12-15-14 Ukraine Between a Rock and a Hard Place
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PublishedonNewPolitics(http://newpol.org)
Home>NewPoliticsVol.XVNo.1,WholeNumber57>UkraineBetweenaRockandaHardPlace
UkraineBetweenaRockandaHardPlaceby
ThegovernmentsoftheUnitedStatesandRussiaareattemptingtoshapeeventsinUkraineintheirowninterests,notforthebenefitoftheUkrainianpeople.UkrainianshavelongsufferedfromdominationbyMoscow,undertheRussianczarsandlaterintheSovietUnion,mosthorrificallyunderStalin.WiththeendofCommunismintheSovietUnionandEasternEurope,millionshopedforfreedomandanewbeginning.However,theUnitedStatesandWesternEuropeexploitedthecollapseoftheSovietsystemtoexpandtheirownmilitaryandeconomicpower,extendingNATOintoadozenformerlyCommunistnations(CzechRepublic,Hungary,Poland,Bulgaria,Estonia,Latvia,Lithuania,Romania,Slovenia,Slovakia,Albania,andCroatia),and,theyhoped,intoUkraineandGeorgiaaswell.Equallydestructive,theWestattemptedtouseitseconomicheft,shocktherapy,andinternationalfinancialinstitutionsliketheInternationalMonetaryFundandtheWorldBanktopushabrutalcapitalismonthepeopleoftheformerCommunistcountries.
Inlate2013massprotestseruptedinUkraineagainstthegovernmentofViktorYanukovych,culminatinginhugedemonstrationsofhundredsofthousands.Despitehavingbeenelected,Yanukovychwasarepressiveandgrotesquelycorruptrulerwholavisheduponhimselfobsceneprivileges,includingavastpersonalcompoundfurnishedwithaspa,azoo,alargeboat,amassivecarcollection,andagoldentoilet(!),whiledefendingtheinterestsofthewealthyoligarchswhosupportedhisgovernment.
InJanuary2014,YanukovychsignedaseriesofantidemocraticlawssimilartothosealreadyimposedonRussiansunderVladimirPutin,whichsharplylimitedfreedomofspeechandassembly.Asmassprotestsmounted,thegovernmentsentriotpoliceonFebruary18tobrutallyrepressthepeopleinthestreets.Twodayslater,riotpoliceagainfoughtagainstprotesters,andthebattleculminatedinsniperswhohadtakenpositionsonrooftopsshootingatdemonstrators.SomeMaidandetractorshavearguedthatthesniperswereactuallydeployedbytheoppositiontocreateanincidentthatwoulddiscreditthegovernment.Theevidenceforthistheoryisdubiousinanyevent,thecorruption,repressiveness,andundemocraticrecordoftheYanukovichgovernmentareindisputable,andgavemorethanadequatecausefortheuprising.
http://newpol.org/http://newpol.org/content/new-politics-vol-xv-no-1-whole-number-57http://newpol.org/
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TheMaidanwasanexpressionofmassdiscontentthathadbeenbuildingforyears,andcannotbeexplainedawayassimplytheresultofafalseflagoperationoraplotbyWashingtonthoughweknowthattheUnitedStatesandotherWesterncountrieshaveworkedtotakeadvantageofpopulardissatisfactionfortheirownpurposesandwilldoeverythingtheycantoseethattheradicaldemocraticpotentialoftheMaidandoesntcometofruition.TheywillbehelpedintheireffortsbythefactthattheUkrainianleftandlabormovementsareveryweak,leavingavacuumtobefilledbyleaderswhoembracetheneoliberalausteritymeasurespromotedbytheUnitedStatesandtheEuropeanUnion.ThesemeasureswillcausebittersufferingforthemassesofMaidanprotesters,manyofwhomhavebeenundertheillusionthatjoiningtheEuropeanUnionwillbringthemprosperityandadecentstandardofliving(anillusionheldaswellbymillionsinGreeceandothersouthernEuropeancountriesuntilbitterexperiencehasbeguntoshowthemotherwise).Inaddition,thoughthefarrightforcesofSvobodaandtheRightSectorwereonlyasmallportionoftheprotesters,theyplayedakeyroleinthephysicaldefenseoftheMaidanagainstviolentgovernmentattack.TodaythereareanumberoffarrightfiguresinthetemporarycoalitiongovernmentthatwashastilyconstitutedbyparliamentafterYanukovychleftKievitremainstobeseenwhethertheUkrainianpeoplewillpermitthesedangerouselementstoremaininleadinggovernmentpositions.
