current Harvest

6.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.4%

116,262161

940

0.82

1.30 940

0.050

0.1240.124

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 940

1

0.050

0.020 0.020

0.050

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.0500.200

pNOB

IntCons

74%

pHOS

0.50

75%

59%

0.080

pNOB

Both

6.0

80%

0.330

Reintroduction: Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

0.4%

Ave

y

Not listed; excluded from ESU

300,681

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.330

0.050

pHOS

401,436

53%

12

Not listed; excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 940

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

20%

223

30% 70%

13

Current Habitat

0.8%

738

204

Subregion/Subbasin

0.050

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

1.30

Both

700,812

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

116,262

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

1

Not listed; excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Natural Reproduction Only Segregated Hatchery Segregated Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 17

Table A8. AHA output for Lower Selway River Spring Chinook, including Meadow Creek, Lochsa River Stock (Clearwater Fish Hatchery

and Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 466 466 200 134

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

785

3Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 13 30 13 14 14

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.76 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.76 Effective pHOS -> 0.72 Effective pHOS -> 0.68

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 624 82 153 12 626 83 580 72 518 61

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 2,115 367 2,143 372 1,615 280 1,142 198

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

3.2

178

Current

1.30 400 4001.30

No Hatchery

Segregated hatchery + supplementation

1.30

Not listed: excluded from ESU

1

400

y

0.82

Current Habitat

57

Ave

0.8%

0.279

pHOS

692

11

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.140

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.279

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

2-Clearwater_Lower Selway Spring

Chinook

y

49,473

Historic

49,628

1.30 400

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

49,473

1.00 0.34

400

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

400400

0.080

0.080

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed: excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

400

1

1.30

0.82

49,473

y

0.82

0.020 0.080

0.140

0.0100.010

20

100%

0.083

0.140

0.083

Seg

701

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.2%

pHOS-Goal

730,053

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn.

1.8

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 76%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsBoth Seg

Strays

179

Ave Ave

163

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.1%

Current Harvest

1.8Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.1%

49,473161

400

0.82

1.30 400

0.140

0.2790.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 400

1

0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.0050.140

pNOB

SegCons

68%

pHOS

10%

76%

0.080

pNOB

Both

3.2

0.279

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Segregated hatchery + supplementation

0.2%

Ave

y

Not listed: excluded from ESU

201,219

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.279

0.050

pHOS

300,326

72%

14

Not listed: excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 400

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

100%

529

100%

29

Current Habitat

0.8%

374

143

Subregion/Subbasin

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

1.30

Both

730,053

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

49,473

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

1

Not listed: excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Segregated hatchery Segregated hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports – March 2011

18 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A9. AHA output for Upper Selway River Spring Chinook, Lochsa River Stock (Clearwater Fish Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 186 68 186 124

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

700

5Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.74 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.75 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 16 30 22 16 16

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.54 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.63 Effective pHOS -> 0.54 Effective pHOS -> 0.51

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.46 pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 459 46 230 18 602 1 461 46 394 38

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 552 95 727 126 557 96 430 74

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

0.9

125

Current

1.30 600 6001.30

No Hatchery

Segregated Hatchery + Supplementation

1.30

Not listed: excluded from ESU

1

600

y

0.82

Current Habitat

86

Ave

0.8%

0.083

pHOS

180

10

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

3-Clearwater_Upper Selway Spring Chinook

y

74,210

Historic

74,442

1.30 600

161

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

74,210

1.00 0.34

600

y

1.00

1.30

0.050

600600

0.020

0.050

0.010 0.010

0.34

Not listed: excluded from ESU

HRT Alternative #1

600

1

1.30

0.82

74,210

y

0.82

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.0100.010

16

100%

0.083

0.005

0.083

Int

237

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

pHOS-Goal

300,516

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn.

3.2

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

PNI 54%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsBoth Seg

Strays

113

Ave Ave

125

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.2%

Current Harvest

0.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

0.1%

74,210161

600

0.82

1.30 600

0.005

0.0830.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 600

1

0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

0.0050.005

pNOB

SegCons

51%

pHOS

63%

0.050

pNOB

Both

0.9

0.083

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Segregated Hatchery + Supplementation

0.1%

Ave

y

Not listed: excluded from ESU

200,344

HRT Preferred Alternative

0.010

0.083

0.050

pHOS

300,516

54%

11

Not listed: excluded from ESU

161 161

HSRG Solution

1.30 600

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

y

100%

182

100%

27

Current Habitat

0.8%

141

108

Subregion/Subbasin

100%

0.005

pNOB

Clearwater Spring Chinook

Reintroduction: Conservation

Hatchery

0.61

1.30

Cons

101,507

y

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HRT-Pref.Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Habitat ----->

74,210

0.34

y

Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

1

Not listed: excluded from ESU

0.82

Reintroduction: Conservation Reintroduction: Harvest and Conservation

Natural Reproduction only Integrated Hatchery + Supplementation Segregated Hatchery + Supplementation

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 19

Tables A10-A17: AHA outputs for Clearwater River Major Population

Group (MPG) of summer steelhead

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

20 Appendix A – AHA Output

Parameters and assumptions for summer steelhead in the Clearwater River Major Population Group (MPG) Productivity and survival parameters for hatchery-origin steelhead released within the Clearwater

River basin (Table 3A) were obtained from the HSRG, as provided by Idaho Department of Fish and

Game (IDFG).

Table 3A. Mean values of reproductive and survival parameters assumed in the AHA analyses

for hatchery-origin steelhead released within the Clearwater River MPG.

Hatchery/

Release location

Population/Stock

Female

Fecundity

(No. of

eggs)

Within-

hatchery

survival

(egg-to-smolt)

Post-release

survival (%)

(smolt-to-

adult)

Recruit/spawner

(R/S; adults)

Dworshak NFH

Dworshak NFH Steelhead

6,848

0.74

0.78%

35.0

Dworshak NFH/

Clear Creek, Kooskia NFH

Dworshak NFH Steelhead

6,848

0.74

0.78%

35.0

Dworshak NFH, Clearwater

FH/

S.F. Clearwater River, Red

House

Dworshak NFH Steelhead

6,848

0.74

0.78%

35.0

Dworshak NFH, Clearwater

FH/

Upper S.F. Clearwater River

Dworshak NFH Steelhead

6,848

0.74

0.78%

35.0

Clearwater FH/

Lolo Creek

Dworshak NFH Steelhead

6,848

0.74

0.78%

35.0

Current programs, HSRG solutions, and HRT alternatives

The HRT modeled Alternative 1 and its preferred alternatives for each of the steelhead hatchery

programs conducted within the Clearwater River basin. Each population release site consists of five

scenarios: Current program, No Hatchery scenario, HSRG Solution, HRT Alternative 1, and the HRT

Preferred Alternative (Table 4A). The HRT Preferred Alternative assumes that reestablishment of

naturally spawning populations is the principal goal of hatchery programs in the upper South Fork

Clearwater River, including natural spawning locations in Crooked River, Red River, American River,

Newsome Creek, Meadow Creek, and Mill Creek. The HRT Preferred Alternative emphasizes harvest

in the lower S.F. Clearwater River (Red House release site) and mainstem Clearwater River

downstream from Clear Creek and Kooskia NFH.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 21

Table 4A. Summary of the number of hatchery-origin (HOR) steelhead smolts released in the Clearwater River under four strategies modeled

in AHA Tables A10-A17: (1) Current programs based on the LSRCP Cooperators 2008 Annual Operating Plan for the Clearwater River, (2) the

HSRG Solution, (3) HRT Alternative 1 (current programs with implementation of HRT recommendations), and (4) HRT Preferred Alternative.

All hatchery stocks are considered “B-run”, and are primarily of Dworshak NFH origin. Release sites in the upper S.F. Clearwater River were

pooled in the analyses (Red River, Crooked River, Newsome Creek, American River, Meadow Creek, and Mill Creek). The names of hatchery

stocks/populations are in italics (e.g., “Dworshak”) and are identified by the facility/location where adults are trapped for broodstock.

Release location

Current

HSRG Solution

HRT Alternative 1

HRT Preferred Alternative

Dworshak NFH,

N.F. Clearwater River

(AHA Table A10)

1.20M Dworshak smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

Same as Current

Same as Current

Kooskia NFH,

Clear Creek

(AHA Table A11)

300K Dworshak smolts

300K Kooskia smolts

Same as HSRG

Same as HSRG

Lower S.F. Clearwater

River at Red House

(AHA Table A12)

665K Dworshak smolts

1.16M Dworshak smolts

1.4M Dworshak smolts

1.085M Dworshak smolts

(release 315K Dworshak smolts

in the Little Salmon River)

Upper S.F. Clearwater

River,

(AHA Table A13)

735K Dworshak smolts

124K Upper S.F. smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

Same as HSRG

Same as HSRG

Lolo Creek

(AHA Table A14)

50K Dworshak smolts

50K Lolo Cr. smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

No recommendation

(Same as HSRG)

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

22 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A10. AHA output for Dworshak NFH B-run Summer Steelhead, North Fork Clearwater River

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 484 484 484 484

1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

450

7Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,946 338 1,946 338 1,946 338 1,946 338

Harvest and Conservation

Segregated Hatchery + outplanting

0.010

0.01

0.010

1

0.49

1

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

10%

Harv

1,201,814

1.8%

y

10%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

N/A

1 1

0.010

35.0

0.010

Harvest and Conservation

Segregated Hatchery + outplanting

1.4%

Ave

y

N/A

1,201,814

HRT Preferred Alternative

Harvest and Conservation

y

637

0

100%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

0.663

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

0.01 0

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.4%

11

0

0.77

0.01 0

0.600

0.663

Recruits/Spawner

1.4%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

1,201,814

0.030

100%

0.600

0.182

Seg

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

637

None

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

% to Nat. Spawn. 90% 10%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

35.0

90%

y

100%

Current Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

1,201,814

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.4%

637

90%

HSRG Solution

0.01

90%

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.49

N/A

HRT Alternative #1

0

1

0.01

0.77

1

Segregated Hatchery + outplanting

0.600

0.01

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

5-Clearwater_NF Clearwater Summer

Steelhead (B-Run-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

1

0.01 0

1

1

0.010

0.49

0.01

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

11

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.01Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.600

637

1.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery + outplanting

0.01

N/A

1

0

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

0.01 0 00.01

0

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 23

Table A11. AHA output for Clear Creek B-run Summer Steelhead, Middle Fork Clearwater River (Dworshak NFH)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 122 122 122 122

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

738

9Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 13 30 13 15 15

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.74 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.81 Effective pHOS -> 0.56 Effective pHOS -> 0.56

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 153 22 109 12 167 25 114 13 114 13

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,541 267 2,697 468 490 85 490 85

Harvest mitigation

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

2.00

0.010

5,522

0.49

1

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinSegregated Hatchery

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Harvest mitigation

Hatchery

10%

Harv

302,936

1.8%

y

10%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

N/A

110 110

0.010

35.0

0.010

Harvest mitigation

Segregated Hatchery

1.4%

Ave

y

N/A

302,936

HRT Preferred Alternative

Harvest mitigation

y

160

32

81%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

56%

pHOS

0.663

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

2.00 100

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

0.8%

5,522110

100

0.77

2.00 100

0.600

0.663

Recruits/Spawner

1.4%

Current Harvest

20.0Fitness? [Y / N]

302,936

0.030

56%

0.600

0.182

Seg

Strays

50

Ave Ave

32

160

None

PNI 74%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

% to Nat. Spawn. 45% 55%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

35.0

45%

y

100%

Current Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

302,936

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.4%

883

90%

HSRG Solution

2.00

90%

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

100

y

Harvest mitigation

0.49

N/A

HRT Alternative #1

100

1

2.00

0.77

5,522

Segregated Hatchery

0.600

2.00

0.140

100100

0.010

0.140

0.010

5,522

1.00 0.49

45

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

6A-Clearwater_Lower Clearwater Summer

Steelhead (B-Run-Hatchery)

y

5,522

Historic

2,500

2.00 100

50

1

0.010

0.49

2.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

110110

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.91Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.600

504

1.8%

55%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

34

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery

2.00

N/A

1

100

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

2.00 100 1002.00

45

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

24 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A12. AHA output for Lower South Fork Clearwater River B-run Summer Steelhead (Dworshak NFH and Clearwater FH)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 268 467 564 438

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

449

3Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 80% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 13 30 13 13 13

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.85 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.90 Effective pHOS -> 0.91 Effective pHOS -> 0.89

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 573 86 136 12 613 97 623 101 608 96

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 11,594 2,013 19,509 3,388 23,189 4,027 18,122 3,147

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

1.50

0.010

19,326

0.49

1

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatrual Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Harvest

Hatchery

100%

168

Harv

1,159,600

1.8%

y

100%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Stabilizing

83 83

0.010

35.0

0.010

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

1.4%

Ave

y

Stabilizing

1,087,592

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

5,935

186

90%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

89%

pHOS

0.663

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

1.50 350

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.4%

19,32683

350

0.77

1.50 350

0.600

0.663

Recruits/Spawner

1.4%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

1,400,458

0.030

91%

0.600

0.182

Seg

Strays

189

Ave Ave

193

7,594

None

PNI 85%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

35.0y

100%

Current Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

665,467

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

240

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.4%

6,389

HSRG Solution

1.50

168

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

350

y

Harvest

0.49

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative #1

350

1

1.50

0.77

19,326

Segregated Hatchery

0.600

1.50

0.140

350350

0.010

0.140

0.010

19,326

0.49

317

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

3-Clearwater_SF Clearwater Summer

Steelhead (B-Run)

y

19,326

Historic

17,500

1.50 350

75

1

0.010

0.49

1.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

8383

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.36Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.600

3,796

268

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

52

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery

1.50

Stabilizing

1

350

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

1.50 350 3501.50

172

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 25

Table A13. AHA output for Upper South Fork Clearwater River B-run Summer Steelhead (Dworshak NFH and Clearwater FH)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 296 50 50 50

300 300

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

827

4Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.70 0.70 0.70

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.71 0.71 0.71

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 13 30 35 35 35

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.90 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.83 Effective pHOS -> 0.83 Effective pHOS -> 0.83

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 704 113 155 14 723 63 724 63 723 63

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 23,910 4,153 3,398 590 3,436 596 3,386 588