AfterYanukovych
Onceinpower,thenewpostYanukovychgovernmenttookstepsthatwerecertaintomakethecountryvulnerabletoRussianattemptstoundermineUkrainesindependence.First,parliamentpassedalawrevokingthestatusofRussianthenativetongueof30to40percentofUkrainiansasanofficiallanguageinareaswhereRussianspeakersconstituted10percentormoreofthepopulation.ThisreactionarylawwasquicklycanceledbythenewactingUkrainianpresident,
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AleksandrTurchinov,whomusthavecometorealizethatitwouldsetoffanexplosivereaction.Butthedamagehadbeendone,fosteringsuspicionandhostilitytowardthenewgovernmentamongmanyRussianspeakers,particularlyintheeasternandsouthernregionsofthecountry.Compoundingthisdisastroussignalaboutlanguagerights,thenewgovernmentdeclaredfromtheoutsetthatitwouldadoptthecripplingeconomicmeasuresdemandedbytheEuropeanUnionandWesternfinancialinstitutions.ConsciousofhowhugelyunpopularthesocialcutsandprivatizationstheWestwasdemandingwouldbe,whenthenewprimeminister,ArsenyYatseniuk(famouslyknownfamiliarlyasYatstoU.S.AssistantSecretaryofStateforEuropeanandEurasianAffairsVictoriaNuland),announcedhisdeterminationtocarryoutharshausteritymeasures,heconceded,eerily,thatdoingsowouldmeanthatUkrainewouldbeledbyasuicidegovernment.
TheRightsofLessPowerfulCountries
NATOwasanimperialmilitaryalliancefromitsinception,andwiththeendoftheSovietempireitlostevenitsretrogradeColdWarrationaleforexistence.TheCampaignforPeaceandDemocracy,ofwhichIamCoDirector,andantiwarmovementsaroundtheworldcalledforNATOtodissolveafter1989(betterlatethannever).Instead,NATOaggressivelyextendeditsreachintotheformerSovietorbit.Thisfact,however,doesnotjustifyRussiasinterferenceinthedomesticaffairsofUkraine:supportingalightningreferenduminCrimeaundertheshadowofRussiantroopsandoperativesordeclaring,asPutinhas,thateasternandsouthernUkraineareNovorossiya(orNewRussia),signalingthatMoscowwouldbejustifiedinintervening,byforceifnecessary,todefendRussianspeakersinthatregion.Powerfulcountrieshavenorighttoturnneighboringnationsintobufferstatesbyinvokingsecurityasajustification.WhenrealorconcoctedsecuritythreatsareusedtojustifyimperialismbytheUnitedStates,Russia,oranyotherstrongmilitarypower,prospectsforpeaceanddemocracysufferaterribleblow.Ukrainiansfacecomplexandpressingproblemsinestablishingjustanddemocraticstructuresintheircountry,buttheyneedtoworkthroughthoseproblemswithoutimperialinterferencefromeithertheWestorRussia.ThenegotiatingpartnersshouldbeeasternandwesternUkrainians,nottheUnitedStates,theEuropeanUnion,orMoscow.
TheRussianannexationofCrimeaistobecondemnedbecauseoftheintimidatingwayinwhichitwasachieved(andtheprecedentthatwasthussetforfutureintimidation),andbecauseofthefactthatshortshriftwasgiventoconsideringtherightsofTatarsandUkrainianspeakers,whotogethermakeupathirdofCrimeaspopulation.ButthereisgoodreasontobelievethatthemajorityofCrimeanswouldhavefreelyvotedtorejoinRussiainafairreferendum,anditseemsdoubtfulthatCrimeawilleverreturntoUkraine.
However,accordingtorecentopinionpollsconductedbytheU.S.headquarteredPewResearchCenterandtheKyivInternationalInstituteofSociology,thesituationineasternandsouthernUkraineseemsquitedifferent:thegreatmajorityofthepopulationintheseregionssaythattheyaresuspiciousoftheKievgovernmentandwantameasureofautonomytoprotecttheirregionalinterests,butwishtoremainpartofUkraine.ArguablypeopleintheeastandsouthshouldhavetherighttosecedeandbecomeindependentorintegratedintoRussiaiftheysodesire,buttheirviewsshouldbeexpressedinlegitimatevotesthatwilleitherconfirmordisconfirmtheopinionpolls,notinhastyreferendumsconductedunderpressurefromunaccountablearmedgroupsandRussianmilitaryintimidation.(TothosewhosaythatRussiahasntintervenedmilitarilyinUkraine,myreplyistwofold:1)therearemorethanlikelysecretRussianoperativesplayingaroleineasternUkraineand,inanycase2)eveniftheRussiantroopsmassedontheborderwithUkrainehaventfiredashot,theyarebeingusedasaweapontointimidatethepopulation.DanielEllsbergusesametaphortomakethispointinanothercontext:hehasoftensaidthatwhentheU.S.threatensto
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usenuclearweapons,itisinfactusingthem,justassomeonewhopointsagunatsomeonesheadinthemidstofaconfrontationisusingthatgunwhetherornotheactuallyfiresit.)
ApeacefulresolutionoftheUkrainiancrisiswilldoubtlessneedtoinvolvesomekindofsignificantlydecentralizedstructureforthecountry,thoughtheextentofregionalautonomyremainstobenegotiatedinhardbargainingbytherepresentativesofbothsides.However,ahugeobstacletodemocraticbargainingisthepresenceofultranationalistandfarrightelementsonbothsides.
UltraNationalistsandtheFarRight
ThefarrightpresenceinthenewKievgovernmenthasbeenbarelymentionedinthemainstreampressintheUnitedStates,butitissignificantandverytroubling,evenifitspositioninarulingcoalitionissubjecttochangeinthenearfuture.Fornow,thefarrightSvobodaPartyholdsimportantpositions:SvobodasOleksandrSychisdeputyprimeminister,thepartysIhorShvaikisagricultureminister,andAndriyMokhnykisecologyminister,whileformerSvobodaMPOlegMokhnytskyrunsthegeneralprosecutorsoffice.(ForSvobodasstatedprinciples,seetheAllUkrainianUnionSvobodaprogramProgramfortheProtectionofUkrainians.1)Svobodadeniesthatitisfascist,andhasgonetosomelengthstodistanceitsreputationfromitsneonazioriginsandpresentitselfassimplyarightwingnationalistparty.HoweverSvobodasracistandfascisticcolorationpersists:in2004,SvobodaleaderOlehTyahnybokgaveaspeechcallingforUkrainianstofightagainstaMuscoviteJewishmafia,2andcelebratedtheOrganizationofUkrainianNationalistsforhavingfoughtMoscovites,Germans,JewsandotherscumwhowantedtotakeawayourUkrainianstate.3In2012ahighlevelSvobodamember,YuriSirotyuk,chargedthattheselectionofpopstarGaitana,whowasborninUkrainetoaCongolesefatherandUkrainianmother,wasabadchoicetorepresentthecountryintheEurovisionsongcontestbecauseshewasnotauthenticallyUkrainian.ItlookslikewedontwanttoshowourfaceandUkrainewillbeassociatedwithadifferentcontinent,somewhereinAfrica.4ObserversdisagreeaboutwhetherSvobodaisproperlycategorizedasneofascist(Ibelieveitis),butthereisnodoubtthatitisdeeplyreactionary.
[Authorsnote,May27:ThisarticlewaswrittenbeforetheMay25elections.Electionresultsindicatethat,fornowatleast,thefarrighthasverylittlepopularsupport.AstheRussiannewsserviceRTconcededaboutthepresidentialexitpolls,Ultrarightradicalnationalistsappearedtohavecompletelyfailedintheelections,withSvoboda(Freedom)PartyheadOlegTyagniboksecuring1.17percentofthevoteandRightSectorleaderDmitryYaroshlessthanonepercent.5Atthetimeofwritingthisnote,finalvotingresultshavenotbeenconfirmed,buttheyaredescribedasapproximatingtheseverylowfigures.IntheKievmayoralelection,Svobodamayhavefaredsomewhatbetter,thoughstillnotwell:with40percentoftheballotscounted,thepartyscandidatereceived6.45percentofthevote.6]
AlthoughastrongcasecanbemadethatSvobodaisindeedneofascist,regardlessofhowonecharacterizestheparty,UkraineisnttodayafasciststatenonfascistneoliberalpartiesandPrimeMinisterArseniyYatseniuk[and,afterMay25,PetroPoroshenko]leadthegovernmentandfascistmeasureshavenotbeencarriedout.ButitisanominoussignthatreactionaryelementslikeSvobodahavebeenlegitimizedwithgovernmentposts.Intheabsenceofasuccessfulleftalternative,neoliberalausteritymeasuresarelikelytostrengthenneofascistandfarrightforcesadynamicwehaveseeninotherpartsofEurope,forexamplewiththeriseofGoldenDawninGreeceandtheFrontNationalinFrance.Recentstepstakenbythenewgovernmentgiveaforetasteoftheirplans:gaspriceshavebeenraisedby56percentandithasbeenannouncedthat
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25,000civilservantsaretobelaidoffandchildsubsidiescut.