Conservation and Harvest

Integrated Hatchery

0.010

1.50

0.010

22,087

0.49

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

100%

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Conservation and Harvest

Hatchery

0.55

80%

58

Cons

123,906

1.8%

y

80%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

83 83

0.010

35.0

100%

0.010

Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

1.4%

Ave

y

Contributing

123,906

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

1,108

181

83%

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.55

pHOS pNOB

IntCons

30%30%

83%

pHOS

0.326

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

1.50 400

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.4%

22,08783

400

0.77

1.50 400

0.200

0.326

Recruits/Spawner

1.4%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

123,906

0.030

0.5583%

100%

0.200

0.182

Int

Strays

181

Ave Ave

182

1,125

None

PNI 90%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

% to Nat. Spawn. 80%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

30%

35.0

20%

y

100%

Current Harvest

Both

pHOS-Goal

734,993

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Int

61

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.4%

1,112

20%

HSRG Solution

1.50

74

20%

0.326

0.200

30%

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

400

y

Conservation

0.49

Contributing

HRT Alternative #1

400

1

1.50

0.77

22,087

Integrated Hatchery

0.200

1.50

0.140

400400

0.010

0.140

0.010

22,087

0.49

362

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

3-Clearwater_SF Clearwater_Crooked River

Summer Steelhead (B-Run)

y

22,087

Historic

20,000

1.50 400

75

1

0.010

0.49

1.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

8383

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.326

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.36Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.200

7,830

35

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.326

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

59

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery

1.50

Contributing

1

400

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

1.50 400 4001.50

217

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

26 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A14. AHA output for Lolo Creek A+B-run Summer Steelhead (Clearwater Fish Hatchery)

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 20 20 20 20

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

744

6Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.70 0.70 0.73

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.71 0.71 0.74

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 14 30 35 35 31

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.68 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.83 Effective pHOS -> 0.83 Effective pHOS -> 0.73

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 319 43 283 33 439 53 439 53 418 45

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 2,342 407 2,447 425 2,431 422 1,321 229

Harvest and Conservation

Integrated Hatchery + supplementation

0.010

2.00

0.010

11,043

0.49

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

100%

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

0.55

50%

85

Cons

49,413

1.8%

y

100%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

110 110

0.010

35.0

100%

0.010

Harvest and Conservation

Integrated Hatchery + supplementation

1.4%

Ave

y

Contributing

49,413

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

432

112

83%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.55

pHOS pNOB

IntCons

30%30%

73%

pHOS

0.106

0.060 0.060

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.060 0.060

0.010

2.00 200

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.4%

11,043110

200

0.77

2.00 200

0.030

0.106

Recruits/Spawner

1.4%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

49,413

0.030

0.5883%

100%

0.030

0.106

Int

Strays

122

Ave Ave

122

796

None

PNI 68%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 10% 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

30%

35.0y

100%

Current Harvest

Cons

pHOS-Goal

49,662

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Int

107

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.4%

801

50%

HSRG Solution

2.00

102

0.106

0.030

30%

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

200

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.49

Contributing

HRT Alternative #1

200

1

2.00

0.77

11,043

Integrated Hatchery + supplementation

0.030

2.00

0.060

200200

0.010

0.060

0.010

11,043

1.00 0.49

181

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

4-Clearwater_Lolo Summer Steelhead (A+B-

Run)

y

11,043

Historic

10,000

2.00 200

100

1

0.010

0.49

2.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

110110

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

pNOB

0.106

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.81Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.030

767

139

1.8%

90%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

85

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery + supplementation

2.00

Contributing

1

200

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

2.00 200 2002.00

92

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 27

Table A15. AHA output for Lower Clearwater River A-run Summer Steelhead

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

447

8Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.91 1.00 0.86 0.95 0.95

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.92 0.99 0.89 0.95 0.95

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 18 30 11 25 25

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.02 Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.01

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 3,501 528 3,695 567 3,393 504 3,585 546 3,585 546

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 176 31 234 41 123 21 123 21

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

5.21

0.010

71,511

0.49

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

40

None

2.0%

y

100%

y

2.0%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

261 261

0.010

35.0

0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

3.5%

Ave

y

Primary

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

40

1,081

2%

0.060

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

5%5%

1%

pHOS

0.106

0.060 0.060

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.060 0.060

0.010

5.21 1,430

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

3.5%

71,511261

1,430

0.77

5.21 1,430

0.030

0.106

Recruits/Spawner

3.5%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

0.030

1%

0.030

0.106

None

Strays

1,025

Ave Ave

1,081

40

None

PNI 1%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%

35.0y

100%

Current Harvest

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

76

2.0%

Current Habitat

3.5%

76

HSRG Solution

5.21

40

0.106

0.030

5%

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

1,430

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternative #1

1,430

1

5.21

0.77

71,511

Natural Reproduction only

0.030

5.21

0.060

1,4301,430

0.010

0.060

0.010

71,511

0.49

1,430

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

6-Clearwater_Lower Clearwater Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

71,511

Historic

71,500

5.21 1,430

261

1

0.010

0.49

5.21

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

261261

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

pNOB

0.106

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

5.21Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.030

58

58

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

5%

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

1,115

Ave

2.0%

Natural Reproduction only

5.21

Primary

1

1,430

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

5.21 1,430 1,4305.21

1,056

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

28 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A16. AHA output for Lochsa River B-run Summer Steelhead

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

448

1Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 80% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.98 1.00 0.95 0.99 0.99

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.97 0.99 0.95 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 32 30 26 32 32

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 3,037 380 3,129 392 2,924 368 3,102 386 3,102 386

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 61 11 97 17 30 5 30 5

Conservation

Natural Reproducton only

0.010

2.50

0.010

110,434

0.49

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproducton only

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

10

None

1.8%

y

100%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

138 138

0.010

35.0

0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproducton only

1.2%

Ave

y

Primary

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

10

901

1%

0.140

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

5%5%

0%

pHOS

0.182

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

2.50 2,000

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.2%

110,434138

2,000

0.77

2.50 2,000

0.030

0.182

Recruits/Spawner

1.2%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

0.030

0%

0.030

0.182

None

Strays

855

Ave Ave

901

10

None

PNI 1%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%

35.0y

100%

Current Harvest

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

32

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.2%

32

HSRG Solution

2.50

10

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

2,000

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternative #1

2,000

1

2.50

0.77

110,434

Natural Reproducton only

0.030

2.50

0.140

2,0002,000

0.010

0.140

0.010

110,434

1.00 0.49

1,811

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

1-Clearwater_Lochsa Summer Steelhead (B-

Run)

y

110,434

Historic

100,000

2.50 2,000

125

1

0.010

0.49

2.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

138138

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

2.26Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

20

20

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.182

5%

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

909

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproducton only

2.50

Primary

1

2,000

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

2.50 2,000 2,0002.50

883

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 29

Table A17. AHA output for B-run Selway River Summer Steelhead

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

521

2Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.99 1.00 0.97 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 33 30 30 32 32

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 3,842 479 3,911 489 3,754 472 3,893 485 3,893 485

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 57 10 91 16 25 4 25 4

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

2.50

0.010

138,046

0.49

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Clearwater Summer Steelhead

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

8

None

1.8%

y

100%

y

1.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

138 138

0.010

35.0

0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

1.2%

Ave

y

Primary

HRT Preferred Alternative

Conservation

y

8

1,130

1%

0.140

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

5%5%

0%

pHOS

0.182

0.140 0.140

0.010 0.010

0.030

0.010

0.140 0.140

0.010

2.50 2,500

1

0.0100.010

y

0.49

Habitat ----->

1.2%

138,046138

2,500

0.77

2.50 2,500

0.030

0.182

Recruits/Spawner

1.2%

Current Harvest

35.0Fitness? [Y / N]

0.030

0%

0.030

0.182

None

Strays

1,094

Ave Ave

1,130

8

None

PNI 0%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%

35.0y

100%

Current Harvest

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

30

1.8%

Current Habitat

1.2%

30

HSRG Solution

2.50

8

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

2,500

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternative #1

2,500

1

2.50

0.77

138,046

Natural Reproduction only

0.030

2.50

0.140

2,5002,500

0.010

0.140

0.010

138,046

1.00 0.49

2,264

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

2-Clearwater_Selway Summer Steelhead (B-

Run)

y

138,046

Historic

125,000

2.50 2,500

125

1

0.010

0.49

2.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

138138

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

2.26Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

19

19

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.182

5%

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

1,136

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproduction only

2.50

Primary

1

2,500

y

0.77

No HatcheryCurrent

2.50 2,500 2,5002.50

1,116

35.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

30 Appendix A – AHA Output

Tables A18-A39: AHA outputs for Salmon River Summer Steelhead

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 31

Parameters and assumptions for Salmon River steelhead

Steelhead smolts from several hatchery populations are currently released into the Salmon River

drainage. These hatchery populations include Sawtooth Hatchery steelhead (A-run), Pahsimeroi

Hatchery steelhead (A-run), Oxbow Hatchery steelhead (A-run), Dworshak NFH steelhead (B-run),

Squaw Creek B-run hatchery steelhead representing the offspring/descendants of Dworshak NFH

steelhead returning to Squaw Creek, and East Fork “Naturals” steelhead (A/B run) which are the

offspring/descendants of natural-origin steelhead trapped in the East Fork Salmon River. Each of these

steelhead stocks has characteristic mean female fecundities, mean egg-to-smolt survivals depending on

hatchery, mean smolt-to-adult survival rates, and mean numbers adult recruits per adult spawner (R/S).

Values of these various parameters for generating AHA Tables A18-A39 are presented in Table 5A.

Table 5A. Mean values of reproductive and survival parameters assumed in the AHA analyses

for hatchery-origin steelhead released within the Salmon River drainage (data obtained from the

HSRG). Some of the values below represent updated estimates obtained by the HRT.

Hatchery/

Release location

Population/Stock

Fecundity

(No. of

eggs)

Within-

hatchery

egg-to-smolt

survival

Salmon

River

smolt-to-

adult

survival (%)

Recruit/spawner

(R/S; adults)

Hagerman NFH, Magic Valley

FH, Niagara Springs FH/

Salmon River basin

Oxford, Pahsimeroi, and

Sawtooth Hatchery A-run

Steelhead

4,912

0.75

0.70%

12.9

Hagerman NFH, Magic Valley

FH/

Salmon River basin

Dworshak NFH B-run

Steelhead

6,848

0.56

0.14%

2.5

Clearwater FH/

Little Salmon River

Dworshak NFH B-run

Steelhead

6,848

0.75

0.14%

3.4

Magic Valley FH, Niagara

Springs FH/ Salmon River

basin

Localized B-run Steelhead

6,000

0.67

0.40%

7.8

Magic Valley FH/

E.F. Salmon River, Current

East Fork “Naturals”

steelhead

6,000

0.70

0.19%

4.0

Magic Valley FH/

Salmon River basin, under

HSRG

and HRT recommendations

East Fork “Naturals”

steelhead

6,000

0.70

0.34%

7.1

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

32 Appendix A – AHA Output

Current programs, HSRG solutions, and HRT alternatives

Tables A18-A39 simulate published HSRG solutions and two sets of HRT alternatives referred to as

HRT Alternatives A and HRT Alternatives B. HRT Alternatives A and B are identical except HRT

Alternative A models a localized hatchery population of B-run steelhead on the Pahsimeroi River,

whereas HRT Alternative B terminates all B-run hatchery programs and replaces those released

numbers of fish with A-run steelhead (Table 6A).

The HSRG solutions and the two HRT sets of alternatives modeled here terminate the annual transfer

and outplanting of Dworshak NFH B-run steelhead smolts in the East Fork Salmon River and at

Squaw Creek. Instead, the HSRG Solution and HRT Alternative “A” scenarios are based on the

development of localized hatchery populations of B-run steelhead for the upper Salmon River. The

HSRG Solution models this “localized” hatchery population for the East Fork Salmon River, assuming

construction of a new weir in the East Fork immediately upstream from its confluence with the

mainstem Salmon River. HRT Alternative A models a localized hatchery broodstock on the Pahsimeroi

River because trapping facilities are already in place there. In this context, the HSRG solution can be

viewed as a potential “long-term recommendation”, while HRT Alternative A can be viewed as a

“short-term recommendation”.

The HSRG Solution and HRT alternatives for the Little Salmon River hatchery programs maintain the

current release numbers of both A-run and Dworshak NFH B-run steelhead. However, the HRT is

recommending that Clearwater FH, rather than Hagerman NFH or Magic Valley FH, rear Dworshak

B-run steelhead released in the Little Salmon River because of the greater in-hatchery survivals and

recruit-per-spawners associated with rearing at Clearwater FH.

The HRT further recommends that all Sawtooth A-run steelhead be reared at Hagerman NFH and that

all Pahsimeroi A-run steelhead be reared at Magic Valley and Niagara Springs FH. Currently,

approximately 1.45M and 1.59M steelhead smolts are reared annually at Hagerman NFH and Magic

Valley FH, respectively. The “HSRG Solutions” in Tables A19-A39 assume that those numbers would

remain unchanged. The two sets of HRT alternatives would reduce those numbers slightly to 1.40 and

1.55M smolts, respectively. Further reductions may be necessary in response to declining water

supplies at both facilities.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 33

Table 6A. Summary of the number of hatchery-origin (HOR) steelhead smolts released in the Salmon River under four strategies modeled in

AHA Tables A18-A39: (1) Current programs based on the LSRCP Cooperators 2008 Annual Operating Plan for the Salmon River, (2) the

HSRG Solution, (3) HRT Alternative A (development of localized hatchery populations of B-run steelhead) and HRT Alternative B (A-run

steelhead programs only). The names of hatchery stocks/populations are in italics (e.g., “Oxbow”, “Pahsimeroi”) and are identified by the

facility/location where adults are trapped for broodstock. Hatcheries where juvenile fish are reared to the smolt stage prior to release are shown

in parentheses. The HSRG solution assumes construction of new weirs in the lower Lemhi River and the lower East Fork Salmon River.

Release location:

Program

Current

HSRG Solution

HRT Alternative A

HRT Alternative B

Little Salmon River:

A-run

(AHA Tables A18,

A19)

275K Oxbow smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

170K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

200K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

275K Oxbow smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

370K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Little Salmon River:

B-run

(AHA Table A20)

215K Dworshak smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

100K Dworshak smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 315 K Dworshak smolts

(Clearwater FH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Salmon River at

Red Rock: A-run

(AHA Tables A28,

A29)

120K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

New conservation weir in

lower Lemhi River

Terminate smolt releases at Red

Rock site

Same as HRT Alt. A

Salmon River at

Shoup Bridge: A-run

(AHA Tables A30,

A31)

80K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 120K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Salmon River at

Colston Corner: A-run

(AHA Table A30,

A31)

140K Pahsimeroi or Sawtooth

smolts (Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 180K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Pahsimeroi River at

hatchery weir: A-run

(AHA Table A30,

A31)

830K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

30K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 900K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

1.15M Pahsimeroi smolts

(Niagara Springs FH)

Pahsimeroi River at

hatchery weir: B-run

(AHA Table A32)

No program Same as Current 250K localized Dworshak

smolts, Pahsimeroi broodstock.

(Magic Valley FH)

Same as Current

Salmon River at 120K Pahsimeroi or Sawtooth

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

34 Appendix A – AHA Output

McNabb Point

(AHA Table A33)

A-run smolts

(Magic Valley FH) 120K East Fork “F2” HOR

Naturals (Magic Valley FH)

Same as HSRG Solution Same as HSRG Solution

Salmon River at

Tunnel Rock

(AHA Table A33)

60K Pahsimeroi or Sawtooth

A-run smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

60K East Fork “F2” HOR

Naturals (Magic Valley FH)

Same as HSRG Solution

Same as HSRG Solution

E.F. Salmon River at

existing weir (RM

18):

E.F. “Naturals”

(AHA Table A34)

60K E.F. Naturals

(pNOB = 0.5)

(Magic Valley FH)

Terminate releases at existing

weir

150K E.F. Naturals

(pNOB = 0.75),

released upstream of weir

(Magic Valley FH)

Same as HSRG solution

E.F. Salmon River at

mouth (RM 1.0):

E.F. “Naturals”

(AHA Tables A33,

A34)

No program

Construct new weir at mouth

100K E.F. Naturals

(pNOB = 0.75)

(Magic Valley FH)

325K East Fork “F2” HOR

Naturals (Magic Valley FH)

Construct new weir at mouth

150K E.F. Naturals

(pNOB = 0.75)

(Magic Valley FH)

325K East Fork “F2” HOR

Naturals (Magic Valley FH)

E.F. Salmon River at

mouth (RM 1): B-run

(AHA Table A35)

225K Dworshak smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

100K Dworshak smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

Construct new weir at mouth

325K localized Dworshak

smolts, E.F. broodstock

(Magic Valley FH)

No program

No program

Squaw Creek and

Pond: B-run

(AHA Tables A36,

A37)

60K localized Dworshak

smolts, Squaw Cr. broodstock

(Magic Valley FH)

250K Dworshak smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

270K E.F. Salmon River

localized Dworshak smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

60K localized Dworshak

smolts, Squaw Cr. broodstock

(Magic Valley FH)

No program

Slate Creek: A-run

(AHA Tables A38,

A39)

90K Pahsimeroi smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 90K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Yankee Fork,

Salmon River: A-run

(AHA Tables A38,

A39)

240K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

90K Sawtooth smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

330K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Valley Creek: A-run

(AHA Tables A38,

A39)

50K Sawtooth smolts

(Magic Valley FH)

No recommendation

(same as Current) 50K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

Salmon River at

Sawtooth Hatchery

weir: A-run

(AHA Tables A38,

A39)

810K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

930K Sawtooth smolts

(Hagerman NFH)

Same as HRT Alt. A

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 35

Table A18. AHA output for Little Salmon River summer steelhead (A-run ). Hatchery influence on this population is from outplanted Dworshak

NFH steelhead (B-run), and outplanted Oxbow and Pahsimeroi Hatchery A-run steelhead (see Tables A19 and A20).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

549

1Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 14 30 14 14 14

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.62 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.62 Effective pHOS -> 0.62 Effective pHOS -> 0.62

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 857 129 1,103 158 857 129 857 129 857 129

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 5,154 895 5,154 895 5,162 897 5,162 897

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Stabilizing

1

474

y

0.77

Current

3.60

323

Ave

2.0%

Segregated Hatchery

3.60

No Hatchery

474 4743.60

258

0.106

pHOS

1,688

1,688

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.80Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

pNOB

0.106

1

0.010

0.49

3.60

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

180180

12-Salmon_Little Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

23,704

Historic

11,850

3.60 474

90

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

23,704

1.00 0.49

237

y

1.00

23,704

0.030

3.60

0.060

474474

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

474

y

Harvest

0.49

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives A

474

1

3.60

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

3.60

1,691

0.106

0.030

0.1060.106

1,688

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 62%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv

Strays

258

Ave Ave

258

1,691

0.030

62%

0.030

0.106

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

23,704180

474

0.77

3.60 474

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.49

3.60 474

1

0.060

0.010 0.010

0.010

62%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

Conservation

y

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives B

Stabilizing

0.060

0.010

y

SegHarv

62%

0.060

pNOB

Harv

0.060

Seg

1,688

180

0.010

Ave

1,691

258

0.010

pHOS

Seg

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

100%

1,691

Harv

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

180

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

3.60

0.010

23,704

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

36 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A19. AHA output for Oxbow and Pahsimeroi Hatchery A-run steelhead released into the Little Salmon River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy: Segregated

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 350 350 350 350

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

550

2Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 5,669 984 5,669 984 5,669 984 5,669 984

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

12.9

Not listed - excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

0

Ave

2.0%

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

0.631

pHOS

1,856

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.600

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.631

pNOB

0.106

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

12A-Salmon_Little Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run-Pahsimeroi-Oxbow-

Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

1

0.600

0.00

0.060

00

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Not listed - excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

0.00

0.631

0.600

0.1060.106

1,856

12.9y

644,700

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

1,856

0.030

100%

0.600

0.106

Recruits/Spawner

0.7%

Current Harvest

12.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.7%

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.600

0.631

0.010

y

0.49

0.00 0

1

0.060

0.010 0.010

0.010

100%

pHOS

0.631

pNOB

Conservation

y

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

Not listed - excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

0.060

0.010

y

644,700

SegHarv

100%

0.060

pNOB

Harv

0.060

Seg

0

0.010

0.7%

Ave

1,856

0

12.9

0.010

pHOS

644,700

Seg

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.7%

100%

Harv

644,700

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Not listed - excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

0

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Hatchery - Outplanting

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

0.010

0.00

0.010

1

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 37

Table A20. AHA output for Dworshak NFH steelhead (B-run ) released into the Little Salmon River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy: Segregated

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 164 164 123 123

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

791

3Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 471 81 471 81 480 83 480 83

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

3.4

Not listed - excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

0

Ave

1.8%

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

0.663

pHOS

154

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.600

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

12B-Salmon_Little Salmon Summer

Steelhead (B-Run-Dworshak-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

1

0.600

0.00

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Not listed - excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

0.00

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

154

2.5y

314,460

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

ConsHarv

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

157

0.030

100%

0.600

0.182

Recruits/Spawner

0.1%

Current Harvest

2.5Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.1%

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.600

0.663

0.010

y

0.49

0.00 0

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.010

100%

pHOS

0.663

pNOB

Conservation

y

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

Not listed - excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

0.140

0.010

y

315,864

SegHarv

100%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

0.140

Seg

0

0.010

0.1%

Ave

157

0

3.4

0.010

pHOS

315,864

Seg

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

100%

Harv

314,460

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Not listed - excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

0

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Hatchery - Outplanting

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery - Outplanting

0.010

0.00

0.010

1

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

38 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A21. AHA output for South Fork Salmon River steelhead (B-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

548

4Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.98 1.00 0.98 0.98 0.98

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.97 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.97

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 31 30 31 31 31

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.01

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 2,006 267 2,058 275 2,006 267 2,006 267 2,006 267

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 43 7 43 7 43 7 43 7

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Primary

1

1,115

y

0.77

Current

3.00

594

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproduction only

3.00

No Hatchery

1,115 1,1153.00

579

0.182

5%

pHOS

14

14

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.36Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.49

3.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

166166

13-Salmon_South Fork Summer Steelhead

(B-Run)

y

61,568

Historic

27,875

3.00 1,115

75

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

61,568

1.00 0.49

505

y

1.00

61,568

0.030

3.00

0.140

1,1151,115

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

1,115

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

1,115

1

3.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

3.00

14

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

14

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 1%

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

579

Ave Ave

579

14

0.030

1%

0.030

0.182

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

61,568166

1,115

0.77

3.00 1,115

0.030

0.182

0.010

y

0.49

3.00 1,115

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.010

1%

pHOS

0.182

pNOB

5%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

0.140

0.010

y

NoneCons

1%

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.140

None

14

166

0.010

Ave

14

579

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

100%

14

Cons

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

166

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

3.00

0.010

61,568

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 39

Table A22. AHA output for Secesh River steelhead (B-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

547

5Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.96 1.00 0.96 0.95 0.95

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.95 0.99 0.95 0.95 0.95

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 26 30 26 26 26

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.01 Effective pHOS -> 0.01

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 603 80 631 84 603 80 603 80 603 80

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 18 3 18 3 18 3 18 3

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Primary

1

342

y

0.77

Current

3.00

182

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproduction only

3.00

No Hatchery

342 3423.00

174

0.182

5%

pHOS

6

6

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.36Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.49

3.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

166166

14-Salmon_Secesh Summer Steelhead (B-

Run)

y

18,885

Historic

8,550

3.00 342

75

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

18,885

1.00 0.49

155

y

1.00

18,885

0.030

3.00

0.140

342342

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

342

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

342

1

3.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

3.00

6

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

6

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 1%

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

174

Ave Ave

174

6

0.030

1%

0.030

0.182

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

18,885166

342

0.77

3.00 342

0.030

0.182

0.010

y

0.49

3.00 342

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.010

1%

pHOS

0.182

pNOB

5%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

0.140

0.010

y

NoneCons

1%

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.140

None

6

166

0.010

Ave

6

174

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

100%

6

Cons

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

166

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

3.00

0.010

18,885

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

40 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A23. AHA output for Chamberlain Creek steelhead (A-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

546

6Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 32 30 32 32 32

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 848 116 852 117 848 116 848 116 848 116

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Primary

1

399

y

0.77

Current

3.00

247

Ave

2.0%

Natural Reproduction only

3.00

No Hatchery

399 3993.00

245

0.106

5%

pHOS

2

2

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.50Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

pNOB

0.106

1

0.010

0.49

3.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

150150

15-Salmon_Chamberlain Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

19,954

Historic

9,975

3.00 399

75

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

19,954

1.00 0.49

199

y

1.00

19,954

0.030

3.00

0.060

399399

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

399

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

399

1

3.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

3.00

2

0.106

0.030

5%

0.1060.106

2

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 0%

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

245

Ave Ave

245

2

0.030

0%

0.030

0.106

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

19,954150

399

0.77

3.00 399

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.49

3.00 399

1

0.060

0.010 0.010

0.010

0%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

5%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

0.060

0.010

y

NoneCons

0%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.060

None

2

150

0.010

Ave

2

245

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

100%

2

Cons

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

150

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

3.00

0.010

19,954

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 41

Table A24. AHA output for Lower Middle Fork Salmon River steelhead (B-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

544

7Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 33 30 33 33 33

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 2,450 305 2,483 311 2,450 305 2,449 305 2,449 305

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 31 5 31 5 31 5 31 5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Primary

1

1,587

Y

0.77

Current

2.50

721

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproduction only

2.50

No Hatchery

1,587 1,5872.50

711

0.182

5%

pHOS

10

10

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.13Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.49

2.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

138138

16-Salmon_Lower Middle Fork Salmon

Summer Steelhead (B-Run)

Y

87,629

Historic

39,675

2.50 1,587

63

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

87,629

0.49

620

87,629

0.030

2.50

0.140

1,5871,587

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

1,587

Y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

1,587

1

2.50

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

2.50

10

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

10

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 0%

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

711

Ave Ave

711

10

0.030

0%

0.030

0.182

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

87,629138

1,587

0.77

2.50 1,587

0.030

0.182

0.010

Y

0.49

2.50 1,587

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.010

0%

pHOS

0.182

pNOB

5%

Conservation

Y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

0.140

0.010

y

NoneCons

0%

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.140

None

10

138

0.010

Ave

10

711

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

100%

10

Cons

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

138

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

2.50

0.010

87,629

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

42 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A25. AHA output for Upper Middle Fork Salmon River steelhead (B-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

545

8Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 30 30 30 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 2,608 326 2,608 326 2,608 326 2,608 326 2,608 326

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays)

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Primary

1

1,667

y

0.77

Current

2.50

758

Ave

1.8%

Natural Reproduction only

2.50

No Hatchery

1,667 1,6672.50

758

0.182

5%

pHOS

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.13Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.140

pHOS

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

pNOB

0.182

1

0.010

0.49

2.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

138138

17-Salmon_Upper Middle Fork Salmon

Summer Steelhead (B-Run)

y

92,047

Historic

41,675

2.50 1,667

63

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

92,047

1.00 0.49

755

y

1.00

92,047

0.030

2.50

0.140

1,6671,667

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

1,667

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

1,667

1

2.50

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

2.50

0.182

0.030

5%

0.1820.182

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

758

Ave Ave

758

0.0300.030

0.182

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

92,047138

1,667

0.77

2.50 1,667

0.030

0.182

0.010

y

0.49

2.50 1,667

1

0.140

0.010 0.010

0.010

pHOS

0.182

pNOB

5%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

0.140

0.010

y

NoneCons

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.140

None

138

0.010

Ave

758

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

100%

Cons

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

138

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

2.50

0.010

92,047

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 43

Table A26. AHA output for Panther Creek steelhead (A-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

543

9Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 33 30 33 33 33

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00 Effective pHOS -> 0.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 599 70 606 71 599 70 599 70 599 70

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

Stabilizing

1

428

y

0.77

Current

2.00

181

Ave

2.0%

Natural Reproduction only

2.00

No Hatchery

428 4282.00

179

0.106

5%

pHOS

2

2

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.030

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.060

pHOS

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

pNOB

0.106

1

0.010

0.49

2.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

100100

18-Salmon_Panther Creek Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

21,403

Historic

10,700

2.00 428

50

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

21,403

1.00 0.49

214

y

1.00

21,403

0.030

2.00

0.060

428428

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

428

y

Conservation

0.49

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives A

428

1

2.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

HSRG Solution

2.00

2

0.106

0.030

5%

0.1060.106

2

y

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

None

PNI 0%

None

pHOS-Realized

ConsCons

Strays

179

Ave Ave

179

2

0.030

0%

0.030

0.106

5%

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

21,403100

428

0.77

2.00 428

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.49

2.00 428

1

0.060

0.010 0.010

0.010

0%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

5%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives B

Stabilizing

0.060

0.010

y

NoneCons

0%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.060

None

2

100

0.010

Ave

2

179

0.010

pHOS

None

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

100%

2

Cons

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

Current Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

100

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Natural Reproduction only

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

2.00

0.010

21,403

0.49

1

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

44 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A27. AHA output for North Fork Salmon River steelhead (A-run ).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

542

10Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.84 1.00 0.84 0.82 0.76

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.87 0.99 0.87 0.86 0.82

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 8 30 8 6 3

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.02 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.02 Effective pHOS -> 0.02 Effective pHOS -> 0.03

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 416 55 482 66 416 55 406 53 382 50