UltranationalistandfarrightelementsalsoplayasignificantroleontheproRussianside.Forexample,asTashShifrinnotesonherDreamDeferredwebsite,TheDonbassPeoplesMilitiaisledbyPavelGubarevaformermemberoffascistparamilitaryorganisation,RussianNationalUnityandoftheProgressiveSocialistPartyofUkraine,whichdespiteitsnameisalliedwiththeEurasianYouthUnionlinkedtoinfluentialRussianfascistAleksandrDugin.7Inhisarticleontheanarchistleaningwebsitetahriricn,LaurentMoerireportsthatthereisverydisturbinginformationaboutChetnikshavingbeeninvitedtojoinRussiansfightingtogetherwiththeCossackWolves(theWolvesareaparamilitaryorganizationknownfortheirruthlessnessandhaveengagedincombatinChechnyaaswellasinGeorgia).8AndinApril2014,AleksandrIvanovSukharevsky,leaderoftheRussianneoNaziPeoplesNationalParty,addressedtheproRussianforcesinSouthEasternUkrainegivingthemhisfullsupport(cited,withaphotoofSukharevskyspeakingthissiteshowsmanyotherexamplesoffarrightelementsamongtheproRussianforces9).
WithinRussia,VladimirPutinhasusedtheUkrainianconflicttofosterultranationalistsentimentsthatbuttresstheincreasingauthoritarianismofhisgovernment,whichismarkedbyhyperpatriotism,harshantiprotestlaws,repressionofjournalists,viciousdiscriminationagainstgays,andanunholyalliancewiththeRussianOrthodoxChurchthatwesawondisplayinthecruelpersecutionofPussyRiot.Itsnosurprise,then,thatPutinandtheRussiangovernmentarepraisedbyfarrightforcesthroughoutEurope,includingHungarysneoNaziJobbikparty,theBritishNationalParty,GoldenDawninGreece,theItalianFronteNazionale,andMarineLePensFrenchFrontNational.(Ironically,SvobodahadobserverstatuswiththeultranationalistAllianceofEuropeanNationalMovementsuntilMarchofthisyear,leavingonlyafterleadersoftheAllianceendorsedtheannexationofCrimeabyRussia.)InsideCrimea,therepressiveconsequencesofbeingbroughtintoMoscowsorbitareillustratedbythe(failed)attempttobanthismonthsTatarcommemorationofthe70thanniversaryofthedaythemassdeportationoftheirfamiliesbeganundertheordersofJosefStalin,andthecancellationoftheGayPrideparadescheduledforApril2223inlightoftheRussianlawbanninggaypropaganda.10
MuchhastobedonetorealizethedemocraticpromiseoftheMaidanuprising.Forstarters,theUkrainianpeopleneedtoinsistthatSvobodaberemovedfromthegoverningcoalition,andthattheKievgovernmentrepudiateitsdeadlydealwiththeEUandtheIMF.Butbeyondthesefirstnecessarysteps,ordinaryUkrainiansacrossthecountrydesperatelyneedtocreateademocraticleftmovement,withmembercontrolledunions11andpoliticalpartiesthatcanrepresentthem.Theyneednewradicalandsocialistpartiesthatcantakemajorenterprisesoutofthehandsoftheoligarchswhodominatewestern,eastern,andsouthernUkraine,nationalizethem,andplacethemunderthedemocraticcontrolofworkersandthelargersociety.TheyneedpartiesthatcanbuildanindependentUkraineunalignedwitheitherNATOorRussia,outsideoftheGermandominatedEuropeanUnionandtheRussiandominatedEurasianEconomicUnion,andfreetodevelopunrestrictedtraderelationshipswithallcountries.