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 30 5 30 5 33 6 38 7

1

Natural Reproducion only

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

150

Conservation

12

Cons

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.010

pHOS

None

0.010

0.010

Ave

12

113

2%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.060

None

10

NoneCons

100%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

15011,302

3%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

5%

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

3.00 226

1

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.060

11,302150

226

0.77

3.00 226

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

2%

0.030

0.106

5%

122

Ave Ave

119

None

2%

None Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Cons

Strays

y

100%

10 11

HSRG Solution

3.00

11

0.106

0.030

5%

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

3.00

0.010

0.49

226

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

226

1

3.00

0.77

11,302

0.030

3.00

0.060

226226

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

PNI

Hydro

11,302

1.00 0.49

113

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

19-Salmon_North Fork Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

11,302

Historic

5,650

3.00 226

75

1

0.010

0.49

3.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

150150

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

0.060Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.50Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.030

0.060

10

10

pHOSpNOB

0.106

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

5%

pHOS

140

Ave

2.0%

Natural Reproduction only

3.00

No Hatchery

226 2263.00

122

Primary

1

226

y

0.77

Current

3.00

y

Natural Reproduction Only

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

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L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ha

tch

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L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 45

Table A28. AHA output for Lemhi River steelhead (A-run ). This population is influenced by hatchery fish from the release of Pahsimeroi

Hatchery A-run steelhead smolts in the mainstem Salmon River, primarily at the Red Rock site (currently 120,000 smolts; see Table A29).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

541

11Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor -> 90%

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.64 0.57 0.55

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 19 30 59 42

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.34 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.06 Effective pHOS -> 0.11 Effective pHOS -> 0.13

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 646 63 1,303 147 644 15 499 16 474 17

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,191 207 118 20 149 26 170 29

1

Natural Reproducion only

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest + Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

90

Harvest + Conservation

56

Harv

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.010

pHOS

None

0.010

0.010

Ave

56

91

6%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.060

Seg

39

NoneCons

100%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

9056,959

13%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

5%

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

1.80 1,139

1

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.060

56,95990

1,139

0.77

1.80 1,139

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

11%

0.030

0.106

5%

142

Ave Ave

100

None

34%

Seg Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

5%pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

y

100%

39 49

HSRG Solution

1.80

49

0.106

0.030

5%

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

1.80

0.010

0.49

1,139

y

Conservation

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

1,139

1

1.80

0.77

56,959

0.030

1.80

0.060

1,1391,139

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

PNI

Hydro

56,959

1.00 0.49

569

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

20-Salmon_Lemhi Summer Steelhead (A-

Run)

y

56,959

Historic

28,475

1.80 1,139

45

1

0.010

0.49

1.80

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

9090

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

0.060Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.90Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.030

0.060

390

390

pHOSpNOB

0.106

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

5%

pHOS

408

Ave

2.0%

HOR outplants at Red Rock, MS Salmon

1.80

No Hatchery

1,139 1,1391.80

187

Primary

1

1,139

y

0.77

Current

1.80

y

HORs + weir on Lemhi River

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

46 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A29. AHA output for Pahsimeroi Hatchery A-run steelhead released/outplanted in the mainstem Salmon River at Red Rock site,

downstream from the mouth of the Lemhi River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 65 65

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

790

12Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 30 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,052 182 1,052 182

1

Natural Reproduction only

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Not listed; excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

0

Harvest

Harv

119,730

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.010

pHOS

None

0.010

0.010

Ave

0

100%

0.060

pNOB

Cons

0.060

Seg NoneCons

100%

Conservation

y

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

N/A

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

01

pHOS

0.631

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

0.00 0

1

0.600

0.631

0.010

y

0.060

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

0.7%

Current Harvest

12.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.0300.600

0.106

0

Ave Ave

0

None

100%

Seg Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

12.9y

100%

344

HSRG Solution

0.00

0.631

0.600

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.00

0.010

0.49

0

y

Conservation

0.49

N/A

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.77

1

0.600

0.00

0.060

00

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

20A-Salmon_Lemhi Summer Steelhead (A-

Run-Pahsimeroi Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.631

0.060Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.600

0.060

344

pHOSpNOB

0.106

119,730

0.7%

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.631

pHOS

0

Ave

2.0%

HOR outplants at Red Rock

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

Not listed; excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

y

HORs + weir on Lemhi River

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 47

Table A30. AHA output for Pahsimeroi River steelhead (A-run). This population is influenced primarily by the release of Pahsimeroi Hatchery

A-run steelhead smolts at the hatchery weir on the Pahsimeroi River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

464

13Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.51 0.99 0.51 0.51 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 27 30 27 26 22

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.25 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.25 Effective pHOS -> 0.26 Effective pHOS -> 0.27

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 204 17 929 101 208 17 203 18 226 21

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 262 45 250 44 285 49 331 58

1

Segregated Hatchery

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Conservation and Harvest

Hatchery

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

83

Conservation and Harvest

109

Both

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.010

pHOS

None

0.010

0.010

Ave

109

72

25%

0.060

pNOB

Both

0.060

None

82

NoneBoth

100%

Conservation

y

Conservation and Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

Contributing

HRT Alternatives B

Contributing

8351,459

27%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

10%

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

1.65 1,029

1

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.060

51,45983

1,029

0.77

1.65 1,029

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

26%

0.030

0.106

10%

61

Ave Ave

66

None

25%

None Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

10%pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Both

Strays

y

100%

82 93

HSRG Solution

1.65

93

0.106

0.030

10%

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

1.65

0.010

0.49

1,029

y

Conservation and Harvest

0.49

Contributing

HRT Alternatives A

1,029

1

1.65

0.77

51,459

0.030

1.65

0.060

1,0291,029

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

PNI

Hydro

51,459

1.00 0.49

514

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

21-Salmon_Pahsimeroi Summer Steelhead

(A-Run)

y

51,459

Historic

25,725

1.65 1,029

41

1

0.010

0.49

1.65

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

8383

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

0.060Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.82Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.030

0.060

86

86

pHOSpNOB

0.106

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

10%

pHOS

309

Ave

2.0%

Segregated Hatchery

1.65

No Hatchery

1,029 1,0291.65

63

Contributing

1

1,029

y

0.77

Current

1.65

y

Segregated Hatchery

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

48 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A31. AHA output for Pahsimeroi Hatchery A-run steelhead released into the Pahsimeroi River at the hatchery weir (currently 860,000

smolts), and into the mainstem Salmon River at Shoup Bridge (80,000 smolts) and at Colston Corner (140,000 smolts).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 586 586 652 787

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

539

14Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 2,372 412 2,372 412 2,640 458 3,186 553

1

Segregated Hatchery

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Not listed; excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

0

Harvest

Harv

1,079,411

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

25%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.7%

0.010

pHOS

1,200,984

Seg

0.010

0.010

0.7%

Ave

1,043

0

12.9

100%

0.060

pNOB

Harv

0.060

Seg

1,449,655

SegHarv

75% 25%

0

y

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery: A-run only

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

01

100%

pHOS

0.631

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

0.00 0

1

0.600

0.631

0.010

y

0.060

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

0.7%

Current Harvest

12.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

100%

0.600

0.106

0

Ave Ave

0

None

100%

Seg Cons

25%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn. 75%

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

12.9

75%

y

100%

777 864

HSRG Solution

0.00

75%

0.631

0.600

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.00

0.010

0.49

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.77

1

0.600

0.00

0.060

00

0.010

0.060

0.010

0.060

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

21A-Salmon_Pahsimeroi Summer

Steelhead (A-Run-Pahsimeroi-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.631

0.060Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.600

0.060

777

pHOSpNOB

0.106

1,079,411

0.7%

2.0%

25%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.631

pHOS

0

Ave

2.0%

Segregated Hatchery

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

Not listed; excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

12.9 y

Segregated Hatchery

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 49

Table A32. AHA output for localized B-run summer steelhead smolts (derived from Dworshak NFH stock) released into the Pahsimeroi River.

The modeled program represents an annual release of 250,000 smolts derived from adult fish returning to the weir on the Pahsimeroi River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 124

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

950

15Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.19 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.24 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 30 30 43 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 100 17

1

Segregated Hatchery

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

0

Harvest

Harv

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

10%

1.8%

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

0.010

pHOS

249,240

Seg

0.010

0.010

Ave

0

7.1

0.140

pNOB

Harv

0.140

None NoneHarv

100%

Conservation

y

Harvest

No B-run program in upper Salmon Riv.

N/A

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

01

pHOS

0.663

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.140

0.00 0

1

0.600

0.663

0.010

y

0.140

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

100%

0.600

0.182

0

Ave Ave

0

NoneNone Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

y

100%

32

HSRG Solution

0.00

90%

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.00

0.010

0.49

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.77

1

0.600

0.00

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

21B-Salmon_Pahsimeroi Summer

Steelhead (B-Run-Pahsimeroi-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

0.140Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.600

0.140

pHOSpNOB

0.182

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

0

Ave

1.8%

B-run outplants elsewhere in Salmon Riv.

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

N/A

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

y

B-run program in E.F.

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

50 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A33. AHA output for (a) A-run hatchery-origin steelhead released in the Salmon River at McNabb Point (120,000 smolts) and Tunnel Rock (60,000 smolts) under Current, and (b) East Fork Salmon River F2 HOR Naturals released at the two preceding locations (120,000 and 60,000 smolts, respectively) and at RM 1.0 in the lower E.F. Salmon River (325,000 smolts) under the HSRG Solution and HRT Alternatives.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 98 86 80 160 80 160

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

814

18Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,587 275 766 133 1,711 297 1,069 185

E.F. Salmon River stock

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

7.1 y

Not listed; excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

0

Ave

2.0%

Pahsimeroi Hatchery stock

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

0.631

pHOS

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.010

0.600

0.060

519

pHOSpNOB

0.106

180,516

0.7%

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.631

0.060

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

22C-Salmon_East Fork Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run Pahsimeroi-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

0.600

0.00

0.060

00

0.010

0.060

0.010

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Sustaining

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.00

0.010

0.49

HSRG Solution

0.00

20%

0.631

0.600

0.1060.106

251 560

7.1y

100%

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Seg

100%

Seg Harv

0

Ave Ave

0

0.030

100%

0.600

0.106

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

12.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.49

1

0.600

0.631

0.010

y

0.060

0.00 0

1

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

100%

pHOS

0.631

pNOB

Conservation

y

Harvest

E.F. Salmon River stock

Sustaining

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

01

504,000

SegHarv

50% 50%

100%

0.060

pNOB

Harv

0.060

Seg

0.010

0.3%

Ave

350

0

7.1

0.010

pHOS

504,000

Seg

0.010

0.060

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.3%

Harv

180,600

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

80%

2.0%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

0

Harvest

Current Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Sustaining

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

1

E.F. Salmon River stock

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 51

Table A34. AHA output for East Fork Salmon River steelhead (A/B-run). The HSRG solution and HRT Alternative B assume construction of a new weir at RM 1.0 in the East Fork Salmon River. HRT Alternative A assumes releases are moved upstream of the current weir at RM 18.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 29 48 72 72

86 86 160 160 160 160

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

467

16Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.67 1.00 0.79 0.73 0.73

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.70 0.99 0.80 0.74 0.75

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 38 30 9 29 28

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.44 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.39 Effective pHOS -> 0.53 Effective pHOS -> 0.51

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> 0.25 pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.38 pNOB -> 0.38 pNOB -> 0.38

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 969 88 407 35 789 42 1,138 69 1,056 56

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,965 340 1,058 184 2,135 370 1,613 279

1

Stepping Stone Hatchery Program

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Conservation

Hatchery

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural repreduction only

75%

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

75

Conservation + Harvest

295

Cons

100,800

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

50%

2.0%

0.030

0.010

2.0%

Current Habitat

0.3%

0.010

pHOS

151,200

Int

0.010

0.010

0.3%

Ave

528

250

7.1

75%

39%

0.140

pNOB

Cons

0.59

0.140

Int

269

151,200

IntCons

50% 50%

Conservation

y

Conservation + Harvest

Stepping Stone Hatchery Program

Primary

HRT Alternatives B

Primary

7552,408

51%

pHOS

0.182

pNOB

30%

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.140

1.50 1,048

1

0.030

0.182

0.010

y

0.140

52,40875

1,048

0.77

1.50 1,048

0.49

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

4.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

0.6053%

75%

0.030

0.182

30%

202

Ave Ave

272

None

44%

Int None

25%

pNOB-Goal

0.53

pHOSpNOB

30%

0.66

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

50%

% to Nat. Spawn. 20%

pHOS-Realized

Cons

Strays

7.1

75%

y

100%

346 699

HSRG Solution

1.50

466

50%

0.182

0.030

30%

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

1.50

0.010

0.49

1,048

y

Conservation + Harvest

0.49

Primary

HRT Alternatives A

1,048

1

1.50

0.77

52,408

0.030

1.50

0.140

1,0481,048

0.010

0.140

0.010

0.140

PNI

Hydro

52,408

1.00 0.49

524

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

22-Salmon_East Fork Salmon Summer

Steelhead

y

52,408

Historic

26,200

1.50 1,048

38

1

0.010

0.49

1.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

7575

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.182

0.140Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.75Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

0.010

0.030

0.140

643

559

pHOSpNOB

0.182

60,900

0.2%

2.0%

80%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.182

30%

pHOS

155

Ave

2.0%

Integrated Hatchery

1.50

No Hatchery

1,048 1,0481.50

262

Primary

1

1,048

y

0.77

Current

1.50

7.1 y

Stepping Stone Hatchery Program

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

52 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A35. AHA output for (a) Dworshak NFH B-run steelhead outplanted into East Fork Salmon River (Current) and (b) a localized B-run

hatchery steelhead population (derived from Dworshak NFH fish) after construction of a new weir in the lower East Fork (HSRG Solution).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 170 162

134 134

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

792

17Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 30 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 488 84 132 22

Localized B-run stock with new weir

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

7.1 y

N/A

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.00

0

Ave

1.8%

Outplants from Dworshak NFH

0.00

No Hatchery

0 00.00

0

0.663

pHOS

1.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.010

0.600

0.140

159

pHOSpNOB

0.182

325,965

0.1%

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

0.140

1

0.010

0.49

0.00

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

00

22B-Salmon_East Fork Salmon Summer

Steelhead (B-Run Dworshak-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

0.600

0.00

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010

0

y

Harvest

0.49

N/A

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.00

0.770.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.00

0.010

0.49

HSRG Solution

0.00

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

43

7.1

90%

y

100%

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

10%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Seg

100%

Seg Harv

0

Ave Ave

0

0.0300.600

0.182

Recruits/Spawner

0.4%

Current Harvest

2.5Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

10

0

0.77

0.00 0

0.49

1

0.600

0.663

0.010

y

0.140

0.00 0

1

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.140

pHOS

0.663

pNOB

Conservation

y

Harvest

No B-run hatchery program in upper Snake River

N/A

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

01

SegHarv

100%

100%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

0.140

Seg

0.010

0.4%

Ave

0

7.1

0.010

pHOS

Seg

0.010

0.140

0.030

0.010

1.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

Harv

325,620

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8%

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

0

Harvest

Current Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

1

Localized B-run stock at Pahsimeroi FH

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 53

Table A36. AHA output for localized B-run hatchery steelhead released into Squaw Creek. The HSRG Solution imports localized B-run steelhead

annually from a new B-run hatchery population propagated from adults that return to the East Fork Salmon River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy: Local Local

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 30 134 30

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

793

22Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 183 29 1,092 189 183 29

1

Broodstock at Pahsimeroi FH

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

Not listed; excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

1

Harvest

Harv

269,340

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

75%

1.8% 1.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

7.1

0.010

pHOS

59,153

Seg

0.010

0.140

0.030

0.010

0.4%

Ave

0

100%

0.140

pNOB

Harv

0.140

Seg NoneHarv

25% 75%

Conservation

y

Harvest

No B-run program in upper Salmon River

N/A

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

11

pHOS

0.663

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.140

0.01 0

1

0.600

0.663

0.010

y

0.140

11

0

0.77

0.01 0

0.49

1

Recruits/Spawner

0.4%

Current Harvest

7.1Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

100%

0.600

0.182

0

Ave Ave

0

None

100%

Seg Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn. 25%

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

7.1y

100%

357 59

HSRG Solution

0.01

25%

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.01

0.010

0.49

0

y

Harvest

0.49

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.01

0.77

0.600

0.01

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010 0.010

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

23C-Salmon_Upper Salmon Summer

Steelhead (Upper Salmon B-Run Program)

y

1

Historic

0

0.01 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.01

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

11

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

0.140

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.010

0.600

0.140

59

pHOSpNOB

0.182

59,153

0.4%

1.8%

75%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

0

Ave

1.8%

Local Segregated Broodstock

0.01

No Hatchery

0 00.01

0

Not listed; excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.01

7.1 y

broodstock at E.F. Salmon R.

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

54 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A37. AHA output for Dworshak NFH B-run steelhead outplanted into Squaw Creek. The HSRG Solution and HRT Alternative A would

terminate these outplants (as would HRT Alternative B) and develop a localized hatchery population at the upper Salmon River basin.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018 0.048 0.018

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 130

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

466

21Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 30 30 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS ->

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 280 48

1

Local Broodstock at Pahsimeroi FH

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest

Hatchery

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

1

Harvest

Harv

1.8%

y

Current Habitat

100%

1.8% 1.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

2.5

0.010

pHOS

None

0.010

0.140

0.030

0.010

0.1%

Ave

0

0.140

pNOB

Harv

0.140

None NoneHarv

100%

Conservation

y

Harvest

No B-run steelhead program in upper Salmon River

N/A

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

11

pHOS

0.663

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.140

0.01 0

1

0.600

0.663

0.010

y

0.140

11

0

0.77

0.01 0

0.49

1

Recruits/Spawner

0.1%

Current Harvest

2.5Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.0300.600

0.182

0

Ave Ave

0

None

100%

Seg Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn. 25%

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

2.5y

100%

HSRG Solution

0.01

0.663

0.600

0.1820.182

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.01

0.010

0.49

0

y

Harvest

0.49

N/A

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.01

0.77

0.600

0.01

0.140

00

0.010

0.140

0.010 0.010

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

23B-Salmon_Upper Salmon Summer

Steelhead (B-Run Dworshak-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.01 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.01

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

11

0.140

0.182

0.030

0.663

0.140

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.010

0.600

0.140

91

pHOSpNOB

0.182

249,267

0.1%

1.8%

75%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.663

pHOS

0

Ave

1.8%

Outplanting from Dworshak NFH

0.01

No Hatchery

0 00.01

0

N/A

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.01

2.5 y

Local broodstock at E.F. Salmon R.

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 55

Table A38. AHA output for upper Salmon River steelhead (A-run ) including Yankee Fork, Valley Creek, Slate Creek, and Squaw Creek.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

540

19Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor -> 25% 25%

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 17 30 17 17 18

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.45 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.44 Effective pHOS -> 0.45 Effective pHOS -> 0.41

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 802 77 821 84 744 71 794 76 592 55

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 2,221 386 1,980 344 2,136 371 1,350 234

1

Segregated Hatchery

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

75

Harvest and Conservation

442

Both

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

100%

2.0% 2.0%

Current Habitat

0.010

pHOS

Seg

0.010

0.060

0.030

0.010

Ave

442

170

44%

0.060

pNOB

Both

0.060

Seg

648

SegBoth

100%

Conservation

y

Harvest and Conservation

Segregated Hatchery

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives B

Stabilizing

7564,168

41%

pHOS

0.106

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

1.50 1,283

1

0.030

0.106

0.010

y

0.060

64,16875

1,283

0.77

1.50 1,283

0.49

64,168

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

45%

0.030

0.106

208

Ave Ave

221

None

45%

Seg Cons

100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn.

pHOS-Realized

Both

Strays

y

100%

648 699

HSRG Solution

1.50

699

0.106

0.030

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

1.50

0.010

0.49

1,283

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.49

Stabilizing

HRT Alternatives A

1,283

1

1.50

0.77

0.030

1.50

0.060

1,2831,283

0.010

0.060

0.010 0.010

PNI

Hydro

64,168

1.00 0.49

641

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

23-Salmon_Upper Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run)

y

64,168

Historic

32,075

1.50 1,283

38

1

0.010

0.49

1.50

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

7575

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.106

0.060

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.75Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.010

0.030

0.060

727

727

pHOSpNOB

0.106

2.0%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.106

pHOS

297

Ave

2.0%

Segregated Hatchery

1.50

No Hatchery

1,283 1,2831.50

223

Stabilizing

1

1,283

y

0.77

Current

1.50

y

Segregated Hatchery

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

56 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A39. AHA output for Sawtooth Hatchery A-run steelhead released into the upper Salmon River at the Sawtooth FH weir (currently

810,000 smolts), Yankee Fork (330,000 smolts), Slate Creek (90,000 smolts), and Valley Creek (50,000 smolts).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020 0.053 0.020

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 695 695 760 760

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

465

20Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 3,375 586 3,375 586 3,691 641 2,460 427

1

Sawtooth Hatchery stock only

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

Current HarvestCurrent Harvest

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

Not listed; excluded from DPS

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Habitat

Hydro -----> Current Hydro

y

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.030

pNOB

Salmon Summer Steelhead

1

Harvest and Conservation

Harv

1,280,191

2.0%

y

Current Habitat

30%

2.0% 2.0%

Current Habitat

0.7%

12.9

0.010

pHOS

1,399,920

Seg

0.010

0.060

0.030

0.010

0.7%

Ave

806

0

100%

0.060

pNOB

Harv

0.060

Seg

1,399,920

SegHarv

80% 20%

Conservation

y

Harvest and Conservation

Sawtooth Hatchery stock only

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives B

N/A

11

100%

pHOS

0.631

pNOB

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.060

0.01 0

1

0.600

0.631

0.010

y

0.060

11

0

0.77

0.01 0

0.49

1

Recruits/Spawner

0.7%

Current Harvest

12.9Fitness? [Y / N]

Current Hydro

Current HabitatHabitat ----->

0.030

100%

0.600

0.106

0

Ave Ave

0

None

100%

Seg Cons

30%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

% to Nat. Spawn. 70%

pHOS-Realized

Harv

Strays

12.9

70%

y

100%

1,105 1,209

HSRG Solution

0.01

70%

0.631

0.600

0.1060.106

0.770.77

0.010 0.010

0.010

0.01

0.010

0.49

0

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.49

Not listed; excluded from DPS

HRT Alternatives A

0

1

0.01

0.77

0.600

0.01

0.060

00

0.010

0.060

0.010 0.010

PNI

Hydro

1

1.00 0.49

0

y

1.00

Harvest

NORs

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

23A-Salmon_Upper Salmon Summer

Steelhead (A-Run Sawtooth-Pahsimeroi-

Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.01 0

0

1

0.010

0.49

0.01

0.010

HORs 0.010

1

11

0.060

0.106

0.030

0.631

0.060

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.010

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

0.010

0.600

0.060

1,105

pHOSpNOB

0.106

1,280,191

0.7%

2.0%

30%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.631

pHOS

0

Ave

2.0%

Sawtooth/Pahsimeroi Hatchery stocks

0.01

No Hatchery

0 00.01

0

Not listed; excluded from DPS

1

0

y

0.77

Current

0.01

12.9 y

Sawtooth/Pahsimeroi Hatchery stocks

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.030

HORs

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 57

Table A40-A45: AHA outputs for the South Fork Salmon River Major

Population Group (MPG) of spring/summer Chinook salmon

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

58 Appendix A – AHA Output

Parameters and assumptions for spring/summer Chinook in the South Fork Salmon River The South Fork Salmon River MPG for spring/summer Chinook includes the Little Salmon River and

Rapid River watersheds, the South Fork Salmon River and tributaries, and the intervening section of

the mainstem Salmon River. Hatchery programs currently operate on Rapid River (Rapid River

Hatchery Spring Chinook), the South Fork Salmon River, and Johnson Creek, a tributary to the East

Fork of the South Fork Salmon River.

Table 7A. Mean values of reproductive and survival parameters assumed in the AHA analyses

for hatchery-origin spring/summer Chinook released within the South Fork Salmon River MPG.

Parameter values were obtained from the HSRG as provided by IDFG.

Hatchery/

Release location

Population/Stock

Fecundity

(No. of

eggs)

Within-

hatchery

egg-to-smolt

survival

Salmon

River

smolt-to-

adult

survival (%)

Recruit/spawner

(R/S; adults)

Rapid River FH

Rapid River Hatchery Spring

Chinook

4,100

0.85

0.47%

6.0

McCall Hatchery/

South Fork Salmon River

South Fork Salmon River

Summer

Chinook

4,300

0.80

0.73%

6.0

McCall Hatchery/

Johnson Creek

Johnson Creek Summer

Chinook

4,300

0.85

0.45%

6.0

Current programs, HSRG solutions, and HRT alternatives

Of the three principal hatchery programs conducted within the South Fork Salmon River MPG, the

HRT reviewed only the South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook program that operates under the

LSRCP. AHA analyses for Rapid River Hatchery Spring Chinook and Johnson Creek Summer

Chinook represent those reported by the HSRG. The HRT specifically modeled HRT Alternatives 2, 4,

and 5 for the South Fork Salmon River Summer Chinook program.

Alternative 2 represents an integrated hatchery program where the current program would be

transitioned from the current segregated program (1.0M smolts, PNI = 0) to an integrated program that

would include natural-origin fish in the broodstock (pNOB = 50%) to achieve a value of PNI > 0.5.

The HRT assumed that the current location of the weir is capable of trapping only 50% of returning

hatchery-origin adults relative to the total available spawning habitat available in the South Fork

Salmon River (i.e., Poverty Flats downstream of the weir and Stolle Meadows upstream of the weir).

Based on the productivity and capacity parameters of the Beverton-Holt curve (r = R/Smax = 3.0 and C

= max. number of adult recruits = 2,140 adults), the HRT’s analysis indicates that the South Fork

Salmon River could support an integrated hatchery program with a maximum release of 490,000

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 59

hatchery-origin smolts for the entire S.F. population to maintain PNI > 0.5, a reduction of

approximately 50% from the current program. The program would include (a) the trapping and

spawning of approximately 500 adults for producing 490,000 smolts and (b) the spawning of

approximately 300 additional adults (n=294 “exported” adults assuming a 2:1 male:female sex ratio)

to yield 300,000 eyed eggs for the Dollar Creek egg-box program of the Shoshone-Bannock Tribes.

Alternative 4 represents a “stepping-stone” hatchery program composed of two broodstocks each year.

The first broodstock would be integrated with the natural population that spawns in Stolle Meadows

upstream of the weir. Smolt offspring of this first broodstock would be tagged but not marked (no

adipose fin clip) at the time of release. The second broodstock would use hatchery-origin adults from

the first broodstock to produce F2 hatchery-origin fish for harvest. The AHA analyses suggest that the

first integrated broodstock could yield 175,000 smolts with pNOB = 0.5 . The second broodstock

would yield 825,000 smolts that would be marked with an adipose fin clip. Adult returns from this

second broodstock would be sufficient to provide 300,000 eyed eggs (approximately 200 adults,

assuming a 1:1 sex ratio) for the Dollar Creek egg box program. The HRT assumed that the current

weir is capable of trapping 90% of all hatchery-origin adults intercepted at the weir relative to the

naturally spawning population upstream of the weir. Alternative 4 is the HRT’s “preferred alternative”.

Alternative 5 is similar to Alternative 4 except the first broodstock of the stepping stone program

would be integrated relative to the entire naturally spawning population in the South Fork (i.e., Stolle

Meadows and Poverty Flat). HRT Alternative 5 and the HSRG Solution are similar except (a) the

HSRG assumed a female fecundity of 4,700 eggs compared to the assumption of 4,300 eggs by the

HRT, (b) the HSRG assumed that the current weir could trap 95% of returning hatchery-origin adults,

whereas the HRT assumed only 50% of returning adults could be trapped relative to the entire S.F.

Salmon River (i.e., 50% of the adults spawn downstream of the current weir), and (c) the HSRG was

able to achieve desired values of PNI with pNOB = 30%, whereas the HRT analysis indicates a

required value of pNOB = 67% because of the large numbers of hatchery-origin fish that would be

expected to spawn downstream of the weir, thus inflating the expected value of pHOS. These latter

analyses yield a release of 250,000 unmarked (but tagged) smolts from the first “integrated”

broodstock and 750,000 marked smolts from the second “production” broodstock.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

60 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table 8A. Summary of the number of hatchery-origin (HOR) spring/summer Chinook smolts released into the geographic area of the South

Fork Salmon River Major Population Group (MPG) under four strategies modeled in AHA Tables A40-A45: (1) Current programs based on the

LSRCP Cooperators 2008 Annual Operating Plan for the Salmon River, (2) HRT Alternative 5 which is similar to the HSRG Solution, (3) HRT

Alternative 1 (current programs with implementation of HRT recommendations), and (4) HRT Alternative 4, which is the HRT’s “preferred

alternative”. The names of hatchery stocks/populations are in italics (e.g., “Rapid River”) and are identified by the facility/location where adults

are trapped for broodstock.