Ukrainiansneedaninternationalenvironmentthatnourishesratherthanthwartsdemocracyintheircountry,andthatswherewecanhelp.WecanexpressoursolidaritywiththeUkrainianpeoplebydemandingthatRussiapermanentlywithdrawitstroopsfromtheUkrainianborderandceasemakinginterventionistthreats,andthattheWestceaseitsescalatingmilitarypresenceinEurope,movetodismantleNATO,andwithdrawitsdemandsforprivatizationandausterity.WecancallforaidwithoutimperialstringstoUkraineandothercountriesineconomiccrisis.InsupportingtheUkrainians,wearehelpingourselves.Afterall,weallneedawayoutofthecruelworldourmastershavemade.
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May20,2014
ReadersmayalsobeinterestedinseeingtheCampaignforPeaceandDemocracysMarch10,2014statementOpposeNATO,RussianInterventioninCrimea,andtheIMF."
1.FindSvoboda'swebsitehere.
2.DavidStern,Svoboda:TheRiseofUkrainesultranationalists.
3.CitedinPerAndersRudling,RuthWodak,andJohnE.Richardson,eds.,TheReturnoftheUkrainianFarRight:TheCaseofVOSvoboda(Routledge,2013),229247.
4.MariaDanilova,Ukrainianpartyaccusedofracisminpopscandal,AssociatedPress,Feb.22,2012.
5.UkrainianoligarchPoroshenkoleadingpresracewithover50%votes,RT,May25,2014.
6.Klitschkoreceivesover56percentofvotesinKyivmayorelectionsaftercountingin40percentofwards,KyivPost,May27,2014.
7.TashShifrin,Ukraineslidestowardscivilwar:dontchooseasideinbattleofreaction,DreamDeferred,May5,2014.
8.LaurentMoeri,ExcuseMeMister:HowFarIsItFromSimferopolToGrozny?May19,2104.
9.AntonShekhovtsov,RussianandproRussianrightwingterroristsspreadingfearandhateinUkraine,April19,2014.
10.SeeDanielReynolds,RussiasGayPropagandaLawTakesEffectinCrimea,Advocate,May1,2014,citedbyKevinAndersoninhisarticleinthisissue,Ukraine:DemocraticAspirationsandInterimperialistRivalry.
11.SuchunionsaremissinginUkrainetoday.AsSeanLarsonnotesinContradictionsoftheRulingClassinUkraine,inthisissue,Theopinion[amongthepublic]predominatesthattradeunionsarerelicsofthecommunisteraforthepurposeoforganizingvacationsorchildrenssummercamps(functionslargelyresponsibleforsustainingunionmembership)ratherthanfightingorganizationspushingfortheinterestsofworkersonthejobandinpolitics.
Note:themapwasdrawnbyLisaLyons,basedonanoriginalmapatwww.polgeonow.com.Source:Ukraine2001Census.[Weregretthatweomittedthisnotefromtheprintissue.]
SourceURL:http://newpol.org/content/ukrainebetweenrock%E2%80%A8andhardplace
Links:[1]http://twitter.com/share[2]http://www.cpdweb.org/letters/Ukraine.shtml[3]http://newpol.org/category/topic/warandpeace[4]http://newpol.org/category/topic/socialprotests[5]http://newpol.org/category/places/russiaussr[6]http://newpol.org/category/places/europe/easterneurope/ukraine[7]http://newpol.org/category/issue/57
http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-20824693http://www.cpdweb.org/letters/Ukraine.shtmlhttp://www.dreamdeferred.org.uk/2014/05/ukraine-slides-towards-civil-war-there-is-no-good-side-to-choose/http://tahriricn.wordpress.com/2014/05/19/ukraine-excuse-me-mister-how-far-is-it-from-simferopol-to-grozny/http://www.polgeonow.com/http://newpol.org/content/ukraine-between-rock-%E2%80%A8and-hard-placehttp://rt.com/news/161416-ukraine-exit-polls-poroshenko/http://anton-shekhovtsov.blogspot.de/2014/04/russian-and-pro-russian-right-wing.htmlhttp://www.advocate.com/world/2014/05/01/russias-gay-propaganda-law-takes-effect-crimeahttp://en.svoboda.org.ua/about/program/http://cnsnews.com/news/article/ukrainian-party-accused-racism-pop-scandalhttp://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/klitschko-receives-over-56-percent-of-votes-in-kyiv-mayor-elections-after-counting-in-40-percent-of-wards-349594.html