Release location

(Hatchery)

Current

S.F. Salmon River

HRT Alternative 5

(HSRG Solution)

S.F. Salmon River,

HRT Alternative 2

S.F. Salmon River,

HRT Alternative 4

Rapid River

(Rapid River FH)

(AHA Tables A40, A41)

2.7M Rapid River Hatchery

smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

S.F. Salmon River

(McCall FH)

(AHA Tables A42, A43;

see also AHA Table A44)

1.0M SF Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0)

300K SF Salmon River eyed

eggs to Shoshone-Bannock

Tribes for egg box program

250K SF Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0.67)

750K SF Salmon River F2

smolts (pNOB = 0)

300K SF Salmon River F2

eyed eggs to Shoshone-

Bannock Tribes for egg box

program

490K S.F. Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0.5)

300K SF Salmon River eyed

eggs to Shoshone-Bannock

Tribes for egg box program

175K SF Salmon River smolts

(pNOB = 0.5)

825K SF Salmon River F2

smolts (pNOB = 0)

300K SF Salmon River F2

eyed eggs to Shoshone-

Bannock Tribes for egg box

program

Johnson Creek

(McCall FH)

(AHA Table A45)

100K Johnson Cr. smolts

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

No recommendation

(same as Current)

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 61

Table A40: AHA output for spring/summer Chinook in the Little Salmon River. Rapid River Hatchery Spring Chinook are modeled in Table

A41. HRT Alternatives refer to the South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook program.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

522

1Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 15 30 15 15 15

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.59 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.59 Effective pHOS -> 0.59 Effective pHOS -> 0.59

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 994 100 261 14 986 99 983 99 974 98

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,479 257 1,457 253 1,448 252 1,424 247

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

268

No HatcheryCurrent

1.30 1,250 1,2501.30

Segregated Hatchery

1.30

Stabilizing

1

1,250

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

86

Ave

0.8%

0.581

pHOS

484

484

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.500

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.30Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.581

pNOB

0.152

1

0.020

0.34

1.30

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

161161

10-Salmon_Little Salmon Spring-Summer

Chinook

y

154,603

Historic

31,250

1.30 1,250

33

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

154,603

1.00 0.34

1,250

y

1.00

154,603

Segregated Hatchery

0.500

1.30

0.050

1,2501,250

0.080

0.080

0.010

1,250

y

Harvest

0.34

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative 2

1,250

1

1.30

0.82

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

1.30

474

0.581

0.500

477

0.8%

Current Habitat

HSRG Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

477

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI 59%

None

pHOS-Realized

Cons

Strays

266

Ave Ave

265

474

0.080

59%

0.500

0.152

None

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

154,603161

1,250

0.82

1.30 1,250

0.500

0.581

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.30 1,250

1

0.581

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

pHOS pNOB

NoneHarv

59%

pHOS

Conservation

y

466

263

59%

0.080

pNOB

Harv

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

Ave

y

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative 4

Stabilizing

161 161

0.010 0.010

Harv

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

100%

466

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.080

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest

Hatchery

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

1.30

0.010

154,603

0.34

1

Stabilizing

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

62 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A41. AHA output for Rapid River Hatchery Spring Chinook released at the hatchery into the Rapid River (see also Table A40). HRT

Alternatives refer to the South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook program.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 1,745 1,745 1,745 1,745

220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

455

2Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.19 1.00 0.19 0.19 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.24 0.99 0.24 0.24 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 43 30 43 43 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,494 259 1,494 259 1,494 259 1,494 259

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

6.0

0

No HatcheryCurrent

0.01 0 00.01

Segregated Hatchery

0.01

N/A

1

0

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

0.581

pHOS

489

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.500

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.01Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.581

pNOB

0.152

1

0.020

0.34

0.01

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

11

10A-Salmon_Little Salmon Spring Chinook

(Rapid River-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.01 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

1

Segregated Hatchery

0.500

0.01

0.050

00

0.080

0.080

0.010

0

y

Harvest

0.34

N/A

HRT Alternative 2

0

1

0.01

0.82

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

90%

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

0.01

90%

0.581

0.500

489

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

HSRG Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

2,736,596

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

6.0 6.0

90%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 90% 10%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI 100%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

489

2,736,596

0.080

100%

0.500

0.152

Seg

Recruits/Spawner

0.4% 0.4%

Current Harvest

6.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

0.4%

11

0

0.82

0.01 0

0.500

0.581

0.0100.010

y

0.34

0.01 0

1

0.581

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

Conservation

y

489

0

100%

0.080

pNOB

Harv

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.4%

Ave

y

N/A

2,736,596

HRT Alternative 4

N/A

1 1

0.010

6.0

0.010

Harv

2,736,596

0.8%

y

10%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

10%

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.080

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest

Hatchery

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

0.01

0.010

1

0.34

1

N/A

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 63

Table A42. AHA output for South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook. The HSRG solution and HRT Alternative 5 are essentially identical.

HRT Alternatives 4 and 5 represent “stepping-stone” programs. Outputs for the “production” broodstocks are presented in Table A43.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.010 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 979 245 480 172

294 294 485 485 294 294 533 533

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

459

3Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.70 0.63 0.73

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.71 0.66 0.74

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 15 30 31 38 31

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.60 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.55 Effective pHOS -> 0.50 Effective pHOS -> 0.36

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.33 pNOB -> 0.25 pNOB -> 0.25

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 3,432 487 4,218 570 4,001 423 3,261 195 1,714 138

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 5,879 1,021 4,898 850 2,887 501 915 158

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

6.0

1,008

No HatcheryCurrent

3.00 2,150 2,1503.00

Segregated Hatchery

3.00

Primary

1

2,150

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

1,218

Ave

0.8%

0.413

pHOS

1,925

3

0.8%

50%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.300

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

3.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.413

pNOB

0.152

1

0.020

0.34

3.00

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

371371

11-Salmon_SF Salmon Summer Chinook

y

265,918

Historic

215,000

3.00 2,150

300

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

265,918

1.00 0.34

2,150

y

1.00

265,918

Integrated Hatchery

0.300

3.00

0.050

2,1502,150

0.080

0.080

0.010

2,150

y

Conservation and Harvest

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative 2

2,150

1

3.00

0.82

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

90%

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

3.00

3

50%

0.152

0.080

1,604

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.6%

HSRG Harvest

Harv

pHOS-Goal

1,000,224

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Int

909

6.0

50%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 50% 50%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI 60%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

Cons

Strays

1,066

Ave Ave

759

945

490,406

0.080

0.5850%

50%

0.300

0.152

Int

Recruits/Spawner

0.6%

Current Harvest

6.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

0.6%

132,959371

2,150

0.82

3.00 1,075

0.080

0.152

0.0100.010

y

0.34

3.00 1,075

1

0.413

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

pHOS pNOB

IntCons

36%

pHOS

Conservation

y

299

426

55%

0.050

pNOB

Both

0.50

Conservation

Stepping Stone Hatchery

0.6%

Ave

y

Primary

175,729

HRT Alternative 4

Primary

371 371

0.010

6.0

50%

0.010

Cons

250,235

0.8%

y

50%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

10%

202

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

67%

0.080

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

0.55

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Conservation

Stepping Stone Hatchery

0.010

3.00

0.010

265,918

0.34

1

Primary

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

64 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A43. AHA output for the F2 “production” broodstocks associated with HRT Alternatives 4 and 5 in the South Fork Salmon River.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.098 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 485 533

194 194 194 194

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

523

4Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 0.19 1.00 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.24 0.99 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 30 43 30 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 2,907 505 639 111

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

6.0

0

No HatcheryCurrent

0.01 0 00.01

Segregated Hatchery only

0.01

N/A

1

0

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

0.413

pHOS

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.300

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.01Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.413

pNOB

0.152

1

0.020

0.34

0.01

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

11

11A-Salmon_SF Salmon Summer Chinook

(McCall-Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.01 0

0

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

1

Integrated Hatchery only

0.300

0.01

0.050

00

0.080

0.080

0.010

0

y

Conservation and Harvest

0.34

N/A

HRT Alternative 2

0

1

0.01

0.82

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

90%

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

0.01

0.413

0.300

952

0.8%

Current Habitat

HSRG Harvest

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

6.0

50%

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 50%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI

None

pHOS-Realized

None

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

0.0800.300

0.152

None

Recruits/Spawner

0.4%

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

11

0

0.82

0.01 0

0.300

0.413

0.0100.010

y

0.34

0.01 0

1

0.413

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

100%

pHOS

Conservation

y

209

0

100%

0.080

pNOB

None

Conservation and Harvest

Segregated Stepping Stone Broodstock

0.4%

Ave

y

N/A

825,084

HRT Alternative 4

N/A

1 1

0.010 0.010

Harv

750,780

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

10%

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.080

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Harvest

Segregated Stepping Stone Broodstook

0.010

0.01

0.010

1

0.34

1

N/A

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 65

Table A44. AHA output for Secesh River spring Chinook. HRT Alternatives refer to South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook program.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

525

5Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.92

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.52 0.99 0.55 0.59 0.93

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 31 30 39 43 24

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.20 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.14 Effective pHOS -> 0.10 Effective pHOS -> 0.01

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 357 17 1,281 140 427 12 468 11 1,047 125

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 70 12 48 8 40 7 16 3

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

73

No HatcheryCurrent

1.62 1,350 1,3501.62

Natural Reproduction only

1.62

Primary

1

1,350

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

423

Ave

0.8%

0.083

pHOS

23

23

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.62Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.62

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

200200

12-Salmon_Secesh Spring Chinook

y

166,972

Historic

33,750

1.62 1,350

41

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

166,972

1.00 0.34

1,350

y

1.00

166,972

Natural Reproduction only

0.005

1.62

0.050

1,3501,350

0.020

0.050

0.010

1,350

y

Conservation

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative 2

1,350

1

1.62

0.82

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

1.62

13

0.083

0.005

16

0.8%

Current Habitat

HSRG Harvest

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

16

y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI 20%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

Strays

76

Ave Ave

91

13

0.005

10%

0.005

0.083

None

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

166,972200

1,350

0.82

1.62 1,350

0.005

0.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.62 1,350

1

0.083

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

1%

pHOS

Conservation

y

5

360

14%

0.050

pNOB

None

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Ave

y

Primary

HRT Alternative 4

Primary

200 200

0.010 0.010

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

100%

5

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.62

0.010

166,972

0.34

1

Primary

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

66 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A45. AHA output for Johnson Creek summer Chinook. HRT Alternatives refer to South Fork Salmon River summer Chinook program.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 62 62 62 62

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

458

6Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.87 1.00 0.87 0.87 0.88

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.86 0.99 0.86 0.86 0.87

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 35 30 35 35 35

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.36 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.36 Effective pHOS -> 0.36 Effective pHOS -> 0.35

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.50

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 2,224 178 1,078 109 2,209 176 2,202 175 2,185 173

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,226 213 1,204 209 1,196 207 1,172 203

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

6.0

571

No HatcheryCurrent

1.45 1,700 1,7001.45

Integrated Hatchery

1.45

Primary

1

1,700

y

0.82

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

393

Ave

0.8%

0.083

pHOS

401

22

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

Y

HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.45Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

1

0.020

0.34

1.45

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

179179

13-Salmon_EF-SF Johnson Creek Summer

Chinook

y

210,261

Historic

42,500

1.45 1,700

36

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

210,261

1.00 0.34

1,700

y

1.00

210,261

Integrated Hatchery

0.005

1.45

0.050

1,7001,700

0.020

0.050

0.010

1,700

y

Conservation

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative 2

1,700

1

1.45

0.82

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

HRT Alt. 5; HSRG Sol.

1.45

12

0.083

0.005

394

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.4%

HSRG Harvest

Both

pHOS-Goal

101,810

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

100%

Int

15

100%

6.0 6.0y

100%% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

0.74

pHOSpNOB

None

PNI 36%

Int

pHOS-Realized

None

Strays

567

Ave Ave

566

391

101,810

0.005

0.7436%

100%

0.005

0.083

Int

Recruits/Spawner

0.4% 0.4%

Current Harvest

6.0Fitness? [Y / N]

Habitat ----->

0.4%

210,261179

1,700

0.82

1.45 1,700

0.005

0.083

0.0100.010

y

0.34

1.45 1,700

1

0.083

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

pHOS pNOB

IntBoth

35%

pHOS

Conservation

y

383

561

36%

0.050

pNOB

Both

0.74

Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

0.4%

Ave

Y

Primary

101,810

HRT Alternative 4

Primary

179 179

0.010

6.0

100%

0.010

Both

101,810

0.8%

Y

100%

Y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

100%

4

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

100%

0.005

pNOB

S.F. Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

0.74

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Current Hydro

HSRG Harvest

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

HRT Alt-B

Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

0.010

1.45

0.010

210,261

0.34

1

Primary

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 67

Table A46-A56: AHA outputs for the Upper Salmon River Major

Population Group (MPG) of spring/summer Chinook salmon

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

68 Appendix A – AHA Output

Parameters and assumptions for spring/summer Chinook in the Upper Salmon River Major Population Group (MPG) The Upper Salmon River MPG for spring/summer Chinook includes the mainstem Salmon River and

all tributaries upstream of, and including, the North Fork Salmon River. The Interior Columbia

Technical Recovery Team (ICTRT) identified nine demographically independent populations within

this MPG (AHA Tables A46-A56). Two hatchery populations are also present within this MPG:

Pahsimeroi Hatchery Summer Chinook and Sawtooth Hatchery Spring Chinook.

Table 9A. Mean values of reproductive and survival parameters assumed in the AHA analyses

for hatchery-origin spring/summer Chinook released within the Upper Salmon River MPG.

These parameter values were obtained from the HSRG, as provided by IDFG.

Hatchery/

Release location

Population/stock

Fecundity

(No. of

eggs)

Within-

hatchery

egg-to-smolt

survival

Salmon

River

smolt-to-

adult

survival (%)

Recruit/spawner

(R/S; adults)

Pahsimeroi FH

Pahsimeroi Hatchery Summer

Chinook

5,000

0.80

0.39%

6.0

Sawtooth FH

Sawtooth Hatchery Spring

Chinook - Current

4,900

0.80

0.13%

2.0

Sawtooth FH

Sawtooth Hatchery Spring

Chinook: HSRG Solution and

HRT Alternatives A and B

4,900

0.80

0.18%

2.5

Sawtooth FH/

E.F. Salmon River

Spring/Summer

Chinook,

Yankee Fork Spring Chinook

Valley Creek Spring Chinook

4,900

0.80

0.18%

2.5

Current programs, HSRG solutions, and HRT alternatives

The HRT reviewed one hatchery program in the upper Salmon River basin: the spring Chinook

program at Sawtooth FH (Table 10A). The intent of the current program at the Sawthooth FH is to

release 1.0M Sawtooth Hatchery Spring Chinook smolts annually into the mainstem Salmon River at

the hatchery weir. Currently, the Sawtooth Hatchery Spring Chinook stock is propagated as a

segregated population (pNOB = 0).

The HSRG solution involved the establishment of a second, conservation hatchery program derived

from natural-origin fish trapped at the Sawtooth Hatchery weir with a mean equilibrium value of

pNOB = 67% and an annual release of 200,000 smolts. The existing segregated hatchery population

would be maintained with a maximum release of 1.2M smolts. The HSRG Solution requires the

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 69

maintenance of two independent hatchery populations. The HRT adopted this HSRG Solution as HRT

Alternative 4.

HRT Alternative 2 would convert the existing segregated hatchery program to an integrated hatchery

program. AHA modelling suggests that current habitat conditions would restrict an integrated hatchery

program to a maximum release of 500,000 smolts, with pNOB = 0.5.

HRT Alternative 3 would convert the existing segregated hatchery program to a stepping stone

hatchery program composed of two broodstocks where returning adults from the first “integrated”

broodstock would be used as parents for the second “production” broodstock. AHA modeling suggests

that current habitat conditions would restrict each of the two broodstocks in a stepping-stone program

to a maximum release of 375,000 smolts each, with a combined maximum release of 750,000 smolts,

with pNOB = 0.5 for the first broodstock, and pNOB = 0 for the second broodstock. These latter results

are consistent with HSRG conclusions that a stepping stone program would not be able to meet the

total desired release of 1.0M smolts under current habitat conditions. The HRT favored Alternative 3

over Alternative 4 (i.e., the HSRG solution) because of the large numbers of hatchery-origin spring

Chinook that currently spawn in the mainstem Salmon River downstream from the hatchery weir and

the presumed inability to preclude large numbers of hatchery-origin fish from a “segregated” hatchery

program from spawning naturally in the mainstem Salmon River. The HRT believed this latter risk

could be reduced via a “stepping stone” program, albeit with a 25% reduction in the maximum number

of smolts available for release.

The HRT also examined alternatives for initiating hatchery programs on the East Fork Salmon River,

Yankee Fork, and Valley Creek. Two scenarios were modeled for each population. A small integrated

conservation program of 52,000 smolts (pNOB = 1.0) and a large segregated harvest program of 1.0M

smolts (HRT Alterantives A and B, respectively) were each modeled for the E.F. Salmon River and

Valley Creek. The former integrated programs of 52,000 smolts were the sizes that maximized the

predicted number of natural-origin recruits returning to each of the two streams. This latter number of

smolts also maximized the number of natural-origin recruits in Yankee Fork. In all three streams,

productivity and capacity constraints inhibited the long-term conservation benefit of hatchery-origin

fish spawning naturally. The AHA analyses also suggest that large segregated hatchery programs in

Valley Creek and the East Fork Salmon River would not be able to meet LSRCP mitigation goals

without large numbers of hatchery-origin fish escaping fisheries and potentially spawning naturally,

thereby increasing biological risks to ESA listed natural populations under current harvest regimes.

Based on those analyses, the HRT modeled two integrated programs for Yankee Fork, each with an

annual release of 52,000 smolts, but with pNOB = 1.0 and 0.5, respectively.

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team Lower Snake Federal Hatcheries Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

70 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table 10A. Summary of the number of hatchery-origin (HOR) spring/summer Chinook smolts released into the geographic area of the Upper

Salmon River MPG (upstream of the confluence of the Middle Fork Salmon River) under four strategies modeled in AHA Tables A46-A56: (1)

Current programs based on the LSRCP Cooperators 2008 Annual Operating Plan for the Salmon River, (2) the HSRG Solution, and (3) two

HRT Alternatives. [Note: The analyses for the E.F. Salmon River, Yankee Fork, and Valley Creek make no explicit assumptions regarding the location

of weirs in each of those three streams. The results of the AHA analyses are based on the Beverton-Holt habitat parameters of productivity and capacity,

as reported by the HSRG. Those parameters refer to the entire stream and, hence, implicitly assume that weirs would be located downstream from all

natural spawning areas. With respect to the E.F. Salmon River, the analysis implicitly assumes that all spawning areas for spring Chinook are upstream

of the current weir, or the weir would be moved downstream from its present location to a location on the East Fork that is downstream from all natural

spawning areas.]

Release location

(Hatchery)

Current

HSRG Solution

HRT Alternative A

HRT Alternative B

Pahsimeroi River

(Pahsimeroi FH)

(AHA Tables A48, A49)

1.0M Pahsimeroi River

smolts (pNOB = 0)

285K Pahsimeroi River

smolts (pNOB = 0.75)

1.0M Pahsimeroi River F2

smolts (pNOB = 0)

No recommendation

(same as HSRG Solution)

No recommendation

(same as HSRG Solution)

E.F. Salmon River

(AHA Table A51))

No program

No recommendation

(Same as Current) 52K E.F. Salmon River smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

1.0M E.F. Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0)

Yankee Fork

(AHA Table A52)

No program

No recommendation

(same as Current) HRT Alternative 1a

52K Yankee Fork smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

HRT Alternative 1b

52K Yankee Fork smolts

(pNOB = 0.5)

Valley Creek

(AHA Table A53)

No program

No recommendation

(same as Current) 52K Valley Creek smolts

(pNOB = 1.0)

1.0 M Valley Creek smolts

(pNOB = 0)

Upper Salmon River

(Sawtooth FH)

(AHA Tables A54, A55)

1.0M Sawtooth smolts

(pNOB = 0)

HRT Alternative 4

200K Upper Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0.67)

1.2M Sawtooth smolts

(pNOB = 0)

HRT Alternative 2

500K Upper Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0.5)

HRT Alternative 3

375K Upper Salmon River

smolts (pNOB = 0.5)

375K Upper Salmon River F2

smolts (pNOB = 0)

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 71

Table A46. AHA output for North Fork Salmon River spring Chinook.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

534

1Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.52

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 21 30 22 22

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.30 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.28 Effective pHOS -> 0.28 Effective pHOS -> 0.22

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 146 14 502 55 122 11 123 11 130 7

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 56 10 57 10 31 5

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.60

0.010

68,026

0.34

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

10

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

198 198

0.010 0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Ave

y

Contributing

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

10

29

28%

0.080

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

22%

pHOS

0.246

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

1.60 550

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

68,026198

550

0.82

1.60 550

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

0.005

28%

0.100

0.083

None

Strays

39

Ave Ave

39

19

None

PNI 30%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

18

0.8%

Current Habitat

18

HSRG Solution

1.60

19

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

550

y

Conservation

0.34

Contributing

HRT Alternative A

550

1

1.60

0.82

68,026

Natural Reproduction only

0.100

1.60

0.050

550550

0.080

0.080

0.010

68,026

1.00 0.34

550

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

24-Salmon_NF Salmon River Spring

Chinook

y

68,026

Historic

13,750

1.60 550

40

1

0.020

0.34

1.60

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

198198

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.60Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

168

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only

1.60

Contributing

1

550

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.60 550 5501.60

46

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

72 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A47. AHA output for Lemhi River spring Chinook.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

453

2Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.51 0.99 0.52 0.52 0.57

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 39

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.30 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.27 Effective pHOS -> 0.27 Effective pHOS -> 0.15

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 214 10 1,551 116 254 8 252 8 356 4

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 56 10 57 10 31 5

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.31

0.010

482,363

0.34

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

10

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

162 162

0.010 0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Ave

y

Primary

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

10

46

27%

0.080

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

15%

pHOS

0.246

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

1.31 3,900

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

482,363162

3,900

0.82

1.31 3,900

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

0.005

27%

0.100

0.083

None

Strays

41

Ave Ave

41

19

None

PNI 30%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

18

0.8%

Current Habitat

18

HSRG Solution

1.31

19

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

3,900

y

Conservation

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative A

3,900

1

1.31

0.82

482,363

Natural Reproduction only

0.100

1.31

0.050

3,9003,900

0.080

0.080

0.010

482,363

1.00 0.34

3,900

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

25-Salmon_Lemhi River Spring Chinook

y

482,363

Historic

97,500

1.31 3,900

33

1

0.020

0.34

1.31

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

162162

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.31Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

578

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only

1.31

Primary

1

3,900

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.31 3,900 3,9001.31

46

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 73

Table A48. AHA output for Pahsimeroi River summer Chinook.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 526 150 150 150

526 525 526 525 526 525

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

460

3Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.84 0.84 0.84

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.83 0.83 0.83

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 18 30 25 25 34

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.37 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.33 Effective pHOS -> 0.33 Effective pHOS -> 0.33

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.38 pNOB -> 0.38 pNOB -> 0.38

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 1,362 128 2,550 273 3,561 269 3,561 269 3,540 267

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 881 152 1,719 298 1,720 299 1,694 294

Harvest and Conservation

Stepping Stone Integrated Hatchery

0.010

1.70

0.010

395,785

0.34

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

75%

0.080

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

10%

470

Cons

285,000

0.8%

y

10%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

210 210

0.010

6.0

75%

0.010

Harvest and Conservation

Stepping Stone Integrated Hatchery

0.3%

Ave

y

Primary

285,000

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

554

916

33%

0.050

pNOB

Cons

pHOS pNOB

StepCons

33%

pHOS

0.152

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.080

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

1.70 3,200

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

0.3%

395,785210

3,200

0.82

1.70 3,200

0.080

0.152

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

6.0Fitness? [Y / N]

285,000

0.080

33%

75%

0.080

0.152

Step

Strays

920

Ave Ave

921

563

None

PNI 37%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 90% 10%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

6.0

90%

y

100%

HSRG

Harv

pHOS-Goal

999,400

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Step

478

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

563

90%

HSRG Solution

1.70

478

90%

0.152

0.080

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

3,200

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative A

3,200

1

1.70

0.82

395,785

Stepping Stone Integrated Hatchery

0.100

1.70

0.050

3,2003,200

0.080

0.080

0.010

395,785

1.00 0.34

3,200

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

26-Salmon_Pahsimeroi Summer Chinook

y

395,785

Historic

80,000

1.70 3,200

43

1

0.020

0.34

1.70

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

210210

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.246

pNOB

0.152

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.70Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

288

23

0.8%

10%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

863

Ave

0.8%

Segregated Hatchery

1.70

Primary

1

3,200

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.70 3,200 3,2001.70

398

6.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

74 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A49. AHA output for Pahsimeroi Hatchery summer Chinook resulting from the second segregated broodstock of a two-stage “stepping

stone” hatchery program, as proposed by the HSRG.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 526 526 526

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

535

4Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 4,054 704 4,054 704 4,054 704

Harvest

Stepping Stone Segregated Hatchery

0.010

0.00

1

0.34

1

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest

Hatchery

50%

Harv

999,400

0.8%

y

50%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

N/A

0 0

6.0

0.010

Harvest

Stepping Stone Segregated Hatchery

0.3%

Ave

y

N/A

999,400

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

1,327

0

100%

0.080

pNOB

Harv

pHOS pNOB

StepHarv

100%

pHOS

0.246

0.080

0.080

0.080

0.080

0.00 0

1

0.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

10

0

0.82

0.00 0

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

0.3%

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

999,400

100%

0.100

Step

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

1,327

None

PNI

Seg

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 50%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

6.0

50%

y

100%

HSRG

Harv

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Step

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.3%

1,327

50%

HSRG Solution

0.00

50%

0.246

0.100

0.820.82

0.080

0

y

Harvest

0.34

N/A

HRT Alternative A

0

1

0.00

0.82

1

Stepping Stone Segregated Hatchery

0.100

0.0000

0.080

0.080

0.010

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

26A-Salmon_Pahsimeroi Summer Chinook

(Pahsimeroi Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

1

0.34

0.00

HORs

1

00

pHOS

0.246

pNOB

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

HORs 0.080

0.080

0.100

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

Segregated Hatchery

0.00

N/A

1

0

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

0.00 0 00.00

0

6.0

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 75

Table A50. AHA output for spring Chinook spawning in lower section of upper Salmon River, from mouth of Lemhi River to Redfish Lake

Creek.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

536

5Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.52 0.99 0.50 0.53 0.52

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 22 30

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.22 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.30 Effective pHOS -> 0.20 Effective pHOS -> 0.23

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 356 14 1,457 152 367 32 388 13 350 15

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 186 32 64 11 76 13

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.50

0.010

247,366

0.34

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

100%

25

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

186 186

0.010 0.010

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

Ave

y

Contributing

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

25

68

30%

0.080

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

23%

pHOS

0.246

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

1.50 2,000

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

247,366186

2,000

0.82

1.50 2,000

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

0.005

20%

0.100

0.083

None

Strays

112

Ave Ave

67

21

None

PNI 22%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

61

0.8%

Current Habitat

61

HSRG Solution

1.50

21

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

2,000

y

Conservation

0.34

Contributing

HRT Alternative A

2,000

1

1.50

0.82

247,366

Natural Reproduction only

0.100

1.50

0.050

2,0002,000

0.080

0.080

0.010

247,366

1.00 0.34

2,000

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

27-Salmon_Lower Salmon Mainstem Spring

Chinook

y

247,366

Historic

50,000

1.50 2,000

38

1

0.020

0.34

1.50

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

186186

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.50Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

514

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only

1.50

Contributing

1

2,000

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.50 2,000 2,0001.50

68

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

76 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A51. AHA output for East Fork Salmon River spring/summer Chinook. HRT Alternative A represents a small, integrated conservation

program, and HRT Alternative B represents a large segregated program in partial support for achieving LSRCP mitigation goals.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 30 567

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

454

6Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.95 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.51 0.99 0.51 0.93 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 27 30 26 44 18

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.28 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.29 Effective pHOS -> 0.18 Effective pHOS -> 0.39

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 187 13 980 100 178 14 1,318 95 595 55

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 83 14 317 55 422 73

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.46

0.010

185,524

0.34

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

10%

19

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

181 181

0.010

2.5

100%

0.010

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.1%

Ave

y

Contributing

1,000,189

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

Y

138

174

29%

0.080

pNOB

Cons

0.85

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

39%

pHOS

0.083

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

1.46 1,500

1

0.0100.010

Y

0.34

Habitat ----->

185,524181

1,500

0.82

1.46 1,500

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

52,744

0.005

18%

0.005

0.083

Int

Strays

55

Ave Ave

388

104

None

PNI 28%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

27

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

27

90%

HSRG Solution

1.46

28

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

1,500

Y

Conservation

0.34

Contributing

HRT Alternative A

1,500

1

1.46

0.82

185,524

Integrated Hatchery + Supplementation

0.100

1.46

0.050

1,5001,500

0.080

0.080

0.010

185,524

1.00 0.34

1,500

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

28-Salmon_East Fork Salmon River Spring-

Summer Chinook

Y

185,524

Historic

37,500

1.46 1,500

37

1

0.020

0.34

1.46

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

181181

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.46Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

355

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only

1.46

Contributing

1

1,500

Y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.46 1,500 1,5001.46

51

2.5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 77

Table A52. AHA output for Yankee Fork spring Chinook. HRT Alternatives A and B represent small integrated conservation programs to

increase the overall recruit per spawner ratio for the population as a whole. Two different broodstock strategies are modeled.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 30 30

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

457

7Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.85 0.69

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.85 0.72

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 20 30 17 34 32

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.34 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.46 Effective pHOS -> 0.40 Effective pHOS -> 0.41

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB -> 0.26

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 127 11 381 39 389 38 766 51 616 49

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 348 60 479 83 427 74

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only - Captive Rearing

0.010

1.45

0.010

74,210

0.34

1

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

75%

83

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Stabilizing

179 179

0.010

2.5

100%

0.010

Conservation

Integrated Hatchery + Supplementation

0.1%

Ave

y

Stabilizing

52,821

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

140

164

46%

0.080

pNOB

Cons

0.72

pHOS pNOB

IntCons

41%

pHOS

0.083

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

1.45 600

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

74,210179

600

0.82

1.45 600

0.005

0.083

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

52,744

0.005

0.5540%

50%

0.005

0.083

Int

Strays

108

Ave Ave

190

157

None

PNI 34%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

114

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

114

25%

HSRG Solution

1.45

81

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

600

y

Conservation

0.34

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative A

600

1

1.45

0.82

74,210

Integrated Hatchery + Supplementation

0.100

1.45

0.050

600600

0.080

0.080

0.010

74,210

1.00 0.34

600

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

29-Salmon_Yankee Fork Spring Chinook

y

74,210

Historic

15,000

1.45 600

36

1

0.020

0.34

1.45

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

179179

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.45Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

139

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only - Captive Rearing

1.45

Stabilizing

1

600

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.45 600 6001.45

38

2.5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

78 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A53. AHA output for Valley Creek spring Chinook. HRT Alternative A represents a small, integrated conservation program, and HRT

Alternative B represents a large segregated program in partial support for achieving LSRCP mitigation goals.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 30 577

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

537

8Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.92 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.90 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 22 30 23 44 15

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.28 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.28 Effective pHOS -> 0.25 Effective pHOS -> 0.63

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.50 pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 155 14 657 70 146 13 851 55 1,033 121

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 68 12 297 51 1,891 313

Conservation

Natural Reproduction only

0.010

1.55

0.010

98,946

0.34

1

Contributing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation

Hatchery

50%

13

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Contributing

192 192

0.010

2.5

100%

0.010

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.1%

Ave

y

Contributing

1,001,113

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

611

285

28%

0.080

pNOB

Cons

0.80

pHOS pNOB

SegHarv

63%

pHOS

0.083

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

1.55 800

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

98,946192

800

0.82

1.55 800

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

52,744

0.005

25%

0.005

0.083

Int

Strays

46

Ave Ave

228

97

None

PNI 28%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

22

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

22

50%

HSRG Solution

1.55

21

0.246

0.100

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

800

y

Conservation

0.34

Contributing

HRT Alternative A

800

1

1.55

0.82

98,946

Integrated Hatchery

0.100

1.55

0.050

800800

0.080

0.080

0.010

98,946

1.00 0.34

800

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

30-Salmon_Valley Spring Chinook

y

98,946

Historic

20,000

1.55 800

39

1

0.020

0.34

1.55

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

192192

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.246

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.55Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

225

Ave

0.8%

Natural Reproduction only

1.55

Contributing

1

800

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.55 800 8001.55

49

2.5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L.

Ma

inste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

al

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

tM

ari

ne L.

U.

Te

rmin

al

Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 79

Table A54. AHA output for upper Salmon River spring Chinook, including Sawtooth Hatchery, upstream from Redfish Lake Creek. HRT

Alternative A represents a large integrated program, and HRT Alternative B represents a two=stage stepping stone program.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 532 106 267 200

200 164

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

456

9Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.85 0.61 0.66

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.85 0.66 0.70

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 18 30 34 40 39

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.38 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.27 Effective pHOS -> 0.50 Effective pHOS -> 0.40

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> 0.33 pNOB -> 0.26 pNOB -> 0.25

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 1,134 110 1,897 209 2,003 147 1,555 12 1,316 35

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 755 130 740 128 1,366 237 864 150

Conservation

Integrated Hatchery

0.010

1.80

0.010

247,366

0.34

1

Primary

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

67%

0.080

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

0.72

50%

47

Cons

199,393

0.8%

y

75%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Primary

223 223

0.010

2.5

50%

0.010

Harvest and Conservation

Stepping Stone - Integrated Hatchery

0.1%

Ave

y

Primary

376,320

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

283

334

27%

0.050

pNOB

Both

0.50

pHOS pNOB

StepCons

40%

pHOS

0.246

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

1.80 2,000

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

0.1%

247,366223

2,000

0.82

1.80 2,000

0.080

0.152

Recruits/Spawner

0.1%

Current Harvest

2.0Fitness? [Y / N]

499,207

0.080

50%

50%

0.100

0.152

Int

Strays

533

Ave Ave

352

445

None

PNI 38%

Seg

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 75% 50%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

2.5

50%

y

100%

HSRG

Harv

pHOS-Goal

1,001,011

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Int

117

0.8%

Current Habitat

0.1%

242

50%

HSRG Solution

1.80

26

25%

0.152

0.080

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

2,000

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.34

Primary

HRT Alternative A

2,000

1

1.80

0.82

247,366

Integrated Hatchery

0.100

1.80

0.050

2,0002,000

0.080

0.080

0.010

247,366

1.00 0.34

2,000

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

31-Salmon_Upper Salmon Mainstem Spring

Chinook

y

247,366

Historic

50,000

1.80 2,000

45

1

0.020

0.34

1.80

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

223223

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.246

pNOB

0.152

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

1.80Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

247

23

0.8%

25%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

615

Ave

0.8%

Segregated Hatchery

1.80

Primary

1

2,000

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

1.80 2,000 2,0001.80

322

2.5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

t

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rin

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U.

Ma

inste

m

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0

100

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300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Ha

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Ha

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Ma

rin

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L. M

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0

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600

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800

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0

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600

700

800

900

Ha

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U.

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0

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200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Ha

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Ha

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Ma

rin

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L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

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m

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Ha

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ari

ne L.

U.

Te

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Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

80 Appendix A – AHA Output

Table A55. AHA output for segregated broodstock portions of Sawtooth Hatchery spring Chinook. The HSRG proposed separate integrated

and segregated programs. The HRT proposed coupling these programs as a two-stage stepping stone program (HRT Alternative B).

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported 638 200

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

788

10Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 1.00 1.00 0.19 1.00 0.19

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.99 0.99 0.24 0.99 0.24

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 30 30 43 30 43

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 1.00

"Fitness Floor" -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 1,024 177 321 55

Harvest

Segregated Hatchery

0.010

0.00

0.010

1

0.34

1

N/A

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinNatural Reproduction only

0.080

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Harvest and Conservation

Hatchery

25%

Harv

1,200,461

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

N/A

0 0

0.010 0.010

Harvest

Stepping Stone Segregated Hatchery

0.1%

Ave

y

N/A

376,320

HRT Alternative B

Conservation

y

105

0

100%

0.080

pNOB

Both

1.00

pHOS pNOB

StepHarv

100%

pHOS

0.246

0.050 0.080

0.020 0.080

0.080

0.020

0.080 0.050

0.080

0.00 0

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

10

0

0.82

0.00 0

0.100

0.246

Recruits/Spawner

0.1%

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

0.0800.100

0.152

Int

Strays

0

Ave Ave

0

None

PNI

Seg

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 25%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

2.5

75%

y

100%

HSRG

Both

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

Seg

0.8%

Current Habitat

335

75%

HSRG Solution

0.00

0.246

0.100

0.1520.152

0.820.82

0.020 0.080

0

y

Harvest and Conservation

0.34

N/A

HRT Alternative A

0

1

0.00

0.82

1

Integrated Hatchery

0.100

0.00

0.050

00

0.080

0.080

0.010

1

1.00 0.34

0

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

31A-Salmon_Upper Salmon Mainstem

Spring Chinook (Sawtooth Hatchery)

y

1

Historic

0

0.00 0

0

1

0.020

0.34

0.00

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

00

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.152

0.080

0.246

pNOB

0.152

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.00Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.080

HORs

0.010

0.080

0.080

0.100

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.246

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

Segregated Hatchery

0.00

N/A

1

0

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

0.00 0 00.00

0

2.5

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

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Ma

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L. M

ain

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U.

Ma

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Te

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Ha

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Ha

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Ma

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L. M

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U.

Ma

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Te

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200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

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U.

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U.

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400

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800

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1,200

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Apply & Recalculate

Update

USFWS Columbia Basin Hatchery Review Team: Lower Snake Assessments and Recommendations Reports–March 2011

Appendix A – AHA Output 81

Table A56. AHA output for Panther Creek spring Chinook.

Population (Ctrl + Page Up/Down to Scroll)Species/Race Population Management Intent:

Harv&Hatchery Strategy:

Population Recovery Designation:

Ad. Capacity

% Kelt

Sm. Capacity

Ocean Surv Baseline SAR Vary? (Y/N) 0.092 0.040 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008 0.029 0.008

Adult Passage

Adj. Capacity

Harv - Marine

Harv - L. Mainstem

Harv - U. Mainstem

Harv -Terminal

Total Exploitation Rate

Broodstock Composition

Type

Local Imported

Destination for HOR Returns

Productivity of Hatchery Fish

538

11Realized Spawning Composition

Relative Hatchery Optimum -> 80 80 80 80 80

Weir Factor ->

Relative Reproductive Success (HOS) -> 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

Initial Fitness Factor (A) -> 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

Fitness Factor after 100 generations (B) -> 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50

Average Fitness Factor (100 Generations) -> 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50

Generations until average fitness is reached -> 12 30 12 12 12

Minimum Hatchery Program (% of BS Goal) -> Effective pHOS -> 0.94 Effective pHOS -> Effective pHOS -> 0.94 Effective pHOS -> 0.94 Effective pHOS -> 0.94

"Fitness Floor" -> 0.5 pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB -> pNOB ->

Calculated Hatchery SAR ->

Calculated Natural SAR ->

Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min Max Min

NOR Escapement 5 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 2 0

HoS Total Escapement (includes strays) 74 13 56 10 57 10 31 5

Conservation-Reintrodution

Habitat Restoration

0.010

0.10

0.010

148,419

0.34

1

Stabilizing

Patterns

Patterns shown here are assigned to the population from

the AHA or ROL file. Red cells indicate patterns are not

assigned to this population/scenario in the rollup

application. The shown pattern needs to be added to the

application, or a different pattern should be assigned to

this population in the ROL/AHA file.

Current Hydro

HRT-A

Current Hydro

HRT-B

Current Habitat

Hydro ----->

Current Habitat

Subregion/SubbasinHabitat Restoration

0.005

pNOB

Upper Salmon R Spring Chinook

Conservation-Reintrodution

Hatchery

100%

10

None

0.8%

y

100%

y

0.8%

Current Habitat

Current Hydro

Stabilizing

12 12

0.010 0.010

Conservation-Reintrodution

Habitat Restoration

Ave

y

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative B

Conservation-Reintrodution

y

10

0

94%

0.050

pNOB

None

pHOS pNOB

NoneNone

94%

pHOS

0.083

0.050 0.050

0.020 0.020

0.005

0.020

0.050 0.050

0.020

0.10 1,200

1

0.0100.010

y

0.34

Habitat ----->

148,41912

1,200

0.82

0.10 1,200

0.005

0.083

Recruits/Spawner

Current Harvest

Fitness? [Y / N]

0.005

94%

0.005

0.083

None

Strays

1

Ave Ave

1

19

None

PNI 94%

None

pHOS-Realized

None

% to Nat. Spawn. 100%

pNOB-Goal

pHOSpNOB

y

100%

HSRG

None

pHOS-Goal

Int/Seg/Step/None

Smolt Release

None

18

0.8%

Current Habitat

18

HSRG Solution

0.10

19

0.083

0.005

0.0830.083

0.820.82

0.020 0.020

1,200

y

Conservation-Reintrodution

0.34

Stabilizing

HRT Alternative A

1,200

1

0.10

0.82

148,419

Habitat Restoration

0.005

0.10

0.050

1,2001,200

0.020

0.050

0.010

148,419

1.00 0.34

1,200

y

1.00

% to Hatchery

Purpose

Export Goal/Realized

Cons/Harv/Both

Broodstock by Source

Brood Exported (from HOR Surplus)

Productivity (Adult)

Min NOR EscapeHabitatSmolt Productivity

32-Salmon_Panther Creek Spring Chinook

(Extirpated)

y

148,419

Historic

30,000

0.10 1,200

3

1

0.020

0.34

0.10

0.020

HORs 0.010

1

1212

0.050

pHOS

0.050

0.083

0.005

0.083

pNOB

0.083

Hydro

Harvest

NORs

NORs

0.10Adjusted Productivity

NORs

Juv Passage Surv.

NORs

NORs HORs

HORs

0.010

HORs

0.005

HORs

0.010

0.050

0.020

0.005

24

24

0.8%

100%

Current Hydro

Current Harvest

Ave

y

0.083

pHOS

Current Hydro

Current Habitat

0

Ave

0.8%

Habitat Restoration

0.10

Stabilizing

1

1,200

y

0.82

No HatcheryCurrent

0.10 1,200 1,2000.10

1

All H Analyzer (AHA)

Harvest --->

Hatchery

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00pNOB

pH

OS

.5

.9

.8

.7

.6

.4.3.2

PNI

.1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Ha

tch

ery

Ha

bita

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Ma

rin

e

L. M

ain

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U.

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Te

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0

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20

25

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Ha

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Ha

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U.

Ma

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Te

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0

5

10

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Ha

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Ha

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U.

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0

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Ha

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U.

Ma

inste

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Te

rmin

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Ha

tch

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Ha

bita

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Ma

rin

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L. M

ain

ste

m

U.

Ma

inste

m

Te

rmin

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Ha

tch

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Ha

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ari

ne L.

U.

Te

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Apply & Recalculate

Update

Pacific Region Fishery Resources 911 NE 11

th Avenue

Portland, OR 97232 503/872.2763 E-Mail: [email protected] U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service www.fws.gov For Columbia River Basin Hatchery Review Information www.fws.gov/pacific/Fisheries/Hatcheryreview/ The mission of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service is working with others to conserve, protect and enhance fish, wildlife, plants and their habitats for the continuing benefit of the American people. March 2011